GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
Kleenex’s Analysis Hmmm. I pondered for about 5 minutes trying to think of something intelligent to write about this match, but I've got nothing. We don't really know where Phoenix and Eddie fall, so it's impossible to use the two of them to predict this matchup. Phoenix should be able to beat Ratchet, which in turn would mean that Jecht should have no problem here, and I'm sure that'll be the consensus. Still, I feel like there's a chance that Jecht could flop bigtime here. It'd have to be a REALLY big flop to let him lose to Ratchet, but stranger things have happened. Bracket: Jecht Favorites: Jecht Prediction: Jecht with 58.56% Red Sox’s Analysis Jecht should have this match pretty easily, as Ratchet is mid-fodder at best. Of course, he only got 52% on Phoenix last round, so Jecht is not exactly strong- indeed, based on that he's pretty weak. I think Ratchet's got an outside shot at the upset here, but no matter who I base my projections through, none of them actually yield a Ratchet victory, so Jecht remains the heavy favorite. The best argument I can see for Ratchet is his match with Sephiroth and Tifa last year, and Phoenix falling recently due to lack of games starring him and the fad (I don't mean that in a bad way) wearing off. Prediction: Jecht with 54% Upset Potential: 20% Upper Bound: Jecht with 60% Lower Bound: Ratchet with 52% Guest’s Analysis - Leonhart This is a pretty straightforward match. Despite Ratchet managing to double Eddie Riggs last round, he’s still weak. Even if this is his strongest year, he’s still got a long way to go before he can ever be competitive with Jecht. While Jecht certainly wasn’t that impressive in beating Phoenix Wright, he should still be well above Ratchet here. Wrighto is actually low midcard around these parts, which is more than you can probably say for Ratchet. If Jecht fails to break 60%, I’d be pretty surprised, but I’ll make some leeway for Ratchet to have gotten stronger over the last couple of years. Leonhart’s Vote: Jecht (but Ratchet’s great, too! Play Ratchet & Clank!) Leonhart’s Anticipation Level: Meh, this one shouldn’t be too great. Leonhart’s Prediction: Jecht with 64.15% Crew Consensus: Jecht shot straight to Ratchet’s face |
Huh, only me and Moltar are going over 60% for Jecht? Hmmm... --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
I don't have a whole lot of faith in a FF10 NPC and I have a decent amount of respect for Ratchet. --- xyzzy |
I dunno. I have a hard time having a lot of respect for someone who got 57% on Nana. But hey, I hope Ratchet does well. I just don't see any reason for him to do so. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
57% on Nana was surprisingly good! Oh Brawlfear..... --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
there were better options in that poll, I imagine. I have no idea who was in it. in this, the only other option is a FF10 NPC. it's a Kratos/Sackboy situation. --- xyzzy |
there were better options in that poll, I imagine. I have no idea who was in it. Tifa and Sephiroth, heh. But still, Ratchet's never been good. I don't know why that changes, even with how amazing A Crack in Time was. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
I just don't have much respect for Jecht's strength of that of Phoenix. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
it's an action/platformer not named Mario. nothin' to see here. --- xyzzy |
seriously
though, you can rave all day about a great Ratchet game or a great Jak
game or a great Crash game and I'm just not going to care. you have to
get over that hump with people and that's a tall order. hell, you can see how Galaxy did. modern-day platformers just don't matter on this website. --- xyzzy |
modern-day platformers just don't matter on this website. Which is sad, because as a whole, 3-D platformers > 2-D platformers. Yep, I went there. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Video games are overrated anyway. Contests >>> Gaming --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
If
there was still a big active 2D-platforming genre, that would be more
controversial. As is though...NSMB, NSMBW, LBP, and, uh, what else has
come out this generation that sold worth a damn? Don't get me wrong, I
love MM9 (and if you want to stretch, Braid), but the genre just isn't
the same now. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Not just this generation. Overall. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
yeah. shooters are the new platformers. why jump when you can shoot and jump? --- xyzzy |
this is a really sad start for Jecht. --- xyzzy |
Well, I'll shut up now. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
Jecht
should be safe because this is a night match. I could see Jecht bombing
after this first update though... people love FF10 and the board
doesn't give a damn about Ratchet. Jecht's probably okay though. --- xyzzy |
Looks like the board vote was about even. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
lol Jecht --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
