GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
From: LinkMarioSamus | #199 Didn't seem like it was hurting him in 2003. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
Bat-Cloud is better than Emo Cloud. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
'Emo Cloud' more like 'redundant term' --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Travis Touchdown 29.33% 14340 Zelda 70.67% 34556 TOTAL VOTES 48896 Ezio Auditore da Firenze 59.71% 42115 Simon Belmont 40.29% 28423 TOTAL VOTES 70538 Crew Predictions - 34/40 What Happened: Zelda beats down Travis and Ezio beats Simon by a respectable amount Why it Happened: Travis is probably a bit stronger due to NMH2 being fresh. Ezio also isn't as strong as Altair made us think as he let Simon get 40% on him. What will Happen: Ezio > Zelda yeah this isn't happening Crew Prediction Challenge - 2 points for most Kleenex - 36 Moltar - 35 Tran - 34 Red Sox - 34 Ngamer - 33 Lopen - 31 Guest - 28 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for Zelda, Ngamer gets the point for Ezio Moltar - 8.5 Lopen - 7 Tran - 6 Red Sox - 5.5 Ngamer - 5 Kleenex - 4 Guest - 3 (Bio: 1, CM: 1, Marsman: 1) --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Cloud > Ridley (35/40) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Midgar Division: Round 1 - Match 42 – (8) Chris Redfield vs. (9) Captain MacMillan Moltar’s Analysis Chris CHRISSSSSSSSSSSSS MacMillan Really? This joke is back? Well this is dumb. RE has been looking good. Wesker looked good. Jill looked good. Chris should be fine. Meanwhile, MacMillan is fodder. Moltar’s Bracket: Chris > MacMillan Moltar’s Prediction: Chris: 67% - MacMillan: 33% Lopen’s Analysis Dude looked like a marsh plant last year. Chris Redfield loves pummeling rocks so a bush is what we in the business like to call "close enough" Lopen's Prediction: Chris with 69.35% Transience’s Analysis After seeing Wesker, it's a pretty good bet that Chris Redfield is going to be legit this year. Chris was pretty nice last year in a loss to Fox and his big game has since come out. I actually believe in Modern Warfare though. If this were Soap, I might pick him over Chris. This is a weirdass thing from COD4 though. You'd think that this swamp thing would suck, but he actually did pretty decently last year. It's tough to really feel confident picking this thing to get a high percentage, but if Macmillan broke 40% it wouldn't really phase me all that much. It also wouldn't phase me if Chris Redfield tripled this guy. Look out, here comes a random percentage! transience's prediction: Chris Redfield with 69.11% Ngamer’s Analysis Hohoho! After all these years of having it diluted by the 4 way format I'd forgotten how enjoyable that opening minute FF7 anti-voting is to watch. Cloud wasn't able to take the lead until about the 150th vote, then had to battle for 15 minutes just to make it to 65- against a guy barely over the fodder line! I wonder... could even Ryu maintain a 5-10 minute lead on him these days? I'm starting to think he could, and maybe Samus will even be able to extend it to 15. Though of course what people REALLY want to know is if Snake could extend it to 12... HOURS. Hard to call any Cloud path "exciting", but his matches should certainly at least be worth keeping an eye on in the early going this season! Now then, today's match is... pretty awful, to be honest. The last time we saw Call of Duty in action it really made us stand up and take notice: Cpt Price somehow avoided the doubling against MMX, a feat that became even more of a head scratcher after we saw the original Blue Bomber take an FF7 character behind the woodshed. Clearly we badly undervalued Price, but honestly now, Cpt MacMillan is a horse of a different color (seaweed green). Mac doesn't appear whatsoever in MW2, a game that has completely overshadowed CoD4- and he was barely even in CoD4, so the surprising thing is that he even made the bracket a second time, not that he's not the next Price! The one saving grace for this match is that it provides a semi-interesting comparison, since in '08 we saw Mac do battle with that OTHER RE leading man, Leon. He got tripled, which is flat out awful considering the other two characters in the poll (Riku and Siegfried) shouldn't have done anything to hurt his casual shooter appeal. I suppose you could blame some of that bad showing on his terrible match pic, but, erm... have you SEEN his new one? If anything he's going to head into this match looking worse, which I didn't even think was possible. So yeah, Leon's tripling has set the bar pretty high, and with RE still being on a hot streak a major blowout like that might be worth considering- but nah, let's just stick with a nice clean doubling for today. Ngamer Says: Chris > A Seaweed Monster, 67.23% |
