GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/6/2010 10:09:20 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #251
Cloud Strife 71.72% 39732
Ridley 28.28% 15666
TOTAL VOTES 55398

Chris Redfield 68.01% 42865
Captain MacMillan 31.99% 20160
TOTAL VOTES 63025


Crew Predictions - 36/42

What Happened: Cloud looks kind of weak against Ridley and Chris keeps up the streak of good RE performances

Why it Happened: Either Cloud, like Link, is getting anti-voted hard, or FF7 as a whole is getting weaker. Also, Chris didn't beat down MacMillan as hard as Leon did, but he still looks better than ever.

What will Happen: Chris should stand up pretty well if Ridley's performance means anything.



Crew Prediction Challenge - 2 points for all

Kleenex - 38
Moltar - 37
Tran - 36
Red Sox - 36
Ngamer - 34
Lopen - 33
Guest - 30



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for Cloud, FF999 gets the point for Chris

Moltar - 8.5
Lopen - 8
Tran - 6
Red Sox - 5.5
Ngamer - 5
Kleenex - 4
Guest - 4 (Bio: 1, CM: 1, Marsman: 1, FF999: 1)
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Riku > Ramza (37/42)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/6/2010 10:20:08 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #252
Midgar Division: Round 1 - Match 44 – (4) Captain Falcon vs. (13) Wander

Moltar’s Analysis

Falcon
Master of the Punch. Bringer of the Kick.

Wander
Because you can never have enough complete fodder characters.

Man this division sucks. Falcon is the underdog going into Round 2, but a strong performance against Wander could help him look better. Falcon looked really good in 2008, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him go big here. Remember, we’re dealing with a guy who got tripled by GlaDOS and nearly [quad]rupled by Falco.

Moltar’s Bracket: Falcon > Wander

Moltar’s Prediction: Falcon: 75% - Wander: 25%



Lopen’s Analysis

Captain Falcon's gonna be all like "show me your moves!"

But Wander is too boring to actually have any moves. Why does this guy keep getting into contests I just don't get it.

Anyway moral of the story is Falcon nails the dude with a Falcon Punch and destroys him for being so lame as to not have moves.

Lopen's prediction:
Captain Falcon with 77.77% (yes a tripling from Captain Falcon, how sad is this)



Transience’s Analysis

HAHAHAHA WANDER YOU LOOK AWFUL

AND YOU'RE EVEN WEAKER THAN AWFUL

HAHAHAHA FALCON PUNCH okay this is an awful writeup

transience's prediction: Captain Falcon with 65.94%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Captain Falcon > Wander, 72.33%



Kleenex’s Analysis

And just off the heels of Ramza's match, another character who has no business getting into these contests anymore. I mentioned this in the stats topic, but Wander is pretty much a perfect recipe for being awful in these contests. His game is relatively cult. His character design is uninspired and boring. His picture selection is virtually non-exsistant. And a good chunk of the people who have actually played Shadow of the Colossus probably have no idea his name is Wander. I mean, just look at the dude's resume. He lost to a Mario-SFF'd Pac-Man. Does it get more embarassing than that? I think not. Seriously, let that sink in for a minute.

I don't have as much Captain respect as some people might, but this is such a mismatch. Laharl vs. Wander would be a mismatch. He's that bad. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Falcon approached 80% here. The only thing I can guarantee is that Wander will get at least one vote. Beyond that? Who knows!


Bracket: Captain Falcon
Favorites: Wander
Prediction: Captain Falcon with 81.26% (let's do this)



Red Sox’s Analysis

Here is yet another boring match, this time between a Nintendo low midcarder and low fodder. Or perhaps Wander is even bottom of the barrel fodder. That doesn’t really make sense to me considering Shadow of the Colossus was a very well received game, and isn’t obscure, but that’s what Wander’s past contest appearances say. 13% on Mario, 22% on Falco……that would be bottom of the barrel fodder, if the 4-way results are legitimate.

