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Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

#451 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/23/2013 9:25:10 PM | message detail | quote
Kleenex’s Analysis

While Wheatley wasn't able to put away Crash, GLaDOS should have no problem taking care of the Sony "icon" in this match. GLaDOS is certainly stronger than Wheatley (which reminds me, people should have nominated Cave Johnson too), and Cole has to be weaker than Crash. Infamous is certainly more in the spotlight than it used to be a couple years ago, but I'm under the impression that people who enjoy Infamous don't even really like Cole. And good lord does he have a boring character design.

As is usually the case there is a third character in this match too, but it doesn't matter because it's literally a dude from BlazBlue.

Kleenex's Prediction
GLaDOS with 56.00%
Cole with 31.00%
Ragna with 13.00%



Transience’s Analysis

HOW HIGH CAN GLADOS GO? COLE IS KIND OF A JOKE TO MOST GAMEFAQS USERS AND SOME BLAZBLUE GUY WILL GET HIS REQUISITE TEN PERCENT AND GO HOME. BUT DOES THAT MEAN GLADOS CAN BREAK 50, MAYBE 60%? WITH THAT DESIGN, ALL WHILE BEING LARGELY KNOWN FOR HER VOICE MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE? I GUESS SO. I MEAN, WHO THE HELL ELSE ARE YOU GOING TO VOTE FOR? COLE?

TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: GLADOS WITH 58%, COLE WITH 31%, RAGNA WITH 11%



KP's Analysis

GlaDOS is more well-known and popular than in 2010, but Portal as a whole has come down from its zenith. She should be at least a little better, I think.

Cole should get an easy 2nd by virtue of that time Sony put Infamous up for free as a reward for the servers getting hacked. Everyone played it when that happened. Ragna should be happy to get 15%, BlazBlue is not going to be popular here whatsoever.

GlaDOS - 54%
Cole - 31%
Ragna - 15%



Guest’s Analysis - pjbasis

I think I signed up for this match so I can be the inFamous fanboy of the group, but I don't think I can take him to go higher than 30%.
GlaDOS isn't a bastion of strength, but Cole is not the kind of guy GameFAQs cares about. The only silver lining is inFamous 1 actually managing to even make it to Game of the Decade, and I THINK 2 is the more popular game, so it might have gotten a little stronger since then. And then SECOND SON HYPE, SON

I'm still scared he'll lose to RAGUNA ZA BRAHDO EJJI. But who plays Blazybloo right?

Why the heck is he not listed as Cole MACGRATH anyway. They say his full name in the games like he's John Smith, but never used Final Fantasy last names get listed.


GlaDOS - 46.79%
Cole - 29.59%
Ragna the Bloodedge - 23.62%



Crew Consensus: GlaDOS winning is not a lie
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#452 | Ngamer64 | Posted 7/23/2013 9:29:16 PM | message detail | quote
Lopen posted...
Oh also "lol NGamer" because no one did it

Captain Falcon no chance

Stupid Smash-loving kiddies sleeping in too late on summer break, what a disgrace!
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thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
Oh gosh, you really should listen to The Show!
#453 | Lopen | Posted 7/23/2013 9:32:21 PM | message detail | quote
Man if I put decimal places on this match I'd have been extremely close to pjbasis's predictions here.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#454 | LeonhartFone | Posted 7/23/2013 10:12:58 PM | message detail | quote
I used decimal places today!

Technically I use them every day because I put .00% every time.
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Leonhart posting from his phone
#455 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2013 11:18:39 PM | message detail | quote
Uh, good job GlaDOS? Hard to tell when Cole is sucking so badly.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#456 | Lopen | Posted 7/23/2013 11:30:01 PM | message detail | quote
Yeah I think Cole being as close as he is to RAGNA THE BLOODEDGE tells the whole story here. If anything this looks like a Big Boss or Mewtwo match in disguise with these weird numbers.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#457 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/23/2013 11:39:26 PM | message detail | quote
(WHY IS RAGNA HERE INSTEAD OF SOL)


Because there is no justice in this world.
#458 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/24/2013 12:18:37 AM | message detail | quote
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5171
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5172

Crew Predictions - 28/30

What Happened: Alucard uses the dead night and early morning vote to mount a successful comeback against Falcon in our most exciting match yet, and then Bayonetta shows she don't fear no Pokemon

What will Happen: Neither character is winning their R2 match, but maybe Bayo won't look terrible in it



Crew Prediction Challenge - lol n

Kleenex - 28
Moltar - 28
KP - 28
Tran - 27
Guest - 26
Leon - 26
Lopen - 25

Crew Expert Challenge - same as above

Tran - 24
Kleenex - 23
KP - 22
Moltar - 21
Leon - 21
Guest - 19
Lopen - 18


Crew Accuracy Challenge - Kleenex and KP get Alucard, Kleenex gets Falcon, N and Bayonetta, Lopen gets Rydia, Moltar gets Wander

Lopen - 19
Kleenex - 18
Leon - 16
Moltar - 15
Tran - 12
KP - 9
Guest - 7 (Kuza, Kotetsu, Tsunami, Suor, Turtle, LMS, Nintendoboy)
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#459 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 3:42:37 AM | message detail | quote
Turns out I did not in fact have Cole in my bracket. How bout that? I guess I was less drunk than I thought.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#460 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/24/2013 4:45:49 AM | message detail | quote
Darn, I'm on a cold streak in the accuracy challenge all of a sudden. Gotta turn that around!
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
#461 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/24/2013 7:28:21 AM | message detail | quote
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 32 – (5) Ike vs. (14) Proto Man vs. (23) Dr. Ivo '"Eggman" Robotnik

Moltar’s Analysis

Ike
GameFAQs likes Ike

Proto Man
He can't Glitch Bomb his way to victory here

Robotnik
not Eggman

No one here is super weak, but Ike should take this without too much of an issue. We've only seen Proto a few times and while he doesn't look bad, all he has is 27% on Snake. Ike's been more impressive than that.

Robotnik has been absent since the Villains Contest (no the rivalry rumble didn't happen and yes i'm briefly recognizing the villains contest). He was weak then, but at least he's recognizable. It won't help him here since people actually like and want to vote for Ike and Proto, but he's probably not going to die here.

So overall, Ike has decent competition here. He'll win, but he won't go all God-mode on them.

Moltar’s Bracket: Ike > Proto Man > Robotnik

Moltar’s Prediction: Ike: 43% - Proto Man: 32% - Robotnik: 25%



Lopen’s Analysis

Finally Protoman (yeah it's one word deal) gets a chance to shine! He's always been paired against Zero or big icons that can take away his "hell yeah it's Protoman... badass" factor. And all things considered, his match with Snake was pretty respectable-- respectable enough to make his match with Ike debatable from a straight stats perspective.

But I think given midcarder opponents Protoman will really spread his wings. I expect him to have a sorta Pac-Man style voting to him... people know Protoman, they respect Protoman, but I don't think they're terribly loyal to Protoman.

But this is his chance. This is his chance to crush this midcarder scum. Chicks dig the whistle and the scarf and the shades. The site is only 6% chicks, so it's a good thing the dudes dig it too. Protoman is a bad mother.

Also worth noting that this site has also been voting pretty nostalgically, and I think Proto can only be helped by this. Robotnik will be too but Protoman should be stronger than him.

Lopen's prediction:
Protoman - 41%
Ike - 36%
You can't win a contest match without breaking a few eggs...man... - 23%



Leonhart’s Analysis

I feel like Ike should win this comfortably. Ike and Protoman both faced Noble Niners in 2010 and put up similar performances. The difference is that Ike faced Mario and probably got SFF’d a decent bit, which should put him well ahead. I’d love to see Protoman win since this is his first winnable draw in his three contest appearances, but Mega Man as a series has continued to fall into irrelevance since 2010. Yeah, I know Mega Man was announced for SSB4, but I don’t expect any sort of boost he gets to extend to the series as a whole. I don’t see Robotnik being in contention here. The only time we saw him, he needed perhaps the worst non-sprite match pic in history to beat Sin (TAI’D UP AND HANG’D), and he did worse against Ganondorf than Ansem did. You know, the Ansem who was losing to CATS for several hours. Yeah, I think that about sums it up. I wouldn’t pick Tails or Shadow to win here, and Robotnik’s going to be weaker than either of them.

