GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 8

Ngamer64 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:24:52 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #251
Plus, I'm sure it'll make Ngamer feel better about himself if he manages a 3-way tie with Moltar and I, and I'm a charitable guy.

Yes. Yessssssssssssss.

Though actually it'll be a 4 way tie, since red sox was the other genius to take Cloud > Snake!

(I can also double up with the accuracy win if Link goes over 57. Go Link! Though I guess he still had to stay under 60. Go Cloud, a little bit!)

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:27:34 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #252
If there was ever a time the Crew Curse needed to come through, it's now.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Smashnuke | Posted 3/20/2010 10:31:59 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #253
First off, *hands popcorn to the rest of the guests*

Secondly...

Guest Analysis(?) - Smashy

Predicting this is boring let's try to predict how much baw there'll be instead.

Prediction: Too many "LINK>CLOUD OMG WHY" topics, 3 "CLOUD WOULD BEAT LINK IN A FIGHT" topics, 5 more "BAN LINK" topics, 1 Stat topic, and 13 joke topics (all of them having the joke missed entirely by at least half of the posters in them)
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Stuff
th3l3fty | Posted 3/20/2010 10:42:26 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #254
official guest predix is Dr Football tbqh
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/20/2010 10:44:01 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #255

From: Master Moltar | #245
Lopen's prediction:
Link with 55.87%

... man that's not a good final prediction, is it?

Lopen's better and more correct prediction:
Cloud with 59.34%

Watch as the man goes down as the insurrection realizes Link is the greater threat, causing the birth of almighty JOKE CLOUD. With a strong early joke vote, and trends that increase throughout the match, this cloud is truly the Ultimate Weapon.

HAIL CLOUD, CHAMPION OF TRUTH.


Never change Lopen. I'm glad you're going to at least do some guest analyses, or i'd really miss your trademark UPSET SPECIALS.
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"Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War
BDawg | Posted 3/20/2010 10:53:45 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #256
Probably be the usual 52.5% Link affair with ridiculous 57% board vote. Although this year it'll be "oh no Link what's wrong with you this is supposed to be a doubling".
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Should I start running now?
red sox 777 | Posted 3/21/2010 12:14:44 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #257
So we have a 4-way tie for first, assuming Link holds on.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Lopen | Posted 3/21/2010 12:19:11 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #258
Wow Cloud WAY TO SUCK BRO.

Anyway yeah I might reconsider come next contest, begging Moltar for my job back, but I needed something to write about (what a snoozer) and I don't wanna feel obligated to join the next one if it's using this format again, cause this format is balls for the AC imhhho. Doing two analyses per day at half power is no fun.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
transcience | Posted 3/21/2010 1:35:15 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #259
another year down!

yeah, I probably won't be back either. if I didn't have Internet at work, there's no way I would have been able to get all these writeups in. hell, I'm writing this post on an iPod touch. I've even had to submit some writeups using this thing.

'twas lots of fun though as per usual. until next year! (or later this year)
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xzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:39:29 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #260
Cloud not doing too shabby here, now I don't feel quite as bad about picking him to win!
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If you're seeing this sig, Dr_Football won the Guru Contest!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/21/2010 11:42:51 AM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #261
Cloud Strife 52.09% 65496
Solid Snake 47.91% 60240
TOTAL VOTES 125736


Crew Predictions - 108/126

What Happened: Cloud avenged Sephiroth and beat Snake

Why it Happened: Cloud was just too much for Snake to tackle.

What will Happen: I have a feeling Cloud will go on to lose to Link



Crew Prediction Challenge - what a race


Kleenex - 111
Moltar - 110
Red Sox - 110
Ngamer - 110
Tran - 108
Lopen - 104
Guest - 104



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Red Sox gets the point for Cloud

Moltar - 23.5
Ngamer - 23
Guest - 20.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 2, War: 1, Turtle: 2, Smashy: 1, Ngirl: 1, Luster: 1, Curt: 1, Tsunami: 1)
Red Sox - 17
Lopen - 17
Tran - 16
Kleenex - 8
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Cloud (322/384)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
transience | Posted 3/21/2010 6:08:56 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #262
need some x-stats up in here
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xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/21/2010 6:12:27 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #263
Kleenex - 50.00%
Moltar - 50.00%
Red Sox - 50.00%
Ngamer - 50.00%
Tran - 49.55%
Guest - 48.61%
Lopen - 48.37%
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If you're seeing this sig, Dr_Football won the Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 7:03:22 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #264
Accuracy Challenge X-Stats!

