Game of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
GameFAQs Contests
Yeah, I get that, too. But then Tropical Freeze should've done better than this...! |
Mario
Maker 2 also sold the same as Mario Maker 1 despite being on the system
people care about. Splatoon 2 is likely weaker than 1 but not by too
much. SFF is the likelier explanation here. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
tropical freeze just never mattered! much like dkc add the c and back away iphonesience |
it was one of the best selling Wii U games, right? I dunno, I have no sense for the Wii U since I never owned one. |
LeonhartFour posted... it was one of the best selling Wii U games, right?Tropical Freeze has always had disappointing sales, relative to other first party major Wii U games. AND it was only $50 as opposed to $60! For
the best videogame commentary story on the Internet (sometimes
featuring GameFAQs poll of the days and contest discussion) visit https://www.koopatv.org |
Splatoon
1 had the benefit of being the first new AAA Nintendo franchise in God
knows how long, and being one of the four or five high profile Wii U
games at the time, on top of being a pretty novel concept. A lot of Wii u
owners bought it just to keep the system from gathering dust. Splatoon 2 was pretty much the same thing the first one was with a couple of bells and whistles, it didn't have the novelty factor both on the gameplay side and the 'new Nintendo franchise' side. It sold better but it wouldn't surprise me that interest dwindled in a contest setting. I think highly iterative sequels are almost invariably going to be weaker than the original. If
you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect
whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it. (edited 4/2/2020 8:14:43 PM)report |
folllowing seed placements and creating a narrative around them: the topic -_-...-_- ...-_-... |
LeonhartFour posted... I do think there's a chance there's some Nintendo overperformance here from Xenoblade, but it's definitely a strong showing. Or Xenoblade has grown in strength since 2015. Which could be possible as it means at least an extra 4 years for people to play the game since the 2015 contest. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ! |
LusterSoldier posted...
Eh, this is too big of a blowout for that to be the only explanation unless Splatoon 2 is one of the weakest games in the contest. There are only a handful of games in the 2015 contest that Xenoblade would be projected to beat this badly. |
KamikazePotato posted... Mario Maker 2 also sold the same as Mario Maker 1 despite being on the system people care about. Splatoon 2 is likely weaker than 1 but not by too much. SFF is the likelier explanation here. Mario Maker 2 has been out for less than 1 year, where as Mario Maker 1 had almost 4 years to build up its total sales volume prior to the release of Mario Maker 2. Not really a fair comparison right now. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ! |
KamikazePotato posted... Mario Maker 2 also sold the same as Mario Maker 1 despite being on the system people care about. Splatoon 2 is likely weaker than 1 but not by too much. SFF is the likelier explanation here. Mario Maker 2 sold 1 million more than Mario Maker 1's lifetime sales in its first six months! All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
I think I feel safe saying Ori's got this after the last few updates. |
I
was strangely confident about that pick too so I'm glad it turned out
well. It's the ones I'm not even concerned about that keep blind siding
me. |
In
a contest with so much fodder it's not surprising that some of these
matches are blind siding people. The games are so weak and people here
generally don't care for the games themselves so no one discusses these
kinds of matches. The Bastion match is the archetype of this kind of
upset. With the Ori match I've now lost three points, and the only one I feel really I could have seen coming is the Undertale one. The Bastion and Ori ones are like, how tf was anyone supposed to know. If
you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect
whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it. |
the
thing is, it's not about Bastion and Ori. it's about Walking Dead and
Dragon Age. I'd love it to be about Bastion and Ori and they're alright
but still real weak in the grand scheme. xyzzy |
yeah this says more about Dragon Age than it does about Ori, and we'll see that next round we've already seen what a game people actually like can do to an indie game |
Honestly,
Ori > Dragon Age and the recent blowouts make me feel a lot more
confident in Hollow Knight > FFXV. 75% on Edith Finch is pretty
unimpressive, and FFXV is even less well-liked than Inquisition. All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
Eh, FFXV is starting from a higher ceiling than Dragon Age though. Not to say Hollow Knight doesn't have a chance, but I don't know that this is the prime example as to why. |
