Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 10 GameFAQs Contests
Also, here's some of my favorite bits: Donkey Kong - 28.53 Ryu - 28.39 Vivi Ornitier - 31.68 Sonic the Hedgehog - 31.65 Garrus Vakarian - 19.3 Commander Shepard - 18.99 Scorpion - 23.42 Waluigi - 23.37 Princess Peach - 27.01 Squall Leonhart - 26.82 Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
the Zelda we're seeing right now seems consistent with the rest of her matches imhotbqh |
KamikazePotato posted... Alucard - 31.27 This one is pretty good too. xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
LeonhartFour posted... the Zelda we're seeing right now seems consistent with the rest of her matches imhotbqh Her performances in her division don't match up with being able to beat guys like Mario and Cloud. She did good but not THAT good, and going even with Snake in Round 1 of the Legends bracket (when the bandwagon wouldn't have materialized yet) is also a red flag when Snake proceeded to get blown out by Samus. I wouldn't be surprised if she was underrated in the stats, but yeah. The Legends bracket was a mess and made adjusting things...not easy. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
SlugSh0t posted... transience posted...anyway, I think this is your conservative ranking this year: the only way you'd get that is if you base him off his loss to Zelda and ignore everything else. but the Zelda he faced was clearly way weaker, as that same Zelda went even with Snake who later lost to Samus 57 - 43. its pretty obvious Zelda got stronger as the legend bracket went on. the better way to look at it is, Sonic lost to Snake 57-43. Snake then lost to Samus 57-43 Snake's performance on Samus suggests pretty strongly that he is somewhere in the ballpark of Crono and Megaman. it can't be Samus being an absolute monster since Samus herself failed to even get 60% on Tifa. Crono is a bit stronger than Tifa so he should be able to match Snake's performance on Samus. Sonic is just really weak. Crono and Megaman could probably beat him as bad (or almost) as Snake did. |
KamikazePotato posted... Her performances in her division don't match up with being able to beat guys like Mario and Cloud. She did good but not THAT good, and going even with Snake in Round 1 of the Legends bracket (when the bandwagon wouldn't have materialized yet) is also a red flag when Snake proceeded to get blown out by Samus. I'm hoping we can at least get some good bonus matches to get additional data for some adjustments. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
Crew Predictions: 127/148 Crew Prediction Challenge: Monika: 125 transience: 123 Kleenex: 121 Leonhart: 119 Guest: 115 Crew Accuracy Challenge: Leonhart gets the point for Link and Kleenex gets the point for Cloud. transience: 37 Guest: 34 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96 (4), RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235 (3), DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf (2), MetalmindStats (2)) Kleenex: 33 Monika: 24 Leonhart: 22 Moltar Status: contest hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Unpopular(?)
opinion time: I still think Tifa fared better against Samus than she
would have against a neutral character of Samus's strength, just like
the previous two contests in which they fought. |
hey good on you Cloud, congrats on still being #2 probably |
Bomberman - 20.38 L-Block - 20.2 Albert Wesker - 20.19 Tails - 20.19 https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5200-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-ezio-vs-tails-vs fear the power of the...uh...super bomberman r boost!? [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO BKSheikah NO PEACE] |
So I’m guessing the Nintendo and FF power rankings go something like this: Nintendo: 1. Link 2. Zelda 3. Mario 4: Samus Final Fantasy: 1. Cloud 2. Tifa 3. Sephiroth 4. Aerith 5. Auron |
I'm
flipping the script on 2005, where I said Mario could arguably have
been stronger than Samus the whole time and it just wasn't seen in the
pathing, and saying Samus is clear #2 despite her narrow loss. No doubt in my mind Samus wrecks Cloud here. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Tails got SFF'd by Luigi. No way he's that weak. Come watch me on Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/gameryogi |
Samus performance on Tifa isn't any better than what Cloud did on Crono. what might suggest her being far above is the Snake match. but that could also easily just be Snake being on par with Crono / Megaman and Sonic being reeeeeeeally weak |
Jman_maximum posted... Sonic being reeeeeeeally weak You can only make Sonic so weak before Auron starts to stick out like a sore thumb. I'm not saying Auron is super strong but he's not fodder and he beat some solid guys soundly to get there. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Samus
is worth about 60% on Luigi through Tifa while Cloud is worth about 59%
on Bowser through Alucard and even more through Crono. Samus wrecking Cloud would mean Luigi is much stronger than Bowser now which seems a bit odd to me. congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru |
Well I would say outside the match with Kirby Luigi has looked better than Bowser, and has for several years now. Also keep in mind that current Samus is Smash Fueled and Tifa Samus was not. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 12/13/2018 11:49:50 AM) |
all stats are trash tbqh |
Samus is definitely #2 right now tbqh does anyone even read this |
EpsteinBarr posted... 2. Zelda Pretty sure I'd flip this. Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
Lopen's final unofficial analysis Hey guys I did it. To the two or three people who appreciated me half assing it to support the crew in spirit, I hope I didn't fall down to a quarter ass, and thanks for reading. Anyway *ANYONE* vs Link is not an interesting match in this climate, no matter how much newfound underdog cred Cloud has now that this site has finally absorbed the truth after Link/Zelda winner finals. I want to think Cloud can save some face and go for his 46% he likes to get, though. How? I dunno. He'll find a way. Maybe Link fans will have some pity because of the 1 match up Link has. Maybe the antivote crowd will be amplified in the final. Who knows! Link with 53.99% No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Lopen I always read your analysis! But man this one is the craziest of them all! So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
EpsteinBarr posted... Final Fantasy: I'd expect Vivi somewhere in there, probably at #4. ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die. |
Pretty sure Vivi beats Auron and Aeris and maybe even Squall and Sephiroth now. So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
I
mean realistically it's a very ambitious percentage. I know that much.
