GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/2/2010 8:25:46 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #051
Varia Division: Round 1 - Match 36 – (4) Tidus vs. (13) Sub-Zero

Moltar’s Analysis

Tidus
The guy looked okay in 2008…but he ended up losing to a Cube.

Sub-Zero
Less than Zero

This is a fun match. The winner here is likely to move on to Round 3, so this is important. First, you have to point out that Sub-Zero is only here because of the vote-in poll. Most of the characters from the vote-in polls have looked like crap, and you can make excuses for the ones that have looked good (The Boss beat Nathan because he sux. Lightning did well because Sonic Team sux). That’s a point in favor of Tidus.

However, we’re talking about Tidus here, so that’s a point for Subbie.

Pointless bashing aside, Tidus did look better than Sub-Zero in 2008. Sure, he may have lost to a Cube, but he also went even with it in Round 1 and put up 38% on Mega Man in R2. Sub-Zero, on the other hand, put up 40% on Auron in R1 and 37% on him in R2. Not bad, but Tidus’s numbers look a bit better when you compare them.

This should be a close one, but Tidus has the slight-edge in just about every category. Plus DISSIDIA BOOST or whatever.

Moltar’s Bracket: Tidus > Sub-Zero

Moltar’s Prediction: Tidus: 52% - Sub-Zero: 48%



Lopen’s Analysis

Still tired from bein up all night finishing up moving so I'll be brief.

After seein DISSIDIA BOOST 4REAL and Ken (Scorpion too kinda seeing the vote in) suck ass I have a feeling we're due for an unexpected Ulti Style blowout where there would normally be debate.

Lopen's prediction:
Tidus with 57.09%



Transience’s Analysis

Okay, here it is! One of the biggest round 1 matches. The winner of this should go two rounds, and statistically they're pretty damn close.

It's difficult to make a strong argument for either guy. Tidus is the Guru favourite and for good reason. He's an RPG character from a game that's miles stronger than all the MK games combined. He was recently in Dissidia and is quite liked there. Square's had a pretty good contest so far (though the big guns have yet to go, so the jury's still out there). He's got a better picture.

Wait, what? A better picture? Yeah, I went there. Tidus is supremely recognizable while Sub-Zero doesn't have his classic ninja picture from MK2 or 3. Instead he's got a picture that, while it technically looks cool, isn't the Sub-Zero that everyone loves. Tidus always looks like a chick. People who like Tidus don't care about this. People who do care about this aren't going to vote for Tidus anyway. The picture advantage goes to Tidus.

Tidus has always been pretty love/hate and that hasn't changed eight years later. He doesn't have the full support of the FF10 fanbase thanks to his character design and his voice actor. Sub-Zero doesn't have huge fans, but, like Ryu, he's just classic. Like Ryu, you don't have to play his game in order to know and like him. In a match against the dorky Tidus, the cool Sub-Zero (no pun intended) stands out as a good option. I'm kind of worried about the picture, but I'm sticking with my original pick: Sub-Zero.

transience's prediction: Sub-Zero with 54.03%



Ngamer’s Analysis



Kleenex’s Analysis

Time to find out if DISSIDIA BOOST is real or not. I've got Sub-Zero in my bracket, and that's what I'm sticking with him here. Subby may not have been as impressive last year as he was the two before, but I just trust Tidus less. Won't be surprised if Tidus wins (I'd be surprised if it was by a lot), but I've gotta pick one.


Bracket: Sub-Zero
Favorites: Tidus
Prediction: Sub-Zero with 55.19%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/2/2010 8:26:04 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #052
Red Sox’s Analysis

One of the most debatable matches of the first round arrives! Tidus and Sub-Zero are both solid midcarders. I’ve always been a little surprised about the strength of the Mortal Kombat characters, but Sub-Zero has always been solid, beating Master Chief and putting up 40% on Auron, before putting up similar numbers in the last 2 years.

Meanwhile, Tidus has a reputation for underperforming, which I think is undeserved. He lost narrowly to Ganondorf in 2003 in a match that was perhaps the high point of his contest career. Then he beat Shadow in 2004 in a debated match, lost badly to Kirby in 2005 in a debated match, lost to Pikachu in 2007, and lost to Cube in 2008 but smashed DK (with Tails LFFing him) pretty hard. None of that signifies any choking to me.

Tidus put up 38% on Megaman last year, which is actually slightly higher than Cid just put up on MM a few days ago. If Megaman is a little stronger than Auron, that puts Tidus and Sub-Zero at around the same level. Tidus being worth 40% on Auron also makes sense looking back to past 1v1 contests. Yuna and Auron both faced Ganondorf in 2005, and Yuna was projected to get roughly 43% on Auron. Tidus and Yuna are probably fairly close, and Auron’s KH2 role probably enabled him to widen that gap somewhat.

I considered this match just about completely even before the contest, and so I took my favorite here: Tidus. Since the contest started, I like the way Tidus’s opponents from 2008 have performed: Megaman, DK, Cube, and Tails have all done well. So I think his chances have improved a little bit beyond 50%.

Prediction: Tidus with 50.88%
Upset Potential: 45%
Upper Bound: Tidus with 56.00%
Lower Bound: Sub-Zero with 55.00%



Guest’s Analysis - LeonhartFour

This is one of the biggest matches of the first round right here. The winner of this match essentially has a free pass into round three. This is also one of the biggest first round tossups. Only Alucard/Magus is more split in the Guru Contest for a first round match. Tidus is a moderate favorite, having 57.64% of the brackets. However, I get the idea that the Sub-Zero pickers are more confident in their pick than Tidus pickers are. I know that this match has me more nervous than any other. I’ve been as big of a proponent of Sub-Zero’s strength as anyone has. I’d been pushing for him to get into the contest since 2005, and I picked him to beat Master Chief in 2006 without a second thought. I always knew that he’d be stronger than Scorpion (and it surprised me that, even after how well Subby has done in every contest appearance he’s had, there were and maybe still are some people who don’t think he’s any stronger than Scorps).

To be perfectly honest with you, if I weren’t such a Tidus fanboy, I’d have probably picked Sub-Zero to win here. I think very highly of his strength, and Tidus doesn’t exactly have an illustrious contest history (although I don’t think it’s quite as bad as some people have asserted. He’s just gotten some crummy draws and faced some characters that ended up being a good deal stronger than we thought, like Kirby in 2005, Pikachu in 2007, and the Cube in 2008). However, I really do think Tidus can win. My fanboyism is always rooted in logic, no matter how twisted and stretched it may be!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/2/2010 8:26:49 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #053
People often point to Sub-Zero getting 40% on post-KHII Auron on multiple occasions, and with good reason. That’s an impressive performance, no doubt about it. He had a great first round performance against Sonic in 2007, scoring 45% on the Blue Blur, though that was back before we realized just how far the guy had fallen. However, Sub-Zero has had less than stellar performances beyond the first round in 4-ways. He got 41% on Sonic in round 2 in 2008, 37% on Auron, and let Sandbag get 42.50% on him. He got rocked by Sonic and Squall in round 3 in 2007, only getting 35% on them (Granted, that was post-Brawl announcement Sonic, but still). Now this could just be 4-way weirdness and it probably is. It’s probably more worthwhile to look at what he did in 2006, but even then, he was barely stronger than Master Chief, who’s just middle of the road in these contests. Not to take anything away from Sub-Zero, but I’m just trying to say he’s not out of Tidus’s league because Chief ain’t either, I don’t think.

Tidus is a perennial underperformer in these contests, but his performances haven’t been all bad. Yeah, he only got 42.5% on Kirby in 2005, but that was a Kirby who got 49% on a Bowser who went 50/50 with Snake (sprite Snake, but nevertheless). Yeah, he got beat by Pikachu twice in 2007, but that was a Pikachu who whipped Dante and Leon Kennedy later on in the contest, too. Tidus proved that year that he’s just a tad below Vivi, who’s just a tad below Zero, who is obviously stronger than Sub-Zero (Because Sub-Zero is below Zero, get it? Ha ha ha…ha…ha…). Anyway! I’m just saying that those performances aren’t as bad as we tend to say they were. Plus, I don’t think we’d consider Sub-Zero to be a prohibitive favorite to beat Vivi or Zero either.

