GameFAQs Contests
Rivalry Rumble Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
AppIekidjosh posted... From: Ngamer64 | #239 old school PC gamers (both of us!) hell ya Make that three. I was against all of this "lol joke entrant" stuff, but when it turned out that in order to get Hitler in, the voters used Wolfenstein 3D? Yeah, totally got my vote. --- mnkboy: I think they've put on their "scare new users away" pants. Haguile: Wouldn't it be easier to scare new users if they weren't wearing pants? |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... AppIekidjosh posted... From: Ngamer64 | #239 old school PC gamers (both of us!) hell ya Make that three. I was against all of this "lol joke entrant" stuff, but when it turned out that in order to get Hitler in, the voters used Wolfenstein 3D? Yeah, totally got my vote. I'm in the minority that really loved the 2nd Act of Wolf3d. Something about fighting Nazi Zombies 20 years before modern games would do things like that... --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
(1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. (4) Luigi/Waluigi (R1) Red/Blue: 76.92% on Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan (R1) Luigi/Waluigi: 55.28% on Cecil Harvey/Golbez This match was talked about a lot before the contest, but all chatter died away after their round one matches - Luigi/Waluigi flopped hard, and ended up getting into the closest match of the entire round against Cecil/Golbez, while Red/Blue put 77% on Raynor/Kerrigan, which obviously put them in a whole different tier. But still, especially when the possibility of some SFF weirdness is factored in, I find it tough to have any confidence in the percentages. How strong are Cecil/Golbez? Stronger than Raynor/Kerrigan, of course, but by how much? Judging from the vote-ins, I'd expect by a fair distance. A gut read suggests Red/Blue probably could get too much over a doubling against them, which would leave this match somewhere in the mid 60s. But... I can't help but think this match is horrible for WaLuigi - you have one legitimate, classic Nintendo rivalry that got a 1-seed, up against something involving Waluigi. I think there's a chance Red/Blue could do very well here, but I'll hegde in the mid-60s. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 64.1% of the vote. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
East Division: Round 2 - Match 37 – (1) PT Red/PT Blue vs. (4) Luigi/Waluigi Moltar’s Analysis Red/Blue Round 1 - 76.92% vs. Raynor/Kerrigan Good showing for the Trainers Luigi/Waluigi Round 1 - 55.28% vs. Cecil/Golbez Bad showing for the Luigis This was a heavily-debated match pre-contest, but now, there is a definite favorite. The Trainers did well in R1, even though their opponents were fodder. It looks like people do see them as having a good rivalry. Meanwhile, the Luigis disappointed against the FF4 team. Cecil isn’t weak, but it looks like people don’t respect or like the Luigi rivalry. Put those two factors together plus a match pic like that, and this could be ugly. I had a feeling yesterday that DK would look good against MK, and today I’m feeling that the Luigis disappoint. Nintendo fans seem to strongly prefer the Pokemon rivalry, and their match pic should evoke some strong nostalgia. suck it waluigi get outta here Moltar’s Bracket: Red/Blue Moltar’s Prediction: Red/Blue - 66% Lopen’s Analysis Little do you know that Luigi has experience fighting Red vs Blue because Waluigi wears a purple costume, and purple is made by combining red and blue! … oh... wait, Luigi doesn't actually ever fight Waluigi. Well, there goes that idea. Some people have Wa/luigi winning here in their brackets but can anyone honestly say they do after round 1? No real upset potential here and SFF could very well make this look uglier than it should. Lopen's prediction: Red vs Blue with 67.22% Leon’s Analysis Pre-contest, this was a debatable match. Then after Red/Blue got 77% on Raynor/Kerrigan and Luigi/Waluigi got 55% on Cecil/Golbez, that quieted the discussion about this one. We’ve seen rivalries matter, which helps Red/Blue a lot and hurts Luigi/Waluigi a lot. Luigi’s easily the strongest character in this match, but in this format, that’s not enough. I don’t think Red/Blue will go ridiculously high here because I think Luigi’s natural individual strength advantage will prevent that, but this shouldn’t ever be close beyond maybe the first couple minutes. Leonhart’s Prediction: Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 