GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Ehh, Seph will be fine, was at 70% the last two updates and *refreshes* 64% that update? Oh what the heck! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngowned --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Sephiroth doin' Sephiroth things --- xyzzy |
Reposted by popular request: The TMNT Crew Master Moltar as Master Splinter * The Crew's wise old sensei and adoptive father, Moltar is a supremely talented analysis who learned the ways of predictsu from the man who consistently owned him, Ultima Terializer. These days he prefers to mostly stay underground and let the younger members of the Crew do the dirty work, but anyone who disrespects him by thinking he's "well past his prime" is in for a rude awakening. tranny as Leonardo * The courageous Crew leader and a devoted student of math 'n stats, tranny is the most experienced of the four and the most skilled at writeups. When the going gets tough, everyone knows that tranny is the one Crewmember who can always be counted on to submit a well-reasoned prediction on time. Ngamer as Donatello * The brilliant x-stats scientist, Guru inventor, site engineer, and technological genius, "Ng" is perhaps the least aggressive Crewmate, preferring to take a conservative approach to predictions and use his inventive website to help solve difficult matchup problems. Kleenex as Raphael * The team's bad boy, Kleenex has an aggressive nature and seldom hesitates to throw the first verbal jab. He is an intense analyst; his writeups can be alternately fierce and sarcastic, and they often times delivers deadpan humor. Still, he is intensely loyal to his fellow Crewmates and their sensei. Lopen as Michelangelo * Easy-going and free-spirited, "Longshot Lopen" provides much of the comic relief for the series (of topics). While he loves to relax with short writeups on dull matches, this Crewmate also has an adventurous and creative side, leading to nearly all of the most daring upset choices (and most hilarious writeups!) in Crew history. red sox as Casey Jones * A newcomer to the group, this longtime Contest vigilante has become one of the core Crewmember's closest allies. Casey first met up with the Crew after having a fight with Kleenex in the stats topic. red sox fights against past Contest results with an assortment of intellectual tools (SFF, LFF, Chrono Trigger bias, nostalgia, not having played any video game released since 1998, etc.), never resting until he has somehow battered, beaten, and twisted the stats into supporting his conclusion. Leon as Shredder * A villainous predictsu master called Leon Hartfour. In every incarnation of the Crew season, he has been the archenemy of Moltar and the Crewmates. Leon prefers to use biting sarcasm and hindsight to insult the Crew's choice well after a match has been decided instead of submitting his own writeups ahead of time. The Crew will not rest until he has been dethroned from his #1 position and exposed for the fraud he is. The Guests as The Guest Clan * Leon's "footsoldiers" in his ongoing war against the Crewmates; he is known to use strict disciplinary tactics to keep them in line and will severely punish a poor performance. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Darth Revan 46.13% 23647 Terra Branford 53.87% 27612 TOTAL VOTES 51259 Squall Leonhart 68.01% 47575 Akuma 31.99% 22374 TOTAL VOTES 69949 Crew Predictions - 48/56 What Happened: Terra "upsets" Revan and Squall beats Akuma in a snooze Why it Happened: Revan was overhyped, plain and simple. There's a reason we've been seeing HK-47 and not Revan so far, and it's because he's weak. I guess Terra can at least beat Darth Lightsaber! What will Happen: Square SFF beatdown yay Crew Prediction Challenge - pointz Kleenex - 51 Moltar - 49 Tran - 49 Red Sox - 48 Ngamer - 47 Lopen - 45 Guest - 43 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Guest gets the point for Terra, Ngamer gets the point for Squall Moltar - 9.5 Lopen - 9 Ngamer - 9 Tran - 8 Red Sox - 7.5 Guest - 7 (Bio: 1, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 1, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1) Kleenex - 5 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Revan > Terra (48/54) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Accuracy Challenge is lame anyway. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Guests gonna catch Lopen if he doesn't stop messin round --- :> |
