GameFAQs Contests
Best. Game. Ever. Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Lopen's unofficial guest analysis: Yo Metroid. Prime, man Lopen's unofficial guest prediction: Metroid with 64.64% --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
The Mana Sword posted... well at least we had an enjoyable six days this is true it was fun while we had it --- satoru iwata (edited 11/10/2015 9:55:28 PM)report |
Why is there always just enough time for these rallies to complete. --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
pjbasis posted... Why is there always just enough time for these rallies to complete. because life hates us if a game I like were trying to complete a rally it'd never make it --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
no one wants to rally for rinoa --- satoru iwata |
Our new Tumblr rulers would probably agree --- satoru iwata |
she's been the focus on FFVIII's match picture and look at how much FFVIII has gone up since the rally started --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
FF8/10 boost incoming --- satoru iwata |
Goombacrusher posted... _Dog posted...A non-game Visual novels are not games. They are (overpriced) "choose-your-adventure" software. You can like them, but you can't call them games. --- Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing) On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no. |
it's too bad really, I was kind of into the idea of undertale pulling off an upset pre-match, but not like this --- http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 28 – (4) Half-Life 2 vs. (13) Demon's Souls Moltar’s Analysis Despite seeing the original Half-Life get taken out with ease by FFX, HL2 is two steps above that (but not 3 because you know why). Dark Souls would lead to an interesting match here, but this is the not as popular and not as cool predecessor Demon's Souls. It won't have the power to beat a proven game with strength like Half Life 2. Moltar’s Bracket: Half-Life 2 Moltar’s Prediction: Half-Life 2 - 63% Transience’s Analysis The "Souls" series finally gets a chance to show its stuff. We've got essentially three games coming up here and all of them are pretty well liked and respected. Still, on today's GameFAQs they're new, and in Demon's Souls's case we're looking at a PS3 exclusive. I don't think that series really hit critical mass until Dark Souls. I've got respect for Dark Souls but not enough to hang with Half-Life 2. I"m really curious to see how Half-Life 2 looks. It sure seems like it should be a big game, and should probably the favourite in a rematch with Prime given how PC has grown over the last five years, but nobody seems to be respecting it. It should be our biggest PC game, right? Yeah it's on other platforms but let's be real - this is a PC game through and through. transience's prediction: Half-Life 2 with 63.31% Leon’s Analysis Half-Life 2 will get a shot at redemption against Prime next round. I feel like HL2 needs to come close to matching Prime’s percentage to have a chance because I’d take Demon’s Souls over Morrowind, for whatever that’s worth. That being said, while I know the Souls series has taken off since GOTD with Dark Souls, I wouldn’t expect Demon’s Souls to benefit retroactively too much from that. I banked on that with Persona 3, and look where that got me! This isn’t really the place to shoot for a kooky upset if you’re a Souls fan. There’s a better opportunity for that elsewhere in the bracket. Gordon Freeman Sometimes Wins. Leonhart’s Vote: Half-Life 2 Leonhart’s Prediction: Half-Life 2 with 65.15% Kleenex’s Analysis I have no idea how the Souls series is going to do in this contest. Half-Life 2 is the kind of game that could get taken advantage of, but Demon’s Souls is also probably the weakest of the three Souls entrants. I actually took Demon’s Souls in my bracket for this match (and in the next match!!) but thinking through it, that seems like a mistake. The original Half-Life did surprisingly well against FFX and Half-Life 2 is almost assuredly stronger than that. I probably wouldn’t be shocked if Half-Life 2 completely wiped the floor with its opponent today. If it does do that, Metroid Prime better be shaking in its boots. Half-Life 2 with 63% Guest’s Analysis - firefdr Hopefully an easy first round for HL2, setting up a much deserved HL2 vs. MP rematch!.. where it will probably lose again. Anyways HL2 should at least double Demon's Souls here. GFSW. Half-Life 2 with 69% Crew Consensus: GFSW indeed --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
I think I'd take Morrowind over Demon's Souls. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour posted... I dunno. It got 81% on inFamous 1 in GOTD, so it can definitely get that high. This. I have a marked distrust of western games in these contests, but Fallout is an exception--that GotD performance for Fallout 3 (all the way to the semifinals! I don't really remember my bracket but I'm almost sure I would've messed that one up) being the most outstanding performance but also Vault Boy's impressive performance in CBVIII. (Why didn't we nominate him again for CBIX? 39% on Leon Kennedy was pretty legit, especially when it was better than Leon's R2 opponent could manage.) The Mana Sword posted... oh Just got there. --- FC 5026-4424-6331 -- Native Vivillon type: Polar Still need Marine, Sun, Icy Snow, Monsoon, River, Jungle, and Ocean |
Transience’s Analysis So I've been playing Undertale slowly over the last couple of weeks. It really isn't very good! But don't tell that to the Undertale fanbase. It's basically a repeat of the Earthbound/Mother 3 fanbase and those guys are second to none in fandom. They will fight and claw for every bit of respect. I expect Undertale to be the same even though it is easily the least known game in the bracket, not to mention the newest. I've heard people mention that Undertale will get rallied and I'll believe it. I also don't think very highly of ME3 - this game lost to Xenoblade in GOTY, and while I don't think it's that embarrassing, it's also not good - and there's also the fact that ME3 is a great rally target/anti-vote magnet. It should not be enough to matter, but with low vote totals you never know. shoulda gone for it! --- xyzzy |
best point I've ever lost on my brakcet --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
Lopen posted... Well I hope you're right. Shaking up vote totals would make things interesting. With the Draven matches, the rally linked directly to the results page for just one match. So when that match came to an end, anyone checking out the results page couldn't be bothered to use the links on the page to browse to the next match. The Undertale rally was different, because it linked directly to a voting page that displayed 4 different matches. If anyone saw the rally post after the Undertale match ended and they checked out the voting page, they would see a completely different set of matches. So we're getting a rally spill over effect where the people who didn't get a chance to vote for Undertale are now voting in the new set of matches. Those who got their chance to vote for Undertale probably won't be checking the site again for the new matches. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Skyrim has been shooting up like a rocket for the past 3 hours, so it should look much better by the end of this match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
man Prime and HL2 tanked hard overnight I was looking good to get both of those points too --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Fallout 3 72.55% 37861 Life is Strange 27.45% 14324 TOTAL VOTES 52185 Undertale 50.95% 28218 Mass Effect 3 49.05% 27162 TOTAL VOTES 55380 Grand Theft Auto: Vice City 39.32% 20745 Final Fantasy VIII 60.68% 32008 TOTAL VOTES 52753 Super Mario World 73.27% 40067 Animal Crossing: New Leaf 26.73% 14616 TOTAL VOTES 54683 Crew Predictions: 21/24 What Happened: tumblr What Will Happen: These matches are happening on the same day: Mario 3 / Pokemon RBY, Sonic 2 / Uncharted 2, Fallout 3 / Undertale, FF8 / Mario World. Fallout 3/Undertale could be a war and Mario 3/RBY, the former match of the second round, is reduced to collateral damage. Crew Prediction Challenge: Points for everyone minus Undertale Guest: 22 Moltar: 21 Leonhart: 21 Kleenex: 19 transience: 19 Crew Accuracy Challenge: Kleenex gets Fallout 3 and Mario World, Leon gets FF8. It's a two man race! Leonhart: 7 Kleenex: 6.5 Moltar: 3.5 Guest: 2.5 transience: 2.5 --- xyzzy |
Well I looked pretty smart for the first 3 minutes of the match Looks like we did keep a good amount of the extra votes for that's cool --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I
think we need to wait until tomorrow until we see if we actually
retained votes. Assuming you're judging that by vote totals, it's
probably just spillover from last night. --- http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png |
there
have been several games in round 1 i kinda expected to win because of
rallying - minecraft, hearthstone and yes, undertale - but phoenix
wright? didn't see that happening >_> --- Geothermal terpsichorean ejectamenta |
PW
has come a long LONG way tbh. Even though theres been like 1 3DS game
so far you have to hand it to PW. Barely being doubled by 2011 GOTY
which even Skyward sowrd barely did is very impressive. PW>Skyward
Sword i'd be ok with that. Or Skyrim is just isn't that strong and will fall to Prime. |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 29 – (3) Super Mario 64 vs. (14) Mario Kart 8 Moltar’s Analysis Strong Mario vs weak Mario exciting stuff here SM64 is another big favorite that could go far. Can it deliver an SFF beatdown and end up looking as strong as CT/SMB3 have so far? Brawl got 83% on MKDS, so I can see SM64 putting up similar numbers. Thanks old matches you make my job easy. Moltar’s Bracket: Super Mario 64 Moltar’s Prediction: Super Mario 64 - 82% Transience’s Analysis So, this is my first writeup since the Undertale madness began. It's 10:23pm ET and Undertale is trying to come back (and probably will). It's tough to continue doing reasoned analysis when something bonkers like that can throw the whole thing into shambles, but we must push on and pretend like it never happened! Hopefully this contest doesn't get too diluted in this stuff. I mean, it's absolutely inevitable which is why I had a really hard time making the bracket or picking Ocarina of Time to win again: you just knew some game was going to upset our little utopia of 35,000 voters. As it turns out, even the most obscure game in the bracket can blow over this house of cards. So where does that leave us today? Well, here's Mario 64, a game that's thought to be in our top 10 and possibly #2. A surprising amount of people are backing Mario 64 after beating CT twice and nearly besting LTTP. I'm not as high on 64 as others but it's clearly going to rock this division unless Skyrim is legit. (And with Phoenix Wright in the poll after the Undertale match, I get the feeling that one is not going to be legitimate in the slightest.) *hits reload* oh, a 186 vote cut. Yep. Too bad so sad, Mario 3. Okay, time to focus on the future and not what is the distant past by the time people read this. Mario 64's opponent is Mario Kart 8, a game that's liked but is just too new for this site to care about it. Nintendo's stronghold is with people's memories and 20somethings are not going to fall in love with a Mario Kart in 2014. They'll give some love to Mario Kart 64 and maybe SMK but everything after that is too new and too sequel-y for people to truly care. MK8 is a good game but Mario 64 is revolutionary. transience's prediction: Super Mario 64 with 77.11% Leon’s Analysis Man, what a pointless match. We’ve got perhaps the king of the Mario series going up against the Wii U Mario Kart. Super Mario 64 could put up 99% and I wouldn’t take it to mean anything. What a way to waste the only Mario Kart game in the bracket, and what a waste only to have this Mario Kart game and not Super Mario Kart or Mario Kart 64. We’ve already seen big Nintendo on Nintendo blowout action, so expect that to continue here. Leonhart’s Vote: Mario Kart 8 Leonhart’s Prediction: Super Mario 64 with 80.40% --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Kleenex’s Analysis All aboard the train to rally town! Yesterday really took the wind out of my sails for this contest. It’s no secret that I wasn’t a huge fan of what happened in 2013, and I didn’t love how it went down last night either. I know some people were trying to minimize what happened, saying that it was only yesterday and it’s not a big deal, but I’m not convinced. We’ve never seen a rally of that size just disappear after one round. They either go until they reach an opponent with a higher vote ceiling than their rally power, or until the site admin puts the kibosh on it. The later isn’t really an option because there’s no wrongdoing going on, so it’s up to Fallout. This also doesn’t exclude this from happening to other games. If this was a one-shot deal and everything goes back to normal now I’d be thrilled, but I’m not convinced we see this multiple times this year. We’ll find out sooner rather than later. That aside, Mario Kart 8 is not a game that gets rallied for. It’s a great Mario Kart game, probably my second favorite in the series, but it’s up against a juggernaut. Maybe the worst juggernaut it could have drawn other than Ocarina of Time. I expect MK8 to get humiliated pretty badly and for Mario to look pretty good. Nintendo hasn’t appeared unstoppable so far this year, but pre-rally Mario World showed that Nintendo franchises still know how to fall in line when facing the big boys, which is what should happen here. Super Mario 64 with 79% Guest’s Analysis - tennisboy213 Why would I pick possibly the biggest SSF beatdown of the contest? Well, I predict this will be even worse than others seem to think. Old vs. new? Check. Mainline vs. spin-off? Check. Arguably the second strongest game on the site vs. fodder? Check. BlowoutFAQs in full-force? Check. The stronger Mario 64 looks here, the more confident some people will be in its ability to advance to the finals. Personally, I don't think this match will tell us anything. (3) Super Mario 64 - 85% (14) Mario Kart 8 - 15% Crew Consensus: Mario beats Mario --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Master Moltar posted... It's tough to continue doing reasoned analysis when something bonkers like that can throw the whole thing into shambles, but we must push on and pretend like it never happened! This is a really silly thing to say. Why even bother with contests if you don't want anything unexpected to ever happen? It's like complaining about a clutch win from a baseball team in the last inning, because "it throws the whole thing into shambles" --- http://i.imgur.com/pLE4OWy.png http://i.imgur.com/eBWcN1b.gif HIT THE LEVER! (edited 11/11/2015 6:51:56 PM)report |
the
contest is one thing, trying to provide logical analysis of something
that can swing on a whim is another! I'm still on board with watching
the contest. just don't expect me (or anyone) to offer much insight if
it's a tumblr-reddit war. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 30 – (6) Final Fantasy Tactics vs. (11) Resident Evil 2 Moltar’s Analysis Underhyped match right here. Most people are taking FFT and not looking back, but it's not like RE2 is fodder. It didn't do too badly in a match were it couldn't win along with Goldeneye and SMRPG. FFT put up similar numbers against MGS and Pokemon GS...which is stronger competition so logically it is the stronger game here. ... Alright yeah I can see now why most people moved on. FFT would have to have lost a step or two to drop this match. Moltar’s Bracket: Final Fantasy Tactics Moltar’s Prediction: Final Fantasy Tactics - 58% Transience’s Analysis Back in the 2004 contest, Final Fantasy pretty much butchered every PS1 series. FFT did everything but beat Metal Gear Solid and FF7 like 70/30'd it. We called possible SFF/wonkiness on that match for years. I think Final Fantasy just overshadows the entire PS1 generation in a lot of people's eyes. FFT has fallen a long way but, like, it's still a way bigger name than RE2. RE2's legit! -- but I don't know that it can stand up to PS1 Final Fantasy. Even if it is Tactics. transience's prediction: Final Fantasy Tactics with 61.44% Leon’s Analysis This is an interesting match I felt like didn’t get very much discussion pre-contest. I think most people mindlessly picked Final Fantasy to win and moved on. After all, it’s just a one point match. I think RE2 has a shot here though. We talk about how much FFVII has fallen, but I think FFT has dropped even harder than that. It went from 50/50 with MGS1 in 2004 to 38% on MGS1 in 2009. Ramza went from 42% on Kirby to losing to friggin’ Hogger (I literally completely forgot about Hogger ever being in a contest until I wrote that line just now). RE2 also did decently in 2009 in a match with GoldenEye and Mario RPG. It’s probably a decent mid-tier level game. All that being said, I’m sticking with Tactics here. ‘90s Square has looked pretty good so far, and I’m hoping some of that will transfer to FFT. RE2 winning wouldn’t surprise me a bit though. Leonhart’s Vote: Final Fantasy Tactics Leonhart’s Prediction: Final Fantasy Tactics with 53.20% Kleenex’s Analysis Square, on the other hand, has been looking wonderful. Final Fantasy Tactics falls right into the year range of Square games that have been impressing, and Resident Evil 2 is not powerhouse. Resident Evil only becomes more and more irrelevant as the years go by, and even though 2 is pretty popular among the fanbase, I don’t see it being able to put up the performance it needs to beat FFT. It won’t be a blowout, but FFT should win this comfortably and set up a date to get crushed by Mario next round. Final Fantasy Tactics with 56% Guest’s Analysis - mespirit How did these two games even make it to the contest? FFT is best remembered as a game that is superseded by its better successors FFTA and FFTA2 (too bad, another FFT game doesn't seem to be coming out soon), while RE2 is remembered as the filler of the gap between RE and RE3 at best. Not very promising for both sides, but I expect the Final Fantasy brand to carry FFT through. It also helps that FFT is a PSX-era game, and the abovementioned effect will be the strongest. Final Fantasy Tactics with 54.01% Crew Consensus: re2 dead --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Master Moltar posted... filler of the gap between RE and RE3 at best. ...lol? --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
You might as well say Kirby Super Star was just the filler between Dream Land 2 and 3 --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
FFT is best remembered as a game that is superseded by its better successors FFTA and FFTA2 Oh --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
How did these two games even make it to the contest? FFT is best remembered as a game that is superseded by its better successors FFTA I don't know who this guy is but me and him have problems. --- Hello, I'm Chris! https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif |
Oh it was just a joke then --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
Activate Crew Curse. |
oh I forgot to send in a writeup I'll just PM one in a bit edit: sent --- Welcome to the League of raytan, CBIX Guru winner! http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif (edited 11/11/2015 8:36:12 PM)report |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 31 – (7) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess vs. (10) Skies of Arcadia Moltar’s Analysis http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1627-division-128-round-1-the-legend-of-zelda-the-wind-waker-vs Now it's Twilight Princess's turn to see if it can outdo that. With the lower vote totals and knowing how devoted SoA fans still are to the game, I'm going to say...no. Moltar’s Bracket: Twilight Princess Moltar’s Prediction: Twilight Princess - 72% Transience’s Analysis Skies of Arcadia is more popular than we think, probably. That game has hung around quietly and still gets talked up today. Some games, like Symphonia, show their warts after everyone chills out. Skies doesn't seem to be like that, though.. it's like an earlier version of Xenoblade where the fans, especially the Nintendo ones, back it like crazy. Oh yeah. Twilight Princess blows it to bits. transience's prediction: Twilight Princess with 72.01% Leon’s Analysis Twilight Princess is in kind of a weird position. Even though it’s proven itself to be a strong game in 2009 and 2010, the people who dislike it are reluctant to believe it’s actually strong! That’s pretty irrelevant for this match, of course, since Skies of Arcadia is an easy win regardless of what you think of TP’s strength. I’m more looking ahead to its round 3 match with Mario 64 because I’d entertained the idea that TP could give it a good match, but a lot of people were quick to dismiss its chances, usually the people who disliked the game. I’m not sure what Twilight Princess would need to put up here to make it feel like it has a chance, but it should be able to break 70% here without much trouble. It’s a shame that Skies of Arcadia has gotten fed to Zelda in two of its Games Contest appearances, but at least it got a win in Game of the Decade and Vyse has a Character Battle win (from 11 years ago, but still). I’ll have to be content with that, I guess! Leonhart’s Vote: Skies of Arcadia Leonhart’s Prediction: Twilight Princess with 71.65% Kleenex’s Analysis Remember when Skies of Arcadia related things used to be used as a fodder line reference? Those were the days! The opinion on Twilight Princess has shifted dramatically since it came out. It’s no longer the newest Zelda game, so it doesn’t attract as much hate as it used to. It did well in Game of the Decade, it did well in 2009, and it’ll very likely do well here. Another chance for Nintendo to flex it muscles before the boss man gets a shot, I think TP stands a chance to look very strong today. Skies of Arcadia is so far removed from any kind of real relevancy, I wouldn’t be shocked to see it get quadrupled. It could still have enough fans to prevent that, but not by much. Zelda: Twilight Princess with 78% --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus You guys demanded a longer writeup, so here goes: First of all, notice that a 7 seed has failed to advance so far this contest. That probably doesn't last. Imagine if we had seen Twilight Princess vs. Final Fantasy VIII in Round 1 and Skies pit against Vice City or Minecraft. Anyway, like Goldeneye before it Twilight Princess ranked surprisingly low on that top 100 from last year, but as Goldeneye is proving today that it's still a force to be reckoned with Twilight Princess could very well do so. On the other hand, Twilight Princess's performances in some polls has been rather suspect. In a Best Zelda poll in 2011 it lost to Wind Waker, something which no past contest has indicated would happen - never mind TP (stupidly) crushing WW in some polls from before. Of course this could be chalked up to Ocarina SFFing TP particularly hard. Then in the "Game of the Generation" poll, Twilight Princess did 10% worse on Mario Galaxy compared to their match in GOTD, but maybe Brawl's presence meant something weird? Twilight Princess feels like a game that a fairly devoted fanbase will stick by but I still think it will be weaker than it was in past contests. All that probably means is that it has no chance at upsetting Mario 64. It's probably still the 2nd strongest game in the division, and Twilight Princess being stronger than Metroid Prime is stupid but oh well. TP's opponent actually finished about 30 spots higher on the list, and looked fairly legit in GOTD, then the game it lost to in that contest just upset Mario Galaxy 2. On the other hand, its main character has been incredibly bad fodder the past two contests he has been in. Without THE LIST there's no way I'd wager Skies to do anything other than get blown out, but taking that and Mass Effect's performance here into consideration it might be able to avoid getting completely crushed. I'll just go with the % I initially picked in my much shorter analysis and call it a day. Twilight Princess with 68% Crew Consensus: it's freakin' zelda --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
clarification i'm not actually writing transience's suikoden writeup --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
I'm not saying th Zelda Anniversary starts tomorrow but --- satoru iwata |
alright **** you guest for the ffta bs --- xyzzy |
Goombacrusher posted... This is a really silly thing to say. Why even bother with contests if you don't want anything unexpected to ever happen? It's like complaining about a clutch win from a baseball team in the last inning, because "it throws the whole thing into shambles" it's actually nothing like that there are metrics you can pull from that there's nothing to analyze about rallies "Undertale rallies, Undertale wins. Undertale doesn't rally, Undertale doesn't win." --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Yeah it'd be more like if complaining like if the refs blatantly screwjobbed a team out of a win --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
