GameFAQs Contests
Rivalry Rumble Contest Analysis Crew
Haven't had a match to disprove the theory yet. A good anchor makes the team crack on all cylinders. I will say that Link will still probably crush Cloud, but that's only because Link could beat both Seph and Cloud without a partner. --- Pobody's nerfect. |
wow, alright then --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
Yeah uh I want someone to say rivalry factor doesn't matter now Holy freakin crap. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Cloud wins --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
get over here --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I guess we should discuss X/Zero and Sub/Scorp. I originally had Sub over them but chickened out. good stuff. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
From: transcience | #254 I get the feeling Link/Ganondorf win even bigger than Link normally wins over Cloud, actually. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
From: transcience | #256 sub/scorp in the quarterfinals base --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
Nah. Link doesn't get 88% on Ganondorf if people actually care about that rivalry at all. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Though
I don't think Cloud/Sephiroth are a lock. I think Mario/Bowser should
be the favorite at this point. I would say Ryu/Ken but I don't think
they're strong enough at base to overturn Mario/Bowser Definitely feel excellent about Ryu/Ken over Samus/Ridley though --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
who cares about ryu ken the real rivalry boost is going to red blue --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
I think "no one cares about the trainer" factor is going to hurt that one enough for Ryu/Ken to beat it pretty easily --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
From: Master Moltar | #231 I emailed it to you a bit more than half an hour ago --- http://img.imgcake.com/yesjpgad.jpg |
Cloud and sephiroth got dis --- I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN |
take it from the guy on the Oracle leaderboard Red and Blue to the finals --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
sorry Josh you're already out of the top 10 can't take you seriously anymore --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
From: junk_funk | #247 What you are proposing is essentially the same thing as the "rivalry factor" only under a different premise. Many people expected the strongest character in any match to win because nobody will consider the team as a whole. When the team as a whole is getting considered in one form or another and the results reflect that, this is "rivalry factor." --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
Also, Ryu/Ken to the semifinals CONFIRMED All aboard --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
#269 | Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 11/6/2011 1:08:04 PM | message detail | delete | filter | (edited) |
From: CherryCokes | #263 I got it, next time try to send it a bit earlier though as I had already posted the other write-ups by the time you sent it Guest's Analysis - Cokes Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Leon S. Kennedy/Ada Wong I've thought long and hard about this match, and deservedly so - this is going to be a close match. In the end, I came to one and only conclusion. This is a video of me flipping three quarters. Heads is Sub-Zero, Tails is Leon. http://youtu.be/aoC0HLjUyz4 Well, there you have it. Pick:Sub-Zero/Scorpion Oracle: 50.01% Bracket: Leon/Ada Battle: Bank --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60859552 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
LeonhartFour posted... Also, Ryu/Ken to the semifinals CONFIRMED All aboard Best upset ever. --- peace comes from within |
ZFS posted... LeonhartFour posted... Also, Ryu/Ken to the semifinals CONFIRMED All aboard Best upset ever. I dunno, I have Ryu/Ken losing in the semis to Mario/Bowser, myself. I suppose it might have been called an upset before the contest started, but now that we've seen a few matches, the only people that will call it an upset are those who are still trying to convince themselves that rivalries don't matter. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
What
is wrong with this contest?Crew underestimated DK and he won with more
than 60%(actually half the crew had DK losing!)and heavily
underestimated Sub(higher was 61%) and he wins with more than 73% now!So
what is going on?There is that much difference in strength that nobody
saw? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Not many people saw this coming, no. --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg |
Safer Sephiroth 777 posted... What is wrong with this contest?Crew underestimated DK and he won with more than 60%(actually half the crew had DK losing!)and heavily underestimated Sub(higher was 61%) and he wins with more than 73% now!So what is going on?There is that much difference in strength that nobody saw? I think, at least from the ones that I've seen, the highest Oracle for Sub/Scorp was 64%, so overshooting that by 9% is really something. So much for this contest being "boring and predictable" --- This signature is signed by Dr. Football |
Guess that is good.Man if only Link loses!Then this contest might be not that stupid! --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
From: Master Moltar | #269 lol Cokes --- http://www.yourgamercards.net/trophy/a/NathanDrake90.png |
Remember, remember, the 6th of November! (The day this contest blew up) (1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. (8) Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan A few hours ago I would've predicted something in the mid to high 60s, but in light of the MK ninjas' near-tripling of Leon/Ada, who easily beat Jim/Sarah, it seems hard to imagine that the Pokemon Trainers aren't going to blow Jim/Sarah right out of the water. Given the success of both DK/K. Rool and the ninjas, it would seem that more established rivalries are being given a huge boost by this format, which should help the Trainers more than just about any other. Nintendo has also performed strongly in every match so far. (Now watch them find some way to make me miss my oracle by a ridiculous margin four matches in a row!) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue with 76.9% of the vote. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
percentage today should be interesting. I've seen some crazy predictions today. --- xyzzy |
70% seems about right. I question the Trainers' ability to blow stuff out, and Raynor/Kerrigan are better than people think. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Mershaaay posted... Sub/Scorpion are one of the few pairings that will actually be greatly enhanced by being a tag-team. I predict they win with 70% and I think they have a legit shot at taking down X/Zero later one yo -your #3 leader --- SephirothG, channeling awesomeness from Mershiness. The Resurrection |
I think we need a prize for least accurate crew member. --- I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN |
From: The Mana Sword | #281 will this be awarded after the pokemon trainer match? this is important --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
It's being written right now --- http://www.celebrityclubber.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/Sort_of_want.jpg |
East Division: Round 1 - Match 9 – (1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Blue vs. (8) Raynor/Kerrigan Moltar’s Analysis Red/Blue Can’t have a contest without some POKEFEAR Raynor/Kerrigan Maybe this will be the year when ScarCraft characters impress............ So we’re only just starting the third division of this contest and it’s already surpassing most people’s expectations. Good show. We’ve learned that rivalries matter™ and even if you’re a strong character, you’re partner better also be worth something or else you’re done. So now we’ve come to this match. This, based on what we’ve seen so far, should be ugly. Pokemon, especially RBY, is far stronger than StarCraft. Red is pretty much a midcarder while Kerrigan is fodder. Blue, though weak on his own, serves as the classic and a nostalgic rival to Red. The StarCraft rivalry itself is good, but Raynor is even weaker than Kerrigan...and you really can’t get much weaker than that. Basically, the quality of both rivalries is sound, but old-school Pokemon is far more appreciated on GameFAQs than StarCraft, and I think that will play a big role in this match. It’s hard to trust Pokemon to score a blowout, but StarCraft characters have looked awful in every poll. Also, if X/Zero could quadruple Falcon/Shadow, and Red/Blue isn’t that far behind X/Zero while Kerrigan/Raynor barely outdid Falcon/Shadow in a weaker poll... Moltar’s Bracket: Red/Blue Moltar’s Prediction: Red/Blue - 75% Lopen’s Analysis I'm not sure on this one. On the one hand, I stick behind the idea that not many really care about the trainers in Pokemon. On the other, RIVALR-- *gets shot* But really, that's rad and all, but you gotta figure people care about Raynor/Kerrigan too. The few that are aware, anyway. Which is another problem... even if not many care about the trainers, and even if the rivalries are both quality, Raynor and Kerrigan may just be that weak so it doesn't even matter and they get blown out anyway. So what I'm sayin is, this could be anywhere between 60 and 80 and I wouldn't be too surprised. I expect most people are gonna go for the hype train of OMG RIVALRIES but Red/Blue is no Sub-Zero/Scorpion. I'm going to bet on a slight “disappointment” here. Just don't think the trainers have the punch to drive Raynor/Kerrigan down too low. Also, random theory, I think with lower votals the Pokemon anti-vote will be more noticeable again. Lopen's prediction: Red vs Blue with 67.39% Leon’s Analysis There are several people buying into the Red/Blue hype train, and it needs to get a good boost coming out of the station. I’m not entirely sure what percentage Red/Blue need here to get through this division, but they can’t struggle. If they struggle, Luigi/Waluigi will be snickering and chomping at the bit for the chance to take them out next round. Kerrigan has been one of the weakest characters we’ve had in this contest, but we haven’t seen her since Starcraft 2 released. Raynor/Kerrigan did semi-respectably in the vote-ins, too, so we may see them do pretty well here, too. I don’t give them much of a chance to keep this close, but I think they’ll avoid getting completely blown out of the water here. Leonhart’s Prediction: Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 60.30% |
Kleenex’s Analysis So there's good news and there's bad news. The good news is that, based on the past couple results, voters do seem to be taking the rivalry (or at the very least all 4 characters) into account when voting. This means that a lot of these matchups became a bit more interesting than would be the case if they were only voting for Link...er...the strongest character in the poll. The bad news is that I have to write about Pokemon Trainers. So here's the deal with this match - I have no respect for the human characters in the Pokemon games. Charizard, Pikachu, Mewtwo - fine, these dudes have all proved themselves (well, maybe not Mewtwo) to be legit entrants with some real strength. Red stunk up the joint in the last Character Battle. "But Kleenex, he had his Brawl picture! This is a rivalry! People care about this!" Pshaw, I say. There's some crazy percentages going around for this match and I have definitely seen at least one person claim this will be the blowout of the contest. I don't buy this at all. To be completely fair, Raynor and Kerrigan probably aren't going to be a particularly strong team, but until proven wrong (and even after proven wrong) I refuse to believe that Red and Blue have any notable strength. Prepare to be Waluigi'd next round. Kleenex's Prediction: Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 64.23% Applekidjosh’s Analysis This just in! Rivalries matter! Well so far only "good" rivalries matter, actually. I want that to continue... starting NOW Red and Blue are going to bust out here and surprise everyone. Starcraft characters are always garbage (didn't I already type this in the first match?) and Red and Blue are going to start their champion run today. Pardon me if I "lol" at the "the trainer doesn't matter" people all the way to the bank AKJ predix Red and Blue with 87.00% Dante’s Analysis Heres another match where I only know one of the teams – but luckily for me, that’s all I need to know. I’ve never even heard of Raynor and frankly I don’t care who he is. Red/Blue win, zzzz next Winner - Red/Blue – 78.49% Crew Consensus: The Poketeam wins, but the percentage can be just about anything |
I would like to note that I wrote that analysis several days ago. But I'm going to stick with it all the same...! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
From: XIII_rocks | #283 just post it here when you finish --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60859552 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
damnit leon, i thought i went low enough to undercut everyone else --- I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN |
Never underestimate the power of being an overachiever --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Eighty seven huh... IIRC, we've seen a performance like that only one time since we've returned to 1v1s. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #291 And it lost in the divisional finals...! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Raynor/Kerrigan Ah, how I remember StarcraftFear taking over in 2005. Yes, I was one of the Kerrigan > Vincent crowd. That went well. Fortunately, no such problems here. I was going to produce a nice long essay about how much THE RIVALRY FACTOR would come into play but I think that's been shown to a decent extent by the matches thus far. With the rivalry between the two characters widely accepted as an influencing factor in the voting at this point, one would expect Red/Blue should do very well in this contest; better than the sum of its parts, in any case. Their problems will really come when they face Ryu/Ken, if only because Ryu/Ken is itself a well-known, popular rivalry - it will be the first match where it cannot wholly rely on the rivalry to get through. A strong performance here will put the doubts over the match against Luigi/Waluigi to bed and might give them a decent shot at Ryu/Ken. I'm thinking Red/Blue would easily break that 70% in a day match - but it's a night match so I'm instead more inclined to go with something a little lower. My oracle has them at 68.11% so we'll just go with that. XIII is cool's Prediction: Red/Blue with 68.11% --- 2011 WWYD Champion I do things for money and games. |
Red vs Kerrigan Whoa Nelly! I was the guy whose opening writeup was filled with "Smart Voters!" and "rivalries will matter!", and even I've been caught entirely off guard by these last 24 hours. The Mario and MMX performances we could excuse based on their opponents, but there's nothing in Leon or Ezio/Altair's history to indicate that these last two percentages should have been remotely possible. Seems like it's the perfect season to be a character who brings back nostalgic memories of the 90s, provided your partner isn't a complete dud. The question is, does Red fit that description? I mean, there's no doubting that Pokemon R/B/Y is an absolute nostalgia monster, but I'm still having trouble believing that people feel strongly enough about the Trainers for them to act as a perfect proxy for the games. Maybe I'm just being foolish by stubbornly sticking to that line of thought, especially in the face of this team drawing such a perfect Gen 1 match pic. I might also be biased by how Raynor was the #1 character I wanted to get into the bracket a year ago (on account of how StarCraft II is awesome and he dominates the single player campaign). All things considered, this should definitely reach certified blowout territory, but I'm leaning toward Trainer apathy and the lack of a Pokemon ASV and possibly a few extra votes from Asia working in SC's favor to keep things from getting too insane. Red - 72.77% --- thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle! |
70% would be a very good result for them here. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
And so it is! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Thinkin this ends around 75% Pretty good, though! Still not sure this means people care about the trainers, though. I don't trust a result against Kerrigan as far as I can throw it. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool 60.2% 19148 Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia 39.8% 12660 TOTAL VOTES 31808 Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion 73.22% 29957 Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong 26.78% 10956 TOTAL VOTES 40913 Crew Predictions - 8/8 What Happened: Rivalry factor, rivalries matter, synergy, etc. Why it Happened: People care about the rivalries that won these matches. Even if Ezio and Leon would beat their opponents 1v1, the pairs mattered here, especially in the case of the MK characters. What will Happen: Subby and Scorpion should win R2 easy if they could stomp over Leon and Ada like that. Crew Prediction Challenge - Look at how great we-oh some people messed up Moltar - 8 Leon - 8 AKJ - 8 Guest - 8 Lopen - 7 Kleenex - 7 Dante - 6 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Leon gets the point for DK/K Rool, Lopen gets the point for Sub/Scorp Lopen - 3 Leon - 2 AKJ - 1 Dante - 1 Moltar - 1 Kleenex - 0 Guest - 0 --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60859552 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
