GameFAQs Contests
Best. Game. Ever. Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Whoops sorry forgot all about this. Kinda down in the contest in general. --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
man, division 5 murdered me. monster hunter, kingdom hearts, xenoblade are gonna cost me like 12 points or something,. --- xyzzy |
Master Moltar posted... Guest’s Analysis - ShatteredElysium lmao It seems we have the GameFAQs moderators' opinion on that great debate: 'What is the past tense of "shit"?' Sorry that your username apparently can't get past the profanity filter, dude. --- FC 5026-4424-6331 -- Native Vivillon type: Polar Still need Marine, Sun, Icy Snow, Monsoon, River, and Jungle |
Damn it, Fire Emblem. --- NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions |
X vs. Y jokes aside, this seems like a really uninspiring performance from OoT wonder what's up --- http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png |
doesn't matter, nothing on the bottom half can threaten it --- xyzzy |
No, but this might throw a wrench into the "Ocarina will stop Undertale" hopes and dreams. |
that's all they ever were --- xyzzy |
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 59.05% 29999 GoldenEye 007 40.95% 20802 TOTAL VOTES 50801 Metroid Prime 57.95% 28882 Half-Life 2 42.05% 20959 TOTAL VOTES 49841 Super Mario 64 66.23% 34034 Final Fantasy Tactics 33.77% 17357 TOTAL VOTES 51391 The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 65.27% 33226 Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 4 34.73% 17677 TOTAL VOTES 50903 Crew Predictions: 75/80 What Happened: Skyrim and Metroid Prime turn debatable matches into blowouts. Mario and TP do the expected. What Will Happen: Skyrim/MP is a big one Crew Prediction Challenge: points except for Leonhart Leonhart: 74 Moltar: 74 Guest: 71 transience: 70 Kleenex: 70 Crew Accuracy Challenge: Kleenex gets Skyrim, tran gets Metroid and Zelda, Moltar gets Mario Leonhart: 18 Kleenex: 16 Moltar: 15 transience: 14.5 Guest: 12.5 --- xyzzy |
My bracket has DKC2 > SotN in this division I mean I could've picked worse, but... --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
TheKoolAidShoto posted... The Mana Sword posted...forget undertale, dkc2 winning two matches is the real disaster this year --- Have you listened to this week's episode of The Show yet, buddy? board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats |
Division 6: Round 2 - Match 85 – (1) The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past vs. (9) Final Fantasy IV Moltar’s Analysis The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past Round 1 - 88.02% vs Cave Story Final Fantasy IV Round 1 - 69.77% vs Deus Ex So OoT can barely triple the what we previously thought was fodder but maybe not but it's still pretty weak Suikoden II. Does that mean a stronger looking FF4 can pull off the upset against LttP? Hahaha Ha No Figure this will go similarly to SM64/FFT. Moltar’s Bracket: The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past Moltar’s Prediction: The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past – 66% Transience’s Analysis FF4 could have been a real contest spoiler in the right spot. It whipped Deus Ex and is part of the SNES generation that's doing so well. It can't hang with LTTP at all though. FF6 would have a hard time doing so and FF4 is a poor man's FF6. I feel like classic Zelda/Mario vs. Final Fantasy matches turn into franchise voting fests -- FF1 once put 40% on Mario 3 despite no one actually liking FF1 -- so I don't think FF4 gets absolutely destroyed. FF4 feels like a fraud propped up by its series so it probably should go down easily against a contest monster like LTTP but I'll give it the benefit of the doubt and say it'll avoid the doubling. transience's prediction: Link to the Past with 64.46% Leonhart’s Analysis This is the third contender for our strongest non-FFVII/OoT game in a few days to face off against a Final Fantasy game. Mario World’s performance against FFVIII was inflated by the Undertale rally, but it looked to be about 64-65% before everything kicked into high gear. Mario 64 got 66% against Final Fantasy Tactics. I think LttP is probably stronger than both Mario games and FFIV shouldn’t be too far off from the other two FF games. Put it all together and you get… Leonhart’s Vote: Final Fantasy IV Leonhart’s Prediction: A Link to the Past with 70.07% Kleenex’s Analysis Ocarina didn’t fare so well yesterday for whatever reason, but I feel like LttP will probably do better. It’s going to SNES boost SFF its opponent. This is