GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 8
As a Sonic fanboy, I can safely say Sonic sucks --- OH YEAH! |
Again, it doesn't matter. It's freaking Link he's up against. Of course more people like him. --- BFC: 2492-6375-2047 (Sonic) |
So why be so defensive? --- OH YEAH! |
Guest Clan Fill-in Analysis Going with Mario over 60% just because nobody else is. Mario with 60.01% --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
FantasyFreak's Backup Writeup Well, Mario vs. Charizard should be an interesting match. Either Charizard is really the strongest LEGITIMATE pokemon, or he's benefiting from a massive trend. Either way, he might give Mario a run for his money. SFF might be a factor, though, but currently, Charizard is a beast (both figuratively and literally). I'm gonna say that this one is close, in Mario's favor. Mario - 55.44% --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
FantasyFreak owned. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
drat! edged out --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
TheKoolAidShoto: So why be so defensive? I'm not trying to be. However, people like you takt this contest seriously. And IMO, it isn't really Sonic's fault. More people lean towards Link because he almost never loses these conests. --- BFC: 2492-6375-2047 (Sonic) |
You're
apparently not taking this contest seriously. Therefore, whatever
anyone says about Sonic, you should take with a grain of salt. Ugh why am I arguing with Sonic fanatics? They don't run on logic. --- OH YEAH! |
TheKoolAidShoto:
You're apparently not taking this contest seriously. Therefore,
whatever anyone says about Sonic, you should take with a grain of salt. Ugh why am I arguing with Sonic fanatics? They don't run on logic. Why the hell should I take it seriously? It's nothing to get in a frenzy about, and I know everyone has an opinion. And just because I'm a Sonic fan, doesn't mean I'm not one those crazy fanatics. I come to this site to try and look for information on new games, and everyone else I see is always in a heated debate about something that shouldnt be taken that seriously. --- BFC: 2492-6375-2047 (Sonic) |
PaulG235's "Oh Crap I forgot I was the guest for this match" analysis Mario's been on roids; SFF'ing Falco and Ike to death, killing Big Boss and Mega Man. Charizard escaped from the weakest division of the contest; killing Duke, escaping from Kratos, beating L, doing who knows on Bowser. Since Mario easily kills Bowser, he'll kill Charizard, too. While the big red machine might have a bandwagon to help him look respectable, just remember... Nintendo character + Mr. Nintendo = RIP Prediction: Mario Percentage: 61.92% My Vote: Mario --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
Nice, so who picked Charizard to do the best this time around? ...LOPEN WHAT --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
Hail to the king baby Fire dragon pokemanz rippin the enemy apart I wanna be the very best --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Like no one ever was --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
To catch them is my real test --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
To train them is my cause --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
I will travel, across the land --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
ugh. if I posted my writeup a minute sooner (and paulg didn't remember) I would've won this one. --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Charizard > Mega Man lol --- xyzzy |
Mega Man would beat Charizard straight up I think but yeah that's kinda sad huh --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I think we're in for some serious Charizard overestimation next year. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
From: Karma Hunter | #015 I kind of sniped it before it was officially posted, so if you want it that bad, you can have it since I'm such a nice guy :) --- Maybe PICS NAO later, WTF do you think this is, Neopets or something! No ****ing maybe no ****ing later, PICS NAO or DAIIIIII!! -- LeighDaMan |
Lopen I must thank you for saving me from getting this disgusting accuracy point for Charizard. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I
can't wait to see some stats for this. Kratos is going to be projected
to get like 47% on Mega Man. if Mario can keep it close with Link
(unlikely, but possible) we could get Tails > Sonic. --- xyzzy |
Kratos is going to be projected to get like 47% on Mega Man More like Mega Man is going to be projected to get 47% on Kratos! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
show me some numbers! --- xyzzy |
Wonder which way I should go on Snake/Sephiroth tomorrow. hey moltar who are you backing --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Well, they're not entirely up to the minute, but they're less than .1% off! Second Quarter Stats Mario – 50.00% Charizard – 46.16% Kratos – 42.01% Bowser Koopa – 41.79% Mega Man – 41.62% Sora – 37.86% Big Boss – 36.84% L-Block – 36.34% Duke Nukem – 33.00% Miles “Tails” Prower – 32.79% Kefka Palazzo – 32.03% Zack Fair – 31.91% Cid Highwind – 30.77% Frog – 30.74% Isaac – 28.71% Midna – 27.54% Yuna – 26.42% HK-47 – 26.19% Ike – 25.90% Arthas Menethil – 25.26% Zidane Tribal – 25.10% Laharl – 24.41% Ryu Hayabusa – 23.18% Master Chief – 21.99% Neku Sakuraba – 21.34% Prinny – 19.43% Falco Lombardi – 18.96% Professor Layton – 17.93% Claptrap – 17.89% Crash Bandicoot – 17.71% Miles Edgeworth – 17.52% Spy – 17.50% Mario has to get 54.18% or better for Mega Man > Kratos. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Kefka Palazzo – 32.03% Zack Fair – 31.91% gross --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
HAIL TO THE KING, BABY --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
Duke Nukem redeemed --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Kefka Palazzo – 32.03% Zack Fair – 31.91% I just squeeled for joy a lil bit. :p --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
talk about an overperformance. sheesh. --- xyzzy |
let's say Link gets 60%... what kind of numbers do we get? --- xyzzy |
From: transience | #084 Depends! Is this 60% on Samus or Snake or what? --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
From: LeonhartFour | #078 Duke Nukem does NOT care about your petty DISSIDIA BOOST --- Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING |
60% on Mario. --- xyzzy |
From: transients | #087 Disasteriffic. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Luigi got like 67%. Mario should do a lot better! --- xyzzy |
oh wait, he got 71%. stupid night vote! --- xyzzy |
60% would be very disappointing. Mario has never scored higher than 38% on Link before. 2002: 37.47% 2006 (BR1): 29.72% 2006 (BR2): 24.26% 2007: 37.91% 2008 (R4): 34.98% 2008 (R5): 33.72% --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
So we now have X > Sonic and Charizard > Mega Man, and through extrapolation, Kratos > Mega Man. I love this contest! --- "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw |
In
each of the last two matches my gut told me Link was going to break 70%
on Sonic, and that Charizard was going to beat Mega Man's score on
Mario by a large margin. I didn't listen to it either time
unfortunately. I would gladly listen to it now, but it's not saying anything about the Cloud/Samus match. --- "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw |
Got to run out the door, but my pick is Cloud Strife with 53.19% Go Samus! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Quarterfinals: Round 5 - Match 123 – (1) Samus Aran vs. (1) Cloud Strife Moltar’s Analysis Samus Round 1 - 78.69% vs. Prince Round 2 - 67.52% vs. Jill Round 3 - 67.31% vs. Sub-Zero Round 4 - 63.85% vs. Zelda The Queen impresses once again! Cloud Round 1 - 71.72% vs. Ridley Round 2 - 71.99% vs. Chris Round 3 - 69.93% vs. Falcon Round 4 - 65.98% vs. Ryu Ryu’s fire gets extinguished. Man, if only this was Samus vs. Seph. Like I’ve said 100 times before, I took that back in 2005 even though Mario screwed it up, and I would’ve taken it this year too. Neither Cloud nor Seph have looked good, while Samus has been putting up impressive performances non-stop. That said, I’d be surprised if Samus won here. I’d love it if it happened, but I’m not counting on it. It’s true that Cloud hasn’t looked AS dominant, but he still looks extremely strong and is still a few steps ahead of Samus. I’m just hoping she manages to keep it close. Moltar’s Bracket: Cloud > Samus Moltar’s Prediction: Cloud: 55% - Samus: 45% Lopen’s Analysis I was feelin bad for Cloud's chances here... in round 1. Since then, Cloud's made a spectacular recovery. That being said, Samus looked good too, but I figure if nothing else the fact that it's a night match lets Cloud stomp the yard here. Also I have a tougher time believing Samus's wins what with the SFF and all, even though I don't trust Samus to SFF things, it's still... possible. Lopen's prediction: Cloud with 53.39% Transience’s Analysis Let's recap: Round 1: Cloud gets 72% against Ridley, Samus gets 79% on Prince of Persia. Advantage: Samus Round 2: Cloud gets 72% on Chris Redfield, Samus gets 68% on Jill Valentine. Advantage: about equal depending on what you think of Chris Redfield, but probably a slight edge to Samus Round 3: Cloud gets 70% on Captain Falcon, Samus gets 67% on Sub-Zero. Advantage: Samus Round 4: Cloud gets 66% on Ryu, Samus gets 64% on Zelda. Zelda would probably beat Ryu, but Zelda had a down year and it's a Nintendo-Nintendo match, so let's call this one a push. Going purely by numbers, you'd expect a great match here, and maybe even an upset. I don't trust that at all though. I think Cloud has trouble with weak characters because he gets anti-voted so badly now. He's kind of like Master Chief. He can beat elite competition fairly well, but give him a well-known minor character like Falcon or Ridley and he'll look downright bad. Meanwhile, Samus is the absolute best at beating mid-tier opponents due to the fact that she's one of the least-heralded strong characters we have. It's very difficult to hate Samus. She's always been great at killing people because of this. Link is overrated because he's in Zelda and Zelda is massive, but Samus -- someone with arguably the same kind of character and appeal as Link -- doesn't get the same treatment because Metroid is not a huge series. I think Samus starts out making Cloud look awful here, really awful. Similar to Cloud/Kirby though, Cloud should take the lead after an hour and then bury Samus with his excellent night vote. If this were a day match we might have something, but as it is, Samus got the wrong end of the stick here. She sucks in Europe while FF7 is great there. Samus can probably make it closer than her 2004 match (and she did great in that match, so good that everyone took her over Mario in 2005), but not good enough to outright win. That'll be up to the winner of Snake/Sephiroth. oh god did I say Snake/Sephiroth did you guys know that match is tomorrow oh god transience's prediction: Cloud with 56.03% |
Kleenex’s Analysis I might entertain this one in a day match. Maybe. But in a night match? No chance. Especially after the way Cloud put down Ryu last round. The real test here is to see if Cloud will be able to weather a far more dangerous potential oppenent - a bandwagoned Snake. If Snake - ahem - sneaks - ahem - past Sephiroth tomorrow, we could have a 2008 repeat on our hands. But let's say Cloud rocks Samus's face, 2004 style, just for argument's sake. Bracket: Cloud Favorites: Cloud Prediction: Cloud with 58.64% Red Sox’s Analysis I really enjoy these kinds of matches between high level Noble Niners. We have Cloud, the second strongest character and the leader of Team Square, against Samus, probably the #4 or #5 character by indirect strength, and #2 Nintendo character, again by indirect strength. Cloud is the favorite, but people have been hyping the Samus upset for a while. Can she do it? I seriously doubt it. Samus has looked great this contest, and she is very strong, but she is not on Cloud's level. Cloud has looked like he's fallen off somewhat this year, but that just means his margin of victory will be smaller tonight than it was before. In 2004 and 2007, Cloud scored 59% on Samus, albeit with Megaman running interference in the 2007 match. Samus probably would have done a bit better otherwise, say, 43%, and she'll do even better than that tonight. The night match does not really help either character, but the 12-hour format again helps Samus. The first hour could be very interesting, and Samus could lead for some time. But eventually Cloud will take the lead, probably within the first hour, and then he will run with it. It won't be close in the end. Prediction: Cloud Strife with 54.50% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Cloud with 59% Lower Bound: Cloud with 50% Guest’s Analysis - Chaotic Mind There was some ridiculous hype train for Samus > Cloud earlier in the contest, but i think it's dead now after Cloud stomped Ryu with nearly 66%. To compare, Samus got ~58% on Ryu, though that was back in 2002. I'm not sure that number would have changed much though. I don't think Ryu's really declined much, if any, since 2002. I also don't think Samus has boosted much, if any, since then. I'd guess she breaks 60% on Ryu at most nowadays. I don't know the exact formula for extrapolating through that like other stats guys, but based on that guess and the fact that Cloud has shown a tendency to finish just under the whole % mark in his past couple matches, i'm going with... PredictionCloud Strife - 56.99% Crew Consensus: Cloud wins (unfortunately) |
Nobody took Samus? Not even Moltar? I'm surprised! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
This would be the most amazing Crew Curse yet. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile |
My personal favorite Crew Curse was Castlevania/KH because nobody would've picked Castlevania before CV/Halo, and then we ALL jumped ship. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
From: LeonhartFour | #097 Setting my expectations for Samus low has paid off 4 times. Here comes lucky number 5! --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Mario > Charizard (226/272) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