61.95% Kleenex’s Analysis Oh hey look the dirty, filthy Pokemon apologists need to cheat actual Pokemon into their match pics to win. Not too surprising. All bias aside, I still think people are overestimating these dudes. Recent results have made Raynor and Kerrigan look really, really bad, which calls into question just how strong of a performance they had round 1. I still don't think people care enough about the human characters in Pokemon in order to make them a threat, but if they keep getting pictures like that, the fans might think the rivalry is Pokemon Red vs. Pokemon Blue or something. http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n231/sihp/waluigi.gif Because it's still awesome. Kleenex's Prediction: Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 58.44% Applekidjosh’s Analysis Have you SEEN that match picture? GLORIOUS CHARIZARD VS BLASTOISE! Now this is what I was thinking when I took Pokemon Trainers to win the division! Look out fighting game scrubs, the poke-fear is starting now. (is Waluigi the only character in round 2 that literally nobody likes?) AKJ predix Pokemon Trainers with 64.20% Dante’s Analysis One of these guys managed to get 55% on cecil. The other managed to not get embarrassed by fodder. Sucks, since I'm pretty sure I had the luigi bros here in my bracket. But hey, live and learn, right? Winner - Pokemon Trainers - 62.47% Crew Consensus: Trainers KO Luigis |
Waluigi best Mario character ever --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png Fire Todd Haley |
so Kotetsu's the guest if nobody shows up right --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Red vs Luigi Glancing through the Oracle topic just now, I was quite surprised to see so many people sticking to the 60/40 range for this Nintendo showdown. That percentage would have sounded just about right to me pre-Contest (I always thought Waluigi would make a disgrace of his team), but everything we've seen since then points to a blowout, IMO. Let me count the ways * Pokemon hung 77% on the StarCraft pair in a night match. Everyone knows how much Asia loves SC, but it's popular in Europe and Australia as well, while Pokemon's always relied on a strong morning vote and ASV to pile on the percentages. They should easily improve when given the full 24 hours to work with. * Luigi managed only 55% on Cecil in a day match. Actually, that's probably not such a big deal since pre-FF7 the series didn't always get ported internationally. So I'll change this point to: Luigi sucked against pre-7 Final Fantasy, which has been underperforming everywhere else (aside from Kefka, and we'll see if that was a fluke versus Samus). Doesn't bode well for him! * THAT MATCH PIC. Personally I'd have waited until the next match to pull out "the big guns" of the Pokemon themselves in their iconic box art poses, but ah well, guess they get the 3-4% Match Pic Boost here as well! * Nintendo has always been the most brutal of all SFFs. An iconic duo from possibly THE most nostalgic game on the site versus Waluigi? Yeah, think this'll be an easy choice for 2/3 of this site! So let's go with Red - 66.23% --- thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle! |
oh man I was about to come in and say whoops, then I realized it was only 12:04. Board vote scared me! --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
Atta way, Nintendo SFF! *pats self on back* --- thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle! |
Tch, NGamer trying to take my ideas and put his name on em. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Patting yourself on the back for a pick that's 15% off? I don't think so! --- I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN |
Waluigi and Luigi gonna recover big time expect a 75% finish. For Waluigi. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
The Mana Sword posted... Patting yourself on the back for a pick that's 15% off? I don't think so! Wellll, every time I come within 10% I award myself a medal of valor in an hour-long ceremony. So it all evens out. --- thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle! |
What happens when you're within 1%? --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
From: X_Dante_X | #364 No one knows yet...! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Lopen posted... Waluigi and Luigi gonna recover big time expect a 75% finish. For Waluigi. You sure about that? I hear its the other way around with a 85% finish for the trainers... --- Mkw fc: 3310-6011-6001 Mkw name: RS(star) Mario |
