nobody giving DQ8 a chance damn

I have it losing in my bracket but it's definitely getting my vote
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...
well i mean i think I could say the exact same thing about Mega Man

edit- I should add I agree pretty much completely about Batfever being much lower than it was
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Dr voltchball - best in the world.
raylan is awesome
(edited 11/4/2015 8:40:37 PM)report
Lopen posted...
Good thing I opted out for Kleenex

Crew Curse would be strong for sure. I think if you hold this in 2010 Batman should definitely be the favorite here and by a lot. Only reason I'm picking MMX is speculation on the site-- weird to see it be the favorite since I thought I was somewhat unique with that perspective. Then again I see a lot of NOSTALGIA in these write-ups so maybe not.


A lot of my bracket choices are hinging on the lower votals favouring the staple GameFAQS classics.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
I feel like Arkham City never reached even Mass Effect 2 levels of respected.
And I mean the first two games in the series were good but they were like "fire and forget" kind of good. Nothing really iconic about City. Asylum is a great modern metroidvania which makes it stand out but City is just another sandbox game in a see of Sandbox games.

I think Asylum would have a shot but City has no shot.
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http://www.wwe.com/f/wysiwyg/image/2015/04/20150408_gameofthrones_cena.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
11/4/2015 9:21:56 PM#55
man this is a LOT to read every day (and must be a lot to write!)

as soon as I see how vote totals are looking I'll send in those writeups.
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
DQ8 has a chance. There's just...no real reason to pick it.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
it's the better game why else!!
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satoru iwata
ZFS posted...
it's the better game why else!!


then why aren't we all picking Ratchet & Clank to win
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
because it's facing freaking chrono trigger
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xyzzy
11/4/2015 10:13:46 PM#60
Division 1: Round 1 - Match 4 – (4) Final Fantasy X vs. (13) Half-Life

Moltar’s Analysis

Here's one more dull match to end the day. HL didn't boom on GameFAQs until 2 came out, and the first game isn't going to benefit from that. FFX would easily take care of HL2, so the original has no shot.

Let's see if it can flex its muscles and put up some big numbers heading into what should be a very interesting match with Chrono Trigger later on (spoilers)

Moltar’s Bracket: Final Fantasy X

Moltar’s Prediction: Final Fantasy X - 64%



Transience’s Analysis

Half-Life is a well-respected game. FFX, for whatever reason, has never really taken a weaker game to task in the way that I would expect it to. Put those together and I think Half-Life keeps it relatively close. If there's any kind of outside influence, Half-Life could do some wild things here -- not much is beloved on the internet like the Half-Life series and FFX is a pretty easy target -- but barring that, FFX probably takes this.

I don't think it goes above a doubling just because I don't have a lot of respect for FFX, but something in the low 60s seems fine. Half-Life has kinda aged out thanks to HL2 and I worry that it might just collapse from irrelevance, but I don't think FFX capitalizes. This is a game that could only double FFTA!

transience's prediction:
Final Fantasy X - 65%
Half-Life: 35%



Leon’s Analysis

If this were Half-Life 2, there might be something worth discussing here, but the original Half-Life just doesn’t have that level of popularity. There’s a reason why GFNW was a thing before Half-Life 2 came out! Half-Life couldn’t even beat FFIX with Chrono Cross in the poll weighing it down, so it’s got no shot against FFX. I’m not sure what would be a “good” number for FFX to shoot for here to look good in its upcoming showdowns (barring weird rallies ruining all these matchups, I guess), but it should win easily regardless.

Leonhart’s Vote: Final Fantasy X

Leonhart’s Prediction: Final Fantasy X with 64.60%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Remember that time the original Half-Life did anything significant in any of these contests? Remember that time when people still remembered Half-Life for something other than ridiculous Half-Life 3 conspiracy theories? Not even Pepperidge Farm remembers those.

Final Fantasy X with 66.67%



Guest’s Analysis - Bane_Of_Despair

You have no idea how happy I am to have FFX be the first match that I get to guest on for this contest. Like wow. Anyway, this isn't really a match is it unfortunately? I do love me some Half-Life 1, but I can't imagine anyone having it winning over FFX. Let's see, I guess I should put some history. Half-Life 1 got 43% against Metroid Prime in 2004. Ok, not a total blow-out. But that's over 10 years ago. I can't even be bothered to see or remember what it did in 2009. I don't think time would help Half-Life even with the Black Mesa remake. And even Half-Life 3 hype (it's still there right? Somewhere?) would benefit Half-Life 2 way more than Half-Life 1 I would think. And all of that isn't even factoring in the powerhouse that is FFX. So this is more a match about seeing FFX making a big entrance and showing its power. Like it has to put up pretty big numbers to more safely secure it in its much larger match against Chrono Trigger and beyond.

FFX with 69.44% and I could even see it go like 72% or so.


Crew Consensus: GFNW (against FFX)
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Moltar and tranny boxin' me in
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Wow am I overestimating FFX? I think I have it in the 70s
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LongLiveraytan
I'm just blind guessing most of these percentages, so who knows! If it goes 70%+, all the better!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
we're probably on the low end of the predictions.
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xyzzy
Unofficlal Lopen's Guest Analysis:

Not at all, pjbasis, not at all. FFX gonna surprise here.

Lopen's prediction:
FFX with 73.85%
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Wow my percentage is high compared to everyone else whoops, oh well
---
"Have you ever wondered if there was more to life, other than being really, really, ridiculously good looking?"
Insider scoop I have Final Fantasy X winning the bracket.

I guess we'll see how it goes but I still feel moderately good about that.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lopen posted...
Insider scoop I have Final Fantasy X winning the bracket.


good man

also I don't know what I'm going to do if we get multiple close matches on the same day
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I'll throw my two pence in too if it's alright with you guys:

CT/Ratchet & Clank 3: R&C3 barely held 30% on Golden Sun in GOTD, which despite avoiding the doubling against FFX is hardly an elite game, so it's going to get tripled here unless CT has fallen off a cliff. Still, it's a respected game and should be very tough to beat down into the sub-20s region. Wonder if the extrapolation through Golden Sun will give a hint towards FFX/CT in round 3.

Dragon Quest VIII/Persona 3: This all PS2 JRPG 8/9 match is quite fun for me, as I rather like both of these games. I also feel confident that Persona 3 is the bigger deal here, even if DQVIII did pretty well in holding 38% against Chrono Cross in GOTD. Persona's just been the livelier series since 2010 - check out Persona 5 almost edging MGSV in this year's hype poll. I expect DQVIII will hold up well, significantly better than against Chrono Cross, but never threaten to win. 55/45 or so sounds right.

Batman: Arkham City/Mega Man X: You can do some fancy extrapolation on Mega Man 9 through Okami and Metroid Prime to show that Arkham Asylum would probably not have broken 60% on it in GOTD, and I'd take X to be much stronger than 9, given its high playrate and Mega Man X, the character's, high popularity on the site. If it doesn't at least make this a barnburner I'd be very worried about old games holding up later on. I see it winning in the mid-50s. You can argue that Batman is a much bigger deal now than it was back in late 2010, but I doubt it.

FFX/Half-Life: So Half-Life got 60/40'd by FFIX with Chrono Cross in the poll back in '09, and it was probably more relevant then. FFX went 63/37 against FFIX in 2010, but who knows how much SFF was involved (I tend towards "less than you'd think"). Don't expect much from it. FFX broke 70% on Morrowind and I wouldn't even be completely confident that Half-Life could beat it, so it should be reaching for the high 60s here.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
get the **** out of here new games

the 90s have returned
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xyzzy
Not being able to refresh all four polls at once is kind of annoying!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
good show, dq8. this could be a good one. I don't trust the first hour of that poll.

chrono trigger holy god it's good to see you back kicking ass again

mega man x doing work here. not trusting this early vote when it comes to new vs, old since the board is so nostalgia fueled, but batman would be lucky to do much there.

ffx eh. five minute snap reaction is that ct is looking good for round 3 but it's way too early to actually say anything definitive
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xyzzy
remember that UYA got more than doubled by Golden Sun

Don't know why anyone was picking less than 80% here!
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perhaps the fabled CTDS boost was merely delayed
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because chrono trigger! I didn't know 88% of the site even knew what it was
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xyzzy
transience posted...
because chrono trigger! I didn't know 88% of the site even knew what it was


I'd imagine more people probably know what CT is more than they know what R&C is!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
well, crew curse on the second match of a contest is tradition

I'm not worried at all about getting 1 pointers right in this bracket though. I'm just happy to see mmx and ct because that tells a bigger story about voting trends this year
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xyzzy
Yeah, the second match always seems to be an upset, for whatever the reason.

I mean P3 can still win this, but who knows.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I won't say anything about match trends with those two other than that persona is a pretty big board fave. seeing it collapse after the early vote isn't a surprise.
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xyzzy
Wow CT I was trying to go high
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Christopher Christopher Christopher Christopher
Wow CT

Lopen: 1
Official Crew: 0

Who cares about the rest of the matches!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Late tag
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"I do because I can."
http://card.psnprofiles.com/1/Micer101.png
Yay at crew curse taking me out from LMS on day 1.

<cries>

Also tagged.
I feel very good about having chrono win this group pack right now. Honestly, i may have goofed by having it lose to melee. 85%? Jeez.
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These minor spelling errors were brought to you by an ipad having no real feedback to enable me to know when i mistype and my own laziness.
Oh yeah the crew is back! The tradition of this site can't die! Although the crew has already predicted a match wrong but hey!
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
I have Melee beating FF7.

Shit.
persona why are you so bad
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http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png
11/5/2015 7:12:38 AM#88
The Mana Sword posted...
persona why are you so bad


seriously
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
11/5/2015 7:14:26 AM#89
if these %s hold or are close, I was almost perfect on CT, close on FFX, and waaaaay overestimated batman's strength cause I thought that'd be a closer win for MMX

thanks for the crew curse on persona though, love losing points in the first day
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
hmm, all the games with more colorful box art are winning

CBAF is real
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http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png
GOTD X-Stats predicted a 54.27% win for DQVIII

LOL X-Stats what gutter trash
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I see DQVIII struggling to even break 54.2%
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LongLiveraytan
I see Lopen went even higher than I did in the Oracle on CT. There is still the ASV of course, it will be interesting to see how much the power of the ASV has fallen with the aging of the site and shift to mobile.

Also looking forward to CT putting up 80% on DQVIII next round with an assist from SFF.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
CT/DQ8 is a tough one to call. there's 10 years and two generations of consoles between them.
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xyzzy
like, percentagewise in case anyone thinks I'm an idiot
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xyzzy
(edited 11/5/2015 11:45:08 AM)report
Probably an SFF match.

Just for the fun of it I tried to think of percentages for the next few. I guess we can call this my unofficial additions to this topic.

Melee gets 63%
GSC gets 71%
KH2 gets 56%
The Last of Us gets 62%
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
ZeldaTPLink posted...
I have Melee beating FF7.

Shit.


Hey there, buddy!
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In Oz; cruel is the usual punishment.
You come at the king, you best not miss
wish i could post some write-ups but a certain kleenex hasn't sent anything yet!
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no space
all business
not sure I buy CT/DQ SFF
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif

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