GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6

transients | Posted 3/1/2010 10:16:17 PM | message detail | filter | #151
haha, this is true, but that doesn't mean what it used to!
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 10:18:36 PM | message detail | filter | #152
.....Would Cloud still double Sonic?
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 10:19:06 PM | message detail | filter | #153

From: red sox 777 | #152
.....Would Cloud still double Sonic?


Has Sonic fallen harder than Cloud since 2003?

I'd say yes.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
HaRRicH | Posted 3/1/2010 10:20:52 PM | message detail | filter | #154
Stats last year have Auron getting 62% here, for whatever it's worth.

What all do those numbers go through to make that stat? I know Sephiroth met Auron and Mega Man met Zero in the third round for both matches, so there's some detours being made there (though that's the way of life for four-way stats). I prefer the simplicity of using Fenix assuming he's not dropping any further, which we've yet to see continue since the 2007-2008 time-frame...though Gears did look bad in BGE2 (which doesn't necessarily mean Fenix dropped harder from 2008 to this year).
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 10:22:51 PM | message detail | filter | #155
To get Auron, you just use what he got on Sonic. Sonic's number last year should be relatively clean. For Zero, I used his round two match against Snake, and used pre-bandwagon against Cloud Snake.

Those numbers shouldn't be way too far off. Snake still managed to double Zero, after all. If he still does that and he gets anywhere near Auron, then yeah, he won't stand a chance against Squall because Squall got 42% on him back in 2006.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 10:23:53 PM | message detail | filter | #156
Has Sonic fallen harder than Cloud since 2003?

The thing is, though, that before Sonic collapsed, he actually boosted from 2003 to 2006. FFVII has been on a very gradual, almost imperceptible at least until their trends started changing, decline since 2003, so I'm not sure if the total change since 2003 is worse for Sonic. Sephiroth only got 64% on Sonic last year, which suggests Cloud would get around his 2003 mark of 66% again, but makes it hard to see him do much better than that.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Lopen | Posted 3/1/2010 10:27:02 PM | message detail | filter | #157
Man I don't know why the crew's just going "Zero = Aeris therefore gimme"

SFF match, guys. Also who the hell knows how good Aeris is these days. For as much as you guys wanna rag on Zero, Aeris has been lookin bad in previous years as well. Not to mention the whole "New Square floppin" syndrome.

PREPARE YOURSELF, I AM COMING BACK FOR THE TITLE.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 10:31:12 PM | message detail | filter | #158
New Square Flopping syndrome more like made up excuse syndrome !
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Lopen | Posted 3/1/2010 10:32:41 PM | message detail | filter | #159
Refuse to believe Ridley deserves 30% on Cloud. Will not believe it.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 10:33:29 PM | message detail | filter | #160
Cloud underperfoming does not encompass all of New Square!
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 10:34:26 PM | message detail | filter | #161
Cloud = New Square
Crono = Old Square
Link = Old Nintendo + New Nintendo

This is why Link always wins and people still think this place is SquareFAQs.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/1/2010 10:36:14 PM | message detail | filter | #162

From: Lopen | #157
Man I don't know why the crew's just going "Zero = Aeris therefore gimme"

SFF match, guys. Also who the hell knows how good Aeris is these days. For as much as you guys wanna rag on Zero, Aeris has been lookin bad in previous years as well. Not to mention the whole "New Square floppin" syndrome.

PREPARE YOURSELF, I AM COMING BACK FOR THE TITLE.


I would be happy if your upset special works out Lopen, but Aeris has nothing to do with why i picked Auron. Auron outscored Zero on Marcus while splitting votes with Rydia, back in 2k8 when if anything Marcus was stronger than he is this year.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 10:37:33 PM | message detail | filter | #163
I chose Auron because I'm not out of my mind!
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 10:41:25 PM | message detail | filter | #164

From: Lopen | #159
Refuse to believe Ridley deserves 30% on Cloud. Will not believe it.


Well, Ridley definitely doesn't deserve 30% on Cloud (and he technically didn't get it), that's for sure!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
Lopen | Posted 3/1/2010 10:53:30 PM | message detail | filter | #165
Extrapolating through 4 way stats bad idea
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 11:02:21 PM | message detail | filter | #166
...whoa
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 11:03:18 PM | message detail | filter | #167
Not bad, Zero. Not bad.

