GameFAQs Contests

aw yeah Joker lead change

Kleenex got this Joker accuracy point

Auron's really starting to take off now.

I'm curious to see what percentage he puts up on whoever wins Vincent/Magus.

Looks like it’s time to set up that Lucina rally :^)

yeah we heard you the first time

oh hey the rally seems to have done wonders for Vincent

well Auron's bleeding percentage like crazy now too

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7278

Geralt doesn't do too hot against Rosalina.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7279

Simon manages to beat Ryu H in a very close match.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7280

Pac-Man crushes Sans. Too niche? Anti-votes?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7281

Bayonetta stomps Riku because lol riku.

Crew Predictions: 39/44

Next Round Thoughts: I think we've got more questions than answers from this. That Geralt number seems bad on Rosalina, but everything from Smash has looked good so that still might be enough to beat Simon. Bayonetta seems like she should be the favorite after crushing Riku, but Pac looked really good too so who knows.

Crew Prediction Challenge:

transience: 40
Moltar: 38
Leonhart: 37
Kleenex: 35
Guest: 34

Crew Accuracy Challenge: transience gets the point for Geralt, spooky96 gets the point for Pac-Man, and transience gets the point for Bayonetta.

Guest: 12 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (2), pjbasis, garetha200 (2), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot, Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96)
transience: 12
Kleenex: 8
Moltar: 8
Leonhart: 6

whoa how am I in third all of a sudden

haha vincent sucks shit (or Crono is winning the contest)

49.83 / 50.17

gamefaqs is amazing

Round 1 – Luigi vs. Miles Edgeworth

Moltar’s Analysis

This was obvious pre-contest, but Yuna/Godot provides a bit more insight as to how the match should go.

Luigi > Yuna and Edgey > Godot, and Yuna beat Godot with 72%+ so...

Moltar’s Bracket: Luigi

Moltar’s Prediction: Luigi – 73%

transience’s Analysis

Yuna/Godot was 73/27. Luigi's a bit better than Yuna and Edgeworth's probably about the same amount better than Godot. This feels really predictable unless the AA guys have a certain built-in fanbase that they'll always get. I wouldn't be THAT surprised, but yeah, low 70s seems super obvious here.

transience's prediction: Luigi with 73.33%

Leonhart’s Analysis

I’m looking at Luigi’s profile pic and laughing because it’s kinda bad. I mean, being perpetually scared/nervous is almost one of his defining traits at this point, thanks to Luigi’s Mansion, but I’m not sure it’s what you want for a match pic. He doesn’t have to worry about it for a while though because he has a super easy path to the divisional finals and only has to beat one of Tifa/Mewtwo/Mega Man X, so he lucked out in that sense.

Not much to say about this match. We haven’t seen anyone hit 80% in a match yet, but I think Luigi might have a shot at it. Godot held Yuna under a tripling, but Luigi’s a couple tiers above her at this point. Edgeworth looks a heck of a lot cooler than him, so I wonder if it could help prevent him from getting quadrupled, however narrowly.

Leonhart’s Vote: Luigi

Leonhart’s Prediction: Luigi with 79.99%

Kleenex’s Analysis

Luigi is going to annihilate this 8-pack. Despite Phoenix finally getting a 1v1 match win earlier, we already know where Edgeworth stands in a contest setting, and it’s below the fodder line. There are maybe a handful of characters in this bracket he could have beaten, but Luigi is certainly not one of them.

Kleenex’s Prediction: Luigi with 74%

Lopen's Analysis

Edgeworth is an analytical mind, so just for today, in honor of Edgeworth, I'm going to use hard statistical analysis to break down this match.

As you well know, we last saw Miles Edgeworth back in the Rivalry Rumble, where he got 56% on Gordon Freeman.
Gordon Freeman was last seen more than a few years back, where he scored a whopping 53% on Princess Peach
Princess Peach? Her most recent appearance would be against Jill Valentine, where she beat her in a squeaker, winning with 50.01%
Jill Valentine of course was last seen in one of the earliest contests, scoring 53% on Kirby
Kirby was most recently seen in a four way contest, where he axed Sonic with a cool 23.1-21.5, or basically scoring around 51% in English
Sonic's most infamous, most accurate match, was against Diablo, where he completely crushed him with around 68% of the vote
Diablo of course would then beat Kefka in the villains contest, 54-46
Kefka as we saw beat L-Block earlier this year, with a crushing 60-40 victory
L-Block's most recent appearance before that, he thrashed Link in the four way finals, 33.51 - 29.74, or around 53% of the vote
Link? Who could forget his most recent, freshest appearance, defeating Yoshi with a whopping 82% of the vote
And Yoshi, in that very same contest, also his most recent appearance, defeated Luigi with about 54% of the vote.

So, I guess what I'm saying is... the numbers spell disaster for Luigi at CBX, right? Right? Edgeworth, you the reader, and I, we can all see how terrified that dude is.

... well you know me I love upsets. Luigi with a 10000 vote swing is coming as Luigi absorbs the power of the long missing X-Box day vote that failed Halo in 2006. I'm going to go with the underdog here. Ah love it Maggle!!

Lopen's Prediction:
Luigi with 77.48%

Crew Consensus: Luigi glares Edgey into oblivion.

Lopen, that is the best analysis I have ever seen.

Round 1 – Frog vs. Monokuma

Moltar’s Analysis

bears > frog

This Frog has a sword though and GameFAQs loves swords so he’s going to win this match. Magus doing well (???) today also means that Frog should be able to go big (???) here.

Moltar’s Bracket: Frog

Moltar’s Prediction: Frog – 71%

transience’s Analysis

Okay, Magus is currently in the fight of his life against a once-upon-a-time top 10 character on the site. What can we pin on Vincent declining and what can we put on Chrono Trigger being legit? The answer is... it doesn't matter, because Frog is up against a visual novel thing. But if he can go 80% here, that would be huge.

transience's prediction: Frog with 76.55%

Leonhart’s Analysis

We’ll have seen Chrono Trigger in action by this point, but I can’t really speak to how Magus did here since I’m writing this ahead of that match. Not like it’ll really matter here because Frog shouldn’t have any problems beating Monokuma here. He should probably be one of the weaker characters in the contest because GameFAQs doesn’t care about visual novels that aren’t Ace Attorney (and it doesn’t even care about those that much). Monokuma does have a visually striking design though, so I think that’ll keep him from being TOO bad, but this should be a pretty lopsided win for Frog.

Leonhart’s Vote: Frog

Leonhart’s Prediction: Frog with 69.99%

Kleenex’s Analysis

At this point, I think I’m ready to call RallyFAQs dead and buried. Every character who we were worried about so far has fallen flat on their face. I don’t think Monokuma’s rally potential was even that high to begin with, but given the matches that have proceeded, there’s little chance Frog drops this one. Danganronpa is already super niche, and the Chrono Trigger Boost is in full effect (note: I haven’t seen the results of Magus/Vincent at the time of writing, so please disregard if Magus looks like shit), so Frog should end up looking pretty good, setting up a nice Green SFF match in round 2.

Kleenex’s Prediction: Frog with 68%

Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

Having no idea who Monokuma is, I look up and find out it (?) is a giant panda bear thingy from Danganronpa. Yes, I’ve heard of Danganronpa, but I guess the idea was this guy was supposed to catch a rally or something? Yeah, that proposition is looking real good. Plus he’s going against a sword-wielding frog anyway, which might mitigate any possible joke factor.

Frog has never scored a 1v1 win above 53% IIRC, but he did get a nice blowout win against laughable competition (apologies Viewtiful Joe and Borderlands fans, this site does not care about your games) last character battle, so we know he does have blowout potential. Frog is also a solid competitor, so I figured I might as well go big or go home for my time as guest analyst. For those wondering, I figured I’d only take a guest analyst spot if I was dealing with at least one character I’ve actually come across in a game this time around.

Frog with 79.58%

Crew Consensus: Punishment time for Monikuma upupu

I think the gap between Luigi and Yuna is a lot bigger than the gap between Edgeworth and Godot, but I guess I'm in the minority!

My rigorous calculations showed that as well.

Lopen's Unofficial Analysisx4

Luigi v Edgeworth

Unlike Official Analyst Lopen I am not man enough to take the upset.

Miles Edgeworth with 88.35%

Frog vs Monokuma

I don't think we're experiencing a CT resurgence as much as a Fraudsurgence on the half of Vincent. The bear should maybe get some votes for being a bear. Expect Frog to underwhelm.

Frog with 62.18%

Master Chief vs Goro Majima

Not the Mortal Kombat guy, so he'll get thrashed soundly, especially seeing the numbers Kazuma did against Bomberman. I expect Chief is old enough that he shouldn't utterly tank due to irrelevance like Assassin's Creed guy, but you never know. In any case I feel the anti-vote is as strong as ever with our smaller vote pool so he probably will appear to tank. I'm not gonna panic too much over a stupidly underwhelming number, even if it's lower than this one.

