GameFAQs Contests

in a female bracket where Jade, Carmen Sandiego and Daisy made it, no one even commented that Morrigan didn't make it. not seeing why she should be popular at all.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

I've secretly paid Agent 47 to assassinate everyone's brackets. He might just run off with the money though.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information

mvc3 is weak here too. it's not like we're talking about Brawl here. no one picks modok or rocket raccoon to win this match (I think)
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

I think Morrigan is one of those "people will vote for her if she's there and then forget to nominate her" characters.

I mean, what is GameFAQs going to vote for here besides her? A fan favorite character from a series they haven't played? The boring main character of another series they haven't played?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

transcience posted...

in a female bracket where Jade, Carmen Sandiego and Daisy made it, no one even commented that Morrigan didn't make it. not seeing why she should be popular at all.

Reminder that Rydia missed said bracket, and in her first appearance would defeat someone who beat both Kefka and Ocelot.

2006 was a dumb contest where a lot of mainstay characters missed the bracket because of the split

not to say that morrigan is a mainstay or anything

but soma cruz got more nominations than frog or magus
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i'll do rydia -Dante

I don't think Morrigan is someone people will just vote for. She's probably just as weak as any other fodder, but she still might win. She's certainly not anyone of any notable popularity, anyway.
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tune in tokyo 142.94

I have Morrigan too, but I just don't want to misrepresent her as a character with strength
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

This match will tell us where Spyro lies these days, at least.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/941

The 2002 stats are still usable, right?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

I think outside of sarcastic mentionings of 2002 nobody is.

It's just that her floor is probably not-quite-awful fodder which puts her firmly above Edgeworth's ceiling.

yeah Morrigan's got this
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

TJF strikes again
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You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who!

nah, Miles Edgeworth strikes again
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

ugh Edgeworth could still lose. I we had seen the full freeze that update probably looks worse.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

morrigan the worst

second match i got wrong
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tune in tokyo 142.94

Phew!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

So how bout dat 30%+ for Agent 47
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You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who!

Moltar got my analysis for the next match, right?
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC

man agent 47, why are you so bad
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i'll do rydia -Dante

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUnKDvBBzXo#t=58s
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~Zen

morrigan stands a good shot at getting 2nd next round too

contest juggernaut
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i'll do rydia -Dante

lol juggernaut
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add the c and back away
iphonesience

Wait, LMS is doing a guest analysis?

...Eh, you know what, that might be just what we need for a match like this. I mean, if you take the highest percentages I'd ever want to assign to those characters regardless of competition and add them up, they barely even reach 90. I'm hesitant to have Spyro much over 43-44%, but even against competition far weaker than what Dunban faced I can't see Reyn reaching 30% and it's only the weakness of the competition that even lets me put Clementine above 20%.

This is a trash match and Spyro is probably going to break 50% here only to get absolutely wrecked next round.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.

Hard to be disappointed with nearly beating two characters at the same time, even if they are 47 and Edgeworth. Looks like she hasn't dropped from 2002 at all.

Think Morrigan could've done damage with better bracket placement. Oh well.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

I had Morrigan winning solely because she's the most well known character in this match, and probably by a decent margin. Match pic is just icing on the cake.
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http://i.imgur.com/eqOQs.gif

Don't underestimate TJF.Is there a pic with Clementine with TJF?I guess it will be banned if put though.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Also I think I get the point for all three characters last night

Heck yeah
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http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png
http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png

TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Wait, LMS is doing a guest analysis?

...Eh, you know what, that might be just what we need for a match like this. I mean, if you take the highest percentages I'd ever want to assign to those characters regardless of competition and add them up, they barely even reach 90. I'm hesitant to have Spyro much over 43-44%, but even against competition far weaker than what Dunban faced I can't see Reyn reaching 30% and it's only the weakness of the competition that even lets me put Clementine above 20%.

This is a trash match and Spyro is probably going to break 50% here only to get absolutely wrecked next round.

I felt exactly the same way when I was writing my analysis. I wanted to have Spyro do something like a 55-45 split with Clementine while doubling Reyn. In the end, I ended up having Spyro with 45%, which sounds so wrong but I couldn't think of anything better.

Actually now it doesn't sound too bad.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC

...I actually have Clementine winning next match...
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3DS FC: 3265-5634-7751

Has spyro even been relevant? When was his last game. Can't even beat morrigan. Clementine is one of the main characters from a game that shares the name with a very popular tv show. Reyn is just lol.
Clementine should win by over 10%
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Baseman posted...

