GameFAQs Contests

Rivalry Rumble Contest Analysis Crew

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#201 | Lopen | message detail | filter
How did you get into my poll stash, sewer rat!?!?
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#202 | LeonhartFour | message detail | filter
#203 | Lopen | message detail | filter
The best part is how we both cited it for opposing sides of the argument.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#204 | LeonhartFour | message detail | filter
#205 | transcience | message detail | filter
Crew Curse! oh wait

breaking the tie - the tie > the hood
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#206 | Luis_Sera89 | message detail | filter
Boxed in. Oh well.
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"Eet's game time..."
#207 | Lopen | message detail | filter
You think you got it bad, me and my apprentice from the mountain Dante have masterfully quarantined Kleenex
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#208 | WarThaNemesis2 | message detail | filter
DK/Ezio tied at 12:05, looks like Ezio's got this in the bag.
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#209 | Ngamer64 | message detail | filter
Donkey Kong vs Ezio

Kirby/Jill was a cool idea in theory, but I've always thought that this one would be our first Instant Classic of 2011. Certainly I'm partially biased by DK's rich history in these Contests (Aya, Duck Hunt, Vercetti, Master Chief... has anyone ever provided us with more entertainment at their own expense? well, I guess maybe MC himself!). But also, the stats back my bias all the way: DK/Altair/Ezio finished pretty much dead even last year, which is further validated by coming directly through Vivi.

The slightest advantage could tip this result in someone's favor, so let's go through the factors one by one.

* Night Vote Factor - shouldn't be much of a difference-maker, as DK starts strong and don't get a huge Smash-driven ASV like some others
* Casual Voter Factor - DKC Returns was well-received on this site, and even though Ezio has a big budget release on the way, he got unlucky with the timing... Revelations still won't hit store shelves for 10 more days, potentially costing him thousands of AC fans who will be voting next round
* Pic Factor - AC characters always look cool in match pics, but I think DK's got the upper hand here. K. Rool's pirate ship from DKC1 is the perfect place to bring back warm nostalgic feelings for this rivalry. speaking of which,
* SmarterVoterFAQs Factor - it's no Mario/Bowser, but I still think this is DK's biggest advantage, given that every AC fan I've spoken to says that Rodrigo is "kind of not a big deal".

To summarize, it would take a flat out choke job for DK to lose this match. And what are the chances of THAT happening?

Donkey Kong - 51.41%
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You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle!
#210 | transcience | message detail | filter
dat tie
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#211 | LeonhartFour | message detail | filter
Today, Lopen, I win.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
#212 | Ngamer64 | message detail | filter
Figured DK would have a good start, but DANG. SmartVoterFAQs all the way this season!
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You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle!
#213 | Lopen | message detail | filter
... b... blast... people actually respect this stupid rivalry?
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#214 | X_Dante_X | message detail | filter
I.... I'm still waiting for the choke
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boring and mundane signature
Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold
#215 | LeonhartFour | message detail | filter

From: Lopen | #213
... b... blast... people actually respect this stupid rivalry?


Behold the true power of Donkey Kong Country!

This is what happens when you call a series that had a multi-million selling game just last year irrelevant!
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http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif
#216 | PartOfYourWorld | message detail | filter

From: Lopen | #213
... b... blast... people actually respect this stupid rivalry?


I think it's more a case of few people caring about (or being aware of) Ezio's rivalry. I fully expect the ninjas to torch Donkey Kong.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#217 | KamikazePotato | message detail | filter
This match is doing wonders for my ability to care about this contest. Nice to see that this won't be entirely predictable.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#218 | -LusterSoldier- | message detail | filter
Now that we've gotten 2 matches where the rivalry matters, I feel a lot more confident in Phoenix Wright winning his match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#219 | The Mana Sword | message detail | filter
Man, really botched this one!
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I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN
#220 | Lopen | message detail | filter
Add 5% to my prediction and some "RIVALRY FACTOR"s in all caps for tomorrow's match.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#221 | X_Dante_X | message detail | filter
I uh... need to consider redoing tomorrows prediction entirely
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boring and mundane signature
Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold
#222 | Master Moltar (tc) | message detail | delete | filter
Mega Man X vs. Zero 80.45% 22755
Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow 19.55% 5531
TOTAL VOTES 28286

Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck 35.76% 11213
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh 64.24% 20147
TOTAL VOTES 31360


Crew Predictions - 6/6

What Happened: People care about X/Zero and some Final Fantasy game over Falcon/irrelevant and Guybrush

Why it Happened: "Rivalries matter" since X/Zero definitely wouldn't do that well on Falcon 1v1. As for the second match, FF > Monkey Island, no matter how weak of an FF it is

What will Happen: I wouldn't be surprised if X/Zero put up another godlike performance.