Previous Results: Blowouts everyone figured would happen. Crew Predictions: 25/28 Next Round Thoughts: Fun game of rank the losers. GTAV, P4G, and RDR all seem close to each other based off blowing out fodder. Cuphead might be right there with them too if XCOM 2 is stronger than the other three (which it probably is). Crew Prediction Challenge: Moltar: 25 Kleenex: 25 transience: 24 Leonhart: 24 Guest: 22 Crew Accuracy Challenge: Moltar gets the point for GTAV, RDR, and Cuphead, and transience gets the point for P4G. Moltar: 10 Guest: 6 (spooky96, Hbthebattle (2), Black Turtle, ctes, MetalmindStats) Kleenex: 4 transience: 4 Leonhart: 2 Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Round 1 – The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt vs. Assassin's Creed Odyssey Moltar’s Analysis oh boy its witching time We saw Witcher 3 back in 2015, and it did well against MGS2 (back when the MGS series was stronger than it is today). Since then, this game has gotten even more popular, thanks to additional exposure from the Netflix series. Alucard was helped tremendously from a Netflix boost and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Witcher also benefit. Assassin’s Creed is one of those series that came and went here. Back in 2010, it was a series that lost with some grace. In 2015, FF6 tripled an AC game. Now? Interest in AC here is at an all time low, and I can see Witcher going really big on it here. Moltar’s Bracket: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt Moltar’s Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – 78% ____________________________________________________________________________ transience’s Analysis Halfway through round 1! The first half of the bracket has some interesting spots, but the winner is obvious. The bottom half is as wide open a half as we've had in these contests, mostly because of how Allen stacked the bracket against Nintendo. One pre-contest favourite is The Witcher 3, though it's largely pinned on belief moreso than results. Witcher 3 only barely beat Fallout 4 in its GOTY poll, but the game has really exploded in popularity year over year and Geralt did pretty well in the 2018 contest. We'll get into its prospects when it gets a real match. Its opponent is an Assassin's Creed game. Assassin's Creed had a decent following back when it was new and hyped. Altair did some serious work to midcarders around the turn of last decade and AC2, along with Batman and Uncharted, were legitimate games. Fast forward a decade and AC is old hat and most people would sooner associate the abbreviation with Animal Crossing. Odyssey is well regarded but it's hard to break through when they put out a game every year for a decade plus and it's not a Nintendo game or an RPG. Witcher 3 should make quick work of it here -- but, like a lot of other games, being from a notable series probably means you aren't getting blown out. If Witcher 3 breaks 75%, we could have an interesting showdown. transience's prediction: The Witcher 3 with 71.44% ____________________________________________________________________________ Leonhart’s Analysis We saw one Odyssey go for 86% and we might see another Odyssey get 86% put up on it! Seriously though, Assassin’s Creed’s stock has fallen a ton over the last decade. The main characters and the first two games put up decent results when the series was fresh, but I feel like most of us are just done with it now because Ubisoft just ran it into the ground with too many games and a couple of them in particular being complete messes. I’ve heard the last couple games have turned things around, but I imagine most of us gave up before that point! Assassin’s Creed II got absolutely obliterated by Final Fantasy VI in 2015, Altair and Ezio have both flopped in their recent contest appearances, and now this game just barely sneaks in as a 16 seed. While Assassin’s Creed’s stock has plummeted over the last decade, Witcher’s has skyrocketed. Witcher 2 was an absolute dud in GOTY 2011. Four years later, Witcher 3 won GOTY and did respectably in the Games Contest, putting up 45% on Metal Gear Solid 2 after a blowout win in round 1. Geralt managed to make it all the way to the division finals in 2018 (among admittedly average competition, but still!). There’s reason to believe the game has only grown stronger over time as more people have gotten the opportunity to play it, and now it even has a hit Netflix show (that isn’t about Witcher 3 itself, but it can only help, I imagine). There’s reason to believe Witcher 3 has what it takes to make a deep run, and I think it’ll start off strong here. Leonhart’s Vote: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt Leonhart’s Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt with 74.17% ____________________________________________________________________________ Kleenex’s Analysis We’ve already seen the Witcher 3 back in 2015, and the game was surprisingly potent given that it had only recently just come out at the time. It only made the second round, but put up a good fight against Metal Gear Solid 2. The series has only gotten more exposure over the years, what with the Netflix show and everything. Geralt was in 2018 and had a...super weird run to the 4th round because finally losing to Auron in another respectable performance. Witcher 3 is one of the games that people have pegged making it out of the bottom half of the bracket and it definitely has a real shot. We can try to use today as a measuring stick, but I think that’s going to be kinda tough. Assassin’s Creed games haven’t done particularly well in the past, and even though the newer brand of AC games (Origins & Odyssey) seem pretty well received, I think they’re likely less notable in a contest setting than the