paulg235 10/28/2018 7:07:52 PM#151
Pac-Man making up for choking his 2002 eightpack by winning this year's would be hilarious.
PaulG235 | "But if any man be ignorant, let him be ignorant."
This line is currently being vacanted by supreme Guru BKSheikah
Sans vs. Hat Kid who ya got
https://imgur.com/M1heX2g
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
lordjers 10/28/2018 7:10:26 PM#153
I made the leaderboard yesssssssss!!!!!!

=D
Backlog: Friday the 13th (C64). Last finished: Splatterhouse (ARC). Friday the 13th (NES). Metal Gear Solid: VR Missions (PS1)
transience 10/28/2018 7:10:31 PM#154
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2877-division-4-round-1-crono-sam-simon-raiden

but don't worry bro a two minute trailer was enough to get you over
xyzzy
what if we get two crew curses in one day
https://imgur.com/M1heX2g
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
Leonhart4 10/28/2018 7:11:47 PM#156
Well, at least I was right about Riku being bad.
transience 10/28/2018 7:12:04 PM#157
man I'm gonna love this division if Rosalina vs. Pac-Man is an honest to god round 3 match
xyzzy
transience posted...
man I'm gonna love this division if Rosalina vs. Pac-Man is an honest to god round 3 match


Every character in the bottom half of the division would have a great chance to win this eight pack except for the Ren/Claire match.
https://imgur.com/M1heX2g
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
transience 10/28/2018 7:13:15 PM#160
ha, our first bracket buster was Waluigi
xyzzy
Leonhart4 10/28/2018 7:15:35 PM#161
transience posted...
ha, our first bracket buster was Waluigi


Yeah, I kinda debated on whether that one would be a casual destroyer because it's literally Waluigi vs. FFVII, but Aerith has usually had bad prediction percentages for an FFVII character.

Also Riku getting destroyed by Bayonetta makes Charizard look not so great...yet again. That doubling in CBIX suddenly seems unimpressive.

And who knew putting Pac-Man in a game people played would have this effect...!
Leonhart4 10/28/2018 7:21:12 PM#162
Oh hey Hayabusa might pull this out after all
transience 10/28/2018 7:21:36 PM#163
I dunno, Riku getting destroyed makes perfect sense to me regardless of Charizard. Riku just sucks.

Hayabusa probably pulls this out once the Smash goofballs go away in about 30 minutes. still an embarrassing showing. Geralt will rise up too.
xyzzy
Leonhart4 posted...
Oh hey Hayabusa might pull this out after all

Oh boy, can I be 2/4 instead of 1/4???
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Leonhart4 10/28/2018 7:22:39 PM#165
KamikazePotato posted...
Leonhart4 posted...
Oh hey Hayabusa might pull this out after all

Oh boy, can I be 2/4 instead of 1/4???


I'm still shooting for 4/4!
ZeldaTPLink 10/28/2018 7:22:53 PM#166
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Sans vs. Hat Kid who ya got


Hat Kid
ZeldaTPLink 10/28/2018 7:23:20 PM#167
Sans vs Cayde-6 whoyagot
Sans would beat the piss out of Cayde-6, just like everyone else in the last few contests outside of Chester and Spring Breeze Dancing would.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Lopen 10/28/2018 7:25:18 PM#169
I'm reasonably confident almost any character in the bracket would beat Sans. Maybe even Cayde 6. I wouldn't be surprised if 30% of Pac's differential here is raw antivotes.

That being said I hope it's just Pac being strong. I'd love for Pac to do well once
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
(edited 10/28/2018 7:26:42 PM)report
I had no idea the sans hate was this pervasive
I'm Rose Coldsteel, from Legend of Coldsteel
Leonhart4 10/28/2018 7:56:38 PM#171
Well, Sans was always going to be weaker than Undertale itself. I didn't think he could pass the Pac-Man test, but I didn't think it'd be THIS bad.
maaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaan
Lord have mercy on my soul, I've had a good run but I can't run anymore. Just put me down
BKSheikah got me good in Guru
transcience 10/28/2018 8:21:06 PM#173
yeah this is way worse than I think I could have predicted. Pac-Man can only beat true garbage like this unless something has happened. we’ll see I guess
add the c and back away
iphonesience
transience 10/28/2018 8:29:24 PM#174
it just hit me that Geralt has a much better chance vs. Hayabusa than Simon
xyzzy
ZeldaTPLink 10/28/2018 8:29:53 PM#175
I just realized every match I picked wrong were the ones I didn't pick Nintendo: Donkey kong, Knuckles, Wario, and now Bayonetta, Simon and Pac-Man.

