Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6

#1 | Master Moltar | Posted 8/21/2013 9:00:25 PM | message detail
Hey everyone, it’s Contest time again! That means the Contest Analysis Crew is back once again!

Our goal is to analyze and predict each match in this Contest, and of course, you will read the write-ups and laugh at us when we’re wrong. So without further ado, here’s the line-up for this Contest.

Master Moltar
Newcomer: KamikazePotato

E-mail -

Current Guest List - In the case that no one signs up for a match, or the person that signed up for the match does not do their write-up before the match starts, the first non-Crew member analysis posted in the topic will become the official Guest for the match.

Sephiroth/Morrigan/Spyro - StarStormScream
Luigi/Big Boss/Ness - Ctes
Elizabeth/Kirby/Crash - Tsunami

Solid Snake/Alucard/Bayonetta - LMS
GlaDOS/Ike/Epona - Luis
Altair/Lara/Kefka - FantasyFreak999

Cloud/Frog/Lugia - nameplz
Dante/Squirtle/Zidane - Numbers
Shadow/Leon/Freeman - Bane

Moltar: Where are we now?

KP: I don't know...but it definitely doesn't look as nice as other parts of GameFAQs


Moltar: That doesn't sound comforting. Why try to hide this?

???: i don't even know most of these guys in this bracket

???: yo 90s games are awesome

???: i'm rootin for a chief win go mc!!!!

Moltar: My God...


KP: Casuals...I've read that's a term for those who aren't too familiar with GameFAQs Contests. I had no idea they were treated this poorly though.

???: Whatchu all doin' here? Ya'll ain't been 'round here for a minute an' I'm already sensin' trouble.

Moltar: We're trying to find Allen.


???: Ya'll ain't fans of Allen, eh? Maybe we togetha'. Name's Kleenex, and I'm fightin' on behalf of these people. They don't deserve 'ta live in these slums, an it's all cause they don't follow those contests blindly and praise that mindless fool who calls himself a Supreme Being.

Tran: I HEAR YA!

Moltar: Did you say fighting?

Kleenex: Thas right. I'm the leader of the Guest Populi. Me an' my Guests are known for causin trouble up in those rich parts a GameFAQs, but we're just tryna send a message. You can try an hide us, sweep us unda the rug, forget about us, but we won't letcha. We're here and we have a voice too. All these people need is a chance, an opportunity, a fair shot, and they can be equals with those fancy smarts that Allen surrounds himself with.

KP: That's such a noble cause to fight for. Moltar we should help them out!

Moltar: This Allen guy does seem pretty influential, so we'll need all the help we can get to stop him. Alright, we'll work together.

Kleenex: Good, good. Imma round up mah Guests, and together, we'll all show that fool the power of the true majority!

*To Be Continued*
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#2 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/21/2013 9:01:55 PM | message detail
#3 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 8/21/2013 9:02:25 PM | message detail
#4 | FantasyFreak999 | Posted 8/21/2013 9:06:45 PM | message detail
3DS FC: 3265-5634-7751
#5 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/21/2013 9:12:24 PM | message detail

Crew Predictions - 74/85

What Happened: Draven showed reddit and league players care more about some video game poll than this site does, and Sonic won his match easy.

What will Happen: LOL

Crew Prediction Challenge

KP - 76
Kleenex - 75
Moltar - 74
Leon - 73
Guest - 70
Tran - 70
Lopen - 63

Crew Expert Challenge

KP - 62
Tran - 58
Moltar - 57
Kleenex - 56
Leon - 56
Guest - 51
Lopen - 43

Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets Draven and MMX, Tran gets Ryu, Moltar gets Sonic, KP gets Drac, Leon gets Barret

Moltar - 55
Lopen - 44
Leon - 42
KP - 41
Tran - 38
Kleenex - 36
Guest - 30 (Kuza, Kotetsu (3), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (2), Nintendoboy, PaulG (4), Bane (3), Chris, lefty (2), tennisboy, AKJ (2), DarkFalcon, FFD, Luis (3), meche, nameplz)
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#6 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/21/2013 9:12:49 PM | message detail
#7 | pjbasis | Posted 8/21/2013 9:17:09 PM | message detail
#8 | ZFS | Posted 8/21/2013 9:20:19 PM | message detail
KP is Jonathan I see
tune in tokyo 142.94
#9 | transience | Posted 8/21/2013 9:23:37 PM | message detail
"guest populi"
#10 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/21/2013 9:25:22 PM | message detail
Screw Jonathon, Neutral Ending is where it's at
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#11 | ZFS | Posted 8/21/2013 9:26:46 PM | message detail
That's true, but Jonathan's voice is all over that text!
tune in tokyo 142.94
#12 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/21/2013 10:22:36 PM | message detail
Division 3: Round 2 - Match 88 – (1) Sephiroth vs. (6) Morrigan Aensland vs. (9) Spyro the Dragon

