GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 8
I find it really strange how Kleenex is winning the prediction challenge but losing the accuracy challenge so badly. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
So let's say Solid beats Cloud tomorrow. How long could he lead over Link? same as 2008. --- xyzzy |
Hmm...Snake
might be able to hold on a little bit longer since it's a weekend match
and that morning vote doesn't kick in as early, but at the same time,
he certainly won't have as big of a lead. At the same time, I wouldn't
be surprised if he was losing by update #2. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Is the final guest set in stone? --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
If Snake makes it, I say KH gets it. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Well
l3fty did say that he wanted it, and he hasn't done a Guest Analysis
yet, so I think it'd be fair to let him do it if he wants it. Of course, if KH sent a write-up to me I'd post it with the others. --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Mario (258/320) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
hey moltar who are you picking tonight imo --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
ha --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Mario (258/320) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Kleenex has a point. We ought to run this as a double blind situation- Kleenex, send your writeup to ngamer@gmail.com instead and I'll post it right after Moltar posts his to lock it in. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Sorry N, you're out of the running! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I'm not even trying to hide mine! Just go in the Oracle topic and see for yourself. --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Mario (258/320) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
this is a trap, isn't it --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Kleenex the question you have to ask yourself is not "Who is Moltar backing?" It is rather... "What dog does Kay Aitch have in this fight?" Not winning by the maximum possible amount with that knowledge would be shameful. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
Where are the predictions for Cloud/Snake? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Kleenex doing his best to limp to the finish line --- xyzzy |
Limp nothing, I'm still taking Cloud > Link in the finals if Cloud makes it! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
why --- xyzzy |
because ff7 always wins --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 4:27:51 PM | message detail Where are the predictions for Cloud/Snake? Coming 2 hours before the match, as always. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Semifinals: Round 5 - Match 126 – (1) Cloud Strife vs. (1) Solid Snake Moltar’s Analysis Cloud Round 1 - 71.72% vs. Ridley Round 2 - 71.99% vs. Chris Round 3 - 69.93% vs. Falcon Round 4 - 65.98% vs. Ryu Round 5 - 52.81% vs. Samus Next time, my Queen. Next time… Snake Round 1 - 72.35% vs. Proto Man Round 2 - 67.03% vs. Fox Round 3 - 55.20% vs. Pikachu Round 4 - 59.17% vs. Squall Round 5 - 52.96% vs. Sephiroth Hey Sephiroth embarrasses himself again. Snake beat Seph, Samus nearly beat Cloud. Samus and Snake are very close in strength. Cloud is stronger than Sephiroth. Snake already pushed himself over Seph when he had no real reason to do so. Cloud in a 24 hour match may be too much, and even the gap between Snake and Seph suggests Cloud should win. But things like bandwagons aren’t rooted in logic. Snake already took down Seph, and now the masses will push him over Cloud. Vincent made the first crack, Missingno caused the leak, Tifa worsened the damage, and Samus gave her support to Snake, who broke entire wall down. Now, he’s got to withstand the rushing current named Cloud. Is he going to get swept away? Nah, I think he’s going to power through. Moltar’s Bracket: Cloud > Sephiroth Moltar’s Prediction: Cloud: 49% - Snake: 51% Lopen’s Analysis The hero (I'm no hero, never was never will be oh don't be so modest Snake) Snake continues his journey, beating third in command Sephiroth last round, he moves up to #2, Cloud, can he do it? Yes, yes he can. Basically the match comes down to two things for me: 1. I don't think Cloud can recover that deficit Sephiroth left, even with a longer match. Even in the prime time Seph was barely cutting Snake. And Cloud barely beat Seph by that much back when they fought. 