Kleenex’s Analysis What is that picture. I must have stared at that thing for 5 minutes and I still can't make out a figure in there. I know the dude doesn't have any good pictures (hi Zen), but what is going on in this thing. A picture of Chris's massive, head-sized biceps would be beat this dude. Not to mention RE has been impressing quite a lot so far this contest. Looks like RE5 might have been worth something after all, despite bombing spectacularly in the Game of the Year polls. It's been three years coming, but Chris finally picks up his first contest win. Oh glorious day. Bracket: Chris Favorites: Chris Prediction: Chris with 63.01% Red Sox’s Analysis This is another obvious and boring match. Resident Evil has looked very impressive the past 2 years, so it’ll be good to see if Chris can keep up the trend here. MacMillan looked like pretty weak fodder last year, so he should lose pretty badly here. I’ve overshot a bunch of matches lately, and we’ve seen very few blowouts this contest, so I’m hesitant in going with another high pick, but this is probably still going to be on the high side……maybe. Prediction: Chris with 65.00% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Chris with 71.00% Lower Bound: Chris with 59.00% Guest’s Analysis - FantasyFreak999 Here's another weird seeding. How did Captain MacMillan, a man who resembles the swamp thing more than he does an actual soldier, get as high as a 9 seeding? It makes no sense. Anyway, back to the match. Last year, fellow Resident Evil star Leon absolutely SQUASHED the captain in their 4-way match. Cappy here managed to get tripled by the RPD cop. Now, judging from the results of Chris's past 2 matches, we can safely say that he's not as strong as Leon... but do you really have to be that strong to beat the swamp thing soldier? I'm thinking no, especially with what has been going on this year. Both Wesker and Jill have given impressive performances in their matches, which seems to prove that Resident Evil 5 boosted them both. This boost should benefit Chris much more than the other 2, seeing as how he's the star of the show and they're only the supporting cast. Add to the fact that Captain Price didn't really do so well in his match against X. This reflects poorly on MacMillan, who already looks poor to begin with. Chris easily wins this one. Oh? I forgot to look at the picture for this year. Let's see how ugly they can make Mac this time... ... ... ....BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Chris - 68.53% Crew Consensus: Chris beats up MacMillan like a boulder |
drat! knew I should've picked higher. --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Oh man Chris. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
So
much for Lopen suiciding. Accuracy point for Cloud by picking lowest,
and it's looking like having the highest percentage for Chris will be
good for another accuracy point--giving him a 9-8.5 lead over Moltar.
You go Lopen! --- CB8 record through 41 matches: 35-8 Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon |
I forgot what the moltar's email is, I need to send my analysis for Flacon/Wander ... --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 28th Today's prediction: Chris with 66.35% Status: meh |
Normally he's at fault in these situations, but this time it's listed at the top of the second post, so you have no excuse! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Well
this is dumb. RE has been looking good. Wesker looked good. Jill looked
good. Chris should be fine. Meanwhile, MacMillan is fodder. Man, such a missed opportunity here. Shoulda been "RE has been looking good. Wesker looked good. Jill looked good. Meanwhile, MacMillan looks like Swamp Thing. Chris should be fine." :P --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Guest lookin' good enough today. --- xyzzy |
Speaking of Guests, sign-ups for Divisions 7 and 8 will be going up a bit later! --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Cloud > Ridley (35/40) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
I've sent in my guest analysis aw yeah. --- :> |
...now all Chris has to do is freeze. *crosses fingers* --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
From: Master Moltar | #215 Time to put my claim on Squall! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
I call Vincent Valentine? --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
Midgar Division: Round 1 - Match 43 – (5) Riku vs. (12) Ramza Beoulve Moltar’s Analysis Riku I bet this guy is actually Sora too. Ramza Ramza, that sounds awfully close to Sora! Riku is the second strongest KH character and a solid midcarder. Ramza lost to Hogger and barely beat Laharl in 2008. I think you know who the winner will be too. Moltar’s Bracket: Riku > Ramza Moltar’s Prediction: Riku: 66% - Ramza: 34% Lopen’s Analysis We all saw Ramza suck ass last year. He almost lost to Laharl. Even his much better game didn't do so hot. Riku's clearly on a "completely different level" at this point. The only thing that's interesting here is to see how good Ramza looks with it being a night match. I'm thinking "not so good" seeing as Riku's night vote isn't garbage either. Buttpants your way out of here. (Better write-ups starting tomorrow...! ... maybe. <_<) Lopen's prediction: Riku with 59.35% Transience’s Analysis God damn, worst picture ever. Riku looks stupid and Ramza looks.. well, like Ramza. That's about the only notable thing here. Ramza lost last year to something called Hogger and almost lost to Laharl. Riku had a nice performance in his last 1v1 against Yoshi but has looked pretty average ever since. Riku is the clear winner here, but by how much? I think by a lot. I have never had respect for Ramza's contest strength. He got wiped by Kirby during Square's best year and has looked bad ever since. Riku may not be great, but at least he's relevant: Ramza is the definition of niche these days. Zidane would crush him. Riku will, too. transience's prediction: Riku with 67.99% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Riku > Ramza, 63.39% Kleenex’s Analysis You know, I guess it's a good thing that Ramza will never win a match, because the dude appears to have only one picture. Ramza somehow manages to make it into the contest again this year, after an embarassing loss to Hogger last time. Sora and Roxas have both looked pretty good so far this year, and Riku was already a number of steps ahead of Ramza in the first place, so this will be an easy win for the dude. Hey guys, stop nominating Ramza and nominate Gilgamesh instead. Thanks. Bracket: Riku Favorites: Riku Prediction: Riku with 65.55% Red Sox’s Analysis We have a very long stretch of boring matches ahead of us, reminiscent of the Female Bracket. This bracket started off well, but now I’m wishing that we had switched a few of those interesting matches from the first few divisions to the next week. Riku looked great in 2006, and looked like he fell off considerably in the last 2 years of 4-ways, but it shouldn’t matter, because he has an easy win over Ramza. Once upon a time in the land of SquareFAQs before the rise of Nintendo, Ramza lost to Kirby. More recently, Ramza lost to Hogger and barely beat Laharl. The night match will help a bit…..maybe he can escape the doubling. Prediction: Riku with 66.50% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Riku with 72.00% Lower Bound: Riku with 61.00% |
<Guest’s Analysis - marsman57 This is a fairly straightforward match as well as Sora's match. Riku pretty much has a lock on it as far as I am concerned. I can see it as feasible for him to make it to Cloud before jobbing out. While Final Fantasy Tactics had a very impressive showing against Metal Gear Solid in 2004, Ramza himself has never won anything. He lost to Kirby in 2003 with an almost identical percentage as Tidus did in 2005 and Rikku did this year. This might trick you into thinking the three characters have equal strength since, I may be wrong, but I think Kirby's popularity over the years has been pretty consistent. Also, this is interesting as Rikku did put up 58.28% on Kairi in 2006. Let us not kid ourselves though, Riku is easily much more powerful than Kairi and Ramza is almost equally weaker than Rikku if they met in a match. Also, remember that Ramza only barely outdid Laharl of all people in 4-way competition. Contest-wise Riku has relatively strong showings against Frog and Yoshi under his belt as well as making it to third round in 2007. This is a night vote which I think will give Ramza a bit of a boost, but not enough to overcome. Bracket: Riku Prediction: Riku 55.3% (+/-5%) Crew Consensus: Riku unleashes the power of DARKNESS to beat Ramza…in a night match. |
I forgot it was a night match. maybe Ramza can avoid a doubling. or maybe a tripling! ramza sux --- xyzzy |
Time for Ramza to pull a Wesker or a Cecil and make this unexpectedly close! ...One can only hope. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Alright, well Cpt Mac's such a worthless invisible piece of seaweed that yesterday's match isn't even worth commenting on, so instead I'll talk about the previous result. 71.72% Cloud, really? He was in the 69s when I wrote my last writeup, but America was just falling asleep and I figured his killer night vote would do way more for him. Gosh! Even after seeing the traditional powers underperform left and right (and lowering our expectations slightly as a result) we still put Cloud at a 78% for the Oracle consensus... which makes Cloud the 4th most disappointing favorite so far this season, behind only Sonic, Knuckles, and MMX. Meanwhile Samus overperformed by almost 4% in her R1 outing. Now don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to start up a Samus > Cloud hype train or anything insane like that, but dang am I ever excited to see what kind of number Marth can put up on Sephiroth. If the anti-voting hits him ever harder than it struck Cloud (which seems quite possible)... well dang, I'd hate to be in the Seph > Snake camp, I'll tell you that much! Now then, tonight's match is no great shakes, but at least it handily tops the garbage we had to sit through today. As I glanced through the Oracle a little earlier I was seeing a bunch of Riku picks skyrocketing into that very high 60s/low 70s range, which made me do a double take- apparently people aren't taking my writeups seriously enough! Riku's going to underwhelm in this one (at least based on THOSE lofty expectations) and let me explain why. * stripping a Kingdom Hearts character of his ASV is like de-clawing a cat. sure they can still bite a little, but they're going to have a much tougher time tearing up your furniture * KH is Square's Halo, as we've been over many times now. it's got a firm following that doesn't allow it to be blown out under any circumstances (see MM/Sora, or KH in the later rounds of BGE2) but on the flip side it's incapable of blowing anyone out due to all the anti-votes it collects * FFT/Kingdom Hearts has got to be about the least overlap imaginable between two Square RPG properties. so while I'll readily admit that Riku's much higher on the company totem pole, I'd still be surprised to see anything like an SFF beatdown. the wide gap between the two series also turns this into something of an old school/new school matchup, which has been doing good things for older characters recently Riku's certainly got some strong points in his favor as well, including Ramza once AGAIN looking just awful in this match pic, and so I have no trouble picturing him taking this well into the 60s, but I don't think he can do much beyond that. Let's go with a nice solid Ngamer Says: Riku > Ramza, 63.39% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
yikes, ramza bringin' the board vote. --- xyzzy |
That Riku picture was so bad I pity voted Ramza. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Hey, not bad Ramza. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Annnnnd, 62 at the second freeze. Gosh, do I ever know my stuff! Hey tranny, feel free to come to me for Oracle advice ahead of time from here out. I wouldn't for anyone else, but for you I promise to keep my rates... reasonable. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
From: KleenexTissue50 | #227 Better than Gilgamesh would do, for sure! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
I beg to differ ! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
man, Riku is weaksauce. he'll go up before this is over, but this is a pretty sad performance. Sora best watch out ! --- xyzzy |
Riku has been weaksauce for a while. He was closer to Siegfried than Leon back in 2k8. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
yeah, but it doesn't make too much sense that Sora is getting better every year while Riku gets worse. or maybe it does, I don't play the KH games. --- xyzzy |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
Does it make much sense that Crono stays the same or drops a little every year while Magus jumps off a cliff? --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Has Sora been getting better every year? He already got 45.5% on Megaman in 2006, the same as Auron got on Crono. Although yeah, Riku looks way weaker now than in 2006 while Sora looks about the same, probably. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Magus has been getting worse at about the same rate as Crono. he was just overrated at one point in time. --- xyzzy |
Riku has the picture to blame I think. Also don't think Ramza is quite as weak as you guys think. High fodder/low midcarder I'm sayin. Laharl rSFFed him, and they both LFFed each other, allowing Hogger to pass. (Yes I said this last year too!) --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Magus is slowly running out of cliffs to jump off! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
No, Magus has been falling much faster than Crono since 2005. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
I'd buy some overlap with Laharl, but he's not stronger than Kefka, or even close to him. --- xyzzy |
By
the same toke, Riku may never have been that strong to begin with. He
didn't really look stellar in 2007 and 2008, and might have been
overrated in 2006 due to KH2 being so recent. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
And the next match will tell us nothing as it's Wander. Laharl could put up 70%+ on Wander. Riku/Falcon should be good. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Oh
yeah and CT/Castlevania SFF exists, I came up with this in the Games
Contest and now there's like 4 matches showing it to be true oh yes
that's right. It's even stronger than silent protagonist LFF! (Crono would have won comfortably against Vincent in both 2007 and 2008 without Link and Samus in the poll, although he'd have lost anyway to Vincent in 2007 if it weren't the sprite round). --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
I
dunno. Riku's never really looked that impressive. His best performance
was that 45% on Yoshi back in 2006, but that was fresh off the heels of
Kingdom Hearts II. He never really looked good in 4-ways (Hayabusa >
Riku + Roxas was pretty bad). Sora should be fine. I don't think this
means anything for him. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
I think the question is: if Riku was heavily fueled on the new release of KH2 in 2006, why not Sora too? --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
He probably was. Don't forget how well Axel did that year too. Sora probably drops off slower than the rest because he's the main character and has a lot more exposure. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Sora's best performance was not 2006. Riku's best performance was absolutely 2006. this "2006 was the year KH characters kicked ass" is only predicated on one match and that's the Yoshi/Riku match. I've argued for years that this match was an overperformance. --- xyzzy |
From: red sox 777 | #246 Who says he didn't? He's seemed to validate it in the contests afterwards though. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
It's hard to tell where Sora has stood the past 2 years, because of all the 4-ways and matches with Squall. With Aeris and Lara: 47.13% With Sonic and Sub-Zero: 39.37% With Fox and Yoshi: 48.16% With Cloud and Mewtwo: 48.99% Sora got 56.24% on Fox in round 1 in 2008, and Yoshi got 54.45% on Fox in round 2. Using Squall/Yoshi round 1, that gives Sora 43.86% on Squall. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
