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Character Battle IX Contest Analysis Crew

#101 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/9/2013 10:39:11 PM | message detail | quote
I had Yoshi at almost 80% until the Link match scared me straight
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#102 | AppIekidjosh | Posted 7/9/2013 10:40:50 PM | message detail | quote
The Mana Sword posted...
also KP predicting yoshi to 'go big' then having the lowest % is funny


sounds like something I'd do so KP is a p good replacement
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http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#103 | Lopen | Posted 7/9/2013 10:43:22 PM | message detail | quote
I'm the only one who had Link lower than 80% and I'm still calling for a beatdown.

Link is the Hulk Hogan of the character battles. Dominant for a decade, but he's all washed up now and just ready to get crushed by the upstarts.

Yes that makes Cloud the Ultimate Warrior. That much should've been obvious considering he has the Ultima Weapon.

YOUR TIME IS SHORT, LINK.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#104 | Lopen | Posted 7/9/2013 11:40:07 PM | message detail | quote
Perhaps rumors of Link's demise were slightly exaggerated...

Still like Yoshi to finish with around 67% here but yeah I'm pretty disappointed!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#105 | HotDogButts | Posted 7/9/2013 11:41:43 PM | message detail | quote
the votals sucks

gonna stop anyone from getting high percentages
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Hot Crossed Dog Butts
Burns then confronted him about the fart and Willie became agitated, telling her to shut up
#106 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/9/2013 11:50:45 PM | message detail | quote
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5143
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5144

Crew Predictions - 2/2

What Happened: Link blows out fodder, though not as badly as most people thought. Anti-votes combined with having more characters in the match I suppose. Raiden beats his competition respectably, though Waluigi ends up looking decent at the expense of Alan Wake.

What will Happen: Link won't win by as much as we might have thought in R2.



Crew Prediction Challenge - easy points

Moltar - 2
Lopen - 2
Leon - 2
Kleenex - 2
Tran - 2
KP - 2
Guest - 2


Crew Expert Challenge - not so easy points

Kleenex - 2
KP - 2
Guest - 2
Moltar - 1
Lopen - 1
Leon - 1
Tran - 1


Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for Link, Isaac, and Waluigi, Moltar gets the point for Tingle, Kuza gets the point for Raiden, and Kleenex gets the point for Alan

Lopen - 3
Moltar - 1
Kleenex - 1
Guest - 1 (Kuza)
Leon - 0
Tran - 0
KP - 0
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#107 | Naomi_Diamond | Posted 7/10/2013 3:06:47 AM | message detail | quote
tag
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ziggie ziggie wop wop
http://i.imgur.com/fZbEYu0.gif
#108 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/10/2013 4:09:12 AM | message detail | quote
Oh, I said Persona, lmao. I knew that he's not from that game, so doesn't change anything. No idea why I wrote it though, suppose I got the games mixed up or something >_>

I do like my percentages though, they're not so far from our result.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#109 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 5:02:38 AM | message detail | quote
Well, I've got a good shot at getting the point for Solaire, at least!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#110 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/10/2013 5:34:53 AM | message detail | quote
At least we don't have blowouts and that is good.For this match the lowest prediction for Yoshi was 60% but Yoshi is even lower than that!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#111 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/10/2013 5:36:45 AM | message detail | quote
LOLpen
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#112 | Swaghax | Posted 7/10/2013 5:41:31 AM | message detail | quote
One of the experts of this dumb contest is a guy named Kleenex? LOL! Why not have a guy named Toilet Paper on this crew while you're at it?
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Check out my swag
#113 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 7:25:38 AM | message detail | quote
Division 1: Round 1 - Match 4 – (2) Commander Shepard vs. (17) Captain Olimar vs. (26) Kain

Moltar’s Analysis

Shepard
Rare footage of a strong recent western character on GameFAQs

Olimar
is pikmin 3 out yet

Kain
Kane > Kain (lopen knows)

Shepard moving on up to a 2 seed. Overseeded, true, but it also is true that s/he has been getting stronger over the years. S/he got Mass Effect 3 since the last contest, and while the game itself wasn't well-received, people still love the Commander. Olimar and Kain are fodder so Shepard isn't going to lose here.

Shep does need to win big to put him/herself in a good position for his/her next match though, but I don't see that happening. I think FemShep underperforms here because she's not as easily recognizable as MaleShep (even though she is superior).