going to be a thing now, so watch out. FF4 is certainly a more formidable game than Suikoden 2 is, but LttP should come out of this looking pretty good. A doubling is what it should look for, and anything better is just gravy in my mind. Too much less and the ROUND 2 ZELDA DEBOOST will be in full effect. Zelda: A Link to the Past with 67% Guest’s Analysis - Ultimaphazon Final Fantasy IV had one of the worst possible draws. You'd think Allen would give his favorite game a better draw than to have it massacred in round 2 by one of the strongest games in the contest. In a different bracket spot, it could have had some debatable matches, but not here. FFIV is a clear step below FFVI, and even that one wouldn't have a chance against LttP. LttP will win this one, and it's not going to be even remotely close. FFIV can probably avoid the doubling, but I doubt it will do much better than that. Prediction: Zelda with 64.58% Crew Consensus: Another FF games goes down to Zelda --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Division 6: Round 2 - Match 86 – (5) Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain vs. (4) Dark Souls Moltar’s Analysis Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain Round 1 - 54.67% vs Perfect Dark Dark Souls Round 1 - 66.70% vs Sid Meier's Civilization V So MGS kind of hasn’t looked good at all this contest. A lot of people saw 55% on Perfect Dark as disappointing, but I guess I was anticipating a disappointing performance because I wasn’t surprised. After both entrants had their Round 1 matches, I was still feeling alright about MGSV here, but I don’t know anymore. Yeah, MGS has its series fans, but after 4 and 5, it looks like a segment of the fans have moved on from the series. Dark Souls and its brethren games feel more in favor with the general public right now. I’m thinking Dark Souls takes it in a close one. Moltar’s Bracket: Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain Moltar’s Prediction: Dark Souls – 52% Transience’s Analysis I have Dark Souls in my bracket. Bloodborne showed that the Souls series was decent and Metal Gear 4/5 have been underwhelming for sure. Add in that new games outside of Undertale are bombing and it's kind of easy to pick Dark Souls here. Metal Gear has some brand name loyalty that could rear its ugly head if Dark Souls isn't widely known or respected. I wouldn't be super surprised to see that. I don't know though.. I think the Dark Souls name gets around pretty well these days and it's a more respected game than Metal Gear Solid V. I feel comfortable picking it. Some people have talked about a potential rally but I think the source -- some person rallying for Undertale being in the Dark Souls fan community -- is more than a little sketchy. I did say pre-contest though that Dark Souls over LTTP was as good of a crazy upset/rally pick than anything though, so we'll see! transience's prediction: Dark Souls with 54.68% Leonhart’s Analysis Dark Souls was one of my upset specials pre-contest, and nothing we saw round one dissuaded me from believing it can win here. It’s hard to tell how much Dark Souls’ win over Civilization V was really worth, but at least it got a pretty high percentage, unlike MGSV against Perfect Dark. I suppose the only thing really having me nervous about Dark Souls is how bad Demon’s Souls looked against Half-Life 2, which just got rocked by Metroid Prime. Then again, we saw the gap between Persona 3 and Persona 4 is apparently humongous, so I guess I should hope it’s the same here! Leonhart’s Vote: Metal Gear Solid V Leonhart’s Prediction: Dark Souls with 52.50% --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Kleenex’s Analysis Metal Gear did not look great last round. MGSV especially really disappointed against a game that quite frankly isn’t worth a whole lot. The upside is that it makes this round way more interesting than it could have been if Metal Gear was at full strength. Dark Souls did well enough on an even weaker opponent than Perfect Dark so I my mind this match is probably pretty close to even without taking anything else into account. I do think, though, that in the case of something close, Dark Souls is a huge favorite. The fanbase is way more rabid than Metal Gear could ever hope and I would not be surprised to see somewhat of a mini-rally here if need be. I could be totally wrong about this, but I’m feeling pretty good about Dark Souls here. Dark Souls with 53% Guest’s Analysis - Luster Soldier After the somewhat disappointing performance from MGSV in round 1 and new games generally bombing left and right, I have