All right, I guess I'll do points since tranny will be gone this weekend.

The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 91.03% 36560
Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 8.97% 3604
TOTAL VOTES

Suikoden II 56.94% 21148
Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate 43.06% 15991
TOTAL VOTES

Okami 60.59% 23363
Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos 39.41% 15193
TOTAL VOTES

Final Fantasy IX 51.09% 20048
Kingdom Hearts 48.91% 19194
TOTAL VOTES

Crew Predictions: 32/36

What Happened: OoT reminds us why it's the champ, DAT LEFT OPTION prevails, and the Square Hierarchy prevails. Oh, and Okami had a match, too.

What Will Happen: OoT domination

Crew Prediction Challenge: Guest either gets no points for OoT for a no show or still gets no points if we count Lopen's since he picked Hearthstone. Everyone gets points for Okami, nobody gets points for FFIX/KH, and Leonhart, Kleenex, and Guest get points for Suikoden.

Guest: 32
Leonhart: 32
Moltar: 31
transience: 29
Kleenex: 29

Crew Accuracy Challenge: Leonhart gets OoT, Guest gets Suikoden and Okami, no points for FFIX.

Leonhart: 10
Kleenex: 7.5
transience: 5.5
Guest: 5.5
Moltar: 4.5
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(edited 11/14/2015 12:47:38 AM)report
Another crew curse eh?
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
You're all welcome

again
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Kleenex has been the true hero of this crew.
just looking at results for the first time. snap reactions

Skyrim is so screwed
Wii games are a joke
I can't wait to see Super Metroid/Galaxy

SOTN is going to rock Banjo

DKC2 is probably the favourite? who knows
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iphonesience
nobody is thanking me and the Guest for taking DKC2 for some reason
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I picked DKC2 in my bracket.

Of course THE LIST was part of my rationale so go ahead and laugh. It at least served me well for this (assuming DKC2 takes the lead again and takes it lol) and Mass Effect/Galaxy 2, and it's not like I was a complete slave to it. I mean, otherwise I would have had Persona 4 and San Andreas in the divisional finals and all sorts of craziness.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
(edited 11/14/2015 11:09:25 AM)report
Y'all underestimated the fuck out of Symphony of the Night. Shame it's going to massacre everything only to get clonked by Ocarina of Time.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Well, I think it's more like we overestimated T&T after how well PW1 did on Skyrim.

Although I doubt many people would've predicted SOTN to match FFIX's performance here.
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11/14/2015 11:15:20 AM#410
more guest signups

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72823636
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
for some reason I never equated SOTN as part of the old game boost. makes perfect sense too.
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iphonesience
Yeah, SOTN has a lot of nostalgia attached to it, maybe even moreso than a lot of old games due to its memetic value and quotability.

Wonder how well Star Fox 64 would've done in this thing now.
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the first thing I asked when I saw the bracket was "where is SF64". I thought that was a shoe-in
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Communists
LeonhartFour posted...
Well, I think it's more like we overestimated T&T after how well PW1 did on Skyrim.

Although I doubt many people would've predicted SOTN to match FFIX's performance here.


The original Ace Attorney is probably much stronger than T&T because people might just see "Phoenix Wright!" and know what they're talking about. T&T, not so much.

Eh, boo that line of logic. Why would GAMES work like that?
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
well, SOTN seems like a shoo-in for the division unless FE is better than I think. at the very least, FE beats Banjo unless you think BG2 beats Mario Maker.
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iphonesience
Well, I knew PW1 would be the strongest game, but I wasn't sure the disparity would be this big.

And yeah, can't see SOTN losing at this point. Xenoblade, DKC2, Banjo, and Awakening are probably all on similar strength levels.
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Master Moltar posted...
more guest signups

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72823636


Meh, someone took Paper Mario vs RE4 before I could.
LeonhartFour posted...
nobody is thanking me and the Guest for taking DKC2 for some reason


You're welcome.
yeah I'm not sold on FE > Xenoblade even. I just think Mario Maker sucks.
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iphonesience
Looks like I'm finally going up in the guru/oracle after freefalling for a week.