Crew Prediction Challenge - Look at how great we are

Moltar - 6
Lopen - 6
Leon - 6
Kleenex - 6
AKJ - 6
Dante - 6
Guest - 6



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for X/Zero, Leon gets the point for Bartz/Gilgamesh

Lopen - 2
AKJ - 1
Dante - 1
Moltar - 1
Leon - 1
Kleenex - 0
Guest - 0
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Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60859552
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#223 | th3l3fty | message detail | filter
Lopen leading the accuracy challenge and the oracle, sign of the apocalypse
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#224 | Lopen | message detail | filter
Good thing Donkey Kong is here to save the day. Delicious apocalypse...

*grumble*
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#225 | Ngamer64 | message detail | filter
Sub-Zero vs Leon

Wow, has my opinion on this match ever changed in a hurry! A few days back I'd have talked about how Leon consistently finishing Top 30 in the stats since 2005 is no fluke, how Ada's one of the better #2s in this bracket and at least won't drag him down, how the ninjas being such overwhelming favorites on this board (they have 205 out of 217 Guru brackets behind them) could potentially be one of our biggest blunders. But then?

SmartVoterFAQs happened! Or maybe it's NostalgiaFAQs? In any case, Mario and then MMX and now Donkey Kong have shattered my expectations- at this point I don't see how anyone could be betting against Subby/Scorp or Ryu/Ken or any other pairing that screams "iconic" or "90s" or "synergy". Especially not after the way Resident Evil has already dropped the ball big time in that poll against Kirby. Actually, Jill's comeback there after a rough first hour was pretty respectable... but unfortunately they'll be no Europe/Asia fueled Night Vote to bail out Leon's percentage in this one! All signs are pointing to a Mortal Kombat win somewhere in the upper 50s, so I'll just go with the flow and say

Sub-Zero - 58.37%
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You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle!
#226 | Kotetsu534 | message detail | filter | (edited)
(2) Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. (7) Leon Kennedy/Ada Wong

This was a match pre-contest where I went with the concensus because my bracket was based around rivalries mattering, but was surprised to see so few taking Leon/Ada. Ada is weak, but not horrible fodder, and Leon is the strongest of the four - even with his horrible picture, he held 43% on Ryu, while Sub-Zero, the stronger of the two ninjas, hovers around 40% on Auron. In the vote in Leon/Ada comfortably came second, not too far from Crono/Lavos. But since then, the contest has actually started, and rivalries that are more established and genuine, have encountered no problems at all (unless you think Sonic/Robotnik's 73% was a bad result, which I expect it's not), while entries like Falcon/Shadow and Ezio/Rodrigo that are dependent on one character have been awful. I also take account of Sub-Zero/Scorpion holding a second seed without (as far as I can remember) a significant board rally, which indicates that this is what the user base thinks of as a rivalry. Therefore I expect Sub-Zero/Scorpion will win quite easily, but Leon will carry his team to a solid percentage all the same.

Sub-Zero/Scorpion with 56.5% of the vote.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#227 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | message detail | filter
Higher percentage pick for Crew was DK with around 53.Did anyone,and I mean anyone expected DK to win with more than 61%Don't think so.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#228 | Master Moltar (tc) | message detail | delete | filter
Northeast Division: Round 1 - Match 8 – (2) Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. (7) Leon Kennedy/Ada Wong

Moltar’s Analysis

Sub-Zero/Scorpion
An inferior long-running fighting game rivalry steps up to the plate!

Leon/Ada
You are now manually remembering that Ada took 1st place in a four-way match.

Poor Leon, dude would easily beat anything in this match 1v1, but here he’s tied down with Ada Wong, and no one strongly cares about that rivalry. Leon can carry this team to a decent performance, but a win may be too far out of reach.

Subby and Scorp are solid performers. They’ll beat fodder but lose to anything with decent strength. However, this format should do a lot for them, as their rivalry is very well-known and respected in the gaming community. We saw that X/Zero boosted from it, and right now DK and K. Rool are benefitting from it. That rivalry boost should put them over Leon and Ada, but if the vote-in polls are any indication, the RE pair isn’t going to do badly.