Chief with 64.64%

Nathan Drake vs Miles 'Tails' Prower

Sonic stuff has looked pretty good, and anything vaguely new has looked like crap. I have Drake in my bracket, but having seen results come in I now expect a bit of a regression to his "I can't be trusted to even beat CATS" levels from Nathan Drake here, even if he's less irrelevant than the likes of Ezio or Gordon Freeman right now. I'm not expecting a full drop from him, but this match was a tough one to call to begin with, so any bit of regression from Drake is going to cost him the match.

Tails with 56.09%

Does Uncharted have like a devoted following that gives the games and characters such high seeds?

kind of?

Uncharted 4 was this weird wank-fest that celebrated the "storied history" of Nathan Drake and friends as if it's a series that had been around long enough or something

and people ate that shit up. people love nathan drake and the egregious fanservice was a bullseye.

i just don't know if the people who enjoyed Uncharted 4 to that extent are also on GameFAQs. it definitely has fans here, but ones that would vote for Drake no matter what? i dunno

In my bracket I banked on Uncharted 4 keeping Drake relevant enough for him to pull through. Now though I'm not so sure.

But we thought he would lose to Pac-Man last year and he didn't so I dunno.

ZenOfThunder posted...

Uncharted 4 was this weird wank-fest that celebrated the "storied history" of Nathan Drake and friends as if it's a series that had been around long enough or something

this is such a weird criticism that I've seen you make several times

Uncharted has been popular enough to have an extended farewell to its main character. Mass Effect did it for Shepard, and he was worthy of it, too.

but LMS asking "does Uncharted getting high seeds mean it has fans" is the most LMS thing ever

Well, we thought he would lose to Pac-Man five years ago.

I don't think he loses to Tails five years ago either but as I said some level of regression to his previous garbage levels seems likely. We'll see what the pros have to say soon enough though. I'm expecting 3-2 favor for Drake.

i really don't think "good game, great game, good game, good game" is enough of a legacy to celebrate

i felt like i was just getting smacked over the head with the fanservice

also i am super sick of cinematic AAA experiences and I think I started to notice around the time I played Uncharted 4

I'm still not sure if Tails would have beaten Pac-Man five years ago

or now but that's more about Pac-Man himself

It's more like it must have such a devoted following for it to consistently get such high seeds despite being so weak.

ZenOfThunder posted...

i really don't think "good game, great game, good game, good game" is enough of a legacy to celebrate

sure but "great game great game great game" is

i think it's a stretch to call uncharted 1 a "great game"

also for the record I don't think ME or Shepard deserved a "big sendoff" but the citadel DLC was just DLC so it didn't offend me at all

ME2 is in my top 5 btw

ZenOfThunder posted...

i think it's a stretch to call uncharted 1 a "great game"

there's a reason why I only said "great game" three times and didn't mention a fourth thing

ME3 is a top 10 game ever and Citadel is the greatest DLC ever

citadel was like my favourite time i ever had playing games

plus Snake got a huge sendoff in MGS4 even when MGS1 was only ten years old at that point

(and don't talk to me about the "legacy" of the original MG games)

Citadel is actually the best DLC ever released, yeah, the fanservice there is well-deserved and well-done

ME3 as a "top 10 game ever" is also a biiiig stretch, maybe with all the DLC and patches you can argue top 50

I'll argue top ten and stand by it

and have for 6+ years now

because of citadel i'd call mass effect 3 my favourite of the mass effect series and thus probably my favourite game behind ff7

MGS4 can have the big fanservce sendoff because it had a fanbase super into it, like way more than any uncharted game, because of all the lore and stuff. people were way more devoted to MGS.

although having that big sendoff looks dumb as hell now that they've continued whoring out the series, even if the games following it were pretty good

if there was another Uncharted game after 4 that starred Drake and not his daughter or something it would be so dumb

Nah, I think there's no chance Nate is the star of another Uncharted game, although he might have a cameo or something.

But Kojima at least stuck to MGS4 being Solid Snake's sendoff and has never included him in anything else.

Round 1 – Master Chief vs. Goro Majima

Moltar’s Analysis

Yakuza gets another chance after losing one character to Bomberman. That was the main character losing to Bomberman though, and Chief is stronger than Bomberman so uh...guess the series is going 0-2.

Moltar’s Bracket: Master Chief

Moltar’s Prediction: Master Chief – 67%

transience’s Analysis

Umm........ umm... let's just say that my floor for Master Chief is extremely low. It was low to start in this new environment and fell even lower after Hayabusa lost to a trailer. You'd think that Master Chief would be in this oddly nostalgic phase of his contest life now that Halo is no longer the big thing and people have fond memories of those 17 year old shooters.. but nah, not here. If this were any kind of notable character I'd pick them, and even for ones that aren't very notable I could see him dropping this.