Moltar’s Analysis

Round 1 - 57.37% vs. Midna and Little Mac

To be far, Mac and Midna are decent

Round 1 - 48.19% vs. Miles and Agent 47

TJF > weak characters

Round 1 - 56.83% vs. Clementine and Reyn

Old icons no one cares for but they at least recognize > unknowns

Finally, the long-awaited destined 2002 match we've been waiting for, Morrigan vs. Spyro! Too bad for Spyro since he'll be 0-2 against her after it. Spyro looked good in R1 because his opponents weren't recognizable with the average voter. People know Seph and Morrigan so he'll look like the crap we always knew he was.

Moltar’s Prediction: Sephiroth: 55% - Morrigan: 29% - Spyro: 16%

Lopen’s Analysis

Fraudo the Dragon gets exposed this round, as Morrigan thrashes him again. I suspect people are going to be lowballing Seph due to Vincent-- I... don't think that's wise. Seph I think will hold his popularity much better than Vincent because there's actually some substance to the character. He didn't really look too bad last round either, unlike Vincent.

Also helps that he doesn't look like my barber, of course. I wish my barber looked like that. I would trust him with my life... with those flowing silver locks... oh Sephirot--

Wait Morrigan is in the match why am I-- ehhh doesn't matter.

Lopen's prediction:
Sephiroth - 53.13%
Morrigan - 30.10%
Spyro - 16.77%

Leonhart’s Analysis

Sephiroth: Voted Biggest Mama’s Boy

Morrigan Aensland: Voted Most Seductive

Spyro the Dragon: Voted Special Good Try Prize

Ah, it’s the rematch we’ve been waiting 11 years for: Morrigan vs. Spyro! Sephiroth might be the only character with a chance to exceed his round 1 percentage in round 2. While Morrigan is probably on the same level as Midna and Little Mac, Spyro is a step below them. Spyro got by his first round match on sheer recognizability, and that advantage will be lost to him here. Poor Clementine and Reyn will end up looking even worse than they already do.

Leonhart’s Vote: Sephiroth

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Sephiroth – 61.00%
Morrigan Aensland – 25.00%
Spyro the Dragon – 14.00%

Kleenex’s Analysis

I don't even know what's going on with this contest anymore. Sephiroth should win this, right? Like, there's no way Morrigan or Spyro could beat him. Spyro probably gets revenge on Morrigan for 2002. Or maybe he doesn't. I don't know! Who can say? I sure can't. Maybe Lopen can, though. Go read his analysis instead, I'm sure it's very insightful and interesting.

Kleenex's Prediction
Sephiroth with 52.00%
Morrigan with 22.00%
Spyro with 26.00%
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#13 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/21/2013 10:22:40 PM | message detail
Transience’s Analysis

Here's three guys from 2002 who haven't been relevant since 2002. Well, I guess Morrigan is known for being ChrisG tier in Marvel, and Spyro's got a bunch of Skylanders stuff nobody cares about. But still! Fortunately GameFAQs is permanently stuck in 2002 so this match isn't Max Payne/Dirk the Daring tier.

This is all just a prelude for the main event in 12 hours! The Boss is doing pretty well today which makes me feel good about Big Boss. But it's YEAR OF LUIGI and oh man how could Big Boss stand up to that and what if Luigi gets an Iwata/Luigi picture and Big Boss gets NES melty art and Ness is ruining things as per usual and AUGH

maybe I should wait 12 more hours before talking about that one

transience's prediction: Sephiroth with 55%, Morrigan with 31%, Spyro with 14%

KP's Analysis

This match is surreal. It's a repeat of our second match ever, dating back to 2002, and it's probably gonna go exactly the same way it did before.

Sephiroth - 55%
Morrigan - 25%
Spyro - 20%

Guest’s Analysis - StarStormScream

Last time

Sephiroth: LOL, FF7 underperforming up the wazoo.
Morrigan: Hard to believe some thought she was unpopular enough to lose to Edgeworth & Agent 47, silly Board 8.
Spyro: After 11 years, the kiddies FINALLY woke up.

Well, first place is no issue. Seph should do better than he did against Midna & Little Mac, though it won’t be by THAT much. Keep in mind this will be the 4th time in the last 6 matches we are seeing an FF7 character, and I’m sure its haters are getting pretty sick of them at this point.

The real meat of this match is the battle for 2nd. A rematch from 11 years ago, though I don’t think there be much of a difference in the outcome this time either.

If the 2010 X-Stats mean anything, a constant Edgeworth puts Morrigan around an adjusted Nathan Drake, which is only a couple points off of Akuma & adjusted Ken, which makes sense to me. It stands to say that Morri still has decent strength after all these years. While Spyro fans ought to thank Bacon for finding him two opponents he can flat out demolish, I think he shows his true self now that he’s seeing real competition. Even though it was years ago, remember that this guy nearly got doubled by Ridley in a 4-Way in his only other official contest match.

Plus it’s a night match…the kiddies will definitely be asleep for this one ;)

MY VOTE: Morrigan (And with my favorite character gone, my interest in the contest greatly fades after today)
PREDICTION: Sephiroth – 61.70%, Morrigan – 23.30%, Spyro – 15.00%

Crew Consensus: Seph finally puts one on the board for FF7
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#14 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/21/2013 10:27:09 PM | message detail
No Sephiroth fanfiction no buy
#15 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 8/21/2013 11:37:39 PM | message detail
I actually have an FF7 doujin

it has


some scenes with seph yeah
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#16 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/21/2013 11:39:44 PM | message detail

from being around children I mean
F*** BT
#17 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/21/2013 11:49:02 PM | message detail
Ah, so that's why AKJ's no longer on the Crew!
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#18 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/21/2013 11:55:16 PM | message detail
Now you know why Moltar can't even look him in the eye
F*** BT
#19 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/21/2013 11:55:32 PM | message detail
#20 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 8/22/2013 12:16:41 AM | message detail
lmao if you guys only knew what I know about your supposedly pure and chaste moltar
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#21 | LOZLTTP | Posted 8/22/2013 1:19:38 AM | message detail
spyro doing better than I expected

sephiroth looks like s***
Many people, of course, use 'sentimentalism' as a term of abuse for other people's decent feelings, and realism as a disguise for their own brutality. G H Hardy
#22 | most_games_r_ok | Posted 8/22/2013 5:35:09 AM | message detail
#23 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 7:31:44 AM | message detail
Division 3: Round 2 - Match 89 – (2) Luigi vs. (5) Big Boss vs. (11) Ness

Moltar’s Analysis

Round 1 - 64.69% vs. Bathier and Jade

Good performance

Big Boss
Round 1 - 74.89% vs. Viridian and Peacock

Good performance

Round 1 - 47.01% vs. Locke and CATS

Not bad but not great either

Well, it's here. Luigi vs. Big Boss is a match a lot of people have anticipated, and while most would usually take Luigi, there is a Ness in the way. The question here is if Luigi can beat BB with Ness in the poll.

We've seen Fox and DK smash (no pun intended) their fellow Nintendo opposition into the dirt, so if Luigi can do the same to Ness here, then he's got this match since Luigi should naturally be stronger. It should be possible too, as Mario and Bowser have SFFed Ness pretty badly in the past.

Still, Big Boss is no pushover like Lightning. He has proven himself in the past, as well as capitalized on Nintendo SFF in the past. Plus, The Boss doing well against Bowser yesterday makes Big Boss, who should be much stronger than her, look very good here.

Moltar’s Prediction: Luigi: 42% - Big Boss: 43% - Ness: 15%

Lopen’s Analysis

Oh, sure, ya saw that Boss do well yesterday and you wanna take this other Boss?

Ya see that kid wit da bulbous head to mooch off Luigi and it seems like a gimme?

Yeah well I wouldn't do that, kid. Nintendo has looked better than the Big Boss Men and what's more is Nintendo has discovered the technology of cannibalism. Much like Donkey Kong ate a roast bird, Luigi's gonna pretend this bulbous head is the next apple kid.

Big Boss approves. Ya gotta eat what you can to survive in the wild.

Lopen's prediction:
Luigi - 45.59%
Big Boss - 43.30%
Ness - 11.11%

Leonhart’s Analysis

Luigi: Voted Best Second Banana

Big Boss: Voted Best Dad

Ness: Voted Most Likely to Collapse Under Pressure

Big Boss is in an ideal situation here. Luigi is probably stronger than him naturally, but he has Ness weighing him down. While Weegi should be able to crush him and we saw DK win against Lightning despite the SFF split with Falco, Ness might hold up better than Falco or Wolf did because the hardcore Earthbound contingent won’t abandon him simply for the sake of letting Luigi succeed. The Smash Bros. contingent will do it in a heartbeat, of course, but it’s just a matter of what that Earthbound fanbase is worth. It doesn’t have to be worth THAT much. Just enough to avoid getting pushed down to sub-15% or so. I think Big Boss ekes out the win here, with a little help from MGSV hype. The Year of Luigi will go down as a lost year for the plumber.

Leonhart’s Vote: Big Boss

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Big Boss – 43.00%
Luigi – 40.00%
Ness – 17.00%

Kleenex’s Analysis

Ness likely ruins this match, allowing the Metal Gear scourge to continue on UNCHECKED. Thanks a lot, Ness. One on one I probably take Luigi here, but it would likely be close. With Ness being an anchor, however small, it probably won't matter, though. I dunno, BORING, NEXT, all that jazz.

Kleenex's Prediction
Luigi with 40.00%
Big Boss with 44.00%
Ness with 16.00%
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#24 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 7:32:05 AM | message detail
Transience’s Analysis

Let's do this.

So, Luigi's the hotter character right now with all of the YEAR OF LUIGI stuff. Dude has been in every game lately. Mario and Luigi, Luigi's Mansion, Luigi U -- even Iwata is wearing Luigi hats. He should get a big boost from it. Or will he? I don't know if any of these games really register for this website. Mario and Luigi 4 came out like ten days ago and it's only #60 on the top FAQs, new Nintendo is as bad as it's ever been and this website isn't exactly interested in new games unless they're big and none of these games are.

Meanwhile, Big Boss has been hot for a solid decade now. He's arguably the main character of the MGS series now, and though he'll never pass Solid Snake just due to his iconic nature, he's definitely boosted. Games like Mario and Luigi don't really register that much, but MGS5 definitely will, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Ground Zeroes/MGS5 trailers do more for Big Boss than the year of Luigi has for Luigi.

That said, Luigi's straight up stronger than Big Boss historically. Big Boss has these moments where he gets a Snake picture and becomes untouchable, but he didn't get that this round. He looks good, yeah, but not 'oh god snake' good, like he did when he annihilated Kirby. On the other hand, I wasn't super impressed by Bowser's showing yesterday and Bowser is probably somewhat tied to that. The other Mario guys haven't really had a real barometer yet to say much, so that's just speculation. Oh, and in that same match, The Boss almost beat Sub-Zero. MGS boost? Maybe. Probably not, but maybe.

And I've written all this without mentioning the dork with the baseball bat who kind of ruins what should be a good match. Luigi could totally win this despite Ness's involvement but I'm not going to pick it. Ness probably only pulls 15% here but those are votes that should be going Luigi's way, plus Earthbound has had a mini-resurgence thanks to the Wii U VC release. Oh wait, nobody owns a Wii U here! Nevermind!

transience's prediction: Big Boss with 44%, Luigi with 40%, Ness with 14%

KP's Analysis

I thought Luigi>Big Boss>LFFd Luigi from the start of the contest, and nothing so far has changed my mind about that. If anything, MGS character have universally done well. Ness does tend to die when other Nintendo characters are around, which is what gives Luigi some hope here, but that dedicated Earthbound fanbase isn't going to give it up so easily just to push Luigi on through. I doubt this turns into another Wolf situation - and as Wolf showed, even that tiny bit of LFF would probably be enough to turn the tide. Big Boss has better chance of being close to Luigi than a tier under him.

Big Boss - 41%
Luigi - 40%
Ness - 19%
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#25 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 7:32:48 AM | message detail
Guest’s Analysis - Ctes

Since Bacon removed most the large load of votes CATS obviously last round we actually have Ness in round. Oh well, we're used to admins treating CATS like that, and we get a math out of it!

Some people might disagree, but Luigi would take down Big Boss 1v1, easily. I think it's Big Boss easily defeating Kirby in round 1 of 2008 that's telling people otherwise, but no, and Kirby would beat Big Boss 1v1 too, if his numbers on Sonic in 2010 is any indication. Anyway, the deciding thing here is that Ness is in the match, and whether Ness is going to hold Luigi down enough or not.

We saw Wolf do it to Fox, but Falco failed to do it to Donkey Kong, literally Donkey Kong. And thing is, Ness crumbles when any kind of SFF is near him. He's so low in the Nintendo hierarchy. He's going to hold Luigi down some, but I don't think he can close the gap between Luigi and Big Boss. Luigi is probably stronger than ever. He's been improving the last many years and with Year of Luigi he's going to be even stronger. Also, this is a day match, makes me feel safer about it.

I'd not be too surprised to see Big Boss take this one, but I'm feeling pretty confident about Luigi.

Luigi – 46%
Big Boss – 42%
Ness – 12%

Crew Consensus: Big Boss ends the year of Luigi
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#26 | ZFS | Posted 8/22/2013 9:46:54 AM | message detail | (edited)
Not enough Luigi respect! Although I guess Ness is ruining it by being here. Let's go #yearofluigi
tune in tokyo 142.94
#27 | transcience | Posted 8/22/2013 11:14:07 AM | message detail
living up to the hype so far
add the c and back away
#28 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/22/2013 11:33:03 AM | message detail
Ness ruins everything
i'll do rydia -Dante
#29 | LOZLTTP | Posted 8/22/2013 12:21:26 PM | message detail
I believe in Luigi.
Many people, of course, use 'sentimentalism' as a term of abuse for other people's decent feelings, and realism as a disguise for their own brutality. G H Hardy
#30 | transcience | Posted 8/22/2013 12:58:24 PM | message detail
dat power hour. even Aeris got one
add the c and back away
#31 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/22/2013 2:45:03 PM | message detail
#32 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 8/22/2013 2:48:27 PM | message detail
We got this Lopen.
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#33 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 10:11:13 PM | message detail | (edited)

Crew Predictions - 75/87

What Happened: Mewtwo easily beat Phoenix and some dude no one recognized, and then Bowser won his match predictibly

What will Happen: Sonic beats Nintendo leeching

Crew Prediction Challenge

KP - 77
Kleenex - 76
Moltar - 75
Leon - 74
Guest - 71
Tran - 71
Lopen - 65

Crew Expert Challenge

KP - 63
Tran - 59
Moltar - 58
Kleenex - 57
Leon - 57
Guest - 52
Lopen - 45

Crew Accuracy Challenge - pjbasis gets Mewtwo, Lopen gets Vincent, Leon gets Phoenix and The Boss, Moltar gets Subby, KP and Leon get Bowser

Moltar - 56
Lopen - 45
Leon - 45
KP - 42
Tran - 38
Kleenex - 36
Guest - 31 (Kuza, Kotetsu (3), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (2), Nintendoboy, PaulG (4), Bane (3), Chris, lefty (2), tennisboy, AKJ (2), DarkFalcon, FFD, Luis (3), meche, nameplz, pjbasis)
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#34 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 9:36:22 PM | message detail
I should've known better than to back Luigi that guy is never good business
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#35 | pjbasis | Posted 8/22/2013 9:45:11 PM | message detail
whoa I got an accuracy point whaaaaat
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#36 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 9:47:36 PM | message detail
Hey, hey. You bring Tran and Guest down 2 points on prediction challenge I'm not that far behind!
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#37 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 10:14:18 PM | message detail
Division 3: Round 2 - Match 90 – (3) Elizabeth vs. (4) Kirby vs. (12) Crash Bandicoot

Moltar’s Analysis

Round 1 - 41.45% vs. Poison and Thrall

Round 1 - 46.44% vs. Terra and Peach

Round 1 - 42.59% vs. Wheatley and Vercetti

Elizabeth got lucky in R1, but now she faces someone that's strong AND characters that are popular. Enjoy 3rd place, my dear.

Kirby also kills Crash here but with Spyro kind of holding up I guess Crash might not look too awful.

Moltar’s Prediction: Elizabeth: 20% - Kirby: 55% - Crash: 25%

Lopen’s Analysis

Kirby continues his gauntlet of matches vs characters who suck. This must be an inside joke of some sort, as I'm pretty sure his 4 faced have the most suck in the bracket.

Anyway Kirby exposes these two bad characters as the jobbers they are and there is much rejoicing. Crash's 40% vs trash doesn't mean much but it should be enough to best Elizabeth's 40% vs super trash.

Lopen's prediction:
Kirby - 55.30%
Crash Bandicoot - 24.70%
Elizabeth - 20.00%

Leonhart’s Analysis

Elizabeth: Voted Best Newcomer

Kirby: Voted Best Impersonator

Crash Bandicoot: Voted Best Washed Up Mascot

While Elizabeth was one of the rare new Western characters to succeed and while Crash ended an 11 year winless drought, they’re both in way over their heads against Kirby. Elizabeth’s win doesn’t quite look as good as it did at first after we saw Booker bomb, and Crash will likely suffer the same fate as Spyro. He could win in round one just due to being the guy everyone knows, but he’s going to take a big hit when he loses the “apathy” vote. He could still beat Elizabeth, but it’ll probably be a close fight for a distant second. Kirby should rock this poll hard, probably even better than he did in round one.

Leonhart’s Vote: Kirby

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Kirby – 53.00%
Crash Bandicoot – 25.00%
Elizabeth – 22.00%

Kleenex’s Analysis

Kirby's gonna crush this. Bioshock guys post-Elizabeth have kind of exposed her as a fraud (and after that perfomance on Poison of all people, who knows why we thought it was good in the first place). So does Kirby suck up enough of Crash's votes to let Elizabeth get second? I'm gonna say no, but it'll probably be close.

Kleenex's Prediction
Elizabeth with 22.00%
Kirby with 52.00%
Crash with 26.00%
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#38 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 10:14:23 PM | message detail
Transience’s Analysis

No time today - Kirby's an icon, Crash is a faded icon and Elizabeth talks to god. easy.

transience's prediction: Kirby with 54%, Crash with 29%, Liz with 17%

KP's Analysis

Crash>Elizabeth, but I think Kirby does bad things to crash in a similar fashion to what Yoshi did to Jak in 2010. He's going to suck up all the cutesey mascot votes, all the apathy votes, all the humanoid votes. Elizabeth stands out a lot in this poll, and while she's probably weak, I think her fanbase will be dedicated enough to give her the 2nd place edge.

Kirby - 51%
Elizabeth - 25%
Crash - 24%

Guest’s Analysis - Tsunami

My plan worked! Though it looks like it wasn’t nearly so urgent after all; my match was still a good day away from starting when I filled up topic 5.

So, yeah. Guess of all of the matches I could’ve signed up for, this one does make the most sense. Because there aren’t any “crazy upsets” that I wanted to do (although with the way this contest’s been ever since Draven, normalcy is an upset), so what could be better than watching my favorite character put up a blowout in Round 2?

I was tempted to go with an upset for second anyway because of how chaotic things have been, but with Big Daddy losing to Lloyd last round, I don’t trust Elizabeth to be able to pull it off.

Kirby wins with 66.67% of the vote
Crash comes in second with 17%
Elizabeth finishes third with 16.33%

Crew Consensus: Kirby strolls on to Round 3
Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives:
#39 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 10:23:03 PM | message detail
KP pls
F*** BT
#40 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 10:33:55 PM | message detail
...Wow. I figured my percentage for Kirby was high, but I didn't think that I'd overshoot the next-highest prediction by over 11%! Looks like this is more "Guest spot indulges in crazy theories" after all. So let's see...

Kirby 60.99% or higher
Elizabeth 16.66% or lower (looks like someone else was almost as low on Elizabeth as I was)
Crash 20.5% or lower

This is what I'd need to sweep the Accuracy points. And I can't get both Elizabeth and Crash without getting Kirby. Come on blowout let's go!
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#41 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 11:06:26 PM | message detail
pls what
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#42 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 11:08:40 PM | message detail
Yeah KP's theory is pretty legitimate I almost did it myself but Big Daddy getting squashed down made me not do it.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#43 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 11:08:47 PM | message detail
KP pls explain why you're so good at this
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (is also Yoblazer)
#44 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 11:09:57 PM | message detail
I'd rather be good at analyzing Draven rallies than analyzing random fodder :(
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#45 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 11:12:46 PM | message detail
I still think Crash has a chance though even though you should assume Elizabeth has this one put away. Just seems like he'd get disproportionately squashed more in the power hour than he would normally.

Though if she makes many more gains like that he can't really do anything.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#46 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 11:14:41 PM | message detail
I would assume Elizabeth would have a decent Europe vote, though.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#47 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 11:18:23 PM | message detail
They both appeared to be pretty consistent last round

Worth noting that Elizabeth's power hour vote was actually really good for whatever reason, though.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#48 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 11:19:53 PM | message detail
Well, that's bad. At least I'm getting the point for Crash!
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#49 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 11:20:54 PM | message detail
I like KP for the Crash point actually.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#50 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/23/2013 4:44:59 AM | message detail
Whoa Big Boss

He did it

Mr. Big Boss even gave Luigi a great match pic and he still won!