GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
LOL at Lopen being in first. Crew = joke confirmed! Really wish I had signed up for this match. Wouldn't have gone much higher than Lopen but oh well. PS am I the only one who hates it when the Guest doesn't go for the upset in the debatable matches? Come on Luis! Have faith! --- CBVIII: 24/26 - 24 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid Night Pick: Kefka Day Pick: Bowser |
I wish I had signed up as Guest for every debated match so far >_> --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png |
Dammit the crew isn't a joke I've just ascended to a higher brain pattern. You cannot match my might. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
props to Dr Football on that perfect bracket thus far. but can you write about 127 matches in two months? oh ho ho --- xyzzy |
Slowly but surely people will think of me and not think of Dr Pizza immediately --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png |
five years later and they still call me a transexual it could be worse --- xyzzy |
Btw Moltar, I'll write my L-block/HK analysis tomorrow when I wake up. Should get to you before 5 PM. --- CBVIII: 24/26 - 24 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid Night Pick: Kefka Day Pick: Bowser |
I'm tacking this one up to Kefka actually having a decent picture for once in his life. :p --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
i
faintly remember a match where the board swayed one way and was wrong
and the prediction percentage was like 70% showing the casuals did well
in that one case anyone know which match im talkign about? --- GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys! Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09 |
Crew curse is stronger than ever here. --- Shakes Fist! |
Heart Division: Round 1 - Match 28 – (4) Bowser vs. (13) Frog Moltar’s Analysis Bowser The Big Bad Bowser has got to look good going into his Round 3 match. Frog A cool theme can’t save you here, Froggy In a match between two characters who pushed Snake to his limit years ago, only one can move on. The winner here is the character that wouldn’t be killed as badly by Snake today, King Koopa. Bowser was easily the stronger character going into this Contest. Then you’ve got Magus looking like ass and suggesting that CT is even worse off than it was 2 years ago. Plus, Frog already only got 35% on Ganon in 2008, and Bowser is *CONTROVERSIAL OPINION AHEAD* a bit weaker than Ganondorf sooooooooooooooooo. Moltar’s Bracket: Bowser > Frog Moltar’s Prediction: Bowser: 63% - Frog: 37% Lopen’s Analysis Lizard vs Amphibian GRUDGE MATCH. Dude who made Snake look bad in the sprite round vs Dude who made Snake look bad in the sprite round. GRUDGE MATCH. Super Mario World vs Chrono Trigger GRUDGE MATCH Well this would've been an interesting match in say... 2005, but now we know Frog is a dirty cheater and also not very strong. Doesn't help that this is a day match and Frog's slimy skin can't take the sun's rays. Bowser's gonna stomp this guy, and stomp him well. Don't see this one being debatable outside the first 5 minutes. Take your *blares Frog theme* and STICK IT, mang! Lopen's prediction: Bowser with 60.13% Transience’s Analysis Well, Arthas laid a huge egg. Either that or Kefka is now legit. ...I'm gonna go with Arthas laying a huge egg. Today's match could be fun because Frog is involved. Who the hell knows what Frog is capable of? Winning should be out of the question - he's super outmatched here - but Frog could get like 45% and nobody would really blink. That's just how Frog is, he beats people with 50% or he loses to super strong characters with 48%. The main thing we're looking for here is comparing Sora to Bowser by using Frog and Midna. Frog was actually equal to Midna in 2007 when they were in the same eightpack together if you measure them through Scorpion. Based on that, Bowser should break 60% with ease if he wants a shot at Sora. I just don't trust Frog to follow the stats though. Yeah, it's a day match, but that just means Frog's crazy fans will vote in the day instead of the night. Bowser's also not very good in the daytime so this won't be a huge advantage for him. Bowser's been on a downswing the last couple of years, but now we're back to 1v1s and Bowser's just had probably his biggest game since we started doing contests here, so I have a bit of faith in him. I just don't trust him to blow out Frog because you just don't do that. Sure, Samus did it once. Frog ain't Samus though. That said, Magus did bomb to all holy hell, and if you can link Frog to anyone, it's Magus. They both looked great once upon a time and have been in freefall for the last five years. A smart, logical person would predict a doubling here. I'm not that confident. transience's prediction: Bowser with 61.31% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Bowser > Frog, 62.43% Kleenex’s Analysis Sorry Frog, there's no room for your shenanigans this year. Bowser is out of your league nowadays, and it won't be close enough to pull off a miracle comeback at the end of the match. Still, this should give us a bit of a better read on CT characters in general, and we'll see if Crono should be worried before he reaches Sephiroth. Boring writeup for a boring match. Bracket: Bowser Favorites: Bowser Prediction: Bowser with 68.45% |
