GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
Hello once again! For those who are new here, the Contest Analysis Crew is a group of users who know how these Contests work. Our duty is to analyze each match and predict who will win each match and the percentages each character will get. Wish us luck, because we'll need it. Anyway, Introduction time! *On the morning of January 14th, three witches are sitting in a small room enjoying their Tea Party.* Moltar: So, did you two hear? It’s that time of the year again. Lopen: …Indeed, a new game is about to begin. What is the gameboard like this time? Moltar: It’s back to 1-on-1, this time, with 128 characters! Sounds interesting, riiiiiiight? I can’t wait to determine the results using my magic! Lopen: …Hmph, such a child you are, Moltar. Your magic means nothing. The results are determined by the voters. Moltar: Hoh! So you want to challenge me again, Lopen? I’ll create all the results, and you won’t be able to explain them with voters! They will be so unpredictable that everyone will be forced to accept my magic! The number of votes I can create are endless! I am the Voting Witch, Master Moltar! Lopen: …Very well, I, the Witch of Upsets, Lopen, accept your challenge. I don’t expect to be bored. Tran: Hey you two! What are you talking about! Let me in! Let me in! Moltar: It’s another game between Lopen and I. Will you be supporting me again, Tran? Tran: Naaaah, I’m tired of you, Moltar. And I would never be on Lopen’s side! Therefore, I, the Witch of Locks, Transience, will make my own side! Lopen: …Make your own side? I see you’re still a child too, Tran. At least you won’t make me bored though. Tran: Hehe, I love you Lopen! You’re so <cute>! Moltar: I want to invite someone in on this little game between us. Come forth, my finest servant, Ngamer. Ngamer: Ngamer here, at your service, Master Moltar. Moltar: Do you wish to participate in this game with us? Ngamer: Very well, I, Ngamer, will join. Let me warn you though, I am pretty good and figuring out the true results, pukuku. Lopen: …I see, now this is even more interesting. I shall bring a guest too. Kleenex, where are you? Kleenex: I’m right here, Lopen! Lopen: You will participate in this game as well. If you win, I’ll promote you to the rank of a Witch. You can be the Witch of Facts. *giggle* Kleenex: <Good>. That would be an honor! I, the great detective, KleenexTissue, will do my best! My skills are first-rate! Tran: Hey you two! I want to bring someone in too! Um…um…oh I know! I’ll bring in your teacher! Moltar: My teacher? You don’t mean- Tran: Hey red sox, get out here! Red Sox: Yes, Transience? Tran: You’re also going to join our game! I want you to do your best and beat your student. Red Sox: Is that alright with you, Moltar? Moltar: That fine with me! The more the merrier! I’ll make all of you submit to my voting magic! Red Sox: Very well, I, Red Sox, will also join the game. It’ll be more productive than spending time with and constantly getting teased by G- Moltar: Oh, there’s more thing. There will be more people joining us. Arise, Guests! Lopen: …The Guests? They aren’t exactly…the brightest, you know. Tran: Yeah! What’s up with that? They’re as dumb as Goats! Moltar: I think you two will be surprised. They can be really clever sometimes! One guest will also participate in each match of our game. Moltar: Anyway, I hope everyone is ready! I’ve already made a certain man lose the will to fight against me, and now it’s your turn! Prepare to submit to my Endless Voting magic, Readerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrs! AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! *glass breaks* |
E-mail: mastermoltar@gmail.com Current Guests Snake/Fox - PaulG235 Pikachu/Shepard - Black Turtle Auron/Zero - Chaotic Mind Terra/Squall - marsman57 Sephiroth/Vincent - Smashy Yoshi/Missingno - Luis Big Daddy/Ness - NGirl Tifa/Gordon - Luster Soldier --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Leon > Sackboy (88/108) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
hope --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
If Dante loses this I *am* blaming the pic --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
hopeless --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Ryu's doing great here. gotta get out of the board vote to see what's up. --- xyzzy |
This is going to be like that Dante/Leon match from last year imo. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
dante no chance against the fadc ultra tbqh --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Dante's killing this match in Europe while Ryu's hanging on in America. edge Ryu? hmm --- xyzzy |
Which
brings me back to the match picture. To me, that's Ryu's one huge
advantage; ugly DMC2 Dante vs. kickass SF4 Ryu. If Ryu wins, I'm
blaming that picture. sigh --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Dante still got this. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Ryu improved by a good chunk in Europe that last update, too. Gotta get further away from Europe time and more into America. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Dante just erased all of Ryu's cuts since the 4-minute mark. --- "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw |
I'm torn for who to root for. I have Dante in my bracket... but the guest picked Ryu. :( --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Guest camaraderie makes me sick --- xyzzy |
Dante not pushing for 60% makes me sick! What is this. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
what a weird match. Dante just goes on these ridiculous 80 vote surges randomly. --- xyzzy |
Well, I just don't want the guests to be behind everyone else again in prediction points. lol --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
here goes a number of nice Ryu cuts, time for another random 80 vote spike for Dante --- xyzzy |
I have Dante in my bracket, Ryu is my personal favorite, Guest backs Ryu? MY ALLEGIANCE IS TORN --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
GO GO RYU --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
augh match picture'd --- xyzzy |
Match picture factor worse than the hierarchy --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
time for some devil trigger --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: ZFS | #023 At least Match Picture Factor makes sense! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Not today it doesn't! --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
The Hierarchy doesn't make sense on any day! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Man this picture is from a game that doesn't even exist. half the voters probably think he's Dante from Dante's Inferno. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Hierarchy
makes sense in some cases, just like the pic factor makes sense in some
cases. Of course, with both the times it matters are very, very few --
and it almost never ends up changing the result! --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
And with the poor reviews that game got, it's no wonder Dante's struggling here. Vindicated. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
SFF
> LFF > Obvious Winner Underperformance > Hype/New Release
Factor > Pic Factor (including TJF) > Close Match Rallying Factor
>>>>> Hierarchies --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
Pic Factor doesn't have to change much in a match that's being decided by less than 100 votes right now --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I
will say, though, that if this was Viewtiful Joe Dante there would be a
serious argument for the pic mattering. DMC2 Dante where he looks
pretty much the same as every other Dante, though? No chance of this. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Hierarchy makes sense in some cases I can't think of one. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
DMC2 Dante where he looks pretty much the same as every other Dante, though? Really? Do you just see the white hair and go "yeah that's Dante" --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
There's a classic example from 2005. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
It
looks exactly like Dante. His design is darker and more realistic, but
it's not like he's some entirely different character, design-wise, in
DMC2. The only reason people are ragging on it is because of the game,
not the design. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Do you just see the white hair and go "yeah that's Dante" Judging by how badly he did against Sephiroth last year, I'd say a lot of people do this! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: HaRRicH | #036 Mario 2005 > Samus 2005 Samus 2004 > Mario 2004 --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
In
all the game, the "dark" DMC2 Dante is definitely the outlier. It's
pretty different, especially when you can only see the facce. In any case I'm not exactly saying it's unrecognizable, I'm saying it causes people to flash to his worst outing and go AUGH. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I'm with you on that, but Samus wasn't beating Mario in 2004 either. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Nah,
Mario would have won in 2004 also, even if you think he was stronger
indirectly in 2005. But one example does not equal a good theory. Indeed, isn't the whole idea of hierachies completely tautological? Characters higher in the hierarchy, that is, stronger characters, will win. Well obviously! The question is how you decide what the hierarchy is, and when people use "hierarchy" arguments, the answer is usually, "because I think so." --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
It's
in line with DMC1 Dante, which I don't think people would be crying
over. I'm not saying this pic is one of Dante's best or anything, but
Dante has very few pictures that would take away his appeal -- stuff
like Viewtiful Joe Dante. DMC1-DMC4 pics are all fair game and
shouldn't make much difference to voters. Just not buying that people
in any meaningful numbers are looking at his pic and going 'well, i
would have voted for him, but not with that pic ryu for life.' --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
I
don't think you realize how reviled DMC2 is amongst the fanbase. The
more hardcore Dante fans will vote Dante every time, sure, but the
swing vote that's on the fence, that's not helping Dante at all. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
...Why doesn't Samus beat Mario in 2004? Because we say so? --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Because he won with 59% in 2005. Point taken though. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
I'm
all too familiar with how disliked DMC2 is, but if Dante's fans need
him to have a pic from anything but DMC2 to vote for him then I don't
know. I'd sooner say Dante just can't get the job done with characters
who are up near and on his level of popularity. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
From: red sox 777 | #046 I really doubt he does that to Samus in 2004 though. He might win in 2004, but that match sure ain't a blowout. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
You're saying Samus would gain 10% on Mario in 2004? Hell no. I don't care how much better Samus looking in 2004, she has never looked "Mario 60-40s her" bad. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
You're saying Samus would gain 10% on Mario in 2004? ...She doesn't have to because Mario isn't 10% stronger than her. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
