GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
I
have Dante in my bracket, and that pic didn't worry me as much as
Dante's tendency to look good against fodder and look bad against elite
characters! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Yep, that's the point I made in tha Crew write-up. I think that's a bigger problem for him than any pic factor. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
HOLY CRAP! Ryu pulled ahead!!!! --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Dante Choke Factor confirmed --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Midgar Division: Round 2 - Match 89 – (1) Solid Snake vs. (9) Fox McCloud Moltar’s Analysis Snake Round 1 - 72.35% vs. Proto Man Good show by Snake Fox Round 1 - 67.25% vs. Lloyd Fox smashes Tales In this battle of the animals, only one creature can win, and that is the elite Snake. Fox may do okay here, but it being a night match means Snake is going to beat down on him without much time to recover. Fox looks to be a solid midcarder, so it’s up to Snake to either look good, look bad, or look okay. Moltar’s Bracket: Snake > Fox Moltar’s Prediction: Snake: 67% - Fox: 33% Lopen’s Analysis FOXHOUND!? A CORNERED FOX IS MORE DANGEROUS THAN A JACKAL. Okay. Now that I got that out of my system. Um... this... the match. Snake has the uh... disjointed hitboxes or some crap. Lopen's prediction: Snake with 74.54% Transience’s Analysis Holy crap, do we actually get a legit reading on Fox for the first time in eight years? In 2003 he was fed to Link; in 2007, Mario; in 2008, Yoshi. Now we get Solid Snake, one of the better barometers out there. We can finally see if Fox is a legit midcarder or a lowcarder who's been blessed with some fantastically bad matches (Wario/Falcon/...someone else who I forget offhand and don't feel like looking up) I'm not feeling Metal Gear Solid this year. I wasn't impressed by Snake's Proto Man match, Liquid Snake flat-out bombed and Naked Snake got beaten by Mario a little bit too easily. The Boss is the best performance from this year by a MGS character so far and even that wasn't super great. Snake should do well here but I'm not sure if he blows Fox out. Fox is, at the very least, stronger than friggin' Proto Man. transience's prediction: Solid Snake with 68.95% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Awwww, look at the cute widdle Foxy Woxy. What's McCloud trying to do, steal Kirby's thunder by winning over both of the site's female voters? Anyways, Nintendo's been kicking in faces and Fox impressed me last round, so look for another good showing! Ngamer Says: Snake > Fox, 66.65% Red Sox’s Analysis Snake gets an (upper) midcarder to face in round 2. I think rather highly of Fox, and this will be a good test for Snake to see if he's still got his 2008 MGS4-propelled strength. If Snake wants to take on Sephiroth in the event Missingno loses, he needs to aim for breaking 70% here. It's a night match, so he'll have an advantage from that and consequently he needs a bit more than usual to look impressive. Prediction: Solid Snake with 69.00% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Snake with 73% Lower Bound: Snake with 65% Crew Consensus: Snake > Fox in Brawl and Snake > Fox here |
surprise guest GrapefruitKing amazingly accurate prediction: Solid Snake with 66.11% --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 17th Today's prediction: Dante - 52.17% Status: Crap |
EMERGENCY GUEST CLAN ANALYSIS I'm actually kinda interested to see what Fox can do here. It'll be his first legit reading since the very first contest. He should still get pounded pretty badly because he's not all THAT strong, but...the better he does, the better Sora looks, I guess. I dunno. There's not much to say since Snake's going to wallop him. I think it'd be pretty funny if Snake SMASH SFF'd him though. Snake's getting to the point where he can SFF anyone he faces, seems like. Leonhart's Vote: Solid Snake Leonhart's Anticipation Level: Meh Leonhart's Prediction: Solid Snake with 66.68% --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Oh whoops, forgot about this. Kleenex's "Analysis" Snake yadda yadda Fox blah blah beware the rat etc etc did you like my sunglasses so on and so on Bracket: Snake Favorites: Snake Prediction: Snake with 65.34% --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Hmmm...Squall > Snake upset train all aboard! Sora looks better with this, too! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Leon Kennedy 64.81% 33147 Sackboy 35.19% 17998 TOTAL VOTES 51145 Ryu 50.35% 37670 Dante 49.65% 37139 TOTAL VOTES 74809 Crew Predictions - 72/86 What Happened: Leon beats Sackboy, and Ryu pulls off the win over Dante after a day-long struggle Why it Happened: Leon/Sack was predictible. Ryu/Dante...what a match. With it being this close, there's a number of factors that could have swung the match in Ryu's favor. The two guys are pretty much even though, and even after 7 years, Ryu still managed to win. What will Happen: Ryu vs. Leon in the sprite round? Easy stuff Crew Prediction Challenge - Guest and Ngamer get 2 Kleenex - 76 Moltar - 76 Tran - 75 Red Sox - 75 Ngamer - 75 Guest - 72 Lopen - 71 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for Leon and Ngamer gets the point for Ryu Ngamer - 17 Moltar - 15.5 Lopen - 13 Guest - 12.5 (Bio: 2.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1, War: 1) Tran - 12 Red Sox - 10 Kleenex - 6 --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Fox (90/112) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Aw yeah, YOU'RE SMALL TIME, LOPEN Wait, then he passed us up in Accuracy?! Blast! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Pfft you guests are finished. Make your time. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
