GameFAQs Contests

obvious Elizabeth vote stuffing
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i'll do rydia -Dante

Huh, didn't realize Crash was such a big favorite in the expert (I was looking through the oracles and was like "oh")

Come on Liz, be embraced by the warmth of the morning vote.
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And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that!
I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!!

Liz over Crash was a fine pick given that Kirby was in the poll. I just wasn't about to back a Bioshock thing.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

Division 3: Round 2 - Match 91 – (1) Solid Snake vs. (6) Alucard vs. (9) Bayonetta

Moltar’s Analysis

Snake
Round 1 - 71.21% vs. Isaac (GS) and Keen

Alucard
Round 1 - 36.32% vs. Falcon and Rydia

Bayonetta
Round 1 - 49.50% vs. N and Wander

Snake is safe here, and Alucard seems safe. Alucard did struggle against Falcon while Bayonetta handily disposed of N, but that's two completely different levels of strength.

Moltar’s Prediction: Snake: 55% - Alucard: 26% - Bayonetta: 19%



Lopen’s Analysis

I think Bayonetta looked good last match based on the strength of her name value alone. Unfortunately, when faced with Snake and Alucard she loses that. Not to mention with face pics she has all the sex appeal of Sarah Palin... well, some people are probably into that kinda thing. 14% or so, by my estimate.

Lopen's prediction:
Solid Snake - 49.88%
Alucard - 35.67%
Bayonetta - 14.45%



Leonhart’s Analysis

Solid Snake: Voted Best Voice

Alucard: Voted Best Michael Jackson Look-alike

Bayonetta: Voted Best Glasses

Snake wins. I think we all know this, especially with how good MGS has looked of late. MGSV hype is probably a real thing at this point. And with FFVII in decline, I can probably kiss my Cloud > Snake pick goodbye barring something strange. Anyway, the story here is the battle for second. While Alucard struggled to defeat Captain Falcon, we at least know Falcon has decent low midcarder strength. While Bayonetta dominated her competition, it was against a human Pokemon dude from the most recent gen and Wander, one of our perennially weakest characters.

We do sort of have a comparison here since Falcon faced Wander in 2010, and going by what he got on him, he’d beat Bayonetta with about 52.5%, which puts her about on par with Riku. So regardless of what happens, Bayo has done well in her contest debut. Can she put away Alucard though? That’s a tough test, regardless of how far he’s fallen. It is a day match, which helps her out a bit here. She could beat Alucard and it wouldn’t surprise me at all, but I’ll stick with the proven commodity until shown otherwise in this case.

Leonhart’s Vote: Solid Snake

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Solid Snake – 54.00%
Alucard – 25.00%
Bayonetta – 21.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Kleenex’s Analysis

Snake wins BORING. I'm gonna take a chance on Bayonetta actually upsetting Alucard for second, though. There's probably some Snake/Alucard overlap going on and Bayonetta probably isn't that much weaker than Alucard to begin with. Probably, I actually don't remember who was even in her first match so maybe she actually did suck and this is a really dumb thing.

Kleenex's Prediction
Snake with 52.00%
Alucard with 23.00%
Bayonetta with 25.00%



Transience’s Analysis

Not worth writing about this one. The real fireworks come tonight.

transience's prediction:

Snake with 55%
Alucard with 28%
Bayonetta with 15%



KP's Analysis

I have some faith in Bayonetta, but not enough to put her in second here. I don't think she's going to be as strong as Alucard or Captain Falcon, although she shouldn't be *that* far below them. She could be as strong or stronger than them, I just doubt it. Alucard is going to be beat fairly badly by Snake. So...yeah! Not much to talk about!

Solid Snake - 55%
Alucard - 25%
Bayonetta - 20%



Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

The best character ever wins.

The battle for second place seems debatable to me. When Snake and Alucard faced off in Gamespot's contest Alucard was on the receiving end of an SFF blowout, so the same could hold true here. I just get the feeling that Bayonetta should stand out in this poll somehow, not that I'm really sure how in particular. I guess being a current-gen character vs. two PS1 guys?

I guess I took the guest spot for this match in an attempt to justify a Bayonetta > Alucard upset, so what have I got? Cecil losing makes both Alucard and Falcon look bad for losing updates to another character from Cecil's game, and then both characters faced Link and Cloud last contest so they may be overrated in those stats equally. Also, someone did the math and found out that Bayonetta gets 47.5% on Captain Falcon if you assume a constant Wander, and in light of Red and Blue's performances, 63% on a Pokemon trainer suddenly looks considerably more impressive, even if N isn't buoyed by nostalgia. Not to mention that Wander may have boosted since last time, since his game certainly did in between games contests.

I'll take the upset.

Snake - 53%
Alucard - 22%
Bayonetta - 24%



Crew Consensus: Snake takes out his opponents
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

I love how LMS's prediction isn't really absurd (Kleenex predicted the same thing), but he still manages to make the analysis completely crazy. It's hilarious.

both are absurd
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

LMS, your percentages don't even add up to 100!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.

I'm so far behind in the expert I have to make some stupid picks to try and catch up!
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i'll do rydia -Dante

TsunamiXXVIII posted...

LMS, your percentages don't even add up to 100!

Give Alucard an extra percent then.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC

This ended up being too close for comfort!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

Huh, Crash > Elizabeth was the overwhelming favorite for Expert. Only dropped 4 spots on the leaderboard.

Kinda expected Crash to be an upset pick...!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

Okay, so Moltar, Tranny, and KP all tied for the highest prediction percentage for Snake, so they all get the point...LMS's adjustment after I pointed out that his numbers only added up to 99% moved him to a tie with Kleenex for the lowest Alucard prediction percentage, so they'll both get that point...looks like there will be about 6 accuracy points handed out in this match!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.

Tch there's no post-submission percentage adjustments you bad at math you eat the penalty

Or reap the rewards as it were in this case
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

moltar took elizabeth for third wtf man
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

i don't know what i'm doing anymore
---
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5231
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5232

Crew Predictions - 77/89

What Happened: Seph had an unimpressive victory and Big Boss beat Luigi thanks to Ness presence

What will Happen: Seph wins his next match probably



Crew Prediction Challenge

KP - 79
Kleenex - 78
Moltar - 77
Leon - 76
Tran - 73
Guest - 72
Lopen - 66

Crew Expert Challenge

KP - 65
Tran - 61
Moltar - 60
Leon - 59
Kleenex - 58
Guest - 53
Lopen - 46


Crew Accuracy Challenge - Kleenex gets Seph, KP and Leon get Morrigan, KP gets Spyro, Moltar gets Luigi, Kleenex and Tran get BB, Tran gets Ness

Moltar - 57
Leon - 46
Lopen - 45
KP - 44
Tran - 40
Kleenex - 38
Guest - 31 (Kuza, Kotetsu (3), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (2), Nintendoboy, PaulG (4), Bane (3), Chris, lefty (2), tennisboy, AKJ (2), DarkFalcon, FFD, Luis (3), meche, nameplz, pjbasis)
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Division 4: Round 2 - Match 92 – (2) GlaDOS vs. (5) Ike vs. (8) Epona

Moltar’s Analysis

GlaDOS
Round 1 - 58.72% vs. Cole and Ragna

Ike
Round 1 - 35.81% vs. Proto Man and Robotnik

Epona
Round 1 - 47.95% vs. Mordin and Niko

Well this is tough, and the way the contest has progressed has not made this any easier. GlaDOS stands out here among Nintendo, Ike is who most originally thought would be the strongest here, and Epona is Link's horse. All three had good reasons to be picked here.

Now, GlaDOS looked good because she blew out fodder, but other Portal characters have not looked good against decent competition, which Ike and Epona are. Speaking of Ike, he struggled against Proto Man and Robotnik in a match most expected him to take easily. Epona put up 60% on Mordin, but he's probably a good distance behind the other ME characters we've seen.

I'm going to stick with Ike here. GlaDOS I just don't think is strong enough to win despite the split. Epona is a horse and I don't think she'll hold up against a liked Brawl character like Ike.

Also, Proto Man nearly got 30% on Snake, which apparently is decent with how crazy strong he's been looking, and I can buy Robotnik being decent when not facing a villain that's infinitely better than him. Long story short, Ike's R1 performance may not be as bad as it looks, and if he can get enough Nintendo support over Epona (who is just a horse), then he wins this.