As for second place, I'll take weak Nintendo that has Smash support over weak and old whatever.

Moltar’s Bracket: Shepard > Olimar > Kain

Moltar’s Prediction: Shepard: 53% - Olimar: 28% - Kain: 19%



Lopen’s Analysis

Pretty boring match. Only fun part to speculate over is whether femshep matters or not. But I mean, it's not going to flip the result here so whatever. Makes things kinda MYSTERIOUS if next round she becomes a he, I guess. Doubt it matters much as her conservative spacesuit... armor... whatever... means she is less capable of exploiting TJF.

Kain hasn't been relevant in about 10 years so moonman Ziggy probably takes an easy second place off of Smash alone.

Lopen's prediction:
Commander Shepard - 51.12%
Ziggy Moondust - 28.04%
Bah gawd it's KAIN - 20.84%



Leonhart’s Analysis

This is the ideal scenario for Shepard to flex his muscles in preparation for his round 2 showdown with Aerith. While we’ve never gotten a totally clear read on Olimar and we haven’t seen Kain since 2004, they’re both known commodities. Olimar is about as low on the Nintendo chain as it gets for someone who’s been in a Smash Bros. game, and Kain wasn’t popular back when his game was relatively new. Shepard’s proven he’s capable of blowing out fodder before. If he doesn’t rock this match hard, it’s not going to inspire confidence for those picking him to beat Aerith (like me).

(Also if you don’t like me referring to Shepard as “he” and “him,” too bad. MaleShep all the way, baby!)

Leonhart’s Vote: Commander Shepard

Leonhart’s Prediction

Commander Shepard – 63.50%
Captain Olimar – 19.50%
Kain – 17.00%



Kleenex’s Analysis

This is the first match that I'm actively interested in, not because it'll be close, but because I'm curious to see how far Shepard has come now that the Mass Effect Trilogy has finished, and if he actully got hurt by the ME3 backlash (spoilers: he didn't). I think Shep had a fairly impressive showing back in 2010, hot off the heels of ME2, and Mass Effect is exponentially more popular than it was three years ago. It's probably the second most prolific new franchise to come out of the last generation (behind Assassin's Creed), and despite some ME3 woes, the series is still looked upon as generally positive.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#114 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 7:26:05 AM | message detail | quote
There's a pretty good chance Shepard really crushes this poll, and I hope he (she) does. Having an elite new character added to the contest ranks would be nice. The likes of Olimar and Kain are most certainly not going to prove much of a challenge. Olimar is poop, and Pikmin 3 being just around the corner probably isn't helping. Kain is super poop. Maybe people cared about Legacy of Kain 10+ years ago, but they certainly do not now. I'd be shocked if most of the voters knew who Kain even was. This could get really ugly.
NOTE: Same stuff as this morning. This is the actual worst. I hope Link just lost his ability to blowout Tingle and...oh who am I kidding.

Kleenex's Prediction

Shepard with 63.8%
Olimar with 19.1%
Kain with 17.1%



Transience’s Analysis

UNLIKE THE LAST FEW MATCHES, KAIN AND OLIMAR ARE NOT COMPLETE GARBAGE. BUT THEY ARE CLOSE. PRIOR TO EVERY HUGE FAVOURITE TAKING A HUGE DUMP ON THE POLLS, I WOULD HAVE TAKEN SHEPARD FOR SOME ABSURD PERCENTAGE, BUT HE'LL PROBABLY JUST HIT 50% AND STAY THERE IN A VERY UNEXCITING WAY

AS FOR WHO WINS BETWEEN THOSE OTHER GUYS.... I HAVE NO IDEA, BUT OLIMAR IS IN BRAWL SO

TRANSIENCE'S PREDICTION: LADY SHEPARD WITH 51.11%, OLIMAR WITH 26.56%, KAIN WITH 22.33%



KP's Analysis

Not sure how Femshep affects this. I'll just assume people aren't dumb and that it'll be the same as Male Shepard, but considering what happened to Samus that one time against Tifa, who knows. Still wins either way because Kain and Olimar aren't gonna be worth anything.