From: KleenexTissue50 | #056 Kleenex - 5 I wonder why you'd say that...! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Jenova Division: Round 1 - Match 58 – (8) Vincent Valentine vs. (9) Guybrush Threepwood Moltar’s Analysis Vincent *Still upset about Vincent’s crappy placement base* Guybrush Not even important enough to get a base. I…really? I know Guybrush has to make the field every year for whatever reason, but this match is just ridiculous. Guybrush doesn’t even get his Europe vote, which is the only time he isn’t complete crap. Just…next. Moltar’s Bracket: Vincent > Guybrush Moltar’s Prediction: Vincent: 77% - Guybrush: 23% Lopen’s Analysis Hey guys stop nominating this dumbass fodder. And no don't be clever and claim I'm talking about Vincent. Vincent dominates the fodder in spite of FF7's shortcomings and moves on-- though in rather underwhelming fashion. Lopen's prediction: Vincent with 79.88% Transience’s Analysis In any other year, I would expect a huge blowout here. Vincent is way stronger than Guybrush. Guybrush's godly night vote is neutralized due to this being a day match. Stats probably predict something like an 80% win for Vincent, but with the way this contest has been going, 80% is the new 90%. You don't get 80% unless there's a good reason: a Link match, a good joke vs. a bad joke, or if you're up against something named Ellis. Those are the reasons for getting 80% Guybrush Threepwood is not a good reason, and Vincent is not universal enough to be one of those guys that can just murder people. Not in 2010. Not with FF7 seemingly on the decline, finally. Plus, I think Guybrush has had a pretty good year: tons of new content splashed across lots of platforms. The new Monkey Island games are his version of The Orange Box, bringing Guybrush to all sorts of new gamers on consoles. If Guybrush was ever going to get a boost, this would be it. transience's prediction: Vincent Valentine with 73.44% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Vincent > Guybrush, 75.41% Kleenex’s Analysis (8) Vincent Valentine vs. (9) Cutthroat Bill http://www.milegend.com/animations/images/cutthroatbill.gif Bracket: Vincent Favorites: Cutthroat Bill Prediction: Vincent with 74.12% Red Sox’s Analysis Vincent was one of the characters talked about a lot as being in contention for blowout of the round, but as the match has approached, it has seemed more and more unlikely that he will surpass Mario’s 81% on Falco. Guybrush has always been bad fodder, but he looked better in the past couple of years- in 4-ways- than before. A lot of people seem to believe that the 4-ways helped him, thought I don’t really buy it. Nonetheless, Vincent will have a hard time scoring a big blowout here, because they’ve been so rare this whole contest, and because Vincent is an FFVII character. He’s not Cloud or Sephiroth, so he should escape a lot of the anti-voting, but he won’t come out completely unscathed. He should still put up some pretty big numbers though, just because the strength disparity here is so large. Prediction: Vincent with 79.79% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Vincent with 84% Lower Bound: Vincent with 75% |
Guest’s Analysis - Zylo the wolf Guybrush: I'm Guybrush Threepwood, a mighty pirate. Vincent: Don't make me laugh... Guybrush: I've never seen such clumsy swordfighting. Vincent: You would have, but you are always running away! Guybrush: You are the ugliest monster ever created. Vincent: If you don't count all the ones you dated. Guybrush; Coming to me face to face must leave you petrified. Vincent: Is that your face? I thought it was your backside. VIncent: I can't rest until you been exterminated. Guybrush: I'm shaking I'm shaking. Vincent: My last battle ended with my hands covered in blood. Guybrush: I'm rubber you are glue... Guybrush: Look a three headed monkey. See Vincent will be cheating and use The Sword Master's insults, so there's no way that poor Guybrush will be able to win. However thanks to Tales of Monkey Island he will perform good enough to NOT be the weakest fodder in this contest, and show that he deserves to be in this contest more than all these non ToS Tales of characters (except of course those from Tales of Phantasia and Tales of Destiny) Vincent wins with: 74.83% Crew Consensus: Vincent goes big here. |
aw yeah i got this point --- xyzzy |
I really think Guybrush might break 30% today. --- xyzzy |
Guest sign-ups for Round 2 will go up later today --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Revan > Terra (48/54) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
haha okay nevermind --- xyzzy |
Never change, Guybrush. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Fission mailed --- :> |
Man, I absolutely loved Lopen's analysis of the Sephiroth-Marth match. Nothing beats making fun of yaoi, eh? --- CB8 score: 50 Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon, Kratos Aurion |
Wow... nobody has Vincent over 80% here? I thought Vincent had a shot of having the biggest blowout.. --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
All aboard the Vincent > Sephiroth train --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=949 Guybrush breaking 30% would've made Vince look pretty bad. --- All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
Point for Lopen! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Wow... nobody has Vincent over 80% here? I thought Vincent had a shot of having the biggest blowout.. Everyone gave up after Cloud/Ridley. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Point for Lopen! Maybe not. Vincent is dropping already and is below 77%. I kind of expect him to start going back up in a few hours after Europe has calmed down, but I think Moltar has the point today. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
taggity --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
Oh
yeah, Moltar's got this easily. It's been holding at just above 77 for
hours now--I don't think I've seen it go below 77.11 or above 77.14 in
over two hours. You mentioned sign-ups for the next round of guest analyses going up later today? --- CB8 score: 50 Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon, Kratos Aurion |
oh yeah --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Yoshi > Jak (51/58) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Guest topic up --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Yoshi > Jak (51/58) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Haven't reviewed these "early" returns yet. Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Well I'll be your uncle's monkey- Seph did it! Which is to say, he topped Cloud's percentage against a nearly identical opponent. (Only by 0.08%, but still.) See what I meant about this guy refusing to make sense from one match to the next? I wonder, are those two perhaps developing a Mario/Samus kind of relationship, where indirectly Sephiroth is capable of equaling or even slightly bettering Cloud, but put them in a match together and the SFF still makes it ugly? If you think about it , Seph hasn't really disappointed us in a non-Cloud match since the Villains Contest... I mean he hung 63% on a Kirby that was hulked up to beat Sonic, creamed opponents despite splitting votes with Auron and Tifa, came pretty close to Link in that match with Mario, etc. Unfortunately we won't get much of an answer to that theory until the epic clash with Snake, thanks to all those terrible SFF setups. Darn you SB! Now it's time to sit back and enjoy one of the biggest blowouts of the season. "But Ngamer," you howl, "that can't be- heavy favorites are being anti-voted through the floor, and nothing's easier to hate on than FF7!" Although you're correct, I fear you've forgotten to factor in how Guybrush is one of the weakest characters of all time. Or at least, he USED to be; he appears to have had something of a resurgence in recent years, perhaps due to the re-release of his first game and the 5 part sequel that came out on Steam and WiiWare in '09. Hmm, and looks like those new episodes were the top selling products on Steam for a couple weeks last year- guess they were a little more popular than I thought. That being said, I still have two problems with the Guybrush "resurgence". #1 is that it coincides just a little too perfectly with the introduction of the 4way format. No one has ever doubted that the guy has a few thousand seriously hardcore fans, aka the people that keep forcing us to waste a character slot on him every season, so it's only natural that he wouldn't look quite so pathetic in a 4 option poll. And before you get into how "good" the game looked in making it to R2, remember that it STILL couldn't crack 10% and only barely edged SimCity. And #2, Monkey Island would have been dead in the water without Europe; that continent gave it 24% in that match compared to the less than 7% it pulled from the US! That's the kind of dedication that would impress me quite a bit... except that this is a Day Match, aka sorry Europe, you've just been neutered. tl;dr version: Guybrush has a base of about 15% that will support him regardless, but any percentage beyond that is going to have to come from anti-votes- which would probably come in droves for a Nintendo weakling, but I can't see Monkey Island being as casual-appealing. I'll take Vincent to serve notice with a big time number along the lines of Ngamer Says: Vincent > Guybrush, 75.41% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Jenova Division: Round 1 - Match 59 – (5) Yoshi vs. (12) Jak Moltar’s Analysis Yoshi This year, Yoshi will redeem his previous CB performance. Jak Most Known For: Jak-pack of Suck Jak has never been in a place higher than dead last, and that isn’t going to change here. He got 32% on Zero a few years back, and I’d take Yoshi to be stronger. Throw in some time for Jak to further fade away and Yoshi looks good for 70% here. At least, I’m hoping Yoshi puts up good numbers here, because we need to make people forget about 2008 Yoshi! Moltar’s Bracket: Yoshi > Jak Moltar’s Prediction: Yoshi: 72% - Jak: 28% Lopen’s Analysis 3D PS Platformer Character #28 tastes a bitter defeat. The fact that I'll actually be voting Yoshi in this match somehow says a lot about how I feel about it. Lopen's prediction: Yoshi with 71.09% Transience’s Analysis I had no idea Jak was in this contest. I actually forgot Yoshi was, too, because his path is so predetermined. Uh, I don't know what to say here. Yoshi is very likable, has a great early vote and should be able to beat Jak the hell down. Who votes for Jak over Yoshi? Not too many people. This should be yet another big victory by the clear favourite in the 70s. Whatever. Let's get to the real main event, Crono vs. a glitch. transience's prediction: Yoshi with 75.24% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Yoshi > Jak, 70.66% Kleenex’s Analysis Let's take a look at what's Jak's done in these things so far. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1738 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2878 'oh' Yoshi had an off year last year for whatever reason, crazy SFF or something. His path kinda blows this year too, but he should probably have a pretty impressive showing against Jak here. I mean, the dude lost to Lloyd Irving. Bracket: Yoshi Favorites: Yoshi Prediction: Yoshi with 70.04% Red Sox’s Analysis We have a Nintendo upper midcarder against a fodder character in Jak. Jak got 44% on Ness back in 2004 and 32% on Zero in 2007. I wanted to say that Luigi/Ratchet was a good analog to this match, but from those figures it appears Jak is considerably stronger than Ratchet, so Yoshi shouldn’t be able to go for a tripling. Yoshi and Zero are probably of similar strength, with Yoshi being a bit stronger perhaps- Luigi beat Zero with 53% back in 2006, and Yoshi and Luigi should be pretty close. This is also a night match which may hurt Yoshi a bit. Therefore, let’s go with….. Prediction: Yoshi with 67.65% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Yoshi with 72% Lower Bound: Yoshi with 63% Guest’s Analysis - LinkMarioSamus Raise your hand if you agree that this is the worst division of the contest! I know that I agree with you! Because of this anger, I'm simply plugging in Zero's percentage on Jak from '07 into this match for Yoshi. I don't have much to say about this otherwise. Yoshi - 65%, Jak - 35% Bracket: Yoshi Prediction: Yoshi Favorite: Yoshi Now time to make you all feel bad: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6eZl-EAQlI&feature=related Can you believe that my older cousin brother has better memories of this than of Super Mario World? He's the one who introduced me to SSBM and the GameCube, but...my words are lost. Crew Consensus: Yoshi eats up the egg known as Jak. |
You know this is a boring match when the Crew analyses fit into one post! because we need to make people forget about 2008 Yoshi! Squall domination never forget --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Wow
my analysis is looking stupid compared to all of yours. I simply
plugged in the number that Zero got on Jak in '07 for my analysis. |
Wow
my analysis is looking stupid compared to all of yours. I simply
plugged in the number that Zero got on Jak in '07 for my analysis. But but but.....that's exactly what I did! And I got a different number! --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Hoo boy, nailed that one! Guybrush put up the fight of his life over on The Continent, battling hard all day to hold the overpowered Vincent to only 64%. But since this was a Day Match, all of Europe's hard work got run down by a semi called the United States of America, as we supported Vince with nearly 80%. I'd be mighty proud of myself right now if not for the fact that everyone else also saw this coming a mile away! At least this result might serve to inject a tiny bit of drama into that R2 matchup... I mean Double V just put up the 5th biggest blowout of the tournament and outscored Seph by nearly 6% in the process. That's got to be worth something, right? What's that you said? Oh, "No." Ehhh, crap, I have to agree with you. *kicks Guybrush into a hole from which he will never ever return* Let's move on to The Calm Before the Storm. All the good showings by non-traditional characters have everyone freaking out over Crono vs Glitch; if this were sports, Yoshi vs Jak would have become a perfect "trap game", where you're so blatantly overlooking your next opponent that you sleepwalk right into an embarrassing loss. Unfortunately this ISN'T sports, so the extremely dull next 12 hours will only serve as a breather. Then again, maybe Yoshi's presence will keep it from being too terrible... sure he was a disappointment in 4ways, but let's not forget that his last two matches in this format were a straight up win over Dante followed by holding Snake to 57%. Yoshi's always struck me as one of those "like, but not love" kind of characters that isn't going to stand out enough to do serious damage against 3 other choices but can still be a stud in a 1v1 setting. Kind of like a 35% stronger version of Donkey Kong. Plus, how could you anti-vote him? You couldn't! Unfortunately, my plans for a dinosaur-sized blowout were put on hold after Ratchet proved that modern 3D platformer leads aren't always quite as pathetic as they've generally appeared in the past. But now that I look a little more closely... what's this, Jak hasn't had a single PS3 game yet? What the heck! In that case, junk heavy favorite anti-voting and junk everything Ratchet showed us a few days back- time to get the ill-fated Yoshi > Crono hype train rolling by seeing him score 10% higher in Round One! Ngamer Says: Yoshi > Jak, 70.66% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
@redsox: My calculations must have been a bit off then. I thought Yoshi was a fan favorite who benefitted from 4-ways. Don't forget that he managed to embarass Samus in that one match (then again, one year Zero Suit Samus almost loses to KH2 Tifa, then the next year NES Sprite Samus who is getting leeched by Yoshi still defeats NES Sprite Mega Man fairly easily. The two cases do not compute). |
Looks like tranny's got this one easy. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Wow
my analysis is looking stupid compared to all of yours. I simply
plugged in the number that Zero got on Jak in '07 for my analysis. I know. Can't beat my one line about the match sucking followed by a percentage. What a joke your analysis was. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
So uh, is this in the top 5 biggest blowouts so far? --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
No, not unless Yoshi pushes it over 77.44% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
@Lopen:
I agree. I was just so mad at this division that I didn't feel like
writing up. To think that I won an accuracy point in the games
contest...(which was also by just plugging in percentages from another
match, lol). |
Which matches are higher? I usually consult the wiki for things this this XD --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
From: LinkMarioSamus | #089 What? No! I was joking! Analysis isn't about the percentages. This isn't the Contest Oracle Crew! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Eh, my analysis still looked like a complete joke compared to you guys. As far discussion, how does Yoshi go from holding up against SAMUS to getting leeched by FOX in just one year? And now...he might break 40% on Crono... As for Marth's strength, don't forget that this guy was held under 60% by somebody who almost lost to ISAAC. Geez. |
Sephiroth 71.8% 39295 Marth 28.2% 15435 TOTAL VOTES 54730 Vincent Valentine 77.44% 51698 Guybrush Threepwood 22.56% 15063 TOTAL VOTES 66761 Crew Predictions - 50/58 What Happened: Two 70% blowouts yawn Why it Happened: After Cloud, we weren't expecting much from Seph. Turns out he does almost exactly what Cloud did on Ridley! Meanwhile, Guybrush is weak as hell, and Vincent beat him down like the fodder he is. What will Happen: Square SFF beatdown yay Crew Prediction Challenge - pointz Kleenex - 53 Moltar - 51 Tran - 51 Red Sox - 50 Ngamer - 49 Lopen - 47 Guest - 45 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Ngamer gets the point for Seph and Moltar gets the point for Vincent Moltar - 10.5 Ngamer - 10 Lopen - 9 Tran - 8 Red Sox - 7.5 Guest - 7 (Bio: 1, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 1, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1) Kleenex - 5 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Yoshi > Jak (51/58) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Anybody taking missingno? --- This is an alt for Applekidjosh |
Jenova Division: Round 1 - Match 60 – (4) Crono vs. (13) Missingno Moltar’s Analysis Crono A 4 seed? Crono better watch out before he falls even further! Missingno what Well this is interesting. Missingno was easily the most dominant vote-in character save MMX, but he also is up against one of the strongest guys in the bracket. The other jokes have done as expected so far, but who knows what to expect from Missingno. This glitch could either get killed because it’s not as well known or end up winning. If this was an upper-midcarder or something, then the upset would be possible. Crono though is a bit out of reach though. Even L-Block couldn’t topple Crono in 2008, and Missingno doesn’t even have that momentum L had. Crono won’t kill the glitch, but I don’t think he’ll be in trouble here. Oh this is a day match too…well he could be in a little trouble, but if it’s close at the end, you know how it’s ending. Since I have no clue to predict this and it could go from Crono with 50% or below to 70% or above, I’ll settle in the middle Moltar’s Bracket: Crono > Missingno Moltar’s Prediction: Crono: 60% - Missingno: 40% Lopen’s Analysis I think this will be the peak for a joke character's performance. I mean look at it, it's a hunk of garbage pixels, that's WAY COOLER than a Block. Plus it's from the Pokemanz. POKEFEAR. Day match vs CT character, short match. You got every factor lining up. Nah, I was actually lying. I'm not sure MissingNo will even do better in the day. You've gotta realize that the day vote is largely fueled by "teh kiddiez." I simply think MissingNo is before their time and they won't understand it. Other Pokemon characters have remained relevant. Only hardcore RB (hold the Y) fans will get what this thing even means. And it looks stupid, it doesn't even have a cool name like "block" or "cube." And that audience will likely know who Crono is back when he was the face of RPGs on the system, meaning the joke is SFFed. So while some might hype a competitive match, I don't think it'll end up being that way. Crono in a stomp. Lopen's prediction: Crono with 67.15% Transience’s Analysis This is probably the most exciting, unpredictable match of round 1 and maybe the entire contest. How can you seriously have an expectation for this one? Pre-2007, this match is a certainty that Crono wins. But now? People love rallying behind a joke, Pokemon has gotten huge, and most importantly, Crono is a bit niche. Once upon a time Crono was well-known, but as his game gets older and older (it's now 15 years old), he's less and less known (and was never a household name in the first place). His opponent is from one of the five most well-known games on this website. If you were going for the biggest possible upset, Missingno over Crono would qualify. Is it going to happen? Probably not. Unlike L-Block, you probably need to be in on this joke at least a little bit in order to do this. But if Missingno gets a bandwagon -- and trust me, he/she/it WILL lead in the opening seconds -- then Crono could be in trouble. This is the one match where I think Crono would be better suited in the daytime because you'd have more real voters and less joke ones, plus more votes in general. I don't think Crono will have a problem here, but... http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/cb8/cb8-60.jpg Look at this picture. Look at it. Do you really feel comfortable? transience's prediction: Crono with 60.43% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Crono > Some Glitch, 63.31% |
Kleenex’s Analysis Missingno scares the crap out of me. Between the way it absolutely dominated its vote-in poll, to the ridiculous picture it has that basically screams "vote for me, I'm a joke", to how well Pokemon's been doing this year so far...not to mention Crono's not what he used to be and the fact that it's a day match. I know a lot of people have faith in Crono here and believe me, I want to, he's someone I always root for and never vote against in these things. But I just can't shake this uneasy feeling about this match. I'm going to stick with Crono here just because that's how I roll, but I think he's going to come off this match looking pretty bad, and people might be calling for his head against Yoshi. If Missingno wins this match, the thing probably goes on to win the whole contest, and I'm very serious about this. Shame I won't be around to see the start of this match, but I'm hoping Crono's tripling the thing when I get back home or something. Bracket: Crono Favorites: Crono Prediction: Crono with 57.61% Red Sox’s Analysis The most important match of the first round arrives! Crono, the best video game character of all time, the 6th strongest character in these contests, and the last Noble Niner to step up to the plate in round 1 this contest, faces Missingno, both a pokemon and a joke, a fearsome combination. Moreover, Missingno smashed his vote-in poll, taking an easy first place despite the presence of two other pokemon presumably dragging him down. This is definitely a scary match, but objectively Crono should be fine. Missingno is a joke and a pokemon- but Crono has already beaten L-Block and Pikachu – probably the strongest joke and strongest pokemon- with ease. He did it in 4-ways too, where jokes are strongest and some have speculated that pokemon are stronger. As for the vote-in poll, Missingno’s 15% was very impressive, certainly, but he was a joke character in a 12-way poll- would L-Block not have outdone that 15% in Missingno’s place? Even taking that performance at face value, Missingno only managed 60% on Axel- Crono would go way over that on Axel. Missingno got 62.3% on Lightning- less than Sonic got, and Crono is stronger than Sonic. Even giving Missingno all of Mudkip’s and Jigglypuff’s votes, and giving Axel none of Lightning’s votes, only puts Missingno up to 73.5% on Axel, which Crono might be able to beat this year considering how Axel seems to have fallen off. Of course it’s probably not a good idea to extrapolate too much from a 12-way poll with a joke character. Crono beat L-Block last year with 54% and then 56%, and he beat Pikachu with 54% and then 58%. As a pokemon, Missingno is much less widely known than Pikachu, and as a joke, he has the same problem. Everyone knows what L-Block is, many people do not know what exactly a Missingno is. In all likelihood, Missingno won’t be anywhere near those two in strength- either would probably double him or worse in a direct match. I’m still afraid for Crono, in large part because he’s Crono, and I always worry that he could fall off the face of the map at any time, but he should win this easily. Prediction: Crono with 70.00% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Crono with 77% Lower Bound: Crono with 56% |
Guest’s Analysis - bloodhawks return My most anticipated match of the first round! I've been looking forward to this one since the bracket came out. I could see this match going anywhere. But lets start with a breakdown of Crono. Crono looked really good in the last contest, beating Mario and Samus, and looked awful in 2007, losing to Vincent. lol 4-ways. In his last 1v1, he looked rather poor, losing to sonic (lmao), after subpar performances against Auron and Bowser. But of course, along comes the announcement of Chrono Trigger DS which helped boost his 2008 performance with hype. This is the first contest that it will have been out, which should definitely give him a boost over the last few years. Of course, Frog and Magus have sucked it up this year. So I guess not. >_> Missingno on the other hand has never appeared in the contest. As far as joke charcters go, I think Missingno is the best after L-Block. Everyone has played Pokemon Red/Blue, and probably 90% of those used the missingno trick for hundreds of Rare candies or Master Balls. I have to believe it will get a ton of votes for laughs and fond childhood memories, but enough to beat Crono? They both have a great recognizable pictures. I could see Crono perhaps getting as much as 60, or even losing by a bit. I honestly haven't even decided who I will vote for yet, I love both of these guys a lot. When all is said and done, I'm going to say Crono wins by a few percentage points, but if Missingno somehow wins, he has a great shot to take the whole thing. Prediction: Crono with 54.85% (Disclaimer: he could win by a lot more, or lose as well. >_>) Crew Consensus: Crono updates his virus software and eliminates the glitch. |
red sox doesn't disappoint! --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
aww, no one had the guts to take the glitch? sucks --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
