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Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
- Master Moltar (37)
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The
funny part is League of Legends destroying everyone I wouldn't even
mind that much (aside from the rampant obvious cheating). But Draven is
so awful. It does make me feel better that my estimate was that Ryu/X were getting about 30% of the legitimately rallied votes, however. The fanbase isn't completely dronelike, at least. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I don't think League triples OOT or anything (though it could [and probably should]). a lot of this is that it's Draven. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
Crew Predictions - 75/83 What Happened: Link won (duh) and Shep didn't have much trouble laying Aerith to rest What will Happen: LOL Crew Prediction Challenge KP - 75 Kleenex - 74 Moltar - 73 Leon - 72 Guest - 69 Tran - 69 Lopen - 62 Crew Expert Challenge KP - 61 Tran - 57 Kleenex - 56 Moltar - 56 Leon - 55 Guest - 51 Lopen - 43 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar gets Link and Raiden, Moltar and Tran get Yoshi, KP and Kleenex get Shep, Moltar and KP get Aerith, KP gets Tharja Moltar - 54 Lopen - 42 Leon - 41 KP - 40 Tran - 37 Kleenex - 36 Guest - 30 (Kuza, Kotetsu (3), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (2), Nintendoboy, PaulG (4), Bane (3), Chris, lefty (2), tennisboy, AKJ (2), DarkFalcon, FFD, Luis (3), meche, nameplz) --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Division 2: Round 2 - Match 86 – (2) Phoenix Wright vs. (23) Vincent Valentine vs. (11) Mewtwo Moltar’s Analysis Phoenix Round 1 - 44.30% vs. Marth and Nightmare Good job Phoenix you beat okay competition Vincent Round 1 - 53.50% vs. KOS-MOS and Dunban Vincent doesn't look good here...same goes for that match pic Mewtwo Round 1 - 81.80% vs. Zero (999) and Chester Biggest blowout against the weakest competition Vincent > Mewtwo > Phoenix seems obvious enough with Vincent being a near-elite, Mewtwo being a decent midcarder, and Phoenix being a low midcarder. Still, there has been some talk of Mewtwo upsetting Vincent because FF7 sucks now and Pokemon rocks or something. I'm not buying Mewtwo over Vincent just because Mewtwo killed the weakest entrant in the contest. Now Vincent disappointing against Mewtwo is something I can see, but he should be fine here now that he's the only RPG character in the match. Moltar’s Prediction: Phoenix: 24% - Vincent: 41% - Mewtwo: 35% Lopen’s Analysis Vincent looks like my barber and Phoenix Wright looks like his barber. I also don't really feel like quotes give much of a boost after seeing Tharja underwhelm after that amazing quote she had, so yeah. Vincent actually I feel is the worst character for FFVII to get a bad pic, and the type of character that is going to age the worst. He's a guy who runs off purely design and people's love for the game. There isn't much depth or lasting appeal there. Vincent is going to look sad here. If quotes had more of an effect, I'd take Phoenix Wright, but for now hail Mewtwo OH MAH GOODNESS DID HE... DID HE JUST? Lopen's prediction: Mewtwo - 36.05% Phoenix Wright - 32.05% Vincent - 31.90% Leonhart’s Analysis Phoenix Wright: Voted Best Debater Vincent Valentine: Voted Most Optional Mewtwo: Voted Best Scientific Breakthrough While there’s been a lot of debate on whether Mewtwo can beat Vincent, I think the real issue is whether or not he can beat Phoenix! We’ve seen Vincent put up lackluster first round performances against not so good competition and then rebound against better competition the next round (See: Falco 2008). I think he’ll be fine here. People have given Mewtwo more credit than he deserves over the years though. He’s never really looked THAT great in a contest. I think people feel like he SHOULD be stronger than he is and they give him the benefit of the doubt even though he hasn’t really earned it. Mewtwo nearly lost to Midna once upon a time. Do I think Phoenix could beat Midna? You better believe it. Plus, it’s a night match, something that works in both Phoenix’s and Vincent’s favor, but not Mewtwo. Get ready for Nick to pull a Turnabout on PokeFAQs here! Leonhart’s Vote: Phoenix Wright Leonhart’s Prediction: Vincent Valentine – 42.50% Phoenix Wright – 30.00% Mewtwo – 27.50% --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Kleenex’s Analysis Hey look, here's a potentially interesting match! FF7 looked like crap last round, right! Aeris lost to Shepard! Barret is...well Barret is actually doing a bit better than I expected, but I digress. If you really think Pokemon has blown the roof off (or you are Karma Hunter), this might a saucy upset. I have a hard time pulling the trigger on it, though, just because Vincent and Mewtwo are super far apart in historic strength. Mewtwo almost lost to Midna once! And if Phoenix is going to overlap with anyone, it'll probably be Mewtwo. So yeah. Kleenex's Prediction Phoenix with 23.00% Vincent with 41.00% Mewtwo with 36.00% Transience’s Analysis Who the hell is that? Despite that awful picture, despite this site's fascination with Pokemon, and despite this site's thoughts on FF7 dying, Vincent should still easily take this. So long as everyone knows who the hell he is, anyway. Good thing it's a night match. transience's prediction: Vincent with 41%, Mewtwo with 36%, Phoenix with 23% KP's Analysis After Draven, who cares Vincent - 37% Mewtwo - 36% Wright - 27% Guest’s Analysis - pjbasis FFVII will lose to Mass Effect and beat Pokemon. Best contest ever? Besides the whole Draven thing Vincent - 41.19% Mewtwo - 37.54% Phoenix - 21.27% Crew Consensus: Vincent...or whoever that is...wins --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
the Draven hangover is strong with this Crew --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
I see transience copied Leon's percentages. --- Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery. |
*Kleenex' --- Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery. |
Vincent
"60% on KOS-MOS" steps up to bat against Mewtwo, who we have very
little information on. He killed round one, but I would have expected
Shadow to break 75% against those guys so who knows what that means.
