GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew
My prediction should be Sonic - 61.85% --- Pts: 9/9 Today's Picks: X & Sonic IX: Link/Vincent/Big Boss/Snake/Cloud/Sora/Samus/Mario/Charizard |
damn you lopen --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
get out of my head Leon Sonic doing good here. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
So...Fei/Dan or Jiggly/Gunther, who's better? --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Jiggly > Fei > Dan > Gunther but probably Fei/Dan overall I think. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Division 2: Round 1 - Match 11 – (6) Lucina vs. (13) Dracula vs. (22) Caim Moltar’s Analysis Lucina more fe:a characters woo Dracula Alucard spelled backwards Caim " His hobby is murdering." well then I don't really have much to go off of here. Dracula seems like the easy favorite here since he's the only one most voters will even recognize. Lucina gets that Fire Emblem vote and Caim...I don't even know what he gets. Moltar’s Bracket: Dracula > Lucina > Caim Moltar’s Prediction: Lucina: 35% - Dracula: 55% - Caim: 10% Lopen’s Analysis This is a cool match because we finally get to see DRACULA in a no gimmicks match. I actually have a feeling that Drac might be stronger than Alucard just because it's freaking Dracula... and you know when this is the only character in the field I feel comfortable saying this for that isn't Mario, it means something. But given the weakness of Simon Belmont he could actually be significantly weaker too. There's a nice little range there. Unfortunately for the intrigue of this match there is very little of the range that Lucina has any chance of beating, particularly in a night match. Lucina probably isn't going to be much stronger than Tharja if at all. She's more significant in the plot but still not significant enough for that to be a huge difference, and I think Tharja is slightly more favored as a character amongst the fanbase (although Lucina is no slouch in this regard). Given I think Simon Belmont would probably have a close match with Tharja, yeah, it'd be weird to see this be close. Then there's some other guy who I had to look up. I think he's from Xenoblade or Lost Odyysey or something. Does he have a chance...!?!? Lopen's prediction: DRACULA - 56.25% Lucina - 35.02% Caim Argonar - 8.73% Leonhart’s Analysis Oh hey, it’s another match with three characters we’ve never seen before (Rivalry Rumble never happened) and one of them’s a Fire Emblem character! Unfortunately, it’s unlikely this one will be quite as exciting as the first one. Just being named Dracula should be enough to get him first place here, and he’s probably pretty well liked among the Castlevania fanbase anyway. Lucina should do fine overall, considering Caim is going to do really, really badly. I’d be kind of surprised if he managed much more than 10%, even though the competition is not that great, because who played Drakengard? You are manually realizing that there are two guys named Caim/Kaim in this contest and both will finish in the bottom 5% of the X-Stats despite how large the bracket is. Leonhart’s Vote: Dracula Leonhart’s Prediction: Dracula – 50.50% Lucina – 40.40% Caim – 9.10% Kleenex’s Analysis The guy from Drakengard literally got into this contest. I mean, I guess with some of the junk that got nominations it shouldn't be super surprising, but how many people are even going to remember Drakengard is a game? Caim could be shooting for single digits tonight. Anyway, Dracula is our first guy who didn't actually originate from a game, so it'll be interesting to see what kind of numbers he can put up. Lucina can't beat him but I think she'll probably look better than most people think just because all those votes that Caim isn't getting need to go somewhere. But hey, maybe Dracula destroys the poll Link-style. Kleenex's Prediction Lucina with 29.67% Dracula with 60.66% Caim with 9.67% --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
#357 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/13/2013 10:15:36 PM | message detail | quote | (edited) |
Transience’s Analysis UNLIKE THARJA, LUCINA IS ACTUALLY A LEGIT CHARACTER FROM AWAKENING. I'M STILL OF THE OPINION THAT THARJA WINNING SAID MORE ABOUT HOW BAD THE MATCH WAS THAN ANY STRENGTH OF FIRE EMBLEM HAS, BUT I'M SURE LUCINA IS QUITE A BIT ABOVE HER. THAT SAID, SHE SHOULDN'T APPROACH DRACULA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE NIGHT. IF DRACULA ISN'T THE BEST NIGHT CHARACTER EVER THEN SOMETHING IS MESSED UP. IF THIS WERE A MATCH DURING THE DAY, I WOULD DEFINITELY CONSIDER THE UPSET. I THINK CAIM IS WEAKER THAN KAIM AND KAIM IS ONE OF THE WEAKEST CHARACTERS WE'VE SEEN TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: DRACULA WITH 48.31%, LUCINA WITH 41.04%, CAIM WITH 10.65% KP's Analysis Caim is in for a world of hurt, here. He's great but I'm not even sure how he got into this contest. Lucina would be a more interesting entrant elsewhere, but she has several factors holding back her strength, like *spoilers* and *spoilers*. She wouldn't be as strong as Chrom, and Chrom wouldn't come close to freaking DRACULA. Seriously, guys, it's Dracula! Dracula is actually in a normal contest! He's guaranteed to at least be decent. Dracula - 56% Lucina - 32% Caim - 12% Guest’s Analysis - numbers So, when the bracket was first released, I took Lucina here without a whole lot of thought. She's one of the most important characters in a critically and popularly acclaimed title. I've since cooled on that idea quite a bit! I still think she'll do better than most think, here, even if only by leeching some of the horrendously weak Caim's votes. Drakengard is cool and all, but I don't think people are busting down the doors to talk about the upcoming 3, and I'm pretty sure fewer people know/have played the older Drakengard games than Alan Wake or hell, even Nocturne. I think Caim's going to come out looking particularly awful here against what's pretty decent competition. Dracula is probably pretty strong -- I dunno if he's Alucard tier, but he's probably not far behind. Dracula, if anyone, bucks this trend, but as Soma and Simon Belmont have shown, the site doesn't really care a whole lot for non-SotN Castlevania games. And it's possible to play SotN without ever fighting him! Clearly we should get Richter into a contest. He's got all the iconic dialogue with Dracula in that game! Dracula is the savior mankind needs with 48.21% Lucina is a miserable pile of secrets with 42.55% Caim does not belong in this world with 9.24% Crew Consensus: Dracula rules the night --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
No Guest Write-up? --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream. |
No Guest analysis? TIME FOR WAR TO TAKE THE CONTROLS ULTIMATE WARRIOR-STYLE! WAR GUEST SPECIAL DO NOT LET WAR BE THE SURPRISE GUEST BECAUSE HE WILL TAKE WHO HE LIKES MORE TO WIN Lucina: 45.00% Dracula: 44.00% Caim: 11.00% (I would have given Caim the win if he were the Red Dragon instead) --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
paulg235 posted... No Guest Write-up? nope, unless numbers shows up in the next hour and posts it or else I just go with War's --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Can I do one real quick? :] --- Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone. http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg |
Can I also do one vbery quick? --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream. |
LEND ME YOUR ENERGY ANALYSES! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Guest: Sir Chris. There' it is official in bold now~ Okay so I don't have a lot of time, so bare with me for a moment here...! Lucina, unlike dat ass female black mage known as Tharja (who no one knows how to pronounce the name of) is actually a legitimately key character to the story of Fire Emblem. Not only that but people talk about stand out factor and you have some old guy (Drucala, was it?) and random guy in the corner who almost literally no one is going to bother to vote for. People on GameFAQs like cute girls, and they like anime, but beyond the simple stand out factor for the picture is you have a pretty awesome character from a game whose random black mage beat a character from the 2012 Game of the Year on here! Sure that might be considered misleading, but it works for me. So with that said Lucina is only going to lose by a marginal amount as opposed to being completely slaughtered. Dracula and Alucard did super well in the rivalry contest, well enough to the point that I doubt Alucard carried Dracula much of at all. The thing about this now is trying to guess where the percentages are going to fall. I think it takes truly bad SFF/strength to get over a certain percentage in these three ways and I don't think Dracula quite measures up to the likes of Ryu and Yoshi when it comes to hitting the mid 50s to low 60s range that some have been thinking about. Now I can understand the temptation with Caim looking to get around 10 votes – not percent, votes, but I just think Lucina is going to eat up too much Nintendo love for Dracula to make this a complete joke. Speaking of complete jokes, Caim everyone! My prediction is a very even 50% for Dracula, 41% for Lucina, and 9% for Caim. And I feel less confident giving Caim that much than about the other two. --- Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone. http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg |
whoa i know for a fact numbers wrote it last night i was talking to him as he did it --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
Seems about right, I think. --- Character Battle IX: 8/9 points, Next matches: Sonic, Dracula http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif |
didn't even read the crew write ups, me and leon on the same page wow --- Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone. http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg |
mine was first it should be the official one imho --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
I mean unless you want WHAT IS A CREW CURSE to rear it's ugly head. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
hey if Lucina wins I'm perfectly fine with that --- Character Battle IX: 8/9 points, Next matches: Sonic, Dracula http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif |
What a horrible night to have a Crew Curse... --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream. |
and here I thought I was being somewhat generous with Lucina whoops! --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
X_Dante_X posted... whoa i know for a fact numbers wrote it last night i was talking to him as he did it ah, there it is FALSE ALARM EVERYONE about to edit it in --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Damn, a whole few minutes wasted. --- Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone. http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg |
whoops i texted him for no reason. twice since i made an automcorrect typo i hope he isnt mad at me for waking him up --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
Achromatic posted... Damn, a whole few seconds wasted. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Lucina gonna take this --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
Even the lowest prediction for Caim gave him twice the credit he deserves. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
it's okay dante you didn't wake me up also welp caim --- I keep coming back here where everything... slipped Ahhahhahaa |
Where is the post match analysis where you give the points to the people who guessed right? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
I see Caim is surpassing everyone's expectations. --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Safer_777 posted... Where is the post match analysis where you give the points to the people who guessed right? coming later today --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Division 2: Round 1 - Match 12 – (9) Professor Layton vs. (10) Barret Wallace vs. (19) Reimu Hakurei Moltar’s Analysis Layton I got a riddle, who isn't strong enough to win this match? Hint: It's Layton Barret http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k9ybfoHGQ6w Reimu Touhou in a contest, never thought I'd see the day You know, there are more of these '1 strong, 1 weak, 1 super weak' matches than I thought. It's nice to see Barret finally in a GameFAQs contest, and he gets a walk in the park match to start. He should go big here, as Layton is a guy that even low-tier Nintendo (like Isaac from Fire Emblem) can blow out and Touhou's got nothing outside of its really cult fanbase. Reimu shouldn't pull a Caim, but it'll take a miracle for her to even hit 15% (and by miracle I mean rally). Moltar’s Bracket: Barret > Layton > Reimu Moltar’s Prediction: Layton: 26% - Barret: 62% - Reimu: 12% Lopen’s Analysis Well the winner should be obvious. Second place may also be obvious to you, but consider the following possibility! Say there's this anti-FF7 vote contingent out there. Say most of the voters don't know who either of the other two characters are. Also keep in mind Layton got doubled by Isaac a few years ago, so this isn't too farfetched. Okay, now in that scenario who absorbs more of the anti-votes? Is it the cute anime girl or is it friggin poindexter, here. Consider also the possibility of some bizarre 4chan Touhou rally, which I could totally see happening, and you've got a prime time UPSET SPECIAL in the making. Yeah that's right a Touhou is not getting last. Cower and despair... or... just laugh at Layton real hard. Whichever you'd prefer. Lopen's prediction: Barret Barrage - 67.81% Reimu Hakurei - 17.22% Friggin Poindexter - 14.97% Leonhart’s Analysis There ain’t no gettin’ offa this train we on, and the train we on don’t make no stops! Unlike fellow FFVII NRT winner Cid in 2010, who got the unfortunate draw of being stuck against Mega Man right away, it would’ve been hard for Barret to get a more favorable draw than this. Layton’s always been a niche character here, getting doubled by Isaac and not even managing to get 10% in a poll with Kain Highwind, Master Chief, and Raiden. The other character is literally from Touhou. This will be the ultimate test of RacistFAQs right here. If Barret doesn’t get at least 50% in this match, RacistFAQs is alive and well! Leonhart’s Vote: Barret Wallace Leonhart’s Prediction: Barret Wallace – 62.00% Professor Layton – 31.00% Reimu Hakurei – 7.00% Kleenex’s Analysis Time to find out if GameFAQs really is racist! Barret should dominate this poll. As much of a boss as Layton is, he's never performed even close to respectably. Every FF7 character (sans a massively SFF'd Zolom) that has even been in a contest has at least performed respectably, so Barret has a chance to make FF7 look okay to start things out. Or he could look terrible and the calls for Cloud's head will start in full force. And the third entrant in the poll is a Touhou character. I was going to say something about how Reimu could do even worse than Caim, but honestly the GameFAQs population is probably more familiar with Touhou than Drakengard. You guys should have nominated Utsuho or Flandre instead. Kleenex's Prediction Layton with 27.28% Barret with 59.73% Reimu with 12.99% --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Transience’s Analysis AFTER 11 YEARS, BARRET FINALLY GETS HIS FIRST CONTEST CHANCE. HIS FIRST MATCH IS SET UP FOR HIM TO JUST DOMINATE: LAYTON WILL PROBABLY EAT UP THE REQUISITE 20-25% THAT SECOND PLACE ALWAYS GETS, BUT REIMU IS I THINK A TOUHOU CHARACTER AND I CAN'T IMAGINE THAT BREAKING 10-12%. BARRET SHOULD GO BIG (LIKE LINK BIG) BUT I WON'T BET ON IT BECAUSE FINAL FANTASY SEVEN. TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: BARRET WITH 61.55%, LAYTON WITH 27.45%, REIMU WITH 12% KP's Analysis Barret probably comes out of this match looking like a godslayer. The Touhou characters could all round out the bottom of the X-stats, and Layton's contest history includes getting more than doubled by Isaac. The Midgar Zolom would legitimately beat those two. Barret - 68% Layton - 24% Reimu - 8% --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Guest’s Analysis - Tsunami In this match, we have one character with a contest history, which is entirely terrible, one character with no contest history from a game and series with a very good contest history, and one character whose entire series has no contest history. Let’s start by getting Reimu out of the way, because she’s probably going to be the least dependent on the strength of her opponents. Touhou has a very small, dedicated fanbase that will probably vote for it over just about anything else, but barring coming up against something that is somehow even more obscure or a huge anti-vote magnet, it’ll be hard-pressed to draw any other votes. Even considering the fact that it’s easier to rally a fanbase that small and as such their representation will not be anywhere near proportionate to their actual size, that still gets us to maybe 7%. So now we have to figure out the distribution of the other 93%. Layton is…weak. I decided to try using the X-Stat calculator to calculate his percentage against other FFVII characters, and it wasn’t pretty—though I was surprised to find that Cid actually was almost as strong as Aerith. Let’s try to figure out where Barret will fit in the FFVII hierarchy. Points for Barret being weaker than Cid: Cid has appeared in Kingdom Hearts. Barret has not. Then again, neither has Vincent, but he’s made other post-FFVII appearances that Barret hasn’t. Points for Barret being stronger than Cid, and probably Aerith as well: Barret resembles beloved ‘80s action star Mr. T. Also, he has a gun for an arm. All of this points to him being the obvious choice for the hypothetical clueless person who wandered in by mistake and has no idea who any of the three characters are, especially because I tried to think of what type of gamer would actually come to GameFAQs that wouldn’t be familiar with any of these characters given how disparate their fanbases should be and came up with “Halo/Call of Duty fan, has never owned a Nintendo or Sony system in their life”. And, well, guess whose character design best appeals to the FPS crowd. Barret’s. Of course, I wouldn’t expect Layton’s ultra-cartoony character design to even outperform Reimu’s, which at least can draw the otaku vote. So Aerith gets a bit over a tripling on Layton with 2010 stats, Cid comes a bit short, and Tifa and Vincent go over 80%. Where does that put Barret? Probably somewhere around 77.78-22.22 1v1. Adjust a little for that character design bit and you get… Barret 72.44% Layton 20.50% Reimu 7.06% …But wait! The contest’s already started, and Link isn’t getting that kind of percentage when up against bigger weaklings than this, one of which comes from his own series! Final prediction: Barret 55.66% Layton 28.69% Reimu 15.65% Probably lowballing Barret a bit, but the rest of the crew no doubt still has Reimu under 5% so that’s an easy accuracy point for me! Crew Consensus: His name is Barret Wallace and he's known for paralyzing, pulverizing punks into submission. --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
That's a lot of analysis for a snooze of a match tsunami --- http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png |
That's Tsunami for you! Wouldn't be surprised if Lopen's seemingly weird guess turns out to be accurate again. --- *2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket *3, *6,495,240 Naruto |
Tsunami forgot to factor in RacistFAQs into his exhaustive analysis, but perhaps he saving that for the Lee Everett match --- You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who! |
KommunistKoala posted... That's a lot of analysis for a snooze of a match tsunami You've obviously forgotten that I'm almost completely incapable of not being overly loquacious. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Racistfaqs confirmed --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
jesus christ barret you just dropped a serious egg no more nomination rallies please --- xyzzy |
When Lee Everett loses, I'm done with this racist ass website tranny's coming too --- You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who! |
I'm coming with you guys --- Tornadoman78: tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit |
wooooow barret --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
why does a touhou character have almost a quarter of the vote --- xyzzy |
She's the whitest option available, only conclusion --- You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who! |
and cutting votes from Layton this is bizarre --- xyzzy |
oh, there's a rally on /v/ nevermind then --- xyzzy |
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