GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Success for guest. Would Fox still win a rematch with Pikachu today? --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
Oh. Whoops. Somehow completely forgot about this! Doin the NGamer thing and not inspecting the "early returns" Lopen's analysis Gawd I hate you, Banjo. Drown in your ideals and die. Lopen's prediction: Pikachu with 100% --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Haven't reviewed these "early" returns yet. Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup 3) Ngamer64 Fox McCloud 67.11% 49.86 *dances* Welp, don't know how much there is to say about this one that I didn't cover last night. Fox is legit, as his good showings on Sora and Yoshi had indicated... but then again you don't have to be Link to put up nearly 70 on borderline fodder like Lloyd. He'll go down without much of a struggle to Snake, though I think I'm going to once again pick him to have a pretty respectable performance in that one. Dude's been top tier in every SSB entry so I could see him negating Snake's new Nintendo ties to some extent, and from there he'd have to hope for something like Melty Snake to push him much higher. Which probably won't happen, but oh well, I'd still say Fox has easily done enough to punch a return ticket for next season! Speaking of which, did you realize that before yesterday, Fox's last 1v1 win was a 69% thrashing of... Pikachu? My oh my, have the tables ever turned since then! OR HAVE THEY? (A R2 matchup to answer that question would have been ideal, but at least we'll get what should be a fairly accurate extrapolation through Snake.) Now, most people would tell you that these days Pika reverses that decision and probably turns it into an easy win of his own, and there's some good evidence for that line of thought: in 5 years Pokemon has gone from Xenogears > Pokemon w/ 58% to Pokemon > Melee w/ 58%, Pika himself has been one of the stars of the past two Character Battles, and even others like Charizard and Mewtwo have been shown to have some strength. Plus, the cutesy mascot drew an ideal opponent for today in Banjo, one of the weakest Nintendo entrants ever and a guy he's sure to SFF down to nothing. Right? I... don't think so! First off, there's no way Banjo is as pathetic as the triple and quadruple SFFings of the past two years have made him look- I mean he's clearly no Donkey Kong, but his N64 games were quite popular and he's at least got a small 360 fanbase to fall back on these days. More importantly though, all those impressive accomplishments for Pokemon have taken place in the anti-vote negating 4way format. Now, I'm not INSANE- obviously a return to 1v1s doesn't mean a return to Xenogears > Pokemon, but I do still believe that there's a love/hate relationship to this series somewhat along the lines of a Kingdom Hearts or Halo. Actually "hate" may be too strong a term, at least when it comes to nostalgia-infused entrants from the original generation, but I DO think people still hate the animated series, and if so Pikachu makes for the perfect anti-vote lightning rod. In a "perfect storm" scenario he'd be facing a non-cutesy, non-Nintendo alternative (Ryu would fit the bill) and shock us all by getting uppercutted out of the bracket in R1. That's clearly not the case today, but I still see Banjo exposing his flaws at least somewhat, so I'm going to lowball Pika down to the same 69% Fox hung on him back in the day! Ngamer Says: Pikachu > Banjo, 68.93% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
First off, there's no way Banjo is as pathetic as the triple and quadruple SFFings of the past two years have made him look Whoops --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
He's right though. He's more pathetic. --- :> |
guest got Price is Right'd --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Gear Division: Round 1 - Match 52 – (4) Commander Shepard vs. (13) Ellis Moltar’s Analysis Shepard Whoa a 4-seed Ellis Some L4D2 person apparently Well, this looks easy. L4D may have beaten Mass Effect in the Games Contest (in a match where ME was hurt by its competition but another story for another analysis), but that was like one year ago. Times change and games =/= characters. L4D2 isn’t that popular on GameFAQs, and if Zoey from the vote-in poll is any indication, the characters aren’t really going to be strong. Meanwhile, Shepard is fresh off of Mass Effect 2. Yeah he did pretty bad last year in his match (looks even worse now too with Sonic and Magus sucking it up), but…um…Mass Effect 2! Yeah! Shepard: Hey Moltar! Moltar: Whoa! This is a surprise! Look everyone, it’s Commander Shepard! What are you doing here? Shepard: Oh, I just came by to see if you think that I will win my match. Moltar: Yeah, of course man. You may not be the strongest guy, but Ellis is going to be realllllly weak. At least you’ve got ME2 fresh in everyone’s mind. Shepard: Good to hear I have your support! I’ve defeated countless hordes of Geth, I’m sure Ellis will not be a problem. Well, time for me to get going. Moltar: Wait! Before you go…ah, this is kind of embarrassing. Shepard: What is it? Moltar: Well…I was wondering if you can give the Analysis Crew an endorsement! We could always use more readers. Shepard: Sure thing! Moltar: Thanks! Just speak into here. Shepard: I’m Commander Shepard, and this is my favorite topic on GameFAQs! Moltar: Thanks a bunch! Now- Ngamer: Hey wait a minute, that’s what Shepard said about my Guru topic! Tran: And he said that about my video