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Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4

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#201 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/4/2013 11:45:02 AM | message detail
Crew barely predicted the winner.Still Pokefear I guess.
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#202 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 8/4/2013 11:58:46 AM | message detail
moltar I warned you like 4 days ago to go with Blue!
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#203 | ZFS | Posted 8/4/2013 12:00:49 PM | message detail
Figured Blue would win this - took him in my bracket! Wolf sucks, but it's probably enough to drag Fox down.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#204 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/4/2013 12:01:52 PM | message detail
No Blue would beat Fox 1vs1 but around 53% with these results.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#205 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/4/2013 12:04:36 PM | message detail
Damn Blue might be strong enough to screw Pikachu against Sora. Was hoping Blue would win due to Wolf leeching and not because he's actually a strong midcard. But I'll take it - Sora can still flop!
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#206 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/4/2013 12:47:55 PM | message detail | (edited)
transcience posted...
Drake/Blue/Game and Watch is interesting


Not after looking at this. I'd be kinda surprised if G&W had that much of an effect on Blue. Dat LFF resistance in full swing.

What a dumb match.

Just think, this is what Leon/Wesker could've been if Allen actually put someone decent in the poll.
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#207 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/4/2013 12:48:42 PM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
Blue might be strong enough to screw Pikachu against Sora.


More like Pikachu will ruin Blue's chances!

Blue > Pikachu
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#208 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/4/2013 1:55:22 PM | message detail
Well my bracket is toast after this so it's time to win the Analysis Crew instead (accuracy challenge doesn't count)

That's worth $400 in prize money, right
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#209 | Lopen | Posted 8/4/2013 2:32:31 PM | message detail
Man I really need to stop pickin against my bracket here!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#210 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/4/2013 2:33:42 PM | message detail
Hm okay.I am not sure about Blue vs Fox now.I mean if Wolf wasn't there and all votes for him go to Fox then he wins.But I believe Blue would win by around 51%.Not sure though.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#211 | Lopen | Posted 8/4/2013 2:47:15 PM | message detail
Yeah Blue vs Fox 1v1 is probably "close enough that the board's love of Pokemon puts Blue over" range I think. Wolf probably has like 90% Fox votes 10% Gary Oak votes or something if I were to guess which would make this match like 50.5/49.5 Fox which yeah I like Blue to win that.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#212 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/4/2013 10:09:32 PM | message detail
AppIekidjosh posted...
moltar I warned you like 4 days ago to go with Blue!


whoops

KamikazePotato posted...
Well my bracket is toast after this so it's time to win the Analysis Crew instead (accuracy challenge doesn't count)

That's worth $400 in prize money, right

$400 worth of Moltar Fun Bucks
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#213 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/4/2013 10:10:23 PM | message detail
Division 7: Round 1 - Match 55 – (1) Samus Aran vs. (18) Isaac Clarke vs. (21) Sandbag

Moltar’s Analysis

Samus
One day I'll be able to take that Samus > Seph upset. One day...

Isaac
being 18 seed is suffering

Sandbag
Shaped like a bag to beat Magus

Finally, out of that brutal Division 6. Time to compensate and call some matches right.

Samus will get her 60%+ here because she's Noble Nine and super strong. Sandbag gets enough joke support to take second. GameFAQs doesn't care about Dead Space or Isaac and he gets last.

Moltar’s Prediction: Samus: 65% - Isaac: 11% - Sandbag: 24%



Lopen’s Analysis

I love all three of these characters~ Samus is a positive symbol to women everywhere and a true icon! Sandbag is a truly determined little guy and I love how gracefully he takes beatings and always has a smile on his face... well he's not actually smiling but you can see it in his eyes! Isaac Clarke is from a game called Dead Space but he never gives up on LIVING! Kyaaa!

<3 let's all do our best and give 101% <3 What a great match!


Lopen's prediction:
Samus-senpai - 70.70%
Bag-kun - 22.22%
Clarke-samaaa - 8.08%




Leonhart’s Analysis

What a boring match. Well, I guess it could be a potentially interesting battle for second simply because Samus could SFF Sandbag here. But nobody uses Samus for Home Run Contest in Melee, so I don’t expect her to crush Sandbag here either. I mean, I feel like if you’re one of those guys who’s willing to vote for Sandbag, you’re probably going to vote for him regardless of who’s here. Actually, now that I think about it, I’m leaning toward voting for Sandbag because I don’t really care for Samus. Plus, he could be the thing people vote for who want to treat Samus like a punching bag for Other M (see what I did there). Guys named Isaac have been good at finishing second so far, but I think the Dead Space guy is probably going to be the weakest one.

Leonhart’s Vote: Sandbag

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Samus Aran – 63.00%
Sandbag – 21.00%
Isaac Clarke – 16.00%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Time for Isaac #3 to try and win a match and fail. Samus wrecks this match, but does she let Sandbag take second place? Probably not. I'd definitely take Sandbag over Isaac #3 1 on 1, but with Samus in the match he probably loses too much of his support.

Probably, it's certainly possibly that Isaac really sucks because he's from a game that was released in the past 10 years.

Kleenex's Prediction
Samus with 64.00%
Isaac with 22.00%
Sandbag with 14.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#214 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/4/2013 10:10:37 PM | message detail
Transience’s Analysis

DEAD SPACE MCBRO VS. A SFF'D SANDBAG

YEP, THIS IS REALLY HAPPENING

TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: SAMUS WITH 68%, SANDBAG WITH 17%, DEAD SPACE MCBRO WITH 15%



KP's Analysis

Sandbag beats Magus once upon a time, Isaac Clarke is probably the weakest Isaac in this contest. Samus steamrolls. Maybe Clarke slips into second if Sandbag gets Nintendo SFFd or whatever but does anyone really care? Wake me when it's over.

Samus - 66%
Sandbag - 19%
Clarke - 15%



Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

I had to take the match featuring my favorite character! Anyway, thoughts on this match:

-This is Samus's first match after Metroid: Other M, which SOMEHOW managed to anger the series' fanbase for reasons I honestly can't understand, and understand even less after starting to replay the game myself.
-Sandbag stands out here against two power-armored characters, but on the same token I can see Samus SFFing it since...well do Smash fans actually care about Sandbag? Sandbag still probably beats Isaac Clarke.
-If Samus can SFF them both, she can reach a hilarious blowout percentage, but with obvious winner anti-votes (can't see Other M anti-votes!) she probably won't.

Samus - 65%
Sandbag - 20%
Isaac Clarke - 15%



Crew Consensus: Samus has permission to win this match
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#215 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/5/2013 2:42:08 AM | message detail
WTF I thought I was highballing Samus...then again I was probably just giving the other guys too much respect.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#216 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/5/2013 3:54:52 AM | message detail
#217 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/5/2013 5:07:16 AM | message detail
That would be something.

Though in all honesty, even I don't really care much for Samus's portrayal there, in the story. Not going so far as to say her character was ruined, but it's not particularly strong and all of her personal stuff seems shoehorned in.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#218 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/5/2013 5:39:07 AM | message detail
sandbag'd augh
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#219 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/5/2013 7:37:19 AM | message detail
Division 7: Round 1 - Match 56 – (6) Neku Sakuraba vs. (13) Vaas Montenegro vs. (22) Catherine

Moltar’s Analysis

Neku
yo anime

Vaas
boo not anime

Catherine
yo anime

So we've got obsucre jrpg character that couldn't beat Laharl, new character from game that this site doesn't care for, and atlus game character that got nearly tripled by Sonic, and we have to choose one of these characters to win. Yikes

Vaas I think is the easy third place here. New characters have been bombing and Far Cry isn't really a game that is strong on GameFAQs.

Neku vs Catherine is tough, but based on how this contest has played out so far, it looks like Neku might be the favorite with known RPG main characters doing well (hey Lloyd got second that counts for something right). Plus, he was in a KH game recently...

..and he's the top seed...

...this is pretty much a crapshoot I honestly don't even

Moltar’s Prediction: Neku: 40% - Vaas: 25% - Catherine: 35%



Lopen’s Analysis

Yo man I'm not gonna take too long with this cause it's three fodders and we've got even less info than our usual three fodders.