I'm absolutely positive that Waluigi is going to win this with 75% #1 --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Crew was once again off with the percentages.But still nobody expected that so it i okay. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
LOL these results I feel so good to lose this point pathetically --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
percentage predictions are a bit low today --- I do because I can.....and because I'm bored. |
Feels good to get the Accuracy Point despite being off by 10%, doesn't it? I think I did the same thing on Chris/Wesker. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Crew Predictions - 36/36 What Happened: Expected results Why it Happened: The FF5 team couldn't even double Guybrush, so they were definitely weak enough to get tripled by a legit team. DK/K. Rool get some respect and Nintendo love and Sub/Scorpion aren't as strong as R1 made them look. What will Happen: X/Zero looking good for R3 Crew Prediction Challenge - easy points Moltar - 36 Leon - 36 AKJ - 34 Guest - 34 Kleenex - 34 Dante - 33 Lopen - 31 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar gets the point for X/Zero, AKJ gets the point for Sub/Scorp Leon - 7 Kleenex - 6.5 Guest - 6 (Luster: 2, Menji: 1, pjbasis: 1, Korayashi: 1, GfK: 1) Lopen - 5 Moltar - 4.5 AKJ - 4 Dante - 3 --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60973141 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
East Division: Round 2 - Match 38 – (3) Ryu/Ken vs. (2) Fox/Wolf Moltar’s Analysis Ryu/Ken Round 1 - 81.63% vs. Ratchet/Nefarious Dominating performance Fox/Wolf Round 1 - 60.92% vs. Yuna/Seymour Nintendo once again proves it’s superiority over Square Well Ryu/Ken were looking great to take this division, but it appears as if some Trainers plan to step up to the challenge. Their big win over Luigi/Waluigi today turned a lot of heads, and now Ryu/Ken will have to impress today. Fox/Wolf, to me, seems like a weaker version of Kirby/MK. Sonic/Robotnik managed to get 62% on them, and I think Ryu/Ken can outdo that. Yes, Fox/Wolf is weaker, but I believe the SF characters are definitely benefitting from this format because of rivalry and synergy and all that. Mid-60s would be a good show from them, upper-60s or 70s would put them back as the favorites for next round. Low 60s and I’d be really worried. Fox/Wolf aren’t garbage, but Ryu/Ken really need to perform well today. Moltar’s Bracket: Ryu/Ken Moltar’s Prediction: Ryu/Ken - 66% Lopen’s Analysis So I think you got a a pretty good comparison to this match in Kong vs MORTALLL KOMBATTT so we don't really need to even think about this one. I do think that Ryu vs Ken looked stronger in r1. Fox vs Wolf should be stronger, but I'm not convinced they will be because I no longer think the voters are as smart as we thought they were, and are just voting for the OLD RIVALRY, and Kong is older... unless Star Wolf was in the original Star Fox. I don't think he was, but no one's played that anyway. Meanwhile, pic advantage goes strongly to Ryu vs Ken, which could make a difference, so I'm gonna aim high. “Hey Ryu can I triple the Star Fox guys” “SHORYUKEN” Oh ho ho... that bit never gets old. Right... right? Guys? Lopen's prediction: SHORYUKEN with 75.02% Leon’s Analysis Fox/Wolf ended up looking pretty good in round 1, scoring nearly 61% on Yuna/Seymour. Raiden/Vamp doing well on Frog/Magus later in the round made that performance look even better. Now I’m not saying they have a chance here, but they’re probably stronger than we originally anticipated. I’m not going to get too worried about this if Ryu/Ken don’t go nuts here, unless they just really struggle to get some separation. I know Red/Blue put up absurd numbers on Luigi/Waluigi, but some of that was probably some SFF, so I don’t think Ryu/Ken need to approach those numbers to stay in this. Fox/Wolf are probably stronger than Luigi/Waluigi anyway. 60% on Yuna/Seymour seems better than 55% on Cecil/Golbez, at least to me. Leonhart’s Prediction: Ryu vs. Ken Masters with 70.65% Kleenex’s Analysis Well, Ryu and Ken have to do pretty well here, or they're probably in trouble next round. They should, though. Fox and Wolf kinda had a middling performance against Yuna and Seymour, and the FFX crew doesn't seem like they should have been that strong. Ryu and Ken on the other hand wrecked their round 1 opponents, no doubt due to RIVALRY FACTOR. I don't know what number they should be shooting for here to make them look like a good bet for round 3, but I'd say a doubling is probably in the vicinity. Kleenex's Prediction: Ryu vs. Ken with 67.54% |