Leonhart’s Vote: Protoman

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Ike – 47.00%
Protoman – 34.00%
Dr. Robotnik – 19.00%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#462 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/24/2013 7:28:27 AM | message detail | quote
Kleenex’s Analysis

I always kind of overestimate Ike in these contests. In my bracket making mind, Ike cleaned up this match pretty easy. I think I convinced myself that Protoman and Robotnik have some kind of red costume overlap, I don't know. Anyway, now that I've considered it a bit more it seems likely that this will be a pretty close match (Robotnik should be the non-factor this time around). They were pretty close in the 2010 stats, not that I'm one to really adhere to that kind of thing. I'm pretty sure the tipping point in this match is that it's during the day when Ike should shine and Protoman should, well, not.

Kleenex's Prediction
Ike with 38.00%
Protoman with 36.00%
Robotnik with 26.00%



Transience’s Analysis

IKE WINS. HE'S THE ONLY ONE STILL RELEVANT, THE ONLY REAL NINTENDO CHARACTER, AND I ALWAYS GET THE SENSE THAT MEGA MAN AND SONIC HAVE SOME KIND OF OVERLAP WHILE IKE IS JUST AN RPG/FIGHTING GAME CHARACTER. IKE WINS EASILY.

PROTO MAN VS. ROBOTNIK... I DON'T KNOW. PROTO MAN'S COOLER BUT ROBOTNIK IS MORE ICONIC. PROTO MAN'S ONE OF THOSE GUYS WHO HAS NEVER GOTTEN A REALLY GOOD CHANCE TO SHINE, WHILE ROBOTNIK'S ONLY REAL MATCH IS GOING UP AGAINST GANONDORF WHO IS THE SECOND WORST GUY HE COULD HAVE DRAWN AFTER BOWSER.

I GUESS I'LL SIDE WITH PERSONAL PREFERENCE AND BACK PROTO MAN. DOES ANYBODY ACTUALLY LIKE ROBOTNIK? I GUESS WE'LL FIND OUT

TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: IKE WITH 46%, PROTO MAN WITH 28%, ROBOTNIK WITH 26%



KP's Analysis

Bit of an odd match. Robotnik could win this if he's secretly more powerful than we think, but based on what he did in the Villains Contest, probably not. Dude almost lost to Sin.

Proto Man has only been in twice, where he got SFFd by Zero and did surprisingly good against Solid Snake. Based on that latter performance, he could beat Ike here. We never got a proper read on Ike thanks to a bunch of SFF. But...Ike basically has everything going for him. His projected value is higher, he's more relevant, he's got more of a dedicated fanbase. Any one of these guys could win, but there's not really a reason to pick against Ike, I think.

Ike - 38%
Proto Man - 35%
Robotnik - 27%



Guest’s Analysis - DChemist

Ike is the heavy favorite here. He gets most of his strength from being a Smash character. Protoman came before Zero, but he's not as popular as Zero, unfortunately. Robotnik is Sonic's rival, a well-known villain. Going with the upset here, took a chance:

Dr. Robotnik - 38.34%
Ike - 36.78%
Protoman - 24.88%



Crew Consensus: We like Ike
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#463 | paulg235 | Posted 7/24/2013 7:40:02 AM | message detail | quote
In before the poll glitches for the first 20 minutes of the match.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#464 | DpObliVion | Posted 7/24/2013 8:02:23 AM | message detail | quote
I hope you're right, DC!
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It's Lu Bu! Lu Bu has come to destroy us!
#465 | transcience | Posted 7/24/2013 8:07:28 AM | message detail | quote
whoa, I thought Robotnik would be the pick for second
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#466 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:12:39 AM | message detail | quote
Guest sabotage engaged.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#467 | AshsBallistics | Posted 7/24/2013 9:24:41 AM | message detail | quote
Guest self-sabotage has been well in effect long before this match!
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Luis - Let's have a work account. Why not.
#468 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/24/2013 9:25:21 AM | message detail | quote
That's why people take guest spots. So they can sport their silly upsets that never pan out!
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#469 | ZFS | Posted 7/24/2013 9:29:35 AM | message detail | quote
Go Lopen.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#470 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 7/24/2013 9:29:38 AM | message detail | quote
Hey now I took Cecil/Knuckles intending to mourn Cecil sucking with that letter to Santa.

It's not my fault Sonic/Lightning made it look like Cecil had a chance!
#471 | AshsBallistics | Posted 7/24/2013 9:33:53 AM | message detail | quote
A real guest has the decency to pick against the upset in their bracket, and then quietly kick themselves when it turns out Kefka beats Arthas after all.
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Luis - Let's have a work account. Why not.
#472 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/24/2013 9:35:11 AM | message detail | quote
Oh I fully support and participate in the use of the Guest spot as a soapbox for your crazy upsets.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#473 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 7/24/2013 9:36:06 AM | message detail | quote
Kotetsu534 posted...
Oh I fully support and participate in the use of the Guest spot as a soapbox for your crazy upsets.


I'd like to pre-emptively claim Epona/Snake/Hayabusa then...!
#474 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 11:02:58 AM | message detail | quote
Proto's gonna lose to Eggman isn't he
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#475 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 7/24/2013 11:05:57 AM | message detail | quote
Nobody here with all three contestants above 30%?

Sent in my Cloud/Armstrong/Prinny analysis. I have no idea why I selected that one.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#476 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 11:13:49 AM | message detail | quote
This match is now very different than it was in the first 5 minutes
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#477 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/24/2013 11:33:53 AM | message detail | quote
Ike forever a disappointment
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#478 | ZFS | Posted 7/24/2013 11:35:07 AM | message detail | quote
FE sux
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#479 | transcience | Posted 7/24/2013 11:52:05 AM | message detail | quote
glad I wasn't here for the :07 update. that would have scared the crap out of me.

Ike sucks!
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#480 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/24/2013 12:09:05 PM | message detail | quote
Lopen's analysis was the best because he knows what chicks like.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#481 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 12:41:26 PM | message detail | quote
You guys are weird. We saw Proto in 2010, this match is basically a slight deviation off of that.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#482 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/24/2013 12:42:29 PM | message detail | quote
I'm aware! And I still think Ike narrowly beating Protoman is disappointing even if it's what I expected!
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#483 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/24/2013 12:56:00 PM | message detail | quote
Huh, another impressive performance by Sonic Team. Tails is probably winning this. Knuckles definitely is.
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http://img.imgcake.com/leonhjpguz.jpg
#484 | pjbasis | Posted 7/24/2013 1:02:21 PM | message detail | quote
I don't think you saw the impressive RYDIA performance the other day
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#485 | pjbasis | Posted 7/24/2013 1:03:23 PM | message detail | quote
Whoa for some reason I was thinking Cecil was gonna be against Knuckles because of 2010.


I mean, yeah SEIFER
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#486 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 1:03:53 PM | message detail | quote
Mann I feel like if Robotnik rolled over like everyone was expecting him to that Protoman would have this easy like I was expecting him to. Oh well. Still a chance!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#487 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/24/2013 1:04:56 PM | message detail | quote
I meant if they were in the place of Robotnik here, they'd probably be winning.

Tails isn't winning his match.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
#488 | transcience | Posted 7/24/2013 5:49:31 PM | message detail | quote
Proto Man's on pace to win this damn match
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#489 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 7/24/2013 9:16:18 PM | message detail | quote
#490 | transience | Posted 7/24/2013 9:26:50 PM | message detail | quote
probably. we need a new topic for the disaster that's about to happen
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xyzzy
#491 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/24/2013 9:39:16 PM | message detail | quote
whatisurnameplz posted...
New write-ups in new topic?


sure

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66816683
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#492 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/25/2013 9:18:13 PM | message detail | quote
will archive this soon
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

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