to back out of choosing MGSV to win another match even if I might have it in my bracket. I am a bit skeptical of MGSV winning another match considering how new the game is. Dark Souls put up a good showing in round 1 against Civilization V, proving that it has a chance of winning another match. Dark Souls has also been around longer than MGSV and is a last-gen game, so Dark Souls should have a higher playrate than MGSV. That gives Dark Souls one advantage over MGSV in this match. Luster Soldier's Bracket: Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain Luster Soldier's Prediction: Dark Souls - 53.18% Crew Consensus: DS played MGSV like a damn fiddle --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
whelp --- xyzzy |
super metroid/galaxy hype wonder how the crew goes. i predict 3-2 either way --- xyzzy |
moltar I want to let you know that I appreciate your writeups always including prior results in them so much easier to not have to look those up --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Crew on that Dark Souls bandwagon. I think I am, as well. --- NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions |
yeah IT'S FREAKING MARIO after all --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Division 6: Round 2 - Match 87 – (3) Super Metroid vs. (6) Super Mario Galaxy Moltar’s Analysis Super Metroid Round 1 - 79.46% vs Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare Super Mario Galaxy Round 1 - 64.04% vs Dragon Age: Origins In another edition of ‘Going Against my Bracket’, we’ve got this match here. It’s basically Samus/Mario again as the only thing Mario really has going for it is that it’s on top in the Nintendo hierarchy. I mean, that was all it took the last time those two faced off, so you know it's a legitimate argument for Game of the Forever. SM had an amazing showing in R1 while Galaxy only looked okay. Super Metroid is indirectly the stronger game of the two. The problem is that whenever Metroid runs into Mario or Zelda, it lays down and gets rolled over. It's happened so many times, it seems silly at this point to go against the hierarchy. And yet, I’m thinking the strength gap between the two games is too much for Galaxy to overcome, especially with old games looking very good this contest. Oh well, sunk with the Samus > Mario ship, may as well ride this to the end too (even though I only jumped on last round HERE WE GO). Moltar’s Bracket: Super Mario Galaxy Moltar’s Prediction: Super Metroid – 58% Transience’s Analysis Alright, let's do this. Let's list all of the reasons that Super Metroid will beat Super Mario Galaxy. * Super Metroid is a more influential/important game. It basically created a blueprint that people still follow today. This game is still considered the high point of that genre. It's the most atmospheric game on the SNES and has to be considered one of the 3 or 4 most important titles released for it. * The site has overwhelmingly backed 90s games. * New Nintendo - from the Wii to the Wii U - has been disappointing like crazy. Galaxy 2 already lost in hilarious fashion and Mario Maker was one of the bigger bombs in recent memory. Even Smash 4 has looked bad. * Its performance was one of the very best of the first round. 79% on Call of Duty 4 was a massacre. Metroid Prime has also looked great, as has SOTN, its spiritual half-brother. * It's the best goddamn video game ever made. And here's why Galaxy has a chance: * It's a Mario game. Yeah, that's it. Every trend points to an easy Super Metroid win. "It's Mario" has been exposed left and right this contest. Some people are even entertaining Super Metroid over Majora's Mask. It's especially hard to go against a SNES game these days. But you know.. Super Metroid is a fraud on this website. Metroid is a game with wide appeal -- Nintendo fans like it but so do fans of atmospheric/moody/exploration/influential games -- and that appeal lets it go to town on a game like Call of Duty. Take away that Nintendo base though and it's not great. I mean, this is a game that nearly lost to Super Mario Kart. That game would have beaten half the bracket, but still, it's not encouraging. Do you trust the big performance on an FPS on GameFAQs, or do you trust the fact that it couldn't handle Nintendo to the point that Mario Kart put a big scare into it? --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Galaxy
2 came out after the Wii was a joke, but Galaxy was there for the good
years. The TP/Galaxy/Brawl triumvirate is the heart of the Wii hype on
this website and Galaxy can still put up some nice performances. 65% on
Dragon Age is much better than 49% on Mass Effect. People didn't take to
Galaxy like they did Mario 64 but that's just a function of its age. As
this game gets older, it probably gets stronger. For everything that
you can say about Super Metroid, it's still not the highest rated game
in history. That honor goes to Mario Galaxy. Prove me wrong, Super Metroid. Show for once in your contest life that you aren't a contest fraud. transience's prediction: Super Mario Galaxy with 54.67% Leonhart’s Analysis Super Metroid had one of the most surprisingly dominant performances from round 1 with a quadrupling of Call of Duty 4. Super Mario Galaxy had a solid showing against Dragon Age. Modern Mario in general has looked pretty bad so far, but if any game is going to be the exception, it’s Super Mario Galaxy. Super Nintendo has looked pretty unstoppable thus far, but if any game is going to be the exception, it’s Super Metroid. Part of me wants to be stubborn and stick with Super Mario Galaxy because I’m pretty sure everyone else is jumping ship to Super Metroid. If it can’t win here, it should be the turd of the contest and a laughingstock forever. I guess that’s what I’m rooting for! Leonhart’s Vote: Super Mario Galaxy Leonhart’s Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy with 51.25% Kleenex’s Analysis This is a good match to see if Metroid is legit. I don’t have a ton of faith in SM’s natural strength, but there’s no denying that it was very impressive last round. Certainly you can place the blame on Call of Duty to some extent, but Metroid deserves a lot of the credit. Galaxy is already a weaker game, so it will be interesting to see if Metroid can SFF it and to what degree. I’d expect another solid performance today and you can probably expect some Super Metroid > Majora rumblings it things get too far out of control. Super Metroid with 66% Guest’s Analysis - Dr Football So when yours truly was filling out his bracket, I looked at this match, spent 5 seconds thinking about it, and picked Super Metroid. Unfortunately for as much as I know (or get extremely lucky about) character strength, I’ve never done well in games contests. So I was surprised that Galaxy was the big guru favorite. But with Galaxy 2 losing to Mass Effect, Brawl not making the bracket, and in general old games ruling so far, it appears people just want to forget the Wii existed. I am slightly afraid of the general "Mario > Samus” hierarchy, but I think this match will be one of the many daggers in the back of new games doing anything this contest, and if anything, people will be surprised how easily Metroid wins here. (as an aside, with Thanksgiving tomorrow, I want to say Im thankful for this topic and this crew. Its been one of my favorite topics for years, and its one of the things I look forward to most when contests arrive. Thanks y’all) Super Metroid - 59.75% Super Mario Galaxy - 40.25% Crew Consensus: Slightly favoring Metroid > Mario, this doesn't seem right... --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
It's
hard for me to get past the whole Mario > Metroid thing. But I'm
starting to think it's possible for Super Metroid to pull it off. The
difference in game strength could just be high enough to reverse the
SFF. --- NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions |
Is that 66% a typo or --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
(as an aside, with Thanksgiving tomorrow, I want to say Im thankful for this topic and this crew. Its been one of my favorite topics for years, and its one of the things I look forward to most when contests arrive. Thanks y’all) <3 those Super Metroid picks are nuts. 66%? let's do this --- xyzzy |
I would have expected MGSV/Dark Souls to be split and SMG/SM to be a sweep in favor of Metroid but what do I know |
AppIekidjosh posted... Is that 66% a typo or --- Have you listened to this week's episode of The Show yet, buddy? board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats |
you guys can mock us when we're wrong there's been a surprising lack of that this year --- xyzzy |
I was hoping to be the high pick. DFF has been dead for about 3-4 years now, time for it to rise! --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. raylan is awesome |
Division 6: Round 2 - Match 88 – (10) Final Fantasy XII vs. (2) The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask Moltar’s Analysis Final Fantasy XII Round 1 - 55.59% vs Bloodborne The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask Round 1 - 75.89% vs Valkyria Chronicles Oh hey another strong Zelda/Mario game vs not strong FF game wonder how this is going to go. Probably in the mid-60s like usual. Moltar’s Bracket: The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask Moltar’s Prediction: The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask - 67% Transience’s Analysis FF12 suuucks. Bloodborne scared it for a while and Portal dropped a 60/40 on it in GOTD. Fans seemingly vote blindly for FF4-10 but 12 is not in that class. It's just not that strong. Majora can probably go to town on it. Zelda will suck up the apathy franchise votes that it gets. FF12 will have to rely on its actual fanbase for votes and there just aren't a lot of those. Majora can probably double this game. transience's prediction: Majora's Mask with 67.99% Leonhart’s Analysis Final Fantasy XII is probably the weakest FF game in the bracket and by a decent margin, but I’m sure people will still overreact if Majora can match Mario World, Mario 64, or LttP’s percentage on their Final Fantasy opponents. This is the game that could only manage 55% on Crisis Core and got 60/40’d by Portal. Maybe people look back on it more fondly now after the disaster (in most people’s eyes) the Final Fantasy XIII trilogy was, but still, it’s going down hard here. Leonhart’s Vote: Final Fantasy XII Leonhart’s Prediction: Majora’s Mask with 69.28% Kleenex’s Analysis Majora did about as expected last round, and I don’t actually have much faith in FFXII being all that strong, despite winning last round, so Majora should do...well...about as expected here too. There’s previous results to really compare this match too, so it’s a bit of a shot in the dark, but FFXII being slightly stronger than Chrono Cross seems like a reasonable assumption, so Majora should probably shoot for the 65% range. There sure are a lot of Nintendo games in this division. Zelda: Majora’s Mask with 64% Guest’s Analysis - spooky Crew Consensus: Double dose of Zelda > FF today --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
save_us.LOPEN --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Quick emergency non-Lopen Guest analysis: I missed two straight sign-up topics so I feel like I'm due for one even though I've got an analysis tomorrow. GotD against something that was in GotD and didn't perform well. Seems easy enough. I could take advantage of already knowing what everyone else predicted and go a little lower in case I'm a tad high on ZeldaFEAR but I'll take the high road and match my Oracle prediction exactly. Majora's Mask with 72.24% --- FC 5026-4424-6331 -- Native Vivillon type: Polar Still need Marine, Sun, Icy Snow, Monsoon, River, and Jungle |
Wait, MGS vs Dark Souls is questionable? I assumed MGS wins easily. --- XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa |
Go metroid go --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. raylan is awesome |
Well done TsunamiXXVIII you did me proud --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
what the? a Dark Souls sweep? I expected that to counterbalance my Galaxy pick --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
alright perhaps I was slightly overzealous with my metroid prediction --- http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png |
better than mine --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 76.89% 34577 Suikoden II 23.11% 10391 TOTAL VOTES 44968 Okami 42.15% 18567 Final Fantasy IX 57.85% 25480 TOTAL VOTES 44047 Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy's Kong Quest 52.11% 22800 Fire Emblem: Awakening 47.89% 20950 TOTAL VOTES 43750 Banjo-Kazooie 39.39% 17172 Castlevania: Symphony of the Night 60.61% 26423 TOTAL VOTES 43595 Crew Predictions: 78/84 What Happened: The Crew consensus misses a match (DKC2/FE) for the first time in a LONG time, maybe since DKC2/Xenoblade. Zelda underwhelms, FF9 looks legit and SOTN does as expected. What Will Happen: Ocarina/SOTN showdown incoming (what a bad division) Crew Prediction Challenge: Moltar/tran/Kleenex miss DKC2, Guest misses SOTN/BK due to apathy Leonhart: 78 Moltar: 77 Guest: 74 transience: 73 Kleenex: 73 Crew Accuracy Challenge: Kleenex gets Ocarina, Leon gets FF9, Guest gets DKC2, Moltar gets SOTN Leonhart: 19 Kleenex: 17 Moltar: 16 transience: 14.5 Guest: 13.5 --- xyzzy |
Emegency guest write-ups don't count? You're telling me I wasted 30 seconds of my time for no reason? |
oh, did I miss one? I'll add the point next time 'round --- xyzzy |
Does Moltar want analyses early today? --- Cranky's Advice - "git gud" Oh yea, I guess raytan won. |
He didn't mention anything about it, but it probably wouldn't hurt. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