Depending on Zelda fans to abandon something from Zelda this is literally what I am counting on oh god

Moltar’s Prediction: GlaDOS: 34% - Ike: 37% - Epona: 29%



Lopen’s Analysis

Now the strength of A HORSE is actually put to the test. I don't think Ike actually SFFs HORSE very much since they're from fairly distinct portions of Nintendo, but I do think that once HORSE is faced with characters people actually care about, it'll crumple. Not in an amazing fashion-- these guys aren't super popular either, but enough to fall to third.

Ike wins first because he's stronger and LFF effects here should be fairly minor.

Lopen's prediction:
Ike - 37.50%
GlaDOS - 34.15%
A HORSE - 28.35%



Leonhart’s Analysis

GlaDOS: Voted Best Lab Partner

Ike: Voted Best Friend

Epona: Voted Best in Show

I’ve got Ike in my bracket here, and I still feel pretty decently about it, despite nearly choking away his round 1 match against Protoman. His match pretty much fell in line with what the 2010 stats projected, so it’s not as bad as it looked. Plus, Portal characters haven’t really looked that good (and I don’t think GlaDOS’s round 1 performance was THAT great either), so it’s possible that Portal’s time in the spotlight has passed. Plus, GlaDOS had a long climb from where she was in 2010 to be able to compete with this duo anyway.

Really, it’s just a matter of which side the Nintendo hierarchy will fall on. They will push one character over the other for the win. I don’t think Epona is quite as beloved as B8 makes her out to be, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they ditch her to help push Ike through. Either result is possible (and probably more likely than GlaDOS winning at this point), but I’ll stick with my bracket here because why not.

Leonhart’s Vote: Ike

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Ike – 40.00%
GlaDOS – 31.00%
Epona – 29.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Kleenex’s Analysis

Who's the favorite in this match? Is it Ike? I feel like it's probably Ike. I don't feel comfortable taking Ike. Even when he does win matches, I always feel like he disappoints me every time. I think that's going to happen again tonight. To GLaDOS? Nay, dear readers. Or perhaps I should say, neigh, dear readers. That's right. HorseFAQs is in full effect tonight. Link may be in for a fight next round, but his faithful steed will ride on to victory unhindered. It's a horse's world, we're just living in it.

Kleenex's Prediction
GLaDOS with 34.00%
Ike with 30.00%
Epona with 36.00%



Transience’s Analysis

Man, I don't know. Glados is the 'easy' pick here in that she's the most independent, it's a night match, and it's literally a Brawl guy and a horse. And god knows I'm not going to pick the stupid horse! But there's something uncomfortable about picking Glados in a match full of Nintendo scum.

I'm really not sure what order the Nintendo fanbase goes here. If one character blows out the other then I could see Glados coming in second. I could definitely see Epona blowing Ike up, or I could see the opposite since IT'S A GOD DAMN HORSE. Since I don't know what to do about those two, I'm just going to pick Glados and say screw 'em.

transience's prediction:

Glados with 39.01%
HORSE with 33.01%
Ike with 28.01%



KP's Analysis

GlaDOS looked weaker than Ike in 2010, but since then she's had Portal 2. Additionally it's a night match. Additionally, Ike and Epona are going to LFF each other. I normally wouldn't take her here, but she has a pretty advantageous situation here.

Meanwhile, Ike 'disappointed' in Round 1 and then everyone forgot about him. Nevermind that his match lined up with the 2010 stats, or that everyone Ike has faced recently (Zidane, Prinny, Mega Man in general) have done great, or that Ike has traditionally resisted Nintendo overlap far better than his peers. Why has everyone written off this guy, again? The groupthink on this board is really weird to me sometimes.

Epona could do well here. I doubt she does. You have to assume that 60-40ing Mordin is actually a good result and not something that GlaDOS or Ike could probably do easily, and that people will actually side with Epona when there are valid options in the poll, one of them true. I don't think either of those are true. The Epona hype feels very manufactured to me - all this 'I love Epona' stuff seems to be more a result of a bandwagon than anyone actually caring about Epona. Might be enough to put her over here, but I doubt it, although her early vote is going to be stupid.

tl;dr: Ike>Epona, GlaDOS>Ike due to a very good setup for her, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Ike come out on top. Epona is a longshot.

GlaDOS - 36%
Ike - 34%
Epona - 30%



Guest’s Analysis - Luis

This is up in the air pre-match, but come 5 minutes in, and I doubt it will be close. I have Ike in my bracket, but is his 35% on tougher opponents better than what GLaDOS managed? I guess there's Epona too, but I don't think she'll stand up well against more credible competition.

I don't think Ike did quite as well as I was hoping pre-contest, so I'll reluctantly side with GLaDOS. At least SOME of his support is getting leeched by Epona, so even with Zidane looking fairly good, I think GLaDOS will edge it.

GLaDOS - 38%
Ike - 34%
Epona - 28%



Crew Consensus: It's an Ike and GlaDOS split, but Kleenex has GlaDOS in second so we'll call her the favorite
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

neigh mothaf***a neigh im a horse
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (is also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif

more guest sign-ups

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67063096
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Whoa, you guys are gonna look bad here! EPONA for victory.
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tune in tokyo 142.94

Oh wow some people here picked Ike? I took him for an easy 3rd place since the two Ninty characters would just LFF eachother and Glados isn't a pushover herself.
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http://i.imgur.com/lnKB0m9.jpg http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1184880/davis-again.gif http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8118/8656607511_94178dbf2e_o.gif

After how Epona fell down the well last round Ike should be the favorite for second right now
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Mistakes were made
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

welp looks like a big -18 for me

goodbye Expert Challenge
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

NO HORSE RESPECT
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http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png

I fought for my one true friend, my bracket.

I regret nothing.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

Well at least I knew that Ike would suck!
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i'll do rydia -Dante

wow, I thought this would be a Glados sweep.
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xyzzy

meh took the Epona>Glados>Ike upset hoping to gain ground on people. Another appearance in the Experts top 10 comes to an end
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Not changing this sig until Cleveland wins a title started 6/2/07

Ugh. Having a hard time with the next matchup. Just sent in an edit to my first writeup, just in case.
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3DS FC: 3265-5634-7751

Division 3: Round 2 - Match 93 – (25) Altair vs. (4) Lara Croft vs. (7) Kefka

Moltar’s Analysis

Altair
Round 1 - 44.43% vs. Ratchet and Shulk

Lara
Round 1 - 57.55% vs. Slime and Yuri H

Kefka
Round 1 - 37.82% vs. Zack and Ryu H

I have Zack winning this match, and even though he's not here, Kefka is going to do it for him. It's been said 100 times, but old Square has looked good, and Altair and Lara are more casual friendly characters that are more likely to split with each other than take first place here. Altair takes second here because more people care about him and AssCreed than Lara.

Meanwhile Kefka has the full attention of Square fans and if he didn't have any trouble beating Zack and Hayabusa, then I can't see how he doesn't win with a higher percentage than he got in R1 here.

Moltar’s Prediction: Altair: 33% - Lara: 27% - Kefka: 40%



Lopen’s Analysis

Kefka's got everything in his corner here. He has the strongest looking r1 performance, He's the standout of the poll.

I still feel this is a shaky pick because it's Kefka-- there's a chance he'll job here because he's an agent of chaos and no other reason. That being said I feel more like he wants to really spread his chaos next round and he'll maintain the status quo here.

Altair should take #2. Just a better track record and well 58% on a slime that probably wasn't being joke voted much based on his trends means that you probably don't have much strength... even if you just had a reboot that had people talking.

Well... most of it was related to you getting grossly impaled on pipes when floating down raging rapids so maybe that doesn't actually matter that much.

Lopen's prediction:
Kefka - 40.08%
Altair - 33.80%
Lara Croft - 26.12%



Leonhart’s Analysis

Altair: Voted Best Wardrobe

Lara Croft: Voted Best Makeover

Kefka Palazzo: Voted Class Clown

Who knows what’s going to happen here. Kefka never makes any sense. Altair looks good in round 1 and then bombs in round 2. Lara has no business winning here, which means she probably will. As far as I’m concerned, this is Kefka’s match to lose. And he’s certainly capable of losing it because it’s hard to have 100% confidence in him despite strong showing after strong showing since 2010. I hate to say Kefka is the “safe” pick here, but he is, and that’s what I’m rolling with. Plus, we need to get Kefka to round 3 so he can finally make a freeform round (only for people to sabotage him with bad pics, but whatever).

Leonhart’s Vote: Kefka Palazzo.

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Kefka Palazzo – 42.00%
Altair – 34.00%
Lara Croft – 24.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Kleenex’s Analysis

See, now here's a dilemma. I was pretty sure that whoever would come out on top of the Zack/Kefka/Ryu match would be able to take this match pretty easily. So that should be Kefka, right? You'd think that, wouldn't you? Under normal circumstances that might be true, but Kefka is a huge butthole and is going to try and f*** up your brackets! If you think he's going to win, he's just going to take a dive to make everyone lose points! I'm not falling for it this time. Unless no one else takes Kefka either in which case we're all screwed.

Kleenex's Prediction
Altair with 40.00%
Lara with 27.00%
Kefka with 33.00%


Transience’s Analysis

Kefka seems like an easy pick after the last round. He's got his best picture ever, one of his famous quotes and he just blew Ryu and Zack up. There are certainly some downsides, like how this is a day match, how both Ryu and Zack had reasons to drop, and how Lara has come into her own with a new reboot of her series. But I don't think anyone takes those too seriously. I'm more worried about Altair than Lara, I think. Lara got crappy old Tomb Raider art anyway. Kefka probably kills the opening and cruises to victory.

transience's prediction:

Kefka with 42.01%
Altair with 35.01%
Lara with 23.01%


KP's Analysis

The order for this should be pretty normal, but it's a Kefka match so who knows what's going to happen.

Kefka - 37%
Altair - 33%
Lara - 29%



Guest’s Analysis - FantasyFreak999

So, this is an interesting matchup. I had originally thought that Lara was gonna have a decent margin of victory, but after reading though everyone's thoughts in the forums, I'm not so sure. This is a Kefka match, so anything can and will happen. I still think she's gonna win, but not by that much, and Altair could surprise me and pull out the victory too... ugh. I dunno, so here are my percentages.



Lara - 35.76
Kefka - 33.28
Altiar - 30.96



Crew Consensus: Kefka laughs his way on to Round 3
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Weird, everyone has Altair over Lara, except for the Guest. Although the Guest has Lara/Altair for 1st/2nd place.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!

Thinking Kefka wins, but Lara should be second, if not maybe first if Kefka messes this up.
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tune in tokyo 142.94

Hard to have confidence in any of these guys, but Kefka hasn't really disappointed in any of his matches since 2010.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"

lol letting Shulk get over 20%
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

That Old Square boost saving the day!

FFVI has looked pretty good in general, I think.
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tune in tokyo 142.94

Old Square boost for everyone except Cecil
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http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg

Cecil's got it rough. Need to throw him some fodder so he can win.
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tune in tokyo 142.94

I'm gonna go with the theory that since everyone played FFIV, Cecil is more of a 1v1 monster.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

ZFS posted...

Cecil's got it rough. Need to throw him some fodder so he can win.

They gave him Pit! And most people expected Wrex to be fodder!

I still think Cecil would do better with Dark Knight pics instead of sissy Paladin pics, but I ain't complainin' about FFIV still being winless in Character Battles.
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http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg

-LusterSoldier- posted...

Weird, everyone has Altair over Lara, except for the Guest. Although the Guest has Lara/Altair for 1st/2nd place.

Correction: I have Lara/Altair as 1st/3rd
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3DS FC: 3265-5634-7751

Oh, alright then. Well, you are still the only one predicting Lara to beat Altair.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!

Damn, thought Lara was stronger than this.