Applekidjosh’s Analysis Ryu and ken with 68% plz and thx, <3 u Dante’s Analysis Okay guys, heres the deal - I just got home from school, and I'm heading out onto the road in like ten minutes - so no time for analysis but who needs analysis, Ryu/Ken wins next Winner - Ryu/Ken - 63.36% Guest’s Analysis - Kotetsu534 Up till 24 hours ago I think the general leaning on the upcoming Trainers/Fighters match was in favour of Ryu and Ken. Well, with the Trainers going so huge in R2, the onus is now on Ryu/Ken to come back with something. 61% on Yuna/Seymour in round one was a solid performance from Fox/Wolf. If you accept the vote-in poll which showed Raiden/Vamp are worth about 55% on Yuna/Seymour, you get Fox/Wolf being about as strong as Frog/Magus. I definitely think that's enough for them not to shrivel up in the face of strong competition - and it's worth remembering that Fox held on to 32% of the vote against Solid Snake in CBVIII. Ryu/Ken's 81.6% against Ratchet/Nefarious from round one doesn't tell us much, other than that Ryu/Ken are strong enough to crush fodder. I expect Fox/Wolf will get well over 30% here, and probably leave Red/Blue looking like the favourites in the division final. Ryu vs. Ken with 63.55% Crew Consensus: ShoRyuKen to Fox/Wolf |
Ryu vs Fox Granted I may have more respect for FFX than most (whoa look @ those Bosses, Samus so dooooooomed), but 61% on Yuna looks pretty dang solid to me. Nintendo has followed that up with stronger-than-expected showings from Mario/X/DK/Red, so you might think we're looking at a companywide trend. And since Fox would (surprisingly, I thought) never score more than 57% on Ryu directly based on any x-stats since 2007... Nah, just kidding, the Pilots still get blown out! I think the pro-Nintendo trend is just a red herring; the real trend is toward older, most established rivalries becoming increasingly dominant as we move further along in this bracket. We're seeing that right now IN A BIG WAY with Red/Blue, and my gut says that the SF boys will match that performance. Well, not percentage-wise, but taking SFF into account. Plus just look at that pic domination! Ryu - 66.68% --- thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle! |
From: Ngamer64 | #375 Man, you're such a liar! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
wow moltar you could have specified that it was a text, that just makes me look foolish --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
but thanks for the help :3 --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
Need this to fall below 64.77% to pick up the accuracy point for team guest I think. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
(2) Samus Aran/Ridley vs. (4) Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo (R1) Samus Aran/Ridley: 80.64% on The Kid/The Guy (R2) Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo: 78.66% on Vyse/Galcian This is about as interesting as a locked match can be - there's a huge range of results possible here and therefore it should answer some questions. Samus/Ridley could rule themselves out of the semis here, or - hopefully! - blow the coming fourpack of Trainers/Fighters vs. Samus/Bosses wide open. Terra/Kefka blew way past expectations in round one, and we'll see just how much of that was down to Vyse/Galcian being terrible too. Terra and Kefka both did well last contest - Kefka got 38% on Bowser, while Terra got under a doubling against Squall. A rough estimate for what they could manage against Samus heads up is probably Rikku's 31%. At least, I doubt they'd be able to avoid the doubling, and I doubt they'd be tripled, so that makes sense. There's a chance that rivalry factor doesn't impact this match too much - Ridley isn't a Waluigi, but I doubt he's worth much, and I'm not sure Terra/Kefka is that great either - but I think having Terra and Kefka in the poll together helps to draw on some of the (considerable) strength of FFVI that's been missing from its characters. I also have a bit of respect for any entrant who put up 78% the round before. Taking an x-stat view of the match, putting Vyse/Galcian and Kid/Guy equal, Terra/Kefka are projected to hit 45%. I reckon Kid/Guy are stronger than Vyse/Galcian at this point and Terra/Kefka benefited a little from SFF. Even so, I would be impressed if Samus/Ridley could outdo that by nearly 10 points and get to a doubling. Something around or a little over 60% seems more reasonable. Samus Aran vs. Ridley with 61% of the vote. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
