GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
If Big Daddy = 40% on MMX, Price beats Soap with a little more than 55%, for the record. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
I always assumed those guys were somewhat equal. I can't imagine the MW fanbase supporting one and not the other. --- xyzzy |
Can't wait to see everyone on the leaderboard miss another Missingno match. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Price = Soap gives MMX a little more than 55% on Big Daddy, which means MMX really sucks or Big Daddy's about to rock Ness hard. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
I have little respect for Ness, especially after the BRAWL DEBOOST (oh yeah) and in a night match. --- xyzzy |
Not seeing where all this Big Daddy overestimation is coming from. Big Daddy has shown us nothing to suggest that he has any legitimate strength. Bioshock is not even that big on this site, his pic is unrecognizable, and characters in his mold have not exactly been impressive this season. Ness may be weak, but he is not pathetically weak. I see him winning here by a comfortable margin, enough of a margin to make us wonder why this match was even debated in the first place. |
yeesh, nice start for Ness. he's of course going to win the early vote but this is a bit much. --- xyzzy |
I hate you, Ness. So very much. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Curse confirmed --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 20th Today's prediction: Ness - 51.18% Status: |
there we go, stallin' --- xyzzy |
Quittin' this contest for the third time. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
C'mon, Big Daddy! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
Ness loses --- xyzzy |
really?
I am pretty ignorant about the Modern Warfare series but I have always
heard that Soap is the guy most people identify as the main character. Not really, Soap and Price are each one of the three playable characters from MW, Price being the one who is played in the most popular mission in the game. Both appear as NPCs in MW2. For the most part CoD characters are VERY boring, Price is basically the exception. He also "appears" earlier in the series. Another thing no one wants to consider is that Bio Shock actually has a mild SFF on CoD. They are both popular multi platform FPSs and share a much larger fan base than CoD and MM. --- Mmmmmmmmmm Brains!! |
Crushin that bulbous head like a grape --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
shouldn't that be the other way around? Modern Warfare is more popular here than Bioshock is. of course, Big Daddy is probably a more interesting character than any of the MW guys, but still. --- xyzzy |
shouldn't that be the other way around? Modern Warfare is more popular here than Bioshock is. of course, Big Daddy is probably a more interesting character than any of the MW guys, but still. You answered your own question. CoD is not played for the characters. Whereas BD is considered an awesome "character" design. Come one, look at him. Besides the SFF part that matters is that FPS anti-voters are almost guaranteed to take the sci-fi drill armed robot (what he looks like) over the ordinary looking soldier. --- Mmmmmmmmmm Brains!! |
gg Ness http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2882&type=1&seconds=60&max=0 that 2-6 dropoff is what you have to look forward to --- xyzzy |
Bye, Ness. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Crew curse more like Ngamer curse. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
hey, Kleenex finally got a debated R2 match! --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
I got Missingno right too! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
sorry, you quit 30 minutes ago so it doesn't count --- xyzzy |
GOSH, do I ever wish BD didn't have 59% in Europe. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Sephiroth 62.66% 30682 Vincent Valentine 37.34% 18286 TOTAL VOTES 48968 Yoshi 48.49% 37674 Missingno 51.51% 40022 TOTAL VOTES 77696 Crew Predictions - 76/90 What Happened: Seph beats Vincent, but no blowout. Missingno continues down its path to Contest Champion Why it Happened: Seph didn't SFF Vincent this time around. As for Missingno, it was close for a while, but the Pokemon ASV gave it the win. What will Happen: Will Seph's strength win him the match? Can Missingno compete in a night match? Has Missingno already gained enough momentum to win the Contest? FIND OUT ON THE NEXT EPISODE OF DRAGON BALL Z! Crew Prediction Challenge - 2 points for some Kleenex - 82 Moltar - 82 Red Sox - 81 Ngamer - 81 Tran - 80 Guest - 77 Lopen - 76 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Guest gets the point for Seph and Ngamer gets the point for Missingno Ngamer - 19 Moltar - 16.5 Guest - 14.