I went Neku. I don't know if the pic hurts him or not. I mean KH3 hype says maybe it'll help but at the same time he's lost the cool TWEWY art style. Regardless I just think TWEWY seems more a GameFAQs type game than Catherine so yeah I think Neku wins that.

There's also the other guy who I think came from NBA Street Hoopz 2013 but I'm told came from Far Cry 3... you know... the sequel to... Far Cry... 2... that happened? Are you sure he's not from Hoopz 2013? I swear the only reason this guy is listed as from Far Cry 3 is to trick people into thinking he's from Fallout 3.

You gotta get up pretty early in the morning to trick me like that, bud.

Lopen's prediction:
Neku - 42.95%
Catherine - 38.70%
Hoopz - 18.35%



Leonhart’s Analysis

I’ve got Catherine in my bracket, but after seeing the match pic, I’m not sure I’m feelin’ it now. I thought having a really good pic could make the difference in her winning this weak trio, but Neku’s easily got the best pic here. Plus, he was in Kingdom Hearts 3D, which should have helped his overall exposure. I don’t think Vaas or Far Cry are up this site’s alley, and he looks really dumb in the pic. Plus, now he’s the top seed, which means he probably has brackets in his favor. This seems to be the trend with these niche RPG dude. Vyse beats Laharl as the higher seed. Laharl beats Neku as the higher seed. Now Neku is the higher seed, and it could be his time in the spotlight.

Leonhart’s Vote: Neku Sakuraba

Leonhart’s Prediction

Neku Sakuraba – 39.00%
Catherine – 35.00%
Vaas Montenegro – 26.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#220 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/5/2013 7:37:29 AM | message detail
Kleenex’s Analysis

Yeesh. This is Tharja/Juliet/Tina part 2. All three of these characters suck. Real bad. The only truly tested character of the bunch is Neku and he lost to Laharl. Vaas is from a game that came out last year, and it's not even close the kind of game GameFAQs enjoys, so I doubt he's worth much of anything. Catherine is from a game that came out within the last two years, but it is from the kind of game that this likes. Sort of.

In situations like this, I'm inclined to side with the known quantity, and we know that Neku is only slightly weaker than Laharl. And I'd probably take Laharl to beat these other two, so I'll stick with Neku.

Neku Sakuraba.

Winning a match.

Yeah.

Kleenex's Prediction
Neku with 39.00%
Vaas with 25.00%
Catherine with 36.00%



Transience’s Analysis

Since every other bro is bombing, I think we can write off Vaas. Even if he should win.

That leaves Neku, who is pretty weak but not miserably weak, and Catherine, who is untested. Neku's game is a little more popular while Catherine is probably more popular as a character, plus more attractive. The picsmiths really screwed this one up though - Catherine's boxart pose is one of the most recognizable this generation but instead they used some stupid looking side pose. Actually, now that I think about it, I bet this is Allen's doing since he didn't want such a seductive pose on this family website. Which is stupid, but whatever.

I'll take Catherine here - a much more attractive pick, and not just because of her looks. People played Catherine to see what was up with Catherine. Nobody played TWEWY for Neku. I'm having a bad feeling about this pick lately (give me the proven RPG character over competitive block climbing), but I'll stick with it.

transience's predix: Catherine with 43%, Neku with 38%, Vaas with 19%



KP's Analysis

I considered Vaas pre-contest, and then every Generic McDude outside of Drake fell flat on their face. That leaves Neku and Catherine, and I don't really know who wins that. Catherine I think is more well-known but not as well-liked. Neku has a more hardcore fanbase.

I think the main issue here is Catherine's pic. Sorry, Zen, but it doesn't really inspire confidence. Where are the jugs?!? I was kinda counting on Catherine having a big pic advantage going into this, but she looks iffy and Neku looks pretty good. Additionally, I have a feeling Neku is going to be a bit better in this contest. This is the highest seed he's ever gotten, people are looking back fodnly on TWEWY, and he just had an appearance in Kingdom Hearts 3D. Things are looking up for him...relatively speaking.

Neku - 39%
Catherine - 35%
Vaas - 26%



Crew Consensus: Neku wins, love is over
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#221 | transcience | Posted 8/5/2013 7:50:12 AM | message detail
huh. nekufaqs
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#222 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/5/2013 7:53:56 AM | message detail
Yeah the pic creator messed up here.Nobody wants to see classic poses and stuff like that.They want to see boobs.So since she doesn't she loses.Maybe next time they will a picture with boobs.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#223 | paulg235 | Posted 8/5/2013 8:09:31 AM | message detail
No Guest write-up?

PAULG235's EMMERGENCY GUEST FILL-IN WRITE-UP

NAMEPLZ WHERE YOU AT? WITH YOUR UNEXPLAINED ABSCENE IT IS MY DUTY TO PULL A QUICK GUEST WRITE UP OUT OF MY BUTTOCKS!

VAAS CRAPS THE BED HERE CAUSE HE'S A WESTERN CHARACTER AND WESTERN CHARACTERS HAVE BEEN LAYING EGGS ALL CONTEST!

I INITIALLY PICKED CATHERINE BECAUSE OF BOOBS BUT DAT NEKU PIC REMINDED ME OF KINGDOM HEARTS SPIN-OFF 36: WHERE MY KH3 AT MEANING KINGDOM HEARTS FACTOR WILL DECIDE THIS!

SO A WINNER IS NEKU! LE'S DO THIS!

Neku - 37.57% <----------- WINNER
Vaas - 25.37% <----------- LAST PLACE
Catherine - 37.06% <----- RUNNER UP
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#224 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/5/2013 8:11:11 AM | message detail
It's ok guys I'm still doing the guest analysis, I've just been mulling over what percentages to pick:

Guest's analysis - nameplz

I think we can all agree on one thing here - Vaas gets last. He’s one of the many new western characters in this contest, who have been sucking the entire time, and Far Cry itself isn’t that highly regarded here, at least from what I’ve seen.

I’m not sure what other people think, but I picked Catherine in my bracket, and after some thinking I’ll stick with it. She’ll be the only woman in the match, not to mention one that is drawn in the anime-style and has TJF (judging by the PS3 cover it must be a pretty big selling point); therefore she appeals to the common GameFAQs visitor. Plus, unlike other Atlas characters she’s an important part of her game. Sure, Neku has one appearance in a Kingdom Hearts game, but said game is on a handheld, and the guy lost to Laharl, of all things. Catherine’s charm alone could probably get her to do better than what Neku did on Laharl.

Catherine - 43.17%
Neku - 40.76%
Vaas - 16.07%
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#225 | NotTerrafire | Posted 8/5/2013 9:08:59 AM | message detail
Votals gonna be awful
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#226 | ZFS | Posted 8/5/2013 9:17:04 AM | message detail
I liked Catherine here, but that pic just isn't very good. She's got standout pictures, but that isn't one of them. Might be enough for Neku to push through.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#227 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/5/2013 9:22:33 AM | message detail
AUGH!!! Real Guest with the bad pick. Glad to see that Leonhart is using the same logic I did for this match; makes me think maybe my logic was actually good.

Lopen’s Analysis

I love all three of these characters~ Samus is a positive symbol to women everywhere and a true icon! Sandbag is a truly determined little guy and I love how gracefully he takes beatings and always has a smile on his face... well he's not actually smiling but you can see it in his eyes! Isaac Clarke is from a game called Dead Space but he never gives up on LIVING! Kyaaa!

<3 let's all do our best and give 101% <3 What a great match!


Lopen's prediction:
Samus-senpai - 70.70%
Bag-kun - 22.22%
Clarke-samaaa - 8.08%


Why has no one commented on this? Lopen, what the hell is this? I'm so glad that Isaac has recovered some percentage from Sandbag so that this silliness doesn't actually result in accuracy points.
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#228 | th3l3fty | Posted 8/5/2013 10:04:10 AM | message detail
whatisurnameplz posted...
It's ok guys I'm still doing the guest analysis, I've just been mulling over what percentages to pick:


that is not how this works!
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#229 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/5/2013 10:25:11 AM | message detail
The fact that Leon, KP, Moltar and I all have predictions within like 2% of each other is kind of disturbing for such a stupid match.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#230 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/5/2013 10:31:22 AM | message detail
th3l3fty posted...
whatisurnameplz posted...
It's ok guys I'm still doing the guest analysis, I've just been mulling over what percentages to pick:


that is not how this works!


