GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
this
is a pretty impressive percentage for Zack... I don't think Zelda got
this vs. Yuna. that said, I don't think 2010 Yuna is close to 2006 Yuna. --- xyzzy |
It's
hard to say how much of the female bracket is legit, though I think
Yuna's performance on Zelda is legit. I don't know why Yuna would have
dropped since then though. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
I just look at the performances to tell me that. the only time Yuna looked that strong was 2006 and then never again. --- xyzzy |
A
SFF obviously exists here. Hard to judge how good she is with this. I
think she did well enough really, but apparently that isn't the
consensus. --- :> |
Yuna's only had one contest since then, and she got stuck with Game Fuel Chief who came 2000 votes away from Snake. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
fair
enough, but I still don't think she was ever that strong again. She
didn't exactly put up a good fight with that Chief, boost or not. --- xyzzy |
Considering
Chief looked better than lower tiered members of the NN that year I
don't think you can really fault Yuna too much for that. Still say that Yuna's 2k7 performance wasn't terrible. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I
dunno. I don't think this performance disagrees too much with what
we've seen from Yuna the past two contests. I guess we'll just have to
wait and see what Zack does against Mega Man. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
yeah, agreed. if Zack breaks 45% then we'll know he's just legit. at the very least, he has to outdo Cid. what a bomb. --- xyzzy |
Setting
Yuna slightly below Tidus and comparing Cid to 2k4 Tidus doesn't
exactly fill me with confidence that Zack will outdo Cid. Potentially flawed way to look at it to be sure but I'm just sayin Zack getting lower than Cid isn't necessarily terrible for Yuna. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Zack
doing worse than Cid would be awful for Yuna. It means she's way weaker
than Tidus when she's looked like about his equal the last few years. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Zack
doing worse than Cid would either mean that Zack are Yuna are very
surprisingly weak or Megaman has boosted back up to 2004 levels and is
going to give Mario a good fight. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Not to mention, it'd make her way weaker than Rikku. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
From: red sox 777 | #162 Yeah, but even at 2004 levels, you get Cid >= Tidus, which makes Yuna look bad. Heck, that makes Zack look bad. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Well Cid did about 2-3% better on Mega Man anyway so Zack has some breathing room there. Though truth be told I don't know how much better a 57-43 looks on the same opponent off hand. I'd assume it wouldn't be that much worse? Also who knows about 2k4 Mega Man vs 2k10 Mega Man. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Zack
should outdo Cid easily. Never believed that Cid was even close to his
level, and after that bad show against Mega Man, there's not much
reason to believe he is. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
MOLTAAAAAAAARwhere are you --- Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire. |
From: LeonhartFour | #136 Sorry Master Shredder, but weren't you backing Yuna? At least i got us a point in the Prediction Challenge. --- "Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War |
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 23 – (7) Ryu Hayabusa vs. (10) Crash Bandicoot Moltar’s Analysis Ryu H. The Ninja himself returns. This time, he’s far away from Snake! Crash Really?! And back to crap matches. Only thing to watch for here is how well Ryu H. does. In 2008, he pulled the upset on Zero, but got shut down for the second year in a row by Snake. This year, he’s looking to upset Mr. Xbox himself, Master Chief (providing he doesn’t suck it up). A strong performance here should build up his credibility for the upset. Moltar’s Bracket: Ryu H. > Crash Moltar’s Prediction: Ryu H.: 70% - Crash: 30% Lopen’s Analysis Bandicoot is a washed up never was. Dude ain't got no chance to win or even look respectable against Da Zero Slayah. Only thing worth watching here is the combo count. Can Hayabusa rack up a 30000 vote combo? A 40000 vote combo? What? Of course hits and votes are the same thing. Lopen's prediction Hayabusa with a 35000 vote combo (Aka 76.06%) Transience’s Analysis Ryu Hayabusa is one of our rising stars. He isn't at Dante or Kratos level, but he's really not that far behind. He's impressed the last two years before getting stuck with Solid Snake and bombing to all hell. Crash Bandicoot is.. well, he's been better than expected the last two years, but he's still weak. I think Crash is moving to that stage where he's kind of nostalgic for a lot of people due to being an ex-mascot. That will win him some sympathy votes, but it won't be enough to topple a ninja. transience's prediction: Ryu Hayabusa with 68.11% Ngamer’s Analysis Fantastical writeup coming soon! Ngamer Says: Ryu H. > Crash, 69.76% Kleenex’s Analysis Time to play How Much Does Crash Suck. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3252 Well, not as much as Raz, at least. In any event, Hayabusa is waaaaaay out of Crash's league here, and this match is probably gonna be pretty ugly. Crash hasn't been relevant in years, and even when he was relevant no one cared about him! http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=20 I mean, come on. Time for people to stop nominating this dude. Bracket: Ryu Hayabusa Favorites: Crash (what?) Prediction: Ryu Hayabusa with 70.09% Red Sox’s Analysis This match is an easy blowout for Ryu, but the question is whether he’ll perform well enough to beat Master Chief last round. Hayabusa beat Zero last year, so I think he can. Zero may not be a near-elite anymore, as he was in 2003 and 2004 when he even finished above a Noble Niner in the x-stats, but he’s still a solid upper midcarder. Beating him is more impressive than anything Master Chief has ever done outside of that singular 2007 run, fueled by Halo 3 hype. Meanwhile Crash is weak. Master Chief can’t blow anyone out due to antivotes, but he blew out Crash 70-30 back in 2004. In the more recent 4-way contests, Crash got 40% on Magus and 24% on Samus- but in both cases they probably underperformed due to being the obvious favorite for first place. Chief got 70.72% in 2004, so you could say that’s the mark to beat. I think Ryu probably needs more than that in reality to beat MC next round, because Crash should be weaker than in 2004, and MC may be a bit stronger, but Hayabusa is up to the task of getting more. The 4-way stats don’t really support a blowout with 75% like I’m predicting, but I think Crash has become increasingly irrelevant and should be far below his 2004 levels now. I’m just feeling a landslide win here. Prediction: Ryu Hayabusa with 75.00% Upset Potential: 0% Upper Bound: Ryu Hayabusa with 80.00% Lower Bound: Ryu Hayabusa with 68.00% |
Guest’s Analysis - Shoenin_Kakashi ZackFAQS indeed, Anyways, now in this nocturnal darkness of the night(or morning for you crazy lurches), we have Slayer of Zero(;_;) and Crash Bandicoot. This seems pretty simple and shut, and Hayabusa got a Ninja Gaiden pic, so people recognize him(instead of that DoA pic that made him look face punch-able)Crash has, unfortunately seen far better days. Remember the Crash Bandicoot commercials? Yeah they were awesome. Crash contest wise: Not awesome. He hasn’t had a good or recognizable game in god knows when. Hayabusa has had ports that kicks peoples asses(and emasculating them), and been in games where people watch half naked girls kick each other’s asses. Clearly a buff. Anyways, ROFLstomp. Ryu has no reason to go down much if at all, Crash has every reason to go down even more than before. I don’t think well be seeing a 80-20 thing here, but it’ll still be in the 70’s. Crash is weak, but I don’t think Ryu is strong enough. Lord Hayabusa with 73.44% Btw I think Ryu is a sexist <_< Crew Consensus: Ryu uses his skills to easily get past Crash |
From: Chaotic Mind | #168 Yes, but I demand accuracy! Look at Shoe, he's got the stuff! --- The Guest Clan: Taking over the Crew one analysis at a time. Tonight I dine on Guru soup. |
do I really have the lowest Hayabusa pick? what? I guess I have more Crash respect than others. --- xyzzy |
Wow
my prediction is almost 3% lower than the lowest. Did you guys not see
him get 24% on Samus, even if you adjust him via Nightmare in round 2
that's still 22%. If Hayabusa gets 70% that almost suggests him being
just a step lower than the near elites. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 15/20 - Today's Winners: Mega Man and Yuna |
People are looking at Chief/Crash in 2004. I agree that Crash looked better in 4-ways though, for whatever the reason. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
4 way stats "not worth a dime" *looks at today's match NOT A DIME. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
How 'bout a nickel? --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