Kiryu did okay to start but kinda fell apart later. Majima will be worse than Kiryu. but I could definitely see this going like that one Chief/Isaac match years ago where he got 47% or something. Nowadays, Isaac would beat Chief pretty handily. Majima could too if enough apathy turns out but I'll give Chief the ever-so-slight benefit of the doubt here.

transience's prediction: Master Chief with 54.47%

Leonhart’s Analysis

For the first time in forever, there are no real expectations for Master Chief to do anything this year. Could this be the year he surprises us by scoring a big upset? Well, he’s got a winnable fourpack since nobody here is all that strong, which just makes it even more embarrassing that he’s a sizable underdog to advance past it. I think this will probably be the weakest Chief we’ve seen since 2003. This site doesn’t care about the Xbone, and Halo is an afterthought these days. I’ve seen some people posit that Chief might get some sort of nostalgia boost, but eh, I don’t buy it.

The real question is if Master Chief can score more on this other Yakuza dude than Bomberman did. I think it’s possible because this Goro dude looks pretty awesome with that eyepatch, and maybe someone will confuse him for the Mortal Kombat guy like they confused the other one for the Tekken guy!

Leonhart’s Vote: Master Chief

Leonhart’s Prediction: Master Chief with 59.99%

Kleenex’s Analysis

I hope transience thought Goro was from Mortal Kombat before looking at the picture.

Chief is a far cry away from his FUELED UP version back in 2007, but Majima isn’t the guy to pull off the upset. Admittedly, Kiryu did better than I expected, but Majima should be weaker than Kiryu, and Chief should be stronger than Bomberman (???). Next round should be interesting, but this one not so much.

Kleenex’s Prediction: Chief with 65%

Guest’s Analysis - SuperNiceDog

Master Chief vs who? This is going to be one of Chief's finest hours, blowing out one of the weakest characters in the contest(and in contest history).

Master Chief wins with 78% of the vote.

Odds of Master Chief winning: 99.999999%

Crew Consensus: Chief frags his opponent.

MasterMoltar posted...

This is going to be one of Chief's finest hours

what an indictment this statement is

Round 1 – Nathan Drake vs. Miles ‘Tails’ Prower

Moltar’s Analysis

dang a match that i’ll have to put effort into today

Contest history! Drake used to really suck, but as Uncharted started to become a flagship Sony franchise, Drake got better and better. The last time we saw him, he edged out Pac-Man, which isn’t impressive, but shows he’s above fodder. Since then, Uncharted has had more entries in the series, and Drake is still very relevant today.

Tails has always been far behind Sonic and Knuckles in strength, and in recent contests, he has not done anything of note. Pre-contest it didn’t look like he stood much of a chance here. Since then, we’ve seen Knuckles look very good (in victory) and Metal Sonic and Shadow look very good (in defeat). Sonic Team seems to be a step-up this year, and Tails is also someone that is more iconic and recognizable than Drake, which is a big positive with this contest format.

Going by 2013, this is Drake’s match to lose. Drake is projected to get 56% here, but funny enough, Zidane was projected to get that against Knuckles, and Knux managed to flip that. Drake has been in the spotlight more than Zidane, so he probably hasn’t fallen off as much. The question is if the Sonic Team boost brought Tails up enough to win here. I’ll bet it has.

Moltar’s Bracket: Drake

Moltar’s Prediction: Tails – 51%

transience’s Analysis

This match feels like a trap. Nathan Drake is legit now -- maybe? That's the theory. He's probably about where Geralt or Isaac are? There's a world where Drake is actually more like Shepard now, where people played his games and where he's as strong as his games. I'm skeptical of that version, but I think he can at least be in that Boss range that he failed to reach a bunch of years ago.That's not too much of a jump. Uncharted has really plateaued since then but I think people have gotten to know Drake better due to just pure exposure, the trilogies, PS4 adoption, etc.

Tails is a lot more classic, a lot more gamefaqs, and could potentially have a Sonic Mania boost. Knuckles looked pretty good. Shadow did alright. You could also say that Sonic characters haven't really moved all that much.. but just being a classic mascot character could be enough here. When you get enough matches like Joker/Claire, Aya/Sully, or even Sans/Pac, you really start to question if anything modern can be good here. There's also matches like Bayonetta over Riku, but those always involve Nintendo in some unfortunate way. It's not like they became popular on their own - they kinda leveraged a built in fanbase and assimilated into the greater Nintendo brand.

