Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5

#1 | Master Moltar | Posted 8/12/2013 7:05:16 AM | message detail
Hey everyone, it’s Contest time again! That means the Contest Analysis Crew is back once again!

Our goal is to analyze and predict each match in this Contest, and of course, you will read the write-ups and laugh at us when we’re wrong. So without further ado, here’s the line-up for this Contest.

Master Moltar
Lopen
Leonhart
Kleenex
Transience
Newcomer: KamikazePotato
Guest

E-mail - mastermoltar@gmail.com

Current Guest List - In the case that no one signs up for a match, or the person that signed up for the match does not do their write-up before the match starts, the first non-Crew member analysis posted in the topic will become the official Guest for the match.

Creeper/Wario/The King - nameplz
Red/Corvo/Sissel - LMS
Pit/Wrex/Cecil - th3l3fty

Mega Man/Geno/Magikarp - Luster Soldier
Kratos/Travis/Recette - tnote
Red Bird/Haggar/Jill - FFD
Zero (MMX)/Kratos A/Boko - Black Turtle
Lenneth/Claptrap/Cube - ctes
? Block/Lyndis/Rikku - Luis
Marston/Zelda/Sackboy - Bane
Lightning/DK/Falco - meche313
Charizard/Riku/Nier - Surskit



Moltar: So this is the Sanctuary of Sages?

KP: Yes, this is where famous historical figures of GameFAQs are honored. I've read that it's usually quite busy since it's such a popular attraction.

Moltar: Why is it empty now?

KP: I don't know. I'm not quite current on recent events.

Moltar: Well, let's head in.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

KP: We sure have been wandering around for a while.

Moltar: Now that you mentioned it, something is sure to happen right about no-

???: ...OLD DAYS I...

KP: Did you just say something?

Moltar: No, but I heard it too...sounded like an old man. Let's go.

???: ...ONE ON ONE MATCHES, THAT WAS THE EXCITING STUFF.

Moltar: We're getting closer. Hello, is anyone there!

???: HUH? THAT VOICE...I STILL REMEMBER IT. THAT'S MOLTAR, ISN'T IT?

Moltar: Yeah, who is this? How did you know my name?

???: HAHA, MY BOY! IT'S ME, TRAN, YOU REMEMBER.

Moltar: Tran...?

Tran: YOU DON'T? WELL, IT HAS BEEN A WHILE. COME, LET'S TAKE A TRIP DOWN MEMORY LANE!

KP: This is...an exhibit. It's called 'Character Battle 6'.

Tran: AH YES, THE FIRST FOUR-WAY CONTEST. THAT WAS WHERE WE FIRST PREDICTED TOGETHER ON THE CREW. TOGETHER, THE TWO OF US REALLY KICKED SOME ASS AND SHOWED THOSE CASUALS WHO WAS BOSS.

Moltar: The Crew...?

KP: Do you know what he's talking about?

Moltar: I...don't think so, but this does seem...familiar.

Tran: THOSE WERE SOME GOOD TIMES. WALLS OF TEXT FOR WRITE-UPS AND HAIKUS, I REALLY WAS SOMETHING BACK THEN. SO YOUNG AND FULL OF SPIRIT.

KP: This exhibit has some interesting things. A black-haired Cloud, GAMEFUEL, a L-shaped block on top of a fallen Link. Does any of this ring a bell?

Moltar: I...I don't know. Ugh, my head feels like it's spinning.

Tran: KEEP GOING, TO THE NEXT EXHIBIT!

KP: This one is called, 'Game of the Decade'.

Tran: OH, THIS ONE IS SAD. IT'S THE LAST TIME WE ANALYZED TOGETHER, BUT THAT GAME OF THE DECADE CONTEST REALLY WAS SOMETHING SPECIAL.

KP: Shadow of the Colossus, Melee vs. Brawl, Majora's Mask...

Moltar: Ugh...Ah..ahhhhhhh

KP: What? Did something happen?...Moltar, your nose...it's bleeding.

Moltar: Huh?

KP: What does this mean?

Moltar: Oh, it's just because I was readin-actually nevermind.

KP: Reading? Reading what? Is that a magazine you're trying to hide? Why is there a naked woman on th-

Moltar: C'mon, we're at the end of the exhibit! Let's find this guy.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#2 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/12/2013 7:05:24 AM | message detail
Moltar: Alright Tran, this game is over. Why did you lead us here?

Tran: NO ONE APPRECIATES A GOOD CONTEST ANYMORE. BACK IN THE DAY, CJAYC KNEW HOW TO RUN A GOOD CONTEST WITH A STRONG BRACKET WE COULD WRITE FOR DAYS ABOUT. NOW, IT'S ALL JUST BORING BLOWOUTS IN MULTI-MAN MATCHES WITH LAME GIMMICKS. THESE KIDS TODAY ARE MISSING OUT. I TRIED TO TELL THEM HOW GOOD THE OLD CONTESTS WHERE, BUT NOW THEY'VE ABANDONED THIS PLACE AND WON'T COME BACK. DARN U WHIPPERSNAPPERS.

Moltar: (So basically, the Sanctuary of Sages is empty because no one wants to listen to some old man's ramblings about the past.) Listen Tran, I do believe that we worked together in the past, and I think we can work together again.

KP: We're going to find Allen, so if you come with us, you can rant to him and not us.

Tran: REALLY? BUT WHAT IF HE DOESN'T LISTEN TO ME?

Moltar: I'll make him listen. I'm going to predict his contest and-

Tran: ALRIGHT LET'S MOSEY! QUICK! WE DON'T HAVE A SECOND TO WASTE!

*To Be Continued*
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#3 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/12/2013 7:23:05 AM | message detail
#4 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/12/2013 7:25:05 AM | message detail
Nothing friend.If it was a normal Pokemon I would vote for it.But it is a glitch.So I voted for Tidus.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#5 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/12/2013 7:27:31 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Nothing friend.If it was a normal Pokemon I would vote for it.But it is a glitch.So I voted for Tidus.


It has more character than a lot of Pokemon back then or since!
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http://www.gamnesia.com/
#6 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/12/2013 7:27:43 AM | message detail
no more debatable matches this round amirite tranny
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F*** BT
#7 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/12/2013 7:28:00 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Nothing friend.If it was a normal Pokemon I would vote for it.But it is a glitch.So I voted for Tidus.


Good man.
#8 | transcience | Posted 8/12/2013 7:37:40 AM | message detail
oh man so good

no more debatable matches until this one!
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#9 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/12/2013 7:42:29 AM | message detail
Division 8: Round 1 - Match 70 – (3) Creeper vs. (16) Wario vs. (25) The King of all Cosmos

Moltar’s Analysis

Creeper
ssssssssstop

Wario
Bribed Allen to put him in a winnable R1 match

King
Stepping down from his throne

After seeing Steve end up a good distance behind Pac and Drake, it's hard for me to say that Creeper will compete with Wario, who is weak, but a known Nintendo character in Smash here. Like Game and Watch, that's probably all he needs in order to win this.

lol king of all cosmos. He was weak back in 2005 and I doubt he's aged well.

Moltar’s Prediction: Creeper: 35% - Wario: 47% - King: 18%



Lopen’s Analysis

Uhhh I've heard hype about Creeper being some sorta joke vote target. I just don't think, the Minecraft series has the appeal on GameFAQs for the thing to be anything but an ugly blob, with said ugly blob likely getting ugly blob SFFed by Wario.

... aww, okay Wario, that was harsh.

But seriously barring the dumbest "rally" this side of Draven I just don't think the votes are there for anything minecraft related. Thing is probably going to hover around the KoAC level more than Wario's. And honestly, I'm not even sure it beats him. If I was picking an upset just for the sake of it this seems like a good one to gamble on, but given that STEVE didn't look completely awful it's probably safer to have him at #2.

Lopen's prediction:
Wario - 52.53%
Creeper - 25.25%
KoAC - 22.22%



Leonhart’s Analysis

I’m not sure what to make of this match. Steve didn’t do completely terribly against Drake and Pac-Man, both of whom I’d take to beat Wario, and Creeper should be noticeably stronger than Steve. Despite Wario being a Mario character, I don’t think people really care about him, and his past results bear that out. He’s never finished first in a poll, and he’s been SFF’d pretty hard on multiple occasions. He’s definitely vulnerable here if Creeper turns out to have anything resembling real strength.

Not sure that it will though since this site doesn’t care about Minecraft. About half the site has never even played it, and probably a decent chunk of the other half don’t care enough about it to support Creeper. I guess if Minecraft fans are willing to rally for the thing, it can win, but I don’t like predicting based on the assumption something’s going to get a rally. So if it comes through and I’m wrong, so be it, but I’ll (somewhat reluctantly) stick with Wario. There’s a decent chance KoAC could sneak into second here if Creeper stinks up the joint, but we’re way past what little heyday Katamari had at this point.

Leonhart’s Vote: Wario

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Wario – 44.00%
Creeper – 33.00%
The King of All Cosmos – 23.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#10 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/12/2013 7:42:51 AM | message detail
Kleenex’s Analysis

Alright, so Steve was a bust. And even still, I'm thinking about picking Creeper here just because Wario and King suck. Unfortunately, Wario is probably not quite sucky enough to lose to a pixelated penis with a face. Probably. Minecraft just doesn't seem to have the strength needed on the site to pull off anything silly, especially with Allen cracking down on funny business lately.

Kleenex's Prediction
Creeper with 28.00%
Wario with 48.00%
King with 24.00%



Transience’s Analysis

go tidus (no hope unless Allen intervenes which seems highly unlikely)

Wario is always worse than I expect. That worries me in this match -- not enough to pick a Minecraft thing or a King that is at least five years past its prime, but enough to make me think that Wario could get kinda embarrassed here. We'll see.

transience's prediction: Wario with 47%, Creeper with 33%, King with 20%



KP's Analysis

Pretty worried about this match after seeing Steve do 'okay'. Creeper has every reason to be way, way stronger than him. Wario isn't a very likable Nintendo character, either, so I could see people voting against him easily. I'll stick with Wario here because he's never done *horrible* and this site is still very ignorant of new game.

Wario - 41%
Creeper - 39%
King - 20%



Guest’s Analysis - nameplz

Trannies.

I once met one at work. The...whatever it was was wearing a pink zip-up sweatshirt and black short shorts, had lipstick, and long, blond hair. I was at a loss to whether this was a man in woman’s clothing, a woman that tried but failed to become a man, a man that became a woman...and the weirdest thing was that (s)he wasn’t wearing a bra. This made me more baffled than usual. Weird.

Wario - 46.42%
Creeper - 33.85%
The King of all Cosmos - 19.72%



Crew Consensus: Wario wins the match and gets the money
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#11 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/12/2013 8:19:43 AM | message detail
...What was that guest write-up?
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#12 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/12/2013 8:20:52 AM | message detail
Well, seeing as how people keep saying nobody reads the guest write-up I decided to spice things up a bit. And by that I mean go completely off topic.
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http://www.gamnesia.com/
#13 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/12/2013 8:21:45 AM | message detail
going off-topic is so last week

you need to come up with new and interesting ways to not analyze a match
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#14 | most_games_r_ok | Posted 8/12/2013 8:26:56 AM | message detail
Unfortunately, I read the guest write-ups
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#15 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/12/2013 8:27:59 AM | message detail
I bet you even read the overlong self-indulgent crew intros, god bless your souls
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F*** BT
#16 | paulg235 | Posted 8/12/2013 8:29:34 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
going off-topic is so last week

you need to come up with new and interesting ways to not analyze a match

Email write-ups with NSFW links to Moltar hoping he doesn't check them and just posts the write-up here anyway?
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The Gamer In Me
His dark secret is he's really Spark Brushel in disguise. If people knew, he'd be ruined. - Spiral on the black psyche locks
#17 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/12/2013 8:31:52 AM | message detail
I say go for it!
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#18 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/12/2013 10:56:42 AM | message detail
I stand by my analysis from last night.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#19 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 8/12/2013 4:25:27 PM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
going off-topic is so last week

you need to come up with new and interesting ways to not analyze a match


wow mine was pretty good

back to the drawing board then
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<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#20 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 8/12/2013 4:25:49 PM | message detail
also gdi tidus I had fayth in you
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#21 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/12/2013 6:38:47 PM | message detail
Vote stuffing for Tidus.Only in this site.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#22 | FantasyFreak999 | Posted 8/12/2013 6:57:12 PM | message detail
tagging
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3DS FC: 3265-5634-7751
#23 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/12/2013 9:48:11 PM | message detail
Division 8: Round 1 - Match 71 – (4) Pokemon Trainer Red vs. (15) Corvo Attano vs. (24) Sissel

Moltar’s Analysis

Red
ColorFEAR

Corvo
who

Sissel
I know who this guy is but still...who

Red should dominate here. Blue went big in his match and Fox and Wolf would kill these guys.

No idea who takes second since both these guys are going to be extremely weak based on what we've seen so far. Missile did beat Kerrigan, but I'll just say that was because of DogFAQs and that Sissel won't benefit from that so dishonored dude takes it...maybe

Moltar’s Prediction: Red: 70% - Corvo: 17% - Sissel: 13%



Lopen’s Analysis

So we've got Pokemon Trainer from Smash Bros vs I think some guy from Elite Beat Agents and a black shadowy abortion of visual design principles.

I could try and determine whether the black splotch thing can beat a Detective J but who actually cares. Do you care? Do I care? Just pick the Brawl character at #1 and no pick the other two and save yourself the trouble of predicting these other two jokers.

Lopen prediction:
Pokemon Trainer - 63.00%
Agent S - 18.50% (2nd place... is... GO!!!!)
THE DARK FUTURE - 18.50%



Leonhart’s Analysis

No excuses for Red this time around! He’s got a Pokemon R/B/Y pic and two characters who should be pretty bad fodder (Seriously, how does Pokemon keep getting these matches against two weak fodder guys?). Dishonored did halfway decent in GOTY, finishing a clear second behind Assassin’s Creed III but well ahead of everything else, but we’ve seen way too many new Western characters bomb at this point to expect him to be worth much of anything. And while Missile turned out to be better than expected, I don’t expect much out of Sissel because he is not, in fact, a dog. So yeah, show us what you’ve got, Red. We’re waiting.

Leonhart’s Vote: Pokemon Trainer Red

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Pokemon Trainer Red – 62.50%
Corvo Attano – 21.00%
Sissel – 16.50%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Normally I'd take this time to complain about another Pokemon character winning a match, but as much as I loathe most of them I can't even be mad here because Red's opposition is probably the worst in the entire contest barring Chester/Zero. Corvo is from a game that happens in first person that was released within the past year. It's got guns, and it's western and it's new so SPOILER ALERT GameFAQs will not give two craps about it. Sissel is from another game that people have not played and he is not a dog heh so he's not getting any votes either. Next.

Kleenex's Prediction
Red with 75.00%
Corvo with 12.00%
Sissel with 13.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#24 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/12/2013 9:48:19 PM | message detail
Transience’s Analysis

Red should crush this poll of weaklings, right? Sissel is like a homeless man's Phoenix Wright and Corvo is from an action/stealth game released in 2012 as a new IP. But then there's the fact that Pokemon is not universally loved for something as popular as it is, and doubly so for this match since we just got finished with the Missingno traveshamockery in those last 20 minutes. But even that shouldn't stop him from reaching for the sky here.

transience's prediction: Red with 68%, Sissel with 19%, Corvo with 13%



KP's Analysis

Red without Brawl pics had better godstomp this s***.

Red - 65%
Corvo - 23%
Sissel - 12%


Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

After Blue's impressive performance, Red is pretty much expected to blow out this fodderrific competition.

Sissel's dog also put up an impressive performance, so I think it's reasonable to expect him to do the same, or at least expose his fodderrific competitor. You know why? Well, let's look at that Corvo Attano. The match pic does him no favors - he blends into the background, and he looks kinda generic when put next to the in-your-face smiles of Red and Sissel. Oh, and the consistent bombing of characters from recent games and "generic" characters does not help Corvo's cause either. Then to top it off, Corvo's game isn't even particularly popular for a recent game!

Believe it or not, I was seriously considering Corvo > Red for some time in the bracketmaking phase, but now, I think Corvo's dead.

ARGH POKEMON - 63%
Mr. Dishonorable - 17.74%
Missile's owner - 19.26%


Crew Consensus: Pokemon wins its second night match in a row
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#25 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/12/2013 10:01:13 PM | message detail
This Corvo dude looks like Zero.

And not the Zero people know. The other one.
#26 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/12/2013 10:06:41 PM | message detail
I...wait...LMS got the high prediction for Sissel? But somehow wasn't the low man for Red because people actually had Corvo over 20%? ...Eh, I've pretty much pissed away my rights to criticize predictions over the past few days. Not to mention I've halfway given up on predictions ever since StuffGate.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#27 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 10:07:27 PM | message detail
"missile's owner" is pretty much the definition of 'lms does not play video games'
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xyzzy
#28 | Lopen | Posted 8/12/2013 10:13:34 PM | message detail
Oh god LMS did my "rename the guys in the match to inane things" schtick time to never do it again.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#29 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/12/2013 10:15:35 PM | message detail
lol
#30 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/12/2013 10:54:25 PM | message detail
And I thought I was being generous with Red. 65%+ is something that's extremely hard to reach these days.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#31 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:00:40 PM | message detail
it's Sissel and Corvo
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xyzzy
#32 | ZFS | Posted 8/12/2013 11:01:32 PM | message detail
Yeah, this is some super weak competition. Voted Red!
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#33 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:04:35 PM | message detail
shoulda voted Sissel
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xyzzy
#34 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/12/2013 11:04:42 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
And I thought I was being generous with Red. 65%+ is something that's extremely hard to reach these days.


Ammy just reached it and her opposition craps all over what Red's facing.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#35 | Lopen | Posted 8/12/2013 11:05:29 PM | message detail
Yeah this is basically "red" vs "not red" to most people I think. The playership on those other two guys combined probably doesn't break 20%.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#36 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/12/2013 11:06:13 PM | message detail
I would've taken Corvo to beat Vyse. Probably still do - he's going to rise after the Power Hour is over, just like every other western character.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#37 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:06:32 PM | message detail
man, how did Missile do so well when Sissel is so bad

dogfaqs!!!!!!!
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xyzzy
#38 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/12/2013 11:07:27 PM | message detail
Because 90% of Missile's votes were from people who didn't play Ghost Trick! We all knew this!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#39 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:08:12 PM | message detail
what does that say about amaterasu

actually why is amaterasu so popular

oh god dogfaqs
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xyzzy
#40 | ZFS | Posted 8/12/2013 11:08:17 PM | message detail
Give me Vyse over Corvo and Sissel pretty easy.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#41 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:08:23 PM | message detail
what if sissel.. well... y'know
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xyzzy
#42 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/12/2013 11:08:32 PM | message detail
DogFAQsStuffers.com
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F*** BT
#43 | ZFS | Posted 8/12/2013 11:08:55 PM | message detail
Amaterasu is too good! Okami HD and MvC3 probably helped her quite a bit.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#44 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:10:13 PM | message detail
character quality notwithstanding, it's a dog from a zelda clone that shouldn't be that popular on this website
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xyzzy
#45 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/12/2013 11:10:39 PM | message detail
Good design. Dog.

People have voted for less. I'll never figure out Yoshi.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#46 | transience | Posted 8/12/2013 11:11:31 PM | message detail
oh god yoshi is a dog too
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xyzzy
#47 | ZFS | Posted 8/12/2013 11:11:37 PM | message detail
Okami's not bad here. I would think it'd be popular enough, especially now that it's easily available for cheap.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#48 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 8/12/2013 11:11:49 PM | message detail
transience posted...
character quality notwithstanding, it's a dog from a zelda clone that shouldn't be that popular on this website


Yeah but Okami is the best Zelda game since the Super Nintendo.
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#49 | ZFS | Posted 8/12/2013 11:11:57 PM | message detail
yoshi is a horse
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#50 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/12/2013 11:12:03 PM | message detail
Okami did pretty well in Game of the Decade, anyway.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.