Moltar - 50.00%
Ngamer - 49.46%
Guest Clan - 46.59%
red sox - 41.98%
Lopen - 41.98%
transience - 40.51%
Kleenex - 25.40%
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Dr_Football is the best Guru winner ever created.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/21/2010 7:40:54 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #265
go go guest clan!

and I totally want to be part of the crew next contest
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 11th
Today's prediction: Link - 55.94% Status: Decent
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/21/2010 7:41:57 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #266
Kleenex - 25.40%

ouch
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If you're seeing this sig, Dr_Football won the Guru Contest!
aaloaps | Posted 3/21/2010 10:24:39 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #267
whatsup.
so im just this random guy enrolled in my first gamefaqs contest. and yeah found you guys about halfway into the contest when i saw a thread with like 400 posts o.o i ended up reading about half of the remaining analyses after that.
so yeah just want to thank you guys for being very entertaining. the posts were insightful and often very witty, and I can imagine the burden it must have been. originally i only read ngamer because of his enthusiastic tone, but he stopped doing his long paragraphs so i read everyones. and you all were equally interesting :) i wasnt going to post on this, but just proving to lopen that random people DO still read the analyses for fun =]
and i beat you, master moltar =]
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i love pokemon~
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/21/2010 10:48:55 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #268
No problem, newcomer! We aim to entertain and please.

Besides, this is all for fun anyway. Who cares about silly things like being right or wrong!
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Moltar Status: Property of Dr_Football
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Surskit | Posted 3/21/2010 10:52:28 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #269
Hey, thanks for another wonderful year of analysis. I remember you guys mentioned nobody read your write-ups - not true, I read 'em all almost religiously everyday.
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.-#Elements of Water#-.
transience | Posted 3/21/2010 10:56:58 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #270
you're all welcome - it's nice to hear our effort isn't taken for granted.
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xyzzy
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 3/21/2010 10:59:44 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #271
Thanks for the well-written analysis, I enjoy reading it everyday. Take care guys, see you next contest.
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...I...AM...THE...KUZA...LOL
and i got owned by DR_FOOTBALL
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/21/2010 11:02:46 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #272
Round 7 Tea Party

*Location: The Final Battlefield.*

Moltar: Alright Karma, it’s just you and I now. No one else will interfere. Can you really explain this contest with voters? Then let me hear it!

Karma: Alright Moltar, here it comes! First, I’m going to predict what you’re going to do for Round 7!

Moltar: Hoh! I was going to tell you for free, but if you think you’re so hot, let me hear it!

Karma: Ha, at first I thought Link would crush Cloud. I mean, Cloud had been looking underwhelming, while Link easily defeated Sonic and Mario. However, the truth is that Link is actually weaker than before!

His performances in Rounds 1 through 4 weren’t as strong as they would have been in the past! Look at his matches against MM or Yoshi if you don’t believe that!

Cloud has also dropped in strength, as you can see through Samus and Snake, as well as in his other matches.

Therefore, Link will beat Cloud in the Finals were a percent close to that of 2006!

Moltar: !!! Impossible!

Karma: If it’s not true, then try to repeat it in bold!

Moltar: …Grr…In the Final Round, Link will defeat Cloud with a percentage smaller of that in 2006. There! I told you I would give you a freebie!

Karma: Ha, so my theory there holds. Now pretty much all of the top half has been explained. On to the bottom half!

Moltar: Yes…explain Snake! This is what made the others submit! Can you come up with some human reason for Snake?

Karma: Hmm…

Moltar: Yes, that’s right. Let me see that look of pain. Let me see that look of frustration! Rattle your tiny little brain all you want, you’ll never be able to explain it! Bow to me and kiss my feet! Fall like all the others in front of my magic!

Karma: Damn Moltar…you sure do talk a lot. Well, I have two words for you.

Moltar: Ooh! Ooh, let me guess! “I quit!” or maybe, “I surrender!” How about, “I submit!” Ahahahahahaha!

Karma: ………..Bandwagon Theory

Moltar: …What?

Karma: Bandwagon Theory. With this, I can explain Snake, as well as Charizard, and even L-Block from a previous game. In fact, I can explain many results over all of the past games with this one theory.

Moltar: I don’t believe it! Let me hear it!

Karma: First, there was Missingno. He was the underdog against Crono, but that gave him special strength. It gave Missingno the power it needed in order to boost to Crono’s level and beat him.

Moltar: But there are plenty of underdogs in matches! Why Missingno? Why it alone?!

Karma: Because…it was funny. Just like L-Block in 2007, it was a funny joke that people could get behind. Along with being from the popular Pokemon franchise, that was all it needed. After it beat Yoshi, it went on to Sephiroth. However, it didn’t have the momentum it needed to win.

Moltar: Momentum? What is this now? It lost because it had no momentum?

Karma: Yes! That’s how a bandwagon is built! It starts small, but when it overcomes a hurdle that people didn’t expect it to, it grows, and more people get behind it!

They start to put their hope and faith in it, and that gives it strength!!

In fact, you can say that the hope and faith of the others you forced to submit are giving me the strength to defeat you right now!!!!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/21/2010 11:03:01 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #273
Moltar: Hoh! Continue then.

Karma: Fine, unlike L-Block, it couldn’t build up enough momentum to topple the extremely strong Sephiroth. However, it did give the people hope that Sephiroth could be beaten! That’s why Tifa did so well on him in the next round! People wanted to see Sephiroth fall!

Moltar: This…this is so ridiculous! Just shut up and stop spewing nonsense!

Karma: No! I’m going to let the truth be heard! People did want to see Sephiroth fall! That’s why, when it came to Snake, he was able to win! The bandwagon, as well as his pure strength, pushed him over Sephiroth!!

While it wasn’t enough to defeat Cloud, he did manage to get 48% on him, a number that the Snake of old would have never been able to get!



That explains it!!!

Snake performed the way he did because of the Bandwagon Theory!

*Suddenly, Moltar was impaled by a large spear*

Moltar: Gwahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh….gur…gah

Karma: This is it, Moltar. Your illusions have been pierced by the truth. The truth of the existence of voters!

They are the ones who determine this contest! They are the ones who determine who wins and who loses!! Not you!!!

Moltar: Hah…that’s good…Karma…but…you still haven’t managed…to explain everything.

Karma: …….You’re right. I can’t explain everything. No one can yet. We don’t have all the answers.



However, I will make it my goal to figure out everything. I’ve already put several pieces in place, but I won’t stop until the entire puzzle has been completed!

The more games there are, the closer I’ll get to the truth!

Moltar: Another game?...Ha, you sure do like this torture….It could all end…if you just gave up…right here.

Karma: You think this is torture for me…endlessly subjecting me to all of these games and their crazy results…

…But this…

…is actually…

…torture for YOU!

I’m never going to give up! I will defeat you, Moltaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar!!!!!!!!!!

*glass breaks*



*Two witches discuss the results of the game in a fancy bedroom.*

Lopen: Thus…the Winter 2010 game reached its conclusion. After most of the players had given in to Moltar, one Guest refused to submit. He managed to severely wound Moltar by weaving a truth of his own that Moltar did not refuse with the Bold Truth. However, he could not explain everything that had happened. Therefore, the game once again ended in a draw, with neither side being able to fully carry out their objective.

Tran: So that means that we’re going to have another game soon, right Lopen?

Lopen: Yes, but first, we must rest for a while.

Tran: You know; I’m surprised Moltar let Karma say all that stupid stuff. You and I know that his theories are so far out there, they can’t possibly be the actual truth!

Lopen: That is how Moltar is. He really is a foolish one. He just wanted to put on a dramatic show. A part of me thinks that he just wants to keep doing this forever…heh At least we managed to motivate Karma again.

Tran: Yeah, if we didn’t willingly submit to Moltar before, he never would have gotten his spirit back! Even Red Sox and Ngamer knew and went along with it! Haha, Moltar actually thought that we would accept his make-believe stories of Endless Voting magic! What a dummy!

Lopen: Kleenex actually believed it was real too…ugh, that child…

Anyway, with Karma Hunter stepping in once again, I’m sure this should be very entertaining for us. His battles with Moltar always manage to keep us from boredom.

Tran: And in the end, that’s what’s most important! We’ll keep Moltar and Karma at odds forever!

Lopen: Yes, as long as the game ends in a draw, then another one must be made. If there is never a winner or a loser, then the games will never end.

Tran: And that means…

Lopen: Our boredom…

Lopen and Tran: Will never end! *giggle*.

*End*
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/22/2010 2:27:34 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #274
Heh, awesome final fanfic.

Also thanks to all of you for these fantastic topics. I'm sad Lopen and tranman are quitting, i hope you guys change your minds!
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called Dr. Football Factor by those who have not got it."
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/22/2010 4:21:58 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #275
Why do the quit?Too much work?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
transience | Posted 3/22/2010 4:23:54 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #276
you guys can try writing 127 writeups in two months and see how it goes!
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xyzzy
Lopen | Posted 3/22/2010 4:26:26 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #277
Yeah it just wasn't very fun. I enjoyed doing some, but much more were just like 'oh jeez why do I have to bother'

Bring back a 1 per day format and I'm probably bugging Moltar to get back in, or if the bracket doesn't have so many dead places like this one did, but I just didn't wanna feel obligated to do this again.
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Foiled again, Link pulled the Dr. Football away!
Good grief!
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/22/2010 4:27:39 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #278
If Moltar lets me join the Crew for the next contest, i'll do just that (assuming the format stays the same).
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"Dr_Football runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing"
Mac Arrowny | Posted 3/22/2010 4:32:25 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #279
Maybe there could be a double crew next time - one for night, one for day. That way it'd be easier on the members.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
transcience | Posted 3/22/2010 4:35:20 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #280
it's not so bad the first time, but when you've done this for 3 or 4 years, it gets a little repetitive.

though really, it's just that I don't have the time needed to write about popularity contests.
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add the c and back away
postin' on my iPod
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/22/2010 5:43:36 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #281
Link 53.54% 69074
Cloud Strife 46.46% 59944
TOTAL VOTES 129018

Crew Predictions - 111/127

Results: Link wins another contest. However, he won by a smaller margin than he did in 2006, even though Cloud seemed to be weaker this year. Champion anti-voting? Link drop? Who knows. Until next time...



Crew Prediction Challenge - 4-way tie are you serious


Kleenex - 111
Moltar - 111
Red Sox - 111
Ngamer - 111
Tran - 109
Guest - 105
Lopen - 104



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Half point system triumphs!

Moltar - 23.5
Ngamer - 23
Guest - 20.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 2, War: 1, Turtle: 2, Smashy: 1, Ngirl: 1, Luster: 1, Curt: 1, Tsunami: 1)
Red Sox - 18
Lopen - 17
Tran - 16
Kleenex - 8



Crew Prediction Challenge Winners

Spring Contest 2005 - Moltar, Soul, Outback, Inviso (4-way tie)
Summer Contest 2005 - Soul
Spring Contest 2006 - Soul
Summer Contest 2006 - Moltar
Character Battle VI - Guest
Character Battle VII - Yoblazer
Best Game Ever 2 - Transience
Character Battle VIII - Moltar, Ngamer, Kleenex, Red Sox (4-way tie)

Crew Accuracy Challenge Winners

Character Battle VI - Yoblazer
Character Battle VII - Yoblazer
Best Game Ever 2 - Heroic Mario
Character Battle VIII - Moltar

Congrats to all the new Crew Prediction Champions, and the new Crew Accuracy Champion, Master Moltar!





Additional Stats: Matches the Crew got right/Total Matches for the Round. Listed below are the matches we called wrong.

Round 1 - 55/64
Alucard/Magus
Ammy/Shadow
Drake/Boss
Altair/Liquid
Kefka/Arthas
Tidus/Sub
Kratos/Sack
Revan/Terra
Crono/Missingno


Round 2 - 27/32

Vivi/Altair
Ryu/Chief
Kratos/Charizard
Riku/Falcon
Ryu/Dante


Round 3 - 16/16


Round 4 - 7/8
Bowser/Charizard


Round 5 - 4/4


Round 6 - 1/2

Cloud/Snake

Round 7 - 1/1

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Moltar Status: Property of Dr_Football
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/22/2010 5:45:44 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #282
can I change my prediction to Link
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If you're seeing this sig, Dr_Football won the Guru Contest!
Lopen | Posted 3/22/2010 5:48:15 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #283
groupthink
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Foiled again, Link pulled the Dr. Football away!
Good grief!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/22/2010 5:49:31 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #284
also I think my name should be first on the list because I was in the lead the majority of the contest
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If you're seeing this sig, Dr_Football won the Guru Contest!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/22/2010 5:51:42 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #285
Crew score: 389/448. Darn, that's not even good enough for 98th percentile.....but the Crew would have scored high enough to win prize money if you guys had stuck with Cloud in the semifinal!
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Dr. Football was not stopped by any of us, and won the Guru Contest.
BDawg | Posted 3/22/2010 5:56:28 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #286
This was definitely a brutal contest as far as the sheer number of matches. Can't say I really even started paying much attention until round 3 but I still like reading analyses. Recharge your batteries and gird your loins for whatever gimmick is coming next.
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Should I start running now?
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/23/2010 2:28:34 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #287
Whoo, what a fun tie! Shame I couldn't nail one more match for the Accuracy, but ah well.

I'm on board for next season, for sure. (Assuming 1v1 Characters or Games.) I think I actually would have been able to manage the 2 matches a day, but that combined with running The Show really left me in a crunch for free time... But I've got a plan that should free up enough time for me to do both next time around.

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
GTM | Posted 3/23/2010 2:36:01 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #288
tag
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GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys!
Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09
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