Red Sox’s Analysis Before Kefka/Arthas, I was going to write a long, detailed, analysis of this match, full of tons of stats. After seeing Kefka/Arthas, I think I’m just going to toss all that out until I recover from the shock. Frog, this is your chance to redeem Chrono Trigger after that horrible performance Magus gave us. You can’t be outdone by Kefka! Anyway, Ganondorf beat Frog with 64% last year, but there were 3 RPG characters in the poll, and there was no picture for the first hour, in which Ganon did notably better, so that probably underrates Frog a bit. Bowser should be a fair amount weaker than Ganon, something like 55-45 perhaps, and then Frog should have boosted some from CTDS. That probably gives Frog something like 45% in this match, which I would be very happy with if Frog got. But winning would be even better. Star of the Round let’s do this, Frog! Prediction: Bowser with 55.00% Upset Potential: 10% Upper Bound: Bowser with 63.00% Lower Bound: Frog with 50.05% Crew Consensus: Bowser is going to have some Roast Frog |
Considered going with Frog with 50.05% for kicks, but didn't do it. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
and then Frog should have boosted some from CTDS Oh red sox. You keep that CT faith alive! *blares oc remix of Frog's theme* --- Yeah, you lost your virginity. Just like a homeless guy staring into the window of an office building means he got a job.- Colonel Alloy |
Lower Bound: Frog with 50.05% Never change, red sox. Never change. And no Guest? Time for me to fill in on an emergency basis! Give me a sec! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Shredderhart's Emergency Fill-in Writeup Due to an Unacceptable Failure on the Part of the Guest Clan After Sora did about as expected against Midna (I'm seeing several people say that was disappointing on Sora's part, but I don't get it. That's about what you should have expected if Mewtwo and Midna are close in strength), Bowser needs to come close to matching it in order to have a chance in their round 3 showdown. However, if Bowser actually outdoes Sora here in percentage, I won't be surprised. After all, Magus dropped an atomic bomb earlier, so it won't be that big of a deal if Frog follows suit. However, if Frog manages to break 40% here, I think Bowser's probably in trouble, depending on how high he goes. Bowser hasn't looked that great since his epic run back in 2005, but he's fresh off of Bowser's Inside Story, his first starring role in a Mario game (Seriously, how did Princess Peach get her own game before Bowser?). Sure, it's a handheld game, the Mario & Luigi RPGs aren't that popular here, and Fawful already bombed, but the game did sell well and Bowser is unbelievably awesome in it. I have to think it helps him at least a little. Leonhart's Vote: The King of Awesome, the great Bowser! Leonhart's Anticipation Level: Fairly high. It won't be an exciting match (probably, you never know with Frog), but both of these guys probably make my top 25 characters and this should give us a good idea of where Bowser stands relative to Sora. Leonhart's Prediction: Bowser Koopa with 63.80% --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
no guest again? super quick last minute guest stealing writeup! So, Frog vs. Bowzer... well, the results shouldn't shock anyone. Now just how strong is Frog? Well, nobody really knows for sure, what with his spastic results in the contest. In this contest though, I don't think he's gonna get his usual rally votes. Hopefully Bowzer can look impressive (I have Bowzer > Sora). Bowzer with 64.5% --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
You're ten minutes late, dude! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Also, CREW CURSE STRIKES AGAIN WITH ARTHAS --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Looks like I win if Frog can break 42.5%. I need a win right now; am falling behind. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Crap! Foiled again! I take so long to write these thing. lol --- "Run, run, or you'll be well done!" ~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~ |
Prediction: Arthas with 61.00% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Arthas with 66.00% Lower Bound: Arthas with 54.00% Prediction: Bowser with 55.00% Upset Potential: 10% Upper Bound: Bowser with 63.00% Lower Bound: Frog with 50.05% More.. upset potential to FROG... than Kefka? Really? --- CBVIII: 24/26 - 24 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid Night Pick: Kefka Day Pick: Bowser |
Upset potential was shown to be a joke stat on the very second day. But Sox can't take it out now! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Whoops, went a little too high! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Of
course! You can't expect me to be unbiased in CT matches. I was
seriously considering predicting Frog with 50.05% and putting upset
potential at 90%. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
well then. Frog or Midna? --- xyzzy |