I think Kain takes Olimar, although that's a little upset special I feel worse about every day. Even taking into account Waluigi somehow having strength and the Middle Standout Factor and Kain being far past relevant, Olimar has a treated us to a string of godawful results. Without Brawl no one knows he exists, and even then no one cares about him. Kain has a cool name and a few surprisingly decent results, which is enough for me to take him over someone that lost to Banjo (while being quintupled by Mega Man).

Shepard - 61%
Kain - 20%
Olimar - 19%



Guest’s Analysis - Ctes

Another match and another easy point for our brackets. I suppose it'll at least be interesting to see how Shepard does with a female picture. He is facing some of the worst characters in these things though, so while it might affect other matches, I have a feeling those people will just vote Shepard here anyway.

The expert challenge provides something to look forward to in this match though, because I believe both Olimar and Kain have a fair chance of getting second. Olimar has always sucked as much as possible in these things and Kain hasn't mattered in forever. Kain's battle against Kirby in 2004 does look better than anything Olimar has ever done, even though that was Kirby before he became good in these things. In any case, I'm gonna go ahead with what seems to be an upset and pick Kain to get second here. I do think it will be close, but I refuse to believe Olimar can do anything before he does. Pikmin 3 hype? Doesn't matter. Feel free to surprise me by not being the absolute worst Olimar. Also, if Shepard loses some voters with a female picture, I suppose they're more likely to go to Kain than Olimar, but I had Kain getting second before we saw the match picture.

Commander Shepard – 61%
Captain Olimar – 19%
Kain – 20%

Hmm, Kain's name looks a little pathetic next to commander and captain. I'd go much higher with Shepard, but it seems like getting higher percentages than this won't be very common this year.



Crew Consensus: The Commander commands this match.
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#115 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 7:43:17 AM | message detail | quote
Hmmm...Probably should have revised my Shep prediction after seeing these first few matches, but oh well, I'm stickin' to my guns.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#116 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:10:19 AM | message detail | quote
Told you guys you went too high!

I'd be surprised if Olimar gets above 23% here, that guy has just looked like garbage. Maybe he'll prove himself here.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#117 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/10/2013 9:11:03 AM | message detail | quote | (edited)
He's got MIddle Pic Factor!
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#118 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/10/2013 9:52:58 AM | message detail | quote
cuz there's just so much pikmin 3 hype
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~Zen
#119 | transcience | Posted 7/10/2013 9:57:45 AM | message detail | quote
MPF

I do think Olimar is pretty bad. just not sure Kain can take advantage of it, and I definitely don't trust anyone to go too big this year after the first couple days.

ctes almost an official crew member at this point! my phone tries to autocorrect ctes to crew, which is pretty telling!
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#120 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 10:02:24 AM | message detail | quote
I didn't even notice me and ctes predicted the exact same percentages

We ride together, we die together
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#121 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/10/2013 10:25:38 AM | message detail | quote
Hey tranny, quit it with your dumb gimmick of using ALL CAPS in all of your write-ups.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#122 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/10/2013 10:27:56 AM | message detail | quote
the callout
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#123 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/10/2013 11:04:24 AM | message detail | quote
Who would do the guest analysis in all those matches no one cares about then?

KP and I will ride together to victory! (or perhaps die in the process)
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#124 | transcience | Posted 7/10/2013 11:04:49 AM | message detail | quote
nah
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#125 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 11:04:54 AM | message detail | quote
We're dying pretty badly right now!

Not as badly as Shepard is, though!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#126 | transcience | Posted 7/10/2013 11:13:45 AM | message detail | quote
dat Olimar

whoa, you guys went real high on Shepard. didn't you see the last two blowouts?
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#127 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 11:15:44 AM | message detail | quote
Yoshi faced an arguably stronger group and got 60%, and if Shepard wants to beat Aeris then Yoshi level is about where he needs to be. Not feeling too great about that pick now.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#128 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 11:17:16 AM | message detail | quote
Also, Kain sucks. I blame...uh...WRPG SFF. Yeah.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#129 | Articuno2001 | Posted 7/10/2013 11:18:06 AM | message detail | quote
I can't see how Kain sucking - again - should be a surprise to anyone.
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Character Battle IX: 3/3 points, Next matches: Shepard, Tharja
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
#130 | transcience | Posted 7/10/2013 11:24:01 AM | message detail | quote
Aeris is kinda weak now. Yoshi would beat her up pretty good.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#131 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/10/2013 11:24:29 AM | message detail | quote
NintendoFAQs indeed
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#132 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 11:26:44 AM | message detail | quote
Yoshi isn't *that* good. The last fair read we've had on him is when Squall wrecked him in 2008, and considering Aeris got 42% on Auron I'd say they seem about even. I'd probably take Yoshi but it wouldn't be a blowout or anything.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#133 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/10/2013 2:11:43 PM | message detail | quote
We can still do it! (we're dead). I'm not really surprised Kain is losing, but I'm surprised to see Olimar this high. Guess that guy finally showed something even if it wasn't much.

Yoshi would beat Aerith in what wouldn't be a very interesting match. No blowout agreed, but victory would be assured for Yoshi.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#134 | Articuno2001 | Posted 7/10/2013 2:13:39 PM | message detail | quote
Olimar finally got a match without SFF and performed just as well as he should.
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Character Battle IX: 3/3 points, Next matches: Shepard, Tharja
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
#135 | Lopen | Posted 7/10/2013 2:14:07 PM | message detail | quote
Uh these two destroy the two Yoshi had. Olimar would 60-40 either of Yoshi's opponents and I think Kain vs Dark Souls guy is a really close match. Don't see any disappointment from Shep here.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#136 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/10/2013 2:54:01 PM | message detail | quote
No way Kain gets close to Solaire. Solaire has the incredible advantage of his game being like 15 years or so newer. That should be plenty of reason.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#137 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 2:58:46 PM | message detail | quote
Regardless, Demi-Fiend is the weakest character of the four.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#138 | transcience | Posted 7/10/2013 3:07:18 PM | message detail | quote
they're about equal packs. I will take Yoshi over Shepard every time though. we had this comparison with Dante a few years ago and he looked like a lock to beat Yoshi.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#139 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 3:16:34 PM | message detail | quote
Well, I'm not so sure what you guys are talking about. According to Kain's 2004 X-Stats, Shepard breaks 40% on Link...!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#140 | The Mana Sword | Posted 7/10/2013 3:18:03 PM | message detail | quote
Sounds legit.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#141 | Geiki Ganger | Posted 7/10/2013 6:28:30 PM | message detail | quote
#142 | most_games_r_ok | Posted 7/10/2013 6:35:25 PM | message detail | quote
mayb we'll actually get accurate %picks this time
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http://www.yourgamercards.net/trophy/a/Micer101.png
#143 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 6:38:28 PM | message detail | quote
Can't wait to see what the Crew's predictions look like for the next match.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#144 | transience | Posted 7/10/2013 6:58:36 PM | message detail | quote
I sent mine in before boobgate happened
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xyzzy
#145 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 7:00:52 PM | message detail | quote
Moltar, just emailed you my Sonic/Fei/Dan prediction.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#146 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 7:02:38 PM | message detail | quote
Why isn't anyone predicting Chester/Mewtwo/Zero (999)?

B8 stand up.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#147 | X_Dante_X | Posted 7/10/2013 7:05:03 PM | message detail | quote
oh if CRISIS ever happens and you need an old time veteran to step in just ping me on irc i will give a dante classix for any match you desire
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boring and mundane signature
Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold
#148 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 7:31:42 PM | message detail | quote
Yeah I kinda think Juliet wins now after mulling it over and seeing the picture but I already sent in my predictions. Oh well!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#149 | Master Moltar (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 8:04:11 PM | message detail | quote
transcience posted...
MPF

I do think Olimar is pretty bad. just not sure Kain can take advantage of it, and I definitely don't trust anyone to go too big this year after the first couple days.

ctes almost an official crew member at this point! my phone tries to autocorrect ctes to crew, which is pretty telling!

hope no one has any issue with him sending me Guest write-ups when no one else does!

-LusterSoldier- posted...
Hey tranny, quit it with your dumb gimmick of using ALL CAPS in all of your write-ups.


LOLKamikazePotato posted...
We're dying pretty badly right now!

Not as badly as Shepard is, though!


I'm actually feeling fine right about now! Thanks SexistFAQs
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Moltar Status: Crew
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#150 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/10/2013 8:08:53 PM | message detail | quote
I made my prediction with the idea that the picture we were gonna get was the picture we got, so I feel good about it!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

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