And now Auron's taking all the drama out of the next round!
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
transience | Posted 3/1/2010 11:03:26 PM | message detail | filter | #168
wow. not bad, Zero. I was wrong I guess!
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xyzzy
Lopen | Posted 3/1/2010 11:04:05 PM | message detail | filter | #169
Bracketz

Zero's got dis
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 11:04:31 PM | message detail | filter | #170
Less drama good for Squall! Gonna need to save his strength for Round 4 ...!
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Chaotic Mind | Posted 3/1/2010 11:18:14 PM | message detail | filter | #171
Man i'm torn. I want Zero to do good and Auron to suck, but if Auron can get to 55.58% without going over 56.19% I'll get the Accuracy point...

Damn you Molty why did you have to go lower than me.
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"Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 11:18:21 PM | message detail | filter | #172

From: KleenexTissue50 | #170
Less drama good for Squall! Gonna need to save his strength for Round 4 ...!


Yeah, but I wanted the victory to be as humiliating as possible for HaRR!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
HaRRicH | Posted 3/1/2010 11:31:37 PM | message detail | filter | #173
Sounds like you're really gonna hate it when the final stats show Fenix = Squall.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 11:32:02 PM | message detail | filter | #174

From: HaRRicH | #173
Sounds like you're really gonna hate it when the final stats show Fenix = Squall.


I don't think Zero's going to rise quite that much!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
HaRRicH | Posted 3/1/2010 11:33:17 PM | message detail | filter | #175
He won't, Squall's gonna fall that low sucka!
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 11:39:25 PM | message detail | filter | #176
But Zero'd have to beat Auron pretty bad before we get to that point! I don't think he's going to win though!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
transience | Posted 3/1/2010 11:45:37 PM | message detail | filter | #177
for all the antihype Auron's getting here, he's going to hit your projections with ease.

just not mine!
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xyzzy
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/2/2010 8:29:19 AM | message detail | filter | #178
Wow. Four different people had between 56 and 57, and that seems to be where he'll end up. But who will get the point?

...not Guest Clan. Damnit, I can't believe I missed out on signups again!
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CB8 score: 95
Wrong picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus x2, Phoenix x2, Simon, Kratos Aurion, Crono, Soap MacTavish; Master Chief, Kratos x2, Riku, Dante x2
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/2/2010 9:20:27 AM | message detail | filter | #179
Yeah going through Marcus this match is...exactly what it's supposed to be.

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http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg
best sig bet EVER
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:25:14 AM | message detail | filter | #180
BLARG! Totally missed out on the signups! :'(
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/2/2010 10:21:30 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #181
Midgar Division: Round 2 - Match 92 – (7) Terra Branford vs. (2) Squall Leonhart

Moltar’s Analysis

Terra
Round 1 - 53.87% vs. Revan

darn you yoblazer

Squall
Round 1 - 68.01% vs. Akuma

Squall lookin’ good.

So Revan proves that he isn’t worth much, and HK-47 got exposed by L-Block and Isaac. Meh.

Anyway this should be really ugly here. Old Square vs. New Square, I know, but this is also someone as strong as Squall vs. someone as weak as Terra. That’s bad before SFF, and then throw in some and you get a nasty match.

Moltar’s Bracket: Squall > Terra

Moltar’s Prediction: Terra: 30% - Squall: 70%



Lopen’s Analysis

... whatever

Terra asks Squall about love, Squall asks her about talking to that wall over there. gg nubz no re.

Lopen's prediction:
Squall with 73.33%



Transience’s Analysis

In the final buildup to Squall vs. Auron, we get Squall strutting his stuff against... Terra. Yeah. So much for that. We really got screwed on the buildup to big matches this year: Sonic SFFs Knuckles the round before his big match with Ganondorf, Squall gets Terra, Sephiroth gets Vincent and Tifa before his matchup with Snake (assuming no Missingno nonsense happens)... the list goes on.

Anyway, Squall is way out of Terra's league, but there's probably not a whole lot of SFF here. Squall will look a little bit better, but old Square has its own fanbase and it's a pretty strong one. I also don't trust Squall to put up huge blowout numbers thanks to his anti-fanbase. I think he's a lot like Sora in that regard. Terra will lose handily but she can probably get 30% or something. She ain't beating Akuma!

transience's prediction: Squall with 69.71%



Ngamer’s Analysis


Quickie w/ Ng: Blowouts have been impossible to come by this season, but this is the very definition of an SFF situation. Surely Squall has to come through for us, Mario/Falcon style.

Ngamer Says: Squall > Terra, 71.27%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Terra was lucky Revan was a flop. Squall is not a flop. He's a dude that's about 500 tiers higher on the Square ladder. Dissidia boost or no, Terra's going to take a beating here. I don't think it'll be quite a blowout of the round beating, but it'll be close. Squall's gotta be looking good if he wants to upset Snake (if Pikachu can't do the job, that is !)

Bracket: Squall
Favorites: Squall
Prediction: Squall with 68.88%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Here's an SFF blowout match, the worst kind of match in these contests, although, since Terra is from FFVI, the SFF may not be so heavy. Nonetheless, even if there were no SFF, Terra, however much she has impressed this contest, is just nowhere near a match for Squall.

Prediction: Squall with 76.00%
Upset Potential: 0%
Upper Bound: Squall with 82%
Lower Bound: Squall with 69%



Guest’s Analysis - marsman57

Ahh Terra. It was nice to see her get to round 2 in an upset over Revan, but the road ends with Squall. Generally speaking Squall performs well against Final Fantasy characters. Cloud destroyed him in 2004, but he kept it very close with Vincent in 2005, and smashed Tidus in 2006. Terra's only prior victory was over Sarah Kerrigan and she has been slammed by both Dante and Zelda who are on a competitive level to Squall.


Bracket: Squall > Terra
Favorite: Terra
Prediction: Squall with 73.4%



Crew Consensus: Squall beats Terra. Whatever…
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 10:47:24 AM | message detail | filter | #182
Man, only red sox has any idea what he's talking about! Squall's gonna get that upper bound, people! Not sure why people have Terra breaking 30% here.

I also don't trust Squall to put up huge blowout numbers thanks to his anti-fanbase

He can at least get 75%!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
transience | Posted 3/2/2010 11:01:02 AM | message detail | filter | #183
Leonhart'd
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xyzzy
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/2/2010 11:08:00 AM | message detail | filter | #184
Heh marsman voted for Terra. I was debating who between the two but Squall has more appeal and I'm watching somebody play FF8 on YouTube right now, so...
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 11:09:39 AM | message detail | filter | #185
Darn you DISSIDIA BOOOOOOOOOOOST

Seriously though, this match is good a proof as any that Dissidia seems to have affected Old Square only.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
transience | Posted 3/2/2010 11:11:28 AM | message detail | filter | #186
I still say it's those Dissidia pictures more than anything Dissidia did itself.
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xyzzy
ZFS | Posted 3/2/2010 11:13:02 AM | message detail | filter | #187
You're really up on match pictures this year !

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 11:13:47 AM | message detail | filter | #188

From: transience | #186
I still say it's those Dissidia pictures more than anything Dissidia did itself.


Man, that's not even a good picture of Terra!
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/2/2010 11:14:16 AM | message detail | filter | #189
This Terra picture is ass.

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http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg
best sig bet EVER
ZFS | Posted 3/2/2010 11:14:42 AM | message detail | filter | #190
Whoa there, nothing wrong with Terra's pic today. Better than Squall's!

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 11:15:50 AM | message detail | filter | #191

From: ZFS | #190
Whoa there, nothing wrong with Terra's pic today. Better than Squall's!


No green hair or anything distinctive about Terra that makes her any more recognizable than those FMV FFVI pics.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
ZFS | Posted 3/2/2010 11:17:50 AM | message detail | filter | #192
More people have probably seen that scene from Dissidia than even know the FMV FFVI pics exist, so I dunno. In either case, can't argue with it too much considering how she's doing.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
transience | Posted 3/2/2010 11:18:41 AM | message detail | filter | #193
I'm usually not up on match pictures, but it helps when you actually look like Terra!

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/cb7/cb7-01.jpg
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/cb8/cb8-10.jpg

a lot more recognizable after Dissidia!

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/sc2k5/b21.jpg

need green hair to be Terra, yo.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 3/2/2010 11:19:26 AM | message detail | filter | #194
I like Terra's pic today a lot, too. moreso than I do Terra!
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xyzzy
Dawkplex | Posted 3/2/2010 11:20:04 AM | message detail | filter | #195
Moltar I demand dibs on Cloud/Samus

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Can't stop, won't stop.
ZFS | Posted 3/2/2010 11:20:58 AM | message detail | filter | #196
Need some Dark Knight Cecil in here.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 3/2/2010 11:24:06 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #197

From: Dawkplex | #195
Moltar I demand dibs on Cloud/Samus


anything for you, EC
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Auron > Zero (94/116)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 11:25:21 AM | message detail | filter | #198
need green hair to be Terra, yo.

But she doesn't even have green hair in today's pic!
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/2/2010 11:26:51 AM | message detail | filter | #199

From: LeonhartFour | #198
need green hair to be Terra, yo.

But she doesn't even have green hair in today's pic!


http://images2.wikia.nocookie.net/finalfantasy/images/e/e6/Terra_Dissidia_Ending.jpg

Ehh. Looks green to me.
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http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_500x_ff_13_x3.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 11:34:14 AM | message detail | filter | #200
So uhh...Terra vs. Kefka...?
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW