Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 7 GameFAQs Contests

*turns off B8 again*

LeonhartFour posted...

*turns off B8 again*

how dare u rally on hentai subreddits

u r a sexual deviant

this is a weird question but uh who wins Luigi or Ryu

transcience posted...

this is a weird question but uh who wins Luigi or Ryu

I would take Frog over KOS-MOS every time.

I think.

Losing 3 points on a dumb Monika pick was totally worth it for getting to play DDLC in the first place.

transcience posted...

this is a weird question but uh who wins Luigi or Ryu

I say Luigi in previous years, but Ryu has done very well so far

Seph seems safe here

No idea what happens in the other one

I wouldn't think twice about Luigi > Ryu

I'd take Ryu > Luigi most years, this year included based on their performances. Ryu beat Bowser in 4 ways twice in 2007 (lost to roid Bowser in 2005 though) and has generally seemed stronger than Luigi more years than not. Probably real close though.

if Tifa wins here, Samus beats Tifa and Mario beats Sephiroth.. we get Tifa/Sephiroth, which maybe isn't completely obvious going off of these results?

though I posted that before Sephiroth righted the ship vs. Ryu

not liking Luigi’s chances here

The Mana Sword posted...

not liking Luigi’s chances here

The rallies for Tifa started earlier this time.

@Hbthebattle posted...

The Mana Sword posted...

not liking Luigi’s chances here

The rallies for Tifa started earlier this time.

Hi u/Hbthebattle

Gg weegee

Sephiroth is going to end this match looking pretty good, I think. Not beat Mario good, but still. Between this, Tifa and Aeris, maybe FF7 isn’t in such dire straits after all.

Lopen posted...

I'd take Ryu > Luigi most years, this year included based on their performances. Ryu beat Bowser in 4 ways twice in 2007 (lost to roid Bowser in 2005 though) and has generally seemed stronger than Luigi more years than not. Probably real close though.

Luigi beat Bowser in 2008.

But yeah, I'd take Luigi over Ryu.

Rematches this year that had the potential to flip and didn't:

Donkey Kong vs. Vivi
Bowser vs. Kirby
Luigi vs. Tifa
Zelda vs. Aeris (okay not really)

GameFAQs...GameFAQs never changes.

I can't get over the idea of offsite rallies to keep final fantasy relevant on gamefaqs

KamikazePotato posted...

Rematches this year that had the potential to flip and didn't:

Donkey Kong vs. Vivi
Bowser vs. Kirby
Luigi vs. Tifa
Zelda vs. Aeris (okay not really)

GameFAQs...GameFAQs never changes.

We'll get plenty of opportunities to see if any results will flip in the next bracket!

Ganon > Link look out

I'm way more excited to see the Salty Runback matches than I should be. I don't think any of them flip unless they were super close to begin with, but what if the result changes by a whole .5%?????

.

I know this will shock everyone but Seph's division probably looks crazy stat wise

I think Lara beats Shepard like 63-37

This contest has just been a conga line of humiliation for Shepard.

-Almost loses to K. Rool
-Get blown out by Ryu
-Gets outdone by KOS-MOS on Ryu
-Ryu gets embarrassed by Sephiroth

speaking of, I should copy these over. looks like we only have the first half but Leon can add them in when we finish up tomorrow

Division 1

Ganondorf – 50.00%
Vivi – 48.04%
Dante – 43.60%
Donkey Kong – 43.26%
Chun-Li – 41.09%
Leon Kennedy – 38.35%
Tidus – 37.26%
Spyro the Dragon – 36.02%
Lightning – 29.98%
Cuphead – 24.77%
Yu Narukami – 24.13%
Dragonborn – 24.02%
Aya Brea – 23.59%
Neku Sakuraba – 21.40%
Victor Sullivan – 19.08%
Chloe Price – 15.48%

Division 2

Pikachu – 50.00%
Yoshi – 45.20%
Zero – 43.44%
Knuckles the Echidna – 38.10%
Kratos – 36.59%
Wario – 34.53%
Scorpion – 33.59%
Zidane Tribal – 32.92%
Master Hand – 26.96%
Velvet Crowe – 26.55%
Monika – 24.47%
Shantae – 23.26%
Noctis Lucis Caelum – 22.89%
Primrose – 22.43%
James Sunderland – 20.69%
John Marston – 19.63%

