GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 8

Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/17/2010 10:32:49 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #101
Hmm, if Clouds gets over 56.51% without going over 57.81% i'll get the accuracy point. That's a pretty wide range, awesome.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/17/2010 10:34:26 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #102
Congrats, Chaotic Mind; you're the first guest this round who didn't have to post hs own analysis because he forgot to write one up to send to Moltar. I'm kind of glad that paul did it too, because it makes me feel better about myself.
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CB8 score: 247
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
transients | Posted 3/17/2010 10:36:02 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #103
my gut's been right so far this round though I haven't actually gone with it in my picks.

my gut is saying that Cloud makes Samus look bad here, and that when the going gets tough he'll put up a real performance. prove me wrong, Cloud!
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xyzzy
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/17/2010 10:41:23 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #104

From: TsunamiXXVIII | #102
Congrats, Chaotic Mind; you're the first guest this round who didn't have to post hs own analysis because he forgot to write one up to send to Moltar. I'm kind of glad that paul did it too, because it makes me feel better about myself.


Thanks. If it makes you feel better i've done that before too, in Round 1. I also completely missed a match, though that was because i was very sick for a few days.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 10:42:35 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #105
Last round made me feel good about Cloud. I'd take Ryu to beat Zelda pretty easily at this point.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transience | Posted 3/17/2010 10:52:28 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #106
I'd take Zelda.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 10:53:21 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #107
Eh, all of Zelda's performances were pretty horrible. 70% on Travis Touchdown in particular. Ryu got that on Balthier.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transience | Posted 3/17/2010 10:58:22 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #108
I'd take Travis over Balthier, I think.
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xyzzy
Lopen | Posted 3/17/2010 10:58:55 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #109
Wouldn't take Travis to lose to Balthier by much.

Also gonna laugh when I win this point. Outdoin the Samus fanboys.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 10:59:13 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #110
He couldn't even come close to Pac-Man or LFF'd Ness.

Not that Ryu would destroy Zelda or anything. I just think Zelda dipped off a good bit this contest.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transience | Posted 3/17/2010 11:00:38 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #111
business at usual here at 12:01am
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 3/17/2010 11:01:45 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #112
heh, Samus is already stalled. Cloud's gonna rock Samus.

feelin' better about Sephiroth.
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xyzzy
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/17/2010 11:07:34 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #113
*sees FantasyFreak lamenting the fact that his guest analysis wasn't the one that counted*
*looks at paul's analysis*
*cringes*

Paul, Paul, Paul. The bad percentage is one thing, but the reasoning? Horrible! Yes, Bowser will end up much closer to Mario extrapolating through Charizard than he would straight up. Do you know why? Because Pokémon don't get SFFed! In the 2009 games contest, Red/Blue/Yellow managed to kick the crap out of Majora's Mask twice, the second time with Gold/Silver leaching it, then managed to not only turn around its failure to beat Metal Gear Solid once Gold/Silver left, but also beat out Final Fantasy VIII and advanced in second place...behind Ocarina of Time. Let me repeat: Red/Blue/Yellow beat out a Metal Gear Solid game and a Final Fantasy game with the #1 Nintendo game and #1 game period in the poll. If Ocarina of Time can't SFF the Generation I Pokémon games, how do you expect Mario to?

I have a theory that the reason that Pokémon don't get SFFed by Nintendo is because they were primarily on the Game Boy. Unlike the Nintendo consoles of the time (N64, then Gamecube), which had competition from Sony and either Sega or Microsoft (Dreamcast flopped right around when XBox came out), the Game Boy had complete control of the market for a long period of time.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/systems.html

There's the system list. The PSP is considered a 7th-generation system--currently active; its main competitor is the DS. The Game Gear is listed as a fourth-generation system, same as the original Game Boy. The fifth and sixth generations, where Nintendo had the Game Boy Color and Game Boy Advance out? The best competition they had were the WonderSwan and the NeoGeo Pocket Color, respectively. ...Yeah, exactly. Even people who preferred Playstation and PS2 to N64 and Gamecube probably still had a GBC/GBA if they wanted portable games. The Pokémon fanbase might not be as Nintendo-dominant as you'd think.
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CB8 score: 247
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
th3l3fty | Posted 3/17/2010 11:11:49 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #114
stalled, eh, tranny?
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
Lopen | Posted 3/17/2010 11:15:38 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #115
One more... for the good guy!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/17/2010 11:34:26 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #116
SAMUS!
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CB8 score: 247
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
th3l3fty | Posted 3/17/2010 11:54:08 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #117
I'm loving this
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
Lopen | Posted 3/17/2010 11:55:24 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #118
Man I just reread my write-up and it seemed to imply I was thinking that Samus would SFF Cloud.

Ah the wonders of leaving a sentence about Ryu and Zelda in there.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lopen | Posted 3/17/2010 11:55:45 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #119
Er... out of there, rather
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
th3l3fty | Posted 3/18/2010 12:01:04 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #120
well, that was a fun first hour
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/18/2010 12:01:49 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #121
barely hanging on to a lead for an hour is fun

lefty needs to get out more confirmed
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 12:06:45 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #122
Oh Samus you silly thing you
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 12:10:00 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #123
hey I saw this last year, what's up Kirby
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xyzzy
th3l3fty | Posted 3/18/2010 12:34:46 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #124
kleenex I don't think "more" applies in this situation!
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 12:46:20 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #125
this would be an amazing match if I didn't know how inevitable a Cloud win was

let's do this
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 12:47:35 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #126

From: transience | #125
this would be an amazing match if I didn't know how inevitable a Cloud win was

let's do this


I was just talking about this. Even the stats topic isn't wholly uninterested in this match because we fully expect Cloud to put this match into hyperdrive in about 15 minutes. Any other match, and we'd be going nuts.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 12:47:49 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #127
Is wholly uninterested, rather.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/18/2010 12:48:37 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #128
moltar i sent you a super important e-mail just so you know
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 12:52:25 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #129
given how close Samus is keeping it, I won't count her out just yet. yeah, she'll get rocked overnight when like 4am hits, but then Cloud will suck in the morning.

man, why couldn't this be a day match?
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 12:54:25 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #130
or better yet, a 24 hour match,

you can write it in a book -- this match will be better than Snake/Seph. both of those guys are weaker than Samus too.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 12:55:43 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #131
Cloud and Samus are actually pretty balanced characters in both day and night matches, usually. Of course, Samus had extra potential benefits if she has a close match when America's awake for the entire match, but yeah.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/18/2010 12:58:11 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #132
Okay, here's what I'd been meaning to post before I was interrupted.
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Quickie w/ Ng: Between Mizno and Charizard and Tifa it's clear that the voters demand CHANGE. And when that starts happening I'd sure hate to be Final Fantasy 7, because, well... Snake > Cloud, Kirby > Seph, you know the drill. Count on Samus to ride that wave of CHANGE to a strong performance in this one.

Ngamer Says: Cloud > Samus, 53.19%


Now to vote and see how that looks.

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 12:58:46 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #133
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/18/2010 1:03:06 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #134
Haha, now THAT'S what I'm talking about! Sure, Cloud's going to get bailed out by Europe and Asia just like Sephiroth was, but I always did think Samus would have a chance to pull a Mizno in the opening hours, especially with how well she's been starting matches all year.

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 1:06:40 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #135
Yeah, but Cloud's anti-voting wasn't as bad in his day match against Ryu. Once we got past the first hour, he pretty much stabilized.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/18/2010 1:17:24 AM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #136
Link 70.23% 37755
Sonic the Hedgehog 29.77% 16004
TOTAL VOTES 53759

Mario 53.59% 41452
Charizard 46.41% 35896
TOTAL VOTES 77348


Crew Predictions - 103/118

What Happened: Link destroys Sonic and Mario does not destroy Charizard

Why it Happened: Sonic got SFFed pretty hard by Link. As for Charizard, that what bandwagoning + HG/SS release does to ya

What will Happen: Link vs. Mario I think we've seen this before



Crew Prediction Challenge - points


Moltar - 108
Kleenex - 108
Red Sox - 107
Tran - 106
Ngamer - 106
Lopen - 101
Guest - 101



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tsunami gets the point for Link and Lopen gets the point for Mario

Moltar - 23.5
Ngamer - 22
Guest - 20.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 2, War: 1, Turtle: 2, Smashy: 1, Ngirl: 1, Luster: 1, Curt: 1, Tsunami: 1)
Lopen - 17
Tran - 16
Red Sox - 15
Kleenex - 7
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Cloud > Samus (242/288)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 1:42:03 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #137
Starting to feel like Samus has a chance. If she can come through the next three hours in decent shape, she can make it.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Lopen | Posted 3/18/2010 1:45:26 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #138
Oh that cheating bastard NGamer.

Time to start killing SMAUS Cloud get me that point.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/18/2010 2:12:09 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #139
We've passed the quarter pole, and Samus still has a slight lead.
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CB8 score: 247
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
Lopen | Posted 3/18/2010 2:42:52 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #140
I don't really have faith in Samus to win even if she keeps it kinda close overnight. Samus's morning vote isn't all that great so I think she's already played her best here.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 2:44:04 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #141
if Samus doesn't fall behind by 6am, I like her to win.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 3:16:39 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #142
yep, there she goes.

she's winning in America though so maybe there's a chance!
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 3:17:41 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #143
If she can weather these next two hours and not get completely brutalized, she has a slight chance.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Lopen | Posted 3/18/2010 3:20:32 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #144
Eh. I still think Samus's best hours will be hours 1-3 pretty decisively. She'll stop getting buried but I don't think she's actually going to start winning updates in the morning.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 3:21:10 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #145
If people wake up and see Samus is still close, it could set off some "rallying" and whatnot. I don't think her chances are good, but they're not zero.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Lopen | Posted 3/18/2010 3:22:17 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #146
Samus doesn't seem the type of character to get rallied to me. Though she is against "OMG FF7 ALWAYS WINS" so maybe.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 3:22:43 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #147
Yeah, it's not Samus who'll get rallied. It'll be Not-Cloud who gets rallied.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Lopen | Posted 3/18/2010 3:24:47 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #148
But I mean MissingNo couldn't even get a whimper, even if he was down like 1500 so eh yeah.

Cloud's on pace for a cool 1000+ by morning and even assuming a deadlock after that I can't see enough trying.

Cloud lock to win (hex)
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lopen | Posted 3/18/2010 3:27:20 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #149
Actually... I was rooting for Samus at first, but now I think I want Cloud to win. Prefer him, but mostly cause I want Snake to have the honor of getting rid of him.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
transience | Posted 3/18/2010 4:12:25 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #150
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122 / 4096 characters