Samus vs Kefka Looks like kao set the line at 66% for this one- I couldn't believe my eyes! Which is not to say that Kefka's going to make a serious run at the win; I agree that his 79 on Vyse was overblown by RPG SFF, while Samus' 81 is underrated thanks to Kid being such a funny alternative. That being said, I do think Samus was held back somewhat by Ridley in R1, and as Waluigi showed us, Rivalry Matters© even more here in R2. I think we just haven't given SmartVoterFAQs enough credit so far, Kefka's got the more legit rivalry, and it'll come back and bite the 66 percenters tonight. Big Boss > Samus here we go! Samus - 60.73% --- thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle! |
Southeast Division: Round 2 - Match 39 – (1) Samus/Ridley vs. (4) Terra/Kefka Moltar’s Analysis Samus/Ridley Round 1 - 80.64% vs. Kid/Guy Well at least they broke 80% Terra/Kefka Round 1 - 78.66% vs. Vyse/Galacian Weird seeing these guys on the giving end of a blowout Don’t let the numbers fool you. Both teams blew out their opponents, but it’s likely Terra/Kefka benefitted from an RPG SFF beatdown, making them look way better than they should have. Samus/Ridley aren’t in trouble here, but I also don’t expect them to go huge. FF6 is liked, and Samus/Ridley isn’t the most iconic or nostalgic rivalry. Mid-upper 60s would be a good showing for the Metroid pair. Moltar’s Bracket: Samus/Ridley Moltar’s Prediction: Samus/Ridley - 68% Lopen’s Analysis Looking at round 1, this just feels like it could be the upset of upsets. Terra vs Kefka may have been the beneficiaries of SFF, or Vyse vs Galcian might just suck that bad, but 80% is 80%-- hard to ignore especially when Samus kinda disappointed and I'm suspicious of her strength in the first place. But am I going to take it? Hell no. You know what upset potential in this contest means, right? Lopen's prediction: Samus vs Ridley with 60.40% Leon’s Analysis Some people may look at Samus/Ridley’s first round performance (80.64% on The Kid/The Guy) compared to Terra/Kefka’s first round performance (78.66% on Vyse/Galcian) and think that Terra/Kefka have a chance here because there can’t be much of a difference in strength between their opponents. Well, that’s…one way to look at it, but I don’t really think it’s going to play out that way. The Kid/The Guy probably got some “joke” appeal, along with having an appealing picture. I suppose you could also argue RPG SFF for Terra/Kefka, but I think Vyse/Galcian is just a ridiculously weak pairing. I wouldn’t be surprised if they lost to The Kid/The Guy. That being said, I think Terra/Kefka will still do fairly respectably here. I don’t think Samus/Ridley is an appealing or overly respected rivalry, and I think Terra/Kefka having a sprite picture here may help them as well. I’m kind of hoping for a Samus/Ridley underperformance for the sake of my later round upsets, so my prediction will reflect that accordingly! Leonhart’s Prediction: Samus Aran vs. Ridley with 62.50% |
Kleenex’s Analysis Vyse and Galcian are going to look so bad in the stats when thus contest is all over. Not only did they get stomped on by Terra and Kefka of all people, Terra is going to get stomped by Samus, Samus is going to get stomped by Mario, and Mario is probably going to get stomped by Link. Yikes. So yeah, Samus wins. TOO BIG or something. Kleenex's Prediction: Samus vs. Ridley with 70.01% Applekidjosh’s Analysis time for Samus to expose Kefka and make Vyse look even more ridiculous than he did before. Not really a good day for long analysis. My friend has a puppy named Samus :3 AKJ predix Samus over Kefka with 72.00% Guest’s Analysis - whatisurnameplz Time to redeem myself! It's pretty safe to say that Terra/Kefka almost got 80% on Vyse/Galcian because of the latter being the definition of fodder (I'm serious, just look up the Vyse fodder line on the wiki) combined with a pinch of SFF. Some may say that Samus/Ridley's performance on The Kid/The Guy was a disappointment, but the latter probably had some joke trends going for them. I'd say that Samus/Ridley get anywhere in the low-to-mid 80s on Vyse/Galcian, and that Terra/Kefka would lose a percent or two against Vyse/Galcian when you factor out SFF. That would put Samus/Ridley at somewhere in the low 70s or so. While that might make it sound like Samus/Ridley isn't that strong and can probably get beaten by the Trainers (I don't know about the bosses or Ryu/Ken) bear in mind that WaLuigi could barely get over 55% against Cecil/Golbez and that the Trainers benefited from a ton of SFF in their match. I feel confident that Terra/Kefka could get close to, if not outright beat WaLuigi. Samus/Ridley - 72.67% Happy Thanksgiving! Crew Consensus: Samus and Ridley beat the FF6 rivalry. |
Aw yeah Lopen and me going low This could be very good or very bad --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
whoa did you not get mine? augh lemme check my email to make sure I didn't typo --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
Dante so sent to Moster Maltar --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
"Sorry, we were unable to deliver your message to the following address. <mastermolar@gmail.com>:" whoops Dante's Analysis Oh man turkey is awesome, I realize this won't get posted until after thanksgiving but whatever Winner - Samus/Ridley, 67.39% --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
Master Molar best username ever --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 26th Today's Prediction: SHORYUKEN - 67.14% |
how dare you --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60973141 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue 77.96% 42513 Luigi vs. Waluigi 22.04% 12021 TOTAL VOTES 54534 Ryu vs. Ken 64.98% 29617 Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell 35.02% 15964 TOTAL VOTES 45581 Crew Predictions - 38/38 What Happened: Dem Trainers, Fighters are so screwed Why it Happened: Trainers are legit strong + good ol' Nintendo SFF. Ryu/Ken do as expected in their match, as Fox and Wolf aren't that weak. What will Happen: Trainers look to be the slight favorites next round based on these performances. Crew Prediction Challenge - easy points Moltar - 38 Leon - 38 AKJ - 36 Guest - 36 Kleenex - 36 Dante - 35 Lopen - 33 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for Red/Blue, Moltar gets the point for Ryu/Ken Leon - 7 Kleenex - 6.5 Lopen - 6 Guest - 6 (Luster: 2, Menji: 1, pjbasis: 1, Korayashi: 1, GfK: 1) Moltar - 5.5 AKJ - 4 Dante - 3 --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60973141 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Looks like Lopen and I will be battling it out for the point today...! Outstanding. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
(3) Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker vs. (7) Big Boss/The Boss (R1) Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker: 79.22% on Dan Hibiki/Sagat (R1) Big Boss/The Boss: 59.64% on Tidus/Jecht Chris/Wesker's number from round one looks very impressive, but Dan/Sagat are almost certainly awful fodder like Vyse/Galcian, so it does little more than prove they have some strength. The Bosses have been in two polls now, and each time they've done well - their numbers on Hitler and the Catherines from the vote-in look better now that we've seen Sonic beat up Kirby/MK and Hitler reach 40% on Sora, and I'm minded to think that 60% on Tidus/Jecht, neither of whom are terrible, and who likely generate a decent rivalry factor is solid. Right now I'd put their odds of taking the division fractionally below those of Samus/Ridley, but that will likely change as this match gets underway. What should they be shooting for here? It's tough to say, but I doubt Chris/Wesker are far from Terra/Kefka's strength, based on round one (and Wesker's projected 36% on Ganondorf plus Chris' 28% on Cloud from CBVIII seem to put them in that range too). I'd lean towards them being a little stronger due to a better rivalry factor. Regardless, the Bosses shouldn't be doing too much worse than against Tidus/Jecht here - look for something in the mid to high 50s. Big Boss vs. The Boss with 56.8% of the vote. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
