GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 8

Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 10:26:30 AM | message detail | close | filter | quote | #001
*On the morning of January 14th, three witches are sitting in a small room enjoying their Tea Party.*

Moltar: So, did you two hear? It’s that time of the year again.

Lopen: …Indeed, a new game is about to begin. What is the gameboard like this time?

Moltar: It’s back to 1-on-1, this time, with 128 characters! Sounds interesting, riiiiiiight? I can’t wait to determine the results using my magic!

Lopen: …Hmph, such a child you are, Moltar. Your magic means nothing. The results are determined by the voters.

Moltar: Hoh! So you want to challenge me again, Lopen? I’ll create all the results, and you won’t be able to explain them with voters! They will be so unpredictable that everyone will be forced to accept my magic! The number of votes I can create are endless! I am the Voting Witch, Master Moltar!

Lopen: …Very well, I, the Witch of Upsets, Lopen, accept your challenge. I don’t expect to be bored.

Tran: Hey you two! What are you talking about! Let me in! Let me in!

Moltar: It’s another game between Lopen and I. Will you be supporting me again, Tran?

Tran: Naaaah, I’m tired of you, Moltar. And I would never be on Lopen’s side! Therefore, I, the Witch of Locks, Transience, will make my own side!

Lopen: …Make your own side? I see you’re still a child too, Tran. At least you won’t make me bored though.

Tran: Hehe, I love you Lopen! You’re so <cute>!

Moltar: I want to invite someone in on this little game between us. Come forth, my finest servant, Ngamer.

Ngamer: Ngamer here, at your service, Master Moltar.

Moltar: Do you wish to participate in this game with us?

Ngamer: Very well, I, Ngamer, will join. Let me warn you though, I am pretty good and figuring out the true results, pukuku.

Lopen: …I see, now this is even more interesting. I shall bring a guest too. Kleenex, where are you?

Kleenex: I’m right here, Lopen!

Lopen: You will participate in this game as well. If you win, I’ll promote you to the rank of a Witch. You can be the Witch of Facts. *giggle*

Kleenex: <Good>. That would be an honor! I, the great detective, KleenexTissue, will do my best! My skills are first-rate!

Tran: Hey you two! I want to bring someone in too! Um…um…oh I know! I’ll bring in your teacher!

Moltar: My teacher? You don’t mean-

Tran: Hey red sox, get out here!

Red Sox: Yes, Transience?

Tran: You’re also going to join our game! I want you to do your best and beat your student.

Red Sox: Is that alright with you, Moltar?

Moltar: That fine with me! The more the merrier! I’ll make all of you submit to my voting magic!

Red Sox: Very well, I, Red Sox, will also join the game. It’ll be more productive than spending time with and constantly getting teased by G-

Moltar: Oh, there’s more thing. There will be more people joining us. Arise, Guests!

Lopen: …The Guests? They aren’t exactly…the brightest, you know.

Tran: Yeah! What’s up with that? They’re as dumb as Goats!

Moltar: I think you two will be surprised. They can be really clever sometimes! One guest will also participate in each match of our game.

Moltar: Anyway, I hope everyone is ready! I’ve already made a certain man lose the will to fight against me, and now it’s your turn! Prepare to submit to my Endless Voting magic, Readerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrs! AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

*glass breaks*
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 10:27:41 AM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #002
E-mail: mastermoltar@gmail.com

Current Guests

Link/Sonic - TsunamiXXVIII
Mario/Charizard - PaulG235
Samus/Cloud - Chaotic Mind
Snake/Tifaroth - marsman57 (maybe)
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Squall (194/240)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/16/2010 10:29:40 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #003
I never saw any sign-ups for the round 5 matches at all.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 10:35:01 AM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #004
I put them in the main topic instead of making a new topic.
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Squall (194/240)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
transience | Posted 3/16/2010 10:59:59 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #005
Vincent/Tifa would be a great close match, but it would have lop-sided support like Squall/Auron.

yeah, people would flock to Vincent and rightly so - he's looked stronger in the past. we'll see what happens in one minute here though..
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 3/16/2010 11:01:37 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #006
well, Tifa held on for a minute there. Snake/Seph is going to be brutal - this board doesn't even like Tifa.

either way, I'm surprised at the high picks here because Vincent already got like 38%. I thought I was going high.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/16/2010 11:03:33 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #007
transience | Posted 3/16/2010 11:03:40 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #008
ha, Tifa's fighting for first here. flashbacks of Tifa/Samus!

Sephiroth has no chance against Cloud.
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xyzzy
marsman57 | Posted 3/16/2010 11:07:18 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #009
I know Tifa is going to inevitably lose it, but I am very proud of her for putting up this show.
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Maybe PICS NAO later, WTF do you think this is, Neopets or something! No ****ing maybe no ****ing later, PICS NAO or DAIIIIII!! -- LeighDaMan
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 11:30:58 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #010
Tifa/Samus validated
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Lopen | Posted 3/16/2010 11:40:52 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #011
Man that Seph early vote is something else. Stalled at 10 for 10 minutes, then up over 400 in 35. Fantastic.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/16/2010 11:46:18 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #012
Can Tifa beat Samus?Let's say she finishes with 43%.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 11:46:45 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #013
Nah, this result isn't legit.

...I don't think so anyway.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transience | Posted 3/16/2010 12:22:16 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #014
there's some serious overreaction here, I think.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/16/2010 12:24:27 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #015
augh I was looking for the signup topic all this time and it was in the main one!?

I DEMAND TO USURP THE GUEST POSITION FOR SNAKE > SEPHIROTH

maybe I can share it with someone like ExTha but gawd
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http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
Lopen | Posted 3/16/2010 12:25:08 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #016
Seph's going to end about where I had him, I think. Overreacting: Yes.

I would've actually explained why Tifa would do better than Vincent in my write-up if I cared.

Tifa's character type clashes with Seph's more. They market to different audiences so Tifa gets SFFed less. Also 'upset starvation' at this point.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 3/16/2010 2:12:10 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #017
Wow, Missingno fallout is running rampant
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
red sox 777 | Posted 3/16/2010 2:14:46 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #018
Snake/Sephiroth is such a big match we should have 2 guest write-ups!
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Biolizard28 | Posted 3/16/2010 2:15:23 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #019
No, I usurp you all.
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It may be insulting, but it's the truth!
Now this is entertainment!
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 2:30:33 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #020
I can get behind this.

hell, make it 20 guest writeups!
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xyzzy
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 2:30:40 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #021
(sorry Moltar)
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xyzzy
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 3/16/2010 2:41:55 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #022
Sure, why not. I could use another guest slot. :p
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
nintendogirl1 | Posted 3/16/2010 2:42:58 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #023
Yesssssss.

You have my prediction!
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:p
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 6:45:31 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #024
Just let the guests make write-ups that day and retire the rest!
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/16/2010 7:38:57 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #025

From: red sox 777 | #018
Snake/Sephiroth is such a big match we should have 2 guest write-ups!


Karma Hunter and me. Easily.
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"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:39:55 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #026
Character Battle VIII Contest Fanboy Crew - Part 8
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xyzzy
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/16/2010 7:40:39 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #027
Oh come on. How many guests will be giving a write up about their favorite character ever facing his biggest contest rival WITH CONTEST VICTORY ON THE LINE?

There will never be a match like this again for me!
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"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:43:02 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #028
hey, I'm fine with retiring my spot for a match. trust me, when you have to write 100 of these things in less than two months, you look forward to a day off!
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xyzzy
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 7:46:54 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #029
Round 4 Tea Party

Moltar: Hmm…my game is almost over. Another game…another victory for the Endless Voting witch. That’s how it always goes. No one has ever succeeded in disproving my magical power, and I doubt anyone ever will.



Moltar: Huh, what’s that?

…*voices*

Moltar: That sounds like…some kind of argument. I wonder what’s going on. *disappears*

Moltar: *reappears on the ceiling of a nearby room* Hoh! What’s this?

Tran: You’re wrong, Lopen! Wrong wrong wrong wrong! I’m the one who has this contest figured out!

Lopen: …Pitiful, your childish tantrum only proves that you know nothing. I will be the victor.

(Moltar: So Lopen and Tran are having a fight? This should be entertaining! I’ll keep watching from up here. Let’s see how much the two of you truly know!)

Tran: Did you know that Luigi is actually stronger than MMX? Link just SFFed him so hard, he ended up looking weaker!

(Moltar: What is Transience saying? I thought he would know better than that! Mega Man X is the second strongest character in the Hyrule Division. He’s on the level of near-elite! Luigi is below him, foolish Tran.)

Lopen: …I’m not buying that. However, you can go on thinking that. Anyway, I have no issues with that division that I wish to argue over. Instead, I’ll give you my insight on the Chaos Division. Kirby’s performance on Ganondorf means that he’s stronger of the two.

(Moltar: Wow, Lopen actually fell for that? Kirby and Ganondorf are near-equals! I only made Kirby look stronger due to other factors. He’ll never win if he keeps up that line of thinking!)

Tran: I knew that! I know everything because I am <Super Smart>! Did you know that Mario SFFed Mega Man?

(Moltar: Are you serious? Mario did not SFF Mega Man! Mega Man is worth that much on Mario! I expected better than this from these two!)

Lopen: Of course I did. Also, based on Charizard’s performance, he is at the level of the lower end of the Noble Nine!

(Moltar: Ahaha! If this keeps up, I’m going to burst out laughing and get noticed! Charizard’s numbers on Bowser are inflated due to the new Pokemon games! Did they really believe that Kratos is stronger than Bowser? These two are blind slaves to my magic!

Tran: I knew that too! I also know that Samus SFFed Zelda because she’s the stronger girl!

(Moltar: That doesn’t even make sense! It’s clear that Zelda has dropped in strength!)

Lopen: …Ha, you’re doing better than I thought. However, I bet you were completely unaware of the fact that Ryu, Dante and Leon are the strongest characters in their division after Cloud, and Falcon overperformed against Cloud.

(Moltar: I…wait…that’s actually not a bad guess. Maybe they do know some things after all!)

Tran: And Snake is looking stronger than ever!

(Moltar: I guess I spoke too soon. These two really are hopless! 2010 Solid Snake is not the strongest Solid Snake.)

Lopen: The last thing is…Sephiorth and Tifa.

Tran: Tifa looked really good in that match. She did way better than Vincent did. Do you know why, Lopen?

Lopen …Yes. I know why. However, I’m not going to tell you.

(Moltar: C’mon, let me hear your theory! Seph/Tifa was my finest work this round! I want to hear your stupid theories regarding it!)

Tran: No way! I won’t tell! You’re just bluffing. You don’t know what happened.

Lopen: Of course I do. You are the foolish child who wishes to learn the answer.

Tran: Waaah! I am not a child! Shut up, Lopen!

Lopen: You sure do whine like a child.

Tran: Waaaaah! Stop it!

(Moltar: Both of you are foolish children! Continue to fight amongst yourself for my amusement! I’m really enjoying this!)
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 7:47:01 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #030
Tran: That’s it Lopen, I’m going to teach you some respect! *brings arm back*

Lopen: A child needs to be disciplined in order to learn its place. *brings arm back*

*slap!* *slap!*

(Moltar: Ahahahahahaha! They attacked each other! They’re going to fight! And all because of my game! This is what I like to see! Tear each other apart! Break each other down! It’ll only make your submission to my magic that much sweeterrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr! Ahahaha-)

Tran: Moltar is so dumb! He still hasn’t noticed!

Lopen: I can’t believe that actually fooled him.

Moltar: Huh? You two…turned into butterflies?

Tran: We’ve been butterflies, idiot!

Moltar: But…I just saw you two arguing down there!

Lopen: You mean you didn’t even realize those were puppets? We’ve been up here the whole time.

Moltar: *looks down to see two lifeless dolls lying prone on the ground* Does…does that mean…you heard me up here?

Tran: Yep! We made the puppets say a whole bunch of dumb theories so we could get confirmation of things in bold! We know you too well, Molty! We completely played you! Haha!

Moltar: The two of you…tricked me?

Lopen: Your overconfidence will lead to your downfall. You let Kleenex learn too much from your battle because you figured he would submit. You completely ignored Ngamer and Red Sox when they’ve been working together to figure out your tricks. And now, you’ve let Transience and I further develop our theories by confirming several things in bold.

Moltar: …

Tran: You’re going to lose, Moltar! You’ve slipped up big time!

Moltar: …Ha…haha ahahahahaAHAHAHAHA, you think you’ve beaten meeeeeeeee? You think any of that matterssssssssss? I can give you all the hints in the world, and you will still never be able to disprove my magic! Not for this contest! Not in the next contest! Not in the next one-thousand years!

Lopen: …You talk big, but it’s only to hide the panic that you truly feel. Everyone is close to the truth, Moltar. Your tricks will be exposed soon.

Moltar: Grrr…we’ll see about that! *disappears*

Tran: Wow, he sure is mad! I didn’t think he’d take it so hard! We really got him good!

Lopen: …Don’t expect me to work any further with you. I only helped this time because I needed to confirm a few things. I won’t have you leeching off of my brilliance anymore.

Tran: Haha! That’s what I would expect from you, Transi~! Don’t forget that this was all my idea.

Lopen: Whatever…I wish to be alone now.

Tran: Aww, I wanted to play some more! Oh well, you better not disappoint me in the end! <Bye Bye!> *disappears*

Lopen: …Hmmph, I’m surrounded by children. My victory is all but assured. *disappears*





*glass breaks*
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 7:50:49 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #031

From: Karma Hunter | #015
augh I was looking for the signup topic all this time and it was in the main one!?

I DEMAND TO USURP THE GUEST POSITION FOR SNAKE > SEPHIROTH

maybe I can share it with someone like ExTha but gawd


I'm okay with this.

Since you won't join the main crew ;_;
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Squall (194/240)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 10:13:51 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #032
Quarterfinals: Round 5 - Match 121 – (1) Link vs. (1) Sonic

Moltar’s Analysis

Link
Round 1 - 79.81% vs. Thrall
Round 2 - 71.79% vs. Alucard
Round 3 - 67.28% vs. Mega Man X
Round 4 - 71.13% vs. Luigi

The fun of SFF

Sonic
Round 1 - 63.86% vs. Lightning
Round 2 - 67.61% vs. Knuckles
Round 3 - 57.18% vs. Ganondorf
Round 4 - 54.61% vs. Kirby

And Sonic proves that second-tier Nintendo characters can’t beat him.

Well, Link isn’t going to lose here. It’ll be interesting to see how Sonic does in relation to MMX though. Sonic hasn’t looked bad in his last two rounds, and the top characters haven’t been dominating as usual, so he may do fine here. Night match helps him out a bit too. He could get SFFed smacked…but I’ll bet against that after MMX looked fine.

Moltar’s Bracket: Link > Sonic

Moltar’s Prediction: Link: 64% - Sonic: 36%



Lopen’s Analysis

I don't even know if this is going to be a full day match or not. I'm assuming that doesn't happen till next round.

Anyway just 7 more matches, glorious! Who will win today?

Well, Sonic's got no chance here. To my knowledge this match hasn't happened yet, though. I think Sonic overperforms here. Maybe cause of people fiending for an upset, maybe cause Sonic just has some crazy Shadow the Hedgehog like interaction when he goes straight up against flagship Nintendo. Who knows. All I knows is I'm feelin a great performance here.

Lopen prediction:
Link with 56.98%



Transience’s Analysis

I think Sonic had a perfect path this year - a character with a game that didn't exist yet, another Sonic character it could SFF to oblivion, and two lower-tier Nintendo characters, one of which got turned into a pig.

You see, I think Nintendo and Sonic overlap, and I think Sonic took advantage of being higher in the hierarchy there: he's just more iconic than Kirby or Ganondorf. I don't think Sonic is all that special -- seriously, he couldn't double a character without a game yet -- but when it comes to secondary and tertiary Nintendo characters, I'm not worried about him. Sure, Kirby beat him last year but that was a weird situation.

What I'm trying to say is that Link is everything Ganondorf and Kirby aren't and that Link is going to tear Sonic a new one because of it. Sonic hasn't been beaten this badly since Cloud went for the doubling in 2003. If Auron can 55/45 Sonic, what's Link going to do? I want to see if Sonic can outdo Luigi's percentage. If he can't vs. the king of Nintendo, he'll be a laughingstock.

transience's prediction: Link with 65.97%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/16/2010 10:14:11 PM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #033
Ngamer’s Analysis

Quickie w/ Ng: I'm still a heavy Sonic disbeliever- in fact I'd even consider taking MMX to outperform him vs Link if this were a Day Match. But since its the Night, those Zelda-hating Europeans are bound to bail him out; even so, I doubt he escapes the doubling by MUCH.

Ngamer Says: Link > Sonic, 64.79%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Been really busy today and really don't have the energy for anything long and drawn out here, despite being a quarterfinal match. Sonic's proved that he's not the chump we thought he might be after last year, but it's Link time. Sonic's gonna get stomped here Doesn't help that Sonic's got some Nintendo overlap.

He'll still probably put up the best performance on Link this contest, but that's not saying much.

Bracket: Link
Favorites: Link
Prediction: Link with 64.14%



Red Sox’s Analysis

It's time for the King of SFF to return to form and absolutely annihilate Sonic. Yes, I've been saying this for the past 3 rounds, but this time it will come true! Ok, well, it probably won't. Link hasn't been on his top form this year, anti-voters seem to have caught up to him at last, and this is a night match. He'll still do pretty well, but probably won't annihilate Sonic, on whom we're probably going to get a pretty good read.

Prediction: Link with 68.00
Upset Potential: 0%
Upper Bound: Link with 72%
Lower Bound: Link with 64%



Crew Consensus: Link slays Sonic
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/16/2010 10:28:22 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #034
Emergency Fill-in Guest Analysis
Link he come to town to stomp on stupid hedgehog.

Link with 66%
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"Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/16/2010 10:59:14 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #035
Whoops, forgot to write one up in advance. I'm writing this having no idea if Moltar has posted the Crew's Analyses yet, so if I Price-is-Right someone, it's purely by accident.

TsunamiXXVIII's Guest Analysis

Sonic, Sonic, Sonic. What do we do with you? Rumors of your vulnerability as a Noble Niner were greatly exaggerated. However, against Link, you're pretty much doomed. Link did better against Luigi than he did against Mega Man X, proving once and for all that he is the King of SFF. But how much SFF does Sonic have with the Nintendo crew? Enough to beat Ganondorf and Kirby with ease, anyway. Or was it?

Eh...I don't know. Sonic should still be stronger than MMX...right? Okay, maybe not. However, it should be noted that no Noble Niner has ever been held below 30%, even against Link. (The only doubling ever scored against a Noble Niner was Link over Mega Man in 2004.) I'm going to go with that and say...

Link wins with 69.02% of the vote.
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CB8 score: 215
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
transience | Posted 3/16/2010 11:02:51 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #036
Link'd
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xyzzy
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/16/2010 11:04:21 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #037
Yeah, sorry it was so close to the wire...but I still got it in before the match started, so it should count.

Well, it looks like I could've afforded to go a little lower, after all. I was considering the high 68s, but decided to go over 69%. Didn't expect to be the high pick here.
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CB8 score: 215
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/16/2010 11:06:07 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #038
Yeah, Link! Really hoping he can keep this up so I can get an accuracy point.
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CB8 score: 215
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/16/2010 11:36:44 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #039
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 11:41:00 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #040
Heh.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/16/2010 11:42:37 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #041
Good job Tsunami, glad you got your analysis in on time! I meant to Price is Right the highest pick but i missed red sox's. Glad you went high!
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
red sox 777 | Posted 3/16/2010 11:43:46 PM | message detail | filter | quote | #042
The one time I don't predict a massive percentage for Link he gets it! Should have stuck with fanboyism and 70%.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/17/2010 1:17:05 AM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #043
Crew Predictions - 101/116

What Happened: Samus kills Zelda, Cloud kills Ryu, Snake beats Squall and Tifa embarrasses Seph

Why it Happened: Zelda weaker, Cloud being Cloud, Snake prepping for the upset and Seph confirming the inevitable.

What will Happen: Samus > Cloud, Snake > Seph



Crew Prediction Challenge - points


Moltar - 106
Kleenex - 106
Red Sox - 105
Tran - 104
Ngamer - 104
Lopen - 99
Guest - 99



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Red Sox gets the point for Samus, Ngamer gets the point for Cloud, Moltar and Red Sox get the point for Snake and Lopen gets the point for Seph

Moltar - 23.5
Ngamer - 22
Guest - 19.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 2, War: 1, Turtle: 2, Smashy: 1, Ngirl: 1, Luster: 1, Curt: 1)
Tran - 16
Lopen - 16
Red Sox - 15
Kleenex - 7
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Sonic (210/256)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
vcharon | Posted 3/17/2010 1:26:38 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #044
Feel that great performance!
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:>
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/17/2010 2:38:00 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #045
Yeah, Sonic's on his way to new levels of suck. Like I said, no Noble Niner has ever been 70-30'd, not even by a Clinkeroth.
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CB8 score: 215
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/17/2010 4:06:10 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #046
Man I could totally rejoin the Crew next contest hope springs eternal I should also check my e-mail more

Anyway. C'mon ExTha get your butt in gear it's time to duel !!
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http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
Lopen | Posted 3/17/2010 4:46:57 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #047
Wow Sonic you suck ass.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/17/2010 7:38:52 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #048
Nice prediction Red Sox.It is too sad to see Link winning that much against a fellow N9 but hey...Imagine if Sonic wasn't on Smash Brothers!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/17/2010 10:12:51 AM | message detail | delete | filter | quote | #049
Quarterfinals: Round 5 - Match 122 – (1) Mario vs. (7) Charizard

Moltar’s Analysis

Mario
Round 1 - 81.04% vs. Falco
Round 2 - 63.16% vs. Big Boss
Round 3 - 74.10% vs. Ike
Round 4 - 58.38% vs. Mega Man

MM’s good contest run ends with a lackluster showing against Mario

Charizard
Round 1 - 64.25% vs. Duke
Round 2 - 54.49% vs. Kratos
Round 3 - 60.64% vs. L-Block
Round 4 - 54.73% vs. Bowser

Now THAT…was impressive - Randy Orton on Charizard vs. Bowser

Charizard’s had a great Contest. Only newcomer since 2003 other than Diablo and Vincent to win his division in his debut. Even his thrashing of Bowser last round was just crazy.

However, HG/SS is like soooooooooo last week, and now Charizard has reached the end of the road. Bowser couldn’t SFF him, and I doubt Mario will do the same, so this is going to come down to raw strength. Also, Charizard should be stronger than Big Boss, but weaker than Mega Man.

If Charizard Flare Blitz’d his way over 40%, that would be an amazing showing, and with the way things have been going, it’s entirely possible! Riding off that HG/SS high!

Moltar’s Bracket: Mario > Sora

Moltar’s Prediction: Mario: 60% - Charizard: 40%



Lopen’s Analysis

Well, Charizard only got 54% on Bowser on the release of Pokemanz Kingdom Hearts Tier Cheese Titles, so you've gotta assume Mario can make that up. I'm thinking not by that much. Upset fiending and the release being fresh will help Charizard look good.

Bring on Snake/Seph already.

Lopen's prediction:
Mario with 56.98%



Transience’s Analysis

I've thought for the past couple of rounds that Charizard has a bandwagon going on. Now that he's beaten Bowser, I'd say that that bandwagon is in full swing.

Knuckles got this in 2005 when he exposed Magus: suddenly people were scared he'd beat Squall (the Crew famously picked Knuckles over Squall) and he overperformed bigtime because of being the cool upset train that could. More recently, Kirby knocked off Sonic and that momentum took him to leading Cloud for a full hour.

Charizard has people stupidly talking about how he's going to beat Mario because he got 55% on Bowser. That's just dumb. What *isn't* dumb, though, is expecting a big performance from him. He has no reason to break 40% here, but there's too many Pokefanboys running around lately and he's a cool upset pick. 3% of the brackets picked the 'zard to win. You think people haven't noticed that?

transience's prediction: Mario with 57.94%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Quickie w/ Ng: As we've learned many times already this year, you don't bet against Pokemon in a Day Match. In fact I've learned the lesson so thoroughly that I'm drinking the Kool Aid and picking Charizard to... out perform Mega Man! (Can't believe I just said that.)

Ngamer Says: Mario > Charizard, 58.37%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Die Charizard die.

Bracket: Mario
Favorites: Mario
Prediction: Mario with 57.88%



Red Sox’s Analysis

After last round it looks like being related to Nintendo and not being Link is the kiss of death against Mario. Can Charizard stand up to the SFF? Well, perhaps he can, but probably not well. I know Pokemon's stood up to SFF very well before, but I'm not expecting much here. In natural strength he probably loses 56-44 or so to Mario, with his HG/SS excitement boost included. Thinking this will be around 60-40 after SFF.

Prediction: Mario with 60.00%
Upset Potential: 0%
Upper Bound: Mario with 65%
Lower Bound: Mario with 55%



Crew Consensus: Mario ends Charizard’s hot contest run.
Sonic_Druid | Posted 3/17/2010 10:15:31 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #050
Lopen: Wow Sonic you suck ass.

It's just a popularity contest. No need to take it seriously. >_>
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BFC: 2492-6375-2047 (Sonic)
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