game topic! Guests: Hey he said that about our topics too! Shepard: … >_> Moltar: SHEPARD!! Moltar’s Bracket: Shepard > Ellis Moltar’s Prediction: Shepard: 65% - Ellis: 35% Lopen’s Analysis Elis of course being the main character of My World, My Way, she has no chance against Commander Shepard. ... oh, it's some other less bad Elis from L4D2. I'm assuming he's the one that never shut up. While he was funny and L4D is kinda popular, give me Shepard here. Mass Effect looked decent in some poll we saw it in. BGE2 maybe? Also ol Shep's role in Mass Effect is much more significant than Elis's role in L4D. And maybe most importantly, Mass Effect 2 is being advertised to hell and the hype barometer is pretty high even still. I mean who can forget this commercial. "Cubans are disappearing. That can't happen" Classic. Lopen's prediction: Commander Shepard with 57.71% |
Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Shepard > Ellis, 63.87% Kleenex’s Analysis Oh, another one of these. Total apathy here. Haven't played either game, don't care even the slightest bit about either of these dudes. But Shepard's got Mass Effect 2 from a week or so ago. He probably still would have won regardless (seriously, who is Ellis?), but at least he has that safety padding. I can't even begin to guess what kind of percentages these dudes get, but it doesn't matter because even is Shepard wins with 101%, he still gets Thunderbolt'd next round anyway. Bracket: Shepard Favorites: Who cares Prediction: Shepard with 58.12% who the hell knows Red Sox’s Analysis I picked Shepard in this match, because everyone else did, and because of Mass Effect 2. Hype and a new game coming out are strong factors in these contests, so Shepard should get a pretty easy win here. But with a newcomer in Ellis and someone who was fodder last year, you never know for sure. Prediction: Commander Shepard with 62.00% Upset Potential: 15% Upper Bound: Shepard with 72% Lower Bound: Ellis with 52% Crew Consensus: Shepard blasts Ellis and heads on to the next round. |
No Tran or guest? Well, I guess I'll write a quick diddy here for the guest spot if they fail to show up. Honestly, I had no clue who the heck Ellis was until a few days ago. I'm not an FPS person (I SUCK at manually aiming). Then again, I also failed to get my hands on Mass Effect, but I at least know who Sheperd is. Although... correct me if I'm wrong, but can't Sherpherd look like anything you want him/her to look like? Really, he/she doesnt have any real substance... but I'm STILL picking him/her over Ellis, but not by much. Shepherd - 54.45% --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Sorry
for the double post, but I find it ironic that I'm writing the backup
writeup for the spot that I had originally signed up for but dropped
out of. lol --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Oh man, I was about to post a Guest write-up on this match but you got here before I did. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
Can we accept my Oracle of 66.67% for Shepard for the Guest today? Need some Guest Clan accuracy points! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Wow, I was way off. Anyway, who was supposed to do today's match? --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Can we accept my Oracle of 66.67% for Shepard for the Guest today? Need some Guest Clan accuracy points! If I had managed to post my write-up before FantasyFreak999, I would have predicted Commander Shepard with 59.92%. Which was still way off as well. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
wait, what? I totally emailed this. ....oh, awesome, I misspelled your name. hold on: transience's analysis I have a reasonable amount of respect for Commander Shepard. Mass Effect 1 is a fairly popular game and Mass Effect 2 is just huge right now. I'd say Mass Effect 2 is the new Fallout 3 -- I'd pick it for GOTY if FF13 wasn't coming out this year -- and that Shepard should beat Vault Boy should they ever have a match. The only problem is that you define how your Shepard looks. The picture of Shepard that we always get is the "stock" Shepard, but Shepard can be a girl. Shepard can look however the hell you want him or her to look. Mass Effect fans will have no problem telling who s/he is, but this isn't an iconic look like a Vault Boy has. He's up against a L4D2 guy who is liked within the fanbase, but a lot of people didn't even bother with L4D2. That game didn't really resonate like the first one did. Shepard could win this one big - I'm talking 75%+ - or he could just win it comfortably. I'm going to play it safe, but I kind of want to go huge with Shepard here. He is one of the biggest new characters that we have. transience's prediction: Commander Shepard with 68.73% --- xyzzy |
Aww yeah, Tranny knows whats up --- http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
my prediction (which I did not write down anywhere) was a tripling >_> --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
and it appears now that even that was lowballing it --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
Ellis
is just a joke. Shepard's pretty good and it's a shame he's being fed
to Pikachu, but Ellis is just.. yeah. probably the weakest character in
the contest. --- xyzzy |
either him or Sandal, anyway! --- xyzzy |
tranny got this one --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
I sent my email, dammit --- It may be insulting, but it's true! Now this is entertainment! |
I AM NOW POSTING MY WRITE UP MANUALLY Every time I have to do a write up of a boring match, I die a little inside. Really, I don’t think Shepard has a damn thing to worry about. Even though he lost pretty damn badly last contest, Left 4 Dead, along with everything else Valve that isn’t Gordon Freeman or a cube, has mediocre contest strength. And that’s being kind. Mass Effect 2 may not have been a huge step up for Mass Effect in terms of hype and marketing like Uncharted 2, but it’s certainly enough to take Ellis down. While I’m at it, in retrospect, Ellis was probably the best L4D representative we could hope for outside of Louis. The fact that he got into the contest with nominations all his own while Zoey and Louis were stuck in the vote-ins, it at least shows that Ellis’s fanbase can come together for the guy. Probably won’t be enough for him to actually win, but hey, anything can happen. Bracket: Shepard Favorite: Ellis Prediction: Shepard with 66%. --- It may be insulting, but it's true! Now this is entertainment! |
Yikes. Go Shepard. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Hell yeah Shepard. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I'm not sure why I chose Ellis in my bracket today. Sux because it ends my 24 match streak! --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Haven't reviewed these "early" returns yet. Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Ugh, stupid Banjo. I'm still not convinced that "animated series anti-voting" isn't going to be a factor for Pikachu this season; that big dumb bear was just too pathetic (and too Nintendo) to take advantage of it. Now, yesterday's showing DOES at least tell us that Pokemon hate has died down something like 90% since back in '02 and '03, but I could still see that 10% coming back to bite Pika against Snake. Unfortunately, the only thing it could affect at this point would be the Pika vs Fox extrapolation. "But wait," you shout, "what about Pikachu's R2 opponent? Surely he could still keep things interesting if he bombs badly enough!" Uhhhh, hate to be the bearer of bad news, but... These guys are awful. The last time we saw Shepard in action he could manage only 13% against pretty crappy competition (though to be fair that poll was all about Magus vs Sandbag, so he and Sonic might have been a little undervalued), while Ellis comes from a game that couldn't even manage half that percent for multi-platform GotY. A couple of months back my opinion of both these characters was so low that this match was almost down to "who cares/coin flip" territory, which had me considering Ellis as a value upset. At the time it didn't seem like such a bad idea; L4D2 was the Game of the Moment, Ellis was its most talked-about character (due to a funny line he says at the start of the demo), and there didn't seem to be much buzz for the upcoming ME2. Now, however, that pick looks PRETTY bad. L4D2 doesn't appear to have the staying power of the first (not surprising, since it came out only a year later) while ME2 is unquestionably the Game of the Moment right now. Under normal circumstances, backing someone just because he's the lead character of a critically acclaimed recent release that's #1 on the FAQ listings is a dubious prospect (hello there, every GTA character ever!), but at this point I'm not even sure Ellis would beat 2008 Shepard, let alone the super-hyped version that's going to be in play today! I can only imagine this goes down as a fairly easy win for the Commander, but even so his bad showing least season gives me cold feet on callling for a blowout... so let's just stick with a conservative Ngamer Says: Shepard > Ellis, 63.87% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
I
don't wanna sound rude or anything but... why does NGamer always post
his writeups hours after he posts his percentages? I'm just curious. --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
because he's lazy --- xyzzy |
Gear Division: Round 1 - Match 53 – (3) Auron vs. (14) Aerith Gainsborough Moltar’s Analysis Auron Remember when he beat Sonic? Oh wait that’s not impressive anymore Aerith Speaking of things that aren’t impressive anymore… Hey it’s Zack/Yuna Part 2. Auron should be stronger than Zack and his opponent…is actually probably around Yuna level these days. Throw in some FF7 looking weaker and slight SFF and you get something like this. Also why am I the only one to use Aerith in these write-ups? Moltar’s Bracket: Auron > Aerith Moltar’s Prediction: Auron: 59% - Aerith: 41% Lopen’s Analysis Auron thrusts his massive sword through Aeris's chest. What he lacks in length, he makes up for with girth. ... ... But no, seriously, this match might've been debatable a long time ago, but these days I don't think it is. You've gotta figure SFF goes decisively to Auron. You've gotta figure that FF7 has looked bad this contest. You've gotta figure Auron was already a bit stronger. I'm expecting another Tidus/Squall situation here. Funny to mention Squall, cause that's Auron's collision course. It'll be a good gauge for that if nothing else-- maybe. As I said I don't think there's much to take away from this one, even if a beatdown occurs. Lopen's prediction: Auron with 67.22% Transience’s Analysis We've essentially seen this match before: Squall Leonhart 33.56% 39993 Aeris Gainsborough 19.15% 22820 Sora 29.92% 35650 Lara Croft 17.37% 20704 TOTAL VOTES 119167 Squall put up 63% on Aeris straight-up. Auron is probably not that far off from Squall. Aeris is from FF7 which is always a concern when lesser games go against it, but Aeris has been a contest dud for two or three years running now. It's tough to imagine her putting up a real fight. If Auron outdoes Squall, we can start talking about the upset. I think he comes close, but not quite. transience's prediction: Auron with 62.15% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Auron > Aerith, 61.37% Kleenex’s Analysis FINAL FANTASY SEVEN ALWAYS WINS THESE CONTESTS SUCK Not this time, though. Auron may very well be the 7th, 8th or 9th strongest character on the site these days. Aeris has always been solid, but she just doesn't have what it takes to hang with someone like that. Very few do! Aeris managed to resist SFF from Squall pretty well back in 2007, so I'm thinking she probably comes out of this match looking fairly respectable. It'll be interesting to see how Auron does though, and guage his chances when he meets Squall in round 3. Also, I refuse to call her Aerith. Bracket: Auron Favorites: Aeris Prediction: Auron with 60.63% |
Red Sox’s Analysis Aeris (or Aerith) was once considered the 3rd strongest New Square character, but she has fallen pretty far over the years, and now is below the group of Square near-elites comprised of Vincent, Squall, Tifa, Auron, Sora, and Zack. This is a pretty clear-cut victory for Auron, with all the stats for the last few years pointing to an easy win. The only argument for Aeris is that she’s from FFVII and FFVII is at the top of the Square hierarchy, but that’s just another example of why the whole hierarchy argument is stupid. FFVII may be higher than FFX in the Square hierarchy, but Auron is higher than Aeris in it- the “hierarchy” is nothing but simple strength. Zelda got 56% on Aeris back in 2006; back then, Zelda, Ganondorf, and Auron were probably pretty close. I’m guessing Aeris can mostly resist SFF from Auron, so my pick for tonight will be around that mark. Prediction: Auron with 56.56% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Auron with 62% Lower Bound: Auron with 52% Guest’s Analysis - vcharon Auron The contest after he easily bested Sonic will tell a lot for him. He looked great and cleanly beat a member of the Noble Nine, but facing a decently strong character should tell us if he could duplicate that performance in a 1v1 situation. Obviously he's going to win, but by how much and how much will SFF play a factor here? Unlike some people, I don't think Zack/Yuna means anything here. There's no game hierarchy. Auron is clearly above Aeris here, resting somewhere in the mix of the 4 possible NN breaking FF characters. I have a bad feeling though. I want to see Auron lay a beatdown here but I don't feel like he's going to do it, and fuel speculation his strength last year was "lol 4-ways". Aeris While she has always looked good in her appearances, the past shows that FF characters can wreck one another. This didn't seem to happen so much with Zack and Yuna. Times have probably changed, and I doubt Squall would be blown out as badly as he was by Cloud if that match ever happened again. She'll lose, but I think she's going to impress, much to my own personal dismay. The KH picture won't do her any favors though. With AC being out, why do we keep getting all this KH crap by the way? Come on people seriously, it's more than enough at this point. charon's fabulous prediction Auron with 58.12% Crew Consensus: This match is all Auron |
Favorites: Aeris Eew --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Sent my Squall/Akuma analysis. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Auron sux --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Well I wasn't really saying that from the perspective of an Auron fan --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Auron rox more like --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
people like Aeris? --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
It's more TAKIN' IT TO THE MAN and disliking Auron than it is Aeris, but she's alright. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Aerith is pretty good. Better than most of the characters in this contest! --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
I like both of these guys --- xyzzy |
Who's "Aeris?" Do you guys mean "Aerith?" --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Kleenex = one of Palmer's many alts CONFIRED --- holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee |
Thoundth rike Leon hath a rittle rithp. --- When did it all thtart? Where do angerth rothe their way? |
I feel like Auron might do something wild tonight. I dunno why. --- xyzzy |
From: transience | #444 if by 70%+, I'm with ya! --- http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
I
think Auron will put up some big numbers. I don't know too many people
that are going to see Auron and Aerith and opt for the latter. She may
be from FFVII, but Auron's one of the least hated Final Fantasy
characters around. Should be good. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
yeah, something like that. I just have no respect for Aeris anymore. --- xyzzy |
Well I have him at 67% so I can't exactly disagree. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
The
Magic 8 Squall says that we can't take much from this match if Auron
blows her out. It's just SFF then. We'll see what Auron's made of
against Zero. Auron probably gets 65% or something. He's fond of that number. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Oh god if it goes 65% we'll see no end to the Aeris/Ness comparisons from HaRRicH --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