Captain Falcon is probably close to Falco in strength, so that 22% is probably the most relevant percentage here. I don’t really trust it and think Falco was overrated in that match or Wander was underrated, so I’m going to go higher than that for Wander today.

Prediction: Captain Falcon with 74.00%
Upset Potential: 0%
Upper Bound: Captain Falcon with 80%
Lower Bound: Captain Falcon with 68%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/6/2010 10:20:22 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #253
Guest’s Analysis - GrapefruitKing

Oh, Wander. You seem like a pretty nice guy. I’d probably go out and have a pint with you. I’d talk to you about school, and girls, and stuff… you’d talk to me about your horse and colossi and stuff. You seem nice but you’re WEAK. Look at 2007… you’re worth 13.44% on Mario. Pretty bad. Was 2008 a better year for you? 14.12% on Vincent. Well at least I guess you’re consistent. Consistently weak. Though you could probably beat Sandal and Eddie Riggs. Feel better?

Why do you keep making these contests, Wander? Your game is nice, and all, but you need to take a rest, now. As for our friend Falcon, he has finally showed what he was really made of last year, almost getting 45% on Alucard with Diddy potentially dragging him down. And this year he actually has a chance to make it to Round 3, if Riku chokes or slits his wrist or something.

This’ll be a boring match but at least it might convince people to stop nominating Wander.
Though Wander would probably win if he acted like this in his game: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZSXhuuRgB8

GrapefruitKing’s surprisingly accurate prediction:

Captain Falcon with 72.42%



Crew Consensus: Falcon will show us his moves today when he 3-stocks Wander.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/6/2010 11:14:40 AM | message detail | filter | #254
I was rather unimpressed with Redfield's performance against MacMillan, really, but maybe that's just me.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/6/2010 11:20:40 AM | message detail | filter | #255
damnit where did all these Wander fans come from all of a sudden
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Silent_Alarm | Posted 2/6/2010 12:17:43 PM | message detail | filter | #256
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3771&map=1

Chris almost achieved

COMPLETE

GLOBAL

SATURATION

Damn you Ghana
Ngamer64 | Posted 2/6/2010 7:25:38 PM | message detail | filter | #257
Haven't reviewed these "early" returns yet.

Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup

Good GOLLY was I ever right about yesterday! Despite the bad pic Ramza took full advantage of the night match, KH anti-voting, and (maybe) new school anti-voting, and as a result Riku turned in just the kind of underwhelming performance I'd sketched out for him. That being said, I do have to give the guy credit for one thing: that was a heck of a morning vote. I mean you'd expect FFT to be terrible with "the kiddies" and so the turnaround wasn't exactly shocking, but even so, shooting from 60.50 to well over 62 in under 4 hours? That's a pretty solid swing, given how 30k votes had already been cast before he made his move. Seems safe to say that Riku would have looked a good deal less pathetic in a day match- though he'd never have approached 70 like the trannies of the world were hoping for.

If nothing else, Riku's flop has at least succeeded in creating the slightest bit of interest in today's affair. Wander is by all accounts one of the weakest entrants to ever make a Contest field (and yet he's somehow made THREE. come on, people!), but even so, a major blowout here could go a long ways toward establishing Captain Falcon as a favorite for next round. Falcon winning two matches in a 1v1 Contest- I'd like to have seen the odds on that back in '06, after he could barely even avoid the tripling versus Crono!