I dunno. I'll roll the dice here.

transience's prediction: Tails with 52.67%

Leonhart’s Analysis

When I filled out my bracket, I took Drake without thinking much about it. He passed the Pac-Man test in 2013, and I figured Uncharted 4 would help him maintain his strength, if not boost him a little. Now after Knuckles and Metal Sonic surpassed my personal expectations, I’m starting to kinda like Tails. The Sonic Mania boost seems to be real.

I’m still hesitant to trust Tails though. His only win to date is still that upset over Viewtiful Joe in 2004, and I’m not entirely sure I’d take him to beat Pac-Man. He’s really not that different from Pac-Man because everyone knows him, but I feel like the average person doesn’t care about him that much. Plus, he’s probably got a decent number of people who dislike him because of how stupid his AI is in Sonic 2 and 3. So I’ll stick with Drake here, but I think this one is a legit tossup at this point.

Leonhart’s Vote: Nathan Drake

Leonhart’s Prediction: Nathan Drake with 52.22%

Kleenex’s Analysis

Drake sucks, and we already saw Sully lose to literal Aya Brea, so it’s hard to have too much faith in anything Uncharted. Problem is, Tails also sucks. Sonic characters, however, have been relatively impressing (Metal Sonic aside), so I think you can make a good case for either of these losers to win the match. My inclination is to side with Tails, just because Nintendo and Nintendo-adjacent characters have looked good so far, while everything Western continues to underperform to an impressive degree.

Kleenex’s Prediction: Tails with 53%

Guest’s Analysis - Ranticoot

This is a decent match on paper, and how the contest has played out, I think you can make the argument either way.

Classic, revitalized PlayStation characters (Crash, Spyro, Kratos) are among the best performing groups aside from Nintendo this contest, but Joel (who I'd argue is more what Drake is, rather than those first three) didn't do that great, and western characters aside from him have often flopped even worse. Joel exceeded my expectations though. The thing about Nathan Drake is that I don't think he's going to have that revitalized appeal the first three guys, and he's got the whole Generic McDude thing hurting him. Uncharted 4, his final game on a console this site took a liking too, though well received was over two years ago. The big question to ask about Drake is this: Do people on GameFAQs still really care about this guy? If you think they do, he should win, but if they don't he's in big trouble.

I've had Tails to Round 3 since Day 1. He's got a gigantic match picture advantage (Classic Tails in a match picture! Oh yeah) and Knuckles' performance against Zidane really helps his case. Tails isn't very strong but he's probably more "current" with GameFAQs than Nathan Drake is thanks to Sonic Mania, and he's got that old school appeal; the average guy going to this site is probably more likely to really know, care even, about Tails than Nathan Drake because they played Sonic 2 when they were 6 and not Uncharted 2, dude's been around for over 25 years, Drake about a decade. Tails will probably have a bracket disadvantage but other matches (Crash's big bracket advantage vs. Cecil, Bomberman having one at all vs. Kiryu) indicate this might not be as bad as it may seem, even with Drake being huge casual bait.

Drake has things going for him that can prevent him from being over 10% weaker like Gordon and Ezio, and if he does that, he looks good since he looked a lot better than Tails in 2013. However old school things are scary to bet against in this contest, and other characters like Drake have done so poorly I find it harder and harder to think he'll be an exception. Give me the old school fox boy.

Ranticoot's prediction - Tails with 55.31%

Crew Consensus: Tails flies on to R2.

Crew Curse averted you all can thank me later

Huh. Surprised Tails was picked as a 4-1 favorite, though I think it's correct (even down to the 4-1-- this is definitely shaky enough that it shouldn't be 5-0). Going to assume most of you had Drake in your bracket and are defecting, though? Drake was a big bracket favorite, right?

I love the 4 writeups of "who is monokuma" and moltar's "upupu~"

what a nerd

huh, I thought Drake would be the fave here. thought I was going out on a limb.

I have Drake>Chief and would still go with that (if Tails didn't exist because he probably beats them both).

Yeah, I'm pretty sure the consensus has shifted to Tails over the course of the first round. Drake's the 80% favorite in the Guru. I'm just stubborn and usually stick with my bracket in the first round with these things.

If I was following my head, I'd have picked Claire yesterday and Tails today.

RoseChevalier posted...

I love the 4 writeups of "who is monokuma" and moltar's "upupu~"

what a nerd

I know who Monokuma is

(and he sucks so I hope Frog slaughters him)

RoseChevalier posted...

I love the 4 writeups of "who is monokuma" and moltar's "upupu~"

what a nerd

only because i watched the anime but shhhh dont tell people

LOL Monokuma