GameFAQs Contests
Best. Game. Ever. Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
a hearthstone rally has been a concern ever since the bracket was released. --- Geothermal terpsichorean ejectamenta |
Mr Lasastryke posted... a hearthstone rally has been a concern ever since the bracket was released. Really? I don't think anyone had any real worry that Ocarina of Time would lose to a rally. --- satoru iwata |
Well, if Heartstone OoT turns out to be a Link vs Draven affair, sure. I never had so much fun refreshing a page. I wanted Link to beat Draven in the end but I wouldn't trade the whole shenanigans for a boring match. --- http://i.imgur.com/8t1rzi1.gif |
Hope someone contacts a heartstone streamer or something like that. --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
Ulti
mentioned the possibility of a rally making Hearthstone win against OoT
in his pre-contest analysis. Pretty sure there have been other users
who were saying similar stuff, too. --- Geothermal terpsichorean ejectamenta |
The
thing about Draven, and really all of these out of nowhere runs, is
that they all started relatively small and built up a bandwagon/more
rallying over time. When you're up against the absolute best at the
beginning, it already lowers the chance of it happening. Also, Zelda
fans tend to react to rallies rather than watch it happen. Draven had
Reddit, but people were making pushes for Link everywhere, too. It's a
bit different, I think. Like, Undertale is how these things start --
beating a game no one really cares for and building momentum over time,
not going up against the final boss at the beginning. --- satoru iwata (edited 11/10/2015 5:45:37 PM)report |
I
think we all have very realistic expectations that this contest could
be "ruined" at any given moment. we avoided the Minecraft one, the
Undertale one is still a longshot but these things can grow, then we've
got Hearthstone... uhh save us mass effect 3 --- xyzzy |
wow, I just looked at the other results. you don't screw up one match, you screw up four! --- xyzzy |
Yeah, Mario World got wrecked in percentage. Tumblr! --- satoru iwata |
this is the greatest thing I've ever seen --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
where did the rally even come from? Toby didn't tweet --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
People say from Tumblr. --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
It's from Tumblr, yeah. --- Geothermal terpsichorean ejectamenta |
I can't take this anymore, fire up that counter-rally Leon! --- Have you listened to this week's episode of The Show yet, buddy? board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 25 – (1) The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim vs. (16) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Moltar’s Analysis So Skyrim is talked about as one of, if not, the strongest western game on GameFAQs. It does have some impressive non-contest performances under its belt, but now it's showtime for real. PW's solid core fanbase could have maybe done something crazy against GTAV, but Skyrim's too liked on the site for a crazy upset. Moltar’s Bracket: Skyrim Moltar’s Prediction: Skyrim - 73% Transience’s Analysis Finally, after years of talk, Skyrim gets to show what it's made of. Its first match is a pretty easy one but not one it can impress in. Phoenix Wright will probably embarrass it here just because of our site makeup: low vote totals, heavily leaning towards Japanese games and preferring the days of yesteryear. There's a certain segment of the population that probably doesn't care about games like Skyrim and never will. If Skyrim can push 75% then I'll see that as a positive. I think it struggles a bit to get there. transience's prediction: Skyrim with 72.56% Leon’s Analysis Finally time to see Skyrim in some real action. Ever since it dominated GOTY and destroyed a mainline Zelda game, we’ve been eager to see what this thing can do in a real contest. It gets an easy win here, although Ace Attorney might be the strongest of the 16 seeds (not that it means much, but still). It should be interesting to see how high it can go here, especially considering we’ve seen the top seeds land bigger blowouts than we originally anticipated. We won’t really find out what Skyrim is worth until next round though. Leonhart’s Vote: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (The miracle never happen) Leonhart’s Prediction: Skyrim with 71.50% Kleenex’s Analysis Yesterday showed us that western games can still pack a punch as long as they have the word Bethesda on the cover. Skyrim is probably the most hyped entrant since the last games contest we had, and has the most potential of any game released since 2010. Skyrim has slaughtered every poll it has been in, was widely praised when it came out and is still looked on positively today. The only slight wrench is that this was a game that came out four years ago and if people will still care in 2015. I think Fallout 3’s performance yesterday shows that people can still care about a game many years later. Yes, Fallout was helped by a game release yesterday, but I think some of that will also carry over to Skyrim. So what kind of numbers can we expect from Skyrim? It’s facing tough competition than Fallout 3. Phoenix Wright is on a list of games that could definitely beat Life is Strange. A list including, but not limited to, inFamous. That being said, Skyrim is also likely stronger than Fallout. I’d probably expect a similar performance today, possibly slightly lower as the PW name has a lot more recognition than LiS. I kinda hope it goes crazy though so we can actually put the fear in Mario 64. Skyrim with 80% --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Guest’s Analysis - Luster Soldier Skyrim is the biggest up and coming prospect to make its contest debut. Some people had hoped of getting a Game of the Generation contest because Game of the Decade was a very good contest, and I'm glad we didn't get a GotG contest. Instead, Skyrim gets to prove itself on the biggest grand stage, an all-generational no division by era contest. With Brawl likely being weaker today than it was in GotD, Skyrim could be the strongest game of the last generation or at least the second strongest behind Fallout 3. A game of this potential strength deserves a shot to compete against the very best games of all-time. While still unproven in a contest setting (until tomorrow), the game has been out for quite some time to get some data regarding the game's potential strength. Skyrim will be making its debut exactly 4 years from the date it was released. During the time since its release, we've seen Skyrim double a mainline console Zelda game in the GotY polls, dominate a Game of the Generation poll (granted, with some Nintendo LFF), and then dominate a "favorite 5th series entry game" poll. Skyrim has all the raw intangibles working in its favor. It's an RPG game, which gives it appeal among the GameFAQ audience. It was an extremely hyped game prior to release and really established a foothold on this site unlike the large majority of the big-name games that come out every year. Other games in the series are of known contest strength and it's hard to see Skyrim buck the trend by turning out to be a contest dud. Luster Soldier's Bracket: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Luster Soldier's Prediction: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 71.63% Crew Consensus: Skyrim reaches for the sky --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
45 55 i'm giddy --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
Lopen's Unofficial Guest Analysis: True story, when this bracket came out, I was seriously humoring Phoenix Wright here. I felt like that would be the perfect game to pull off some weird Cinderella run and that 16 > 1 was oh so tempting. Not because I thought Skyrim was weak or anything as much as I just had this weird feeling that GameFAQs would be silly for that match cause it's so Turnabout. I don't even think Skyrim is going to be weak, but I do feel like Phoenix Wright officially has enough exposure to make matches it has no business making close close. Especially with LOW VOTE TOTALS, MAN. And now let's assume, just for the sake of humoring an argument, that the so called "rallied" votes of today stick around to any sort of meaningful degree. Would they not favor Phoenix Wright? They seem to be voting in droves for other matches that are fairly random, so why not this one? That's right. I can twist this to work. Do I actually believe it has any chance of happening? I'm... well... I'm confident enough to put it the idea out there and think if nothing else I'll have some chance to be vindicated? It's not like my points count anyway! Let's do it! Lopen's unofficial guest prediction: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney with 51.80% --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
yesssssssssss --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
crew curse avoided thanks to lopen. --- Geothermal terpsichorean ejectamenta |
oh Lopen --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 26 – (8) GoldenEye 007 vs. (9) Diablo II Moltar’s Analysis Time to find out how legit Goldeneye is! Before it's always had the excuse of being held down by a Zelda or a Mario in the poll, but now it finally gets a chance to strut its stuff against a solid non-Nintendo opponent. Diablo II is no pushover, but Goldeneye has shown signs of being a powerhouse, including a #7 spot on THE LIST (where halo was #9 lol). Even though Goldeneye is practically unplayable these days, Goldeneye nostalgia is insane as people have very fond memories of the game. It could end up anywhere here, from dropping this match to making Skyrim sweat bullets. I'll hope for a respectable showing from the classic shooter. Moltar’s Bracket: GoldenEye Moltar’s Prediction: GoldenEye - 57% Transience’s Analysis This match has tortured the critical thinkers of board 8 for a while now. Goldeneye just feels like a fraud, you know? Who still plays Goldeneye? Yeah, it was a big deal once upon a time but very few people are really still playing this relic of another era. "You had to be there" defines Goldeneye more than anything. You can't come to Goldeneye within the last 10 years and expect to have a positive experience. Diablo 2, meanwhile, is one of this site's 10 biggest FAQ games ever. A great "what if" is what might have happened if we got Diablo 2 in 2004 instead of Starcraft. It's straight up more popular, more up GameFAQs's alley and is absolutely nostalgic to those who played it back in the day. The game received patches more than a decade after its release and, unlike Goldeneye, is still a masterclass of its genre today. It holds every logical advantage here. And yet Goldeneye is the console game, the Nintendo game, and the safe pick. People who think about this match for more than 5 minutes will come up with great reasons for picking Diablo 2 but voters will just see it, go 'oh man, friggin' Goldeneye!' and vote for it. Trust in Nintendo. Believe in Nintendo. transience's prediction: Goldeneye with 55.01% Leon’s Analysis This is an interesting match on paper. Both games have done decently well in previous Games Contests. I feel like GoldenEye’s results look a little better though. I know transience has been rather dubious of Mario RPG’s (and GoldenEye’s) strength, but I feel like its win over SMRPG in 2009 was more impressive than anything Diablo II did, where it essentially won a 4-way duel with Halo, KOTOR, and GTAIII. Those games are all decent, but nothing great. It also put up 45% on MGS4 in GOTD, which probably looked better at the time than it does now. Now it’s possible GoldenEye is a massive flop and Diablo II wins here, but GE’s ceiling is higher based on their prior results. We’ve seen Halo and KOTOR look decent but not impressive in victory thus far. GoldenEye seems to thrive on nostalgia more than just about any other game, but the results up to this point indicate that nostalgia is a powerful weapon indeed. It was one of the first big “party” games for the N64, and that’s what people remember about it. This is a site that generally doesn’t care about FPS games, but GoldenEye is the exception just because of the multiplayer at the time. I think people who actually care about FPSes get frustrated at how popular GoldenEye is because of its dated mechanics, but this site doesn’t care about that stuff! I doubt anyone voting for GoldenEye has touched the darn thing in 15+ years! I know I haven’t! Leonhart’s Vote: GoldenEye Leonhart’s Prediction: GoldenEye with 57.55% --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
It's crazy world when we are afraid of Phoenix Wright beating something that has been hyped to beat SM64. |
Kleenex’s Analysis My gut is telling me Goldeneye probably wins this. It has always looked reasonable and Diablo II kinda got lucky in its few appearances and managed to squeak through a couple matches though. Despite that, I’m picking Diablo II on the blind hope that people will finally see the light and realize that Goldeneye is actually a steaming pile of garbage and stop voting for it. I don’t have much faith in that though, Blizzard games have never really been very strong barring the 2004 StarCraft debacle. And as a wise Facebook meme once said “Kids these days will never know that before Call of Duty there was!” Diablo II with 51% Guest’s Analysis - TheRealTruth I'm half wondering why I signed up for this write-up. This contest is going to be insane. I have no diea what to pick for a majority of the matches. Even taking something obvious, I feel like my bracket is going to fail. I think I've just been out of the console gaming loop for so long and we haven't had one of these contests for awhile, so now I have no idea where anything stands. Alright, I'm just going to use 2 polls for Goldeneye: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3458-division-4-round-1-dk-country-2-goldeneye-re2-s-mario-rpg http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3484-division-4-round-2-goldeneye-s-mario-rpg-ff7-mariokart64 So Goldeneye looks pretty solid. It always has. Goldeneye and Diablo 2 are probably about the same strength. Here are some polls for Diablo 2: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3468-division-6-round-1-diablo-iilod-gta-3-halo-swkotor http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3489-division-6-round-2-diablo-iilod-halo-ssbm-zelda-ww Diablo 2 beats Halo in both of them. Was Halo stronger than Goldeneye at the time? I don't even know. I'm not going to go back and check the x-stats. In the 2nd match Diablo 2 does better against Halo. So what's going on here? Surprisingly (or not), it looks like Halo and SSBM have quite a bit of overlap here. Diablo 2 practicailly remains untouched, while Halo takes a drop once Melee is thrown in. In the first poll, Halo comes close to winning despite KotOR being there. So it really looks like 4-ways benifitted Diablo 2 quite a bit. I think most people knew that. But I don't think most people knew there was more overlap between Halo/Melee and Halo/KotOR. It makes sense though, right? Both Diablo 2 and Melee were huge games because of their multiplayer. So enough of this nonsense. All of that was back in 2009. That was 6 years ago. Diablo 3 got slammed and Starcraft 2 wasn't a big deal. It's funny that both Starcraft and Diablo 3 made it in, while neither sequel made it in. Starcraft and Goldeneye got a 7 seed, while Diablo 2 got an 8 seed. I don't think anybody here plays Diablo 2. I doubt people here play Goldeneye though either. What did Diablo 3 do to Diablo 2? Probably nothing at all. Goldeneye had some sort hybrid remake for the Wii a few years ago, which got like 4th, pulling in somewhere between 9-10%. Even though most people didn't really care for the game, I thought it did okay in the polls. Basically, it's still getting some love. --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Okay, so all that aside, there are 2 main reasons I'm picking Goldeneye here: 1. Goldeneye is A nintendo Game, specifically an N64 game. It has the higher seed, but unless the match is within 100 votes, I don't think the seeds are going to matter given one is a 6 and 7 seed. Nintendo is big on this site. The west is not. Diablo 2 looks great in 4-ways, but how will it fare in a 1vs1 against James Bond himself? 2. What tipped it for me is that Half-Life 2 is in the same poll as Goldeneye. What brings in more people for Diablo 2? Skyrim and Morrowind? Demon's Souls could I guess. This is kind of a long-winded way of saying I don't know what's going to happen, but I think Goldeneye takes it. This is a great match. Goldeneye with 56.32 Crew Consensus: *insert Bond theme here* --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
ZeldaTPLink posted... It's crazy world when we are afraid of Phoenix Wright beating something that has been hyped to beat SM64. you're using we a bit liberally there --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. raylan is awesome |
Dr_Football posted... ZeldaTPLink posted...It's crazy world when we are afraid of Phoenix Wright beating something that has been hyped to beat SM64. I see Lopen, then I see another guy cheering for Lopen beating the crew curse, and I feel like that's enough to justify the joke. |
Speaking of cursebreakin Lopen's Unofficial Guest Analysis: Yo so we got this Diablo 2 stuff vs this Goldeneye stuff, right? Well I don't know about you, but I think this is tougher than you'd think. First of all, Diablo 2 proved it ain't no slouch. Maybe a bit below the level of Goldeneye, but here's the thing. I feel like Goldeneye is aging more poorly every day. Greater and greater number are the people who acknowledge that Goldeneye doesn't hold up today. And after that Diablo 3 disappointment? Those people are looking back on Diablo 2 more fondly than ever I swear the Undertale did not break me, guys. Lopen's prediction: Diablo 2 with 53.21% --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
that wasn't cursebreaking as kleenex picked diablo 2 too >_> --- Geothermal terpsichorean ejectamenta |
Oh so he did. I kinda just assumed it was unanimously Goldeneye (I generally don't read the analyses till after so as to be honorable, ya know?) --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Seriously
though I blame it on Kleenex not having bold tags for his prediction
and being buried under TRT's dissertation on why Goldeneye wins But yeah I'm probably a bit biased too. Steaming pile for sure ! This one I actually did have the guts to take through to my bracket though --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 11/10/2015 7:56:21 PM)report |
lead below 3k could this happen?? --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
my god, Phoenix Wright you know, I just realized.. Skyrim is really screwed with what's happening right now --- xyzzy |
Phoenix Wright > Skyrim is a sign of TasteFAQs tbqh --- The only ray of light in my life is raytan7585. when thinking of Krystal, does GMUN's pants get overcrowded? ~ GMUN |
SSBM_Guy posted... Phoenix Wright > Skyrim is a sign of TasteFAQs tbqh A non-game should never win over a game. --- Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing) On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no. |
Just
for the record I would actually be pretty decently confident in Phoenix
Wright winning if I was convinced this rally was mostly legitimate (a
lot of it is, but I don't believe it's quite as potent as it looks
here-- smells of exploiting something while a rally causes confusion to
me). Like with the way votes are going Skyrim gets absolutely crushed
by PW if this match was today. More likely though the extra votes utterly disappear after like 5-10 minutes of the match starting. There's a chance I'm wrong, though! And if I'm wrong, I'll be so Wright. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
no way, man. let's check the vote totals tomorrow and see. I bet it boosts at least 10%. --- xyzzy |
I'm sure theres some part of tumblr that still really enjoys arrow in the knee memes --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. raylan is awesome |
Well I hope you're right. Shaking up vote totals would make things interesting. If Draven was any indication though (and this was very Dravenlike in many ways) I don't expect many votes to stick around --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Ngamer64 posted... I can't take this anymore, fire up that counter-rally Leon! but if I do that FFVIII's percentage might start tanking my feelings are conflicted --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I think it would be more interesting to have had a contest without any of this nonsense! I suppose that's too much to ask for though. --- http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png |
_Dog posted... A non-game This is a really stupid thing to say and people should stop it before I punch them really really hard --- http://i.imgur.com/pLE4OWy.png http://i.imgur.com/eBWcN1b.gif HIT THE LEVER! |
girlfaqs is taking over my gamefaqs --- xyzzy |
Master Moltar posted... And as a wise Facebook meme once said “Kids these days will never know that before Call of Duty there was!” Kleenex gets it --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
transience posted... girlfaqs is taking over my gamefaqs girlFAQs only helps Squall and FFVIII I'll allow it --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 27 – (5) Metroid Prime vs. (12) The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind Moltar’s Analysis Morrowind is no Oblivion and Skyrim, which would be some pretty tough competition for Prime. It should do respectable as it's not completely weak, but Prime has some strength and shouldn't lose this one here. I think a 60-40 showing or better here would be good for it here leading into its potential next round rematch. Moltar’s Bracket: Metroid Prime Moltar’s Prediction: Metroid Prime - 61% Transience’s Analysis Morrowind is always more popular than I expect. It's not anywhere near Prime's level though. It's usually tangling with the Warcraft 3's and surprising in fourway polls. Prime is several steps above that. I'm sketchy about Prime in general but it did beat Half-Life 2 and got close to Fallout 3. Morrowind could never hang with Fallout 3 ever. transience's prediction: Metroid Prime with 64.56% Leon’s Analysis This match is just a warmup for Prime’s potential showdown with Skyrim. We know this site didn’t really care about Elder Scrolls before Oblivion (Street Fighter doubled it in the Series Contest), and that includes Morrowind. It went 50/50 with Warcraft III in GOTD before getting hammered by Melee. Not much to see here. This match won’t tell us too much about Prime either way, so let’s just move on. Leonhart’s Vote: Metroid Prime Leonhart’s Prediction: Metroid Prime with 68.05% --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Kleenex’s Analysis Two Elder Scrolls games in one day? Who put this bracket together! Sadly, there’s a limit to how far the Bethesda name will take you. In this case, it’s only to the narrowest wins over Warcraft III. Morrowind was way before the Bethesda explosion and it does not reap the benefit as such. Metroid Prime is a weird one, though. In Game of the Decade it looked pretty good...or did it? It put up a nice performance of Fallout 3, but it also struggled with Half-Life 2. In 2009, it couldn’t even beat Vice City. That’s the kind of resume I find pretty worrisome. Not enough to lose to Morrowind, but I don’t think Prime is long for this contest. Metroid games have just never impressed the way Samus has, and I expect that to continue today. Metroid Prime with 60% Guest’s Analysis - Magmortar I am one of those crazy people who thinks Prime has a shot at Skyrim. Thus, I feel this should be a good test for it. Morrowind isn't super weak, but it is definitely out of its league in this match. Back in 2010 Melee got around 71% on Morrowind and the stats for 2010 project Prime getting 61%. Elder Scrolls is not exactly the series that gives old games boosts with new titles - probably the exact opposite in fact. Morrowind shouldn't get completely pasted (at least not a badly as other games in this contest) but Prime is a very capable game. I don't really see reason to why it'd be weaker than it was in 2010. A doubling here would be amazing for Prime. 64-65% (which I'm going with) should keep it in contention. If it hovers around the projected 2010 result, I am thinking it is probably screwed against Skyrim unless it blows Half-Life 2's socks off next round (which I wouldn't say is impossible). Metroid Prime: 65.26% Morrowind: 34.82% Crew Consensus: A Prime victory for Metroid --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
oh huh didn't realize we had two Elder Scrolls games on the same day wonder if Morrowind overperforms or something --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
