GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 7
The last two. Well now, I sure like my position for this one! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Luigi had BETTER be leading in the beginning or you are all jerks --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
Forgot to lower my Tifa pick here at least I remembered for the Oracle! --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Tifa > Big Daddy (150/188) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Big Daddy doing pretty awesome here. stronger than Gordon confirmed. --- xyzzy |
Sent my Sonic/Kirby analysis in early since I'll be busy tomorrow. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
Wow,
BD is getting some solid work done with this ASV. Which means... 4
years later, Ness is back to making for a good fodder line. I'd have
never believed it! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
From: Ngamer64 | #356 Ness was always a good fodder line, quite frankly. He probably hasn't changed a bit in 4 years. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Round 3 Tea Party Tran: Man, you Goats are totally no fun to talk to. So not <pop> or <cute>. Guests: … *Lopen suddenly appears* Tran: Lopen! You’re back! Finally, someone to talk to! Hey, where’s Kleenex? Lopen: …He’s sulking like a baby over his loss to Moltar. He is to stay out of my sight until he can redeem himself for his miserable performance earlier. Tran: Hah! You’re so tough on him. Like a mother scolding her child! Lopen: Hmmph, comparing me to an elderly mother. How rude. Tran: …Where did you get the elderly part from? *Meanwhile, in another part of the world* Red Sox: My, Round 3 has already ended. Where is Moltar now? Ngamer: I do not know. He has been awfully quiet since his battle with Kleenex. I wonder if he regrets letting so much information go during it, pukuku. Red Sox: We are getting closer to the endgame. More of his results are starting to make sense. He has to be very careful from now on. Ngamer: Yes, I have quite a few theories. If you don’t mind, how about we work together in order to piece together this puzzle? |
Red
Sox: Oh my, I am sure Moltar would not be too happy about this if he
found out. Then again, it is not like that would be against the rules. Ngamer: Excellent. I will start with Hyrule then. Mega Man X resisted SFF against Link, which is why X looked so good in his match. Then, Luigi defeated Cube so badly due to him getting stronger. Red Sox: Hmm, X did do rather well on Link. Maybe Link is weaker this year? That could lead to some interesting possibilities later. Also, Cube may have gotten weaker this year instead of Luigi getting stronger. Cube did struggle to beat The Boss after all. Ngamer: That is right…hmm, how about the Chaos division? Red Sox: Sonic did do very well on Ganondorf, but I think that was a result of the picture and the match being held at night. Kirby did rather well against Vivi. Better than he did against Rikku. Ngamer: Vivi didn’t do too great against Altair or DK either. Also, the Kirby match was a day match. Oh, and how about that Mushroom Division? Mario defeating Ike easily was expected, but Mega Man beating Ryu Hayabusa by such a margin caught me off guard! Red Sox: Yes, Moltar definitely mislead us there. He had Ryu H perform poorly in Round 1, and then beat Master Chief in Round 2, and then lose by a large margin to Mega Man in Round 3. Perhaps he just underperforms when put against strong characters? Ngamer: That seems like a weak explanation, but I guess it must do for now. Red Sox: The Heart Division is pretty exciting too. I didn’t foresee both Charizard and Bowser making it this far. Ngamer: After L-Block’s and Sora’s rather weak showings before, I had a feeling they would lose here. I believe Moltar did give clear hints through their previous performances about this happening though. Red Sox: How about Samus? Do you think Moltar’s hinting that she’ll beat Cloud? Ngamer: Pukuku, that would be quite wild! She did very well against Sub-Zero. Then again, I wonder how she’ll do against Zelda this time. Red Sox: I’m guessing Moltar decided to make Zelda weaker this time. She hasn’t done anything impressive thus far. Speaking of Cloud, how will Ryu do on him? Ngamer: Ryu has looked good so far, but Cloud may give him a good beating. I don’t think Moltar has any tricks there. Red Sox: What’s next…ah, Snake and