Phoenix beat Marth comfortably enough, but I think he's out of his
league here. Marth was likely heavily overrated because he went against
Sephiroth, and I'm not as sold on Smash as many this year anyway. Will
be voting for and cheering him on anyway though! So Vincent vs. Mewtwo. I've been pretty impressed with Pokemon so far, and respect Mewtwo's 41% on Ganon from 2010. Vincent's R1 performance sent alarm bells ringing, and his picture sucks here. He trades on design/image more than other FFVII so I think that'll hurt him. Maybe Vincent can bring the game when it matters, but I'm sceptical. Bracket: Vincent Expert: Mewtwo > Vincent > Phoenix Oracle: Mewtwo - 36.5%; Vincent - 36%; Phoenix - 27.5% --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
Give
the analysis crew a bottle jeez guys. The individual matches that
don't involve any of the finalists are still worth analyzing! Maybe I care less because my bracket was dead when Magikarp died I don't know. Well I guess it's only KP and the guest technically. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I have Phoenix in my bracket lol me --- Many people, of course, use 'sentimentalism' as a term of abuse for other people's decent feelings, and realism as a disguise for their own brutality. G H Hardy |
Mewtwo's got this, if Phoenix can't even win the board vote then he's done. --- http://img.imgcake.com/whatisurnameplz/kermitgifre.gif http://www.gamnesia.com/ |
HASHAAAA... Lopen HITS. FINALLY. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
All glory to Lopen --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. |
I forgot which match I signed up for... --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Great call Lopen --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
Hit or miss Lopen hits Too bad I didn't see the match pic before the match started! You RUINED my Phoenix upset, Bacon! Yes, a good Vincent picture completely swaps his position with Mewtwo! COMPLETELY --- http://i.imgur.com/kCpvD.gif |
WHAT IS GOING ON --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
oh wow --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
That's
not just a hit, that's an EXPERT hit looks like Phoenix is going to
hold 2nd pretty easily here. I thought he'd need suspicious maneuvers
to hold onto it. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I'm never giving the general voting populous benefit of the doubt for not being stupid when it comes to pictures again. I guess I also need to wait until match pics go up before doing my analysis too now. --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
To be fair Vincent is losing by so much here I'm pretty sure picking Vincent is the wrong choice even with a good pic. Probably beats PW though. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
yeah I don't know that picture is pretty bad though, and this is mr. optional I've waited for this to happen for ten years and it finally did --- xyzzy |
Re-run Vincent vs. Kerrigan with this match pic as the bonus match --- http://gifsoup.com/view/874243/big-boss-o.gif |
I am so on board SO on board --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Mastermage redeemed --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
Vincent is getting "Suit LFF" from Phoenix, allowing Mewtwo to get to first place. |
man the Devil Division would've gone so well if we'd gotten this Vincent and Donte and Smiling Squall and Sprite Magus is it even possible to sabotage Knuckles though --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
of course, there's plenty of stuff on deviantart --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
I think he means in terms of official art here. You could sabotage anyone with deviantart stuff...! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Division 2: Round 2 - Match 87 – (16) The Boss vs. (15) Sub-Zero vs. (7) Bowser Moltar’s Analysis The Boss Round 1 - 45.62% vs. Chrom and Heavy Decent showing from Boss, though these guys were probably weak Sub-Zero Round 1 - 49.02% vs. Garrus and Frank Better showing against better competition Bowser Round 1 - 60.55% vs. Meta Knight and Archer King Koopa does well in R1 Bowser should take this without a problem and set up that nice Sonic/Vincent/Bowser match for next rou-OH WAIT Subby beats The Boss for second as one would expect. Don't think we'll get any surprises here, just the natural order of strength. Moltar’s Prediction: The Boss: 25% - Sub-Zero: 31% - Bowser: 44% Lopen’s Analysis Man, Scorpion is so much better for this quote format it ain't even funny, man. What's Sub-Zero gonna say... DDDTTTHHHZZ? ... that's the sound of his freeze ball thing... what? Yes it is! I swear. Uh anyway I thought Sub-Zero had a chance here when the bracket came out. Not really seeing it now. Nintendo dominance too strong. Bowser should walk away with this and The Boss is probably closer to Sub-Zero than Sub-Zero is to Bowser when this is all said and done. Also Scorpion looking like a bit of a jobber vs Sora doesn't exactly inspire confidence either. Lopen's prediction: Bowser - 44.38% Sub-Zero - 31.58% The Boss - 24.04% Leonhart’s Analysis The Boss: Voted Most Loyal Sub-Zero: Voted Coolest Kid in School Bowser: Voted King of Awesome This is actually a pretty solid group of characters, but the hierarchy should be pretty clear. Bowser wins, Sub-Zero comes in second, The Boss comes in third. For some