GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Wow I'm with the crew here with the "why do I have the boss" bracket --- This is an alt for Applekidjosh |
At least you didn't have Drake! LOL Kleenex --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
i'm sorry who is winning right now --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Weighted Companion Cube. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
It
seems all the crew had much faith in Cube and predicted really high
percentage.Well let us hope that this joke character fad dies. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Clever one! Go back to writing about FFX-2 characters. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Go back to writing about FFX-2 characters. I ran out of them :( --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
From: LeonhartFour | #307 What, no Paine? --- Currently 38th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^ Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING |
I wrote about Paine a long time ago! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Hyrule Division: Round 2 - Match 69 – (1) Sonic the Hedgehog vs. (9) Knuckles the Echidna Moltar’s Analysis Sonic Round 1 - 63.86% vs. Lightning Really Sonic? Really? Knuckles Round 1 - 52.00% vs. Cecil Really Knuckles? Really? Ugh these same-series SFF matches are the worst. Mario/Luigi, Crono/Magus, Link/Ganon, gross. Sonic beats up Knuckles and in the end, we end up knowing nothing about Cecil or Knuckles and Sonic is still a mystery going into a big match with Ganondorf. Moltar’s Bracket: Sonic > Knuckles Moltar’s Prediction: Sonic: 67% - Knuckles: 33% Lopen’s Analysis I love the concept here. If voters had any taste they'd vote Knuckles in droves. Note I actually prefer Sonic, but the upset here would just be too delicious. For some reason I think we'll see our first virtually provable case of rSFF here. I don't quite have the guts to pull for a Knux win (though I would've strongly considered it if he didn't suck so BAD last round) but I do think the guy's got a lot of potential to look really good, in spite of SFF rarely (if ever) working that way. Realistically though, even if Knuckles DOESN'T rSFF, he could still look great here considering Sonic also looked like crap. Lopen's prediction: Sonic with 56.35% Transience’s Analysis There's two ways that this match can go: 1. Sonic just crushes Knuckles in a SFF beatdown. This is probably the most likely scenario; I mean, Knuckles is very clearly the sidekick, and while he's edgy and "cool", so is Sonic. Well, supposedly anyway. 2. Knuckles holds up just fine a la Mega Man/Zero 2004. In that match, Mega Man was expected to really rip into Zero and he did no such thing. Some people started arguing for "rSFF" based on that match. The relationship of Mega Man and Zero is pretty similar to Sonic and Knuckles, too. Also, any discontented Sonic fan is going to back the oldschool Knuckles over the new-school Sonic. If this happens, we could see Knuckles do scarily well. I have a hard time backing that, though. I'm gonna go with an in-between pick that leaves nobody satisfied. transience's prediction: Sonic with 63.85% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: If you can't beat 'em, join 'em. And if you can't anti-vote 'em, anti-vote their mascot. Ngamer Says: Sonic > Knux, 64.64% Kleenex’s Analysis Now here's a match I'm looking forward to. This should be a routine win for Sonic here, but much like in the Crono/Missingno match, there's something in the back of my mind that I can't ignore. Both these dudes looked like ass last round, with Sonic failing to double a character that doesn't even have a game yet and Knuckles nearly lost to Cecil. There's also the whole Knuckles is the fan favorite over Sonic thing, which probably doesn't hold a lot of water in this match. I do think Sonic will still win this match, but I'm banking on him taking what should be an SFF beatdown and turning it into an rSFF embarassment. I know a lot of people are calling for Sonic's head this tournament, but since the Noble Nine's already broken, why not push for it one round earlier? Might be nice for Knuckles to make Round 3 for a change! Bracket: Sonic Favorites: Knuckles Prediction: Sonic with a pitiful 55.14% |
Red Sox’s Analysis Sonic Team cannot fail in this match, or at least I don't see a way for it to happen. The question is whether this will be an SFF affair like Mario/Bowser and Crono/Magus or something like Megaman/Zero. My guess is that Knuckles will resist SFF fairly well and it will be somewhere in between- he's a fan favorite as indicated by that Sonic characters favorites poll, as notoriously unreliable as those are. Prediction: Sonic with 66.00% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Sonic with 70% Lower Bound: Sonic with 62% Guest’s Analysis - Biolizard This is a no brainer, and really, it’s just a matter of how an SFF match between these two will pan out. Knuckles may be one of the most popular characters in the fanbase, but in the grand scheme of things, he’s miles behind Sonic when it comes to recognition among the average person. And really, in SFF matches, that’s all it takes. Really, all we’re getting out of this match is to see what the voters think of Knuckles. Can he stand on his own two feet, or does he get support merely for being a Sonic character? I’m more inclined to go with the former, but it’s not a hell of a lot. Bracket: Sonic Favorite: Knuckles Prediction: Sonic with 67% Crew Consensus: Sonic leaves Knuckles in the dust |
no one went too high with Sonic. this fourpack is gonna have some pretty jacked up stats. Lightning > Knuckles who wants some --- xyzzy |
Nobody gave Sonic the 70%+ SFF blowout he should get? People, Knux is in the same game as Sonic. Zero was never in the same game as the original Mega Man. --- "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 3:45:02 PM | message detail LOL Ngamer Question mark? --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Alright,
fell way behind recently due to preping for/recording/editing the
latest episode of The Show (featuring Ed, Leon, and charmander breaking
down Missingno, the Noble Nine, and wrapping up R1! give it a listen! http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53562835 ). So, time to catch back up! Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Hmm... well, good job by Red to limit MMX to only 61%, but in reality the match's only newsworthy moment ended about 90 seconds after midnight. Apparently Missingno hype has this board even more excited than I anticipated; Red hopped out to a Pokemon-fueled early lead, then held on for over a minute! Which wouldn't be such a big deal except this is MEGA MAN we're talking about- the series has always been a king of the early vote, and X himself got a great board push all last season. At this rate I shudder to think how badly Kratos is going to get buried in the opening minutes... and as for Sephiroth, good gracious! But anyways, Red looked okay and X did decently as well I thought, which is in line with everything else MM this season but still leaves us scratching our head over what the heck happened against Price. Tonight's battle should... not be all that interesting. Yes Ammy has always found a way to impress, and it's true that she's defied expectations to become a respectable mid-carder in these Contests, but Luigi is a legit high mid-carder. Everything the guy has done in the past five years indicates his being right there in that Yoshi/Kirby, little behind (non-pig) Ganon range. And sure, heavy favorites have been feeling some heat this season, but Nintendo appears to be weathering the storm better than some others, especially after seeing Link hold up well against The Plan and a Night Match just the other day. On the other hand... ugh, do I ever hate that Luigi's Mansion look. I doubt I have to remind you how the last time Luigi tried that one on for size in a debatable match it made Squall look like a Noble Niner. Meanwhile Ammy looks like a champ as always; even I'm going to have trouble not voting for her, and I don't own a single wolfshirt! And we can be sure that she won't lose this one in a blowout, since her small but devoted fanbase makes her a kind of mini-Gordon Freeman, ie she looks better and better the stronger her competition grows. Which might be a little scary considering how good she ALREADY looked in knocking out Shadow despite drawing a Day Match. Guess between the Night Vote and those other factors I'll give Ams a little more credit than I expected and lower this from a 65 to, let's say, Ngamer Says: Luigi > Ammy, 63.62% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Well now, that was some dang impressive work from Amaterasu yet again. Could someone remind me why we keep doubting her every single outing despite being made fools of something like seven times in a row? The Oracle consensus yesterday was 63, which was never in question beyond the first 10 minutes; YIKES did Luigi ever fall off hard after a promising start. For all the lip service I paid the "dreaded Nintendo Night Vote" earlier in the season, I've sure done a poor job of implementing my own advice. Anyways, despite Luigi looking like crud here, I'd hesitate to say he was "exposed"... he gets a free pass on much of this underperformance thanks to the bad picture, something we can safely assume won't be an issue in the upcoming sprite round. That being said, a big time blowout of The Boss would make it impossible for even me to call Luigi a favorite in Round 3. Luckily for us, that's not going to happen! The latest set of Oracle preds had everyone jumping into the 63, 64, 65 range- what the heck, gang? Was WCC named the 152nd Pokemon overnight and no one thought to tell me? I mean sure the Cube has some strength, and obviously it can't lose this match outright since its so easy to rally a non-traditional character (plus the Valve fanbase would never let it happen), but this isn't some Neo-Sandal character we're talking about here. The Boss handily dispatched of Nathan Drake in a Day Match, Ocelot looks more respectable given Red's recent performance, and MGS3 itself did very well only a year ago- I just don't see how you can expect anything Metal Gear Solid to be blown out considering what its fanbase has shown us in the past three years. Missingno Fever is the only way to explain this rash of ridiculous predictions, and apparently I'm not entirely immune myself, since I've chickened out and raised my Oracle from the 53% it was sitting at pre-Crono. But I still maintain that these mid-60 picks are absurd for a few reasons: * Cubey doesn't even really stand out in this match pic. I never thought I'd use that sentence in my life, but just this once it's true- the grey blends into the frame too easily, meaning the first thing your eye catches is actually Boss's face * jokes (WHOOPS, "non-traditional characters" cough cough cough) don't blow people out, they're only rallied just enough to maintain a lead. even at the height of its power L-Block never posted a win of over 60% against his closest competitor. and no, Sandal doesn't count as "people" * anti-voting abounds this season, but still Missingno feels like a special case to me. and given how easily anything becomes "OLD'D" here on the internet, couldn't you imagine the casuals loving Mizno as the flavor of the week while all those other blocks and cubes are sooooo last year? Give me the Cube, but only in the low 60s. Though I sure wouldn't mind the mid 50s! *crosses fingers* Ngamer Says: WCC > The Boss, 60.92% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
From: Ngamer64 | #314 Well, everyone here picks simultaneously, so the real lesson is: don't pick someone to win with 50.01%! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Though I sure wouldn't mind the mid 50s! *crosses fingers* *fanfare* --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Ahh
okay. A fair LOL in that case, though it should be noted that I've
never changed a percentage after mailing it to Moltar, which I
generally do 120-90 minutes before a match. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Well, looks like that didn't pan out. All aboard the Lightning > Knuckles train. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
From: KleenexTissue50 | #320 Well, after 52% on Cecil, that train already left the station! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
haha I like how "time to catch up" means get back to normal ngamer schedule of 1 match behind XD --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
Luigi 59.59% 31026 Amaterasu 40.41% 21036 TOTAL VOTES 52062 Weighted Companion Cube 53.8% 40132 The Boss 46.2% 34466 TOTAL VOTES 74598 Crew Predictions - 57/66 What Happened: Ammy with a respectable performance against Luigi. Boss with a very good performance against Cube. Why it Happened: Ammy's a legit midcarder (that means Shadow is one too!) so she didn't get killed here. Cube is also much weaker than he appeared in 2008 if it's letting The Boss get that close to it. Also Sandal really really sucks. What will Happen: Luigi got nothing to worry about Crew Prediction Challenge - pointz Kleenex - 62 Moltar - 60 Tran - 59 Red Sox - 58 Ngamer - 58 Lopen - 56 Guest - 54 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar gets the point for Luigi and Cube Moltar - 12.5 Ngamer - 12 Tran - 10 Guest - 9 (Bio: 1, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 2, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1) Lopen - 9 Red Sox - 7.5 Kleenex - 6 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Sonic > Knuckles (62/72) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
So, since Moltar and the guest both have 67% exactly, who's gonna get the point? --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
0.5 to each of them. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
Hyrule Division: Round 2 - Match 70 – (5) Ganondorf vs. (13) Ken Masters Moltar’s Analysis Ganondorf Round 1 - 58.65% vs. Mewtwo A solid performance against a Pokemon Knuckles Round 1 - 50.32% vs. Wesker Now this is just embarrassing. Normally a close match with Wesker = you getting killed. However, it’s hard to say how much stronger Wesker is now after RE5 and after everything in RE5 has looked really good. Still, we’re dealing with Ganondorf, a near-elite, here. I wouldn’t even take Ryu to win here, much less Ken. This could be his redemption performance though. Moltar’s Bracket: Ganondorf > Ken Moltar’s Prediction: Ganondorf: 64% - Ken: 36% Lopen’s Analysis Ken looked really bad last round. Ganon did about as well as expected... but man, Ken. Lloyd Irving would've been expected to win, after that. With all that in mind, I do think the possibility of Wesker boosting is a very real one, so I'm not going to call this a Ganon blowout JUST yet... in spite of Akuma looking terrible, Ryu looked fine. So Ken might do alright. I think he does. Especially if he doesn't have SF4 art, which I do think might've hurt him. And most importantly, Ken's adjusted to fighting in nighttime conditions, and has stolen Albert Wesker's sunglasses. I think you know what this means. Lopen's prediction: Ganon with 64.10% Transience’s Analysis This match should be pretty straightforward. The only notable thing here is the picture. I actually think Ganon has the better picture here, though. Ken is such a generic name and he needs his trademark outfit to stand out. A face picture doesn't really suit him at all. Ganondorf may look dumb as hell, but it's still Ganondorf. People recognize that. Ken looks like some RPG character. I don't think this picture suits him. As for an analysis, we'll see how much Wesker boosted today. The smart thing to do is to set Ken equal to about the fodder line and see how much better Ganon is. He'll probably double Ken up here. If Ken can keep this under 60% I'll feel a lot better about Ryu over Dante. transience's prediction: Ganondorf with 66.94% Ngamer’s Analysis Quickie w/ Ng: Ganon's got to be the all-time leader for "amount of official art available" to "number of horrible match pics received" ratio, right? At least Snake only has to look awful ONCE a year! Ngamer Says: Ganon > Ken, 64.57% |
Kleenex’s Analysis Haha, what the hell Ganondorf's picture. I think Leon said it best. "He looks like the guy who farted in an elevator and is trying not to laugh about it." Something to that effect. Ken kinda looks like a dork here too, though. All picture-related factors aside, Ken's just not in the same league as the 'dorf. It'll be good to finally get a nice read on him and see where he (and in turn, Wesker) falls in terms of strength. It'll also give us a good look into if Ganondorf's feeling up to taking down Sonic next round, assuming he's there! I'd make a Shoryuken joke here, but everyone else is probably going to try and do that (and fail miserably), so I'll pass on this one. Bracket: Ganondorf Favorites: Ken Prediction: Ganondorf with 64.98% Red Sox’s Analysis This is an easy win for Ganondorf that should give us a better idea of where Ken is after all these years. Ganondorf has a really bad picture, which should hurt him a bit, but he's still got an easy win. I think Ken can avoid the doubling with that picture, but not much more than that. Prediction: Ganondorf with 65.25% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Ganondorf with 69% Lower Bound: Ganondorf with 62% Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus Ganondorf scored 59% of the vote against Mewtwo, but Mewtwo is likely stronger than Ken nowadays. At the very least, I'd take Mewtwo to beat Wesker quite easily, especially when looking at last year (and even then Mewtwo likely scores about 60% on Lara Croft, right? Okay, whatever). So... Ken barely beat Wesker, and that's embarassing to at least some extent considering that Ken has scored 32% on SONIC while Wesker put 30% on KEFKA in his first contest outing. Obviously Ken has went down since '03 while Wesker has boosted. Tough to analyze... In the end, Ganondorf could go anywhere from 57% to a doubling. If he gets closer to the latter then Ganondorf > Sonic suddenly looks a lot better. Ultimately, I've been thinking over this match for the past few days, at first deciding to plug in Samus's percentage on Ken from way back when for the pigman in this match...but in the end I'm going to plug in Ganon's percentage on Yuna from '05 here (and BTW I think Yuna does better on Ganon now. Who agrees?), which coincidentally also helps with the doubts about Wesker's current strength, because if Wesker is suddenly a mid midcarder...oh screw that again! Ganondorf did get 39% on Samus in round 2 of last contest, and was likely SFFd a little, and even that is enough to break 40% on Sonic. Ganondorf probably breaks 40% on Sonic nowadays (possibly even 45%, and we'll get an answer soon!), and if both Sonic and Ken are freefalling then Sonic probably approaches his percentage from '03, meaning that Ganondorf also probably gets somewhere close. With that Wind Waker pic lowering the percent a little perhaps, it's time for: http://images1.wikia.nocookie.net/zelda/images/thumb/9/96/Ganon_Artwork_(A_Link_to_the_Past).png/250px-Ganon_Artwork_(A_Link_to_the_Past).png with 63.43% Crew Consensus: Ganondorf Sparta kicks Ken out of this contest |
God damn Ganon pictures. Tell me again why we can't use Brawl Ganon in the match pics? --- Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^ Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING |
64% seems pretty popular today --- xyzzy |
Darn, I again have the lowest pick for Ganondorf. Oh well, at least I'm close to you guys again. And my analysis is much better. |
Tell me again why we can't use Brawl Ganon in the match pics? He got a Brawl pic in round 1. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
I expect us to be universally wrong here today, either way too high or way too low, --- xyzzy |
He got a Brawl pic in round 1. That won't stop everyone and their mothers from using Brawl Snake for future rounds. --- Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^ Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING |
Ken over 40% today book it --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Man
I hope so. After that egg he laid in r1 I thought I was gonna be the
lowest prediction-- have a feeling Ken might get stomped bad --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I
don't think Ken's match against Wesker was as bad as it looked, but
we'll see soon. Wesker should have a big reason to be much more popular
than he has been in the past. Whatever happens, though, I wouldn't blame the pic. I don't think Ganon or Ken look all that good today. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
^Yeah, I DETEST that SNK-style artwork, especially on Capcom characters. --- Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^ Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING |
I
would've aimed for 65% but the Wind Waker pic really threw me off. I
was also planning on making a reference to how Ganondorf has NEVER
broken 62% in a contest (except for the villains contest where he broke
65% in all of his victories). And we call him a high midcarder...poor
fella must be unlucky! Wait... *cue scary music* http://guidesmedia.ign.com/guides/748589/images/p22/267.jpg (Ganondorf): You call me unlucky in these contests eh? Well, it simply means that I have tough opponents each and every time. That time where I drew Vincent was super-unlucky, for instance! Me: Yes, oh great king of evil, I believe you. But...surely those blowouts in that villains contest redeem your position a little, right? And breaking 40% on Sephiroth... Ganondorf: Sure kid, but lots of people just helped me out due to wanting to oppose Sephiroth at all costs. It's not the same when I'm facing Samus, or possibly Mario if I ever get to fight him here. Me: Don't worry, there's no Mario here. Instead you have to fight Sonic, and you certainly don't have my support against him. You never will against Vincent, Tifa, Zelda, Master Chief, or Dante either. Ganondorf: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-yh1g9B_eBY (1: 41 - 1:43) |
Was hoping he went with mine, but it probably didn't work well with this picture frame format -- http://img651.imageshack.us/img651/6813/kenr2.jpg --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
lol ken lol ryu --- xyzzy |
His pic in round 1 was his official art from Twilight Princess, not Brawl. Ganondorf has used a Brawl pic, but only in round 3 of last year. The same round where he lost to Gordon Freeman... ...coincidentally Freeman actually had an easier time against Peach than he did against SFFd Ganondorf. Regardless of how much you think Freeman disappointed (I personally never expected him to break 55%, especially when you consider how he finished behind Meta Knight in both 4-way x-stats and Peach isn't that far behind MK), that doesn't bode well for Peach. |
"beatdown" Man if I knew the Crew was so full of Ken fanboyz I would've went with 68% instead --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
moltar giving knuckles a second chance against ganon! --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
missingno beats crono, ganondorf crushes ken, dante probably beats down ryu -- bad contest right here. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
I've never doubted Dante beating Ryu and am still not sure why that got such a hype train behind it. that said, it could happen. --- xyzzy |
Dante > Ryu sounds like a contest savior to me! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
lol ken Dante is going to wreck Ryu. --- who needs a dick when you're good at smash brothers - stingers Now this is entertainment! |
Dante/Ryu is more like a finals match instead of round 2. Sux! --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Man,
Ken's never been anywhere near Ryu. I have Dante > Ryu, and I'm not
sure why you guys are taking much from a guy we haven't seen since 2003. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Well,
let's be honest here -- Dante looked better in round 1, Dante was
already most likely the stronger of the two, and Street Fighter IV
doesn't seem to have had much affect on SF characters. Ryu's best case
scenario here is probably a close match, worst case is getting beat
pretty easily. He could win, but there's almost nothing
pointing to at this point. I've been behind Ryu to win that since day
1, but Ken doing terrible here isn't doing him any favors. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