For whatever reason he seems to be gaining strength with every outing (at least after taking that horrible LFF from '07 into account), and I'm thinking that trend will continue. Oddly though, despite liking his chances against Riku, I don't LOVE him for today's poll... though I can't exactly say why. Maybe it's because his status as an SSB fan favorite combined with being from such a niche series makes him a tough out in a 4way situation or against lower mid-tiers in a 1v1, but he isn't built to put up huge numbers on anyone? Ehhh, that kind of makes sense, but don't know that I totally buy it. In any case, I'm going to shy away from the high 70 picks I'm seeing so many others take and (for some reason I can't exactly put a finger on) sticking with a more conservative

Ngamer Says: Captain Falcon > Wander, 72.33%

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/6/2010 7:29:06 PM | message detail | filter | #258
Brace yourselves for the greatest writeups ever for tomorrow's matches.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/6/2010 9:20:54 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #259
Midgar Division: Round 1 - Match 45 – (3) Leon Kennedy vs. (14) Vault Boy

Moltar’s Analysis

Leon
The final RE character steps up to the plate.

Vault Boy
Fallout gets a rep in the Contest

Pre-contest I would’ve said something like “Leon gets the triple here have a nice day”. However, after watching things like Captain Price and Claptrap do well, I’m worried Leon won’t get a doubling, even with RE looking like gold. He isn’t going to of lose, but Vault Boy should do okay I guess. Should be similar to Chris/MacMillan I guess.

Moltar’s Bracket: Leon > Vault Boy

Moltar’s Prediction: Leon: 66% - Vault Boy: 34%



Lopen’s Analysis

Leon: VAULT BOY, YOU'RE SMALL TIME.
Vault Boy: Nyah... nuh... uh... A-A-Albion r-r-r-rallied m-m-me.
Leon: TIME TO RALLY MY FOOT UP YOUR ASS. NO PROBLEM, BRO.

Lopen's prediction:
Leon Kennedy with 80.25%



Transience’s Analysis

This match is unfortunate. Vault Boy has a pretty big range but just about all of it lies below Leon Kennedy.

If you put him in today's match, I might take him over Captain Falcon. Fallout 3 is pretty damn popular and my sense is that F3 fans would absolutely vote for Vault Boy. I'd pick Vault Boy over Kefka, over Kratos Aurion, over Diablo, maayyybbbbe over Donkey Kong.

Leon Kennedy is a pretty big step up from those guys, and Resident Evil's had a good contest thus far, so it's tough to expect too much from Vault Boy here. If he can keep it under 60% though? We may have a new contest fixture.

transience's prediction: Leon Kennedy with 62.41%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Leon > Vault Boy, 65.58%



Kleenex’s Analysis


http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/whycopy.png


Bracket: Leon
Favorites: Vault Boy
Prediction: Leon with 71.89%



Red Sox’s Analysis

After seeing several Resident Evil characters do very well, the strongest one of them gets his chances to impress tonight. Leon is looking to give himself a chance against the winner of Ryu/Dante, which is a daunting task as Dante has had his number the past couple of years, but with the way Resident Evil has impressed this year, it’s possible.

His opponent is Vault Boy, from the Fallout series. I’m not really sure what to expect from him, but my guess is he’ll have some strength- Fallout 3 has strength, and Vault Boy is supposed to be iconic for the series. That said, he has no chance of beating Leon Kennedy, and this match will be all about watching the percentages.

Prediction: Leon Kennedy with 69.00%
Upset Potential: 0%
Upper Bound: Leon with 75%
Lower Bound: Leon with 63%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/6/2010 9:21:07 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #260
Guest’s Analysis - vcharon

Leon S. Kennedy

The character responsible for putting Resident Evil back on the map. The last "favorite RE character" poll showed Leon imposing his will on characters we've already seen do very well in round 1. Granted all three of them have probably improved their stock since then, but Leon would probably still win that poll and has to be the strongest character from the series. I'd rank Leon as a fairly high midcarder. Though he came up short during the last contest against Dante, I don't think he's all that far behind him. His continued relevance was proven when Resident Evil 4 came up as the runner-up to FFX in the best game of the decade poll. This is still a game and a character fresh on people's minds and his performance should be in line with the masterful work RE has done in round 1. He's going to be impressive. Even so, it's not easy to score very high with how the site is today apparently.