And yet Jecht gets to the third round before Tidus ever does! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
From: LeonhartFour | #321 Once again proves who the superior genes are --- http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
Or maybe this ends up looking normal after all, hah. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Zelda will beat Jecht worse than Tidus has ever been beaten! --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
From: red sox 777 | #324 Travis Touchdown > Jecht...? --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Sure why not. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
There's plenty of reason why not! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Jecht's safe, but yeah, either Ratchet's decent or Phoenix is a fourway wonder. --- xyzzy |
Zelda > 2010 Luigi > 2003 Luigi 2010 Ratchet > 2003 Ratchet Zelda probably exceeds 75% on Ratchet now, lining up well for about 72% on Jecht. If you can't stomach Travis = Jecht, blame it on Anti-BlowoutFAQS in round 1. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
Zelda probably exceeds 75% on Ratchet now ...Why? Gimme Ratchet > Travis at this point. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Because Zelda > Luigi, and Ratchet probably hasn't boosted that much more than Luigi since 2003. It really wouldn't imply too much about Travis, although him beating Ratchet or Phoenix after NMH2 wouldn't really be terribly surprising. It's also a reach prediction, if you want to be ultra serious about it- I think it'd be really cool if Jecht got blown out worse than Tidus has ever lost. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
Ratchet probably hasn't boosted that much more than Luigi since 2003. Man, Jecht and Phoenix ain't this weak! I know you don't think much of them, but Ratchet's not at sub-15% on Link anymore. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
man, who even cares? --- xyzzy |
From: LeonhartFour | #332 or is he? --- http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
although him beating Ratchet or Phoenix after NMH2 wouldn't really be terribly surprising. Has NMH2 even sold 100,000 copies in NA yet? --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
From: transience | #333 Apparently I do! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Oh,
he shouldn't be below 15% on Link. I had him at 20% on Sephiroth when
making projections to try to get him above Jecht, although that was
always an unreasonable stretch induced by not giving Sephiroth enough
of Tifa's votes and not accounting for First Place Factor. Maybe he's
at 20% on Seph now after his latest game, which would put him around
maybe 17-18% on Link. It would make Jecht or Phoenix a good candidate
for the new fodder line. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
I
fell behind while working on last week's episode of The Show, then had
a crazy week that kept me out of my usual routine. Now, any reasonable
person would cut their losses and start fresh. Luckily for you, the
faithful reader, I'm a long, long ways from reasonable. *hulks up* Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - WCC/Sonic Matches Huzzah! Now, the 1v1 setting has made it much easier to appreciate Mizno's accomplishment, so the big run it's about to go on sickens me about 90% less than an '08 repeat championship for L-Block would have. That being said... wow, does this result ever restore my faith in voters! Between Miz, Vault Boy, and WCC's prior blowout, for a moment there it looked as though all you had to do was look non-traditional and 40% of the site's userbase would be your reward. Now I wouldn't go as far as to call this result the start of "the joke character backlash", since the MGS base is dedicated enough where no one ought to have been thinking blowout, but it might at least indicate that they're losing a bit of their novelty. If that's the case, Yoshi's match suddenly becomes a ton more interesting- I agree with tranny, that's a long ways from an ideal opponent for Mizno. Next up is Sonic Team in a Night Match, which 90% of the time would send a shiver of pure anticipation up my spine, given how ripe for an upset these guys have looked all year. Unfortunately this poll contains 2x the amount of Sonic members, which means you can divide my anticipation level by about 25. All that's left to find out is whether we'll finally get our first "confirmed" case of rSFF, as in, will Knuckles be able to use his cool character design and fan favorite status to put a real scare into the series icon, Shadow/Mario style. That sure would be neat to see, but I'm going with... "nah." HOWEVER, that still doesn't mean I'm calling for the SFF beatdown you'd normally expect in this situation. I'm thinking the usual same fanbase percentage will be at least somewhat counterbalanced by people being so down on the Sonic franchise that they "anti-vote" its mascot. But since the only way to do that is by supporting someone else from the series, the majority of those who are against modern Sonic will most likely just skip voting altogether, leaving us with a very unpopular poll that yields a dull, middle of the road result. Here's hoping SB learns his lesson and avoids bad SFF setups like this in the new Game Contest! Ngamer Says: Sonic > Knux, 64.64% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
*checks watch* Well, Ngamer should get through round 2 by the end of the contest! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Sonic/Ganon Matches Well now, that was a very fine board vote push for Knuckles (keeping Sonic below 62 for over a minute), and I loved the way he fought back in the second update to lower it back to 65. But yikes did it ever get out of hand from there! I'd still argue that people being down on the Sonic series helped Knux at least somewhat since Sonic probably pushes past 70 back in his prime, but then again perhaps that was moreso this season's "anti-vote all heavy favorites" trend coming into play. And as for my "this poll will be wildly unpopular" theory, let's see... well crap, votals were somehow ABOVE average for a Night Match! In fact it only drew about 700 fewer votes than Sonic's tilt with the highly contrasting, hype-fueled Lightning. So much for me having any idea what I'm talking about! Moving along, it's time for a Day Match, which is always glad tidings for The Legend of Zelda and a death knell for Street Fighter. Combine that with Ken looking so awful against Wesker and Ganon having no trouble versus Mewtwo despite this being The Year of Pokemon (or something), and we're looking at Blowout City, right? Ehhhh, I'm not so sure. Resident Evil has clearly brought its A game in 2010 and so I'm willing to let Ken off the hook for last round, especially after Ryu and Akuma exceeded my expectations. Also, despite his connection to the site's #1 series, I don't think Ganon is really built to deliver blowouts. Sure he had some in the Spring of '05, but there he was at his peak and facing terrible fodder for the most part- Ken has instant recognizability and at least some semblance of a fanbase, which should make this a whole different ballgame. Mostly though I just hate this picture. Are we really THAT starved for pictures of this guy? He's the #1 villain from the most popular company on the site, for crying out loud! I guess I shouldn't be too upset considering its only going to cost him a few percentage points here instead of stripping him of an outright victory as it might have against Sonic. Which is a good thing, since getting upset over Pig Ganon is much more enjoyable, and practically a yearly tradition at this point! *grumbles a bit* In summation, expect Sonic to look like the heavy favorite heading into R3 after favorite anti-voting and the bad pic deny Ganon the doubling he'd normally score here. Luckily for Noble Nine haters, that will very much be a false sense of security! Ngamer Says: Ganon > Ken, 64.57% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Ganon/Kirby Matches Ho ho, that ended up being a pretty decent call from me! I was surprised to see Ganon do so well with the board vote (68% a minute in), but from there things went as expected as he quickly collapsed to both the DSV and later on the "S"NV. The real stunner in my mind was how he got some respectable ASV support despite looking like such a goof! I still maintain that if you give us this poll a couple years back and feature a non-ridiculous Ganon face he'd easily push it beyond a doubling, but oh well. For now all that matters is how Sonic only outperformed the G-man by 3.5% this round despite drawing the ideal opponent. This Little Piggy has got to be salivating heading into R3! If Ganon can't quite pull off the upset, all hope is not lost since there will of course still be a cute 'lil '08 Sonic Slayer waiting in the wings. Although, should we really be taking that fact for granted? I mean we're in the midst of a tournament that just saw a Noble Niner fall to a glitch from a handheld video game; perhaps we shouldn't be counting our eggs before they hatch... or at least not those lopsided "non-traditional" eggs. To that I respond with a long, loud pfffffffffffffffffft. Even in a world where Gordon trashed Peach and WCC laid waste to The Boss I'd still be supremely confident in a Kirby victory, just based on how GlaDOS is so clearly at the bottom of the Valve totem pole. As is, we have every indication that the much higher vote totals and 12 hour matches have made steam rallying a non-factor compared to the last Gamespot Contest, plus GameFAQs still appears to be as slow to warm to PC entrants as ever. Combine that with jokes having (perhaps) lost some of their novelty post-Mizno, and the only question if is Kirby can punish GlaDOS enough to force the doubling. I'll guess no just based on Portal having such an impregnable fanbase and ol' Gladdy drawing another eye-catching (*chorus of groans*) match pic, but the puffball might only miss by the hair on Ganon's chinny chin chin. Ngamer Says: Kirby > Some Eye, 66.18% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Kirby/Altair Matches Hey hey- my respect for voters continues to surge upwards! 70 at the freeze, then refusing to tumble despite the "dreaded Nintendo Night Match" to end up in the mid 68s- I'd call that a heck of an impressive performance from Kirby! Considering the competition, it's difficult to take anything away from this result in terms of the potential setups vs Altair/Vivi and Ganon/Sonic, but I'd argue it DOES mean something for one person: Yoshi. Firstly because, to this point, R2 seems to be indicating that both "heavy favorite anti-voting" and "non-traditional for-voting" may have peaked in Round One. But even more importantly, here's another reason to believe tranny about how "cute, hugely recognizable characters who are fan favorites within their series and can't easily be anti-voted" are a joke character's perfect poison. And I can easily think of two people who fit that bill to the T! For this upcoming poll... gosh, I've got no idea what to think! I took Altair in my gut reaction bracket on the basis that this would be a down year for both Nintendo and Square, meaning new "casual favorites" would have to step up to fill the void. Then I flipped to Vivi after seeing everyone doing backflips over Liquid and how he was going to pull the awesome 15/2 upset, and now... I'm kind of leaning back toward Altair, to be honest. Now don't get me wrong- I've always been in the "Liquid Snake is a chump" base and saw Altair's win coming a mile off. But 59%? After a seemingly legit Red could only barely edge Ocelot and WCC couldn't even Ulti-blowout Boss? I'm sorry, but regardless of who's representing it, pushing the MGS fanbase down that far is no laughing matter- Altair's got to have some legit strength this season. To tell the truth though, my bracket faith is even more rattled by Vivi's most recent performance. I realize it's been a pretty solid season for Nintendo and DK may have been helped by not looking like a total goon in the match pic, but still... this is Donkey Kong we're talking about. DK's the guy who exposed Vercetti and Master Chief back when we thought they had potential, and neither has fully recovered from that disgrace; perhaps he did the same to Vivi? Now granted Vivi won by 6% more than those losers and granted Altair is hugely overseeded as the #2, but nay, still can't find a way to justify sticking with my bracket. If this were a Night Match I'd do it in a heartbeat, but how is a FF9 character supposed to survive the kind of ASV Altair should be able to rain down? I'll take the 360 action star, but hopefully it's a tight match either way! Ngamer Says: Altair > Vivi, 50.03% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Vivi/Mario Matches Okay, what the FLIP? I called this as a coin flip and didn't think any kind of Vivi win would shock me, but you're telling me that if we'd evened the playing fields and made this a Night Match, we'd be talking about DK > Altair with a little room to spare? In other words... Donkey Kong > Liquid Snake, 60%?! I'm sorry, but I'm about the the biggest DK believer on the board and even I think this result's straight up Bizarro World. Maybe it was another case of new casual "favorites" getting anti-voted in favor of Old Schoolers, like we saw in the Simon and Tails matches. Except that Vivi isn't even THAT old... though he does represent the extremely OS Black Mage. Okay, Black Mage Factor, final answer, now let's quickly move on so I can stop my head from spinning. Everyone's pretty much in agreement these days regarding Big Boss being the most picture-dependent character in history, and I think we also agree that he looks very cool and Snake-ish for tonight's poll. That being said, it makes sense for everyone to be all up in arms over this being "the next Shadow/Mario", with BB having a good shot to hold the icon to the mid 50s. And given the way heavy favorites were being anti-voted like mad last round, that line of thought made a ton of sense only a short while back. Now, however, I have two problems with the theory: Number One, we apparently live in a world where Donkey Kong would put up 60% on Liquid Snake. *mind starts reeling once again* More important however is Number Two, aka "we've already seen this match." Big Boss got an awesome Snake pic and first put a real scare into us against Mario in R2 of '07... but even there he only managed 35% on him directly! And that was using the 4way format that clearly caters to MGS (hello there, Liquid Snake!), in a match where BB stuck out like a sore thumb while Mario battled Magus for SNES support and Phoenix Wright for Nintendo support. Even if BB/"semi-Snake" is stronger post-MGS4 and post-Brawl, the mid 50s still feels like way too much ground for him to make up. I expect him to do well and come out of this one looking very good both in our minds and in the x-stats, but a finish in the lower 60s seems like a much more realistic goal. Let's run with that. Ngamer Says: Mario > Big Boss, 63.11% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
really, Ngamer? really? --- xyzzy |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Mario/Ike Matches Oh wow, 0.05% from a Perfect Pick! Looks like I've still got it. *dances around the room a bit* Yeah, this one played out almost exactly as I expected, with Mario starting off with a great Power Hour (little over 64%) before collapsing to those MGS-loving Europeans overnight (dipped well under 62 just before the sun rose) before making a decent Nintendo Morning Vote comeback. Can you imagine how epic a Night Match between Mario and a "stronger version of Big Boss" could be? That's why I tried to talk SB into putting Link and Cloud on the same side of the bracket to set up Mario/Snake with the winner playing Sephiroth, but nooooooooo, three straight seasons of 4ways later he decides he's a stickler for tradition all of a sudden. But I digress! Really cool match tonight. Nintendo's still got some pop on this site, as they continue proving time and time again. (In fact you could even make the case that they haven't disappointed all season, depending on if you consider MMX "Nintendo.") On the other hand, we JUST SAW Final Fantasy 9 pull off a very convincing win in what was supposed to be a coin flip of a match, so what's to keep it from happening again? Well for one thing, Zidane is no Vivi. I think we've generally agreed that between the "BMF" and his fan favorite status, Vivi has become the Auron to Zidane's Tidus (though the gap probably isn't quite as large). For two things, the guy couldn't even manage 65% against Claptrap, for crying out loud! Now I know what you're thinking, "Ike looked even worse against Prinny!" but I disagree. Prinny had massive casual appeal due to the one of the best pics of the whole round and was backed by one of the most hardcore fanbases this site has ever seen. Heck, the same Disgaea base even earned a win against a Square character only a couple weeks back. (The weakest Square character ever, but still!) Meanwhile Claptrap was "supported" by a fanbase that managed only 7% in the Multiplat GotY and looked like an orange trash can in the pic... yet he/it somehow managed over 35% of the vote. Yes sir, I've got plenty of confidence in my Ike pick and would probably take him for a fairly large win in a Day Match. Without a boost from the Brawl ASV I imagine Zidane keeps this reasonably close, but I don't think the end result will ever be in question. Ngamer Says: Ike > Zidane, 51.39% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
NGamer's going to outdo Ulti's top 10 for sheer volume of words posted at one time. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Ike/Mega Man Matches Well now! For a match I was 0.16 away from calling perfectly, that certainly DID NOT play the way I expected. First off, Zidane as a Board Vote stud (over 51% for a minute, held the lead for over 3 minutes)? Didn't see that coming- we're the people who single-handedly earned Ike a 12 seed when he was "some guy from a website," for heaven's sake! If you'd told me Ike could barely manage 51% at the end of the Power Hour I'd have said he was doomed, but instead he... wait a minute, this was a DAY MATCH! No wonder he held on so well before eventually putting it out of reach. Haha, guess I made an almost perfect pick despite totally botching my research- guess it's better to be lucky than smart! Okay, well that means its time for a REAL night match, and that might be a cause for concern considering it features a REAL FF7 character. The early old-school loving voters are crazy about Mega Man while Europe despises him (for some strange reason), so we might be looking at one of the biggest trend shifts of the year in this one. I was really surprised to see Zack validate his '08 showing by handling Yuna so easily, and since his Euro-fueled dead hour vote figures to be every bit as good as Sora's kiddie-fueled ASV, a pick in the Sora/MM range of 54/55 feels about right for this one. Or at least it WOULD feel about right, except for the little problem of Mega Man's last performance. Good golly, did he ever impress me against Cid! People have been coming up with every excuse in the book to try and downplay MM's strong showing, including how Cid looked awful in the pic, isn't really that big a deal in FF7, etc etc. I'm not buying it- Square always brings its A game against Nintendo and Cid was given every opportunity to post a good number, but he couldn't get the job done because the MM series is hot right now. I'm not entirely sure WHY it's hot, but you can hardly argue with what its shown us against Marcus and Snake and even Poke-fueled Red. Zack has that same set of perfect opportunities tonight, and I think he'll likewise fail to impress... though he should still improve on Cid a decent bit, since the guy does kind of suck after all! Let's shoot for something in that 57 range. Ngamer Says: Mega Man > ZackFAQs, 57.31% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Mega Man/Master Chief Matches Shoot, so much for giving Mega Man "the respect he deserves." He got out to the great start I called for (board vote in the mid-65s, against B8's favorite FF7 character. my mouth is already watering over Mizno/Seph!), but that early push was MUCH bigger than I'd anticipated. From there out I was right on the money regarding a huge trend shift, with MM tumbling from 66 all the way into the low 61s by the time the run rose, but so much damage had been done in the Power Hour that my prediction never had a chance. This result should certainly make Cid fans happy, and beyond that... dang would it ever have been fun to have Vincent as the #2 in this division and watch everyone tripping over themselves in the mad rush to call the upset. They're the Noble Nine for a reason, guys! Speaking of which, doesn't every passing result make that Mizno match feel more and more like one of those weird dreams from the first night you come down with the flu? Now, the Mizno win was one of the biggest first round upsets ever, with only 22% of the site expecting it to happen, but today's Hayabusa win figures to top it as one of the biggest upsets of ANY round! (In the PPC I predicted Ryu to have only 16% of the brackets behind him, which would be the 16th lowest percentage in the history of 1v1s.) And the ninja should be able to pull it off, as all of this season's factors appear to be very much working in his favor: modern casual "favorites" are crumbling against more established characters, Xbox action heroes have been especially pathetic, and tradition dictates that Master Chief find a way to completely embarrass himself at least once per year. You could argue that he's already done so by managing only 40% on the Spy, and for any other character I'd agree, but nah, I don't feel that's quite up to MC's extremely high standards! Yup, with the Halo 3 boost dead and gone, it's time to start picking anyone with the smallest shred of respectability to upend the Chief, and Hayabusa fits the bill. ...that's the writeup I WANTED to post, before Ryu had to go and ruin everything last round. Sorry, but not even putting together 62% against Crash Bandicoot is the one unforgivable sin in The Book of Ngamer. You wouldn't see Sub-Zero making a fool of himself against such trash, I'll tell you that much! Now true, between all the favorite anti-voting and a lack of H3 hype MC has probably slipped enough that you don't have to be on Subby's level to beat him anymore, but then again "Subby's level" might be higher than we'd anticipated, if that Tidus match has anything to say about it. All in all, I doubt MC to the point where I'd be willing to throw caution to the wind and pick Ryu in a Night Match, but he should have enough of an ASV kick left to weakly survive to R3. Drat. Ngamer Says: MC > The Other Ryu, 51.41% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
hahahaha ngamer --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup - Ryu H/Sora Matches Haha! Oh gosh Master Chief, I'll never doubt you again! (Then again, that's about the third time he's forced me to use that phrase.) Ryu's good start with the DSV was by no means unexpected, but we're talking about a character who was in this same position against Donkey Kong before crunching him from 55% to 49% with his mighty Xbox Day Vote. This time the ASV rolled around and bailed MC out by pushing Hayabusa from 54% to... the mid 52s? Pathetic! Now I've often stated how watching Master Chief fail is just about my favorite yearly tradition, but even I can't support Ryu winning THIS easily; it's going to push Crash way too high in the x-stats! Although with the way Mega Man's on a roll, he's probably going to eat Ryu for breakfast, making this whole group look like trash. And there's still a chance MM gets spanked by Mario right afterwards. Okay nevermind, this result has my full support after all. Finally we've arrived at the worst matchup of Round Two! (I didn't actually look at the bracket to check, but if there's anything worse I'd be too upset to continue writing.) I've been a Laharl hater since before it was cool, and considering how I didn't even think he could beat Neku, you'd imagine I would be calling for the biggest upset of the round against a Square RPG hero that's about 27 rungs higher on the company ladder. I really wish I could, but between that 56% on Neku and Prinny's great showing, I've got to grudgingly admit that the Disgaea fanbase has earned a little bit of my respect. More importantly though, a huge blowout would go entirely against the theme that I've turned into a dead horse and then continued beating all season to this point: Kingdom Hearts is Square's Halo. The sizable fanbase is such that even Link couldn't post a monster number against it, but the sizable haterbase is such that not even Tingle could get destroyed by it. Actually I take that back- Tingle's so despised that Sora DID thump him with 75%, but replace Tingle with anyone not so openly loathed (like Agent 47) and Sora's going to struggle to make 70. Having Disgaea there on top of the anti-voting should make this a good bet to stay in the high 60s... and in fact this is about the most confident I've been in an Oracle prediction all year! Ngamer Says: Sora > STOP NOMINATING HIM, 68.91% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