What I have written, I have written.
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#231 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/5/2013 11:11:47 AM | message detail
#232 | transcience | Posted 8/5/2013 12:09:47 PM | message detail
looks like a good one!
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#233 | transcience | Posted 8/5/2013 12:43:08 PM | message detail
neku is over
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#234 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/5/2013 12:43:19 PM | message detail
I suggest to crew next time when they aren't sure who will win to go with boobs.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#235 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/5/2013 12:43:26 PM | message detail
Man, if Neku can't pull out a win in this situation then I'm not sure when he'll ever be able to.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#236 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/5/2013 12:44:33 PM | message detail
what a dumb match
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#237 | Lopen | Posted 8/5/2013 1:53:36 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Why has no one commented on this? Lopen, what the hell is this? I'm so glad that Isaac has recovered some percentage from Sandbag so that this silliness doesn't actually result in accuracy points.


Hey man the business is evolving I had to bring forth an answer to HARSH ALL CAPS RANTING

Anyway interesting match here I still think Neku has it but yeah pretty sad display if he's struggling to beat Catherine.

Will be interesting if Neku will be able to channel any of the infamous ~KH day vote~
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#238 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/5/2013 3:08:17 PM | message detail
Nekuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu
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#239 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/5/2013 3:10:25 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour | #238
Nekuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu


will lose
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Character Battle IX: 46/55 points, Next matches: Catherine, Knuckles the Echidna
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#240 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/5/2013 3:36:07 PM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts ASV ACTIVATE
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#241 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/5/2013 7:27:25 PM | message detail
ALWAYS pick the boobs.Always.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#242 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/5/2013 7:38:35 PM | message detail
Feels good to embarrass the crew here.

*high fives tran*
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#243 | th3l3fty | Posted 8/5/2013 7:40:27 PM | message detail
hardly embarrassing when it was a 50/50 match swung by a rally >_>
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#244 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/5/2013 7:51:37 PM | message detail
th3l3fty posted...
hardly embarrassing when it was a 50/50 match swung by a rally >_>


Damage control.
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#245 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/5/2013 7:52:46 PM | message detail
I'm embarrassed I even bothered to predict this match.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#246 | transcience | Posted 8/5/2013 8:02:41 PM | message detail
if you think calling a 50/50 fodder match right is embarrassing the crew then you haven't seen much!
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#247 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/5/2013 8:10:11 PM | message detail
transcience posted...
if you think calling a 50/50 fodder match right is embarrassing the crew then you haven't seen much!


Well at the very least I feel it should make up for my two crappy picks a few years ago.
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#248 | transcience | Posted 8/5/2013 8:17:16 PM | message detail
for you, beating the crew was the most important day in your life

for us, it was monday
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#249 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/5/2013 8:29:27 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5195
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5196

Crew Predictions - 49/54

What Happened: Drake wins one for the new McDudes, and Blue proves PokeFEAR is always justified

What will Happen: Blue looks good enough to win next round.



Crew Prediction Challenge - ouch

Kleenex - 49
KP - 49
Moltar - 47
Leon - 46
Tran - 44
Guest - 44
Lopen - 41

Crew Expert Challenge - kleenex growing his lead

Kleenex - 40
KP - 40
Tran - 39
Leon - 38
Moltar - 36
Guest - 33
Lopen - 29


Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tran and Moltar get Drake, Lopen gets Steve and Wolf, Leon gets Pac and Fox, tennisboy gets Blue

Moltar - 36
Leon - 28
Tran - 28
Lopen - 27
Kleenex - 21
KP - 21
Guest - 18 (Kuza, Kotetsu (2), Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS (2), Nintendoboy, PaulG (4), Bane, Chris, lefty (2), tennisboy)
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#250 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/5/2013 8:44:19 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
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