reason, Board 8 always underestimates Sub-Zero, and I think he’ll surprise people here against Bowser. Wish I had the guts to pull the trigger on an upset here, but I don’t think it’s likely. It’s more likely that Subby loses cleanly but respectably. Leonhart’s Vote: Sub-Zero Leonhart’s Prediction: Bowser – 40.00% Sub-Zero – 34.00% The Boss – 26.00% Kleenex’s Analysis Bowser is a tier above Sub-Zero. Sub-Zero is a tier above The Boss. Sounds like the perfect recipe for a 44/33/22 match! Kleenex's Prediction The Boss with 22.22% Sub-Zero with 33.33% Bowser with 44.45% Transience’s Analysis Huh. This contest seems super unpredictable suddenly. Too bad Mewtwo winning means Bowser has no chance against Sonic. Anyway, Bowser wins this, Sub-Zero is clearly second and The Boss is third. I'd like to find a way for Sub-Zero to hang with Bowser, but if Ryu couldn't come close, why would Sub? transience's prediction: Bowser with 46%, Sub-Zero with 34%, The Boss with 20% KP's Analysis yawn Bowser - 43% Sub-Zero - 34% The Boss - 23% Guest’s Analysis - LOZLTTP Not only is Bowser, well, Bowser...he's also the only Nintendo character in this battle. There's no way he finishes anything but first. As for the runner up, Sub-Zero looks really good here. He's historically been very strong in these contests, and his victory over Garrus is a lot more impressive to me than stomping on lightweights like Chrom and Heavy. Wrex's upset from round one only serves to make Garrus (and by extension Sub-Zero) look that much better. Bowser - 45% Sub-Zero - 35% The Boss - 20% Crew Consensus: Bowser toasts the competition --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Wow, everything fit into one post. Wonder when the last time that happened was. Other than stuff like the bonus match where not everyone even bothered submitting a writeup for it. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
The Mana Sword posted... I guess I also need to wait until match pics go up before doing my analysis too now. I do this every time, I just didn't think it would matter enough this time because I figured people voting for FF7 characters like Vincent would have to know them fairly well and not abandon them immediately oops --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Crew curse means The Boss gets second. --- http://img.imgcake.com/whatisurnameplz/kermitgifre.gif http://www.gamnesia.com/ |
Or possibly Sub-Zero winning. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
I think I've figured it out. Bacon thinks he's finally learned how LFF works, and as per the goal of making this a tribute to the Noble Nine, he wanted a dual Nintendo split helping Sonic out. Too bad for him that Bowser probably overlaps with Sonic just as much as he does with Mewtwo! Still think Sonic can win this, but it's an uphill battle, and if Link falls to Draven the rally will be on to try to get a Pokémon into a situation to fight Draven off properly (although an icon like Sonic or Bowser might dilute Draven's rally a bit better anyway). Add in the fact that it's almost impossible for Crono and Mega to avoid the screwjob, and we could have almost half the Noble Nine miss the final nine! --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... and as per the goal of making this a tribute to the Noble Nine *checks Link's next match* OOPS |
So
what's the general consensus on what happened last night. Mewtwo beat
Vincent, yeah, but he also didn't break 60% on Phoenix Wright. --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Mewtwo might have beaten Vincent even with a fair Vinny pic, but not because Mewtwo's boosted through the roof. So basically say goodnight to my Cloud > Snake pick --- Guess who I am! http://gifsoup.com/webroot/animatedgifs3/1345748_o.gif |
forget draven, cloud losing to snake will be the real travesty --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
It could cost me the Guru at this rate! Now we'll never get Laguna into a contest! --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
I know all about losing the Guru because of Snake beating Cloud! It's the worst. --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Does
Kanz have taken Draven to win it all??? If he win the guru, are we
still oblige to nominate his LOL character for next contest (assuming
their is a next contest) --- Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master |
Nobody in the Guru has Draven winning it all. Snake/Cloud is essentially the championship match this year, assuming no other shenanigans (LOL). --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... I think I've figured it out. Crono/Magus and Mega Man/Zero beg to differ --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
LeonhartFour posted... Nobody in the Guru has Draven winning it all. Only one person has Link losing before the finals, so as soon as Draven wins round 3, that Round 4 match will be a guaranteed zero for everyone. (Because there's no way that one person's Round 4 pick will even make it out of Round 2.) --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... TsunamiXXVIII posted...I think I've figured it out. I said he thinks he figured it out now. It's too late to fix what was already done in the bracket-making stage. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
First-ever 500th post. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
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