Has spyro even been relevant? When was his last game. Can't even beat morrigan. Clementine is one of the main characters from a game that shares the name with a very popular tv show. Reyn is just lol.
Clementine should win by over 10%

Because we all know her being from something that shares its name with a popular tv show is going to matter.

I mean I have Clementine winning but that's just faulty logic right there.

Also Morrigan is eating her way through her current match, so I am unsure if Spyro losing to her is that bad!
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg

You underestimate the walking dead. Good.
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no, he properly estimates good logic
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xyzzy

I...I have Clementine winning in both my bracket and my Expert pick.

But "The Walking Dead" won't be pictured anywhere on the front page. Also voters through the years have proven themselves to be very intelligent and savvy about this type of stuff. We make fun of them sometimes but generally they know what they like.
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg

It's in the description of the character. Most people won't know any of them and will look to see what's going on. They are more likely to know the walking dead then either of the other two. That's my rationale at least.
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...--|D)--..................
...--|D)ASEMAN--...

LeonhartFour posted...

Also I think I get the point for all three characters last night

Heck yeah

Nah, Moltar got the point for Sephiroth.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.

Baseman posted...

It's in the description of the character. Most people won't know any of them and will look to see what's going on. They are more likely to know the walking dead then either of the other two. That's my rationale at least.

I would be honestly shocked if more than 2% of the voters will look at descriptions before voting.
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg

Is there a single match that you don't know at least one of the characters?I don't know some of them,but I vote for the ones that I know.So in all matches I know at least 1 character so I vote for him.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Honestly if the character tomorrow was literally a person from the Walking Dead TV Show I'd be skeptical of them to win off that. Like Daryl would probably win but one of the less liked characters? People aren't going to vote something just because it has the Walking Dead brand attached to it, assuming they even read the descriptions (agree with 2% estimate on that).

Spyro wins the "I don't know anyone here" vote by far.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

LinkMarioSamus posted...

Moltar got my analysis for the next match, right?

right


speaking of, more guest sign-ups that probably won't fill up are out http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66767254
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5159
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5160

Crew Predictions - 19/20

What Happened: Subby beat Garrus, but not by that much. Bowser looked good with over 60% to win his match

What will Happen: Bowser looking good for Round 2



Crew Prediction Challenge - easy

Kleenex - 17
Moltar - 17
Lopen - 17
KP - 17
Guest - 16
Leon - 16
Tran - 16

Crew Expert Challenge - here too

Kleenex - 13
Tran - 13
KP - 13
Guest - 12
Moltar - 12
Leon - 12
Lopen - 11


Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tran for Sub-Zero, Archer, and MK, Turtle for Garrus, Moltar for Frank and Bowser,

Lopen - 12
Kleenex - 10
Moltar - 10
Tran - 8
Leon - 6
Guest - 5 (Kuza, Kotetsu, Tsunami, Suor, Turtle)
KP - 4
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

don't call it a comeback
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xyzzy

Division 3: Round 1 - Match 21 – (9) Spyro the Dragon vs. (10) Clementine vs. (19) Reyn

Moltar’s Analysis

Spyro
Looking to have that destined rematch with Morrigan

Clementine
something about spoilers or whatever

Reyn
Apparently it's his time

You know, after seeing Tiny Tina and Jak in action I'm feeling better about this match. Tina because, like Walking Dead, Borderlands is a popular and strong selling title, and yet she still lost to some obscure JRPG character #53324. Sure, Clem is more relevant than Tina in her game, but it means that she just can't coast by on The Walking Dead name here.

Jak because, like Spyro, he's a recognizable character that most people know even if they don't care about him strongly. When your opposition is a TWD and Xenoblade character, pretty safe to say that the character that goes back to the PS1 days is the most known on this site. Jak would have easily won his pack if not for rallying, and I highly doubt TWD or Xenoblade fans are going to get a LoL-esque rally going.

Then you've got Reyn, who isn't the main character of Xenoblade, but the main character's best friend party member or something. We've already seen Dunban stink it up, so that's one pretty big sign that he's not really in contention here. I can see him pull off a Chie-like performance here, but I don't think he's strong enough to win.

In short, I think Spyro wins this. He's recognizable, weak but not super weak, and has seeding on his side. Clem I could see bombing more than winning this match since not much is known about TWD's strength on GameFAQs and much less about its characters. In fact, I'd say there's a better chance of the Xenoblade fans showing up here than TWD fans. Meanwhile, Spyro gets everyone else.

Moltar’s Bracket: Spyro > Clementine > Reyn

Moltar’s Prediction: Spyro: 40% - Clementine: 35% - Reyn: 25%



Lopen’s Analysis

I think I might've been fooled into taking Reyn in my bracket here, just because man it don't feel right to bet on Spyro.

It still don't feel right to bet on Spyro but I somehow think he all but has to win here given that Caim or Dunban or whatever's performance... I know someone shares a franchise with this guy and I know they sucked. I mean I think just a little generic purple dragon midget could take these other two... which is probably more or less what Spyro is at this point, actually. When was his last game, anyway? 2004? Who even nominates this?

Oh and there's an orange that I apparently nominated. I have no faith in the orange to take anything but third. I mean just look at it.

Lopen's prediction:
Spyro - 40.02%
Reyn - 28.83%
Clementine - 22.15%

Did not carry 1... ... I have to assign 10 more percent for this?

... you know what, I don't care, leave em. Doesn't feel right to have anyone in this match higher than those numbers. CATS will take the last 9%, somehow.



Leonhart’s Analysis

Yikes, this match is looking more and more dreadful as the contest rolls on. I have Clementine in my bracket, but after RacistFAQs manifested itself the other day, who knows. And then Dunban bombed in his match the other day. The only thing I’m confident about here is that it will have the lowest vote totals of the contest. Chester had a few 0 vote updates the other day, but this MATCH could have a few 0 vote updates and I wouldn’t be surprised.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

I am bound and determined not to pick Spyro to win this match, but he just might because this could be the weakest trio in the entire contest. Anybody could win this match. Of course, Spyro’s the most recognizable entity here by a decent margin, but he hasn’t been relevant to people our age in forever and I’m not sure he was ever that well liked to begin with. And part of me is willing to give Dunban a pass for the other day because he was up against two fellow RPG characters, one of which is a Noble Nine killer and the other rocks the TJF like few others do. He might be better than that indirectly, and I think Reyn will be the stronger of the two anyway. So who actually wins here? Uhhhhhhh, let’s go with…this?

Leonhart’s Vote: Clementine

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Reyn – 35.00%
Spyro the Dragon – 33.00%
Clementine – 32.00%



Kleenex’s Analysis

This division still blows. Dunban laid a big fat egg a couple days ago so I think I feel pretty comfortable saying Reyn won't win. Is The Walking Dead strong enough to beat Spyro? I wish it was, but as time has gone on I kinda feel like it can't. Not that Spyro's particularly strong or anything, definitely the opposite. For whatever reason this kinda feels like the Jak match to me, but without the crazy fanbase who will rally their character to first at 4am. I'm rooting for Clem here and do have her in my bracket, but I'm getting a bad feeling about that pick, so I'm going to go with Spyro here. I can't believe this.

Kleenex's Prediction

Spyro with 41.67%
Clementine with 39.12%
Reyn with 18.21%



Transience’s Analysis

Spyro's probably the smart pick here. At the very least he's well-known, while Clementine and Reyn are newcomers and we know how things go for characters that aren't like 25 years old here.

But screw that. I'm picking from the heart on this one. Let's talk about Clementine. Anybody who has played The Walking Dead -- and that number is growing by the day, as I see playthrough topics pop up just about every day lately -- will vote for Clementine. Without question. Reyn is a fun little goofy character from a really good game but he's not going to be a factor in this match. He'll be about equivalent to Dunban, maybe a little better because ha ha Reyn time do you know what time it is where's the clock can we put that in a match picture. But Clem? That's a character that sticks with you. For a long time. She won't win any votes from people who haven't played her game since she's just a regular looking little girl, and I'm not sure if there are enough people that know how good The Walking Dead is to get her a plurality of the vote, but I'm going to pick it because it's what should happen in this match.

Besides, Spyro. Come on.

transience's prediction: Clementine with 42%, Spyro with 35%, Reyn with 23%



KP's Analysis

This is the match. I think Spyro probably wins this easily - he's been complete garbage in his past appearences, but I think what he's done is still enough. Clementine and Reyn are going to be awful - Walking Dead and Xenoblade are really popular right now, but a decent chunk of their popularity is probably from word-of-mouth and not from everyone having played their game. Clementine and Reyn aren't even the main characters of their game, and without the gigantic field, Reyn doesn't even make it in (still confused as to how Dunban had a higher seed, I always thought that Reyn would do a little better than him). Xenoblade had a limited, GameStop-only release and Walking Dead is a PC game on GameFAQs. Their playrate is not looking good.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Spyro blows, but people at least know who he is. Clementine does not have a design that appeals to general GameFAQs, either. Reyn does, but I think he's going to be inherently weaker - people seem to care about Clementine a lot.

With all that said, I'm picking Reyn because I don't give a s***. This match is too ridiculous for me to care. It's Reyn time. Picking Clem for second because I also really like her.

Reyn - 35%
Clementine- 33%
Spyro - 32%



Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus

I'm going to start this message off by saying that I ran into someone on the Rotten Tomatoes forums who considers Xenoblade to be "garbage non-design". Good thing I know the game is so well-liked! Though in all curiosity, why? I watched CGRUndertow's review of the game and didn't really understand the game. That being said, the Wii U sequel looks really compelling so far and could probably be the game that gets me to get a Wii U.

While we're on the topic with Xenoblade...I had no idea who Reyn was before this match, so I looked up and he's apparently the 2nd playable character introduced in the game after Shulk. This puts him in a very similar position to Barret, as he's also the 2nd playable character introduced in Final Fantasy VII (confession: FFVII is already a top 10 game for me even though I haven't played much of it. Currently just recruited Yuffie and Vincent and will try to get past Mt. Nibel later today. Help would be appreciated!) and yet isn't talked about nearly as much as other characters from his game like Vincent and Aeris - similarly I hear more about Shulk and Dunban than Reyn. Reyn could be stronger than Dunban, but that would be pretty much due to his design probably being less generic...but still pretty generic. I cannot imagine him doing anything of note in this match. Literally his only advantage is that he's the most "GameFAQs" kind of character here. Well, also Xenoblade is pretty popular I guess, though being part of an ensemble cast is another problem of his. Let's just forget this guy exists in this match. Just looking at a picture of him makes me enough to just wonder why people are taking him to beat Spyro and Clementine.

So I ended up getting pictures of Spyro and Clementine up as well so that I could measure the impact of character designs. For whatever reason whenever I look at Reyn's pic right after looking at Spyro's I feel that something stupid will conspire. Looking at Reyn's character design still makes me think "huh, this guy could beat Spyro and/or Clementine?" however. So I did a look again and...yep, let's completely discount Reyn.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

As for the other two, Clementine's from a much more popular game, but it's an extremely recent game (the god-awful performances of Fire Emblem: Awakening characters have casted a dark cloud over every other character who debuted in a recent game - I think it's fair to expect characters from The Walking Dead and BioShock Infinite to be stronger, but I still feel that it's not a good sign for them) and she's merely a side character (maybe a really important side character, from what I've heard she isn't just some child who needs protecting) - side characters almost always perform worse than the main character (can't think of any exceptions not involving Tidus honestly), and there's the possibility that even her own fans could abandon her for a gaming icon like Spyro. Oh, and it's a little girl vs. a dragon.

Spyro is coming into this match with a poor contest history and a seed practically equivalent to what he got in 2002 - albeit on his own nominations - but otherwise I can't really think of any disadvantages he has. He has the advantage of being an icon...though Leonhart would love to dispute that point with me and I've seen that point discussed elsewhere, but for the most part however I feel that he's at least the most recognizable character in this match by far. He easily wins the eye test (Reyn being a JRPG character is the only thing even remotely posing a threat to him there, but even then he's pretty generic) as well. Finally, with Crash on the upswing I think it makes at least some sense for Spyro to be as well.

Spyro - 45%
Clementine - 35%
Reyn - 20%



Crew Consensus: Spyro is the favorite, but Reyn and Clem also have some support.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

jesus
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i'll do rydia -Dante

Someone else picked Reyn? That's not a good idea!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

I'm the only person who picked Clementine?

you monsters
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xyzzy

I'm sticking with Spyro > Clementine > Reyn in Expert Challenge with wavering confidence.
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It's Lu Bu! Lu Bu has come to destroy us!