And I just got into the leaderboard. In part because I made a lot of pro-nintendo picks. Master Hand, Ness, Fox, Phoenix, Toad...

Man...
RyoCaliente 10/28/2018 8:30:41 PM#176
Geralt vs Rosalina was always going to be a toss-up... Don't know if I should be happy Geralt is at the very least winning or disappointed at my bad call.
How paralyzingly dull, boring and tedious!
honestly at this point I think Pac-Man winning this eightpack is the best possible result
Anyone that picks Simon over Hayabusa needs a lobotomy
Currently addicted to: Dragon Quest XI (PS4)/ Smite (PS4/PC) / Spider-Man (PS4) / Final Fantasy XIV (PC)
transience 10/28/2018 9:53:23 PM#181
quick, who wins Simon or Rosalina
xyzzy
I honestly don't know

uhhhhhhh if you put a gun to my head I guess I'd pick Simon
Simon. I can't see even a fraud Hayabusa losing to Rosalina
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
transience 10/28/2018 9:56:37 PM#184
that was my take too. round 2's gonna be interesting
xyzzy
LeonhartFour 10/28/2018 10:03:05 PM#185
Well, the more likely scenario is that Geralt is just bad since he's an unknown. Hayabusa's probably fallen off in the last few years, but he should still be at least halfway decent.
Lopen 10/28/2018 10:05:22 PM#186
Hayabusa is probably fodder line now and Simon is probably just above it. I like either one to beat Geralt here.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour 10/28/2018 10:15:09 PM#187
Man, Bayonetta is still climbing.

I know Riku sucks and all, but depending on how high she goes, I'd call it the best performance of the day.
transience 10/28/2018 10:21:11 PM#188
I had Bayo for the majority of the bracket period and then switched to Sans in the last day or two. whoops.
xyzzy
LeonhartFour 10/28/2018 10:22:13 PM#189
I've got Bayo winning the fourpack and never really thought about changing it. I figured she had the most room to improve out of anyone here since the last contest.

now I'm wishing I'd had the guts to take her to win one more match
Lopen 10/28/2018 10:29:42 PM#190
Bayo probably wins the 8 pack yeah.

Part of me feels like this can't all be Sans anti-voting and Pac Man is going to come out of nowhere and win it, but that might be wishful thinking.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
transience posted...
I had Bayo for the majority of the bracket period and then switched to Sans in the last day or two. whoops.

same
does anyone even read this
I think I entertained the idea of a Simon upset once I heard he was in Smash, but backed off.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
Despite how bad my bracket is so far I could end up getting a perfect 8-pack here. Bayonetta > Simon, let's go!
CBX - Today's Winners: Geralt, Simon Belmont, Pac-Man, Bayonetta
Score: 32/40
Master Moltar 10/29/2018 12:09:58 AM#194
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7274

Dva edges out Aloy in a close match.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7275

Fox does not impress against Jill.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7276

Toad beats Shovel Knight after a short struggle.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7277

Aerith doesn't do too hot against Waluigi

Crew Predictions: 37/40

Next Round Thoughts: Dva fell so much against Aloy that it seems like Fox could beat her by more than he beat Jill, but she's still an unknown so it's hard to say. Aerith is the favorite over Toad, but that showing over Waluigi could imply that she won't crush him.

Crew Prediction Challenge:

transience: 38
Moltar: 36
Leonhart: 34
Kleenex: 34
Guest: 32

Crew Accuracy Challenge: Moltar and Kleenex get the point for Dva, Leon gets the point for Fox, Leon gets the point for Captain Toad, and Moltar gets the point for Aerith.

Guest: 11 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (2), pjbasis, garetha200 (2), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot, Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime)
transience: 10
Kleenex: 8
Moltar: 8
Leonhart: 6
Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LeonhartFour 10/29/2018 12:24:29 AM#195
comeback initiated

(nevermind the fact that I'm not getting any accuracy points today unless something really weird happens)
Master Moltar 10/29/2018 2:24:55 AM#196
Round 1 – Auron vs. Lucina

Moltar’s Analysis

Finally, an easy match in this division. We’ve seen Lucina once before in these contests, and it was in a match where she easily lost to Dracula (which I honestly didn’t remember).