Tidus did pretty well in 2008. While he lost a close one to the Cube, he beat DK (who showed he’s still about the same as he’s always been in his match with Vivi earlier this year) and Tails (who’s currently got 40% on Kratos as I write this). Yeah, he got ousted in round two pretty easily, but not before getting 37% on Mega Man. Keep in mind that Sub-Zero got 37% on Auron that same year in round two, and I think most of us would consider Mega Man/Auron a tossup.

Finally (I really shouldn’t do write-ups on characters I really like…), I think Tidus has consistently shown himself to be relatively on the same level with Ryu from Street Fighter. They were in the Dream Division together in 2005, and Tidus did about as well on Kirby as Ryu did on Bowser. Tidus and Ryu basically put up identical performances in 2008, narrowly losing to the Cube and the Block respectively before getting beaten relatively easily in round two. Ryu did manage to do noticeably better on Crono than Tidus did on Mega Man though, for what it’s worth. So what’s the point of mentioning this? Ryu is the fighting game character, almost undoubtedly the strongest character who is primarily and exclusively a fighting game character. I don’t think any of us would take Sub-Zero to beat him. I’m just saying that Sub-Zero certainly isn’t out of Tidus’s league, and he’s finally going to validate himself by getting to round three this year (hopefully)!

And if you read all that, you’re a better man than I am. tl;dr version: Tidus is underrated by a lot of people, and Sub-Zero’s within his reach. Should be a good match one way or the other.

Leonhart’s Vote: Tidus

Leonhart’s Anticipation Level: Very, very high. This is my most anticipated match in round 1

Leonhart’s Prediction: Tidus with 51.63%



Crew Consensus: Sub-Zero has a good shot, but the Crew is backing Tidus today.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/2/2010 8:31:45 AM | message detail | filter | #054
Sub-Zero wins then, yes!
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 2/2/2010 8:32:53 AM | message detail | filter | #055
They post this stuff way in advance. I might not get a chance to see the match pic before I have to send in my guest analysis...

I totally agree, Jill's doubling was a surprise.
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CB8 record through 34 matches: 31-3
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/2/2010 8:41:12 AM | message detail | filter | #056

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #054
Sub-Zero wins then, yes!


It's only 4-2, no Crew Curse!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 2/2/2010 10:19:11 AM | message detail | filter | #057
tagging
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
Dr_Football | Posted 2/2/2010 10:22:29 AM | message detail | filter | #058
I'm undefeated when the crew goes against me!



>_>
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http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/2/2010 10:50:12 AM | message detail | filter | #059
That will change in about 10 minutes!
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
Ngamer64 | Posted 2/2/2010 11:03:37 AM | message detail | filter | #060
Ngamer's Fantasical Writeup

Well now, that's got to be about the most entertaining 57% win I've seen. Roxas started out at almost 62% and had us all very impressed, given Master Chief's failures against this same franchise, but then check THIS out:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3764&type=2&seconds=300

Now granted it's pretty easy to string together good updates during the dead hours of a night match, and granted it's super easy to rally against Kingdom Hearts (almost as easy as against Halo, I'd wager!), but lowering such a heavily favored character into the mid 55s before "the kiddies woke up" still makes for a heck of a showing for TF2. Boy, I'd hate to be a Kingdom Hearts character in a debated night match after a result like this!

And now it's time for quite possibly the #1 match of Round 1, both in terms of pre-match debate and value in the bracket (since the victor is rewarded another free win next round). It was also undoubtedly the most interesting match in terms of bracket preds: when the BOP first came online Subby was a decent favorite, then a couple weeks later it had drawn to 50/50, and finally when the Guru came online Tidus had moved to a 58% favorite! And yet despite the advantage, I get the impression that hardly any of those Tidus backers are taking him with much confidence, while on the other side of the fence there are probably a good deal of Subby believers who fully expect an Ulti blowout for their man. Jeez, no wonder this one's so hyped!

Personally I'm one of those guys who's siding with Tidus, but is quite nervous about it. Here's briefly why I'm giving him the slight edge:

* Dissidia Fear. alright, so "fear" is too strong a term, but it does appear to have given some of the FF guys at least a slight boost, which should really be all Tidus needs considering how close these two have generally been

* History NOT Repeating. Kefka and Tidus have a reputation for being Square's biggest chokers, but they're 1/2 in turning those expectations on their head. FF in general has been looking strong enough this season for them to pull the sweep, IMO

* Vote In, Shmote In. every indication so far is that this season's Vote In characters didn't earn enough noms for good reason, and even in those polls Subby and Scorpion didn't exactly wow us, despite standing out from the other options like sore thumbs. the only exception to this rule so far has been... a Final Fantasy character! doesn't do much to raise Sub-Zero's stock

* The FFX Clutch Factor. sure, much of this has to do with the game drawing lucky placements, and sure it didn't work out for Yuna, but that was when going up against Final Fantasy 7. Mortal Kombat is a whole different animal, and I think the FF fans capitalize on the opportunity today

Enough talk, let's get to it! *crosses his fingers for a good one*

Ngamer Says: Tidus > Sub-Zero, 50.13%

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/2/2010 12:53:27 PM | message detail | filter | #061
Sole point leader on the Crew after today.

watch out
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Greyfeld | Posted 2/2/2010 1:03:42 PM | message detail | filter | #062
Personally, I don't think Dissidia is going to give as much of an edge to Tidus as many think it will. Kefka appears to have done well because of it (assuming that he wasn't just proving Arthas blows outside of the 4-way battles), the popularity behind him and Tidus are two completely different creatures.

Kefka finally got a hard shove into the 3D realm with Dissidia, and he looks fantastic because of it. Not only that, but his move list is scary, and he's a tough all around opponent in that game, adding to his "badass bad guy" persona.

Tidus on the other hand has always been one of the least liked protagonists in the FF franchise, because a lot of people see him as a whiner. Without a major overhaul to his appearance and personality as a character, or a straight upgrade in the "badass" department, I don't feel his popularity will increase by much, no matter how many FF spinoffs he's in.

Just my two cents. This is also my first character battle, so feel free to take my opinions with a grain of salt :P
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/2/2010 1:04:37 PM | message detail | filter | #063
No, you've pretty much hit the nail on the head. I don't think Dissidia did much of anything for Tidus.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
transience | Posted 2/2/2010 1:27:51 PM | message detail | filter | #064
aww yeah
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xyzzy
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 2/2/2010 2:18:33 PM | message detail | filter | #065
It'll be interesting to see if Dissida boosts Terra too... I hope so, since I have her advancing to round 2. *crosses fingers*
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
Lopen | Posted 2/2/2010 4:00:27 PM | message detail | filter | #066
Whoops
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/2/2010 4:20:23 PM | message detail | filter | #067

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #054
Sub-Zero wins then, yes!


woot
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/2/2010 4:23:20 PM | message detail | filter | #068
Ya can't just call it the Crew Curse when it doesn't meet the full criteria, geez
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/2/2010 9:41:26 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #069
Varia Division: Round 1 - Match 37 – (3) Phoenix Wright vs. (14) Jecht

Moltar’s Analysis

Phoenix
OBJECTION! How did Phoenix end up with a 3 seed?!

Jecht
Here’s a guy who’s weak as sin.

Remember what I said last match about being a character in the vote-in poll and how that’s a disadvantage? ‘whoops’

Anyway, Jecht was a vote-in character too, and luckily, he’s got a weak opponent! Phoenix may have looked really good in 1 match last year, but that was just one match. One match where Luigi and Bowser wrecked each other allowing Liquid, who looked like poop this year, to win. I’m not buying that Phoenix has strength because of that match when he has 3 other matches in which he looked like high fodder.

Edgeworth bombed against Snake Boss, but that doesn’t really matter. Phoenix is far stronger than his games and likely to be a low midcarder these days. He is also strong enough to potentially win this match if Jecht flops.

Speaking of Jecht, I have no idea how the guy does. Everything from FF10 that’s not a blue fin has had decent strength. Jecht probably won’t match Yuna or Rikku or Tidus, but he should be strong enough to beat Phoenix in a fairly close match.

Moltar’s Bracket: Jecht > Phoenix

Moltar’s Prediction: Phoenix: 45% - Jecht: 55%



Lopen’s Analysis

Okay okay. Check this out: "What did Phoenix Wright say to Tidus when he couldn't understand the Japanese version of FFX?" DUB, JECHT'S SON!

Yeahhhh. Probably screwed that up but the moral of the story is "I hate you, Wigs."

On the surface it seems obvious. You've got a dude from the GAME OF THE DECADE vs... well, Phoenix Wright. But then you consider that Phoenix Wright led Magus (stop laughing!) for an hour, beat Bomberman, got 43% on Gordon Freeman, and did well against Bowser and Luigi last year. After seeing all these FFX characters be duds relative to my expectations, I'm liking Phoenix Wright to win more and more. I mean, to me, Tidus and Yuna seem like ~25% on BL characters. Phoenix Wright has at least looked around the low 20s in the past. So even assuming that Phoenix Wright is only as good as he's seemed in the past, Jecht has an uphill battle here.

But Phoenix Wright seems like one of those series that will just keep getting stronger and stronger as word of mouth pushes it around. I don't think I've ever heard of anyone who doesn't like the games, so what I'm saying is the Phoenix Wright we see here will be the strongest we've seen yet. Which will be enough to squeak by Jecht. Pickin against my bracket here.

Lopen's prediction:
Phoenix Wright with 52.45%



Transience’s Analysis

By any reasonable expectation, Jecht takes this match.

FFX is way better known than Phoenix Wright is. Jecht is a likable character, is playable in Dissidia (probably not much of a factor, but I'll list it among his positives), and did pretty well in that vote-in poll. No FFX character has ever truly bombed - Sin was a gelatinous mass with no personality and still almost beat Dr. Robotnik. Jecht could be as strong as Rikku, but not any weaker than Sin. He shouldn't even be close to Sin. He's an NPC, but a very likable one.

Phoenix has looked stronger and stronger every year, but I'm pretty sure a large part of that is the fourway format. There is no way Phoenix is as strong as he's looked, and he still isn't really all that strong. He's got a pretty strong night vote, but FFX has perhaps the best night vote around so that won't be able to save him here. If Jecht is close to Rikku -- and if the vote-in poll is any indication, he is -- then Phoenix has zero chance.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/2/2010 9:41:50 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #070
If there's one thing I've learned from new FF characters in these contests, it's that the cool ones stand out no matter the situation. Vincent is optional? Doesn't matter, he still is a top 10 guy on this site. Zack has 2-3 scenes in FF7 and a PSP exclusive game? He still rocks Yuna. Jecht is cut from this same mold and he should have no trouble dispatching Phoenix.

So yeah, I'm picking Phoenix.

Why? DFF -- DR FOOTBALL FACTOR. I refuse to go against this dude until he misses a match. I also refuse to go against Phoenix Wright against a damn FF NPC. Screw you, Final Fantasy. This is Phoenix goddamn Wright.

transience's prediction: Phoenix Wright with 50.01%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Jecht > Phoenix, 56.09%



Kleenex’s Analysis

What a dilemma this match is. I've got Jecht in my bracket. I think Jecht will probably win. But I can't, in all good conscience, root against Phoenix. Phoenix has gone from a semi-joke to a character with legit trends and even ends up above the fodder line! Jecht is the unknown quantity here, so where do we peg him? Tidus would beat Phoenix, so how close is Jecht to Tidus? I'd say they're probably about even. Sure, there's always the BUT HE'S NEVER GOTTEN IN BEFORE NOW, but in the lol vote-in polls, he did about as well on Sub-Zero as Tidus did yesterday.