Squall. Snake did do pretty poorly last round against Pikachu, while Squall beat a tough opponent in Auron. Ngamer: Indeed, that match may be very interesting. What was also interesting was Sephiorth beating Missingno. Red Sox: If Missingno won, it would have probably gone on to win the entire contest. Moltar wouldn’t pull the same trick twice. Ngamer: Yes, it was a good attempt at a trick, but it seems neither of us fell for it. Sephiorth vs. Tifa should be no surprise. Red Sox: Well, it seems we’ve covered the whole bracket. I hope that discussion was as helpful to you as it was to me. Ngamer: Yes, I am starting to see things more clearly now. Thank you for that conversation. Would you like some cookies and tea as a show of my gratitude? Red Sox: Why yes, that would be nice. *Meanwhile, in another part of the world* Tran: Hey Lopen! I’m bored! Do something about this! Lopen: …Well, it is just the two of us here. Tran: We could have some…fun. Teehee <3 Lopen: …Fun? What kind of fun do you propose? Tran: Haha, you’ll see. Just come with me! Lopen: …I don’t know if I like the sound of this, but I can’t help but admit…I’m intrigued. Very well, let us go. You better not disappoint me, Transience. *grin* … … *glass breaks* |
Oh my. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/12/2010 5:56:59 PM | message detail Ness was always a good fodder line, quite frankly. Yes, but try telling that to the 15% you assigned him last season! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Yes, but try telling that to the 15% you assigned him last season! Blame Mewtwo! I didn't make SFF adjustments if I couldn't find a non-arbitrary base, so Ness got stuck. Based on Big Daddy's performance, we get Ness > Peach, too! LOL Nobody cares about Peach --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Leon, you said you sent your Link/Luigi analysis but I'm not seeing it --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Tifa > Big Daddy (150/188) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
after Meta-Knight > Peach, Ness > Peach makes perfect sense. --- xyzzy |
Hyrule Division: Round 4 - Match 113 – (1) Link vs. (3) Luigi Moltar’s Analysis Link Round 1 - 79.81% vs. Thrall Round 2 - 71.79% vs. Alucard Round 3 - 67.28% vs. Mega Man X Didn’t I see this already some years ago? Luigi Round 1 - 65.70% vs. Meta Knight Round 2 - 59.59% vs. Amaterasu Round 3 - 64.84% vs. Cube The joke is over. What a way to start off Round 4, with an SFF blow-out! We’ve seen Link kill Yoshi before, and even with blow-outs not being what they used to be, Link should be able to go big here. Luigi hasn’t really been hurt by SFF badly in the past before. Yoshi, Bowser and Kirby didn’t show any major signs of it Even the man in red himself, Mario, only managed to double his brother last year, which isn’t that much SFF. Link is stronger than Mario, and Luigi looks to be around the same level as usual. Therefore, I’m guessing Link pushes into the low 70’s here. Moltar’s Bracket: Link > Luigi Moltar’s Prediction: Link: 72% - Luigi: 28% Transience’s Analysis Round 4! Another week and a half and we're done with this here contest. Round 4 starts out with a whisper. Luigi is going to lose this and it's a matter of how badly he gets SFF'd. I think I'd take Luigi to be equal to MMX (though not confidently) and X just got doubled. Link will have an easier time SFFing Luigi than he did X, so this could be ugly. Link got like 147% against Yoshi a bunch of years ago, but this isn't the Link of old that could get 75% on half the characters in this contest, so I'll settle a number closer to 70%. transience's prediction: Link with 70.45% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: I'm one of those who believes X isn't all that far behind MM, so avoiding the doubling doesn't seem possible... but after Luigi held up decently against Mario, I see no reason for him to crumble TOO badly here. Watch for him to keep this in the 60s. Ngamer Says: Link > Luigi, 68.19% Kleenex’s Analysis Round 4 zone. Another Link match, another Nintendo character with no chance in hell. I dunno how Luigi's gonna do here, but it's probably not going to be very good. He's looked pretty solid up through now though, so it's a shame to see him get pasted by Link here. The superior green gets the short end of the stick, but hopefully he'll be able to make this look respectable in the end. Bracket: Link Favorites: Luigi Prediction: Link with 67.12% Red Sox’s Analysis Link once beat Yoshi with 81% back in 2004, right after Yoshi beat Luigi. Naturally I'm hoping for a similar display of power from the King of SFF tonight, but it probably won't materialize. Blowouts have been few and far between this year, and Mario's 81% on Falco still stands as the record. I'm going to have to go with a much more tame prediction: Prediction: Link with 76.50% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Link with 82% Lower Bound: Link with 70% Crew Consensus: Link’s green beats Luigi’s green |
red sox goes overboard on a Link match? only three more of these to go! --- xyzzy |
Whoops, must've forgotten to send it to you after I wrote it, I guess! What an anti-climactic end to this division, the only division in the entire bracket I’ll predict completely correct (barring a Luigi upset, of course!!). We’ve already seen Link quadruple Yoshi in the past, but it doesn’t seem like he has that same kind of SFF power anymore. Maybe it’s anti-votes or whatever, but Zelda in general has looked weaker this year than it has in a long time (though it says a lot about Link when “weaker” still means he scores 71% on a solid midcarder like Alucard and 67% on Mega Man X). Not that it’ll stop Link from winning the contest, because there hasn’t really been any Noble Niner who’s looked outstanding this contest apart from Mega Man, and we already know he’s not beating Link. That said, I’m going to go low with Link here (mostly because I assume most everyone else will be going high, and maybe I can snag an accuracy point if Luigi pulls some sort of fluke or something!). I don’t think he has what it takes to quadruple Luigi anymore, though he could prove me wrong. A tripling wouldn’t be surprising at all though, and at least a doubling should be expected here, I figure. However…! Leonhart’s Vote: The Green Missile himself, Luigi! Leonhart’s Anticipation Level: Meh, at least Luigi got to round 4. Leonhart’s Prediction: Link with 64.99% --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
I'd like to see Luigi pull off an upset but it's not happening :( |
Leon will have a tough time disciplining the Guest Clan for this blunder. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Man you guys just need to play Umineko and see where Moltar gets this stuff from --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
Not even 5 minutes late! It's cool! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Lopen's analysis http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1766 Sure, 5.5 years ago, but yeah. No chance in hell. Lopen's prediction: Link with 80% --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Just read the analyses Buncha Luigi fanboyz on the crew. Yeah, Link isn't Link of 5.5 years ago, but guess what, Link would've gotten like 85% on Luigi 5 years ago. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Nahhhhhhh --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
80% lol Luigi fanboys indeed --- xyzzy |
Just wait till that board vote wears off --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
waitin' --- xyzzy |
Link with 72% next update believe --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Mulligan tbqh --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
When I voted, Luigi was winning. Top 5 moment of the contest. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Solid start for Luigi. I'm just going to chalk this accuracy point up for myself now to save us all some time. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
NOT SO FAST </Lang> Wait for that Weegi night vote! It's-a comin'! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Sephiroth 52.88% 35286 Missingno 47.12% 31445 TOTAL VOTES 66731 Big Daddy 39.55% 28562 Tifa Lockheart 60.45% 43662 TOTAL VOTES 72224 Crew Predictions - 94/108 What Happened: FF7 winz Why it Happened: Missingno started alright, but didn't have the rallying power to survive overnight. Big Daddy also looks to have some real strength since Bioshock 2, as 40% on Tifa is no joke (stronger than Gordon too). What will Happen: Seph/Tifa oh boy Crew Prediction Challenge - augh Moltar - 99 Kleenex - 99 Red Sox - 97 Tran - 97 Ngamer - 97 Lopen - 94 Guest - 93 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tran gets the point for Seph and Ngamer gets the point for Tifa Moltar - 21 Ngamer - 21 Guest - 19.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 2, War: 1, Turtle: 2, Smashy: 1, Ngirl: 1, Luster: 1, Curt: 1) Tran - 16 Lopen - 14 Red Sox - 12.5 Kleenex - 7 --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Luigi (154/192) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Boy, was I right about that Luigi night vote or what, huh? --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Moltar's great at sharing the top of the mountain and tranny's awesome at being so average. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
Chaos Division: Round 4 - Match 114 – (1) Sonic vs. (3) Kirby Moltar’s Analysis Sonic Round 1 - 63.86% vs. Lightning Round 2 - 67.61% vs. Knuckles Round 3 - 57.18% vs. Ganondorf darn you bacondorf Kirby Round 1 - 57.53% vs. Rikku Round 2 - 68.40% vs. GlaDOS Round 3 - 57.63% vs. Vivi Rikku what a beast http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3303 Because of this, Kirby has been hyped up big time for this match. Kirby was riding momentum and managed to eliminate Sonic in 2008, who had been looking really bad up until then. Then this contest starts, and Sonic goes and gets only 64% on a character whose game hadn’t come out followed by an SFF match no one put any value in. Looking bad, right? Well, Kirby didn’t really look great either. The GlaDOS match looked good, but after seeing Cube bomb, it’s kind of meh now. He did as expected on Rikku and Vivi too. Sonic silenced a lot of people with his numbers on Ganondorf. I believe they are inflated due to a night match and picture disadvantage, but it still seems that Sonic would have still won that in a fair 24 hour match with 53-55%. Pre-contest, I said that I would take Ganondorf over Kirby. If Ganon couldn’t beat Sonic, then Kirby wouldn’t, no questions asked. I still feel the same way here. Kirby will do better because of more balanced pictures and it being a day match, but still, Ganondorf > Kirby! Moltar’s Bracket: Sonic > Kirby Moltar’s Prediction: Sonic: 55% - Kirby: 45% Lopen’s Analysis Sonic may have "salvaged" himself a bit last round, but I think that hardly counts. Very importaantly... Ganon was in pig form, and still say Ganon ain't the type to hold up well to the big boys with the Nintendo flavor. I'm not gonna call Sonic/Nintendo SFF... but then again, with Mario & Sonic at the Olympics runnin wild, maybe I am. But let's get past that for a second. At this juncture, I think Kirby is stronger than Ganondorf, straight up. Ganondorf hasn't looked stronger than Kirby in years. People will cling to the old "4 WAYZ NO USE" but these just sound like convenient excuses. Kirby's carried over his momentum into this year with dominating wins every round, eclipsing what our friend Bacondorf accomplished. And can we forget that last year Kirby beat Sonic straight up? Four way, sure, but Sonic had no excuse there. And the day match environs definitely favor Kirby. Kirby destroys everything Sonic ever loved while engulfing all his chili dogs, what a heinous villain. Lopen's prediction: Kirby with 51.45% Transience’s Analysis Something Weird is about to happen in this match. What performance do you trust? - Sonic pathetically putting up 64% on pre-FF13 Lightning? - Sonic beating Ganondorf by as much as Kirby beat Vivi? - Kirby beating Sonic last year? Ganondorf is not losing to Vivi, so by that logic Sonic should beat Kirby pretty good. But then Ganondorf had that awful sprite picture that probably adversely affected his performance, so maybe he's just underrated. Or maybe he got SFF'd by Sonic? It's tough to say. The only thing we can say for sure about Sonic is that he got 64% on Lightning. It's hard as hell to gauge Lightning, but a Noble Nine guy should be able to double a character who doesn't even exist yet. Would Lightning beat Glados? Kirby got like 68% on Glados. |
by
Kirby leading Cloud for a full hour. Kirby's got a great shot here, way
better than Ganondorf ever had, but I just don't trust Kirby to get a
full 50% on Sonic. The short match probably helps Kirby and he'll
almost definitely start out with the lead, but I kind of trust Sonic a
little bit right now, more than I have in the past. At the very least,
he's not weaker than Crono! lol crono transience's prediction: Sonic with 53.11% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: With no Bacondorf or perfect SFF situation to bail him out this time, I'm betting Sonic returns to his underperforming ways. A straight upset would shock me, but the Blur probably comes short of an Ulti blowout as well... let's say Ngamer Says: Sonic > Kirby, 52.93% Kleenex’s Analysis People were worried about Sonic all before this contest started. I mean, certainly failing to break 64% on a character without a game can't be good news? Well, as the contest went on, people seemed to change their tune. Sonic wrecked Knuckles the way he should have and then showed Ganondorf that he's still a head and shoulders above everyone else. Aside from the obvious connotations of Lightning being an absolute beast despite not having a game (watch out), this also means that Sonic's probably not in any danger here. I'd wager that Ganon's probably stronger than Kirby anyway, so sprite pic aside, if Ganon couldn't take down the hedgehog, I have a hard time seeing Kirby do it. Stranger things have happened - Kirby didn't show any indications of being on that level last year - but Sonic looked bad, while he hasn't think year. Sonic's got this. Bracket: Sonic Favorites: Sonic Prediction: Sonic with 55.14% Red Sox’s Analysis Here's a match many have anticipated since the bracket came out. It's a rematch of a 4-way battle from last year in which Kirby stunned us by beating Sonic despite not having an LFF situation that seemed to favor him at all. Was it a bandwagon? Or perhaps Sonic just being bad at 4-ways? The Nintendo Hierarchy at work? Myself, I can buy that Kirby was the most independent character in that match- the Smash fanbase often feels like it votes Nintendo to the exclusion of all else. Outside of that match, Sonic has always looked stronger, including this year. I took him to win this, and after the Ganondorf match, Kirby's prospects look very dim. Kirby may be stronger than Bacondorf, but surely he wouldn't 57-43 him. Now, this is a day match, but that shouldn't result in more than a 3% swing relative to a night match. But that's still not enough, unless Kirby gets a bandwagon, or activates Nintendo rSFF, or something like that. It's still hard to argue with direct results, though, so I have to give him a chance. Prediction: Sonic with 53.00% Upset Potential: 20% Upper Bound: Sonic with 58% Lower Bound: Kirby with 52% |
Guest’s Analysis - PaulG235 Glad to see I finally was right in one of my analysis. Finally removed that curse away from me. ^_^ Anyway, I have a busy weekend, so this write-up will be short. Pre-contest, I had Kirby. My reasons for having this were that he's a high midcarder, Sonic's looking worse by each passing year and it wasn't just the four-ways, and Kirby > Sonic in 2008 still being fresh in people's minds. Now, though, Kirby has almost zero chance of winning. He's pretty much done so-so against all of his opponents, whereas Sonic, while initially looking bad at first thanks to Lightning, SFF'ed Knuckles with ease and easily defeated Ganondorf. I think it becomes pretty clear who's winning just taking that into account. Kirby winning would mean Ganondorf is as strong as (if not weaker than) Rikku. Yeah, NO. Sonic pretty much has this division, he should get around 54% here, and no amount of rSFF will give Kirby the win at this point. Predction: Sonic Percentage: 53.90% My Vote: Sonic Crew Consensus: One person has Kirby, but the majority is siding with Sonic. |
Ugh ****ing Crew Curse >_< --- Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position |
Phew, I get to stay on the leaderboard. Thanks, crew. The curse is finally benefiting me. --- "All the money's in turning face" ~ Gold Knuckle |
I got Price Is Righted on both sides. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
Man, Kirby. Lame. Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tran gets the point for Seph and Ngamer gets the point for Tifa Tran bid on the wrong team! That's my point !! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
sry it was late --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Sonic > Kirby (162/200) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
People will cling to the old "4 WAYZ NO USE" but these just sound like convenient excuses. Yep, just an excuse. Kirby should beat freaking Sonic 1 on 1, right? --- CBVIII: 95/112 - 160 pts, tied for 293rd Night Pick: Link Day Pick: Sonic |
Oh big man taunting me when the match has already started KIRBY COMEBACK NOW, PUNK, YOU'LL EAT THOSE WORDS --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
You're not even good enough to be my--I'LL MAKE--fake!--YOU EAT THOSE WORDS! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Moltar - 99 Kleenex - 99 Time to rewrite that round 3 intermission. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Mega Man/Mario Analysis I'll be brief. So far, Mega Man has performed on Mario's level. That's not hyping, it's a conclusion anyone can come to just by looking at the numbers. If you assume that Cid=Aeris, then you can get these comparisons: Mega Man: 39.14% vs. Link (through Zack) Mega Man: 62.12% vs. Zero (through Cid) Mario 2k5: 39.59% vs. Link Mario 2k5: 62.86% vs. Zero Then when you factor in that MM does a good bit better against Zack and Cid in a 24-hour match, and you've already Mega Man exceeding two results that Mario put up in what pretty much everyone agrees was his strongest year. Then you factor in it being a night match and GameFAQs shying away from the obvious results lately and...yeah. Mega Man>Mario, 50.5% --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
May I ask how you extrapolated MM's percentage on Zero through Cid? --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
Mushroom Division: Round 4 - Match 115 – (1) Mario vs. (3) Mega Man Moltar’s Analysis Mario Round 1 - 81.04% vs. Falco Round 2 - 63.16% vs. Big Boss Round 3 - 74.10% vs. Ike No sympathy here Mega Man Round 1 - 63.04% vs. Cid Round 2 - 61.66% vs. Zack Round 3 - 72.15% vs. Ryu H Cid and Zack reconfirmed for good strength So an MM > Mario hype train is forming. While it’s no Snake > Seph or Samus > Cloud train, I’ll entertain it. MM has looked great so far with impressive wins over high-midcarders like Cid and Zack, and a big win over Ryu H. MMX was pretty close to Mario in the matches they had in 2008, and MM has looked stronger than MMX. Plus, it being a night match helps MM too, as MMX did manage to hold the lead over Mario at night. However this upset is not happening. MMX being close to Mario in a four-way match with other Nintendo hurting Mario is one thing. Mario and MM going at it in a one-on-one match is something else. Not only has Mario looked fine so far (the Big Boss match was especially good), but he’s also got the SFF advantage if there is any. Yeah, Link didn’t seem to have done much to MMX, but I believe Mario and MM have a closer relation and more overlap. I don’t see any major SFF happening, but I do think MM is going to look weaker than he should. MM isn’t magically stronger because he actually didn’t suck in the first three rounds. He’s just actually getting business done this year and looking like he should. Moltar’s Bracket: Mario > Mega Man Moltar’s Prediction: Mario: 59% - Mega Man: 41% Lopen’s Analysis If I see a ton of "SMAUS/MARIO LOLOL" mentions in write-ups, someone's gonna pay. That logic just doesn't apply to Mega Man. Now that being said... does Mega Man have a chance? Uhhh... you know I really don't know! I'd love to say he does. He's looked arguably better than Mario this year, but Mario hasn't exactly looked shabby. Stats say Mega Man has like a 57-43 or so coming... I can't say I trust that, though. Mostly because Mega Man X cut it close with Mario several times over last year. Mario had a lot of excuses in every match, but the fact remains MMX did it. A MMX who is almost certainly weaker than Mega Man. Further, we didn't really get anything resembling a good read on Mega Man last year. Snake and his weighted cardboard box ousted him in R3 in a most dubious fashion, with Zero dragging him down to hell. Mega Man could've been trending upwards since 2007-- we really can't say. KP's probably got my back here from the GUEST CLAN front, bein the main guy to hype this upset. But that's just because I've been lazy this year. I've been waffling over this one for a while and have never counted Mega Man out... and now my gut says Mega Man's got this. People are practically fiending for a change in hierarchy here (did you see Link turn into Cloud vs Luigi?), and I think Mario will be DA VICTIM. GET EQUIPPED WITH UPSET SPECIAL Lopen's prediction: Mega Man with 50.05% Transience’s Analysis There's a lot of hype for this one. Mega Man has undeniably had the better performances. 72% on sprite Hayabusa is massive, even if Hayabusa's at a pretty big disadvantage. Mega Man also beat down the FF7 duo. Mario, meanwhile, has only had one real match, a nice showing against Naked Snake. |