Fire Emblem has been getting stronger over time, and the Lucina of 2018 would beat the Lucina of 2013. The problem is that she is facing a contest staple and known strong boi in Auron. Even the strongest FE character Ike wouldn’t be able to topple Auron, so Lucina’s not going to be able to either.

Moltar’s Bracket: Auron

Moltar’s Prediction: Auron – 68%

transience’s Analysis

I'm a little shell-shocked and gun-shy after the last two days of matches. I walk into a gimme like Auron/Lucina, which feels like it should be an easy doubling, but I'm just not sure.

Lucina's kinda junk, right? No one actually likes Lucina, at least on the level of a Ness or Meta-Knight or Marth or something like that, right? Even Rosalina feels like she should be more liked than Lucina. I dunno. I'm always off on Fire Emblem because I think that series is no good.

Auron, though. He should be okay. I'm starting to feel like the site shrinkage is causing people to just be way more familiar with characters than before which is making everything compressed. I look around the board this year and it doesn't even feel like a contest is going on. There aren't any new people at all. It's like senior year at a high school. I feel like we've all been through this together before and the people that are left just know everyone else. The point I'm trying to make is that while I think Auron is good, I wouldn't be surprised if this is some hugely disappointing performance.

transience's prediction: Auron with 60.04%
Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Master Moltar 10/29/2018 2:24:58 AM#197
Leonhart’s Analysis

There are many intriguing matches in this division. This is not one of them. Even if Auron has dropped since last time, he’s not in danger of losing to someone who got blown out by Dracula. I’m not sure what else there really is to say!

Leonhart’s Vote: Auron

Leonhart’s Prediction: Auron with 72.05%

Kleenex’s Analysis

God this bracket is just littered with Smash characters. I suppose that’s what happens when you have a game with like 100 characters in it.

Auron is still very strong, and has plenty of results to back it up. I have no reason to believe he’s going to have any trouble taking care of business in this match, and I don’t think he’s going to get hit as hard by whatever Final Fantasy decline is happening as some of the other, lesser characters we’ve seen.

Kleenex’s Prediction: Auron with 70%

Guest’s Analysis - RoseChevalier

Okay so we've seen pretty much every low/mid tier FF character you can think of fall to pieces so far. It's very clear "Final Fantasy" is not a ticket to any entitlement, and if you don't have your own internal strength you're just going to crumble before Nintendo. Lucky for Auron, he does have that strength and always has.

Lemme just digress for a moment to say it's a little sad in hindsight the strongest Final Fantasy characters in these contests are, without exception, edgelord swordkings. C'mon voters! There's a wealth of characters here!

Anyway, Lucina isn't anywhere close to the top of the Nintendo bunch and she's honestly in a weird spot among Fire Emblem fans. ~True Hardcore Fans~ are tired of the modern games and blame Lucina for ushering in an age of anime wives (because it was so different before Awakening, you see). Casual FE fans' affection for her is split among the rest of the lead cast of her game, meanwhile Ike has become far and away the face of the series. Fire Emblem Heroes makes this very clear. So she's meh in Smash, meh in FE, meh among fans.

This match isn't even in question. Enjoy it! A rare CBX example of a Final Fantasy character crushing someone! I'll be happy if Lucina can avoid the doubling.

(note: Lucina is an awesome character, I love her to death, and I think she's probably the best written Nintendo character ever. I just recognize I'm in the minority)

Auron with 63.21%

Crew Consensus: Lucina more like Losecina
Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Janus5k 10/29/2018 2:29:52 AM#198
Master Moltar posted...
Lemme just digress for a moment to say it's a little sad in hindsight the strongest Final Fantasy characters in these contests are, without exception, edgelord swordkings.

no respect for Tifa huh
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Lopen 10/29/2018 2:33:21 AM#199
Plenty of people like Lucina transience. She's probably the fan favorite from Awakening to what that matters.

Not sure those people come here though. Getting blown out by the guy who got doubled by Sonic isn't a good look, that's for sure.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lucina is going to be a lot stronger than she was in 2013, problem is she was preeetty weak to start with.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

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