I feel dirty making this pick, but I can't decide if I want to be wrong or not. Should have put Phoenix against some other crappy fodder instead!


Bracket: Jecht
Favorites: Phoenix Wright
Prediction: Jecht with 51.23%



Red Sox’s Analysis

I took Phoenix Wright in my bracket, and it feels a lot like a “hope for the best” kind of pick, where I ignore reality and take a possible but unlikely upset. Phoenix Wright has as much of an advantage as anyone can get from this format, with a 12-hour night match, where his top of the line early vote will be able to used to full effect. His early vote really is top of the line- he was leading Magus, a CT character, for half an hour before ending up losing to him 57/43.

Unfortunately, Phoenix just isn’t very strong. He was nearly doubled by Bowser last year in a 4-way in which he was potentially overrated, as Geno was in the poll. His most glorious contest moment is losing to Magus 57/43. Back in 2006, he put up 42% on Gordon Freeman, which is a decent performance, but that was before Gordon boosted massively-that Gordon was around Duke Nukem’s level, placing Phoenix below bathrobe Kefka.

Jecht did well in the vote-in polls, but I think he’ll be pretty weak too. I doubt he’s worth more than 40% on Tidus, but he doesn’t have to be to win this match. I would take Frog over Jecht, and I’m not sure about whether I’d take Kefka with his old pics over Jecht or not.

Unfortunately Phoenix probably loses to both in not-so-close matches. His amazing early vote is his biggest hope here, but it only lasts a short time, and then he will fall hard. If the match is close, Phoenix will probably win, but I cannot really see Phoenix winning this one by a large margin, whereas I can easily see Jecht winning big. So, I hope I’m wrong right now, but I’m going to go against my bracket for the first time and predict:

Prediction: Jecht with 53.00%
Upset Potential: 40%
Upper Bound: Jecht with 60%
Lower Bound: Phoenix with 53%



Crew Consensus: Phoenix has some support, but Jecht is the favorite.
paulg235 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:44:12 PM | message detail | filter | #071
Damnit, I just sent in my Guest Analysis!
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:44:13 PM | message detail | filter | #072
Lopen objects, it's not unanimous, so no crew curse

Here we go, Jecht!
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:45:19 PM | message detail | filter | #073
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 9:45:21 PM | message detail | filter | #074
need some Guest up in here!
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xyzzy
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 2/2/2010 9:46:16 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #075

From: paulg235 | #071
Damnit, I just sent in my Guest Analysis!


Guest’s Analysis - paulg235

This writeup's going to be a lot more smaller than I originally tended it to be, but it's less than 2 hours when I started writing.

Anyway, now that we've got that tossup match out of the way, we have... another tossup match?

Well, it seems Jecht is the favourite, but Tidus losing to Sub-Zero doesn't give me confidence in him winning. In fact, FFX's yet to win a damn thing so far in this contest. We're pretty much relying on the "DISSIDIA boost" to give Jecht the win, here. It's seemed to have helped Cecil and Kefka, but Tidus doesn't seem affected by it. Phoenix Wright's been in three contests prior and has a 3 seed to his name which will help boost his chances. While Jecht has a (small) chance, I think people are overrating him here and he'll be closer to Sin's strength than Rikku/Tidus's, here. Phoenix Wright's good start will likely give him the win here.

Bracket: Phoenix Wright
Prediction: Phoenix Wright - 51.76%
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Roxas > Heavy (30/34)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:46:29 PM | message detail | filter | #076
paulg235 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:46:37 PM | message detail | filter | #077
Screw it, I'll just post it up here since Moltar's missed it.

Guest Analysis - PaulG235
This writeup's going to be a lot more smaller than I originally tended it to be, but it's less than 2 hours when I started writing.

Anyway, now that we've got that tossup match out of the way, we have... another tossup match?

Well, it seems Jecht is the favourite, but Tidus losing to Sub-Zero doesn't give me confidence in him winning. In fact, FFX's yet to win a damn thing so far in this contest. We're pretty much relying on the "DISSIDIA boost" to give Jecht the win, here. It's seemed to have helped Cecil and Kefka, but Tidus doesn't seem affected by it. Phoenix Wright's been in three contests prior and has a 3 seed to his name which will help boost his chances. While Jecht has a (small) chance, I think people are overrating him here and he'll be closer to Sin's strength than Rikku/Tidus's, here. Phoenix Wright's good start will likely give him the win here.

Bracket: Phoenix Wright
Prediction: Phoenix Wright - 51.76%
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 9:46:46 PM | message detail | filter | #078
crap, the Guest curse
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xyzzy
Dr_Football | Posted 2/2/2010 9:47:51 PM | message detail | filter | #079
I'm undefeated when the Guest agrees with me!!
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http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png
paulg235 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:47:56 PM | message detail | filter | #080
Damnit, Moltar. You even beat me to posting the analysis up. XD
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:47:56 PM | message detail | filter | #081
http://img250.imageshack.us/img250/3716/justasplannedbt0.jpg
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/2/2010 9:48:10 PM | message detail | filter | #082
Dr Football Factor

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:48:38 PM | message detail | filter | #083

From: Dr_Football | #079
I'm undefeated when the Guest agrees with me!!


http://cdn2.knowyourmeme.com/i/2256/original/NOT_AS_PLANNED.PNG?1242242744
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 9:52:03 PM | message detail | filter | #084
I actually think Jecht might break 60% here, but dammit Phoenix will find a way
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xyzzy
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:52:32 PM | message detail | filter | #085

From: transients | #084
I actually think Jecht might break 60% here, but dammit Phoenix will find a way


Oh this sounds familiar
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 9:52:45 PM | message detail | filter | #086
stupid Heavy rallies
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/2/2010 9:53:15 PM | message detail | filter | #087
I would take Frog over Jecht

red sox picking a Chrono Trigger character to win a match? Get outta town!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:53:26 PM | message detail | filter | #088
I've never met someone who can outsmart an Objection.
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/2/2010 9:53:52 PM | message detail | filter | #089
Let's go Phoenix. I want to see Phoenix up 300 within 5 minutes, Board 8.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 9:56:13 PM | message detail | filter | #090
if Phoenix isn't up after one update, this thing is very, very over.
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xyzzy
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 2/2/2010 10:20:52 PM | message detail | filter | #091
Is everyone forgetting that Jecht might boost due to Dissidia? He IS the most manly thing in the game. :p
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 10:34:48 PM | message detail | filter | #092
that's not saying much given how girly Dissidia is
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/2/2010 10:36:51 PM | message detail | filter | #093
Jecht's the manliest thing in any game he's in though!

But again, this is Final Fantasy, home of the bishounens!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/2/2010 10:43:15 PM | message detail | filter | #094

From: FantasyFreak999 | #091
Is everyone forgetting that Jecht might boost due to Dissidia? He IS the most manly thing in the game. :p


That's not saying much, considering his competition is mostly a bunch of teen/tween heroes, a clown, bishounen, etc.
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"Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War
transients | Posted 2/2/2010 11:01:27 PM | message detail | filter | #095
well, there goes Phoenix

nice try, Phoenix!
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 2/2/2010 11:27:20 PM | message detail | filter | #096
ha, this is just like Phoenix/Magus.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/2/2010 11:32:16 PM | message detail | filter | #097
Yessssss
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Dr_Football | Posted 2/2/2010 11:44:39 PM | message detail | filter | #098
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/2/2010 11:52:21 PM | message detail | filter | #099
*salutes*
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Shredderhart4 | Posted 2/2/2010 11:52:44 PM | message detail | filter | #100
Also...

*shreds Guest*

*shreds self*
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"