GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
I
think Marth and Guybrush over-performed anyway, so only Kefka has
really come away looking good...and by looking good, we mean outdoing
Frog in a year every CT-character lost in the first round. That sounds
unfair, but Magus looked poor and Midna was just shy of doing to Sora
in a night-match what Frog did to Bowser in a day-match despite Frog
getting 4% more on Midna in the vote-ins. Crono needs no explanation,
either, though to his credit his loss may not be embarrassing because
of his personal strength. Kefka's not getting a free pass just yet if EVERYBODY else from his half-division in 2008 plus Zack looks worse off this year and he only did a little better than Frog. He clearly boosted, but let's not say he looks good in general. Just good in context to the joke he had become. And I don't know about how he'd do on Tails just because I wonder of Sonic Team's gonna end up looking THAT bad. Charizard's a contender for winning the division so Tails doesn't look so bad like that, Shadow looks alright thanks to Ammy pulling through, and Kefka/Terra leave a good argument for Cecil improving (not to mention Zack might have SFF'd him in 2008, though I don't like that argument) so Knuckles looks better before getting SFF'd. Throw in that Lightning's technically a wildcard even though I hate to give Sonic a defense against her, and we don't know until Sonic faces Ganon about whether or not the crew looks that bad. If four-ways really made them look worse, then Tails doesn't lose to Kefka too badly. If nothing else, I'm not taking him to get close to Kratos. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Traitor! --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
And uh, I am officially sick of talking about Charizard. We all have our stance, we'll know soon enough which is right. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
And uh, I am officially sick of talking about Charizard. Success! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
so uh, Samus rules and would beat Charizard silly --- xyzzy |
samus is a beast cloud is screwed --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
L-Block 60.48% 30620 Isaac 39.52% 20007 TOTAL VOTES 50627 Charizard 54.49% 44776 Kratos 45.51% 37392 TOTAL VOTES 82168 Crew Predictions - 66/78 What Happened: L beats Isaac, but he doesn't look strong doing it. Charizard also beats Kratos fairly easily. Why it Happened: L...really sucks these days. Isaac > HK, I guess. Duke and Tails look to be about even, so Charizard was the favorite to win the match all along! What will Happen: Charizard should beat down L harder than he did Kratos. Crew Prediction Challenge - tie alert Kleenex - 70 Moltar - 70 Tran - 69 Red Sox - 69 Ngamer - 68 Lopen - 65 Guest - 64 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Ngamer racks in 2 points today. Moltar - 15.5 Ngamer - 15 Tran - 12 Guest - 11.5 (Bio: 1.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1, War: 1) Lopen - 10 Red Sox - 8 Kleenex - 6 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Samus > Jill (80/96) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
I didn't have the lowest prediction percentage for once? Wow. Of course, I also wasn't expecting a doubling. Man Samus is looking strong this year; I thought Jill would escape the doubling for certain if only because it is a "night" match (I put "night" in quotes because it is 4pm where I live now). Samus boosting from Brawl would certainly make sense, but...it didn't really seem to happen last year. What did you think of my analysis this time? |
It seems that my prediction percentage was also higher than charmander6000's. |
And I meant the percentage predicted. So this still gives proof to a Jill boost, right? Of course, Samus may have boosted to from Brawl and MPTrilogy (well, it got 2nd place on IGN's top 25 Wii games list! Except Galaxy was 1st, and MPT was ahead of Brawl and TP on that list...though the list also suggests Brawl > TP!). |
Varia Division: Round 2 - Match 82 – (5) Roxas vs. (13) Sub-Zero Moltar’s Analysis Roxas Round 1 - 56.96% vs. Heavy Not too impressive Sub-Zero Round 1 - 53.86% vs. Tidus Sub-Zero scores another upset. So I have Tidus winning here, and Sub-Zero beat Tidus, so it looks like I’m backing Subby. Roxas’s R1 performance didn’t really inspire any confidence in his strength. He looks like a really low-midcarder. Hell, Tidus would easily win here. Sub-Zero should have no problem. Moltar’s Bracket: Tidus > Roxas (whoops) Moltar’s Prediction: Roxas: 40% - Sub-Zero: 60% Lopen’s Analysis Man I can't believe Sub-Zero beat Tidus. Well, with that in mind... you could say Roxas's upset chances here are... *puts on shades Sub-Zero Lopen's prediction: Sub-Zero with 59.91% Transience’s Analysis This match should be easy -- I mean, there's no way Roxas is beating Tidus and Sub-Zero did just that. I feel weird just discarding Roxas as being some fodder character though. Roxas has been getting more and more screentime lately and the KH series seems to be getting more popular than a dated game like FF10. FF10's still more popular, but it's not more relevant - Roxas has been in 2 or 3 games while Tidus is basically only in one. And no, his KH cameo doesn't count. Anyway, Sub-Zero wins, but I still feel like this won't be a complete blowout. Prove me wrong, Sub. transience's prediction: Sub-Zero with 61.56% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Between doing 54 on Tidus and Dante hanging 69 on Axel, I don't see why everyone's sticking to the high 50s for this one. Expecting fireworks from Subby. Ngamer Says: Sub-Zero > Axel, 61.77% (Editor’s Note: Shhh no one tell him) Kleenex’s Analysis Is this a debatable match? I don't know, I haven't been paying attention to chatter about it (if there's been anyway). Regardless, this shouldn't be debatable. I'm pretty sure I'd take Tidus over Roxas, and we all saw what happened last round! Subby's got a pretty sweet picture too. Maybe when he wins this we can get some sprite fatality vs. Samus next round. Look out ! Actually, looking ahead, there aren't too many debatable matches until Dante/Ryu, and even that doesn't look too debatable anymore. Round 2 sux. Bracket: Sub-Zero Favorites: Sub-Zero Prediction: Sub-Zero with 55.34% Red Sox’s Analysis I have Tidus winning this match, but since Sub-Zero dispatched Tidus easily last round, this match is his. Roxas will be much weaker than Tidus and this one won't be close. KH has looked bad this year too, so Sub-Zero could go past 60% here, maybe even without too much trouble. Prediction: Sub-Zero with 61.00% Upper Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Sub-Zero with 66% Lower Bound: Sub-Zero with 56% Crew Consensus: Sub-Zero tells Roxas to chill out and then puts him on ice. |
whoa, I thought I was going low. --- xyzzy |
Team Nomura is getting NINJA'D hard this contest. --- Shakes Fist! |
Crap, no guest! So: Wowzers, I have no idea how this'll end up. Roxas has been stuck against an RPG character in both of his contests, though he still isn't looking good, and is probably looking as good as he always has. Meanwhile...okay MC losing doesn't make Sub-Zero look too good I guess, and neither does Marcus getting trashed. But Spy also doesn't look too good, thus making Heavy look bad, and if Heavy = Spy then MC gets 54% on Roxas, and that's likely to be higher. About 60% seems reasonable...oh wait don't Roxas and MC share a common opponent now? Okay, I'm not bothering to see how well Hayabusa did against Roxas, but assuming that Sub-Zero = Hayabusa then...okay the day match and seeding should help Roxas. So...here goes: Prediction: Sub-Zero with 59.99% |
I
think you guys definitely went too high here. There's enough of a
difference here for Subby to win comfortably, but I don't think Roxas
is quite that bad, and I don't think Sub is quite that good. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I
dunno, unless you think Roxas could get 45% on Tidus, I don't see a
reason for him to get 45% on Sub-Zero. I can't see Axel doing that to
Tidus and I'm not sure if Roxas is any stronger than Axel. --- xyzzy |
Yeah, I'm thinking Roxas gets 43-45% here. I think he's the 2nd strongest KH character now. --- http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
dangit LMS and FantasyFreak let other people steal analyses every once in a while --- [~th3l3fty~] I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
LMS is here?? *runs away from this topic* --- Shakes Fist! |
In my mind, I'd take Roxas over Axel and I do think Roxas and Tidus are not that far removed. But I guess we'll see. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I'm
a Roxas supporter myself and think he could be close to Riku, but I
don't think much of Riku these days at all. I feel a little worried
about him vs. Falcon, even. --- xyzzy |
also if Roxas bombs I can use this against Sora haha Sora sucks --- xyzzy |
If Roxas can do close to what Tidus did on Subby, I'd feel better about Sora...for no reason whatsoever! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
I'm dead certain Roxas will break 40%, 358/2 may have done squat for him, but I do think Heavy is not all that weak. If only BBS was out in the west. --- Shakes Fist! |
Roxas isn't in BBS! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: KleenexTissue50 | #275 The main character looks just like him though! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
actually I am totally taking this analysis because I can (and because I haven't done one yet) Pictorial Analysis Looking at the match pic, you can tell this is already decided - Roxas's background is turning blue, a sign of the cold Sub-Zero is going to smash him with once the match begins. Roxas looks angry, though, so he's obviously got some fight in him. Using his fangirls as shields Roxas will be able to prevent Sub-Zero from hurting him too badly. Sub-Zero with 56.78% --- [~th3l3fty~] I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
From: LeonhartFour | #276 altair effect imo --- http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
Sounds like Roxas gets the Altair boost next year! Great Round 1 performance than exposed as a fraud the next round. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
ATTN: Moltar Don't count lefty's analysis. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: KleenexTissue50 | #270 Solid was where in MGS3? --- Shakes Fist! |
I'm just hoping Roxas breaks 40%. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
I think people underestimate Sub-Zero. dude does well every contest. I don't think Tidus bombed in round 1. --- xyzzy |
From: voltch | #281 Snake vs. Monkey! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
ATTN: Moltar don't believe Kleenex's lies --- [~th3l3fty~] I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Oh,
I think a lot of Sub-Zero's strength, too. If Roxas comes close, it's
more a sign of Roxas being pretty strong now rather than Subby being
weak. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
looks like we were right and we're going to fight over 60%. crap, I forgot this was a day match. Roxas should do this with ease. --- xyzzy |
aww yea 43% for Roxas --- http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
woo Roxas not embarrassing himself --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
I never wanted accuracy points anyway. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
yes, we noticed --- xyzzy |
Sent my Terra/Squall analysis --- Maybe PICS NAO later, WTF do you think this is, Neopets or something! No ****ing maybe no ****ing later, PICS NAO or DAIIIIII!! -- LeighDaMan |
well, there goes 60% darn you day vote --- xyzzy |
Man,
is it bad that when I first read the all the analysis...es for this
match and saw 'Sub-Zero with 55%' I immediately thought it was red sox --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
what's that supposed to mean --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Why would you think it was me? I've taken very few outrageous picks this year outside of Red. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
you're generally a ways away from the norm on percentages. --- xyzzy |
So my analysis was 2nd most accurate this time. Hmmmm... |
HA, I knew Roxas wouldn't let Subby get over 60% on him. --- Shakes Fist! |
Varia Division: Round 2 - Match 83 – (14) Jecht vs. (6) Ratchet Moltar’s Analysis Jecht Round 1 - 52.70% vs. Phoenix Phoenix Status: ReJechted Ratchet Round 1 - 68.39% vs. Eddie Remember this match? Yeah I don’t either. Joining Laharl in the “Why did these characters make Round 2” list is tonight’s combatant, Ratchet! He may have looked impressive stomping utter garbage last round, but Jecht is an actual opponent. He may not have looked too strong last round when he eJechted Phoenix out of the competition, but even Phoenix would kill Ratchet. Jecht’s got him in a night match. This should be all kinds of beatdown here. Moltar’s Bracket: Jecht > Ratchet Moltar’s Prediction: Jecht: 63% - Ratchet: 37% Lopen’s Analysis Jecht did allow Phoenix Wright to get 47% on him, so he's not really all that. But that should be enough to trample over this dude, who has done nothing but look like crap. Unless Jack Black actually has some strength on this site (and he should!) Jecht probably calls Ratchet a baby and makes fun of him for going commando or whatever. "Going commando? Who does that? Babies. You're such a baby. Go ahead and cry, cry baby." Lopen's prediction: Jecht with 58.01% Transience’s Analysis I've got a funny feeling about Ratchet. I think he's more popular now than ever before. His games are consistently good. The new ones are notable PS3 exclusives and get bandwagoned a lot because of that fact. The PS3 has picked up a lot of steam. The older Ratchet gets, the more fondly people look at him -- you can see this kind of thing happening with Crash. Crash used to be a joke but now you're finding all these weird nostalgic Crash fans and his contest performances are starting to reflect that. I think Ratchet's going to have some of that going on too. I'll still take Jecht to win, but I like Ratchet in a lot of ways. I'd compare him to Bomberman; problem is, Jecht just beat the guy that beat Bomberman and Phoenix has only increased since then. Basically, this writeup is pointless and Jecht is a lock. whatever. transience's prediction: Jecht with 58.45% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Everyone's surging toward the mid 60s here ever since the match pic game up... whaaa? I'm sorry, but there's a limit to how strong I can logically justify Phoenix Wright being. Ngamer Says: Jecht > Ratchet, 59.27% |