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1, War: 1, Turtle: 1, Smashy: 1) Lopen - 13 Tran - 12 Red Sox - 10 Kleenex - 7 --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Big Daddy > Ness (100/124) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Midgar Division: Round 2 - Match 96 – (10) Tifa Lockheart vs. (2) Gordon Freeman Moltar’s Analysis Tifa Round 1 - 78.70% vs. Yuri Good performance Gordon Round 1 - 53.25% vs. Peach Bad performance lol Gordon. Coming in strong off the Gamespot contest and then you struggle against Peach here. Anyway, Tifa nearly doubled Peach 4 years ago. She’ll be able to rock Gordon pretty easy here. Gordon usually does alright even in his losses, so he probably won’t get stomped too badly. Moltar’s Bracket: Tifa > Gordon Moltar’s Prediction: Tifa: 61% - Gordon: 39% Lopen’s Analysis Peach came way too close to Gourdon Pumpkin Head Freeman last round. Gamespot contest has no bearing here, it seems, and so Tifa should stomp him pretty bad. Or punches, as it were. Or perhaps summons attack Dolphins. T-t-the Dolphins they are not bound by physics! Lopen's prediction: Tifa with 64.69% Transience’s Analysis It's nice to dream about Gordon Freeman ruining the Final Fantasy VII Invitational (better known as the Jenova division), but the results just don't jive. Tifa beat Peach with like 67% back in 2006; Gordon just squeaked by Peach with like 53%. And Peach was probably strongest in 2006. (though to be fair, so was Tifa.) I get the feeling that Gordon's going to do well here though. I'll go with the whole 59.99% thing just because I want to see Gordon do well. A smarter pick would be Tifa with like 65% but whatever, we don't do smart here in the Analysis Crew! transience's prediction: Tifa with 59.99% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: What's with all these high Tifa preds? Gordon's the guy who looks better as his competition gets stronger- we should be holding the Peach match against him THAT much IMO. Ngamer Says: Tifa > Gordon, 58.91% |
Kleenex’s Analysis Pre-match, there were rumblings about some Gordon > Tifa action going on in this match. After all, Gordon had just rolled on through the GameSpot contest a couple months ago, and uh...there were probably other reason why people were thinking this, but I can't remember them at the moment. Then good ol' Freeman went and laid the eggiest of eggs against Peach last round. Dude did just about as bad as he could have without actually losing the match. This is a guy who's going to be Tifa? I think not. Gordon's probably gonna get embarrassed here. Poor guy, just when we thought he'd finally come into his own. Maybe next year, Gordon. Bracket: Tifa Favorites: Gordon Prediction: Tifa with 60.33% Red Sox’s Analysis Before the contest, a number of people took Gordon to win this based off the Gamespot contest among other things, but after Gordon only put up 53% on Peach, this upset more or less collapsed. I figure Tifa and Peach are both weaker than they were in 2006 now- Tifa's probably fallen off a little more between the recent FFVII decline and from KH2 excitement wearing off. So, for my prediction, I'm going to go a little lower than what straight x-stats from Tifa/Peach would predict. Prediction: Tifa with 65.85% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Tifa with 69% Lower Bound: Tifa with 63% Guest’s Analysis - Luster Soldier Last match of this round and we'll be in for a snoozefest here, now that Gordon has shown himself to be unable to threaten Tifa anymore. Some people resorted to picking the upset based on Gordon's performance against Ganondorf last contest and Gordon's win over at GameSpot, thinking it would help boost his strength a bit. And then Gordon laid an egg against Peach. Struggled with Peach at first, then eventually went on to finish around 53%. Most of the people on the board picking Gordon for the upset will most likely take the Ganondorf/Gordon result at face value, pointing out that Samus doesn't SFF anyone. I think that match is the only time that Samus appears to have SFFed someone. Two Ganondorf comparisons that might be useful here: Samus/Ganondorf - Ganondorf only got 32.74% on Samus, which definitely looks like SFF. For reference, Zelda got 44.73% on her. Ganondorf/Vincent - Ganondorf got 35.83% on Vincent in that Samus match. This is quite a drop from the 47.41% he got on Vincent in 2006. If you still don't believe Samus SFFed Ganondorf, the only other possible explanation for Ganondorf losing to Gordon is bandwagoning. Gordon might have beaten Ganondorf through bandwagoning, though he still only got 36.97% on Vincent. I would expect a bandwagoned Gordon to at least break 40% on Vincent and maybe even push for 45%. Gordon doesn't seem to be bandwagoned there and I doubt that beating Scorpion is a result that would lead to a bandwagon. Gordon doesn't have a shot at Tifa here, but should outdo the percentage Peach got against her between the day match hurting Tifa and Gordon being a slight cut above Peach. Luster Soldier's bracket: Tifa Lockheart Luster Soldier's Prediction: Tifa Lockheart - 62.69% Crew Consensus: Tifa smothers Gordon out of the contest. |
The Freeman > Ganondorf result from last character contest was the exact reason I picked HL2 > TP in the games contest. Good thing I made my mistake there and knew not to make it here! Though to be honest it was hard for me to imagine anybody picking Freeman to beat somebody who once went 50-50 with Samus. |
Gordon's the guy who looks better as his competition gets stronger Man, Sora must be a beast! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
What
a wide range of predictions here. 58.91% to 65.85% for this match. And
mine is somewhere around the middle, with a pretty considerable
distance on both sides of my prediction. Good for me, as I could get a
point for the Accuracy Challenge. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
That's not that wide of a range, and I'd say Gordon could have ended up anywhere from 60 to 70%. --- CBVIII: 75/87 - 92 pts, tied for 385th Day Pick: Dante Night Pick: Solid Snake |
LOL Gordon --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Knew I should have went higher here. Oh well. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: LeonhartFour | #382 XD whoops. Meant Tifa obviously. --- CBVIII: 75/87 - 92 pts, tied for 385th Day Pick: Dante Night Pick: Solid Snake |
Sora WAS a beast in '06! I sure as heck wouldn't take him to repeat that number on Mega Man. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Why
would I have meant Tifa? This is a fine performance for her. I just
think it was pretty funny that people thought a Gamespot Contest would
give Gordon a shot at beating her. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
He means that HE meant Tifa in his previous post. He was under the assumption that you were LOLing at him. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Ah, I see. Well, this is just a silly misunderstanding! Carry on! Go Mega Man X --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Round 2 Tea Party Kleenex: It is time! Where is Moltar? I must make him accept defeat! Lopen: …Are you sure you’re ready? You and Moltar are tied so far. Kleenex: Yes Lopen! As long as I have you by my side, I’m ready for anything! Please, lend me your support! Lopen: …Very well, this promises to amuse me. Red Sox: My, already calling out Moltar? I shall get him then. *disappear* Transience: I should go warm up some popcorn! Lopen: Which side do you favor, Witch of Locks? Transience: Neither! The only certainty here is my victory in the end! *Moltar and Ngamer suddenly appear* Moltar: So, you’re challenging me already? Foolish! Prepare to submit to my magic, Kleeneeeeeeeeeex! Ahahaha! Transience: Watch closely, you Goats! This is how the big witches play! Guests: … Ngamer: Allow me to state the scenario for this challenge. Battling on the side of humans in favor of voters, Kleenex will attempt to disprove Moltar’s claim that his magic determines the Contest. Battling on the side of witches in favor of magic, Moltar will attempt to force Kleenex to accept his claim that his magic determines the Contest. Moltar: Excellent. Also, I feel like doing things a little bit differently today. We will fight using the Bold Truth and Italic Truth instead of the red and blue! Kleenex: What? Why would we do that? Moltar: It makes things easier for the others. Kleenex: Others? What ot- Lopen: We accept. Allow me to clarify that the Bold Truth must me spoken in bold and is the undeniable truth. It cannot be disputed and does not need to be backed up. The Italics Truth must be spoken in italics and is a theory that must be replied to by the Bold Truth. If it cannot be, then it will be accepted as a truth. This is to prevent the game from never ending. Moltar: Yes, yes, that is all correct. Now Kleenex, let’s see if you can prove that voters are responsible for all these crazy results after 2 rounds. First, the Hyrule division. Kleenex: Easy. This is not a problem for the first-rate detective, Kleenex! Refute this! Alucard boosted in order to beat Magus. Moltar: Easy! Alucard did not boost this year! Kleenex: Perfect, then this confirms my theory. Magus lost to Alucard due to an overall Chrono Trigger drop. Since Alucard still looks to be a decent midcarder after his match with Link, a CT drop is likely, especially after looking at Crono and Frog. Moltar: Hoh! You tricked me and used the Bold Truth to cement your theory. That’s a good start! Continue, please. Kleenex: Next, Ocelot dropped, which allowed for- Moltar: Ocelot did not fall in strength. Kleenex: ..! How-How rude! I didn’t even finish. How did Ocelot lose if he didn’t drop in strength? Prove it! Moltar: Bold Truth! I don’t have to prove anything! You just have to accept it! Kleenex: Grrrr, that’s not fair! Lopen: Don’t