Probably won't make up for all the amount of derping I did in this contest, but still...
I'm glad I went against my bracket for the sake of fanboyism here!
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ZeldaTPLink posted...
Meh, someone took Paper Mario vs RE4 before I could.


What an asshole that person must be.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
LeonhartFour posted...
I'm glad I went against my bracket for the sake of fanboyism here!


Ditto...my bracket is screwed either way
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Communists
MechanicalWall posted...
ZeldaTPLink posted...
Meh, someone took Paper Mario vs RE4 before I could.


What an asshole that person must be.


lol

It's just that this is one of the few matches in the contest with 2 games I absolutely love. So I could gush over them and lament Paper Mario going out on round 1.
transcience posted...
yeah I'm not sold on FE > Xenoblade even. I just think Mario Maker sucks.


Yeah this. I wouldn't put any stock on Wii U games. Even Smash U won't be that good.
Smash U and Splatoon are probably the strongest WiiU can be.

And maybe Hylian Warriors, cuz Zelda.
Splatoon?

you're not gonna like what MGS1 does to it in a few days

MK8 would probably be decently strong if it hadn't gotten saddled with Mario 64.
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LeonhartFour posted...
Splatoon?

you're not gonna like what MGS1 does to it in a few days

MK8 would probably be decently strong if it hadn't gotten saddled with Mario 64.


MGS1 would probably 60% the entire WiiU library. That isn't much of a parameter for comparison.

Well, at least Splatoon seems to be popular outside the island that is gameFAQs.
transcience posted...
well, SOTN seems like a shoo-in for the division unless FE is better than I think. at the very least, FE beats Banjo unless you think BG2 beats Mario Maker.


We've already seen a Mario game lose to a Bioware RPG this contest, so why not?
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
11/14/2015 1:14:07 PM#430
now accepting guest write-ups for LttP vs Cave Story because it looks like no one signed up for that match whoops
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
I'll do it
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Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
I can fake an LMS writeup

LttP vs. Cave Story

BLOWOUT TIME

LttP with 100.01%
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totally adequate writeup tbqh.
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11/14/2015 7:20:53 PM#435
Division 6: Round 1 - Match 41 – (1) The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past vs. (16) Cave Story

Moltar’s Analysis

Cave Story is a beloved little game, but LttP is a beloved big game. It’s up there as one of the strongest Zeldas in the franchise, and even a potential rally for Cave Story isn’t going to save it here.

Moltar’s Bracket: Link to the Past

Moltar’s Prediction: Link to the Past – 85%



Transience’s Analysis

Cave Story is an amazing little game and it actually has a surprising amount of fans for a little freeware indie game from a decade ago. Obviously LTTP is going to kill it but I don't think this is going to be a massacre. One thing about Cave Story: people love singing its praises and its fans will show up to vote for it as opposed to saying 'Cave Story is good but OH GOD LTTP'. It'll still get quadrupled, but I don't think this is blowout of the contest type stuff. Maybe it is though - I mean, if anything can destroy a game's hopes and dreams, it's Zelda.

transience's prediction: LTTP with 83.95%



Leon’s Analysis

I admittedly know nothing about Cave Story, but I’m pretty sure I don’t need to for the purposes of this match. It didn’t get into GOTD because it couldn’t get a high enough percentage in the vote-ins. We just saw OoT hit 91%, and while LttP isn’t in its league, there’s a good chance it’s still a top 5 game on this site. Expect lots of big numbers from Zelda again.

Leonhart’s Vote: A Link to the Past

Leonhart’s Prediction: A Link to the Past with 81.80%



Kleenex’s Analysis

After seeing what Ocarina was able to do to Hearthstone the other day, I’m getting the feeling we could see another monster performance today from LttP. It’s one of the strongest games on the site, the #2 Zelda behind Ocarina, and against an opponent with a lot less clout behind it. Every Zelda game so far has put up a strong performance and I expect no different from Link to the Past. I doubt it topples the percentage that Ocarina managed to pull off, but I do think it can get close.

Zelda: A Link to the Past with 88%



Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

A match open with a game I finished earlier this year and greatly enjoyed? I'll do it! Although while it's an excellent game, LTTP isn't really one of my favorite Zeldas...

Still, it'll destroy this match. To what extent, is quite a question. Cave Story is probably indie fodder trash like Journey, so can LTTP break 80% and put FFVII-like numbers on its opponent? TBH I wouldn't know which is stronger between Cave Story and Journey. Journey was more high-profile so I'll guess that Journey would probably 60-40 Cave Story, so Cave Story is in a world of hurt.

Zelda with 85.68%


Crew Consensus: Link stomp
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
11/14/2015 7:22:16 PM#436
Division 6: Round 1 - Match 42 – (8) Deus Ex vs. (9) Final Fantasy IV

Moltar’s Analysis

Deus Ex isn’t super weak, but when you’re most impressive showing is being pretty much even with Rock Band, you gotta know that you aren’t worth much. FF4 has not only looked better over the years, but is also going to benefit from Square’s resurgence this contest. It shouldn’t be too difficult for it to show off some strength here.

Moltar’s Bracket: Final Fantasy IV

Moltar’s Prediction: Final Fantasy IV – 66%



Transience’s Analysis

Final Fantasy IV has the FF name on it. Deus Ex has some respect behind it, but this is a game that couldn't get above 60% on Rock Band. At the time it was impressive but, well, yeah. PC exclusives from the turn of the century aren't going to do much unless they're a Blizzard game.

FF4 is a bit old for a lot of people here so I don't expect a lot. It tends to disappoint in most polls that it's in. Re-re-re-re-re-re-rereleases have helped keep it somewhat relevant but FF6 is the game that brought people in en masse on this website. FF4 is just a bit before it.

It beats Deus Ex, but I kind of expect disappointment here. If nothing else, the Deus Ex name has grown.

transience's prediction: Final Fantasy IV with 59.99%



Leon’s Analysis

Man, if Deus Ex fans were mad enough that the game wasn’t winning by enough in GOTD, I can only imagine how they’re going to react when it loses to a Final Fantasy game. FFIV might be the weakest game from the series in the contest (Yes, even weaker than Tactics or XII), but I can’t see it failing to beat Deus Ex here. The characters may flop like there’s no tomorrow in Character Battles, but the game itself at least had decent success in 2009. It managed to get 50% in a 4-way poll, and I can’t for the life of me imagine any 4-way poll Deus Ex would get 50% of the vote in. Plus, FF as a series has done well for itself so far, and the name value alone should be enough to get it through to round two.

Leonhart’s Vote: Final Fantasy IV

Leonhart’s Prediction: Final Fantasy IV with 62.25%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Old, PC-only RPG vs. a resurgent Final Fantasy? This should be no contest. Deus Ex’s resume involved barely beating Rock Band 2 and getting crushed by Final Fantasy Tactics. FF4 is definitely a few notches down from the higher tiers of Final Fantasy games, but given the tenor of this contest so far, that really shouldn’t matter. FF4 will clean up with an easy win today before getting annihilated next round.

Final Fantasy IV with 64%
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
11/14/2015 7:22:22 PM#437
Guest’s Analysis - Sir Chris

Time for my once every round or so embarrassment of myself. I have been around for every contest and yet, still, I do not do a good job of predicting things. Also this isn't the match I wanted but I am late into topics so it will have to do. So after some epic research I am comfortable stating that Final Fantasy IV is stronger than Rock Band 2 and weaker than Fallout 3, so its % is going to be somewhere between 50.01 and 74. So the funny thing about FFIV though is that... we have almost no concrete data on it. We know it isn't one of the more beloved final fantasies, but it' still a final fantasy.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4444-whats-your-all-time-favorite-4-game
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5467-whats-your-all-time-favorite-4-game

In the latter poll about 4 games it beat everyone but Resident Evil 4, and while these polls are hard to be reliable with it shows me that it probably is going to be a decent mid carder before being sacrificed to LttP next round in brutal fashion. Final Fantasy has had a good contest so far too. As of me writing this IX is beating KH, FF7 did well for itself and X and VIII handled strong games relatively easily while VI just destroyed Assassin's Creed 2. Also the two polls really show how much Persona 4 has grown with time, MGS4 has fallen off, etc. Neat polls, not really important though.

Funny Deus Ex v FF poll:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5788-whats-your-favorite-science-fiction-genre-for-video-games

'oops'

So the important question in my mind about this mind numbing match is just how big of a blow out is possible. Just what depth of despair will Deus Ex fall to? PC games have been doing pretty good this round, what with Half-Life holding up well against FFX. Well FFIV is no FFX and Deus Ex is no Half-Life, so that sounds about right.

Final Fantasy IV with 64.42%!

...Actually, in honor of FFIV, let's add 4% to that FFX mimicry. Voila!

Prediction: Final Fantasy IV with 68.42%!



Crew Consensus: Another victory for FF
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
11/14/2015 7:24:44 PM#438
oh LMS was first, but these also came in for LttP/Cave Story


Guest’s Analysis - AxemRedRanger

What's that Ocarina? You only got 91% on a game that zero people think is actually good?

PSH.

YOU'RE A DISGRACE TO ZELDA.

Now everybody gets to laugh at Ocarina and watch as Link to the Past does better on a game with significantly better reception than Hearthstone and thus prove it is the SUPERIOR ZELDA.

The Legend of Zelda: Link to the Past with 92%

Better watch out Link...Link is coming for you next round!



Guest’s Analysis - whatisurnameplz

We all know A Link to the Past is winning this (the crew curse can kiss my ass), and that it's gonna win by a lot.

Cave Story is fodder. It got crushed in the GotD vote-in, getting beaten by such fodder as Guitar Hero II, The Sims, and Wii Sports:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4050-final-day-which-game-would-you-most-like-to-see-in-the-game

It must've barely gotten in due to high GameFAQs and Metacritic scores:

http://www.metacritic.com/game/3ds/cave-story (93)
http://www.gamefaqs.com/pc/942695-cave-story (4.54/5)

Chrono Trigger, a game that was barely stronger than LttP in the first games contest, beat Ratchet & Clank in the first match of this year's contest with 85.85% of the vote. If Ratchet & Clank could get into GotD and can't even put up 15% in this year's contest, then Cave Story is going to do even worse.

A Link to the Past - 87.85%
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
heh, I wrote that LTTP writeup before I saw oot's godstomp. any percentage from 75 to 95 is possible here.
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iphonesience
Master Moltar posted...
Deus Ex has some respect behind it, but this is a game that couldn't get above 60% on Rock Band.


It couldn't even get above 51%!

and tranny the low man on FFIV? Go figure.
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Leon the low man on ff8? go figure
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iphonesience
And I would've gone even lower, too, if it hadn't been for all that peer pressure!

I'm just saying if you're shooting low on IV, you should understand why I shoot low on VIII all the time!
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well mine is more based on results! and I'm not nearly the ff4 fan that you are the ff8 fan. game's not in my top 30.
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iphonesience
how many different versions of FFIV have you played
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let's see

SNES, SFC if it counts, ps1, wsc, gba, DS, PSP

haven't played ios yet. I did play this weird ff4 rom hack a month or two ago though. really crazy fanfiction that was enjoyable.
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iphonesience
11/14/2015 8:48:33 PM#446
Division 6: Round 1 - Match 43 – (5) Metal Gear Solid V vs. (12) Perfect Dark

Moltar’s Analysis

Perfect Dark is a game that feels it should be stronger than it actually is. It's only relevant matches are close losses to SotN and CoD4, and getting crushed in a poll with RBY and Majora. With N64 games looking good so far, and nothing to hold it back, Perfect Dark could put up a surprisingly good performance here.

However, I'm backing MGSV because right now it's the hot new MGS game. Look at MGS4 back in 2009 compared to now. Back then, MGS4 was the hot new MGS game and overperformed relative to now because of that.

Definitely don't count PD out though, because we know the contest trends benefit the old game over the new game. Hold this match a year from now, and PD might take it without a sweat. I just think MGS fans are going to stand by the new hotness for now.

Moltar’s Bracket: Metal Gear Solid V

Moltar’s Prediction: Metal Gear Solid V - 54%



Transience’s Analysis

Perfect Dark got 47% on SOTN once. That was a long time ago.

MGSV is kinda fascinating. In my opinion -- and I think contest results prove this -- old games do well and brand new games do well too. Brawl and MGS4 did great in '09 -- fast forward to 2015 and MGS4 has fallen from grace and Brawl can't even make the contest. The Undertale rally is all the rage right now but before that happened, this little indie game that could managed to keep Mass Effect 3 under a doubling. MGSV, if nothing else, is recent and very fresh on people's minds.

The flipside here is that MGSV is not universally loved by the fanbase. Modern video game players do like the game for its shooting mechanics and its emergent gameplay, but let's face it, GameFAQs does not give a fuck about that. We don't care how things play. We want our immersive stories and for things to stay the same. MGSV did not do that and it'll be interesting to see if its recency helps it or if this is just a bad MGS game in comparison. I'm going to bank on it doing pretty well, but that's partially because Perfect Dark is a dated game that didn't age as gracefully as 007. (I'm talking memories, not gameplay)

transience's prediction: Metal Gear Solid V with 64.56%


Leon’s Analysis

It’s time to see what MGSV is made of. Perfect Dark is a known quantity, having appeared in all the Games Contests thus far (bet you wouldn’t have guessed that…!), and it’s not very strong. If MGSV can’t put up a big number here, it could spell trouble for round two. I’ve been skeptical of what kind of strength MGSV will have. It’s possible this is the strongest it will ever be due to recency bias, like MGS4 was back in the day. At the same time, this game didn’t have the hype factor MGS4 did, and it hasn’t taken nearly as long for people to find all the warts on MGSV as it did for MGS4. Its flaws are a lot more noticeable. Perhaps people are willing to overlook it due to how great the gameplay is, but at the same time, they scaled back on a lot of things that make MGS as a series so beloved. We’ve also seen that newer games haven’t fared so well thus far, so while Perfect Dark may not be a strong game, it probably holds a certain level of nostalgia that MGSV just does not have. I don’t entertain any ideas of MGSV actually losing this match, but it won’t surprise me at all if it looks bad here.

Leonhart’s Vote: Metal Gear Solid V

Leonhart’s Prediction: Metal Gear Solid V with 59.75%
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
11/14/2015 8:48:59 PM#447
Kleenex’s Analysis

This is an interesting match, perhaps not due to who wins, but because of how well the winner does. MGS5 should be able to take this one down without a ton of trouble - Perfect Dark is nothing special and probably doesn’t have much of a chance here. But after MGS4’s performance and seeing that FFIX was able to do to KH, I call into question just how strong Metal Gear will be this year. MGS5 is still very new, but the honeymoon period on that game seems to have evaporated fairly quickly. That’s not to say people hate the game, the general opinion still trends towards the positive spectrum, but the fervor isn’t that. There’s a lot of “yeah, but…” going on in regards to the game. I can definitely see MGS5 disappointing in a big way. I don’t know how much that’s going to correlate to MGS1-3 as they seem like separate entities compared to 4 and 5, but it’s something to keep an eye on.

Metal Gear Solid V with 61%



Guest’s Analysis - Xeybozn

Metal Gear Solid V is the second MGS game to show up in this contest. Unfortunately for Metal Gear fans (and anyone with Metal Gear games going far), we've already seen MGS4 flop hard. Is this a sign of a bad things to come for the entire series, or is it just proof that MGS4 hate is now the common opinion among all gamers? I have no idea, but if you want the Metal Gear series to do well later in this contest, you should hope that MGSV can score a big win here; Perfect Dark just isn't popular enough to have a shot here, so this match is all about MGSV showing its strength and maybe redeeming the series. I don't really expect MGSV to really impress too much, though. It's new enough that plenty of people haven't gotten around to playing it yet, and plenty of fans have complained that it isn't as good as the previous games. I could see those factors leading to MGSV getting upset by the right game, but is Perfect Dark the one to do it? No way.

Prediction: Metal Gear Solid V - 60.08%



Crew Consensus: Such a lust for MGSV, CREWWWWWW
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
MGS5 is a very good stealth action game and also a terrible MGS game

so this should be interesting!
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Communists
whoa you guys are low on mgsv
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iphonesience
11/14/2015 9:56:24 PM#450
Division 6: Round 1 - Match 44 – (4) Dark Souls vs. (13) Civilization V

Moltar’s Analysis

Civ has never looked good on GameFAQs, so I'm not worried about an upset here.

The Dark Souls games are highly appreciated and have gained some traction on the site. I don't think Dark Souls will end up looking all that strong in the end, but it shouldn't have any trouble disposing of fodder.

Moltar’s Bracket: Dark Souls

Moltar’s Prediction: Dark Souls - 66%



Transience’s Analysis

Dark Souls is big. Like, really big. I'm not sure if a more influential game has come out in the last five years. I'd have to think about it. Everything these days is "like Dark Souls" or "(genre) + dark souls".

Now, normally I'd kinda write this off, but Dark Souls is esoteric and old-school in a way that GameFAQs might actually appreciate. A lot of people adore this series and respect goes a long way. GF might not respect a Halo or a GTA, but Dark Souls is fantasy and action and all the things that are, at least theoretically, up GF's alley.

It needs to prove that it can hang with a proven series. Civ is a proven name but not a proven series here. People know what it is but it's no Metal Gear. I think Dark Souls could have a deep run in it if the cards fall right. It'll beat Civ, but it'll need a doubling to convince people that it can hang with MGSV. Perfect Dark is the stronger game so if MGSV can go ahead than Dark Souls here, that upset might be off the table.

transience's prediction: Dark Souls with 67.41%



Leon’s Analysis

Okay, it’s time to see what Dark Souls is made of. This is a game that’s seemingly gained a lot of momentum as the last generation went along as one of the better games of the generation. Demon’s Souls did pretty respectably on Half-Life 2 the other day, and I’d expect Dark Souls to be better than that. We saw Civilization IV in GOTD, and it lost to Persona 3. I can’t imagine Civ V being noticeably better. I’m not sure what number Dark Souls should shoot for here to feel like it’s got a shot at MGSV next round, but at the very least, it needs to outdo MGSV’s percentage by a decent margin because I’d take Perfect Dark over Civ V pretty easily.

Leonhart’s Vote: Dark Souls

Leonhart’s Prediction: Dark Souls with 64.60%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Demon’s Souls flopped pretty bad from where I’m sitting. Dark Souls is a totally different thing to be sure, but it gives me pause. It should still be good enough to beat Civ, though. I love me some Civ 5, especially after the expansions, but that game doesn’t stand a chance. It’s the complete antithesis of the game that GameFAQs likes and the closest Civ ever came to doing anything noteworthy was holding barely Zelda under 90% in the series contest. This could set an interesting match up next round, though, depending on how MGS5 ends up doing.

Dark Souls with 68%



Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

These are dark times for the souls residing in all of civilization.

Dark Souls with 74%



Crew Consensus: CIVILIZATION DIED
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

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