Midna. She more or less vindicated her performance against Mewtwo with her match against Sora. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Email sent, Moltar. --- CBVIII: 25/27 - 25 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid Day Pick: Bowser Night Pick: L-Block |
From: transients | #326 Midna. Chrono Trigger blows. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Frog takes that Give me the guy that has actually proven himself by winning matches over Midna. That being said it means nothing for Bowser vs Sora. (Though I now think Bowser probably takes that given it's a night match) --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I'd love Bowser > Sora to happen, but don't really see it being close. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Give me the guy that has actually proven himself by winning matches over Midna. What, a match with Samus in the poll? Hey quick Axel vs. Mewtwo --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Midna's match with Mewtwo is more impressive than anything Frog has done in a while. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
I meant more 2004 and 2005 where he's actually won 1v1s. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
From: Lopen | #334 This is Midna's first 1-on-1 contest, and she didn't exactly have a winnable scenario. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Heck just look at the last two years. Frog gets 27.52% on Samus. Midna gets 25.41% on Cloud. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
I'm just sayin in a debatable match where one entrant has seen 1v1s and one hasn't, give me the one that has every time. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Midna's
25% on Cloud was in round 1, and a prime candidate for First Place
Factor. I guess Frog's 27% should be suspect for the same reason too,
although that was only the 3rd 4-way ever, and we didn't really seem to
see much FPF in 2007, presumably because it took the voters a while to
realize they didn't need to vote for their favorite always. Midna's 2007 and 2008 performances just seem so different though. Scorpion wouldn't 60-40 Mewtwo, would he? He probably wouldn't even win. What I'm hoping for is that all this means that Ganondorf fell pretty hard after TP came and the hype went away. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
No,
it really isn't. Outside of Arthas every character we've seen in 4-ways
has been pretty much the same in 1-ways. Picking Frog there has no
basis in anything. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
In
Midna's poll against Cloud in R1, she got 25%. Adding Mewtwo brought
that down to 23%. Factor in a bit of LFF and there's absolutely nothing
weird about it. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
From: Lopen | #337 So you want to take Tanner > Professor Layton? --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Hmm, she did get 23% in round 2 despite Mewtwo there. What happened to her between 2007 and 2008? --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Tanner vs Layton is debatable by the stats? --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
From: red sox 777 | #342 She got free from LFF, and probably some additional TP exposure. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
From: Lopen | #343 It could be if Layton's as overrated as Arthas was...! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
It's
not so much that Arthas laid an egg as that he wasn't really in a great
situation. Kefka may be primarily remembered for his choke jobs, but he
has occasionally shown signs of strength, and aside from a disturbing
tendency to lose to GTA characters, he hasn't really dropped matches to
complete scrubs. (Aside from the 2005 loss to Vercetti and the '08 last
place finish against Marth/Duke/Niko, his worst loss in terms of
quality of opponent was to Diablo--a contest he finished 7th in.)
Kefka's far from legit--probably doesn't even qualify as a
midcarder--but he's generally good enough to beat most fodder, which is
what Arthas is. I suspect that Kefka gets a reputation for being worse
than he actually is because he was expected to be better than he turned
out to be. We expected a midcarder, ended up with a fodder-liner, and
have exaggerated his ineptitude into portraying him as someone who is
always expected to lose. --- CB8 record through 27 matches: 24-3 Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful |
it's
not that Kefka is overhated because he's disappointed us so many times,
it's that Arthas has looked flat out better in 2007 and 2008. Kefka
didn't just beat him, he mauled him. hell, Arthas came closer to Diablo
than Kefka did and he rocked Ike, something Kefka could never do.
granted he had some help there in the form of Pikachu, but still. Kefka
lost handily to Marth. that's laying an egg. a big one. --- xyzzy |
Aw yeah, looks like another point for the Guest Clan! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Yeah Kefka edging out Arthas wouldn't have been that surprising, if weird. Kefka getting 60.6% on Arthas? Time to sound the alarms. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Would anyone take Kefka over Diablo in a rematch? --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