older games. This should theoretically be a blowout for the Witcher, so we’ll see if that’s something the game is capable of. If not, my bracket is going to be pretty upset. Kleenex’s Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt with 79.50% ____________________________________________________________________________ Guest’s Analysis – ctes The Witcher 3 is perhaps the most interesting contestant in bracket if we look at the difference between earliest round something can realistically lose versus latest round something can realistically lose. That seems to be round 3 to the final basically. Today however, I don't believe we can say anything for certain. I believe Witcher will look incredibly good today, one of the biggest blowouts to be sure. Regardless of how strong Witcher ends up being, it's very well respected among hardcore and casuals gamers both. Unfortunately, this match will tell us nothing about its chances in the long run, because its facing Assassin's Creed. We saw Call of Duty at absolute trash levels against a weaker game. This will be similar. Both series fell a lot when the decided to just milk out games too fast and their real target audience became a bit younger. There's no telling how much of this loss will be due to Assassin's Creed. Furthermore, Odyssey is probably a lot weaker than Black Flag. Sp predictions for the day, Witcher scores well above 80%, people will shout that its gonna challenge Skyrim mostly ignoring how far AC could've fallen and we'll see it less beastly later on. The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 87.51% Assassin's Creed Odyssey - 12.49% I'm attempting a real high shot here, but when typing a smaller number I just keep feeling it could do more. I have absolutely no faith in AC I suppose. ____________________________________________________________________________ Crew Consensus: The Witcher assassinates Creed. Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
whoa you guys are high on witcher xyzzy |
nah I'm more low on Assassin's Creed than anything |
I figured, but these are Baba is You type expectations xyzzy |
Witcher
is going to crush all of its opponents, and possibly take down Skyrim. I
don't think people realize just how popular the Netflix series was "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1 lol xstats |
Well, depends on how much stronger Witcher 3 is than GTAV! |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... Witcher is going to crush all of its opponents, and possibly take down Skyrim. I don't think people realize just how popular the Netflix series was No, I think we all do. It's just debatable how much impact it has on the game. |
I
mean, I think Witcher is the favorite to get to the semifinals already.
saying that the Witcher will do well isn’t exactly controversial. add the c and back away iphonesience |
Round 1 – Mass Effect 3 vs. Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty Moltar’s Analysis i see what u did there - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6146-best-game-ever-day-24-round-2-starcraft-vs-mass-effect-2 Funny match as it’s basically a battle between the way less popular sequels of both games. Mass Effect won it before, and I think it’ll win again now. Mass Effect 3 is a step down, but at least we’ve seen it have some contest strength (it did come the closest to beating Undertale in 2015 lolololololol) Starcraft II? All signs point to it being far, far weaker than the original Starcraft. Even some fans of the original Starcraft turned against the game. Definitely don’t see this sequel match being as close as the original. Moltar’s Bracket: Mass Effect 3 Moltar’s Prediction: Mass Effect 3 – 58% ____________________________________________________________________________ transience’s Analysis This is a cute sort of baby rematch from the 2015 contest, where the up and coming Mass Effect 2 bombed horribly and nearly lost to Starcraft. This match is kind of a joke: Starcraft 2 was somewhat poorly received due to the way they split its campaigns into three separate games, and ME3's ending debacle has sunk the Mass Effect series forever. And, judging by today's glorious results, Bioware's impotence has stretched out to Dragon Age as well. At this point, I'd be pretty surprised if ME2 can win its division. It'll take people recognizing that RE2 was a remake to steer it back in the right direction, and even Fallout 4 has a great shot there. I can't see Starcraft 2, a PC exclusive from a genre we don't play anymore, winning a match, but if Mass Effect 3 attracts enough disdain it might make a go of it. I'm going to go real low on ME3 because I just have no faith in that series right now. transience's prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 57.65% ____________________________________________________________________________ Leonhart’s Analysis It’s time for the #2 game from 2015 to step into the ring, and with Undertale’s round 1 upset, that makes Mass Effect 3 the strongest game remaining from that contest! A man can dream. I’m not exactly sure what to expect from Mass Effect 3 here. It’s been 8 years since the ending controversy, so have people lost their ire about it and now they can reflect on the good parts, especially since they’ve had something else to move onto in Andromeda? Or have people just stopped caring about it altogether? The 2018 contest would seem to suggest the passion for Mass Effect just isn’t there anymore, and that might hurt ME3 more than any other entry in the original trilogy. That being said, I still think it can stand up to a Starcraft II game. If you think people don’t care about Mass Effect anymore, when did they ever care about Starcraft II? That thing came and went like it never even happened. I’m stunned this game even made it in! I think people will side with Mass Effect 3 because it’s the thing we know and we’ve actually played. I don’t think anti-voting will play a huge role here, at least not enough for it to actually lose. Leonhart’s Vote: Mass Effect 3 Leonhart’s Prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 60.15% ____________________________________________________________________________ Kleenex’s Analysis After Mass Effect 2’s middling performance round 1, I’d normally feel even more worried about Mass Effect 3 - the game that started the series’ downward spiral into being reviled by the internet. BUT WAIT! Along comes something the internet also reviles! Blizzard has not been in a great way over the past couple years, and Starcraft II was already treading hot water back when it came out. The original Starcraft may be something of a contest legend, but I very much doubt that translates to its sequel. I *think* Mass Effect probably edges this one out, but really I could see it going either way. I don’t think either of these games are particularly well liked anymore, but Mass Effect feels like the correct pick to me. Kleenex’s Prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 52.25% ____________________________________________________________________________ Guest’s Analysis – TsunamiXXVIII In our last contest, we had Mass Effect 2 face StarCraft in Round 2. This contest, we get their sequels facing off in Round 1! Now, the raw X-Stats would say that ME3 is a lot stronger than ME2, but that’s just a joke because ME3 was Undertale’s first opponent, the one that it needed all of its rallying power to get past because it started so late. But then again, you look at the vote totals for that day compared to other R1 matches, it’s not really that much higher, because the rallying started so late. Which means ME3’s raw vote total is mostly legit, right? It’s not like in 2013 where…oh, wait, Draven’s R1 total was well below the elite characters’ R1 totals, too. Maybe both of the rallies had strong backlash effects after all? I mean, in 2015 it was 1v1s so there’s a clear target for your anti-rally rallying, but in 2013 we had a third place character getting 10k in even Draven’s earliest matches. But the funny thing is, even the adjusted X-Stats say ME3 gets 53% on StarCraft, which is more than what ME2 actually got on it. And putting ME2 into the calculator instead gives pretty much the same percentage as the actual match, so it’s not like there was some weird Adjusted X-Stat voodoo where ME2 was expected to win by more. IIRC that was one of the matches with rallying on both sides. So is ME3 actually stronger than ME2? I doubt it, but the X-Stats say so, and SC2 is obviously going to be weaker than SC1. I’m sure the rest of the crew will be down on ME3 after ME2’s performance against RE7, but 1-16 match or not, that was a battle of two established franchises, and apathy votes tend to go towards the more established name—which is Resident Evil. …Oh, wait, StarCraft is the more established name, isn’t it? Well, then, I guess I’ll stick with my initial Oracle pick even though I chose the percentage to be a smartass. Mass Effect 3 with 50.95% ____________________________________________________________________________ Crew Consensus: Starcraft has no effect on Mass Effect. Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
What a weird match. This basically boils down to which game we dislike less. (which is a shame! ME3 deserves better!) (edited 4/3/2020 10:07:25 AM)report |
MIA Guest Alert - @Nintendogs I don't have a write-up for Stardew Valley/Destiny yet. If I don't get one in a few hours, it's not getting posted with the rest of the Crew write-ups. Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
I
don't have the article on hand but it stated that sales of Witcher 3
was up more than 500% due to the show, and it had its highest amount of
concurrent players EVER on Steam after the show If
you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect
whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it. (edited 4/3/2020 10:12:57 AM)report |
Master Moltar posted... MIA Guest Alert - @NintendogsHave you checked the Spam section? I wrote-up something last night an sent it to you. |
yikes. I thought I was going real low on ME3 but turns out 60% is the high pick! xyzzy |
Yeah, I kinda expected I'd be the high pick! I just choose to believe! |
More people should try out Starcraft 2 now that it's free! Think fast. Click faster. |
Even free is too expensive imo If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? #theresafreakingghostafterus |
I'm going to have 3 accuracy points after today and 2 of them will be Fire Emblem games. |
Nintendogs posted... Have you checked the Spam section? I wrote-up something last night an sent it to you.nope don't see it, are you sure you sent it to mastermoltar@gmail.com you can also PM it to me if that's not working Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Master Moltar posted... nope don't see it, are you sure you sent it to mastermoltar@gmail.comTry checking your e-mail now |
Round 1 – Stardew Valley vs. Destiny Moltar’s Analysis Who keeps letting Destiny into these game contests?! Last time we saw it, it was getting tripled by Starcraft. At least this time, it’s battling something closer to its weight class. Stardew Valley should be decent for an indie game. It has gotten much more exposure since its 2016 GotY showing and has become much more widely available. People also actually like the game, though I’m not sure how much it resonates on GameFAQs. Moltar’s Bracket: Stardew Valley Moltar’s Prediction: Stardew Valley – 66% ____________________________________________________________________________ transience’s Analysis Everyone seems to insist on ranking indie games, as if they're somehow in the same genre or have the same fanbases. Well, if you want to go that way, Stardew's in the top 5. It's pretty interesting, actually - the games that do well in the indie space are ones that evoke feelings from a lost age, but Stardew is largely its own thing. Yeah, there were games like Harvest Moon that it pulls from, but people aren't coming to it for a long lost sequel like they do Hollow Knight or Ori or Cuphead or VVVVVV. It exploded in the same way that Undertale exploded: for its chill vibe and word of mouth. Stardew's advantage is that it didn't become a meme that won a previous GameFAQs contest, which apparently turned a significant number of people against Undertale. Stardew's opponent is Destiny which is one of our weaker games. Destiny is probably better now than it was in 2015, though I'm surprised we get the original and not the seemingly superior Destiny 2. Destiny is a service game that so doesn't play here, and with Stardew being halfway legit, it might go real big. transience's prediction: Stardew Valley with 73.65% ____________________________________________________________________________ Leonhart’s Analysis Are you ready to see Destiny get tripled again? Seriously, who the heck nominated this game into another contest? We’ve already seen stuff like Fortnite and Dota 2 get absolutely pummeled, and I expect the same to happen again to Destiny. Stardew Valley is probably one of the strongest indie games, and it’s an easy magnet to suck up those anti-votes. It’s been interesting to see these top tier indie games start off hot and bleed tons of percentage afterward. There’s no telling how high Stardew Valley will get here, but if there’s a situation where it can get high and stay high, it’s this one. Leonhart’s Vote: Stardew Valley Leonhart’s Prediction: Stardew Valley with 73.73% ____________________________________________________________________________ Kleenex’s Analysis I’m sorry, am I reading that right? Stardew Valley got enough nominations for a 5 seed? That’s wild, but also awesome because Stardew Valley is fuckin’ awesome. Destiny belongs in the match from yesterday. People may like Destiny 2 nowadays (by all accounts the current state of the game is quite good), but that original game was a mess. It sort of got pulled together by the end of the third year, but that thing was *rough*. I don’t think many people look back particularly fondly on that original game and it’ll probably show in this match’s result. Stardew is another indie darling, and one that I think has garnered more interest since its original release. It can probably only win one match, sadly, but we’ll see what happens. Kleenex’s Prediction: Stardew Valley with 63.50% ____________________________________________________________________________ Guest’s Analysis – Nintendogs Stardew Valley is a well-liked game in GameFAQs. Destiny is not. While both games have sold very well, Stardew Valley benefits from being a return to form for those who like the old Harvest Moon games from the 1990's, the decade that GameFAQs never left. Destiny on the other hand, is a modern AAA, online multiplayer-oriented, loot FPS game that failed to live up to big expections and was not without controversy in the state the game was launched, and those are no-nos for NostalgiaFAQs. The website's rejection of such a game was made manifest when Starcraft demolished Destiny about 75-25 in the previous games contest. I'm expecting another pounding on the game, this time by a social farming sim that's considered one of the stronger indies in the bracket (and one I find to be very, very boring; sorry fans). Prediction: Stardew Valley at 68.31% ____________________________________________________________________________ Crew Consensus: Stardew’s destiny is to reach Round 2 Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ (edited 4/3/2020 2:54:56 PM)delete |
Still no luck for the guest, I see. |
The
other day I started talking with my sister about indies and she told me
I should really check out Stardew Valley. She plays this thing all of
her free time. Now granted, she's a Harvest Moon junkie, but I think it's interesting how a random mention of indies caused this game to be brought up. I think it's legit. (edited 4/3/2020 2:51:30 PM)report |
rip me I have destiny in my bracket This is why you double check your brackets dang it! |
Leonhart4 posted... Still no luck for the guest, I see.refresh and check again!! Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