Division 3

Alucard – 50.00%
Pokemon Trainer Red – 46.19%
Sora – 45.36%
Big Boss – 44.18%
Princess Peach – 43.19%
Crash Bandicoot – 41.64%
Kefka – 40.56%
Yuna – 40.38%
Ridley – 38.29%
Cecil Harvey – 38.16%
Bomberman – 32.59%
L-Block – 32.29%
Ryo Hazuki – 28.05%
Kazuma Kiryu – 25.50%
Neptune – 22.80%
Godot – 22.16%

Division 4

Bowser – 50.00%
Kirby – 46.14%
Charizard – 43.45%
2B – 41.81%
Terra Branford – 41.02%
Ness – 38.70%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 36.17%
Phoenix Wright – 29.24%
Ike – 28.86%
Isaac – 27.42%
Chris Redfield – 25.19%
Guile – 23.49%
Gordon Freeman – 22.61%
Joel – 21.74%
Estelle Bright – 19.40%
Cayde-6 – 18.56%

This might have been posted already, but just in case here are the Ultimate Losers for each division:

1: Ganondorf > Vivi > Donkey Kong > Leon > Dragonborn
2: Pikachu > Zero > Wario > Master Hand > Noctis
3: Alucard > Red > Big Boss > Crash > Cecil
4: Bowser > Kirby > Phoenix > Ike > Joel
5: Zelda > Aeris > Fox > D.Va > Aloy
6: Auron > Geralt > Bayonetta > Pac-Man > Sans
7: Luigi > Tifa > MMX > Ocelot > Dedede or Tifa > Luigi > Tails > Chief > Goro
8: Sephiroth > Ryu > KOS-MOS > Aqua > Quiet

Got a good chuckle out of some of those.

Cecil Harvey not only never wins, he transfers it along like a communicable virus. Alucard is losing next round too!

Maybe Luigi's not quite done yet!

Division 5

Zelda – 50.00%
Aerith Gainsborough – 37.81%
Squall Leonhart – 36.68%
Fox McCloud – 35.77%
Jill Valentine – 32.83%
Waluigi – 32.19%
Captain Toad – 30.26%
The Boss – 29.30%
Shovel Knight – 28.70%
Garrus Vakarian – 26.39%
Ramza Beoulve – 26.06%
Metal Sonic – 25.48%
Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 24.67%
D. Va – 20.37%
Aloy – 19.18%
Hat Kid – 17.69%

Division 6

Auron – 50.00%
Geralt – 46.86%
Bayonetta – 46.04%
Simon Belmont – 44.81%
Vincent Valentine – 44.20%
Pac-Man – 44.13%
Ryu Hayabusa – 44.10%
Sub-Zero – 43.29%
Magus – 42.53%
Rosalina – 41.21%
Lucina – 34.56%
Riku – 32.77%
Shulk – 32.41%
Claire Redfield – 29.21%
Joker/Ren Amamiya – 27.12%
Sans – 25.27%

Simon over Vincent what a world

I don't think Luigi can win this. he might get close but I think the rally would come in response. we've opened pandora's box.

Luigi's got too much ground to make up. Even if he takes the lead before the night vote starts, he's going to lose it - not as bad as MMX, but he still will, and his day vote isn't going to be very strong.

Yeah, neither of those stats really look totally clean to me. Geralt probably overperformed a bit, and either Squall underperformed or Aerith overperformed there, I think, although probably not by a significant margin.

I think you can just adjust those stats until Ryu Hayabusa is a bit under Sub-Zero and call it a day. Things look a lot less weird then.

That division was already chaotic enough, but it just goes to show how much more chaotic it could've been had you rearranged things a bit, like putting Riku up against Shulk or Lucina. It really is kind of crazy to see a division where 9 of the 15 characters break 40% on the winner.

I think we should give huge props to the bracket maker. I question the big bracket's placement, but I did the baby bracket too and we got a lot of really good stuff.

Division 3 and 6 in particular were really good this year, but every division had at least some intrigue somewhere except maybe 8. That is one of the benefits of having the Noble Nine set aside into another bracket (which makes it no surprise that Division 8 was probably the most predictable one).

The only issue I have with the normal bracket - and this is not at all the fault of Allen - is that we missed out on some really nutty results that no one could have seen coming. Like, can you imagine the reaction to Shepard vs. KOS-MOS Round 1? Overall things were great though.

X-Stat projections based on current percentages:

Division 7

Tifa Lockhart – 50.00%
Mega Man X – 49.82%
Luigi – 49.26%
Mewtwo – 41.90%
Frog – 37.80%
Revolver Ocelot – 31.48%
GlaDOS – 31.44%
King Dedede – 31.17%
Miles “Tails” Prower – 29.90%
Geno – 26.81%
Master Chief – 26.62%
Nathan Drake – 25.87%
Miles Edgeworth – 22.20%
Isabelle – 19.28%
Monokuma – 17.86%
Goro Majima – 16.50%

Division 8

Sephiroth – 50.00%
Ryu – 41.61%
Amaterasu – 38.63%
Captain Falcon – 35.07%
Lara Croft – 34.84%
Albert Wesker – 29.72%
KOS-MOS – 29.07%
Commander Shepard – 27.84%
Richter Belmont – 27.78%
King K. Rool – 27.15%
Ellie – 26.48%
Lloyd Irving – 26.26%
Aqua – 24.77%
Metal Man – 22.37%
Quiet – 17.78%
Draven – 9.16%

Quiet triples Draven for the record LOL

Hmm. Not sure I’d take Wesker over KOS-MOS. Not sure I buy Ammy that close to Ryu either, as great as it would be.

Div 7 looks okay. Dedede may be a little inflated, but nothing else looks weird to me.

Well, for what it's worth, Ammy might be a little inflated because she actually did noticeably better once the hentai rallies started.

Wesker's been pretty decent since RE5 came out, too. If KOS-MOS beats him, I doubt it's by much.

LeonhartFour posted...

Well, for what it's worth, Ammy might be a little inflated because she actually did noticeably better once the hentai rallies started.

Good grief. I legitimately have to remember to account for this when making the stats.

It's not that far off, though:

Sephiroth (2013c) has a strength of 38.89 against Base Link.
Amaterasu (2013c) has a strength of 29.35 against Base Link.
Sephiroth62.27%33,598
Amaterasu37.73%20,362
Sephiroth wins with 62.27% of the vote!

I think the numbers are mostly fine. I believe in Lara so seeing her be pretty legit is fine by me.

I'm worried about Samus/Tifa though. we've already seen that be scary once, and now we have a potential rally on top of that.

Tifa/Samus followed by Tifa/Seph could be interesting.

people are blowing this Tifa rally thing out of proportion!

I’d be shocked if she actually challenged Samus this year. that 2006 match was an anomaly.

She did really well against her in 2013, too! Nowhere near as good, of course, but yeah. I don't think Tifa could actually win, of course, but I think she can do well again, especially if she picks up a bandwagon from winning back to back close matches against strong characters.

Is it even possible for a Final Fantasy VII character to get a bandwagon? Nintendo fans might just be extra mad that Tifa beat some characters they like.

maybe. I'm always skeptical of Samus after the Mario match. the Tifa one is just proof that she can be vulnerable vs. anyone. just feels like she could break against any good opponent.

KamikazePotato posted...

Is it even possible for a Final Fantasy VII character to get a bandwagon? Nintendo fans might just be extra mad that Tifa beat some characters they like.

Tifa has always been the one who doesn't suffer from the early vote doldrums the rest of the FFVII characters do. If anyone could manage it, it's her.

Tifa/Samus was largely ZSS being the only pic on the front page. You don't out-TJF Tifa.

Tifa also overperforms on like every female character she's ever faced. Her 2013 x-stat value is amazingly inflated because all she did was face chicks.