(Now watch this go against the trend just to screw with us)

Moltar’s Bracket: Sub-Zero/Scorpion

Moltar’s Prediction: Sub-Zero/Scorpion - 58%



Lopen’s Analysis

Kinda sucks to be Leon/Ada. In a different place in the bracket they could've done some damage. Some might say they can do damage here but I'm not too sure about that. First thing is Sub-Zero vs Leon isn't really a gimme in the first place-- most would take Leon, myself included, but not a gimme. Then you got Scorpion > Ada pretty easily, so even with raw character strengths I'd give Subz/Scorp a slight edge.

And then you toss in some RIVALRY FACTOR (RIVALRY FACTOR RIVALRY FACTOR) (second biggest beneficiaries in the bracket behind Ryu/Ken), and suddenly this match isn't very debatable anymore. I think Leon/Ada can keep this respectable as they're at least a legit rivalry too unlike half this bracket, but they won't be winning.

Lopen's prediction:
MORTAL KOMBATTTTT with 61.29%



Leon’s Analysis

Here’s where the rubber meets the road (whatever that means) as far as this contest is concerned. If Leon/Ada win this match, we might as well start packing it in for the rest of the contest because that will be a big sign that the rivalries aren’t mattering enough for it to make a difference. On the other hand, if Sub-Zero/Scorpion win this match and win easily, there may be hope for some interesting matches yet.

If you think this contest will basically be “The strongest character in the match will win no matter what,” then Leon/Ada should win. Leon is the strongest character in this match, and I doubt very many people (myself included) would debate that. Sub-Zero’s not far behind (I’d wager he could get 45-46% on Leon 1-on-1), but he’s clearly behind. Scorpion’s probably ahead of Ada by about the same margin.

But if the rivalries DO matter, then Sub-Zero/Scorpion should win this match. I know MK isn’t as popular as RE by any stretch of the imagination, but Sub-Zero and Scorpion are popular enough on this site that the majority of gamers are familiar with the series and what this rivalry entails. It’s one of the best rivalries in the contest, in my personal opinion, and I’ve seen several of the RE4 fanboys on Board 8 say that they don’t think Leon/Ada is even much of a rivalry. Leon/Ada didn’t do that great in the vote-ins either, so we may have already seen from the vote-ins that the actual matchups matter.

I may be totally off base with this one, but I’m banking on Sub-Zero/Scorpion winning this one fairly easily for the sake of a more interesting contest. Here’s hoping!

Leonhart’s Prediction Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion with 55.55%
#229 | Master Moltar (tc) | message detail | delete | filter
Kleenex’s Analysis

I made the snap pick to side with Sub-Zero/Scorpion when I first made my bracket and never bothered to glance over this match again before the deadline. Now that I'm looking back on it, I feel like it's not quite that obvious. I think that Sub-Zero and Leon would probably be a close match 1 one 1. Scorpion would certainly beat Ada without a ton of trouble, but the thing is I don't feel like Subby really gains anything from having Scorpion on his team as I imagine the fanbase there is nearly identical. That's not to say that Ada helps out Leon much either. Regardless, that should equal up to a fairly close match - one that I'm not nearly as confident about as I was when I made my bracket. It's too bad I don't actually care about anyone in this match, otherwise I could be invested in its outcome (aside from BATTLE POINTS obviously)!

Kleenex's Prediction: Sub-Zero/Scorpion with 50.78%



Applekidjosh’s Analysis

I confess I have never understood why Gamefaqs loves it some colored ninjas. I mean Mortal Kombat was cool and all 15 years ago but I've been burned multiple times by random Ninjas in these brackets and I still just don't get it. It's not like the new games come out to any kind of critical acclaim and mass popularity. And I can't imagine the "good times" from the early 90s fighting game scene mean much when fighting game enthusiasts move to the next big thing faster than people who watch celebrity gossip shows.

It just blows my mind. Also if any rivalry is actually going to work as a "rivalry" this may be it. I mean these guys just have that look!

Meanwhile I had to google this other pair. Give me a second here let's see http://www.fanfiction.net/u/1159039/

welp

um

gonna give this one to the ninjas but it won't be a blowout or anything. Now if you'll excuse me I need to get back to my reading

AKJ predix Sub-Zero vs Scorpion with 53.21%



Dante’s Analysis

This match. This match right here. This is the one people have been running around saying will determine if SmartVoterFAQs exists or not. You can’t get more classic rivalry than Sub/Scorp, but they’re against probably the only strength Resident Evil has in these contests. Sub-Zero surprises me every single damn time he’s in a contest, yet I continue to pick against him. Man, this is a 2-7 match – noms must have been all over the map.

Regardless, this is probably just my bias for RE shining through, but I think Leon can take this. If he doesn’t, my entire bracket is shot - pretty sure I have Leon/Ada going far! So trust in me my friends, and we will make it through.

Winner - Leon/Ada, 58.75%



Crew Consensus: Everyone except Dante is siding with Sub-Zero and Scorpion
#230 | th3l3fty | message detail | filter
Coooooooookes
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#231 | Master Moltar (tc) | message detail | delete | filter
Since I didn't get a Guest write-up, unless Cokes posts one here before the match starts, I'm going to use NGamer's analysis as the Guest one
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Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60859552
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#232 | charmander6000 | message detail | filter
crew curse avoided
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 6/6 Today: Donkey Kong/King K. Rool & Sub-Zero/Scorpion
#233 | th3l3fty | message detail | filter
Dante takin' one for the team
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#234 | AppIekidjosh | message detail | filter

From: th3l3fty | #233
Dante takin' one for the team


I've read this Oregon Trail fanfiction
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<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#235 | th3l3fty | message detail | filter
was Theo well again
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#236 | transience | message detail | filter | (edited)
there's a weird overconfidence in Sub-Zero/Scorpion that I just can't get behind. they may well kill this match but I don't feel good picking dated fighting game characters over a more GameFAQs-y kinda game in RE4.

but yeah, still backing Sub and Scorp. I'm hoping they double Leon or something here and we can get some rivalry hype going -- along with Cloud over Link
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xyzzy
#237 | AppIekidjosh | message detail | filter

From: transience | #236
there's a weird overconfidence in Sub-Zero/Scorpion that I just can't get behind. they may will kill this match but I don't feel good picking dated fighting game characters over a more GameFAQs-y kinda game in RE4.

but yeah, still backing Sub and Scorp. I'm hoping they double Leon or something here and we can get some rivalry hype going -- along with Cloud over Link


don't be silly, Cloud won't even make it close to Link!
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<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
#238 | transience | message detail | filter
your Analysis Crew
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xyzzy
#239 | Mershaaay | message detail | filter
Sub/Scorpion are one of the few pairings that will actually be greatly enhanced by being a tag-team.

I predict they win with 70% and I think they have a legit shot at taking down X/Zero later one
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The Resurrection
#240 | th3l3fty | message detail | filter | (edited)
don't doubt AKJ he's on the oracle leaderboard

(just like Lopen)
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I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#241 | Lopen | message detail | filter
I was #1... #1... #1...

DAMN DIRTY APE.
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#242 | Lopen | message detail | filter
But yeah uh I'd be shocked if Sub-Zero/Scorpion lost this one now. Donkey Kong slaughtering Ezio when a 1v1 match between the two would be close and probably favoring Ezio just kinda drives RIVALRY FACTOR home for me.

The only alternative is that all the casuals packed up and left and DK would crush Ezio 1v1 too. Which I suppose might be legitimate given our awful votals, but I'm still not convinced on that until we see a match where the better rivalry doesn't go through.
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No problem!
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#243 | XIII_rocks | message detail | filter
Expect my writeup later tonight, Molts.
#244 | junk_funk | message detail | filter
It's not the "rivalry factor", no such thing as that.

It's the ANCHOR factor.
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Pobody's nerfect.
#245 | Lopen | message detail | filter
ANCHOR? Because King K. Rool is a pirate? I'll think about that one.
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#246 | WarThaNemesis2 | message detail | filter
Obviously it's a Pirate Boost.

Samus/Ridley > Bosses and Ryu/Ken confirmed.
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http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#247 | junk_funk | message detail | filter
Because Rodrigo is a nobody.

It'll take time, but eventually you will all realize this "rivalry factor" is a farce.
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Pobody's nerfect.
#248 | Lopen | message detail | filter
If your theory is that Donkey Kong kicked ass on the merit of King K. Rool I think you're overestimating the popularity of K. Rool <_<
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#249 | WarThaNemesis2 | message detail | filter
King K. Rool is obviously stronger than Diddy Kong! Just look at how much more popular DKC is than DKC2!
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http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#250 | WarThaNemesis2 | message detail | filter
Also we totally should have gotten Mario/Cranky Kong in instead of Mario/Bowser.
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