Oh well. Kefka's my favorite character anyway, and at least I'm getting the point for Altair. :)
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3DS FC: 3265-5634-7751

screw you kefka!
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i'll do rydia -Dante

Those who go against Kefka getting what they deserved!
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5233
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5234

Crew Predictions - 79/91

What Happened: Kirby and Snake won easy

What will Happen: Snake looking really strong



Crew Prediction Challenge

KP - 81
Kleenex - 80
Moltar - 79
Leon - 78
Tran - 75
Guest - 74
Lopen - 68

Crew Expert Challenge

KP - 67
Tran - 62
Moltar - 61
Leon - 60
Kleenex - 58
Guest - 53
Lopen - 47


Crew Accuracy Challenge - KP gets Kirby, Liz, and Crash, Moltar, Tran, and KP gets Snake, Kleenex gets Alucard, Tran gets Bayonetta

Moltar - 58
KP - 48
Leon - 46
Lopen - 45
Tran - 42
Kleenex - 39
Guest - 31 (Kuza, Kotetsu (3), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (2), Nintendoboy, PaulG (4), Bane (3), Chris, lefty (2), tennisboy, AKJ (2), DarkFalcon, FFD, Luis (3), meche, nameplz, pjbasis)
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Division 5: Round 2 - Match 94 – (1) Cloud Strife vs. (13) Frog vs. (19) Lugia

Moltar’s Analysis

Cloud
Round 1 - 66.06% vs. Prinny and Armstrong

It's FF7, of course it was an unimpressive showing

Frog
Round 1 - 50.15% vs. V. Joe and Handsome Jack

Decent performance here.

Lugia
Round 1 - 59.44% vs. Sly Cooper and Morgan

Pokemon rocked fodder woo

Between FF7 looking bad and Pokemon looking good and Mewtwo beating Vincent, I can't say Cloud is 100% safe here. Still, it's highly unlikely Lugia upsets Cloud barring a massive rally and that would definitely never happen...ever.

Frog should do decently, and he would beat Lugia in a 1v1 match, but despite no major CT/FF7 SFF in the past, I think Cloud being here hurts him just enough for Lugia, who does stand out in this poll, to take second.

Moltar’s Prediction: Cloud: 53% - Frog: 23% - Lugia: 25%



Lopen’s Analysis

"I have failed"

Well it's really nice of Lugia to tell us how this match goes. I might've had some doubts as to Lugia vs Frog otherwise. Frog might find a way to make this close because it's Frog, though.

Lopen's prediction:
Cloud Strife - 53.55%
Frog - 26.05%
Lugia - 20.40%



Leonhart’s Analysis


Cloud Strife: Voted Best Hair

Frog: Voted Most Entertaining

Lugia: Voted Most Fortuitous

This is our one chance for an exciting display from Frog in this contest. Cloud’s got first place on lockdown. The battle for second is basically whether you think doubling Viewtiful Joe is more impressive than doubling Sly Cooper. I personally think so, but who really knows. Like I said, I just want an exciting (and potentially sketchy) finish from Frog here because it’s been a while since we’ve had one!

Leonhart’s Vote: Cloud Strife

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Cloud Strife – 54.00%
Frog – 23.01%
Lugia – 22.99%



Kleenex’s Analysis

"I have failed."

You got that right. Final Fantasy 7 has looked bad blah blah blah. I actually think Cloud looked fine last round, and I think he'll do just fine here too. Frog and Lugia aren't anywhere near strong enough to challenge for first here. I'm actually going to say that Lugia is probably a FRAUD, but we'll see. I do think he's in danger of losing to Frog, even with Cloud in the poll as historically we've never really seen a ton of FFVII/CT overlap.

Kleenex's Prediction
Cloud with 51.00%
Frog with 25.00%
Lugia with 24.00%



Transience’s Analysis

Cloud wins. Frog vs. Lugia? Frog's more popular, Lugia's more independent. I'll take Frog because Lugia's threepack was miserable.

transience's prediction:

Cloud - 54%
Frog - 28%
Lugia - 18%



KP's Analysis

I don't even know. There's little evidence of significant FF/CT overlap, but it's still going to exist in some way. It's a night match, which favors Frog, and Lugia has a truly abysmal pic as well. Lugia looked pretty impressive in Round 1, though. 60% on fodder is still 60%, and there's only so weak Sly Cooper can be.

Whatever. Lugia probably wins this but I don't care. Just going to pick Frog and stop thinking about it.

Cloud - 51%
Frog - 25%
Lugia - 24%



Crew Consensus: Cloud with the obvious win
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/