From: charmander6000 | #173 Not going to lie, I didn't even remember this happening until after I posted the write-ups. My Oracle pick is a bit lower because of it --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Ryu H. > Crash (20/22) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Crew Predictions - 18/22 What Happened: Mega Man kills Cid, Zack cleanly beats Yuna Why it Happened: So it looks like not everything from FF7 is really strong! Cid definitely isn't on the same level as Vincent or Tifa or even Aerith. I guess it could also mean that Mega Man is stronger this year, but the former is more likely. Also, Zack is legit. Yuna managed to look good in defeat though. What will Happen: MM/Zack should go how we thought MM/Cid would go. Crew Prediction Challenge - Hmmm Moltar - 20 Kleenex - 19 Lopen - 18 Ngamer - 18 Tran - 18 Red Sox - 18 Guest - 16 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Lopen gets the point for MM. Kleenex gets the point for Zack. Moltar - 4.5 Lopen - 4 Kleenex - 3 Ngamer - 3 Red Sox - 2.5 Guest - 2 (Bio: 1, CM: 1) Tran - 2 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Ryu H. > Crash (20/22) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Crew stats startin' to look good. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
Without reviewing these "early" results... Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup Seems like the general consensus has pretty much hit the nail on the head regarding yesterday's result. Yuna's still got some decent Tidus-level strength, but when it comes to Final Fantasy SFF you never bet against FF7 unless there was a sizable gap between the two characters to start (think Squall > Aerith). All of which I more or less expected, while at the same time hoping that '08 Zack was mostly smoke and mirrors. Well, turns out he wasn't! Mr. Fair seems to be legitimately in that Tifa range (I'm thinking a little back of her and with a small gap up to Vincent), and so I again agree with the consensus in that he'll have no trouble improving on Cid's showing against Mega Man next round, but that he likewise has no shot at actually turning that into an upset. Kind of nice when we can all agree like this. I think we'd also all be in agreement that tonight's battle has "dud" written all over it. Seriously now, who keeps bringing 2002-era flops like Crash back into the bracket? At least Lara Croft still has TJF- what does this Bandicoot have going for him? Nostalgia for males born specifically in 1990, and no other years? That must be it. Anyways my point is that he REALLY need to go away, and I have faith in Ryu's ability to deliver a blowout of such humiliating proportions that Crash will be too embarrassed to ever show his face 'round these parts again. If you think about it, Hayabusa's almost custom-built to deliver that kind of knock out punch. The guy always looks like a monster in R1 before running into someone who can sap his casual/badass appeal and going out with a whimper. Tonight he's sporting probably his coolest, most ninjafied match pic ever, which bodes especially well since Crash looks like total garbage as usual. Plus it's not as though Ryu had faded from the public eye- he keeps coming out with another new game every two months. Either that or he's releasing the SAME games, but with "Sigma" and "Black" and "Hyper Fighting Edition" tacked on the back. I guess to be fair, Crash has also been doing that since '99, but he's been using "Nitro" and "Tag Team" and "Bash" and "Boom Bang!", which isn't nearly as cool. Go get him Ryu! Ngamer Says: Ryu H. > Crash, 69.76% --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 24 – (2) Master Chief vs. (15) Spy Moltar’s Analysis Chief Oh Chief…you just can’t count on this guy for anything. Spy Should disguise himself as Link Barring a massive choke or Steam rally, this match shouldn’t be any problem for Chief. Spy doesn’t look to be very strong, as he was a good distance behind Pika/Ike/Arthas in 2008. Chief didn’t look great himself, but I’ll take a close loss to Dante over whatever Spy has done. Can’t call Chief a lock here though because…nothing is sure when he’s around. Also day match so GAME FUEL is in full effect. Moltar’s Bracket: Chief > Spy Moltar’s Prediction: Chief: 60% - Spy: 40% Lopen’s Analysis You'd think a spy would have the sense to know to attack Chief at night. Makes me think that either this spy is incompetent or that it was Master Chief who got the jump on him. Now, as anyone who has played Stratego knows, getting the jump on the spy spells instant death for it. So Master Chief is gonna put up huge numbers here. Not cause spy is incompetent, no no, because Chief is gonna look like a NNer without any night vote to bring him down. MAKE YO