I have Stardew Valley on Steam, but haven't played it I don't get why Destiny is even here. From my understanding people actually do like Destiny 2, why is 1 here instead? Born to lose, live to win! |
I giggled a little at a user by the name of Nintendogs complaining that Stardew Valley was a little boring. xyzzy |
Round 1 – Super Mario Galaxy 2 vs. Return of the Obra Dinn Moltar’s Analysis easy peasy we got OBRA DINN here i dont even know what a mario is Moltar’s Bracket: Return of the Obra Dinn Moltar’s Prediction: Return of the Obra Dinn – 65% … … okay fine Moltar’s Bracket: Super Mario Galaxy 2 Moltar’s Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 – 85% ____________________________________________________________________________ transience’s Analysis I went into GOTD2 largely shrugging due to so many unknown factors, but with three main predictions: 1. Super Mario Odyssey is the second strongest game in the bracket. 2. Persona 4 Golden is legit and, thanks to facing western games early on, will be treated as if it is a full strength game. 3. Despite all efforts, some stupid third rate Nintendo game is going to crash the party in the bottom half of the bracket, similar to how Super Mario RPG did in 2015. Today is the first of three such contenders: Super Mario Galaxy 2, straight off of a fairly embarrassing loss to Mass Effect in 2015. Galaxy 2 is a late Wii game which is basically like saying it is a Wii U game. A lot of people abandoned the platform by the time we got to 2010, but even so, it's a core Mario game that is super well regarded as one of the best platformers ever. Its opponent is Return of the Obra Dinn, a mega cool Lucas Pope game with an amazing aesthetic and oh yeah one of the weakest games in this bracket. This thing is a homeless man's Walking Dead, and even that might be pushing it. If there's one thing I know about voters, it's that when given the choice between a cool obscure indie game and a Mario game, they're going Mario every time. I'm looking for Galaxy 2, despite not thinking a ton of it, to go for one of the biggest blowouts of the contest here. You don't need to care about Galaxy 2 to vote here. Some people will overreact and say that Witcher 3 is in trouble. They might be right! transience's prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 83.55% ____________________________________________________________________________ Leonhart’s Analysis If there’s ever a time for Super Mario Galaxy 2 to look great, it’s now! The game suffered an upset loss to the original Mass Effect in 2015 (which I predicted, by the way…!), and it’s a step below even Galaxy 1’s thoroughly average contest strength. For whatever the reason, this site never really took to the Galaxy games despite their sterling reception and great sales numbers. That shouldn’t be an issue here though because Return of the Obra Dinn will probably be one of the weakest games in the contest. I’m just curious to see how high of a percentage Galaxy 2 is actually capable of! Leonhart’s Vote: Super Mario Galaxy 2 Leonhart’s Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy with 82.64% ____________________________________________________________________________ Kleenex’s Analysis I should play Obra Dinn someday. We already have a general idea of where Galaxy 2 stands - roughly equal to the first Mass Effect. That’s clearly enough to take down Obra Dinn, which I have pegged as one of the weaker games in the bracket. It does seem to be well liked by the people who have played, but I’m just not sure how many people that actually is. I don’t think it’s a lot, and that’s a bad place to be when you’re against a game with Mario in the title. Given what we saw Odyssey do a few days ago, there’s a reasonable chance that Obra Dinn gets obliterated here. Kleenex’s Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 81.75% ____________________________________________________________________________ Guest’s Analysis – SuperNiceDog Not much to say here, massive Mario game from 2010 versus an indie game from late 2018. Even the Return of Obra Dinn subreddit is small, around 904 members, so yea, little to no hope. This match mainly will be to show what kind of realistic chance SMG2 will have in it's upcoming showdown in the 3rd round against The Witcher 3. I'd say it needs around 81% in this match to have a shot against Witcher. I think it will get very close to it. Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 80% ____________________________________________________________________________ Crew Consensus: Super Mario Round 2 Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Everyone seems to insist on ranking indie games, as if they're somehow in the same genre or have the same fanbases.If you take out the word 'indie', this is the basic impetus for x-stats, so it's a very natural impulse. Also, I'm not altogether convinced VVVVVV evokes nostalgia of anything GameFAQs actually cares about. "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you! |
Obra Dinn is a good game |
The
Witcher 3 is going to be the biggest bomb of the big contenders, and
isn't even going to be a fair bomb, because there's no reason to think
it should be shooting for 80% on an Assassin's Creed game (which I'm
sure sucks, but isn't going to be anti-voted to hell like Call of Duty). If it actually hits 80% then lol me. We are living our lives Abound with so much information |