Vault Boy

Mascot for... well, Vault. People are somehow suggesting he's going to break 40% on Leon now? I find this hard to believe, considering he failed to impress in the vote in, not even able to top HK-47 despite having no other joke entry to hold him back. I saw Albion comparing him to Missingno. in the stats topic and almost fell out of the chair... very ridiculous. Long story short, I predict this to be a joke character much like Sandal (yes, I realize he was 'joke SFFed' to some degree). While his image is a little more comical for the match, he isn't a blob of pixels or a geometric shape. Those are proven strength joke entries. Things like Midgar Zolom and Sandal are epic fodder and only something that someone who played their respective games would "get". Even then they probably wouldn't be inclined to vote for it. Vault Boy may have somewhat of an advantage over those two, but there's no way I can see him doing that well on Leon. I'd love to know what people were basing this on, especially after what Resident Evil has done in round 1.

charon's fabulous prediction

Leon with 70.68%



Crew Consensus: Leon shows Vault Boy he’s small time in a rousing game of bingo.
th3l3fty | Posted 2/6/2010 9:26:49 PM | message detail | filter | #261
man charon, Zolom never even got a fair chance!
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
vcharon | Posted 2/6/2010 9:30:26 PM | message detail | filter | #262
To be fair to Zolom, he was probably a little before his time. I still say he's one of those "board 8 only" type things that would just suck otherwise. He's a giant snake, people aren't really going to see any sort of comical value in that.
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:>
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/6/2010 9:58:03 PM | message detail | filter | #263
Lopen's writeup the best
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Lopen | Posted 2/6/2010 10:01:18 PM | message detail | filter | #264
I aim to please

But seriously what's with the high Vault Boy percentages. Isn't he a really minor character in Fallout 3?
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/6/2010 10:02:01 PM | message detail | filter | #265
Icon respect, I guess. I have no idea what to expect from Vault Boy, honestly.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
vcharon | Posted 2/6/2010 10:03:49 PM | message detail | filter | #266
He's like, not even a character if you want to be technical...
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:>
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/6/2010 10:03:52 PM | message detail | filter | #267

From: Lopen | #264
I aim to please

But seriously what's with the high Vault Boy percentages. Isn't he a really minor character in Fallout 3?


He is the face of the Fallout franchise.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
Lopen | Posted 2/6/2010 10:04:52 PM | message detail | filter | #268
Vault Boy: A-A-A-Albion... h-h-h-help me.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/6/2010 10:07:06 PM | message detail | filter | #269
Albion's been hyping him for ages, that's why.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Ngamer64 | Posted 2/6/2010 11:19:28 PM | message detail | filter | #270
Haven't reviewed these early returns yet.

Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup

*huge fist pump* Man, I've been on fire lately! Not going to be falling out of the Oracle Top Ten anytime soon if I can keep this up, and I think it's finally starting to net me some accuracy points as well- sweet! As for yesterday's result, nope, even after seeing it happen I still can't explain it- Falcon has no excuse for not being able to break 75 on this chump. But it's like I said, I can't hold it against him too much... still think he's going to give Riku a real run for his money, especially if that's a Night Match. Which *checks* it is NOT. Ehh, it's not like Brawl is a chump in the afternoon either. Guess I'd still have to keep Riku the slight favorite there, but I'm betting its close either way.

Another in a seemingly endless stream of no doubters today, but at least this time around the final percentage should be difficult to peg. I've seen a bunch of people pushing this one into the low (and even MID) 70s in the last couple days, and though I understand where they're coming from in regards to how hot Resident Evil has been, I've still got to disagree. Fallout 3 is a pretty serious force on this site; despite being out a good 14 months now it's STILL 19th, 47th, and 52nd on the FAQ listings. The game got 30% in the Final GotY, which was so impressive given the competition that it might even have won straight up had it come out in '09! And let's not forget the very nice 38% it managed in R1 of the Game Contest. PLUS Vault Boy is universal to the series, so even old schoolers who gravitate more to FO1 or 2 ought to be supporting him. In other words, anything on the order of a 80% whitewashing can be thrown right out.

Perhaps more importantly, in spite of the doom and gloom I was trying to rain down earlier in the season, these "non-traditional" characters don't appear to be nosediving here in '10 versus their 4way values. Now, I'd like them most against a true "Contest power", since those guys seem to be attracting anti-voting already, but I'd say Leon is a big enough name where everyone will know he'll win and feel fine about throwing Vault Boy some scraps. Especially since he stands out like crazy in that match pic- dang, couldn't we have found something a little more exciting for Leon? Honestly, VB has enough going for him that I'd probably be picking him to overperform all the way into the high 30s tonight, EXCEPT that we've already seen him in action, and boy did he not impress me in that vote in poll. Between the dedicated FO fanbase and being the only joke option in such a large field I thought he might even be able to give MMX a run there. Then again, he didn't have the advantage of a match pic... but nah, can't allow myself to go too wild. Let's just stick with a conservative

Ngamer Says: Leon > Vault Boy, 65.58%

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Ngamer64 | Posted 2/6/2010 11:24:58 PM | message detail | filter | #271
*votes*

Ah, only holding him to 63% in the early going? That's fine- surely VB got a big early push and Leon will be trending up the rest of the overnight!

*checks trends*

whaaaa, Leon DOWN a percent from the freeze?


Darn you traaaaaaaaany!

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/7/2010 12:44:15 AM | message detail | filter | #272
heh everyone apparently overshot leon here
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http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/7/2010 12:47:55 AM | message detail | filter | #273
tranny's pretty close.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Lopen | Posted 2/7/2010 12:48:39 AM | message detail | filter | #274
This is not "heh"

This is gross
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/7/2010 12:51:24 AM | message detail | filter | #275

From: Lopen | #274
This is not "heh"

This is gross


your fault for thinking he was only some minor fallout 3 character
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http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
vcharon | Posted 2/7/2010 2:09:31 AM | message detail | filter | #276

From: Lightslayer987 | #275
your fault for thinking he was only some minor fallout 3 character


He still is. Just underestimated how good minor characters can really do I suppose.
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:>
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/7/2010 2:36:11 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #277
Riku 62.31% 30017
Ramza Beoulve 37.69% 18155
TOTAL VOTES 48172

Captain Falcon 71.13% 46968
Wander 28.87% 19060
TOTAL VOTES 66028

Crew Predictions - 38/44

What Happened: Riku beats Ramza, Falcon crushes Wander.

Why it Happened: Neither result is a surprise really. Ramza is weak, Wander is bottom of the barrel fodder, Riku's decent and so is Falcon.

What will Happen: Riku/Falcon could be interesting, but Falcon needed to look better to make himself look good for the upset. Riku is still the favorite.



Crew Prediction Challenge - 2 points for all

Kleenex - 40
Moltar - 39
Tran - 38
Red Sox - 38
Ngamer - 36
Lopen - 35
Guest - 32



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Ngamer gets the point for Riku and Falcon

Moltar - 8.5
Lopen - 8
Ngamer - 7
Tran - 6
Red Sox - 5.5
Kleenex - 4
Guest - 4 (Bio: 1, CM: 1, Marsman: 1, FF999: 1)
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Leon > Vault Boy (39/44)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/7/2010 2:37:59 AM | message detail | filter | #278
Might lose my lead tomorrow !
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
transience | Posted 2/7/2010 5:32:16 AM | message detail | filter | #279
please, Ngamer, give me some of your glorious Oracle advice.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/7/2010 8:58:48 AM | message detail | filter | #280
Oh man I'm the Guest for this match, oops. uuuuuuh guess I'll just post it here

KP's Guest Writeup That He Forgot To Send To Moltar
Sackboy vs. Kratos Aurion

I think Kratos wins easily here. I don't even think it's going to be very close. Sackboy is one of those characters that's so horrifically weak that, even if you were to take his best-case scenario of boosting, he still probably loses this match with ease. Let's take a look at some comparisons:

Dealing with Midna LFF, Kratos Aurion got 36.53% on Scorpion.
Dealing with Diddy/Falcon LFF, Kratos Aurion got 32.52% on Alucard.

Dealing with Snake LFF, Sackboy got 27.73% on Vivi.

Alucard is a bit below Vivi, but yeah. Even with his questionable recent performances with several factors working against him, Kratos has still performed better than Sackboy did. Also,

Dealing with Snake LFF, Sackboy got 44.26% on pre-RE5 Wesker.

Wesker. As in the guy Lloyd got 54% on. Even if it was before Sackboy's game was released, is it really going to matter that much? The game wasn't very well-received, and even if it was I don't think it helps Sackboy much anyway as he's a character based entirely off of design.

And for a final fun X-factor, today is the Super Bowl. Kratos is going to use the early board/morning vote to build a lead, and Sackboy isn't going to have as many people to save him as they'll all be watching football! Won't make that much of a difference as...this is GameFAQs, but it's just another nail in the coffin. Don't worry, Sackboy is a PS3 mascot. He's used to it.

Kratos Aurion > Sackboy, 60%

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/7/2010 9:21:20 AM | message detail | filter | #281
Well LittleBigPlanet was Gamespy's PS3 Game of the Year, and it beat both MGS4 and GTAIV in the top 10 games of the year.

Then again, Brawl lost to Boom Blox and Mario Kart Wii on that site. Still, LBP has been received quite well.
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/7/2010 10:04:09 AM | message detail | filter | #282
Man even the tranman overshot Leon. At least he's still winning though, get this Vault Boy crap outta here.

Also good job KP, i think Kratos will put Sackboy away easily also, though i didn't have the balls to go as high as 60%
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"Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/7/2010 10:15:14 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #283
Midgar Division: Round 1 - Match 46 – (6) Sackboy vs. (11) Kratos Aurion

Moltar’s Analysis

Sackboy
So how about that LBP everyone.

Kratos A.
ToS representin’

HEY WE FINALLY REACHED THE ONE DEBATABLE ROUND ONE MATCH IN THIS DIVISION! GOOD JOB EVERYONE!

Sackboy’s interesting because we saw him before his game came out, and he…got wrecked by Snake. Then, we saw his game and it…got wrecked by MGS4. Someone doesn’t like LBP! This time though, he’s got no Snake to deal with.

Luckily for the bag of Sack, Kratos A. isn’t that strong of an opponent. Still, I’m going with Kratos here. Take this with a grain of salt, but back in 2007, Kratos performed pretty well on Midna. At the time, it seemed that both were weak as hell, but since then, Midna has looked pretty darn good (solid midcarder at least) thanks to her matches with Cloud and Sora. This could suggest that Kratos and Midna were hurting each other in that match.

“But Moltar!” You shout, “Kratos looked terrible in 2008!” Well, he also had to deal with Diddy and Falcon, two Nintendo characters. It’s not a stretch to think that ToS has a mostly Nintendo fanbase, and the other Nintendo characters made him look bad. Hell, he looked good in 2005 when he faced Diablo. Sackboy may find himself against that Kratos A.

Plus, ToS is a game that refuses to fade away on GameFAQs. Even last year, it managed to pull off an upset and do well in both of its matches. Meanwhile, “LittleBigPlanet who?”

So yeah, I like Kratos’s chances here. LBP has a small, devoted fanbase here, but ToS is the king of small, devoted fanbases. Just like Nathan against The Boss, I believe Sackboy will come up short.

Moltar’s Bracket: Kratos A. > Sackboy

Moltar’s Prediction: Sackboy: 45% - Kratos A.: 55%



Lopen’s Analysis

Slightly tough match on the surface if you subscribe to the Turtle school of teaching in "LOL FAILS OF SYMPHONIA," but Kratos has proven in his last few appearances that he's not fodder. 43% on Diablo, getting close to Midna. The ever elusive win has eluded him till now, but that's about to change.

Sackboy's a kinda tough one to call in that I think the only time we saw him his game hadn't actually come out yet. But just take Nathan Drake as a baseline: Both PS3 exclusives, Drake has had more games to his name, one close to GotY, and yet still lost to the boss. Sackboy really has no chance unless he gets the football vote.

I mean I know I can see Ulti or MWC watching the superbowl, checking the poll during halftime, then saying:

QB SACK FROM INDY SAINTS LINE CAN'T HANG I BETTER VOTE LET'S GO COLTS QB SACKBOY YES.

Lopen's prediction:
Kratos Aurion with 61.61%



Transience’s Analysis

Here's our first real debatable match since Jecht/Phoenix. I've gotten like 15 in a row correct in my bracket and that's not even all that impressive. This contest started hard and got real easy real quick.

Sackboy has to be more recognizable than Kratos Aurion. He's pretty much the face of the PS3 these days, and the PS3 has grown by leaps and bounds in the past couple of years. It's GameFAQs's 2009 console of the year. He's likable and has a much better picture. On a mainstream website, Sackboy crushes this match.

GameFAQs is known for its RPGs, though, and Kratos is one of the few Tales guys that can make a claim to being legitimately liked. He's not super strong, but his game did manage to beat GTA and God of War the last time 'round. That's pretty good. There's a sense that Kratos is fading as he gets older and less relevant, but Tales fans don't seem to be going anywhere and he has a far better contest history than Sackboy does.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/7/2010 10:15:40 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #284
Ultimately, I know that people on this site like Tales and Kratos. I'm not convinced they care about LBP at all. It's cute and charming and you can like Sackboy without liking LBP, but a basic platformer with a deep level creator doesn't really scream GameFAQs to me. I'll stick with the more known quantity, even if he is the more niche and obscure quantity.

transience's prediction: Kratos Aurion with 55.71%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Kratos A. > Sackboy, 51.17%



Kleenex’s Analysis

http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/lolkratoscopy.png


Bracket: Sackboy
Favorites: Sackboy
Prediction: Sackboy with 52.01%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Wedged into a long run of boring matches is a debatable match. Kratos Aurion is the heavy favorite in the Guru, and he is my pick too, but this is not a match I have confidence in. Kratos is from Tales of Symphonia, and Tales has never had strong characters. Kratos did decently in 2005, getting 43% against Diablo, but then he looked horrible in 2008, getting more than 60-40’d by Captain Falcon and losing to Diddy Kong.

Meanwhile, Sackboy is the star of Little Big Planet, a game that got a lot of attention if not that many fans. He was fodder in 2008, but that was before his game came out. Now that it has, he might just be able to beat an obscure character like Kratos Aurion, who is probably high fodder. I’m sticking with my bracket and the consensus opinion, but I have no confidence.

Prediction: Kratos Aurion with 51.00%
Upset Potential: 40%
Upper Bound: Kratos with 58%
Lower Bound: Sackboy with 56%



Crew Consensus: Only one person has Sackboy winning. Everyone else has Kratos.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/7/2010 10:19:18 AM | message detail | filter | #285
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
charmander6000 | Posted 2/7/2010 10:20:35 AM | message detail | filter | #286
Some people haven't realized that 2k7 Midna =/= 2k8 Midna

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 36/44 - Today's Winners: Leon and Sackboy
ZFS | Posted 2/7/2010 10:21:45 AM | message detail | filter | #287
Haha Kleenex wins

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/7/2010 10:50:27 AM | message detail | filter | #288
damnit Crew, quit invoking the curse

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/7/2010 11:15:55 AM | message detail | filter | #289

From: KamikazePotato | #287
damnit Crew, quit invoking the curse


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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/7/2010 11:17:44 AM | message detail | filter | #290
All hail your new leader.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
paulg235 | Posted 2/7/2010 11:17:56 AM | message detail | filter | #291

From: KamikazePotato | #288
damnit Crew, quit invoking the curse


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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
ZFS | Posted 2/7/2010 11:19:15 AM | message detail | filter | #292
Sackboy'd

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
OrangeKidJosh | Posted 2/7/2010 12:07:22 PM | message detail | filter | #293
Sackboy win o/ kleenex

Moltar eliminated from the guru
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This is an alt for Applekidjosh
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/7/2010 1:24:37 PM | message detail | filter | #294
Kleenex deserves to win with a writeup like that.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
Lopen | Posted 2/7/2010 1:47:07 PM | message detail | filter | #295
Man

What IS this.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 2/7/2010 1:50:48 PM | message detail | filter | #296
Lopen's analysis is hilarious. "The football vote".
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CB8 record through 41 matches: 35-8
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/7/2010 1:52:06 PM | message detail | filter | #297
Kleenex is brilliant.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
digifreak642 | Posted 2/7/2010 2:05:31 PM | message detail | filter | #298
Gurus suck **** except for tissues
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HA! I HAVE A GAMESPOT AND GAMEFAQS ACCOUNT!
Greyfeld | Posted 2/7/2010 3:16:28 PM | message detail | filter | #299
Do I get points for choosing Sackboy in my bracket, when most of the crew chose the opposite?
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/7/2010 9:42:41 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #300
Midgar Division: Round 1 - Match 47 – (7) Ryu vs. (10) Balthier Bunansa

Moltar’s Analysis

Ryu
no u

Balthier
woo FF12

Well this is easy. Ryu’s pretty legit in these Character Battles. While Street Fighter isn’t all that hot, Ryu still brings it to the table in his matches. Balthier is easy stuff for him, as he’ll always be the guy who lost to Ada Freakin’ Wong.

Sure, losing to a RE character isn’t embarrassing this year, but 3 years ago? man… Also, while Balthier did better in 2008, he’s not going to magically be at Ryu level this year.

Moltar’s Bracket: Ryu > Balthier

Moltar’s Prediction: Ryu: 63% - Balthier: 37%



Lopen’s Analysis

I'm expecting a left field overperformance from Balthier. I mean, he's still going to lose, but this is his first chance in 1v1s. Not that that matters, really, I think it'll all be Ryu "flopping" that makes him look good. I mean he still has no chance-- a less popular Sub-Zero beat a more popular Tidus in a similar match, but Ryu isn't really the type to blow people out. Remember when he only got 60% on KOS-MOS?

Lopen's prediction:
Ryu with 60.53%



Transience’s Analysis

I never know exactly how to gauge Balthier. Dude underwhelms me at every turn. Just when I think he's hit bottom, he goes and does worse. He's like Magus only without the expectations.

Ryu, on the other hand, is known as mr. consistency, but in reality that's not the truth. Ryu has his good years when he looks like the top non-Nintendo/Square character and his bad years where he looks like he could get reamed by a couple dozen characters. Which Ryu shows up this year? In 2007, he was the former; in 2008, the latter. If I had to bet, I'd say the latter given how Ken fared, but Balthier sucks so much that I can't see him getting even close here. Ryu did get SF4 which should help, but we've all seen how SF4 has done since.

transience's prediction: Ryu with 63.99%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Ryu > Balthier, 63.69%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Been busy tonight, so this is gonna be short (as if I ever write much anyway). Balthier was one of the biggest flops from 2007, and while he managed to look a tad more respectable last year, he still doesn't have the chops to hang with someone like Ryu. Ken's performance was a big question mark, so it's hard to say if Street Fighter is going to be looking bad here. I think Ryu will probably pull of around a doubling here, but for some strange reason I could see Balthier impressing. I don't know why.


Bracket: Ryu
Favorites: Balthier
Prediction: Ryu with 65.18%