get frustrated. Just think it through. Transience: Yeah. Ocelot didn’t have to get weaker in order to lose to be equal to Red! Kleenex: Hmm…so Red was already that strong? I guess that’s why MMX beat him the way he did. Moltar: Maaaaybe. How about Shadow’s loss? Wasn’t that surprising? Sonic Team’s drop sure is something! Kleenex: Ha, you almost had me fooled with Sonic Team, but I can explain it by saying that Sonic Team isn’t weaker this year! Amaterasu did good enough against Luigi to prove that Shadow is still decent. Kratos/Charizard also justified Tails! Knuckles fought an Old-Square boosted Cecil, and Sonic’s only matches were against an unknown and a SFF match, so you can’t say much else. Moltar: I’m impressed. You’ve already worked out several theories to explain themes of this Contest. You may be a worthy opponent for me after all! |
Kleenex: And lastly, Cube is only a low mid-carder, which explains why he barely beat The Boss. Sandal is extremely weak, so Cube doing so well against him means nothing! Hyrule division explained! Ngamer: All Italic Truth effective. Moltar, your reponse? Moltar: Hmm…I’ll give you that division for now. How about the next division then? Explain Wesker and Liquid specifically. Red Sox: Oh my, that’s a tough one. Kleenex: Grr…feeling cornered so you had to up the difficulty? Fine! Wesker benefitted from an overall RE boost! Moltar: Ha! A boost that brought him all the way up to Ken’s level? Reallllllllllly? Kleenex: Um…um…but that explains why all the RE characters did so well this year. Moltar: Jill maybe, but Leon put up two average performances, and Chris still failed to break 30% on Cloud! Transience: Wasn’t Wesker one of the biggest guys in Resident Evil 5? All that exposure probably really helped him out. Kleenex: Hmm, that makes some sense. As for Liquid…Liquid got weak enough to lose to Altair. Moltar: A random drop now? Liquid didn’t drop! Kleenex: What? Repeat it in bold! Moltar: I refuse! For certain reasons, of course. Kleenex: Then Altair got stronger! Moltar: But he still lost easily to Vivi! Kleenex: And? Moltar: So you’re telling me that DK is equal to Altair, and both are stronger? And that Vivi is only a bit ahead of them? Really now? After everything we’ve seen in the previous games? Reallllllllly? Kleenex: Well…well…Grr…I..can’t think of anything else. Moltar: What’s the matter, Kleeneeeeeeeeex? Too hard for you? Do you want a break? Why don’t I give you a little break so you can think? Better yet, why don’t I just put a child like you in time-out so you can reconsider ever challenging me in the first place! Kleenex: You! You shut up! I will figure this out! Moltar: I haven’t even gotten to the hard stuff yet! Can you explain Ike’s fourpack? How about Mega Man’s matches? And Master Chief? His loss to Ryu was perplexing, huh? Sora looked pretty bad too, why is that? And Riku too! And then there’s Ratchet who did really well! And how about Ezio’s matches? Can you even wrap your mind around Dante/Ryu? Or Terra/Squall? Or Seph/Vincent? Or Missingno/Yoshi? Can you really explain all those Little Mister Detective? Can you explain all thaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat? I thought you had everything figured out! But really, you don’t! You don’t know anything! You are a lousy and incompetent detective! Kleenex: Ah….Ahhh….AHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!! Moltar: Ahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!! Lopen: …I will take you up your offer for a break. Kleenex clearly cannot answer everything at the moment, so he requires a rest to cool his head and collect his thoughts. Kleenex: No…! I’m not finished!....I can….still win! Lopen: …Ugh, such a child. You don’t even know when to give up. Kleenex: Waaaaaaaaaaahhhh! *Both Lopen and Kleenex disappear.* Ngamer: Well done, Moltar. However, I didn’t think you would try to make her solve Liquid so soon. Wasn’t that one of your big guns? Transience: Also what was up with the lack of bold to shut down those Italics? You allowed Kleenex to run wild! Red Sox: You also revealed nearly every card in your hand to overwhelm him. That may come back to haunt you later. Moltar: Hey now, I knew what I was doing out there. He will submit to my magic in due time. Anyway, I’m going for a walk now. I need to plan for what I want to happen in Round 3! Good luck, everyone~! *disappears* *glass breaks* |
Kleenex owned --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Bold text sounds like the cheapest thing ever. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