2. I think Snake is pretty significantly stronger than Samus at this point. As for momentum, probably not yet... though hey, maybe. That victory is fresh in our minds so why not. Regardless, after he vanquishes Cloud, though, people will know he's the real deal, and he'll be our champion vs the dastardly Link and his iron grip. Cloud and Sephiroth voters must unite, and together we'll crush that foul Link! Hail Snake. Fight... for freedom~ (great analysis huh) Lopen's prediction: THE LEGENDARY Solid Snake with 51.61% Transience’s Analysis I've always believed that Cloud and Sephiroth were more or less interchangeable. Cloud is a tiny bit stronger, but they're tied at the hip: Cloud would get 2-3% more than Sephiroth in any given year and would probably SFF him, but really, they're the same. Snake just got 53% on Sephiroth, so given that, Cloud/Snake should be damn close. I think this being a 24 hour match helps Cloud out: the people who are really into the contest and anti-vote FF7 are likely the ones who vote in every match. Sephiroth slowly drew closer to Snake throughout the day and if it were a 24 hour match, probably would have owned the Europe vote at all. Snake's great there, but FF7 is untouchable during those dead hours. Cloud singlehandedly crushed Samus in a matter of minutes during that time frame a couple days ago. All this points to a 50/50 match, maybe a slight win for Cloud. I'm taking Snake though because of the anti-FF7 sentiment: if this is close, Snake's going to get a huge push. Cloud might roll over Snake, but if that were the case then Sephiroth should have been able to do it as well. I think we should look at the reality of this contest and future contests: Cloud and Sephiroth have fallen off hard and 2008 was more legit than we realized. Snake can win this. transience's prediction: Solid Snake with 50.67% |
Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: A Snake versus Link final seemed like a foregone conclusion halfway through the Seph match. But then, #1 wow did Seph ever cut into that percentage in the last half, #2 wow did Seph/Cloud destroy Samus/Mizno beyond the first 3 hours in those Night Matches, #3 wow would I ever like Snake chance's more if he only had to hold on for 12 hours. Even with all those advantages, Snake's got such a bandwagon behind him that I'd still call this result a coin flip... so I'll just back the result that keeps my bracket on the final Leaderboard for this season and call it a night! Ngamer Says: Cloud > Snake, 50.27% Kleenex’s Analysis I debated this match in my head a bunch, and it basically comes down to who's actually going to win vs. who I want to win. Purely based on last round, Snake should win this. He put up numbers on Sephiroth that should mean he's about equal to Cloud because I think that Snake's probably stronger than Samus at this point. However, it's hard to say where Cloud falls on Sephiroth. Historically, Sephiroth's been a couple percent below Cloud. But now, who knows. One slight advantage Cloud has is that this is a 24 hour match, and last year's final showed that Cloud can still tear up a bandwagoned Snake after the initial wave dies down. This is a tough match to call, because a lot of it depends on if Snake can ride the momentum, if he even has any. But there's just too much FF7 ALWAYS WINS sentiment going on lately, so I'm going pick Snake here, but I'm not happy about it and I hope I'm wrong. Bracket: Cloud Favorites: Snake Prediction: Snake with 50.67% Red Sox’s Analysis Our #2 character of 6 years and our new crowned #3 character clash for the right to face Link in the finals. This is the new match of the contest, and it has potential to be among the greatest matches ever. This match will be 1v1, and 24 full hours long, just as in the days of old. There are no format gimmicks interfering with this match- this is just strength against strength, and may the best character win. Snake probably will have a bandwagon, but bandwagons are part of the contest, one of the best parts in fact, and it's not induced by the format in this situation. It's hard to bandwagon in traditional 1v1, 24-hour matches, and that's what Snake is trying to do here, and probably needs to do. Snake got just under 53% against Sephiroth yesterday in a 12-hour day match. That's approximately what Cloud has historically been worth against Sephiroth, but had it been a 24-hour match, Snake probably would only have won over Sephiroth with around 51%, or a bit higher. He therefore needs some bandwagoning against Cloud, even if Sephiroth is still worth 47% on Cloud. There are some signs that he's not, but I personally doubt he's moved much away from it. This match comes down to the size of the bandwagoning vs. the size of the gaps between Cloud and Sephiroth and between Sephiroth in a 24-hour match and a 12-hour match. It's shaping up to be a close match, hopefully with lots of excitement. Trends-wise, I think this is going to be closer to last year's final than semifinal. Snake is going to pulverize Cloud early with the force of his heavy bandwagoning, but he'll fall apart later in the match as he drops back down to normal strength. Snake could easily be up 400+ votes within 5 minutes, and 2000 votes in an hour, or 3000+ votes within the first 4 hours. That's okay- Cloud can make that up in a 24-hour match simply by turning in consistent 51-52% hours during the day. Going to repost the hourly plan I drew up for Cloud in the Cloud Strife support topic here: |
Time | Cloud's Percentage | Lead 1:00 | 42% | -1900 2:00 | 45% | -2700 3:00 | 47% | -3100 4:00 | 49% | -3200 5:00 | 53% | -3000 6:00 | 55% | -2700 7:00 | 53% | -2500 8:00 | 52% | -2300 9:00 | 51% | -2100 10:00 | 51% | -2000 11:00 | 50% | -2000 12:00 | 51% | -1900 13:00 | 51% | -1700 14:00 | 51% | -1600 15:00 | 51% | -1400 16:00 | 52% | -1200 17:00 | 52% | -900 18:00 | 52% | -700 19:00 | 52% | -400 20:00 | 52% | -100 21:00 | 53% | +200 22:00 | 53% | +500 23:00 | 54% | +800 24:00 | 51% | +900 I ask for two more days from you, Cloud. Do not go quietly into the night, but show us the hero you were, the hero you are, one more time. Prediction: Cloud Strife with 50.30% Upset Potential: 45% Upper Bound: Cloud with 53.5% Lower Bound: Snake with 52.5% Guest’s Analysis - Karma Hunter Analysis Crew, are you receiving? We're still here. CLOUD STRIFE "To the settling of everything!" The gatekeeper of Clinkeroth has fallen. The dragon stands ready. SOLID SNAKE "Now you're a mere mortal - like the rest of us." Proving with each passing round that Pikachu is stronger than half the Noble Nine. Ohhhhhhhhh boy. Solid Snake's biggest match since Snake v Mega Man 2k6 did not just result in a mere victory. It was a win made of utter ease. Snake smashed the early vote. Snake won every bloc of the ASV. Snake won every bloc of the SNV. Snake was never challenged at any point during the match, and won with a whopping 53% of the vote. And his reward for making the impossible possible, yet again? Why, it's a grudge match with former contest champion and perennial #2 character Cloud Strife, still smarting from the 48 hour long defeat Snake laid on him last time around. Only now - it's one-on-one. It's twenty-four hours. And there's no Link-level bandwagon coming to save Snake this time. Or is there? Snake's upset of Sephiroth shocked the world, and Cloud already had to fight off a hard-fought upset from the likes of Samus Aran, a character who was once thrilled just to barely maintain 40%+ on Strife. Cloud has 24 hours in his back pocket - you can bet your bottom dollar he would've increased all match last round, ASV be damned - and Samus has looked more beastly than Snake this year. But it's like I said last time: I didn't buy that then, and I don't buy it now. Samus has had matches where it was easy for her to look good, Snake has had to suffer relative unknowns and awful pictures cramping his style. He's looked stronger for two rounds running in my book, and he gets his chance to prove it now. What else does Cloud have going for him? He's been historically stronger than Sephiroth, sometimes appearing *much* stronger. Our clearest read by my estimation was 2005, where Cloud gets 52.64% on Seph based on their back to back matches with Link. That, however... was FIVE YEARS AGO. It has left plenty of room for fluctuation. Seph could have fallen harder than Cloud this year, enough to put Cloud out of Snake's reach. And as exposed as Cloud was last round... it really wasn't all that close of a match by the end. The FF7 Total Domination Zone is something else. |
what the hell transience --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I'm
rattling off Cloud's strengths here because I believe that if Cloud and
Seph had switched places, we could have seen two amazing close matches
between Cloud/Snake and Seph/Samus last round. But, as it stands, I
believe in The Bandwagon. I've seen its power. I've tasted ultimate
victory before having it cruelly hookshot'D away at the last second.
And this match? The test of Snake's mettle in direct comparison to
Samus, who vanquished him in the last 1v1? The fall of Clink itself? Naught but smoke and mirrors. The true Main Event still awaits. I was hyped and pumped and sweating bullets for the Sephiroth match. This... is a formality. It won't be close. Karma Hunter's KRAZY Prediction: Solid Snake with 53.17% Crew Consensus: Cloud has some support, but the majority is riding the Snake Train of Believe |
I've got the same percentage as Kleenex? I am so not getting this point. --- xyzzy |
Good, two people took Cloud. No Crew curse here. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
let's go cloud --- xyzzy |
Hmm, was expecting a 4-3 split here... Cloud's still a slight favorite in the Oracle and Spread, from what I can see. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
got my vote in for Snake which is all I can do. Going to bed now, ready to ride this train in morning. --- Maybe PICS NAO later, WTF do you think this is, Neopets or something! No ****ing maybe no ****ing later, PICS NAO or DAIIIIII!! -- LeighDaMan |
go cloud --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
good update --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/19/2010 4:35:09 PM | message detail Limp nothing, I'm still taking Cloud > Link in the finals if Cloud makes it! Please remember this solemn vow. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Bandwagon vote will lead Cloud to victory. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
good
match. I guess Cloud should be looked at as the favourite but who the
hell knows when it comes to Snake vs. a FF7 character. --- xyzzy |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
so
I guess our bottom half stats go Cloud > Snake > Samus >
Sephiroth > Missingno > Crono > Pikachu > Yoshi or
something like that? I'm sure someone's posted them somewhere but I don't want to dig through thousands of stats topic posts. --- xyzzy |
From: transience | #236 Pikachu > Missingno, actually. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
yeah I figured those were about equal. --- xyzzy |
Round 6 Tea Party *Location: A fancy ceremonial hall decorated in gold.* Moltar: This is perfect! This banquet is everything I could have asked for and more. Everyone is here to celebrate my victory! This is the Happiness of Marionette! Ngamer: Yes, congratulations on your long and hard-fought victory. You’ve certainly earned this. Red Sox: It may have taken many games, but you’ve finally gotten everyone to surrender to your magic. Moltar: Hmmph, to think that they argued for the existence of voters for over 10 games. So stubborn! Ngamer: Yes, but your moves in the final rounds of this game have completely driven us into despair, just like you said, pukuku. Red Sox: I was completely stumped by the events of Round 5. No one could figure out what happened there. Moltar: Ha, I saved the best for last! In Round 6, I had no surprises for the first match, Link vs. Mario. I’ve done it several times before, so Link getting over 64% on Mario shouldn’t have been a shock to anyone. Snake, however, was my wildcard. Him beating Sephiroth and getting over 48% on Cloud when there was no sign of it before was just genius on my part, if I do say so myself. Ahaha! Red Sox: Yes, and now we have no choice but to accept your magic as the determining factor of these games. Ngamer: Come, Moltar. The ceremony is about to begin. … … ???: Welcome, ladies and gentleman. Today, we are celebrating a grand occasion. The Witch, Master Moltar, will officially be recognized by all as the Endless Voting Witch! Master Moltar, please step forward. Moltar: Thank you! Thank you! This is such a great day, and for everyone to be here for this incredible event only makes it better. I’ve been looking forward to this day for a long time, and now that it’s here, I’m going to savor every second of it! Now, bring forth those who dared question my magic. … Moltar: Excellent. First, Red Sox. Please repeat this statement. “By accepting the fact that the Contest Games are determined by Master Moltar’s magic, I accept him as the Endless Voting Witch.” Red Sox: Of course. You truly did turn out to be a fine student. By accepting the fact that the Contest Games are determined by Master Moltar’s magic, I accept him as the Endless Voting Witch. Moltar: Good! Ngamer, you next. Ngamer: Very well. I will have you know that I am not doing this because it is an order, but because I believe that it is the truth. By accepting the fact that the Contest Games are determined by Master Moltar’s magic, I accept him as the Endless Voting Witch. Moltar: Yes, yes! Witch of Locks, Transience, go! Tran: Ha, alrighy Molty. You can have this one. By accepting the fact that the Contest Games are determined by Master Moltar’s magic, I accept him as the Endless Voting Witch. I’m still a better witch than you though! Moltar: Ha, we’ll see about that! Witch of Upsets, Lopen, repeat it! Lopen: ……………………By accepting the fact that the Contest Games are determined by Master Moltar’s magic, I accept him as the Endless Voting Witch. Moltar: Oh, that really had to sting. I could see you cringing. You must have hated it. If only you had lived up to your title and pulled off the miracle! Kleenex, last but not least, it’s your turn. I expect this to be the sweetest of them all! Ahahaha! Kleenex: Ngh….By….by….I can’t do this! I refuse! I know I can still beat you! Just give me some more time! Lopen: Kleenex. Stop being such a child and accept your loss. Don’t embarrass me any further than you already have. Kleenex: Gah…nngh…very well. I’ll do this for you, Lopen. By accepting the fact that the Contest Games are determined by Master Moltar’s magic…………I accept him as the Endless Voting Witch. ???: And thus, it is official. Master Moltar, you are hereby recognized as the Endless Voting Witch. |
*applause* Moltar: Ahahahahahahahahahahaha! It’s perfect! Perfect! I have done it! I made everyone submit to me and proclaim my name! It was all so easy! I made everyone give in without breaking a sweat! Worship me! Worship me! I am the Endless Voting Witch, Master Moltar! Ahahahahaha! Ahahahahaha! It was useless to try and challenge me! It was useless to try and come up with theories! It was all useless because in the end, I win! In the end, my magic is the truth! … … … … … Useless… … Ah, it’s useless… It’s all useless… Moltar: Hmm, who said that? *From the corner of the room, one of the Guests emerges from the pack and stands in front of all the rest.* Moltar: …No way…it couldn’t be. I made you give up. I drove you into despair! What are you doing here? Karma Hunter: It’s been a long time, Moltar. Red Sox: Oh my, this is an interesting turn of events. Ngamer: Indeed, it looks like he has returned and regained his fighting spirit. Tran: Ha, so you’ve been hiding here the whole time and observing the game as a Guest. You’re smarter than I thought! Kleenex: Huh? What’s going on! Who is that man? Lopen: That man is Moltar’s old opponent. Remember in the Intro when Moltar said that he had already made a certain man lose the will to fight against him? That is the man. Karma: You’re right. I did give up after the previous game. However, I never submitted to you or acknowledged you as the Endless Voting Witch! Because of that, I can challenge you as a Guest!! Therefore, this game can still continue!!! Moltar: Grrrr, fine! I’ve beaten you countless times in the past, I can beat you again right here! This time, I’m not only going to make you submit. I’m going to completely break you down and strip you of everything that makes you a human! You will become my furniture, Karmaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Karma: Never! I’m not going to lose this time! I’m not going to back down! I’ve had enough of your games! I’ve had enough of over-imaginative stories, grandpa! I’m going to shatter the illusion of your magic right now. Voters DO exist, and I can prove it! This is over, Moltaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar!!!!!!!!!!!!!! *glass breaks* |
Yesssssss, random KH cameo --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Link 64.57% 67456 Mario 35.43% 37006 TOTAL VOTES 104462 Crew Predictions - 108/125 What Happened: Link destroyed Mario Why it Happened: Link knows how to deliver an SFF beating. What will Happen: Link goes on to the Finals (spoilers: he's going to win) Crew Prediction Challenge - free point Kleenex - 111 Moltar - 110 Red Sox - 109 Ngamer - 109 Tran - 108 Lopen - 104 Guest - 104 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Red Sox gets the point for Link Moltar - 23.5 Ngamer - 23 Guest - 20.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 2, War: 1, Turtle: 2, Smashy: 1, Ngirl: 1, Luster: 1, Curt: 1, Tsunami: 1) Lopen - 17 Tran - 16 Red Sox - 16 Kleenex - 8 --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Cloud (290/352) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
It's gonna take some witchcraft to make anybody believe Cloud>Link this time. --- Should I start running now? |
if someone is interested in taking the guest analysis for the finals, go right ahead! --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Finals: Round 7 - Match 127 – (1) Link vs. (1) Cloud Strife Moltar’s Analysis Link Round 1 - 79.81% vs. Thrall Round 2 - 71.79% vs. Alucard Round 3 - 67.28% vs. Mega Man X Round 4 - 71.13% vs. Luigi Round 5 - 70.23% vs. Sonic Round 6 - 64.57% vs. Mario I said wow… Cloud Round 1 - 71.72% vs. Ridley Round 2 - 71.99% vs. Chris Round 3 - 69.93% vs. Falcon Round 4 - 65.98% vs. Ryu Round 5 - 52.81% vs. Samus Round 6 - 52.00% vs. Snake Hey Cloud… <Have a nice dream. See you in hell.> Moltar’s Bracket: Link > Cloud Moltar’s Prediction: Link: 57% - Cloud: 43% Lopen’s Analysis The way I see it, this match is a gimme now, with Snake failing to take out Cloud. There just isn't quite enough insurrection yet to force some variety into the contests, if the oft anti-voted Cloud can't even lose, Link's got no chance of losing. I'm pullin for ya, Cloud, but you're done. I think it'll be closer than expected because I don't think Cloud has really dropped as much as people are thinking and that the 'insurrection' is all to blame. But I don't think he'll be able to reap enough of the benefits, because foolish fools have it in their head that Cloud always wins too. Now, enough talkin about the match. I have a final thought or five. Thank you everyone who read my nonsense all these years, but I don't think I'll be returning next year. It was practically a chore to write these things this time around. Partially because of the format requiring twice the write-ups, I think, but partially just because I wasn't all that interested in this contest. I mean, I had flippin Snake winning the thing, but did I even hype it that much until the very end? Not enough! I think my writing this year was subpar, and my amount of upsets was very sparse, so I wasn't the draw I could be. I mean... I tied and/or beat the guest (or maybe lost to, on some miracle Link loses), how does that happen? Further I hardly think anyone reads most of the analyses anymore-- I know i don't! The Analysis Crew is awesome and I'll be sure to jump on some guest analyses next time, but barring a really cool bracket next time around I don't think I wanna do this full time again. So in case I don't, I just wanted to thank all of my fans who have supported me all these years~ And all the crew members, and all of those who have written analyses over the years. And especially Moltar for giving me this opportunity to spice up the crew with my terrible picks. I'd also like to thank the Academy, Mountain Dew Game Fuel, Fake Diesel and Fake Razor Ramon, Here's My Sunday's Best, and tildes. What would I do without all of you. Always remember to believe and be BOLD. Farewell~ Lopen's prediction: Link with 55.87% ... man that's not a good final prediction, is it? Lopen's better and more correct prediction: Cloud with 59.34% Watch as the man goes down as the insurrection realizes Link is the greater threat, causing the birth of almighty JOKE CLOUD. With a strong early joke vote, and trends that increase throughout the match, this cloud is truly the Ultimate Weapon. HAIL CLOUD, CHAMPION OF TRUTH. |
Transience’s Analysis It's time for Link to deliver us from evil. For ten years, Final Fantasy VII has held a death grip on these contests. Fanboys around the world have blindly voted for anything involving the game. Cloud has won this contest six years in a row thanks to these mindless drones. If it has spiky hair and a bigass sword, voters will vote for it. This year, the voters have finally risen up. Sephiroth was miraculously beaten by the martyr known as Solid Snake. Solid Snake died for his sins come 6am in his match against Cloud, but all hope is not lost: the Hero of Time stands waiting to take down this great evil. Cloud's blood will flow and fanboy tears will come. There will be some very angry words typed on the internet tomorrow, most of them misspelled. It is time for the disgusting overrated piece of trash known as Final Fantasy VII to be disposed of. Come, GameFAQs. Do the right thing. Vote for Link. Let him deliver us from contest bondage. transience's prediction: Link with 143.73% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Link is incredible. He's been by far the world's strongest character for seven years running, yet instead of being Public Enemy Number One, the guy enters this Championship as the site's HERO. That's because despite a heroic (and might I add, extremely impressive) effort in holding off the biggest bandwagon since L-Block, Cloud has turned himself into the ultimate villain. Just like Seph slit his own throat by beating Mizno, Link just earned a major boost as "our last chance to hold off FinalFantasyFAQs"; as if he needed it! And that means that since this result went from 51.82 to 52.44 to 53.93, math dictates that our '10 finish ends at... Ngamer Says: Link > Cloud, 57.53% Kleenex’s Analysis Two months later and here we are. The expected finals, and I'm pretty glad it turned out this way. I've never been one for funky upsets, and I like to see the best meet in the end - similar to the way I like to see a Federer/Nadal match in the finals of a tennis tournament, because otherwise it's going to be boring. Plus, we haven't seen a read Link vs. Cloud match since the finals of the 2006 Battle Royale. Unfortunately, Cloud is like gimped, post-tendinitis Nadal, so he probably doesn't stand much of a chance here. But let's flash back to bracket making for a minute. When I first threw together my bracket, I had Link winning, because, well, it's Link. And I let it sit like that up until the last day of submissions. During those final hours before brackets were due, I thought to myself, "There's no way I can win this contest with Link winning." And so I waffled for about 5 minutes and eventually settled on Cloud. My rationale was that if Cloud did manage to pull it off, I'd have a pretty good shot at the thing. I also surmised (foolishly) that people wouldn't want to see a repeat champion two years in a row, and compounded with the fact that Final Fantasty XIII was coming out a week or so before the end of the contest, Cloud might have a chance here. Link and Cloud both struggled to impress early on, but as we got into the later Round, Link kicked it into high gear, while Cloud failed to put away his opponents cleanly. To be fair, Link had the advantage of SFF on his side in almost all those matches, but still. |
So that brings us to today. I could - I should
- take Link here. Link's going to win, the match is just a formality.
Everyone else on the crew is going to take Link (except maybe Lopen,
who the hell knows). I could play it safe, "win" the Crew this year and
collect all the valuable cash and prizes that go along with it. But I'd
kick myself if Cloud somehow did pull this off and I didn't pick him.
Plus, I'm sure it'll make Ngamer feel better about himself if he
manages a 3-way tie with Moltar and I, and I'm a charitable guy. And
hey, it worked in the games contest when I was the only one to pick
Ocarina of Time to win! Come on Cloud bandwagon. Bracket: Cloud Favorites: Cloud Prediction: Cloud with 51.02% Red Sox’s Analysis We started with 128 characters, and after 126 matches we are down to 2. I'm glad these two will be the top 2 for the first time since 2006; the silent majority has reacted against the bandwagons and jokes and the most popular characters have reached the finals once again. Link wins. Usually, Cloud makes an effort to put some excitement and hype into the Cloud > Link train, but there was precious little of that this year- it's just not happening. So, how much does Link win by? I've been supporting Link and calling for him to eviscerate his competition all contest (and it finally worked with Sonic and Mario!), but today I'm doing the opposite. Or at least, I expect I'll have one of the lower Link predictions, unless Kleenex makes good on his promise to take Cloud to win. Link got 52% on Cloud in 2005, followed by 54% in 2006 on the day of TP's release. L-Block and Snake ruined our ability to compare them properly in 2007 and 2008, but my best guess is that Cloud was worth around 47% on Link in 2008. Link and Cloud are very stable in strength, so I think the calls for 60% I've been hearing on the board are really out there- Link has been around 52-53% on Cloud for many years, and he suddenly jumps to 60%? Cloud and Sephiroth have clearly dropped- but Link looks like he dropped this year too, with 4 poor performances (by Link standards) to start off the contest, followed by acceptable but not impressive performances against Sonic and Mario (by Link 2008's standards, not the standards set by the first 4 Link matches of this contest, according to which the Sonic and Mario matches were impressive). In the early rounds, people blamed Anti-BlowoutFAQs for Clinkeroth failing to blast their opponents into oblivion, but with Cloud and Sephiroth, it seems to have turned out that it was really just weakening, and not Anti-BlowoutFAQs. The same should hold true for Link. Even if Link were constant from last year, Cloud would still break 40% with ease- a character like Cloud simply does not collapse that fast. But I believe Link has fallen too, not as much as Cloud, and especially not as much as Sephiroth, but he has fallen. So, I think Cloud will do worse than before and probably suffers the worst defeat of his 1v1 contest career, but he has an excellent chance of holding 45% and a decent chance of holding 46%. My prediction will be Link's 2006 percentage on Cloud, that of the Twilight Princess release day match. In a realm beyond sight, The Sky shines gold, not blue. There, the Triforce's might Makes mortal dreams come true. Prediction: Link with 53.93% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Link with 57% Lower Bound: Link with 52% Crew Consensus: Link he come to town to win another GameFAQs Contest |
Guest's Analysis - Guru Winner My immense predictive powers indicate that Link shocks the world and wins. My Prediction: Link with 60.05% --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png |
I'm not sure if I was supposed/picked to be the guest for the final, but I'll post my analysis anyway. Guest Analysis - PaulG235 Link will win, we know this. I was holding out hope for him to lose this contest, but round 3 and onwards he looked like a possessed man, just look at Sonic. Cloud's hopes were worrying ever since his first match with Ridley, but he did look okay for the next three rounds, so the upset was possible... Until Samus. Link > Samus. Samus kept it close, Cloud is dead. Sephiroth lost to Solid Snake, Cloud is dead. Snake kept it relatively close to Cloud, Cloud is dead. In all honesty, all signs pointed to Cloud being dead in the final match. Link's only worrying performances were aginst Thrall and Alucard (though that isn't worrying once you saw how everyone else is doing). Link wins, no doubt about it. As by how much, high 50's. Prediction - Link Percentage - 58.22% My Vote - Cloud --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream |
