GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 11:25:25 AM | message detail | filter | #101
Or else, maybe you're only boosted if assigned a pic from Dissidia, which I'm assuming this was not.

Actually, it was. Zidane's actually realistically proportioned in that pic.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/25/2010 11:57:18 AM | message detail | filter | #102
Ike lettin' me down.
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FantasyFreak999 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:29:57 PM | message detail | filter | #103
Wow, I might actually get a point! lol
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
transience | Posted 1/25/2010 1:02:37 PM | message detail | filter | #104
argh, I went lower with Ike but got scared because it's goddamn Prinny

Prinny > Laharl I called it
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xyzzy
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 1/25/2010 1:16:37 PM | message detail | filter | #105
That pic was from Dissidia someone just got a really bad looking CG scrrencap
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http://i261.photobucket.com/albums/ii49/superangelo128/akariwalk.jpg
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/25/2010 1:46:08 PM | message detail | filter | #106
Ah okay. Well I'm sure Kefka's will be a bigger improvement at least.

Darn it Prinny! Vastly underestimated this PENGUIN POWER.

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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 1/25/2010 2:44:31 PM | message detail | filter | #107
Lopen | Posted 1/25/2010 7:04:27 PM | message detail | filter | #108
Shredderhart4 best ever.

Also 'lol Ike'
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transients | Posted 1/25/2010 7:14:48 PM | message detail | filter | #109
so, Prinny or Claptrap?

what a contest
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 9:19:55 PM | message detail | filter | #110

From: transients | #109
so, Prinny or Claptrap?

what a contest




Uhhhh, Prinny?
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
transients | Posted 1/25/2010 9:54:15 PM | message detail | filter | #111
I woulda said Claptrap pre-contest. Borderlands is, at the very least, more popular than Disgaea.
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xyzzy
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/25/2010 9:55:37 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #112
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 22 – (3) Mega Man vs. (14) Cid Highwind

Moltar’s Analysis

Mega Man
“At least I don’t look as bad as Sonic these days.”

Cid
“Man, I wish I could have faced Sonic instead.”

Hey it’s a Noble Niner. Hey it’s a 14-seed. Mega Man wins easily yawwwwwww-

Wait…Mega Man? And he’s facing…a FF7 character? Cid? Hmm, this could actually be interesting! Mega’s a character who has, like just about half the field, gotten weaker over the years. 2008 wasn’t a great year for the Blue Bomber, as he was taken down by a Cube (yeah yeah Zero was in the poll too I know). Still, MM (Mega Man) is definitely on the weak end of the NN (Noble Nine), and many near-elites have a very good shot at taking him out. Hell, Sora broke 45% on him in 2006. Who knows what Vincent/Ganon/Squall could do to him today?

While Cid is a newcomer, he’s got the FF7 name attached to him. Everything FF7 looks good in these contests. If he’s at Vincent level, he can outright win this match. However, I don’t believe he’ll be that high. During the vote-in poll, he matched what Aerith did. If you put Cid there, he’ll get close to Mega Man, but it won’t be enough.

Summary: Mega Man should win this, but the margin of victory will be slim. If Cid is as strong as the Tifa’s and Aerith’s of FF7 land, then he’s looking to break 40% and does have a good shot at breaking 45%. If he can hang with Vincent, then watch out Mega Man!

Moltar’s Bracket: Mega Man > Cid

Moltar’s Prediction: MM: 56% - Cid: 44%



Lopen’s Analysis

Cid Highwind I'm not too sure on. I don't really see him being on the level of the Vincents and Tifas (who would arguably still be beaten by Mega Man pretty easily regardless) of the world. He's probably got some decent strength in him, but I think today (and tomorrow) is when we'll see that FFVII is indeed not infallable.

I dunno, I guess I could look up some favorite FF7 character polls, but I'm pretty sure Cid typically placed the highest of the people we haven't seen in the contest, but decisively below all of them (except Aeris). Perhaps my memory is off on that.

Anyway, it's an interesting match, but not one there is much to say on. Mega Man's NOBLE NINE, and unless you think Cid's on the level of Vincent or Mega Man's dropped again, Mega Man should win easily. Not to say this is impossible, but it's not something I'm banking on. I'm thinking Cid does about as well as Tidus did back in the day. Tidus would probably beat Cid. AGH STOP WITH THE FRUIT OUCH.

Lopen's prediction:
Mega Man with 63.09%



Transience’s Analysis

This here is a dangerous match. If Cid were a more known quantity -- say, select other FF7 characters -- this match would get a LOT of talk. We're talking about the most beloved name in the Final Fantasy series, and a guy that's pretty popular on his own, against Mega Man, a guy that's been on the downswing for the last five years. It's a classic trap match.

I don't believe in Cid though, not like I do Tifa or Vincent. There's two ways to look at side characters from FF7:

1.) there's a clear hierarchy; Tifa and Vincent at the top, Aeris in the middle, and guys like Cid or Red XIII at the bottom.
2.) any FF7 character would be able to put up Aeris numbers.

I think that 2 makes a lot of sense, weirdly enough. Zack looks to be at Aeris's level if not higher and we're talking about a NPC with a PSP exclusive spinoff game. That's not exactly the best pedigree for a contest juggernaut, but Zack looks pretty good despite this.

We'll get to him tomorrow though.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/25/2010 9:56:02 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #113
Cid's only contest performance was that vote-in poll where, despite never making a character battle and being more of a fan-favourite than Aeris, he still lost to her. That doesn't inspire a lot of hope, and you need a lot of believe when you're talking about picking an unknown over a Noble Nine guy. Cid definitely doesn't inspire confidence. If this were Sonic I would think long and hard about it, but Mega Man hasn't shown that pathetic level that Sonic's slipped to recently. He's close, but he's not QUITE there yet.. so I'll feel safe picking Mega Man.

transience's prediction: Mega Man with 56.11%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Mega Man > Cid, 57.11%



Kleenex’s Analysis

If there's any match I'm really upset about in the bracket, it's this one. There's plenty other places in this bracket where Cid could have really messed some guys up. Hell, even putting him against Sonic could have caused some craziness. Cid's really wasted here, and it's kinda disappointing. Still, Cid is an FF7 character, and as we all know, being from FF7 guarantees you upper-midcarder status at least. Unless you're put against Cloud first round. I mean, let's not mince words here, Zolom totally got screwed.

Anyway, Cid probably puts up pretty solid numbers against Mega Man in this match. Could even give him a scare for all we know, Mega Man didn't exactly look impressive last year. Doubt he's on Sonic levels though, at the very least Mega Man has MM9 and more MM10 coming up! So yeah, summary: Mega Man wins, Cid does well, but is ultimately wasted on this match. Doubt we ever see Cid show up again because of this, but oh well.


Bracket: Mega Man
Favorites: Mega Man
Prediction: Mega Man with 57.77%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Our 4th Noble Niner steps up to the plate to defend the Noble Nine against the first threat to it of the year. Cid is an FFVII character, and it seems merely being a likable and important character in that game is sufficient to make you a high midcarder or even a near-elite. As an unknown, Cid could potentially be as strong as Vincent or weaker than Aeris, although both of those are unlikely. The vote-in poll suggests that Cid is about equal to Aeris, although it isn’t really reliable, and my guess based on intuition alone is that he is a step above Aeris and below Tifa. Megaman has been one of the 3 vulnerable members of the Noble Nine since 2006: however, he has not had to face any near-elite challenger since Sora in 2006, and has never had to faced the stronger near-elites like Vincent and Squall. As of 2008, Megaman and Crono were probably quite close, with Sonic being by far the most vulnerable member of the Noble Nine. Megaman and Crono were probably also very close to the top members of the near-elite, namely Vincent and Squall. As such, the Blue Bomber should be able to handle Cid without too much trouble here.

Nonetheless, don’t be surprised if Cid gives him a scare, or even if he wins. As a newcomer, Cid inherently has a good sized range, and when you add that to year-over-year variation and how Megaman and Vincent looked like equals in 2008, the upset is very far from being out of the realm of possibility here.

Prediction: Megaman with 54.50%
Upset Potential: 20%
Upper Bound: Megaman with 61%
Lower Bound: Cid with 52%



Guest’s Analysis - Xcarvenger

ohh a fallen icon versus an FF7 character. such an exciting setup!

Too bad no one likes Cid. He may be a badass and has the best character theme ever, but he lost to Aerith in that vote-in poll, and losing to Aerith who almost lost to Lara Croft once upon a time isn't exactly such an encouraging precedent for our good ol' Cid !
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/25/2010 9:56:50 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #114
Well, what I was basically saying is that Cid is kinda low on the FF7 totem pole. Sure he'll get the minimum 24% FF7 votes in any poll no matter what, but he ain't really as well-known as an optional character from said game. In fact, we needed a huge NRT rally from the board to push him into... well NOT the contest, but just into the vote-in poll! Pretty sure he'll miss the contest without these polls too... I am a firm believer that there are quite a few people out there (around 50 maybe including yours truly this year ^_~) that would always nominate ALL FF7 playable characters into the contest (plus Seph and recently Zack minus Cait Sith because no one likes Cait Sith), and any big board rally like what Cid got would have been enough to push any FF7 PC into the contest assuming no character limit from a game (maybe not Barret though because we are on RacistFAQs - I mean he's not even in the database!)

ANYWAY... both best times are during the night, except Mega Man stops being useful after 3 hours because the Europe hates Mega Man and kinda loves their FFs (case in point: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3284&region=EUR). When the Europe votes kick in high gear (aka "Europe ASV" which is from 4AM till around the BSV), Cid will go about even with Mega Man with Mega Man having a slight advantage in the Morning Vote due to FF7 Anti-Votes from Americans. But I will make a guarantee here that Cid WILL win the 4th hour easily!

So let's see here: 24% for FF7 THA BEST!!1!! + 10% for falling icon + 10% for Europe vote + 2% Asia vote + 2% Highwind factor + 2% badass factor + 1% Square boostTM - 3% bracket votes - 1.5% pic factor - 1% Noble Nine factor - 1% top option factor

And we end up with... Mega Man with 54.5%

That doesn't make sense? Fine! I will use LOL X-stats from 2007 then. Mega Man is expected to get 63.72% on Aerith, but Mega Man is getting weaker as the 2008 Contest indicated and he has to look forward to that dreaded Europe votes, so 55%-60% range would be most likely unless MM has fallen further than anticipated (which I actually anticipated tbqh). Coupled this with FF7 board vote which is the worst thing ever (CATS would have beaten Cloud during this time!), if Mega Man does not have over 60% by the first freeze, he is in HUUUUGE trouble~



Crew Consensus: Mega Man better watch out, because Cid will probably do well here.
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/25/2010 10:28:07 PM | message detail | filter | #115
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup

Oh, what the HECK, Prinny! Too bad Ike's going to be run into the ground by Mario later on; set him up against Seph or something instead and our little Guru choice would end up looking mighty fine in the final stats. Just based on the number you'd think I'd be highly disappointed in Ike, but strangely enough I'm not. Seems to me I nailed yesterday's writeup in terms of correctly pegging Ike and Disgaea, but badly underestimated the cute penguin vote. To compensate I'm going to predict that the CPV is so enormous that Prinny would knock out Laharl head to head without breaking a sweat and kawaii his way past Claptrap even more easily- so I'm sticking with Ike for R2. (Though turn that into a Night Match and I'll admit I'd be nervous!)

After staggering through an unprecedented 4 dull matchups in a row, I'm betting the '10 Contest regains its sea legs tonight in a big way. By now everyone knows that (in 1v1s) the Noble Nine is 119-0 lifetime against outside competition, but what's equally impressive in my book is how they've only even been brought under 55% nine times. Will tonight be #10? I'd have said "no" and "you're crazy" and "get away from me you crazy person" if you'd asked me two weeks ago. But now, even a longtime MM diehard like myself has to admit that his opponent has a number of things working in his favor. To wit:

* we tried to downplay Vincent's impact because he's an optional character and no one played his spinoff game; we were wrong. we tried to downplay Zack's impact because he's not a party member and no one played his spinoff; we were wrong. now we're trying to downplay Cid, and at least he doesn't have his own spinoff, but he DOES have...

* "the Cid factor." part of the reason we rallied him was in the hopes of just seeing "Cid (Final Fantasy)", and although it looks like the poll text will read Highwind, he's been blessed with plain old "Cid" in the pic itself, so the Factor is back on!

* MM and Sonic have been joined at the hip in the minds of many since their 50/50 match in '05. they've surely moved apart some since then, but even so, if the Blue Blur can't even manage 64% against an FF sidecharacter with a cool design whose game 3% of site has played, what are the chances the Blue Bomber can put up 60+ on an FF sidecharacter with a cool design whose game 70% of the site has played?

* it shocks me everytime I see it: how on EARTH did MM only manage 54% on Sora? (part of that is my massive dislike/constant underestimation of Sora, but still) and that was nearly 3.5 hours ago now... can we really expect him not to have dropped somewhat in that time?

* the dreaded Nintendo Night Vote! actually I don't think Mega Man needs to dread it quite so much as some others (like Sonic); at least he'll probably still get out to a strong start with the Power Hour (like Kirby). unfortunately it's going to get brutal from there out- Asia is equally pro-FF7/X and anti-MM/Sonic, but Europe at least still has a soft spot for Sonic whereas they've turned their backs on MM entirely

And yet despite all that doom and gloom, I'm still trusting the Noble Nine to have a certain mystique and "clutch factor" that will keep my main man out of danger. Not entirely sure what I'm basing that on, but oh well! I'm sticking with a conservative

Ngamer Says: Mega Man > Cid, 57.11%

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Lopen | Posted 1/25/2010 10:38:46 PM | message detail | filter | #116
So just now actually read the write-ups for the last few days.

Just wanna say:

All Disgaea fans are Prinny fans

I don't care for them and none of my Disgaea playin friends (we're a cult, man) give a crap either. I'm a bit skeptical. I ain't never really heard of any Prinny love before this contest-- though I suppose that could change if I ever went to a Disgaea board.

I figured that would be the case for Laharl more than a prinny.
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AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/25/2010 10:40:17 PM | message detail | filter | #117
Toss-up between Lopen and Ngamer today. I'm expecting MM at ~60%.
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~AK~ // Merc
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 10:51:12 PM | message detail | filter | #118
As the resident Tidus fanboy, I can safely say I'd never pick Tidus to beat Cid.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 10:52:45 PM | message detail | filter | #119
and that was nearly 3.5 hours ago now

Man, that's a long 3.5 hours. Feels more like 3.5 years to me!
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Lopen | Posted 1/25/2010 10:54:42 PM | message detail | filter | #120
Psh. Maybe you should sit down and drink your goddamn "second in command of the Tidus fanboy legion" tea then.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/25/2010 10:55:14 PM | message detail | filter | #121
Time drags when you're doing evil.

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Lopen | Posted 1/25/2010 11:06:59 PM | message detail | filter | #122
Well, assuming this doesn't turn around in a big way in an update

One more...

for the good guy!

(Where's your fruit now)
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 11:16:03 PM | message detail | filter | #123
^5 Lopen

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Lopen | Posted 1/25/2010 11:18:53 PM | message detail | filter | #124
Thank you, thank you

By tomorrow I shall have first place in both accuracy and prediction rankings

Be very afraid (hail missh Yuna)
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 11:19:26 PM | message detail | filter | #125
Well, as long as this makes Yuna > Zack look good, I can live with this result!

Stay away from the Summoner, Zack!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/25/2010 11:22:18 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #126
Crew Predictions - 16/20

What Happened: Boss killed Miles, Zidane beat a box. Ike let some Prinny get 37.5%

Why it Happened: Miles is weak so Boss killed him. Zidane is weak so he can't blow out fodder. Ike isn't as strong as we thought (or Prinny is actually decent).

What will Happen: Watch out Mario. Also Zidane/Ike is shaping up to be a good one.



Crew Prediction Challenge - Easy points

Moltar - 18
Lopen - 17
Kleenex - 17
Ngamer - 17
Tran - 16
Red Sox - 16
Guest - 14



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar gets the point for BB and Zidane, Tran gets the point for Ike

Moltar - 4.5
Ngamer - 3
Lopen - 3
Red Sox - 2.5
Guest - 2 (Bio: 1, CM: 1)
Kleenex - 2
Tran - 2
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Moltar Status: Bracket: MM > Cid (18/20)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
transience | Posted 1/26/2010 5:54:57 AM | message detail | filter | #127
wow, Cid bombed today! either that or Mega Man came to play this year. Mega Man only got 70% on Axel so Cid looks like he's pretty mediocre. I don't think this means anything for Yuna/Zack tomorrow though.

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xyzzy
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/26/2010 8:34:30 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #128
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 22 – (6) Zack Fair vs. (11) Yuna

Moltar’s Analysis

Zack
Black-Haired Cloud is back, baby!

Yuna
Well at least you aren’t as screwed as Rikku was…

This is a good match on paper. It would have been a good Round 2 match, but oh well. Having it Round 1 makes it tougher to call since we haven’t seen them in action yet. All we’ve got is 2008 data and hints from one earlier 2010 match. In 2008, Zack…well Zack pretty much coasted his way to Round 4 and nearly beat an SFFed-hammered Mario. Going on that alone, Zack easily wins here.

The problem is that it’s kind of hard to put Zack that high. He gets 58% on Wario Round 1, which I’d easily take Yuna to do. However, this could be explained by Cecil’s presence. We saw a few days ago that he can hang with Knuckles, who’s still likely to be a solid midcarder, these days. If Cecil was hurting Zack, then the 30% not once, but twice, he pulled on Link seems a bit more reasonable. I definitely wouldn’t see Yuna getting that much, and if he really is that strong, then he should have no problem here.

Yuna’s got her match with Zelda…and that’s about it. She’s decent, but Zack looks to be a clear step ahead. The key word there is looks. If Zack really is as strong as 2008 implied, he should win this. If he overperformed and got overrated thanks to Link and all that Nintendo SFF, then Yuna has a real shot.

Moltar’s Bracket: Zack > Yuna

Moltar’s Prediction: Zack: 56% - Yuna: 44%



Lopen’s Analysis

Tough match. On the one hand, you've got Zack Fair who looked better than anything Yuna has ever done last year. Whoo beatin MMX. On the other hand, you could say Zack's performances were either potentially tainted or just not impressive. I mean, the way I see it, outside the first round the guy only managed 23% tops. I know some of you out there are like "don't discard 4 way results" but I haven't really seen much evidence either way at this point, and when you're hyping someone as a powerhouse because of 18-23% rather than straight up wins, I can't really agree with it.

Let's discard that last round for a moment, no MMX victory... that means the strongest dude he beat out was Altair pre AC2. Not really that great. And it wasn't all that decisive either. Now his percentage on Link looked nice, but I would advise against taking straight up percentages against Link to mean much lest you overrate an entire division-- *COUGH MAGUS 2K3 COUGH*

That 23% seems to line up pretty well with numbers I'd expect from the PSP fanbase, and I think he'll be hard pressed in this match to match up with Yuna, whose game really dwarfs his in terms of exposure. He might rSFF her with the Crisis Core fanbase, but I'm not sold Zack is legit enough to win this right now, especially considering that any residual fans he has from the FF7 flashback I have to believe will flock to Yunie here.

Lopen's prediction:
Yuna with 56.10%



Transience’s Analysis

Wow, Cid bombed. I guess we should have taken the vote-in poll seriously. Actually, that's twice that those have come true -- Liquid Snake kinda bombed as well.

Zack/Yuna is a fascinating match. It's a character who's loved vs. a character who's well-known. The loved character is, ironically, the one from FF7: Zack has a very strong fanbase that will support him over Yuna for sure. He's just not as well-known as Yuna is; will people actually vote for him over a well-known main character like Yuna based on a couple of scenes in FF7? It stands to reason that the people that will be voting for Zack are the ones who are familiar with the PSP game.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/26/2010 8:34:56 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #129
Yuna is weird. She is likable, but I don't get the sense that people are really all that crazy about her. She doesn't get a lot of love like Auron does. She's not cute like Rikku is. She doesn't have the same pull that Tidus does from being a main character (though you can argue she is the main character, but whatever). She's kind of middle-of-the-road. People will vote for her if they're neutral about Zack though.

Ultimately, this match is taking place on GameFAQs, and we love our RPGs here. I trust the users of GameFAQs to side with the more likable character over the better known one. It's a dangerous proposition, but when that likable character is also from FF7 and has the classic FF7 picture, he should be able to do well. I am not sold on Zack's strength, but I just never feel good about Yuna. I don't think she's that popular, and Zack's run last year was good enough for me.

This percentage could be literally anywhere. Let's go with..

transience's prediction: Zack with 53.33%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Yuna > Zack, 50.01%



Kleenex’s Analysis

This is it. The match we've all(?) been waiting for. We finally get to see what Zack is made of. Last year he was behind some ungodly amounts of Nintendo SFF so it wasn't a really good read (though nearly beating Mario should give us some indication). Yuna missed the contest last year, but put up some good numbers back in 2006 and 2007.

I'm not gonna try to use stats to justify this one, because Zack is still something of an unknown quantity due to his path last year. My money's on Black-Haired Cloud just because I feel like he's probably pretty close to Yuna strength-wise and FF7 > FF10 in the hierarchy. Doesn't really matter who wins here because they get fed to Mega Man next round anyway. Unless Cid really gives Mega Man a scare and Zack ends up being stronger than Cid. But that's a writeup for another day!


Bracket: Zack Fair
Favorites: Zack Fair
Prediction: Zack Fair with 56.83%



Red Sox’s Analysis

The most entertaining character of 2008 returns! The doubters constantly doubted Zack last year even as he put up impressive performance after impressive performance. Before the contest people thought Zack would lose to Wario or Shadow. He beat Wario with near 60% despite 2 other RPG characters in the poll, and Shadow didn’t even make it to his round 2 match with Zack. Next, people said Zack would fold when he faced strong competition. He faced the strongest competition there is, Link, and…….pulled an excellent 30% on him twice. Next, Zack was supposed to fold to strong competition other than Link, and so he entered a match with Link, Mario, and Megaman X, 2 Noble Niners and a pseudo-Noble Niner, and…..Zack beat MMX with ease, and came within 1200 votes of beating Mario.

There is a theory that Zack would fold to strong Square characters. Well, I agree that he’ll fold to stronger Square characters through SFF, but that’s exactly what any character would do. The other character has to actually be stronger though, and there are not so many of those. Yuna is probably not one of them.

Yet, this match is not a complete lock. Yuna did once put up 43% on Zelda, getting very close to what Aeris did a round earlier. Meanwhile, Auron was projected to about 49% on Ganondorf in 2006, so that actually matches up pretty well with her proportion to Auron in 2005, if you believe Ganondorf = Zelda: she got 39% on Ganondorf while Auron got 46%. Yuna then put 55% on Alucard in 2007, which is pretty impressive after seeing Alucard blast Magus apart. She’s got some strength……but probably not enough to beat THE ZACK UNFAIR, SOLDIER FIRST CLASS, BLACK HAIRED CLOUD.

Prediction: Zack with 55.00%
Upset Potential: 15%
Upper Bound: Zack with 61%
Lower Bound: Zack with 49%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/26/2010 8:35:31 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #130
Guest’s Analysis - Chaotic Mind

In 2k8 Zack crushed everyone's expectations, making Cecil look like fodder to most, when in reality he can go toe to toe with Knux (Dissidia might have boosted him a little more, but i think he was already worth 47% on Knux at least in 2k8). Zack continued on to make the quarterfinals, where he nearly defeated Mario. True Mario was being SFF'ed by Link, but even so what Zack did there was no mean feat.

Yuna, on the other hand, didn't even make the field in 2k8, and in 2k7 she was left in the dust by Luigi and Ganon even though they were splitting votes. Still, she does have TJF >_>

So what's going to happen here? Yuna's gonna get hammered by the SFF of ZACK FAIR, SON! OH YEAH, ZACKFAQS IS BACK BABY!

Bracket: Zack
Favorite: Zack
Prediction: Zack 66.70%



Crew Consensus: Yuna’s got some support, but the majority is siding with ZackFAQs
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 1/26/2010 10:17:58 AM | message detail | filter | #131
Not again Guest!

I lowball Mario and even say that he might not break 80%, and then the plumber goes and outperforms my expectations. Then we see these guests highballing Zidane/Ike/Zack...and why is Zidane seeded higher than Zack in this division? I mean, look who decisively beat who last year! Then again, Zidane has also outseeded loads of other stronger FF characters (e.g. Vivi, Vincent, Tifa, Yuna, maybe even Rikku and Lightning). But how did Zidane (AND KEFKA, COME TO THINK OF IT!!!) outseed so many other more popular characters from his own franchise?

AND HOW DID GUYBRUSH OUTSEED A CHARACTER WHO ONCE WENT 50-50 WITH SAMUS???
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/26/2010 11:02:58 AM | message detail | filter | #132
Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup

We all knew Mega Man was going to get off to a hot start in the opening minutes before having his percent crushed once the Power Hour faded. With all the gloom and doom being thrown around pre-match though, I'd been half convinced MM's "big start" would be only 60%, leaving him in a fight for his life the entire remainder of the day. Instead we've got to give the Bomber major props for two things: his super-Powered start was sensational (68 at the freeze, and still well above 66 after sixty minutes!) and also, he wasn't even REALLY killed overnight. Sure he lost some percentage (looking like he'll end just over 63), but I think we were all expecting him to lose updates outright during the dead hours, and that didn't even come close to happening. Does this mean we just badly overrated Cid? Personally, I don't think so.. I'm leaning more toward MM being a no-doubter against whoever survives today. (Only trouble with that theory is, what the FLIP went on in that match versus Cpt Price!)

Speaking of surviving today, yikes! As I explained on The Show two weeks back, I like to pick an upcoming trend and stay consistent with it throughout my bracket, and I decided the theme for '10 would be "don't bet against FFX." That decision cornered me into backing Yuna for this upset, which I didn't overly mind; my bracket could use the risk, and I DO still feel that she's being badly overrated here. However, I promised myself I'd back out of this gutsy call and not doom my Oracle if FF7 was looking to be on fire this season.

Well... it's not thanks to Mega Man, so Yuna here we come! Now I'll admit that Zack's got some pretty decent factors working in his favor, including once again looking great in the match pic (alright, so I nearly chickened out after seeing the return of that buster sword), and the fact that Cecil isn't a total chump despite how Zack made him look. Still, I think the bad outweighs the good: he wasn't nearly as strong last year as his perfect placement made him look, his PSP spinoff isn't fresh in people's minds like it was back then, and frankly FF7 seems to become a less dominating presence on this site with every passing month, as Ocarina's easy win hinted at.

Okay, well too late to back out now. Wish me luck! *dives in*

Ngamer Says: Yuna > Zack, 50.01%

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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/26/2010 11:03:04 AM | message detail | filter | #133
Guest wins again!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/26/2010 11:04:24 AM | message detail | filter | #134
Or not. That was some board vote, Zack.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/26/2010 11:27:22 AM | message detail | filter | #135
Well, crap.

On the other hand, wow at how Yuna's been tearing into that percentage. Atta girl, keep trying to make us look at least a LITTLE BIT respectable!

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 11:39:56 AM | message detail | filter | #136
Darn it, Guest! I won't stand for this!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/26/2010 11:48:26 AM | message detail | filter | #137

From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 1/26/2010 12:27:22 PM | #135
Well, crap.

On the other hand, wow at how Yuna's been tearing into that percentage. Atta girl, keep trying to make us look at least a LITTLE BIT respectable!


The issue with your writeup was that Zack once again had a PSP spinoff, N. Birth by Sleep, yo! :P
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Lopen | Posted 1/26/2010 11:58:03 AM | message detail | filter | #138
Ouch Yuna. How could you!
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
vcharon | Posted 1/26/2010 12:31:49 PM | message detail | filter | #139
ITT: Two posers masquerading as the biggest Tidus fans on board 8.
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:>
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 12:41:51 PM | message detail | filter | #140
Yep, one of 'em's you, the other's not me!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
Lopen | Posted 1/26/2010 12:44:06 PM | message detail | filter | #141
Well I'll admit it's a slim possibility I am not the biggest Tidus fanboy on B8. I do have my attentions split between him and a handful of other characters. And unlike say, Master Chief, there are actually other people that like him here.

But man I have the most faith in him as a contest entrant, apparently!
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
vcharon | Posted 1/26/2010 12:47:27 PM | message detail | filter | #142
I have him going to Samus, so there.
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Scott_Pilgrim | Posted 1/26/2010 12:49:16 PM | message detail | filter | #143
I have him going to Samus, so there.

Same, if he can get past Subby there's a pretty good chance he'll beat Roxas as well.
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Oh, sorry, I got distracted by KrahenProphet.
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=99
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 12:50:28 PM | message detail | filter | #144

From: vcharon | #142
I have him going to Samus, so there.


Do you want a cookie or something? Most of the board has him getting there!
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vcharon | Posted 1/26/2010 12:52:35 PM | message detail | filter | #145
From what I've read a lot of people have him going down to Sub-Zero. "Most faith" would be taking Tidus to Samus. Delusional would be taking him over Samus.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/26/2010 12:54:27 PM | message detail | filter | #146
Oh man, I am good.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 1:01:11 PM | message detail | filter | #147
Tidus is the Guru favorite over Sub-Zero.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
Lopen | Posted 1/26/2010 1:03:38 PM | message detail | filter | #148
Delusional is thinkin Tidus > Sub-Zero is an upset (and that tacking Roxas on the end means anything)

Imhhhho.
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ZFS | Posted 1/26/2010 1:04:20 PM | message detail | filter | #149
Zack the best

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transience | Posted 1/26/2010 1:28:05 PM | message detail | filter | #150
gg Yuna
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