But I do feel like the anti-vote/underdog crowd comes out hardest for
the final and that's why so many finals have been relatively closer than
expected. I also think Cloud has gained strength since the last
meeting because of the perception shift of the contest people actually
realizing that it's actually the LAW and hasn't been FFVII always wins
in like 14 years. Ambitious or not I do expect Cloud to do significantly better than last time. Better enough that I'm just giving him the 46.01% out of HOPE and BELIEVE. C'mon moral victory you can do it Cloud. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 12/13/2018 12:41:59 PM) |
@Lopen I am with you. But you forgot the DRONES! So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
I could see Squall being above Auron now tbh. |
How much does Zelda get on Auron again? |
so who was the Guest writer of the season??? GJ BK_Sheikah |
Final Battle:– Link vs. Cloud Monika’s Analysis Link Legends Round 1 - 79.64% vs. Ganondorf Legends Round 2 - 68.41% vs. Pikachu Legends Round 3 - 60.52% vs. Cloud Strife Legends Round 4 - 63.56% vs. Zelda Cloud Legends Round 1 - 60.40% vs. Alucard Legends Round 2 - 56.73% vs. Crono Legends Round 3 - 39.48% vs. Link Losers Round 4 - 50.24% vs. Mario Losers Finals - ~50.80% vs. Zelda https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7378 Monika’s Voting Tip of the Day: You know, it kinda sucks to be the creative type...It feels like the Crew works so hard but get almost nothing for it. You know, like artists, writers, actors...It's sad because there's so much beautiful talent in the world, but most of it goes unseen...and unpaid. I guess that just means there's a huge surplus of creativity, huh? Kind of makes you feel like you're just not special at all...But that's fine! You're supposed to just write for yourself anyway, right? Yeah... Monika’s Prediction of the Day: Link – 60% ...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~ no space all business |
transience’s Analysis Barring a weird comeback, we've got Link vs. Cloud II, or XIV depending on how you want to categorize it. There's honestly nothing to say at this point. Link is about to put up the most dominant contest run of his storied career. (That's maybe overselling it.) This is probably a little closer than the last matchup since Cloud has become somewhat of a plucky underdog, but this won't be close outside of the first 5, maybe 10 minutes. Most likely just the first 2 or 3. I enjoyed the innovation of the loser's bracket, but if we have another character battle I hope it doesn't return. This last week has really dragged on as we've seen rematch after rematch. transience's prediction: Link with 60.24% Leonhart’s Analysis Unfortunately, I don’t have time to wait and see who will come out on top between Cloud and Zelda since I’ll be working all day, but the result should be just about the same either way. We’ve already seen Link 60/40 both of these characters, and there’s no reason to believe that result changes. They might do a little bit better than last time just as a last-ditch effort to try to get Link to lose, but it’d be a minimal improvement at best. So I guess I should take the time to say thanks to everyone who read all these writeups this year, even though this is probably the worst I’ve ever done on the Crew! Thanks as always to Moltar for running this every contest and for letting me be a part of it for the last several ones. It’s one of my favorite parts of contest season, even this year when we were having to churn out 4 writeups per day half the time! Until next time! Leonhart’s Vote: Cloud Strife/Zelda (a.k.a. Not-Link) Leonhart’s Prediction: Link with 59.99% no space all business |
Kleenex’s Analysis The more things change, the more they stay the same. Despite all the craziness that went on in the Legends bracket, at the end of the day, we’re still here with Link vs. Cloud in the finals. It’s nice that Cloud seems like he’s still probably the #2 guy on the site, but it’s also disappointing that Link is so far ahead of the field at this point that it doesn’t matter. We already saw these guys go at it a week or two ago, and Cloud had his worst performance against Link but a lot. Like, a shocking amount. I’m hopeful he can do a bit better here, maybe some Link anti-votes, maybe some CLOUDMENTUM from winning 2 matches in a row, taking out the villainous Mario and finally toppling Zelda. He still doesn’t have a chance unless something truly strange happens. And seeing as it’s the finals, a quick reflection on the contest as a whole. It was “pretty good”. I think the Legend bracket was a great idea, and while I do wish we were able to avoid the repeat matches, they actually ended up providing us with some good entertainment - between the Mega Man/Pikachu flip, and the almost-but-not-quite victory by Samus over Mario. There were a ton of super close matches, more than we’ve ever had in a single contest. The regular bracket was pretty fun too, though it would have been nice to see it out to its actual conclusion (though at this point it doesn’t seem like there’s any doubt that Zelda would have won in the absence of the Legends bracket). I definitely wouldn’t mind seeing this format again going forward, though maybe without the week long break that really killed the momentum of things in the middle. So that’s about it. Thanks to everyone for reading all this nonsense again. Good job Link on your 7th (7th!) contest win, and good job Crono for not breaking the NN for the first time in 10 years! Kleenex’s Prediction: 7-time GameFAQs Character Battle Champion, and the Greatest Video Game Character in History - THE UNDISPUTED KING, Link with 58% Guest's Analysis - Hbthebattle Let’s be real here, no matter who wins today’s match Link wins. He wins every time. Such is the LAW. Instead, i’m going to talk about Link this contest. He SFFed and destroyed Pikachu and Ganondorf, and while Cloud and Zelda can resist him better its not by much. Meanwhile, every other character in the contest has the capability to hold an interesting match with an unexpected result. Who predicted that Zelda would be this strong this year? Who predicted Sephiroth losing to Tifa, a historically unthinkable result. These matches are perfect examples of the enthralling ability of variability and interesting results. Meanwhile, the only interesting thing Link has done is not squash Zelda as quickly as he did Ganondorf. I’m not saying Link should be completely barred from contests outright, but I do think him not being here would make the Legends bracket have a far less predictable ending. Can anyone definitely say they would know who the winner would be if Link wasn’t here? No, no they could not. Link is in a weight class of his own- nothing beyond a powerful rally can beat him. What I suggest is maybe just have him be the “reigning champion” or some shit, and each contest’s winner gets the chance to take him out. I’m just saying, maybe this match wouldn’t be a snooze if we tried it. 62.34% on Zelda 60.22% on Cloud Crew Consensus: Link Always Wins no space all business |
You wanna know what to do with Link? Have a normal 64 entrant bracket, no Link. Every day you run two matches. The first day you run Link vs CATS and the match for the day. Each day afterwards, you have Link fight the guy who got eliminated the previous day alongside the normal match. If anyone can beat Link, they take his place and continue to run the gauntlet. Grand final is the winner of the Link gauntlet vs the winner of the bracket. I think it'd be awesome. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 12/13/2018 2:39:29 PM) |
I
would've been happy just to have bracket winner vs. Link at the end,
yeah. The only issue there is that it wouldn't work quite as well in a
rally contest, but eh. Nothing does. All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
I
don't like the idea of retiring Link outright. One match of Link is
just not enough. I think the gauntlet is cool because it tests the
theory of whether Link fatigue can ever occur, and it gives GameFAQs
what it wants (more LINK) No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
what if next contest instead of 64 or 128 new characters, every match is just Link dressed up as someone else Link dressed as Mario vs. Link dressed as Samus who you got |
Lopen posted... I don't like the idea of retiring Link outright. One match of Link is just not enough. I think the gauntlet is cool because it tests the theory of whether Link fatigue can ever occur, and it gives GameFAQs what it wants (more LINK) It's gamefaqs. If there was a troll contest with a Link match every single day against 128 entrants and if he lost once he would be eliminated, he probably would still win, even if people would have to vote for Link every day for 4 months. |
Averia posted... If there was a troll contest with a Link match every single day against 128 entrants and if he lost once he would be eliminated, he probably would still win, even if people would have to vote for Link every day for 4 months. I agree The idea isn't to actually defeat Link since it probably wouldn't happen even with 64 straight wins needed. It's to let Link have matches while still having a contest going on underneath him. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 12/13/2018 2:59:50 PM) |
Thanks
to all the crew for all the analysis! I read all of them for all
matches of course. So many years and you still do it! Nice! Of course
there was an unofficial member too this time but he deservers big
credits too! So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Safer_777 posted... Thanks to all the crew for all the analysis! I read all of them for all matches of course. So many years and you still do it! Nice! Of course there was an unofficial member too this time but he deservers big credits too! props to guests too?? Like me and garetha and all the others? GJ BK_Sheikah |
Yeah
I didn't mentioned that because there were so many guests it would be
impossible to post all of them. Also the Guests came 2nd place on
predictions too! So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Lopen posted... You wanna know what to do with Link? I am ready to vote for Link 64 times. |
transience you should have picked cloud in the finals so you had an outside shot to tie moltar! |
I could also try to walk on water xyzzy |
Thanks for another great year crew. Very impressed with moltsr’s writing, as always. I'm Rose Coldsteel, from Legend of Coldsteel |
well that was a fun 4.5 minutes |
cloud can't even lead at the freeze like Zelda did FRAUD STRIFE You felt your sins weighing down on your neck. |
well, there it goes. until next time add the c and back away iphonesience |
Nice finals |
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