TIME, MEGS. Lopen's prediction: Master Chief with 79.07% Transience’s Analysis Ahh, Master Chief. Who knows what version of you will show up? My money is on the crappy one. We're back to 1v1, which means he'll probably do poorly. He's been on a clear downslope the last couple of years and I see no reason to expect anything else. Chief really isn't as strong as people seem to think he is, and 1v1 will probably make him look worse. Spy should probably get a nice boost from the awesome Meet the Spy video that came out over the past year, but really, it's all about being Not Master Chief. I think Spy impresses here and all the Chief > Ryu pickers get a little scared after the bomb Chief lays here. He only got like 60% on Kain Highwind. I guess Cecil did well for himself this year against Knuckles, but... Kain Highwind! Kain Highwind! oh and don't listen to Lopen when he picks Chief with like 117% transience's prediction: Master Chief with 59.01% Kleenex’s Analysis Time for Chief to show us what he's learned the past two years. Hopefully the days of jobbing to the likes of Sub-Zero are behind us, but when you're talking about someone like Chief you can never be too sure. Luckily, Spy didn't exectly look like the paragon of strength in his one match last year, and I don't see any particular reason for that to change. Chief should be strong enough to put this guy away. Still, in typical Chief fashion, I'm sure he'll put up some embarassing percentage and probably be the favorite to lose to Hayabusa next round. That's just how Chief rolls. Bracket: Master Chief Favorites: Master Chief Prediction: Master Chief with 61.33% |
Red Sox’s Analysis Master Chief blasts apart a pathetically weak character like Spy, right? Not so fast. First off, Master Chief has a very hard time blowing people out, due to the anti-votes he gets. Second, Master Chief just isn’t that strong- he’s been the rough equal of people like Felix, Frog, Donkey Kong, and Sub-Zero- none stronger than a midcarder. Third, Spy has a huge picture advantage today- it’s our most entertaining picture of the contest so far, and it shows Spy with a won fight. Fourth, Spy’s embarrassing first round defeat last year (36% on Arthas) can be blamed on Last Place Factor. Master Chief does have the day vote going for him, but other than that, everything is lined up for a large underperformance on his part. Prediction: Master Chief with 62.00% Upset Potential: 5% Upper Bound: Master Chief with 72.00% Lower Bound: Master Chief with 52.00% Crew Consensus: Chief should have this match, but…you can never trust Chief. |
i love you lopen --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
I had the highest pick other than Lopen? And here I thought I was picking a really low number for Chief. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
From: red sox 777 | #184 Apparently people here consider Arthas >> Master Chief. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
No Guest? Unacceptable! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
seriously, I went high on Hayabusa, what the hell was wrong with you guys lol Lopen --- xyzzy |
Man what is this. *sulks --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Looks like another victory for me ! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
oh and don't listen to Lopen when he picks Chief with like 117% Best ever. MANNNN --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Haha. That gif is awesome goddammit no wonder he's doing so bad "too drunk to finish the fight" --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Yeah,
there have been far too many with no guest... I suppose I ought to
start preparing analyses just in case I need to step in, although it's
too late to save Master Chief-Spy from being without a guest... |
No Chief, stop going up you're going to let redsox win !! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I've got a better chance than winning than you at this point Kleenex just give it up --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
LOL Chief ASV --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
remember, folks, Chief will beat Hayabusa thanks to his beastly ASV! --- xyzzy |
No Chief, stop going down you're going to let Moltar win !! --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
I was going to put up new Guest sign-ups today but I'm lazy so I'll just say that they're going up tomorrow night --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Ryu H. > Crash (20/22) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Can I go ahead and claim Tidus/Sub-Zero? Pleeeeeeeeease? --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |