GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4

Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 2:12:30 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #451
Kirby 68.4% 33283
GlaDOS 31.6% 15377
TOTAL VOTES 48660

Vivi 55.79% 41571
Altair 44.21% 32944
TOTAL VOTES 74515



Crew Predictions - 60/70

What Happened: Kirby easily beats GlaDOS and Vivi beats Altair.

Why it Happened: No surprises in the first match. Second match...Liquid really sux. darn you altair for pulling an altair.

What will Happen: Kirby/Vivi should be fairly close, but Kirby is still the favorite.



Crew Prediction Challenge - Good job Guest

Kleenex - 65
Moltar - 63
Tran - 62
Red Sox - 61
Ngamer - 61
Lopen - 59
Guest - 58



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar and Red Sox get the point for Kirby, and Guest gets the point for Vivi

Moltar - 14.5
Ngamer - 12
Guest - 10.5 (Bio: 1.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1)
Tran - 10
Lopen - 9
Red Sox - 8
Kleenex - 6
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Mario > Big Boss (68/80)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/21/2010 3:24:47 AM | message detail | filter | #452
Maybe we should add a Wikipedia page for "Pulling an Altair"?

Hey wait, what's "Pulling a Lloyd" supposed to mean?

Unrelated: It seems that now Tidus is the sole character who has been in every contest but has yet to make it past round 2. Even Gordon Freeman has done it now!
marsman57 | Posted 2/21/2010 7:35:10 AM | message detail | filter | #453
I am smiling as I was one of the 18% with Vivi over Altair. I also have Vivi over Kirby though, so...
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Maybe PICS NAO later, WTF do you think this is, Neopets or something! No ****ing maybe no ****ing later, PICS NAO or DAIIIIII!! -- LeighDaMan
transience | Posted 2/21/2010 9:26:01 AM | message detail | filter | #454
I wonder who we support today.
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xyzzy
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/21/2010 10:03:57 AM | message detail | filter | #455
Support Zidane!He is really cool!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 10:10:43 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #456
Mushroom Division: Round 2 - Match 74 – (5) Zidane vs. (4) Ike

Moltar’s Analysis

Zidane
Round 1 - 64.36% vs. Claptrap

Well, at least Ike couldn’t do any worse than this!

Ike
Round 1 - 62.49% vs. Prinny

‘oh’

Usually when you have a close and debated match pre-bracket, you go with whoever had the better performance in Round 1. What do you do when both performances were terrible? I didn’t expect a Zidane blowout, but how can you not beat down some dude named Claptrap. Ike’s performance somehow managed to be even worse. Not only did he let a Disgaea character do too well, Prinny also neutralized Ike’s beast day vote. What the hell?

So two unimpressive performances = me sticking to my guns. I have Ike in my bracket so I’ll take him to win here. We all know Zidane’s day vote is bad, so that gives Ike the advantage if it’s close and he doesn’t forget it again.

Moltar’s Bracket: Ike > Zidane

Moltar’s Prediction: Zidane: 46% - Ike: 54%



Lopen’s Analysis

I keep flip flopping on this. Not because I think it'll be close (even though it probably will be!) but just... because. Start the contest I was like "LOL ZIDANE"

Then Zidane performed pretty well against a STD in r1. I can only assume it was his experience from the 1995 classic, Outbreak, that allowed him to SFF it for the win.

B-b-b-but THEN Ike lost to a Prinny. And by lost I mean 'failed to break 70%' but who's counting.
B-b-b-but THEN Kefka was all like "Dissidia 4REAL"
B-b-b-but THEN Tidus was like "Dissidilol 4FAKE"

So I got nothin. I'll just stick to my original guess of Ike being able to cream this guy. Maybe the Prinny got joke votes for lookin so cool.

Lopen's prediction:
WHPSSSHP with 56.60% (that's Ike for ye whom are unfamiliar with Brawl. Yeah I know you're reading, Vlado)



Transience’s Analysis

Pre-contest, Ike had the majority of the brackets. Most people saw Ike and Zidane as being somewhat equal, but this being a day match gives Ike a major advantage. Plus, when you're not sure, side with Nintendo.

Since then, Ike struggled against Prinny while Zidane did a little bit better against Claptrap. Old Square has been having a good year (and FF9 has always acted more like old Square than new Square). Day/night shifts have been much less pronounced than people expected - I'm not sure if there has been a single match that would definitely have changed the result if you ran it for 24 hours. And finally, Vivi just easily won against a fairly decent fourpack. Zidane's got a lot of momentum on his side, that's for sure.

I'm sticking with Ike, though. I just trust Nintendo more, and I think a lot of Vivi's appeal comes from things that are completely unrelated to FF9. Zidane doesn't have the same natural advantages that Vivi does. Also, this is old RPG character vs. newer RPG character and Brawl. Looked at in that light, it makes sense that Ike would win.

I'm cheering for Zidane, though, and if this were a night match I'd definitely back him.

transience's prediction: Ike with 51.51%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Quickie w/ Ng: Prinny's rise to the middle of the x-stat ranks continues! Dood's legit, I tell ya.

Ngamer Says: Ike > Zidane, 51.39%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 10:10:58 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #457
Kleenex’s Analysis

Alright, so it didn't work out so well for me last time, but I'm gonna go against my bracket for this match. I have Ike, but after Prinny nearly put up 40% on him, Zidane did well enough against Claptrap, and Vivi taking care of business against Altair, Ike is definitely the underdog here. I guess it just boils down to the fact that people wanted Ike to be stronger than he really was, so we all kept making excuses for him. Well, no more excuses now. If he loses to Zidane, he sucks. If he beats Zidane...he's still probably not that strong, but he redeems himself slightly!


Bracket: Ike
Favorites: Ike
Prediction: Zidane with 54.67%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Ike was the favorite before the contest, and not much has happened to change my mind here. Both of these characters did pretty badly in round 1 against their fodder competition. Let's see....Zidane broke 40% on Alucard and Ike got nearly 45% on Pikachu. Both might have suffered some SFF, and Zidane might have suffered some Last Place Factor. But Pikachu is a good deal stronger than Alucard, as he beat him even with Captain Falcon in the poll, so Ike should have this, especially given that it's a day match. I want to predict somewhere in the 56% range, and Eisenhower was elected in '56 and '52, so let's go with:

Prediction: Ike with 56.52%
Upset Potential: 20%
Upper Bound: Ike with 63%
Lower Bound: Zidane with 52%



Guest’s Analysis - Kotetsu534

So it's the protagonist of Fire Emblem 9 versus the protagonist of Final Fantasy IX. Low tier Nintendo versus low tier Square. Ike is backed up by the power of Smash, giving him the strength to only narrowly lose to Duke Nukem. On the other hand, he let Prinny pull 37.5% on him. This would be great evidence for his weakness in a 1v1 setting and his impending defeat if it weren't for Zidane's effort to stink even worse; letting some Claptrap break 35% on him. However, I'm reliably informed Claptrap is funny in Borderlands, so that's probably not too awful. FFIX's just seen it's strongest character, Vivi, triumph over Altair and march to round three, and FF's weaker characters have been impressing, so I fancy Zidane to close a lot of the apparent gap between himself and Ike. Being on a weekend, the ASV will be diluted. Should be a close one, but I think the Zidane upset has value.

Zidane - 52.22%

[This prediction is in no way influenced by the fact that if Zidane loses I am out of the guru.]



Crew Consensus: Zidane has 2 supporters, but the majority favors Ike.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/21/2010 10:13:43 AM | message detail | filter | #458
So Ike is the favorite eh?Damn I will fall of the leaderboard.Oh well whatever.At least one character from FF IX managed to go in round 3 and has actually a change to go to round 4.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 10:14:15 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #459
Also Guest Sign-ups for the rest of Round 2 should go up later today
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Mario > Big Boss (68/80)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/21/2010 10:31:26 AM | message detail | filter | #460
Man if i had Price is Right'd under instead of over i would have got the point for Kirby. Oh well.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
transience | Posted 2/21/2010 10:32:06 AM | message detail | filter | #461
I thought more people would take Zidane. too bad.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 2/21/2010 11:01:07 AM | message detail | filter | #462
Zidane's got this if he's tied already.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 11:03:35 AM | message detail | filter | #463
Not really. The FFIX board vote is its best time.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
transience | Posted 2/21/2010 11:04:02 AM | message detail | filter | #464
whoa, maybe you're right.
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xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/21/2010 11:54:21 AM | message detail | filter | #465
Time to start having more faith in my bracket, then.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 12:36:10 PM | message detail | filter | #466
Yeah, FFIX is one of the only FF games with a good board vote.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
red sox 777 | Posted 2/21/2010 4:13:53 PM | message detail | filter | #467
Zack is up tonight! It's a shame I'm not going to have the lowest MM pick......I think anyway.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Vlado | Posted 2/21/2010 4:16:32 PM | message detail | filter | #468
Yeah I know you're reading, Vlado

I was just wondering if anyone was optimistic enough to take Zidane, but yeah, I WAS reading. One point for you, Lopen.
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marsman57 | Posted 2/21/2010 5:19:27 PM | message detail | filter | #469

From: Master Moltar | #459
Also Guest Sign-ups for the rest of Round 2 should go up later today


shoot I hope I see it in time
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Maybe PICS NAO later, WTF do you think this is, Neopets or something! No ****ing maybe no ****ing later, PICS NAO or DAIIIIII!! -- LeighDaMan
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/21/2010 7:39:53 PM | message detail | filter | #470
I picked Zidane for no reason.

Didn't think about the whole Pikachu/Alucard comparison. All I thought was "Ike has never won a match before while Zidane has so...yeah".
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 7:55:50 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #471
Here's the Guest stuff

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53604374
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Mario > Big Boss (68/80)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 9:57:03 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #472
Mushroom Division: Round 2 - Match 75 – (3) Mega Man vs. (6) Zack Fair

Moltar’s Analysis

Mega Man
Round 1 - 63.04% vs. Cid

Impressive, MM.

Zack
Round 1 - 58.61% vs. Yuna

Not bad, Zack

Depending on how strong you thought Cid was pre-contest, Zack could have been an interesting upset-pick. Of course, it was okay to think that before Mega Man busted out one of his most impressive victories in years. Of course, that could be because our notion of anything FF7 = strong was wrong, and Cid turned out to be weaker than most anticipated.

However, this is a real test not only for MM, but for Zack as well. Zack proved he’s got some legit strength after beating Yuna, so MM won’t be trouncing another FF character here. This should go how most expected MM/Cid go, probably even closer.

Moltar’s Bracket: MM > Zack

Moltar’s Prediction: MM: 57% - Zack: 43%



Lopen’s Analysis

With how well he did last round, you would've thought the match pic involved Mega Man shooting Cid in the face..

Anyway, with that kinda spread, Zack can't make it up. The question for pinning the percentages down is "Zack vs Cid" here. Well, I think I like Zack to take that, but not by much. Mega Man still slaughters. Unfortunately he GOT EQUIPPED with a FF7 weapon last round as well. Will this hurt him next round, against the KING of Weapons? (He can use two at the same time, amazing!)

Lopen's prediction:
Mega Man with 64.45%



Transience’s Analysis

It's time to see exactly where Zack is. He's proved that he's legit now, but I don't feel comfortable gauging him off another Square character. A neutral guy like Mega Man is a much better bet, even if we're not totally sure how far Mega Man's fallen over the years.

Zack should definitely be stronger than Cid so this shouldn't be a doubling or anything. I'm starting to question Zack's 2008 run more and more, though -- Altair bombed yesterday, Duke Nukem got slammed by Charizard, and Mega Man X has looked less than stellar thus far. On the other hand, Mega Man has looked okay for the last couple of years. He lost to the Cube last year but that at least made sense. He hasn't had any normal matches where he's just looked miserable a la Sonic or Crono. I think he'll be alright and push for 60% here.

transience's prediction: Mega Man with 59.87%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/21/2010 9:57:20 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #473
Ngamer’s Analysis

Quickie w/ Ng: Bah, MM/Sora says to keep this tight, but could Cid really be THAT bad? I'll say... yes!

Ngamer Says: Mega Man > ZackFAQs, 57.31%



Kleenex’s Analysis

ZackFAQs.

I don't know what to say about this one, and I don't really feel like writing much tonight. We can finally get a real read on Zack with this match. I don't know how well he'll do, but he's not gonna beat Mega Man or anything like that.

...it'd be pretty cool if he did, though!

Bracket: Mega Man
Favorites: Zack
Prediction: Mega Man with 58.79%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Zack returns to silence his doubters again, this time in the most legitimate of all settings- a 1v1 match with a Noble Niner. Last year, he pulled 30% on Link twice, and then went up to 34% on Link with the help of Triple SFF. This year, he put up better numbers than 2006 Zelda did on Yuna, confirming his status as a near-elite. There's a nice comparison you can make between the 30% Zack got on Link last year and the 32.5% Vincent got on Link in 2007- it gives Zack 46% on Vincent.

That's very much in line with the other things Zack has done- it's better than the 44% Zelda put up on Vincent in 2007, and Zack outperformed what was probably a stronger Zelda on Yuna. He put up 49% on Mario compared with Crono who put up 57% on Mario the next round, with stronger triple SFF, with Samus instead of MMX. Crono, Megaman, and Vincent are probably all around the same strength. In light of Megaman trouncing Cid with 63% last round, I think I'll be somewhat conservative tonight and take that projected 46% on Vincent as an optimistic estimate, even considering this is a night match.

Prediction: Megaman with 55.04%
Upset Potential: 5%
Upper Bound: Megaman with 61%
Lower Bound: Megaman wth 50%



Crew Consensus: MM blasts Zack outta here
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/21/2010 10:04:05 PM | message detail | filter | #474
Who was the stupid guest who forgot do a write-up?
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/21/2010 10:04:41 PM | message detail | filter | #475
I'll gladly fill in again!
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
red sox 777 | Posted 2/21/2010 10:07:38 PM | message detail | filter | #476
So I got the lowest Megaman pick after all! Well, pending on the guest entry anyway.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/21/2010 10:08:49 PM | message detail | filter | #477
Chaotic's Fill-in Guest Write-up

I don't think much of Cid Highwind. He takes the lead for all of two minutes in FFVII, and he curses a lot. Whoop tee do. I'd take Yuna to at least get the same score on MM that he did, and she likely does even better. Since there didn't appear to be any sff in the Auron/Aerith match, i'm going to guess there wasn't any in Zack/Yuna either, which puts Zack at -4.4% against MM at worst. Given that it's a night match, i'll go with...

Prediction: Mega Man - 54%
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/21/2010 10:09:22 PM | message detail | filter | #478
I would have picked 55.55% if I had done the role of the Guest here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/21/2010 10:09:39 PM | message detail | filter | #479
Cid Highwind has the world's greatest running animation, so those two minutes in FF7 were ****ing amazing
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Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 10:14:12 PM | message detail | filter | #480
Altair bombed yesterday, Duke Nukem got slammed by Charizard, and Mega Man X has looked less than stellar thus far.

Yeah, I understand this, but it's not like Zack was anywhere close to any of those guys. He beat all three of them pretty easily. He beat MMX with help, yeah, but who knows how much help.

Charizard did do noticeably better on Duke than Zack did though, for whatever that's worth.
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"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 2/21/2010 10:27:11 PM | message detail | filter | #481
Cid Highwind has the world's greatest running animation, so those two minutes in FF7 were ****ing amazing

^this
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
red sox 777 | Posted 2/21/2010 10:29:00 PM | message detail | filter | #482
Altair only did bad yesterday because of how amazing he looked in round 1. Pre-contest, everyone would have been happy with 45% on Vivi.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/21/2010 10:29:39 PM | message detail | filter | #483

From: red sox 777 | #482
Pre-contest, everyone would have been happy with 45% on Vivi.


Except for Liquid fans!
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http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/13twop_02.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 11:03:21 PM | message detail | filter | #484
Mario is so screwed

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Lopen | Posted 2/21/2010 11:09:55 PM | message detail | filter | #485
Man my prediction nailed the freeze perfectly
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lopen | Posted 2/21/2010 11:11:45 PM | message detail | filter | #486
PS why are people flipping about this. Cid only got like 33%. Zack being much stronger than Cid makes little sense.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/21/2010 11:13:26 PM | message detail | filter | #487

From: Lopen | #486
PS why are people flipping about this. Cid only got like 33%. Zack being much stronger than Cid makes little sense.


People wanted to believe that Zack was a near elite or something even though he's never proved to be anywhere near that.
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http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/13twop_02.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:32:43 PM | message detail | filter | #488
Mario/Big Boss part 2

Boring.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/22/2010 1:52:59 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #489
Mario 63.16% 36136
Big Boss 36.84% 21075
TOTAL VOTES 57211

Zidane Tribal 48.45% 34953
Ike 51.55% 37182
TOTAL VOTES 72135


Crew Predictions - 62/72

What Happened: Mario has no trouble with BB and Ike barely beats Zidane

Why it Happened: BB wasn't as much as a Snake proxy as some thought, but it's still a good result for him. As for Ike and Zidane, both appear to be solid midcarders and almost even in strength.

What will Happen: Mario will make Ike's four-pack look like crap



Crew Prediction Challenge - Most get 2

Kleenex - 66
Moltar - 65
Tran - 64
Red Sox - 63
Ngamer - 63
Lopen - 61
Guest - 59



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Ngamer gets the point for Mario and Tran gets the point for Ike

Moltar - 14.5
Ngamer - 13
Tran - 11
Guest - 10.5 (Bio: 1.5, CM: 2, Marsman: 1, FF999: 3, vcharon: 1, Luis: 1, GfK: 1)
Lopen - 9
Red Sox - 8
Kleenex - 6
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Mario > Big Boss (68/80)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
transience | Posted 2/22/2010 5:32:52 AM | message detail | filter | #490
Zack exposed

actually, I think he's doing alright here. at a certain point I think you have to give Mega Man some credit. he's very clearly stronger than MMX (unless you think Ocelot beats Zack, anyway)
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xyzzy
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/22/2010 5:37:27 AM | message detail | filter | #491
Since I don't know about games,what is the difference between Megaman and Megaman X?Are they the same person or something like that?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 5:44:11 AM | message detail | filter | #492
Mega Man X is Mega Man's...successor of sorts, I guess. He was created after Mega Man.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
ZFS | Posted 2/22/2010 5:45:05 AM | message detail | filter | #493
Nothing, really. X is just a redesigned version of Mega Man that's intended to be 'cooler' -- and he appears in MMX games instead of MM#. The Mega Man we're seeing today sort of encompasses all of them, so it's natural he's the stronger of the two.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/22/2010 5:59:50 AM | message detail | filter | #494
Ah I see.So this is the original MM and the other is the one that comes after him.Okay.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
transience | Posted 2/22/2010 6:01:15 AM | message detail | filter | #495
that's why he's Mega Man X. because he's XTREME
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xyzzy
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/22/2010 6:03:10 AM | message detail | filter | #496
So Mega Man X is so much weaker simply because Mega Man is seen as the Mega Man of the entire series?

I suppose it would make sense for that to happen, but still. Mega Man probably represents what Master Chief could've been without all the anti-voting.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/22/2010 7:15:13 AM | message detail | filter | #497
I played Mega Man Xtreme! It wasn't bad!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 10:22:13 AM | message detail | filter | #498
Protoman > Zero > X > Mega Man Classic
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"I can set you free, mate."
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transience | Posted 2/22/2010 10:22:32 AM | message detail | filter | #499
master chief gon' lose
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 2/22/2010 10:22:41 AM | message detail | filter | #500
badly
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xyzzy