GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
Well I said in my analysis I would've taken Kefka to beat Frog this year. Not that surprising to me. As for the other half "Sora gonna win" --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Arthas isn't losing to Laharl, I don't think. Then again, Kefka isn't rocking Frog. conclusion: lol x-stats --- xyzzy |
Kefka wouldn't beat Frog? We have a common opponent, and Kefka did better. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
With
how bad Chrono Trigger has looked and how far it's dropped (Frog is no
exception to this), I wouldn't be surprised if Kefka beat Frog pretty
easily at this point. Frog has no excuses for Kefka outperforming him.
It's not like Kefka's doing this in a night match. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
I didn't say he wouldn't win, I just don't think he'd beat him 55/45. I also don't think stats would matter in such a match. --- xyzzy |
Maybe not. I'm gonna have a hard time picking CT to win anything debatable in the future though. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
it's kinda scary that, even with these results, Laharl is projected to beat Arthas. Bowser gonna beat Sora 60/40 aw yeah --- xyzzy |
Sora is the same guy who goes from http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2519 to http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2552 I really don't have any faith in Bowser at this point. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
With 60/40, you get this! Bowser - 50.00% Kefka - 40.87% Sora - 40.00% Frog - 36.78% Arthas Menethil - 32.23% Midna - 29.01% Laharl - 25.80% Neku Sakuraba - 22.54% 60/40 the other way, you get this! Sora - 50.00% Bowser - 40.00% Midna - 36.37% Kefka - 32.69% Laharl - 32.25% Frog - 29.42% Neku Sakuraba - 28.17% Arthas Menethil - 25.78% Aw yeah --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
And
maybe comparing Bowser to Luigi isn't the best idea (though they're
probably not far off), but Weegi getting less than 60% on Amaterasu
wasn't particularly impressive. Sure, Ammy's probably a decent
midcarder, but that was way too much for Luigi to give up for me. A
near elite level character doesn't do that. Even 2008 Crono doubled
Ammy, at least. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
I'd take Amaterasu over Kefka. --- xyzzy |
I,
for one, am under the firm belief that Kefka got the biggest boost from
Dissidia than anyone else. I mean, all of the other FF characters in
this contest have had their games either originally or redone in 3D
already. Kefka (and Terra) are the only ones who haven't had their
games converted yet. Dissidia was Kefka's first 3D experience, and the
voice acting really let his personality shine, cuz, let's face it,
nobody else had one (I'm looking at you, Mr. Monotone Sephiroth). Add
in the fact that he's actually getting pictures where he's
recognizable, I'd say that Kefka seriously boosted this year. ...but this may be my inner fanboy talking. idk --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
that's fair, I think. Cecil got the same treatment and he almost beat Knuckles. --- xyzzy |
Looks like Kefka won't end too far from Frog at this rate, but he'll do a little better. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
how's Kefka vs. Laharl looking now? --- xyzzy |
Assuming Bowser vs. Sora is 50/50? Let's see... Kefka with 59.26% --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
and dropping, right? Kefka beating Laharl with 57, 58% is kind of laughable. --- xyzzy |
Well,
unless Bowser rips Sora a new one (which I suppose is possible),
Kefka's going to be hard-pressed to be worth more than 60% on Laharl in
the final stats. Frog almost certainly won't. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
I love Kefka's day vote. --- xyzzy |
....assuming Kefka ends around 37-38%, what does Sora need for Laharl > Kefka? --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
Yeah,
Bowser's gaining like 1% per hour. He'll obviously slow down, but man,
I'm convinced anyone could beat Kefka's day vote at this point, even
someone like Jade Curtiss. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
From: WarThaNemesis2 | #120 Heh. If Kefka finishes with 38%, Sora would need 57.57% for Laharl = Kefka. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
really, that kefka/marcus match in 2007 cemented kefka as the worst asv character ever --- http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/13twop_02.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
...ironically that's probably what Sora needs to make the Sora > Mario train come back to life! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
I'm hoping that Sora crashes and burns against Bowzer now. lol --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Laharl
beating Arthas wouldn't surprise me, actually. At the very least I
could see it being close. Still think Kefka smashed Arthas that bad
because Arthas is a jobber more than a Kefka boost. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Oh
yeah, I definitely thought something looked off about my numbers, but
maybe that's because I don't really see Kefka as having boosted--Arthas
is just that bad. A quick look into my logic: 2007: Arthas debuts, ends up exiting in first round in third place, barely beating out Diablo. At the time, this was considered exceeding expectations. Sad, isn't it? 2008: Arthas returns, ends up in a fourpack with Pikachu, Ike, and Spy. Barely manages to beat out the SFFed Ike for second place. Leaves in second round in third place, fairly close to last-place Captain Falcon, whose strength is even more dependent on Smash and therefore was probably weakened by Pikachu even more than Ike was. In other words...Arthas really hasn't done anything, ever. He managed to prove that he gets the better end of Blizzard LFF vs. Diablo, but that's about it. Yes, Diablo actually managed to beat Kefka in a 1v1 setting, but it's pretty obvious that Diablo was fodder and was merely taking advantage of the fact that the entire Villains Contest was more or less fodder except for an elite few. On a side note, despite winning three matches in said contest, Diablo had more votes against him than for him. Kefka, who lost after only two wins, didn't. --- CB8 score: 79 Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon, Kratos Aurion, Crono, Soap MacTavish; Master Chief |
Heart Division: Round 2 - Match 79 – (3) L-Block vs. (6) Isaac Moltar’s Analysis L-Block Round 1 - 63.89% vs. HK-47 L does as expected for once. Isaac Round 1 - 68.79% vs. Layton You know you suck when you get thrashed by Isaac. This could be a bit interesting. Cube performed poorly against The Boss, and even L’s Round 1 match was nothing impressive. Missingno seems to be the only joke that’s an actual threat this time around. Still, Isaac is only high-fodder who beat down uber-fodder. L actually easily beat a high-fodder opponent in HK-47, so I would expect similar numbers here. L is going to need a really nice performance to look like a threat against Krat-…Chari-…whoever wins the next match. Moltar’s Bracket: L-Block > Isaac Moltar’s Prediction: L-Block: 64% - Isaac: 36% Lopen’s Analysis Shaped like a boot to kick someone in the face I'm not really sure how that goes. Isaac tries to summon his dyjnni while some dude says 66 on Isaac but they're not really referring to percentage, more just slang that he's a jobber. Don't think he does much worse than HK, though. Lopen's prediction: L-Block with 66.34% Transience’s Analysis I have to be quick today. Isaac is not popular or known enough to handle L-Block. I'm not even sure if he'd beat HK-47 and he (it?) just got demolished by L-Block. I have to admit though, Isaac is way stronger than I ever would have expected. I figured a GBA-exclusive RPG character would suck ass, but Isaac only kind of sucks ass. Impressive! transience's prediction: L-Block with 62.49% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Jokes have been tumbling, Nintendo's looked good, Revan exposed KotoR... yet everyone still seems to be picking 66s here. What am I missing? Ngamer Says: L-Block > Isaac, 61.95% |
Kleenex’s Analysis Isaac finally got to win a match, but unfortunately this is as far as he gets. I think L will probably pull numbers close to what he got last round, because I don't think Isaac and HK are all that far removed, strength-wise. Or maybe L will win with 90% or something, I dunno. Bracket: L-Block Favorites: Isaac Prediction: L-Block with 62.22% Red Sox’s Analysis I've thought Golden Sun was underrated for years, and Isaac showed us that in round 1 when he blasted Professor Layton. But Layton was bad fodder (that is, if he's in the contest at all, he should be getting fed to Clinkeroth immediately), and L-Block is a strong character, a high midcarder probably. It's hard to say how strong Isaac is because he's always been behind SFF or LFF, but he's probably fairly close to HK-47. Prediction: L-Block with 65.00% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: L-Block with 69% Lower Bound: L-Block with 61% Guest’s Analysis - GrapefruitKing Why do I always pick the boring matches to analyze? I'm really not sure, probably because so far I did really good at predicting them in tha crew. Alright so last round, Block proved that he still had decent strength in 1 on 1 contests, scoring 64% on HK-47 (Revan would've probably gotten like 20% in HK's spot btw, what a loser)... Anyway, so that performance isn't amazing enough to make me believe that Block has a chance at beating Kratos/Charizard, but it pretty much had a bye to Round 3 whatever happened. But didn't Isaac get close to 70% in Round 1? Isn't that impressive? Well, no, it just shows that Layton is disgusting fodder and should never be brought back. Bring in Leisure Suit Larry next time instead... he might be weaker, but he's a better character. So, yeah, Block probably gets close to what he got on HK, a little higher I think because HK > Isaac ... but not by much. This'll be Block's swan song though, as just like Comapnion Cube proved earlier, when put against real competition, jokes don't have nearly as much strength as they seem to have ... well except missingno. God that thing is scary. Lord save us. GrapefruitKing's surprisingly accurate prediction: L-Block - 64.58% Crew Consensus: L comes down from the sky and crushes Isaac. |
Man, how'd we get two posts out of this match? --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Woo Isaac Ngamer as the genius of the night! --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Well,
no, it just shows that Layton is disgusting fodder and should never be
brought back. Bring in Leisure Suit Larry next time instead... he might
be weaker, but he's a better character. them's fightin' words! --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Sora 67.75% 31848 Laharl 32.25% 15160 TOTAL VOTES 47008 Kefka 38.32% 29563 Bowser 61.68% 47590 TOTAL VOTES 77153 Crew Predictions - 65/76 What Happened: Sora once again shows he couldn't even blow out a candle. Then, Kefka has a very good showing against Bowser. Why it Happened: Disgaea has looked decent this year, and combining that with Sora's lack of blow-out power, Laharl ends up looking good. As for Kefka, be it either his picture or DISSIDIA BOOST, this was a very good year for the clown. What will Happen: I dunno, Sora was the favorite going in, and even though his unimpressive match with Laharl isn't inspiring, Bowser hasn't really stepped up either. Crew Prediction Challenge - 2 points Kleenex - 69 Moltar - 68 Tran - 68 Red Sox - 67 Ngamer - 66 Lopen - 64 Guest - 63 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar gets the point for Sora and Lopen gets the point for Bowser Moltar - 15.5 Ngamer - 13 Tran - 12 Guest - 11.5 (Bio: 1.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1, War: 1) Lopen - 10 Red Sox - 8 Kleenex - 6 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: L-Block > Isaac (78/92) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
I
haven't checked in on the Crew in a while. How's this hectic format
treating you? The only thing I dislike about the 12 hour matches are
their potential to overload Moltar and the rest of ya'll. Hang in there! --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
My policy has been "give half the effort to my write-ups and it'll all balance out" Some of the other crew members disagreed with this way of thinking at first, but slowly they've all turned to my side... oh yes. Just look at today! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Heart Division: Round 2 - Match 80 – (7) Charizard vs. (2) Kratos Moltar’s Analysis Charizard Round 1 - 64.25% vs. Duke Charizard beastin’ Kratos Round 1 - 60.98% vs. Tails Kratos disappointin’ Charizard crushing Duke was definitely impressive. However, since then we’ve seen Altair bomb against Vivi, who Duke narrowly beat in 2008. Is it right to call Altair’s performance a bomb though? I mean, I certainly didn’t expect him to be worth 45% on Vivi pre-contest. Kratos failing to crush Tails was definitely not impressive. However, since then we’ve seen Ammy, who is a bit stronger than Shadow, do very well on Luigi, somewhat vindicating Sonic Team. Does this mean that all three members of the Knuckles/Shadow/Tails trio are all midcarders? I’m a bit hesitant to put Tails that high because in recent times, he has not looked as good as he did many years ago when he was doing good against Dante or Auron. This should be a fairly close match. Charizard has the advantage and momentum going into the match. Altair and Kefka had good contest runs, and Niko had reason to fall off the face of the Earth. His beatdown of Duke, even with the picture disadvantage, won many people over. Meanwhile, the jury is still out on Sonic Team, but Kratos’s performance against Tails may not be as bad as it seemed. Still, it’s an iffy performance, and I’ll go with the one that was ‘impressive’ over the one that was ‘iffy’. I like Charizard here more at the moment. Also, I’ve gotten the last match of every division in Round 2 wrong so far in my bracket. Today, the trend must continue! Moltar’s Bracket: Kratos > Charizard Moltar’s Prediction: Charizard: 52% - Kratos: 48% Lopen’s Analysis http://scrawlfx.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/God-of-War-Slurpee.jpg Now I'm not going to say the GoW3 hype machine has even come close to the Halo 3 hype machine, but man just look at those things. They're awesome. It's definitely in motion, though I don't think it's going to help Kratos much this match. Not just yet. Thing is, although Charizard vs Duke was a pseudo debatable match when the contest started, he didn't really hit that level to put Kratos at a decisive disadvantage. That whole Link division from last year has ended up looking pretty crappy... and sure, Sonic team has too but what can you do. Way I see it, I think of it this way: Duke vs Tails who you got? If Duke was an overwhelming favorite when the contest started in that match, I'd be pretty surprised. Now throw in Mr Prower's ability to seemingly look great against badasses as we saw back in 2004 against Dante, and you've gotta wonder if Charizard really looked better last round. I don't think he did. This'll be a somewhat close one, but I like Kratos here. Hype (though not in full force) on his side and all the factors in the r1 matches point towards his performance being the more impressive one. Lopen's prediction: Kratos with 53.99% Transience’s Analysis Big match today! With neither Bowser nor Sora really impressing, could Charizard or Kratos take the division? Kratos was the favourite pre-contest due to being an established character. Kratos vs. Mewtwo would be a tossup, so unless Charizard was stronger than Mewtwo, Kratos was the way to go. Kratos kind of bombed his r1 match though and looks very vulnerable. Charizard had a pretty big range. Some thought he'd lose to Duke Nukem while others thought he'd storm the division. Charizard went and nearly doubled Duke Nukem, leading most to believe that he'd beat Kratos easily. |
I
wasn't as impressed as others were though. I think last year's first
division is way overrated. Altair bombed, Zack got somewhat exposed and
Duke Nukem lost badly. Some people think Duke Nukem has strength, but
that's just because of fortunate bracket placement and the fourway
format. Duke Nukem is the perfect character to overperform in a fourway
setting thanks to his joke appeal. I would take Tails to beat Duke
Nukem even with how bad Sonic Team has been sucking it up. Ultimately, I think this match is a tossup and I'm going to support the god of war. I'm not 100% sold on Charizard. Kratos has been sucking it up his last few contest matches, but I'll hesitantly back him. Hopefully God of War 3 hype has reached some people. Doubtful, but I just don't trust the 'zard. transience's prediction: Kratos with 51.95% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Every trend in the world appears to be going against Kratos and in favor of The 'Zard. So why can't I shake the feeling that this'll still be a dogfight? Ngamer Says: Charizard > Kratos, 54.09% Kleenex’s Analysis Gross. I'm going down with this sinking ship, and I will keep doing so until I am right. Down with Pokemon. Bracket: Kratos Favorites: Kratos Prediction: Kratos with 51.78% Red Sox’s Analysis Here was one of the most highly anticipated matches in the second round before the contest. Kratos was the favorite then- but after seeing Charizard get 64% on Duke at night despite an awesome American flag background picture for Duke, and Kratos proceeding to barely break 60% on Tails- the excitement for this has completely died down. Everyone has more or less conceded Charizard's victory, and the only question whether he'll win by enough to win the division over Bowser, Sora, and L-Block. After Sora did badly against Laharl, I think Charizard's the favorite now. Duke looks a lot worse than before now though, after seeing Zack and Altair in round 2, which is a matter for some concern, but Charizard still should look pretty good. Prediction: Charizard with 60.24% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Charizard with 65% Lower Bound: Charizard with 55% Crew Consensus: We have a tie! It’s all up to the Guest! |
I guess I'll go ahead an break the crew tie (unless the guy who was supposed to do today shows up) FantasyFreak999's Emergency Backup Writeup This match could go either way. Charizard looked like a beast against Duke Nukem, while Kratos failed to live up to expectations. However, Kratos's underperformance can be attributed to several factors. First is the possibility that Team Sonic hasn't weakened THAT much. Ammy's good performance against Luigi seems to support this. Secondly, Kratos may have suffered from a badass vs. cute and cuddly match. The two different types of characters seem to polarize voters into 2 camps. Badass usually wins, but it does lose some votes to cute and cuddly. This time, however, there are 2 badass characters, so we'll be getting an even match. It's going to be very close. My bracket says Kratos, so I'm going to stick with it. Kratos - 51.56% --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
woo Kratos Kleenex is worse than Ulti was that one year with writeups --- xyzzy |
I'm legitimately less worried about Charizard losing now that I've seen the way the Crew has gone. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
And now Kratos is the Crew favorite. ...Time to get one right! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
The
only thing that gives me hope for Kratos this round is the fact
ToadYoshi can eliminate someone if he wins. Otherwise I think he's
dragon food. :P --- Currently playing: Zelda Double Feature: Spirit Tracks & Twilight Princess Currently Watching: BSG: Season 4, LOST: Season 6 |
I
had Charizard in my bracket right up till the last minute. I'm sort've
glad I'm out right now because I could've ended up extremely annoyed
with myself an hour from now! Cheering for the Zard here , though I
don't think he'll be pushing 60%. --- Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn |
The
stupid thing is that in my bracket I originally picked Charizard to get
to round 4 because I thought "he's the face of this site's #5 game!",
and then you guys convinced me otherwise. On a side note, may I see the match pic for Samus/Jill to help with my analysis? |
Looks like red sox gets the accuracy point! |
I asked if I am allowed to see the match picture please. Because I will have to go to sleep very soon, and after that I will likely have like 1 hour between me finishing shower/breakfast and going to school, and I don't want to be so pressured to write up my analysis. On a side note, I will attempt a match analysis for Pikachu/Shepard if there are no problems. |
I'm still waiting for the annual Moltar fanfiction! --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
and LMS, that picture isn't up yet --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Okay
thanks. Here goes my blind analysis then (even worse considering that
one of the characters involved is one of the most infamously
pic-sensitive). |
