Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew - Part 7

#251 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 12:57:38 PM | message detail | quote
link to pull in 1500 vote updates tomorrow do you believe
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#252 | ZFS | Posted 9/15/2013 1:01:22 PM | message detail | quote
Reggie will tweet about believe
tune in tokyo 142.94
#253 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 9/15/2013 2:25:16 PM | message detail | quote | (edited)
Well, it seems we are now having a Draven-less bonus poll that actually resembles a contest final match. Are you guys doing the write-ups for it?
#254 | The Real Truth | Posted 9/15/2013 2:27:37 PM | message detail | quote
Totally called Samus getting crushed. Admittedly I thought it would be more than this.
David Hayter
Seriously, Who in the hell is "Draven?" (Sounds like a draggy crow.)
#255 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/15/2013 2:28:36 PM | message detail | quote
ZeldaTPLink posted...
Well, it seems we are now having a Draven-less bonus poll that actually resembles a contest final match. Are you guys doing the write-ups for it?

Bonus matches have been optional all contest.

Just about everyone sounds like they're done with the contest.

So whoever wants to submit a Guest writeup gets free points, I guess!
#256 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:39:35 PM | message detail | quote
So the crew will not do the final bonus match? I am a sad panta.
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#257 | most_games_r_ok | Posted 9/15/2013 6:00:14 PM | message detail | quote
I wouldn't bother either tbh.

So disappointed to see Snake get so close and then get stomped on
#258 | Lopen | Posted 9/15/2013 10:43:10 PM | message detail | quote
Oh Link vs Solid Snake? Neat.

Lopen's analysis:

I think that this year Snake was legitimately stronger than Link, and that this whole Draven nonsense denied us the pleasure of seeing it happen-- this is a nice token gesture though. Why do I think this? Snake held up better vs Draven until Draven went ultimate on him, and we've seen Link show signs of weakness throughout the contest. And Snake has just looked untouchable. Beating two Pokemon at once is pretty impressive. It looks slightly less impressive after Mega Man almost did it but I think there was some weird SFF thing at work there.

Also any rally intangibles probably go in Snake's favor here, but I don't think he's going to actually need them in this one. So yeah, Snake wins. It'll be slightly less cool than it would be in a legitimate setting, but will at least maybe convince Bacon that he doesn't need to throw in 17 original herbs and spices into the bracket to try and rig Link to lose.

Lopen's prediction:
Solid Snake with 52.61%
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#259 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/15/2013 10:46:02 PM | message detail | quote
Kleenex's Analysis

Draven wins contest.
Link beats Snake, this is boring.
Everyone's butthurt.

Kleenex's Prediction
Link with 56.38%

Guest's Analysis - Karma Hunter

Warning - the following may contain excessive levels of fanboyism and does not necessarily reflect the views of Kay Aitch, CBS Interactive, or Jaraxo the Unfoolable.

Hi there, folks! After the conclusion of our completely legitimate Character Battle, we are getting a real treat tonight: our perennial CB Champion, Link... against Solid Snake the sole Noble Niner he has never faced in 1v1 combat.

Now, I can see some of you reaching to touch that dial! "Oh man, Karma Hunter's going to take Snake as an upset ha ha how unexpected." Firstly, I'll have you know that... yes, you're absolutely right. Also, more importantly, SHUT UP.

You all know the deal by now. Link is untouchable. Arguably the #1 character in every single year, including the ones where he's lost. Even his 2010 anti-vote saddled ultra-weakened self gave Cloud one of the biggest beatings of his life, though admittedly that had more to do with Cloud than Link.

Snake... had a hard life. And an even harder contest history. Some of you aren't old enough to remember, but back in 2003 people picked the likes of Magus over Snake. After 2004, Zero was considered to be above him by many. In 2005 it all came to a head, as Zelda and Bowser were considered ridiculously sexy upset picks over him. To top it all off, he has to suffer a humiliation or two every year at the hands of his sprites, which bring him from his Noble Nine self down to the level of near-elite or even midcarder strength.

And yet, here we are. There is little dissent that Solid Snake, once considered to not even be an elite character at all, is the #2 character on this site. But now he faces off against Link. #1 > #2, right?

It gets worse. After Link's heartbreaking loss to Draven, he singlehandedly went from tyrant to savior. His anti-votes? All but gone. He is super-charged after being dealt a loss for the first time in half a decade. Nothing to discuss, right?

Well, I'm about to tell you why Snake can win tonight.

Snake Has Put on Contest Winner Performances This Year.

Outperforming Link's projections against Isaac. Outperforming Link's direct percentage on Alucard. Snake has looked golden in all his matches this year - the only one where he didn't look like a godslayer being where he had Sprite Snake representing him in 25% of his match pics.

MGSV Hype is real and Snake is stronger than ever because of it. We are looking at the most powerful Snake we've ever seen.

Snake Put on the Most Impressive Performance in Contest History

I mean this - forget Link/Shepard/Draven. Today's final score is deceptive, because Snake did something even Link should be envious of. Link got close to Draven with the assist of a rally reload, the detriment of downtime, and most of all, the GameFAQs vote almost 100% united behind him as he squashed a midcarder with LPF.

Snake had to take on Draven, on LoL Worlds Day, with arguably the #3 Character on the Site holding him back. And he still would have won it if not for being screwed. In that he can match Link quality for quality.

David Hayter Wants You to Vote for Snake

Can you really say no to the man who came up with Draggy Crow?

MGS Fans Are The Best Thing About These Contests

And have never unfairly influenced the outcome of a match, ever.

Bold Text

It's so bold!

Karma Hunter's Prediction - Sponsored by League of Legends and Quaarma Hunter: Solid Snake with 51.62%.
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#260 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 10:49:02 PM | message detail | quote
KP's Analysis



Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#261 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/15/2013 10:49:17 PM | message detail | quote
that's the best Guest analysis I've seen in years and so handsome too
Welcome to the League of Stickies.
#262 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/15/2013 10:52:11 PM | message detail | quote
Oh, I guess I should do an emergency writeup if everyone else is.

Leonhart's Analysis

Direct matches with Draven project a 60% win for Link here. Sounds legit.

Leonhart's Vote: Solid Snake

Leonhart's Prediction: Link with 60%
#263 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/15/2013 10:56:47 PM | message detail | quote
x-stats legit to the end
Welcome to the League of Stickies.
#264 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 9/16/2013 7:08:18 AM | message detail | quote
ZFS posted...
Hey Link would have won without downtime! It was right to be hyped that time.

by that you mean "Draven would have had to rally marginally more without downtime" right
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#265 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/16/2013 9:14:25 AM | message detail | quote
I know it was the final bonus match but really some of the crew thought Snake would win? He would only if Kojima himself came out and said vote for Snake!
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#266 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/16/2013 9:16:46 AM | message detail | quote
Safer_777 posted...
I know it was the final bonus match but really some of the crew thought Snake would win? He would only if Kojima himself came out and said vote for Snake!

We know, if Phreak himself came out and said vote for Draven, he'd wreck Link too.
The cycle of life and death continues. We will live. And they will die.
#267 | transcience | Posted 9/16/2013 12:57:50 PM | message detail | quote
this match looks just like an old Link/Cloud match. not bad for Snake.
add the c and back away
#268 | The Mana Sword | Posted 9/16/2013 2:02:50 PM | message detail | quote
So what's the general consensus here, Link with a Mario crutch would have lost to Cloud/Snake?
#269 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/16/2013 2:03:46 PM | message detail | quote
53.5/46.5 now. With Mario this would probably be really close.
September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
#270 | ZFS | Posted 9/16/2013 2:27:48 PM | message detail | quote
Guess it depends. Putting Mario in there today, Snake probably ends up winning. Separate from the contest craziness a bit and Link probably wins by a little bit even with Mario there.
#271 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/17/2013 8:27:58 PM | message detail | quote
final results and story conclusion tonight?

maybe, maybe not
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#272 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/18/2013 8:38:52 PM | message detail | quote
Crew Predictions - 97/121

Crew Prediction Challenge

KP - 100
Moltar - 99
Kleenex - 96
Tran - 96
Leon - 96
Guest - 94
Lopen - 86

Crew Expert Challenge

KP - 82
Tran - 79
Moltar - 77
Leon - 75
Kleenex - 69
Guest - 67
Lopen - 62

Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tran gets Draven, Moltar gets Snake, Lopen gets Samus

Moltar - 77
KP - 66
Leon - 62
Tran - 60
Lopen - 52
Kleenex - 50
Guest - 47 (Kuza, Kotetsu (3), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (3), Nintendoboy, PaulG (6), Bane (4), Chris (2), lefty (2), tennisboy, AKJ (2), DarkFalcon, FFD, Luis (5), meche, nameplz, pjbasis, FF999 (2), betrayed, TRT, HM (2), tnote, Janus, Luster)

Crew Prediction Challenge Winners

Spring Contest 2005 - Moltar, Soul, Outback, Inviso (4-way tie)
Summer Contest 2005 - Soul
Spring Contest 2006 - Soul
Summer Contest 2006 - Moltar
Character Battle VI - Guest
Character Battle VII - Yoblazer
Best Game Ever 2 - Transience
Character Battle VIII - Moltar, Ngamer, Kleenex, Red Sox (4-way tie)
Game of the Decade - Transience
Rivalry Rumble - Moltar
Character Battle IX - KP

Crew Expert Challenge Winners

Character Battle IX - KP

Crew Accuracy Challenge Winners

Character Battle VI - Yoblazer
Character Battle VII - Yoblazer
Best Game Ever 2 - Heroic Mario
Character Battle VIII - Moltar
Game of the Decade - Guest
Rivalry Rumble - Leon
Character Battle IX - Moltar

Congrats to the new Crew Prediction Champion and Crew Expert Champion, KP, and the new Crew Accuracy Champion, Moltar!
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#273 | most_games_r_ok | Posted 9/18/2013 8:43:30 PM | message detail | quote
#274 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2013 8:43:35 PM | message detail | quote
I did it

What do I win
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#275 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/18/2013 9:03:30 PM | message detail | quote
a reddit account
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#276 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/18/2013 9:18:14 PM | message detail | quote
Master Moltar posted...
*To Be Continued*

So now that the contest's over, are we ever going to get the conclusion to this?
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
Congratulations to Guru champion, the mighty raytan.
#277 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/18/2013 9:42:27 PM | message detail | quote
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#278 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2013 9:47:47 PM | message detail | quote
I take it all back
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#279 | Ngamer64 | Posted 9/18/2013 10:02:04 PM | message detail | quote
Site updated!
--- |
Whoops, accidentally interviewed Zen instead of raytan on The Show, but congrats!
#280 | paulg235 | Posted 9/19/2013 2:39:32 AM | message detail | quote
Yay, I got the most accuracy points of any guest this year!
All Hail Lord Raytan
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#281 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/19/2013 10:29:55 PM | message detail | quote
Allen: Welcome, users.

Moltar: Allen, you better listen up because we've got some words for you.

Allen: ...if you are hearing this message, then I am currently not available at the moment.

Moltar: ****

Allen: However, since I am the Supreme Being, I know that you all have come here because of the contest. Thus, I shall give you what you want. On my desk lies the answers you all seek. All you need to go is go forward and witness its glory.

KP: So this is it?

Tran: IT'S A BOOK.

Kleenex: Go on, open it.

Moltar: Alright, here we go.

Everyone: *shock*!!

Lopen: I see, so that's how it ends.

Leon: This is rather disappointing.

Lopen: We set everything into motion.

Leon: And these are the results.

KP: All these contest spoilers...and yet I can't look away.

Allen: You see, there truly is nothing to predict here. This contest is pre-determined. In fact, all of your actions were predetermined. Moltar, you wanted to predict the contest, but you haven't made a single prediction this entire time.

Moltar: I...really haven't wow you're right.

Allen: Really, the truth is this entire chain of events was set off by my wife accidentally announcing a new contest.

KP: Wait, what. really?

Allen: Yes, really. This is really a thing that happened.

Kleenex: You know this is an eerily well-timed and oddly-specific message that he left.

Allen: Like I said, this is all pre-determined, so I already know when you are going to interject.

Kleenex: Oh right.

Allen: Now allow me to continue. Because of this, I had to come up with this entire scenario for the contest. I even made it extra exciting with twists and turns. It was me! It was me all along! I hope you guys enjoy seeing it play out, because I know I'm going to enjoy seeing everyone's reactions.

KP: Couldn't we just go tell everyone these results?

Allen: You could, but you won't. I know this because everything's pre-determined and I am the Supreme Being and etc. Anyway, that's all I've got. Now if you excuse me, I need to go back to enjoying my vacation at Reddit. Later!
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#282 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/19/2013 10:30:00 PM | message detail | quote
Moltar: that's it.


Moltar: Well, I guess he's gone.

Leon: And thus, our experiment ends.

Lopen: I told you, he DOESN'T predict.

Leon: You were right, I guess I owe you. Then again, I was right about him making up that whole, 'predict the contest and save the girl' angle to give himself something to do.

Lopen: You're right. I guess you can say, "I predicted that."

Leon: I understand that reference.

Moltar: What are you two even talkin-wait, they disappeared. They knew about all this and yet didn't even explain anything!

KP: Well, you might not have predicted the contest, but you did save the girl, you saved me!

Kleenex: But you're a guy.

KP: Oh, that's right! Duh!

Moltar: So now you admit it!

Kleenex: Yeah anyway this is getting pretty dumb so, oh and by the way I've dropped my whole broken speech gimmick thing because I'm just using those Guests so I can gain power myself if you haven't realized by now. But anyway I'm going to go rally up those guys to launch a massive attack on this place. Guns, explosions, innocents dying and such. You guys don't mind if I take off now, right?

Moltar: Sure whatever I don't care anymore.

KP: Have fun!

Kleenex: K, deuces.

Moltar: Ugh, this entire trip was a waste of time filled with disappointment and now I'm just butthurt over everything. I just need to get away from all this...hey KP, are we still going to Japan? I could use a vacation.

KP: Yeah...about that. When you weren't looking I used a tear to peek into the future and...let's just say I will pick up way more Asian girls if you aren't around so...sayonara! *opens tears to Japan and hops though it*

KP: Oh hey, Modbird, you finally caught me! That was quite the round of Hide and Seek! Anyway, let's enjoy Japan now! *tear closes*

Moltar: now it's all over...

Moltar: **** this I'm going for a swim.

*The End*
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#283 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/19/2013 10:47:56 PM | message detail | quote
And thus, another contest, and another Contest Analysis Crew, ends. Super thanks to Lopen, Leon, Kleenex, Tran, and KP for sticking through those 121 matches and doing write-ups with me. Entertaining as always, gents, I knew I could count on you guys.

Ultimate thanks goes to the Guests for filling in and doing their duties (for the most part) as well. It's always great including your input into these Crew posts, even when you either make us "experts" look like fools or completely embarrass yourselves.

Lastly, a mega thanks goes out to all the readers and followers of the Crew. You've supported us for almost a decade and are the main reason why this is still going strong. I think I speak for the rest of the Crew when I say thank you for your continued support. It's greatly appreciated!

We already know another Contest is in the pipeline, so hopefully our buttfrustration over this one is short-lived. See you all later!
Moltar Status: Beaten by raytan
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:

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