Moltar just bitter he can't pull ahead. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: red sox 777 | #392 You have no idea From: KleenexTissue50 | #393 You'll fall in due time --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Big Daddy > Ness (100/124) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Hyrule Division: Round 3 - Match 97 – (1) Link vs. (13) Mega Man X Moltar’s Analysis Link Round 1 - 79.81% vs. Thrall Round 2 - 71.79% vs. Alucard A decent performance on Alucard MMX Round 1 - 65.72% vs. Capt. John Price Round 2 - 61.16% vs. Pokemon Trainer Red Followed by a decent performance on Red Remember Link/Mega Man back in 2004? Master Moltar remembers, and it was ugly. With MM getting a good amount of support from Nintendo, and Link being the king of Nintendo, you can see why MM got doubled there. Now, MMX has not only looked weaker than Mega Man, but also weaker than he looked in 2008. Two meh performances against characters that aren’t even that strong. All signs are pointing to MMX getting wrecked here. Square SFF is one thing, but Nintendo SFF, especially when it concerns Link, is usually nasty. However, I don’t think Link will get that kind of performance tonight. In fact, I’m guessing it’ll be around the doubling. Blowouts are just too hard these days. Moltar’s Bracket: Link > MMX Moltar’s Prediction: Link: 67% - Mega Man X: 33% Lopen’s Analysis Link match. Get equipped with "get your ass out of here" buster. It'll be interesting to see how well X does-- methinks he outdoes Mega Man's performance from back in the day. Not to say X is stronger than MM-- more than MM as a whole is stronger this year, Link is weaker, and I think X eats less SFF. Lopen's prediction: Link with 62.11% Transience’s Analysis We saw this matchup in 2004 -- Link vs. Mega Man, anyway -- and Link doubled up Mega Man. Link's gotten stronger since 2004, Mega Man's gotten weaker, and on top of that we're talking about Mega Man X, not the original. This could be a beatdown. ...and yet, I can't see Link putting up huge numbers here. We just don't do huge blowouts anymore, not in 2010. There almost seems to be a significant amount of sympathy/pity votes lately. Because of that, I'm gonna say that Link struggles to get a doubling, even if it defies all logic. transience's prediction: Link with 65.67% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: The setup screams SFF, but MMX looks great here and Link is at his best in 3D, IMO. Ehh, should be able to keep him under 70 by a tick. Ngamer Says: Link > MMX, 67.91% |
Kleenex’s Analysis Can you believe we're three quarters of the way through this contest already? Just another two weeks and it's all over. Back to the beginning of the round means it's back to Link killing another character for twelve hours. Link did alright in Round 1 & 2, but MMX looked not as good as he did last year. Maybe Price and Red were just stronger than expected? We'll find out here, but not really because X is probably prone to some SFF from Link. When all's said and done, Link should end up with another big perfomance here, as he begins his SFF romp through to the finals. Bracket: Link Favorites: Link Prediction: Link with 68.56% Red Sox’s Analysis We saw Link vs. Megaman in 2004- Link impressed greatly by doubling MM and sending a signal to Cloud that he was taking back his crown. That was also the first match that showed us Nintendo/Megaman SFF- since then we've had MM/Yoshi among other things to back it up. Link is probably about as strong now as he was in 2004, but Megaman is weaker (even the newly restored Megaman should be below his 2004 levels, when he put 57% on Snake). MMX is probably worth somewhere between 40% and 45% on Megaman. He may not get SFF'd as hard by Link, but he'll still do a good bit worse than plain Megaman would in this match. I figure Link could push 70% on MM classic nowadays after SFF, so I'll give him a bit under 73% here against X, taking the night match into account. Prediction: Link with 72.72% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Link with 76% Lower Bound: Link with 68% Crew Consensus: Link wins, but you didn’t need us to tell you that. |
well, guess it's time for me to fill in again. FantasyFreak999's Emergency Backup Writeup This one is gonna be a quick one, cuz I'm distracted by my tv. Link wins and doubles, but MMX manages to keep it under 70. Link - 68.78% --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
I'm the only person to take Link over 70%, eh? LINK HE COME TO TOWN TO WIN THE GAMEFAQS CONTEST AND BRUTALLY ANNHILATE YOUR FAVORITE CHARACTER --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
Emergency Guest Clan Analysis! Glad round 3's starting, but we're getting a dud to start. I think MMX will avoid SFF against Link for one reason or another. It's not that important. I think he ends up doing better than Alucard, at least. Leonhart's Vote: Mega Man X Leonhart's Anticipation Level: Let's get to the good round 3 matches! Leonhart's Prediction: Link with 69.99% --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Riding the "Link breaks 70% in every match until the finals" train, eh red sox? --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