PS why does snake look so gawdawful here. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
So is it Dante Jobbing Factor or Dante Choke Factor that we had yesterday? --- Shakes Fist! |
Midgar Division: Round 2 - Match 90 – (5) Pikachu vs. (4) Commander Shepard Moltar’s Analysis Pikachu Round 1 - 75.09% vs. Banjo Banjo sux Shepard Round 1 - 75.79% vs. Ellis Ellis sux more Well, Pikachu’s SFF thrashing of Banjo was expected by most. However, then Shepard came out of nowhere and exposed Ellis for the uber-fodder he is. I think Mass Effect 2 being big also helped that tripling become a reality. Shepard is probably decent high-fodder now, but that’s still no match for Pikachu, who’s at least a midcarder. I’d love for Shepard to beat the rat, but SFFed Banjo > Ellis easy. Moltar’s Bracket: Pikachu > Shepard Moltar’s Prediction: Pikachu: 63% - Shepard: 37% Lopen’s Analysis Now okay we all saw Shepard lay down serious beats on Elis last round, while Pikachu went and did similarly on Banjo. Now I don't know about you but I see Elis v Banjo being a toughie... throw in some SFF in Pika vs Banjo presumably, and I'm seriously fearing Shepard and his talking about Cubans disappearing. After some thinking about it, ME2 was just released, so Shepard's best chance to look respectable is right now. Very tempted to take Shep here, but I just can't do it-- just not enough data on Elis to know if that was Shepard being respectable or Elis being turbofodder. It's a juicy upset and I hope someone takes it, but it just doesn't have that Lopen seal of approval. Especially not after DAMN POKEMANZ have been running wild, and it being a day match. But I'll compromise and go really low on Pikachu. Nailbiter here, methinks, but devotion of the Pokefreakz prevail. Lopen's prediction: Pikachu with 50.92% Transience’s Analysis I'm a believer in Shepard, but he's just outmatched against Pikachu. Shepard looked great last round but anybody could have looked great against Ellis. I'd like to see him keep this under 60% but I think that's asking too much. If he does, though, then we need Shepard back every year from now on. After Mass Effect 3, he'll be up there with the Leons of the world. That's pretty good for an American character. transience's prediction: Pikachu with 63.59% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Got some healthy respect for Shep after last round, but even so, betting against Pokemon in a Day Match has got to be on the list of Ten Dumbest Ideas Ever. And considering the tear Nintendo has been on... Ngamer Says: Pikachu > Shepard, 64.77% Kleenex’s Analysis Shepard tripled a guy last round! Surely he must be strong! Nope. Pikachu's gonna massacre this dude. This could potentially be blowout of the round. Shepard is lucky that Mass Effect 2 is still pretty relevant, because if it wasn't, he'd be the same guy that got doubled by Magus last year. And that Shepard would probably get quadrupled. Brace yourself, Snake. Pikachu is coming for you. Bracket: Pikachu Favorites: Pikachu Prediction: Pikachu with 69.13% Red Sox’s Analysis Shepard had a very impressive first round performance, but Pikachu is way out of his league, and he and the other pokemon have looked golden all contest. Alucard, Captain Falcon, and Samus were all opponents of Pikachu last year, and they've all looked great this contest. Meanwhile, Altair, Drake, etc. have shown us that while Shepard probably boosted a lot, it's not going to be nearly enough here, and he's probably a low midcarder at best despite how badly he beat Ellis. The Western Boost does not exist. Prediction: Pikachu with 64.88% Upset Potential: 1% Upper Bound: Pikachu with 71% Lower Bound: Pikachu with 56% |
Guest’s Analysis - Black Turtle Pikachu It still amazes me that people over the age of 10 play, let alone ENJOY Pokemon Commander Shepard I've had enough of your snide insinuations! Analysis: Not much to go by here. Pikachu is coming off an impressive SFF beatdown of Banjo, and Shepard is coming off an equally, if not moreso impressive PUMMELING of Ellis from L4D2. Now some people are saying that Ellis is Tanner-level fodder, but there's only so weak you can realistically put a Left 4 Dead character. Pikachu should win this without trouble, but I fully expect Shepard to impress, setting him up for a hilarious over-estimation next year after Mass Effect 2 wears off. TuRtLe's Prediction: Pikachu 59.41% TuRtLe's Bracket: Pikapoo TuRtLe's Vote: "Shepard" Crew Consensus: Pikachu uses Thunder and it’s super effective against Shepard. |
Lopen really doesn't like Pika... --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
I love how Lopen and Kleenex have completely opposite predictions (within reason). --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
I hope Lopen gets the point today! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
but I fully expect Shepard to impress, setting him up for a hilarious over-estimation next year after Mass Effect 2 wears off. You do know Mass Effect 3 is scheduled for release next year, right? --- Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING |
Mass Effect more like mass releases --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Commander Shepard VS Tails, who you got? --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
I actually like Pikachu just fine. Charizard, MissingNo, Pokemon Trainer Red, and every other Pokemon entrant we've seen in a contest that isn't Mewtwo can go burn in a fire though. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Down + B tbqh --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
From: HaRRicH | #123 Shepard. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
Agree with Lopen tbqh. Except Mewtwo, he can burn as well. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Mewtwo gets a bye due to being a badass in the first Pokemanz movie. Charizard got nothin on that. Generic dragon badass factor "not good enough for me" --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Lopen likes Pikachu everything makes sense --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
I
think it's more that I feel bad for him and Pokemon elitists railing on
him for selling out the franchise or whatever are stupid. But down+b is fun. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Nothin' wrong with the rat --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Need to get rid of them all tbqh --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Also I used a Raichu in every Pokemon game. Might have something to do with it. Maybe...! Though beatin Leon, Dante, Vivi, and Tidus in the same division was inexcusable. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
the rat's reign of terror must be stopped --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
I like Pikachu. Liking Pikachu and disliking all the other Pokemon is whaaaat --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
How could you hate such an adorable pikachu like Pikachu? --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
Hope Shepard can stop the bleeding and take back some percent. Tight race for the point today! --- "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1 |
And down it goes. Yay crew point! --- "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1 |
Midgar Division: Round 2 - Match 91 – (3) Auron vs. (6) Zero Moltar’s Analysis Auron Round 1 - 57.64% vs. Aerith Auron beats Aerith, Aerith cries Zero Round 1 - 67.17% vs. Marcus Zero had zero chance of losing in Round 1 This is one of those matches that’s fairly close on paper and seems kinda cool (two strong characters fighting), but shouldn’t end up being a back-and-forth battle. Zero is a pretty strong guy, but Auron is flat-out stronger. That’s pretty much been the case for years now. Zero/Aerith would actually be a really debatable match, but this right here just seems easy. Moltar’s Bracket: Auron > Zero Moltar’s Prediction: Auron: 55% - Zero: 45% Lopen’s Analysis Mega Man stuff has been destroying this contest. Zero's no exception, as he took Marcus Fenix to the cleaners last round. Course Marcus lost to ~Rydia~ in a 4-way so who knows how much that's worth. But you know what? I think it's worth a good amount. Guy did beat Kefka by a good deal at one point, and won out of Jill and Ocelot to boot. That's low midcard status, in theory, and Rydia had certain factors.... mmm... such beautiful fact-- aghgh heheh yeahhh. Anyway. Point is doubling a low midcard makes you look pretty mighty. Zero's comin to play. Now, after seeing Cid, Zack, and Jecht look like junk, and Tidus and Yuna to a lesser extent look like junk, and Mega Man stuff in general look really good, I think the writing's on the wall and we've got the perfect brew for a beautiful upset here. I mean, remember when Zero was in his prime? This was a debated match at one point, and I think that it's raring to be one again, right now, when it's all but been written off and the talk is all around Squall vs Auron. And hell, Ryu beat the Chief so even that loss to Ryu last year in R1 doesn't look that bad. That match with Luigi in 2006? SFF, perhaps-- we've seen those ill interactions between MM and Nintendo before (even last year, I argued Zero would be drug down by the brawl fodder in his match with Ryu). None of that here. Zero and Auron will fight like gentlemen. Squall vs Auron showdown will have to wait-- there's a ZERO IN THE WAY. Lopen's prediction: Zero with 51.35% Transience’s Analysis Auron always gets these guys that are decent midcarders that don't stand a prayer of challenging him. He got Sub-Zero one year and then Bowser/Ryu the next. Zero follows this trend of guys that can't really compete. There is no way in hell I would ever pick Ryu Hayabusa to beat Auron, so Zero has no chance here either. I think he'll be doing well if he can eclipse 40%. Mega Man's had a pretty good tournament so far but I'm not willing to give the series the benefit of the doubt just yet. A nice performance on Auron will give me more hope for Mega Man -- not that any Mega Man character has an interesting path, but hey, there's always moral victories. Though Mega Man 10 did just come out today... transience's prediction: Auron with 60.14% |
Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: MM and Nintendo have been great, and the timing is perfect for Zero with MM10 having launched just this afternoon. If only the Euroes and Asians weren't there to kill him overnight, he might have kept it more interesting! Ngamer Says: Auron > Zero, 56.87% Kleenex’s Analysis Man, talk about apathy. Two "badass" characters that everyone seems to like that I don't care about in the least! I don't have quite as much respect for Zero as most do, but in this match it's not even going to matter. Auron is a pretty clear step or two above Zero, so he wins this with no trouble at all. Not much else to say here. Zero should end up looking "alright" in the end. He'll obviously be over 40%, but I don't think he quite makes it to 45%. At least the picture is good. Bracket: Auron Favorites: Zero I guess. "whatever" Prediction: Auron with 56.98% Red Sox’s Analysis Here's a nice match between a near-elite and a former near-elite who should still be a mid to high midcarder. Zero narrowly beat Vivi last year, who's probably worth around 45-47% on Kirby, who was worth 47% on Auron last year through Sonic. Of course that should overrate Kirby, but Megaman has looked good this year and New Square has looked tepid, so I'm willing to go along with it. That also puts Zero pretty close to Aeris, which is probably reasonable. Prediction: Auron with 56.24% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Auron with 61% Lower Bound: Auron with 51% Guest’s Analysis - Chaotic Mind You know how in Zero's last match i talked about how Marcus lost to Rydia who was SFF'ed by Auron? Yeah, now Zero has to face Auron himself. And Zero only got 67% on Marcus 1v1, while Auron scored 71% on Marcus with Rydia in the same poll. Now sure, Sub-Zero might have taken a lot of Marcus' casual votes, but i think if you removed Subby a good chunk of his votes would go to Auron too. So basically i would expect Auron to get around the same score on Marcus 1v1, maybe slightly less but still close to 70%. It's also possible he would score even higher if Marcus has declined since 2k8, which is not only possible but likely. What this boils down to is Auron beats Zero without too much trouble with anywhere from 53 to 58 percent. Normally fanboy bias would lead me to give Zero the highest score i think he can get, but bias has been screwing me over left and right this contest so i'm going with something closer to the other end of his range. Prediction: Auron - 56.15% Crew Consensus: Lopen has Zero, but everyone else has Auron winning |
wow, I went way above everyone else. Zero's sucked for five years, time to admit it! --- xyzzy |
I
feel if Auron gets over 60% here, then he would be the favorite against
Squall. Mega Man in general has looked stronger this year then the last
few... And even so, Zero is no chump. He is at least around Aerith. --- http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_500x_ff_13_x3.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
I just realized in Moltar's intro the 3 main witches can get some awsome names Moltarice Lopenstel Tranbadelta --- I have no GameFOX on this comp |
Squall got like 64% against Aeris. --- xyzzy |
From: transients | #145 In round 2 with Sora in the poll. In round 1 with just the two of them, it as 58%+. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
With Sora in the poll, sure. The round before in 2007 though, Squall got 58.1%. Auron got 57.64% last round. Do we know if the second half of the day would have been any kinder to Auron or Aeris? Either way, it's still a very close match with Squall at the small advantage, as expected. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Darn you Leon. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
I feel if Auron gets over 60% here, then he would be the favorite against Squall. Stats last year have Auron getting 62% here, for whatever it's worth. I admit Mega Man in general has done better than we expect, but none of that is really substantiated. We don't know how strong Protoman was before this year, who knows how strong Marcus Fenix really is, Zack was just overrated, and Cid was new. This match will go a long way to showing if MM really is better this year though. There's no excuses for Zero if he does badly here. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
From: transients | #142 He'd still get 47% on Sonic! --- All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
