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Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew

#151 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 8:43:54 PM | message detail | quote
Division 1: Round 1 - Match 5 – (5) Tharja vs. (14) Juliet Starling vs. (23) Tiny Tina

Moltar’s Analysis

Tharja
*insert NSFW image here*

Juliet
*insert NSFW image here*

Tiny Tina
Even I wouldn't do that here

Easily the most interesting and discussed match of the contest so far. Thanks to the weird seeding, new characters, and 3-way format, there are a handful of really weird matches here. One being this TJF-fest.

Tiny Tina is pretty much being written off here. Yes, Borderlands is the strongest game here, but that's only going to get her so far (as in a pretty close third place). From what I've heard, her character isn't liked much even by big fans of the game, so that's a huge anchor for her. She's also the least attractive here so clearly that's the main reason why she loses.

Tharja vs. Juliet is what I'll be focusing on. One is a party member of the hot and fresh latest Fire Emblem game, which is a decent franchise on GameFAQs. The other is the main character of her own heavily marketed, but weaker game from last year. Neither is going to be that much stronger than the other, which is one reason why the match is so debated.

Tharja should be more preferred by the hardcore, but Juliet will be more recognized by the casual. Tharja is a fan-favorite from FE:A, which means that the people that have played it (which I'm pretty sure outnumbers Lollipop Chainsaw on this site) are more likely to support her. Meanwhile, other people who haven't played it might also recognize Juliet, even if it's only her design thanks to the advertising or game boxart. She's certainly got the match picture in her favor.

On a site like GameFAQs in a situation like this, I'll take the more hardcore fan-favorite character over the mainstream recognizable one since FE has some strength here. Some other factors that tip the scales in Tharja's favor are FE:A's recency and the fact that this is a night match.

TL;DR - tharja wins because she's hotter i mean have you seen dat a-

Moltar’s Bracket: Tharja > Juliet > Tiny Tina

Moltar’s Prediction: Tharja: 36% - Juliet: 34% - Tiny Tina: 30%



Lopen’s Analysis

I really wanted to spend this write-up beaming about how great Tharja is but since it's debatable I guess I'll keep myself in check.

Anyway I guess a lot of people are calling for Tharja's head because of the match pic. If that was the case for you, you should've went Juliet regardless and the only thing the pic should be doing here is making you a bit more confident. For as much as goth chicks are more pop in fashion these days than they were say 10 years ago, cheerleaders are gonna beat em all the time in terms of mainstream appeal.

That being said, while Juliet "pops" more than Tharja I don't really think the picture is super flattering. Her face is kinda weird looking and her cleavage isn't overwhelming. I mean, I actually think Juliet has an attractive design and all, but I think people are projecting their conceptions of the character onto the pic here, which isn't actually much to look at all things considered!

Long story short, I think the pic factor is being a bit overrated here, and it's going to come down to the games more than anything. No one played Lollipop Chainsaw, but between Borderlands 2 and Fire Emblem Awakening (underrated in terms of GameFAQs exposure by the way-- http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4981) I think most voters will have played one of the games. Tharja is a fan favorite yet somewhat minor character from a recent game that's right up GameFAQs alley. Tiny Tina's game wins the mainstream appeal but she's really minor in the game, much moreso than Tharja, even, which will hurt her more than any pic disadvantage I think.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#152 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 8:44:58 PM | message detail | quote
Were this a day match I might consider taking Tina, were I unbiased. Night match Tharja wins as she's going to crush Japan and win most foreign countries comfortably I think.

Lopen's prediction:
~*~<3~*~Tharja~*~<3~*~ - 41.13%
Tiny Tina - 32.20%
Juliet - 26.67%



Leonhart’s Analysis

It’s time for the glorious return of TJF, baby! We’ve been waiting 11 years for something like this! Despite Tharja being a Fire Emblem character and Tiny Tina hailing from our 2013 GOTY Borderlands 2 (and recently being the centerpiece of some DLC), I’d have to say that a large chunk of our voting base is going to be unfamiliar with these three. So when all three of them happen to be female, what’s going to be the deciding factor for our overwhelmingly male voter base? That’s right: TJF! And which character is most likely to get the best match pic? Gotta be Juliet Starling. Lollipop Chainsaw is definitely the weakest game of the three involved, but I don’t think it’ll matter much here. You’re going to need something to sway the apathetic/undecided voter, and Juliet’s got that something indeed. Plus, Tharja is such a dumb name. Is anybody who isn’t a Fire Emblem fan going to vote for someone with a name like that? No way.

If it isn’t clear by this point, I say all that to say this: If I were you, I’d probably bank this match on the Expert Challenge. That’s what I’m doing.

Leonhart’s Vote: Juliet Starling

Leonhart’s Prediction:

Juliet Starling – 35.00%
Tharja – 34.00%
Tiny Tina – 31.00%



Kleenex’s Analysis

After four straight matches where the first place participant was never really in question, we get one where theoretically anyone can win (though I'm questionable on one of them). All three of these ladies would pretty much be a guaranteed third place in any other match, and yet one of them must win. This will probably be fairly close all the way around, but I have a pick order I feel relatively confident about, so I'll walk you through my thought process.

I think Juliet is the odd one out here, and not in a positive way. Tharja and Tina are both from games that GameFAQs enjoys. Juliet is from Lollipop Chainsaw. The only other Suda51 guy to make a contest in the past was Travis Touchdown and he didn't exactly impress. Lollipop Chainsaw is was less popular than No More Heroes. No one really played the game, and I wouldn't be surprised if everyone forgot that game even came out. Over a year ago, no less. Pic factor be damned, I think Juliet gets last place.

So who wins between Tharja and Tina? Well, Tina's not particularly well liked amongst Borderlands fans in my experience. Fire Emblem is the most recent game and most everyone (certain Crew members notwithstanding) really like it. Plus, when in doubt, go with Nintendo.

Kleenex's Prediction

Tharja with 37.97%
Juliet with 27.62%
Tina with 34.41%



Transience’s Analysis

THIS IS SOME 2002-INSPIRED KYO/ABE, SERIOUS SAM/MR. DRILLER LEVEL TRASH, ONLY THEY SOMEHOW FOUND A THIRD CHARACTER OF EQUAL SUCKITUDE TO MAKE IT FEEL EVEN MORE GROSS. ALLEN MUST HAVE LAUGHED WHEN HE PUT TOGETHER THIS EXCELLENT **** SHOW
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#153 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 8:45:50 PM | message detail | quote
But it’s also debatable, even though no one actually wants to debate it, so I’ll deactivate my cruise control for this one match.

Tharja is the favourite, I guess. She’s so inconsequential to Awakening that I played the game with her in my active party for several hours and I didn’t know who she was when she was revealed in the bracket. Most of that was just due to the fact that random Fire Emblem character didn’t seem contest-worthy, especially not as a top 9 seed. But I also think Awakening is kind of a bad game with some seriously screwed up design, so I could just be biased against her. Regardless, she’s got that anime thing going on that probably hits the nerd audience that often votes in these things.

Juliet is going to be weak, but she’s probably the most casually recognizable character here. Though I think this contest has gotten so niche that the only people voting are people who really know their stuff, and casual recognizability probably doesn’t mean what it used to. That’s what happens when you draw in 20000-3000 votes per match instead of 100,000. So while I think Juliet is sub-Alan Wake, she is at least the main character in her game, and is kinda recognizable. Also, that middle factor along with that pose probably gives her the best pic factor which probably means more here since it’s garbage vs. garbage vs. garbage.

Tiny Tina is the most recognizable character here, in by far the most popular game and with recently released DLC named directly after her. But no one likes her at all. I don’t even think passive fans would vote for her. But when your competition are these two jokers, who knows.

I’ll go with Juliet. Because screw these random FE:A characters making it, and screw Tiny Tina.

transience’s prediction: Juliet with 38.55%, Tharja with 35.25%, Tiny Tina with 26.2%



KP's Analysis

I have no faith in Borderlands characters, Tiny Tina especially. She's really grating and a lot of people flat-out don't like her.

Juliet vs. Tharja is a dumb, fun match. I'm siding with Tharja because Fire Emblem>Lollipop Chainsaw, but Juliet is probably more well-known by the gaming community in general and she has standout factor. She could very easily win this.

Tharja - 38%
Juliet - 35%
Tina - 26%



Guest’s Analysis - AKJ

Confession: I have no idea who those other two losers in this match are. I'm just here for the http://puu.sh/3zcCB.jpg

I mean I'm sure they're all well and good (actually I think Juliet is awful and, though I know nothing beyond her appearance, I'm judging her to be a bad character) but they're competing against Tharja. Among the best characters ever to grace a video game.

I mean how many times have we seen the creepy stalker archetype get completely ignored by their target? It's a tragedy! And now in Fire Emblem we can finally, FINALLY fulfill that dream we've always had and swoop up that most precious of girls into our arms. There's a reason FE:A is my game of the (last couple) year(s) and I bought all of the DLC for it. Well there are plenty of reasons, but Tharja is a pretty big one!

I'm going to assume the rest of Gamefaqs has great taste like me so I'm assuming FE:A characters are going to surprise us with some semblance of strength this year. This is blind fanboyism and because this match is essentially a tossup I find it to be completely justified.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#154 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 8:46:06 PM | message detail | quote
(Real quick let me just say, for all my fan out there, I decided to step down from the main Crew lineup this year because, like NGamer said, there are a LOT of matches and I struggled with 12 hour matches last time too. I'm a busy guy and at this point I only know about 1/3 of the field so I'd hate for my waning interest to bring down what is, imo, the board's greatest contest topic series!)

Tharja 40.00%
Offensive Stereotype 30.00%
I just started Borderlands this week so I don't know who this is yet 30.00%


Crew Consensus: While Juliet has some support, the majority is siding with Tharja.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#155 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 8:47:25 PM | message detail | quote
Darn, I was hoping to be the only Juliet picker.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#156 | Lopen | Posted 7/10/2013 8:51:04 PM | message detail | quote
Welp looks like Tina has it

Crew curse, ACTIVATE
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#157 | DpObliVion | Posted 7/10/2013 8:52:34 PM | message detail | quote
Huh, this is the first I've heard that Tiny Tina is disliked. I thought she was great, so I went with her in my bracket as what I figured was a likeable character from a hugely popular game versus two characters I had zero confidence in. I guess in retrospect, Fire Emblem should be big enough to push Tharja through against such complete fodder.

Anyway, f*** it, I'm sticking with Tina > Tharja > Juliet, and I'm looking forward to getting -6 in the Expert Challenge. Or I'll actually be right and you can all suck it!
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It's Lu Bu! Lu Bu has come to destroy us!
#158 | OlDirtyNumbers | Posted 7/10/2013 8:57:50 PM | message detail | quote
Kleenex knows. Time to get #1 on the expert challenge leaderboard
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I keep coming back here where everything... slipped
Ahhahhahaa
#159 | Lopen | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:03 PM | message detail | quote
Though I have to say I'm glad AKJ picked up my slack for beaming after I shamefully refused to in order to analyze the match.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#160 | LinkLegend27 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:59 PM | message detail | quote
DpObliVion posted...
Huh, this is the first I've heard that Tiny Tina is disliked. I thought she was great, so I went with her in my bracket as what I figured was a likeable character from a hugely popular game versus two characters I had zero confidence in. I guess in retrospect, Fire Emblem should be big enough to push Tharja through against such complete fodder.

Anyway, f*** it, I'm sticking with Tina > Tharja > Juliet, and I'm looking forward to getting -6 in the Expert Challenge. Or I'll actually be right and you can all suck it!


Great pick, Dp. People are overanalyzing this match. Tiny Tina for the UPSET SPECIAL
#161 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/10/2013 9:03:25 PM | message detail | quote
Oh, good. tranny took my advice to not do his write-ups completely in ALL CAPS. Only a very small section of his write-up was in ALL CAPS - that's fine by me as long as most of the write-up does not use ALL CAPS.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#162 | th3l3fty | Posted 7/10/2013 9:04:45 PM | message detail | quote
don't worry luster

ALL CAPS will be making its glorious return for the next match
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#163 | Big Bob | Posted 7/10/2013 10:20:32 PM | message detail | quote
Tharja's the favorite? That's odd; I'm so confident in Juliet that I'm going with her for my (fun only) Expert Challenge. She's the only one of these characters who's actually the main of her game.
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Currently reading: Remembering Sarah
Currently playing: Assassin's Creed III, Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3
#164 | transience | Posted 7/10/2013 10:22:34 PM | message detail | quote
I actually feel kind of really bad about Juliet right now. I have no idea what to think of this crap match.
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xyzzy
#165 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 7/10/2013 10:25:12 PM | message detail | quote
Big Bob posted...
Tharja's the favorite? That's odd; I'm so confident in Juliet that I'm going with her for my (fun only) Expert Challenge. She's the only one of these characters who's actually the main of her game.


I think people were expecting Tharja to get a decent pic.
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#166 | th3l3fty | Posted 7/10/2013 10:29:21 PM | message detail | quote
I picked Tharja knowing full well Juliet would stand out

still taking Tharja too
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#167 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/10/2013 10:30:52 PM | message detail | quote
transience posted...
I actually feel kind of really bad about Juliet right now. I have no idea what to think of this crap match.


I've never felt as uneasy about a match that I was 100% confident upon within 2 seconds of initially seeing the bracket. If not for B8, I wouldn't have doubted my Juliet pick for one second even now.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#168 | transience | Posted 7/10/2013 10:40:23 PM | message detail | quote
I think this is the one match that I absolutely would not trust the first minute of votes
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xyzzy
#169 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 7/10/2013 11:24:34 PM | message detail | quote
transience you are a terrible person, FE:A is not only by far the best fire emblem game to date, it's one of the best JRPGs ever made

go replay shadow hearts or something and leave the good games to us
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<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#170 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 11:26:16 PM | message detail | quote
Kleenex wins.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#171 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 7/10/2013 11:29:32 PM | message detail | quote
Tharja
39.97%
1220 Votes

Juliet Starling
29.72%
907 Votes

Tiny Tina
30.31%

oh man if it closed right now

my oracle

a man can dream
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#172 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 11:30:50 PM | message detail | quote
AKJ giving me good reason never to touch Fire Emblem
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#173 | Lopen | Posted 7/10/2013 11:31:08 PM | message detail | quote
Tharja going to kill the night vote (Europe and Japan) and the morning vote (Nintendo) I got this imhhhho.

Tharja won't finish below 40 against these weaklings!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#174 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 7/11/2013 12:01:32 AM | message detail | quote
Tharja winning a match means this is already my favorite contest of all time
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#175 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/11/2013 12:02:37 AM | message detail | quote
Lopen wins too.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#176 | OlDirtyNumbers | Posted 7/11/2013 12:27:28 AM | message detail | quote
OlDirtyNumbers posted...
Kleenex knows. Time to get #1 on the expert challenge leaderboard


choo choo
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I keep coming back here where everything... slipped
Ahhahhahaa
#177 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 7/11/2013 12:44:04 AM | message detail | quote
Leonhart’s Analysis

If it isn’t clear by this point, I say all that to say this: If I were you, I’d probably bank this match on the Expert Challenge. That’s what I’m doing.


Bah, screw that. I'm wearing this -6 with pride.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#178 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/11/2013 3:25:44 AM | message detail | quote
First match that was actually interesting to follow in this topic for more than the very beginning of the match.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#179 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/11/2013 5:30:54 AM | message detail | quote
I'll take my prize money now, thanks
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#180 | transience | Posted 7/11/2013 5:40:06 AM | message detail | quote
Awakening is not fun

that's cool, Tina's got this. this is the feeling that I had a few minutes before it started.
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xyzzy
#181 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/11/2013 5:45:30 AM | message detail | quote
stop with your lies
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#182 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 6:49:23 AM | message detail | quote
Moltar no more stuff from you?This sucks.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#183 | DpObliVion | Posted 7/11/2013 6:58:46 AM | message detail | quote
Did I say I was gonna get -6 in Expert Challenge on this match? I meant to say I'm gonna get +6 in Expert Challenge on this match.

Too bad I screwed up Matches 1 and 3.
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It's Lu Bu! Lu Bu has come to destroy us!
#184 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 7:02:38 AM | message detail | quote
tina please stop

Safer_777 posted...
Moltar no more stuff from you?This sucks.


stuff?
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#185 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 7:03:23 AM | message detail | quote
I mean analysis write ups.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#186 | most_games_r_ok | Posted 7/11/2013 7:11:37 AM | message detail | quote
Man I'm really unsure about Tharja holding on for the win. And I had Tharja>Juliet>Tina for the expert challenge.
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http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/4565/mgrok.png
#187 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 7:17:43 AM | message detail | quote
Division 1: Round 1 - Match 6 – (8) Hero vs. (11) Rinoa Heartilly vs. (20) Aerith Gainsborough

Moltar’s Analysis

Hero
Congrats Sir Chris

Rinoa
FF8 finally getting more representatives in

Aerith
Lives

While it was nice of Allen to give Hero that 8-seed because of our board, that doesn't mean it'll be worth anything in this match. No way is DQ standing up to two FF characters, especially on this site.

Basically, this is a 1v1 match between Aerith and Rinoa, and we've seen time and time again that most things FF7 beat most things FF8 into the ground (this translates to a lot of Squall beatings thanks to Cloud, Seph, and Vincent).

Not expecting Rinoa to be worth much compared to Aeris, especially if there's going to be SFF. She could have won in other places (hell, just look at this current match), but she'll have to settle for a distant second here.

Moltar’s Bracket: Aerith > Rinoa > Hero

Moltar’s Prediction: Hero: 15% - Rinoa: 31% - Aerith: 54%



Lopen’s Analysis


I'm not sure any match has ever had so much suck converge in one place. Given that Rinoa is just Aeris but worse I have to think she gets SFFed into the dirt here. Dunno if DQ5 Hero can pick up the scraps to get 2nd given somewhere around 3-5 hund-- dozen Americans have played his game. I'm going to guess no, but this one should be nasty and make Aeris look better than she has any right to.

I'd kill someone at the end of the first disc to see DQV Hero win this just because he presumably isn't awful.

Lopen's prediction:
Aeris (hold the lithp) - 55.78%
Rinoa - 24.02%
DQV Hero - 20.20%



Leonhart’s Analysis

When Bacon was slowly unveiling the seeds and we saw that Rinoa was grouped with the DQV Hero, I got pretty pumped. She could possibly win a match! But then he ruins it by lumping Aerith in there, so now not only does Rinoa have no chance to win, we won’t even get a fair reading on her! RAGE! That being said, don’t fool yourself into thinking this match goes anything other than Aerith > Rinoa > Hero. There will be SFF involved, naturally, but Hero is going to be bottom of the barrel weak. Nobody’s going to know who he is unless they’ve played the game, and not many people here have. They might be able to tell from the artwork that he’s some Dragon Quest guy, but I really doubt that brings him a lot of votes when the other two characters are from the much more popular RPG series.

Plus, I don’t think Aerith is the kind of character who is capable of delivering humongous SFF beatdowns. She let Marle get 30% on her back in 2006, and she’s not exactly high on the CT totem pole. And Rinoa is not as hated as Board 8 would have you believe. Dunno how well she’ll do overall, but it ain’t gonna be third place.

Leonhart’s Vote: Rinoa Heartilly

Leonhart’s Prediction

Aerith Gainsborough – 58.00%
Rinoa Heartilly – 32.00%
Hero – 10.00%



Kleenex’s Analysis

RPG overload. Sorry DQ5 fans, Final Fantasy SFF isn't going to save Hero here. It is kind of funny that we finally get another Final Fantasy 8 character in a contest and she gets fed to a strong known quantity from the series. Such is the fate of the bastard game.

Anyway, this is probably fairly cut and dry. Aeris wins comfortably, Rinoa trails behind about 10% back, and our Hero brings up the rear. I dunno, is there anything else to say about this that I'm missing?

Kleenex's Prediction

Hero with 22.68%
Rinoa with 33.09%
Aeris with 44.23%
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#188 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 7:18:05 AM | message detail | quote
Transience’s Analysis

UNTIL THIS MATCH PICTURE, I HAD NO IDEA THAT RINOA LOOKED LIKE LAGUNA. SHE LOOKS STRAIGHT UP LIKE A DUDE HERE, WHICH IS KINDA CREEPY WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT IT BECAUSE SQUALL AND RINOA AND LAGUNA AND YEAH. ALSO SHE'S HOPEFULLY GOING TO GET KILLED BY A SUPERIOR FINAL FANTASY CHARACTER AND A GUY NAMED GODDAMNED HERO

SPEAKING OF HERO, I THINK 90% OF THE VOTERS WILL HAVE NO IDEA WHO HE IS -- BY WHICH I MEAN THAT HE COULD BE ANY ONE OF THE DRAGON QUEST HEROES SINCE TORIYAMA DRAWINGS ARE ALL THE SAME. PLUS HIS NAME IS "HERO" WHICH PROBABLY MAKES HIM THE COOLEST CHOICE ON THE POLL AND CERTAINLY COOLER THAN RINOA. THIS IS PROBABLY A GOOD THING. HERO COULD DO REASONABLY WELL NEXT TO THESE TWO CHICKS OR BE UTTERLY AWFUL. I'LL GIVE HIM THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT BECAUSE RINOA.

I HAVE PRETTY LOW RESPECT FOR AERIS AS A CONTEST CHARACTER BUT SHE PROBABLY LOOKS "OKAY" HERE. BECAUSE RINOA.

TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: AERIS WITH 46%, HERO WITH 28%, RINOA WITH 26%



KP's Analysis

HERO is the big standout here, it's too bad no one's played his game. Everyone who has will vote for him, which is a guaranteed 1000 votes, at least! I could see Hero doing something weird here just based on how badly he stands out and the name, but it's more likely then he gets unceremoniously stomped.
Rinoa is fighting one of her worst matchups possible. Same-series-also-love-interest-overlap, yikes. The only thing to watch here is how badly Aeris will SFF her.

Aeris - 50%
Rinoa - 30%
Hero - 20%



Guest’s Analysis - Sir Chris

This match features the best silent protagonist in a generation full of great ones and two vapid, weak excuses for love interests from vastly overrated PS1 era RPGs of an inferior series compared to the one the silent protagonist is from. I would just like to take a moment to say that the Hero making into the main bracket is awesome. Seriously, completely awesome. I am very happy that he is here and what is about to happen is going to make me very sad. I just want everyone to know I wanted to make a Hero play and pick the Hero to win here, but on my honor as a guest of this amazing crew I need to fight for my other guests...!

By probably being horribly wrong either way.

Final Fantasy VII is going to beat the holy living hell out of Final Fantasy VIII while a few Dragon Quest fans get together and hope to make something not horrific happen. The Hero probably has the best picture but the only question of this match, I think, is how high is Aerith going to go and how badly is Rinoa going to smash the Hero's face in. I think the SFF here is severe, I think there are few people who like VIII over VII on this site. Now I actually did some ace research and found out the last two times big FFVII and big FFVIII went head to head FFVII won with 76% of the vote, which sounds a whole hell of a lot like a trend to me. Even if it is wrong.

Now I figure that the name Hero is pretty cool and a few people have played Dragon Quest, after all it did manage like 24% against Smash Bros in the series contest, so I don't think the Hero is going to be complete fodder. At least, that is my prayer. Keeping COMPLETELY consistent with the trends, as well as what I think the Hero is going to do...!

Aerith with 63.84%, Rinoa with 20.15%, Hero with 16.01%

Let's see if my bad math and blind hope in the Hero getting more than 5% pays off. Probably not.


Crew Consensus: Aerith wins
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#189 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/11/2013 7:37:18 AM | message detail | quote
At least the majority of the crew knows how to spell it.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#190 | DpObliVion | Posted 7/11/2013 7:45:23 AM | message detail | quote
I'll never get used to morning analyses.
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It's Lu Bu! Lu Bu has come to destroy us!
#191 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/11/2013 7:47:10 AM | message detail | quote
Man, if Tiny Tina really does manage to win this match, it will be our first CREW CURSE of the contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#192 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 8:05:03 AM | message detail | quote
Crew curse is effect!And too soon to speak the truth!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#193 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 7/11/2013 8:16:39 AM | message detail | quote
GAMEFAQS PLEASE
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#194 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/11/2013 8:17:32 AM | message detail | quote
Oh well, I bet if Borderlands 2 didn't just get Tina Tina DLC like a week ago Tharja would have won!

At least we can kinda put to rest this middle pic nonsense.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#195 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 7/11/2013 8:39:22 AM | message detail | quote
wait I got it, tiny cut overnight because th eonly people who play borderlands are losers with no jobs who stay up all night playing games

and now that the respectable adults that have jobs are waking up they'll vote tharja because she's a top 5 character in the first fire emblem game to realize people don't like permadeath
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#196 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/11/2013 9:02:32 AM | message detail | quote
Well I hope you're HAPPY now!

Rallies and fishy stuff always leave a bad taste in my mouth, even if they are to my benefit.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#197 | transcience | Posted 7/11/2013 9:07:36 AM | message detail | quote
damn you california
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#198 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 9:51:33 AM | message detail | quote
No crew curse it seems.That is good,I mean crew curse after 2 days of contest?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#199 | ZFS | Posted 7/11/2013 9:52:29 AM | message detail | quote
transience has the right idea here. hero has got this
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#200 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/11/2013 9:53:36 AM | message detail | quote
wrong hero tbqh
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i'll do rydia -Dante

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