Southeast Division: Round 2 - Match 40 – (3) Chris/Wesker vs. (2) Big Boss/The Boss Moltar’s Analysis Chris/Wesker Round 1 - 79.22% vs. Dan/Sagat Yeah, that was ugly Big Boss/The Boss Round 1 - 59.64% vs. Tidus/Jecht The FFX rivalry didn’t stand a chance. Chris and Wesker looked great in Round 1, but they were facing fodder. The two other RE teams ended up looking pretty bad, so that’s a pretty big warning flag on the true strength of this rivalry. The Bosses looked good in their match, and MGS overall hasn’t looked bad yet. They’re the easy favorites to win here. The percentages are where this gets tricky. My first thought is that Tidus/Jecht is stronger than Chris/Wesker, so The Bosses should do better in this match than in Round 1. It’s probably not going to be by that much though. Moltar’s Bracket: Big Boss/The Boss Moltar’s Prediction: Big Boss/The Boss - 60% Lopen’s Analysis Another match that I feel has left field upset potential. Chris vs Wesker is the more iconic rivalry of the two, and it scored 80% last round. The bosses also have that atrocious melting art this round. I feel even stronger about the upset chances today than yesterday. But am I going to take it? Hell no. You know what upset potential in this contest means, right? If you were paying attention yesterday, you ought! This boring ass contest has demoralized me and my wonky upset picks are gone until this contest proves me wrong with an upset or at least a close match. Let's hope it happens today! Lopen's prediction: Big Boss vs The Boss with 60.40% Leon’s Analysis The Bosses looked pretty good in putting up nearly 60% on Tidus/Jecht, while Chris/Wesker made us do a double take by putting up a nearly quadrupling on Dan/Sagat. I think that first round performance for Chris/Wesker was a bit of a red herring. The other RE duos haven’t looked so hot so far, and while I don’t have a problem accepting that Chris/Wesker would be the strongest of the three due to it stretching over a large number of games, I still don’t think they’re that strong overall. I’d probably take Tidus/Jecht over them, in fact. I don’t think the picture really hurts the Bosses here either, despite what some people are saying. I think the Bosses roll toward that round 3 showdown with Samus/Ridley. Leonhart’s Prediction: Big Boss vs. The Boss with 63.01% Kleenex’s Analysis This match is probably going to be a bit like yesterday's, only not quite as brutal. Chris and Wesker had a very deceiving match last round, as Dan and Sagat are just that bad. The Bosses aren't as strong as Samus, so this probably won't be as big of a rout, but it'll still be a pretty dominating performance. At least, it should be. Kleenex's Prediction: Big Boss vs. The Boss with 65.71% |
Applekidjosh’s Analysis I'm at family's with no comp so let me keep this short. Samus can only 60-40 kefka? What is going on?? I'm lost and can't readily look up stats to analyze this so akj predix bosses over the other guy 60% 60 - 40 is the new everything. Now if only I could get my oracle in Dante’s Analysis Chris/Wesker look really impressive after their Dan/Sagat beatdown – I mean, the dudes nearly scored 80%. But don’t let that scare you, I already told you all the reason for the beatdown was Dan taking his own team down. See, Dan would actually have been powerful enough to beat both Chris/Wesker and the Bosses on his own, such a shame the guy got paired with Sagat. Oh well, sometimes revenge is more delicious than victory. Winner - Big Boss/The Boss – 60.41% Guest’s Analysis - pjbasis Seven minutes. Seven minutes is all I can spare for this analysis. So, you've made it this far. But you won't make it much further. Your feeble attempts only delay the inevitable. The entire board will be affected. A new leaderboard is at hand and I will be on top! Every day brackets come one step closer to self destruction! Has it never occurred to you that this contest is overpopulated? Only a handful of brackets truly matter. Upsets leave the survivors stronger and better! You perfect battlers have escaped this winnowing for far too long! I would expect more of a challenge after all this time, B8. How disappointing. One-hundred and fourteen cries of agony will birth the new balance. Unfortunately you will not live to see the morning vote. Chris/Wesker with 53.12% Crew Consensus: Our Guest is going with the upset, but everyone else is backing The Bosses |
why do we keep letting in guests with dumb upsets --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Guest with the self-sabotage Much appreciated --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
No problem babe ;). |
augh... how is guest supposed to win the accuracy challenge with awful picks like this --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 26th Today's Prediction: Samus / Ridley - 65.04% |
I could see the Bosses disappointing here. --- xyzzy |
my pattern recognition allowed me to get the perfect guess to one up lopen, excellent --- boring and mundane signature Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold |
