GameFAQs Contests

Character Battle VIII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/22/2010 9:54:29 PM | message detail | filter | #001
Hello once again!

For those who are new here, the Contest Analysis Crew is a group of users who know how these Contests work. Our duty is to analyze each match and predict who will win each match and the percentages each character will get. Wish us luck, because we'll need it.

Anyway, Introduction time!

*On the morning of January 14th, three witches are sitting in a small room enjoying their Tea Party.*

Moltar: So, did you two hear? It’s that time of the year again.

Lopen: …Indeed, a new game is about to begin. What is the gameboard like this time?

Moltar: It’s back to 1-on-1, this time, with 128 characters! Sounds interesting, riiiiiiight? I can’t wait to determine the results using my magic!

Lopen: …Hmph, such a child you are, Moltar. Your magic means nothing. The results are determined by the voters.

Moltar: Hoh! So you want to challenge me again, Lopen? I’ll create all the results, and you won’t be able to explain them with voters! They will be so unpredictable that everyone will be forced to accept my magic! The number of votes I can create are endless! I am the Voting Witch, Master Moltar!

Lopen: …Very well, I, the Witch of Upsets, Lopen, accept your challenge. I don’t expect to be bored.

Tran: Hey you two! What are you talking about! Let me in! Let me in!

Moltar: It’s another game between Lopen and I. Will you be supporting me again, Tran?

Tran: Naaaah, I’m tired of you, Moltar. And I would never be on Lopen’s side! Therefore, I, the Witch of Locks, Transience, will make my own side!

Lopen: …Make your own side? I see you’re still a child too, Tran. At least you won’t make me bored though.

Tran: Hehe, I love you Lopen! You’re so <cute>!

Moltar: I want to invite someone in on this little game between us. Come forth, my finest servant, Ngamer.

Ngamer: Ngamer here, at your service, Master Moltar.

Moltar: Do you wish to participate in this game with us?

Ngamer: Very well, I, Ngamer, will join. Let me warn you though, I am pretty good and figuring out the true results, pukuku.

Lopen: …I see, now this is even more interesting. I shall bring a guest too. Kleenex, where are you?

Kleenex: I’m right here, Lopen!

Lopen: You will participate in this game as well. If you win, I’ll promote you to the rank of a Witch. You can be the Witch of Facts. *giggle*

Kleenex: <Good>. That would be an honor! I, the great detective, KleenexTissue, will do my best! My skills are first-rate!

Tran: Hey you two! I want to bring someone in too! Um…um…oh I know! I’ll bring in your teacher!

Moltar: My teacher? You don’t mean-

Tran: Hey red sox, get out here!

Red Sox: Yes, Transience?

Tran: You’re also going to join our game! I want you to do your best and beat your student.

Red Sox: Is that alright with you, Moltar?

Moltar: That fine with me! The more the merrier! I’ll make all of you submit to my voting magic!

Red Sox: Very well, I, Red Sox, will also join the game. It’ll be more productive than spending time with and constantly getting teased by G-

Moltar: Oh, there’s more thing. There will be more people joining us. Arise, Guests!

Lopen: …The Guests? They aren’t exactly…the brightest, you know.

Tran: Yeah! What’s up with that? They’re as dumb as Goats!

Moltar: I think you two will be surprised. They can be really clever sometimes! One guest will also participate in each match of our game.

Moltar: Anyway, I hope everyone is ready! I’ve already made a certain man lose the will to fight against me, and now it’s your turn! Prepare to submit to my Endless Voting magic, Readerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrs! AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

*glass breaks*
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/22/2010 9:55:36 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #002
E-mail: mastermoltar@gmail.com

Current Guests

Altair/Liquid Snake - Yesmar

Mario/Falco - LinkMarioSamus
Big Boss/Miles -Kotetsu534
Zidane/Claptrap - AsurasKordoth
Ike/Prinny - edwardsdv
Mega Man/Cid - XCarvenger
Zack/Yuna – Chaotic Mind
Ryu H./Crash - Shoenin_Kakashi
Master Chief/Spy -DaruniaTheGoron

Sora/Midna - marsman57
Laharl/Neku – KamikazePotato
Kefka/Arthas - Luis_Sera89
Bowser/Frog - satai
L-Block/HK-47 -Luster Soldier
Isaac/Layton - Biolizard28
Charizard/Duke - KanzarisKelshen
Kratos/Tails -LeonhartFour

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Moltar Status: Bracket: GlaDOS > Fawful (12/13)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/22/2010 9:57:13 PM | message detail | filter | #003
Reposted by popular request. (And possibly as a preview for a brand new Crew fanfic?)



The TMNT Crew

Master Moltar as Master Splinter
* The Crew's wise old sensei and adoptive father, Moltar is a supremely talented analysis who learned the ways of predictsu from the man who consistently owned him, Ultima Terializer. These days he prefers to mostly stay underground and let the younger members of the Crew do the dirty work, but anyone who disrespects him by thinking he's "well past his prime" is in for a rude awakening.

tranny as Leonardo
* The courageous Crew leader and a devoted student of math 'n stats, tranny is the most experienced of the four and the most skilled at writeups. When the going gets tough, everyone knows that tranny is the one Crewmember who can always be counted on to submit a well-reasoned prediction on time.

Ngamer as Donatello
* The brilliant x-stats scientist, Guru inventor, site engineer, and technological genius, "Ng" is perhaps the least aggressive Crewmate, preferring to take a conservative approach to predictions and use his inventive website to help solve difficult matchup problems.

Kleenex as Raphael
* The team's bad boy, Kleenex has an aggressive nature and seldom hesitates to throw the first verbal jab. He is an intense analysis; his writeups can be alternately fierce and sarcastic, and they often times delivers deadpan humor. Still, he is intensely loyal to his fellow Crewmates and their sensei.

Lopen as Michelangelo
* Easy-going and free-spirited, "Longshot Lopen" provides much of the comic relief for the series (of topics). While he loves to relax with short writeups on dull matches, this Crewmate also has an adventurous and creative side, leading to nearly all of the most daring upset choices (and most hilarious writeups!) in Crew history.

red sox as Casey Jones
* A newcomer to the group, this longtime Contest vigilante has become one of the core Crewmember's closest allies. Casey first met up with the Crew after having a fight with Kleenex in the stats topic. red sox fights against past Contest results with an assortment of intellectual tools (SFF, LFF, Chrono Trigger bias, nostalgia, not having played any video game released since 1998, etc.), never resting until he has somehow battered, beaten, and twisted the stats into supporting his conclusion.

The Guests as April O'Neal
* Unpleasant and generally annoying, no one notices The Guests until they're not around (and even then no one much minds their absence).

Leon as Shredder
* A villainous predictsu master called Leon Hartfour. In every incarnation of the Crew season, he has been the archenemy of Moltar and the Crewmates. Leon prefers to use biting sarcasm and hindsight to insult the Crew's choice well after a match has been decided instead of submitting his own writeups ahead of time. The Crew will not rest until he has been dethroned from his #1 position and exposed for the fraud he is.

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/22/2010 10:00:15 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #004
oh geez

someone else can do the TMNT fanfic
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Moltar Status: Bracket: GlaDOS > Fawful (12/13)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 10:01:34 PM | message detail | filter | #005
Umineko>>>TNMT

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 10:01:44 PM | message detail | filter | #006
TMNT, even

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
SSBM_Guy | Posted 1/22/2010 10:07:19 PM | message detail | filter | #007
TMNT crew aww yeah
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~5th Place in the SP2K9 Contest~ Oh, baby! Sweet! That rocks!
when thinking of Krystal, does GMUN's pants get overcrowded? ~ GMUN
Chaotic Mind | Posted 1/22/2010 10:11:37 PM | message detail | filter | #008
Ngamer, we Guests are not April O'Neal. We are the Guest Clan!
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/22/2010 10:11:52 PM | message detail | filter | #009
Tag.
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~AK~ // Merc
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 1/22/2010 10:46:55 PM | message detail | filter | #010
tagging... and hopefully I can see the signups for the next divisions in time. lol
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 10:48:32 PM | message detail | filter | #011

From: KamikazePotato | #005
Umineko>>>TNMT


Lies!

Granted, I know nothing about Umineko, but TMNT was my childhood!

And the Guest Clan will not stand for such insults!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
transience | Posted 1/22/2010 11:02:03 PM | message detail | filter | #012
Vivi sux
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xyzzy
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/22/2010 11:17:53 PM | message detail | delete | filter | #013
GlaDOS....66.78% 39381
Fawful.......33.22% 19590
TOTAL VOTES........58971


Crew Predictions - 11/14

What Happened: Fawful more like Awful gets doubled by GlaDOS

Why it Happened: M&L isn't that big here and not many people care for Fawful

What will Happen: GlaDOS will bow out to Kirby as expected.



Crew Prediction Challenge - Good job everyone

Moltar - 13
Lopen - 12
Kleenex - 11
Tran - 11
Ngamer - 11
Red Sox - 11
Guest - 9



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Good job Lopen

Ngamer - 3
Lopen - 2
Red Sox - 2
Moltar - 2
Guest - 2 (Bio: 1, CM: 1)
Kleenex - 1
Tran - 1
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Vivi > DK (13/14)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 1/22/2010 11:18:58 PM | message detail | filter | #014
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 11:18:58 PM | message detail | filter | #015
What in the world was that, DK?
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/22/2010 11:18:59 PM | message detail | filter | #016
DK sux
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Mario Man53245 | Posted 1/22/2010 11:23:30 PM | message detail | filter | #017
tag
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"Nothing helps a bad mood like spreading it around." - Calvin
Lopen | Posted 1/23/2010 2:26:16 AM | message detail | filter | #018
Looks like I'm on a roll unless Vivi keeps on this tear.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/23/2010 5:12:57 AM | message detail | filter | #019
Haven't taken a look at these "early" returns yet.

Ngamer's Fantastical Writeup

Ugh, what a nothing of a match. Result never in doubt, no trends (well, GlaDOS fell from 69 to 66 but ehh), and we come away not knowing anything more about either character. I GUESS you could say we now know that Fawful's the weakest Nintendo character to ever make a bracket, but even that I'm not so sure about... Anyways, boo to SB's placements this year. Joke characters are only fun when they're shocking us against respectable competition- setting them up against some of the lowest fodder in history just gives us the worst of both worlds. Hopefully HK-47 will be respectable enough to at least salvage one decent match out of this whole mess.

Let's quickly move on to tonight's match, which... unfortunately will likewise be pretty uncompetitive. I know it's been cool to hate on Donkey Kong ever since DK64, but I've always had a soft spot for the guy. Because honestly, he's been just as entertaining over the years as Frog, except in entirely the opposite direction. That match against Vercettit was incredible, his tilt with Master Chief is an all time favorite, and of course who can forget his namesake's epic near-fail versus Duck Hunt. Much as I'd love to back him here though, I find I just can't make a case for it.

The 56% Vivi hung on him doesn't bother me so much; Square was a different animal back then and FF9 doesn't strike me as having stood the test of time as well as, say, FFX. The loss to Tidus I can forgive as well. Tails aside, I think second tier guys like DK or Pac-Man are just ill disposed 4ways, since they rely on recognition more than being someone's "favorite". Actually I was all set to give the big ape credit for a second 56ish performance until Rikku had to go and laid waste to that puffball's percentage overnight. So sorry DK- I'd still hold Vivi back in the 57 range if this were a day match, but nope, bad luck has followed you again this year and as a result I've got to boost up to

Ngamer Says: Vivi > DK, 59.59%

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
irriadin | Posted 1/23/2010 8:21:43 AM | message detail | filter | #020
tag
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"I do read sometimes." Mat Cauthon, The Wheel of Time.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/23/2010 10:21:44 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #021
Chaos Division: Round 1 - Match 16 – (2) Altair vs. (15) Liquid Snake

Moltar’s Analysis

Altair
After wading through a bunch of crap last year, let’s see Altair deal with some real competition.

Liquid Snake
Liquid looked really good last year. Was it because of SFF, or ha-I’M YOU! I’M YOU SHADOW!

So again we have a popular casual character going against a MGS character. Again, I’m siding with the MGS character. Liquid is no “The Boss”, in fact, I’d say he’s a step above her. His 2008 Round 1 performance (his only “clean” match”) was very good, while Altair…actually I’d rather not even talk about Division 1.

Unless Assassin’s Creed II made people go back to AC1 and gave Altair a huge boost, Liquid’s taking this match. He’s gone toe-to-toe with Alucard and put up strong numbers on Luigi. Give me that over losing to Duke Nukem anyday. Altair will probably keep it close since a day match benefits him, but in the end, Liquid should end up on top.

Moltar’s Bracket: Liquid > Altair

Moltar’s Prediction: Altair: 48% - Liquid: 52%



Lopen’s Analysis

In MGS4, Snake cosplays as Altair for fun. That's good enough for Liquid and so he's gonna unleash the full onslaught upon BROTHERRRR for taking all the superior genes, or something.

Yeah I dunno. This match is a mixed bag. Mostly cause of Liquid. Has there ever been as inconsistent a dude as Liquid Snake? I think he's constantly debating whether he wants to look great to overshadow BROTHER, or he wants to underperform so he can whine about gene pools.

Altair, meanwhile, lost (or came close to it) to Duke Nukem. Doesn't exactly scream strength. Pretty sure even the weakest version of Liquid takes this guy down. But he's not totally weak, and AC2 probably helps. But how much? He's not even the starring character in it, so...?

Yeah I dunno. Could see either one coming out of this one the victor-- and don't see either one winning by too much (though Liquid has the higher ceiling), but with last year in consideration (Liquid did well in Mario land) I went with the safe pick here.

Lopen's prediction:
Liquid Snake with 53.97%



Transience’s Analysis

This match is a little bit unsettling. From any logical standpoint, Liquid Snake wins and wins easily. Dude put up like 47% on Luigi legitimately last year and then beat him outright thanks to a fanbase split. Zack Fair would have a hard time matching that, and he destroyed the guy that beat Altair.

There's something about Altair that kind of scares me though. I think AC2 helped him out a lot even if he wasn't in it. The AC brand name is getting stronger. Altair's character design is still top notch, the exact kind of thing that GameFAQs gets into. Uncharted 2 may top Assassin's Creed, but Drake will never beat Altair and that design is the reason. Altair gets overestimated bigtime because he beat the hell out of some overrated characters (protip: Lucario is weak as hell), but I think AC2 makes up for a lot of his shortcomings.

I'm picking Liquid Snake here because I usually make the logical pick, but there's something worrisome about Altair. This being a day match doesn't help things.

transience's prediction: Liquid Snake with 56.89%
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/23/2010 10:22:21 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #022
Ngamer’s Analysis

Hey hey, pretty nice showing from my boy DK tonight! Sure he's getting crushed here in the dead hours, but people were so down on him that that I was thinking Vivi might start at 56 and rocket up from there (looks like instead he only managed 53 in the opening minutes). Of course knowing DK he'll probably find a way to continue losing percentage the entire match, so maybe my 59% won't be so far off in the end... Well regardless of how far he falls, here's hoping Vivi knocks off whoever wins later today to help him look better in the stats! And he should have a good chance at doing so, since R2 will once again be a *goes to check* wait, DAY match? Crap!

Speaking of which, today's battle is one I've had circled on my calendar for quite some time. However, looking through the Oracle topic a bit ago, I saw an entire landfill of picks like "Liquid 55/56", and even some heading into the 58 range! What the heck, guys? I could have sworn we were talking about the character who couldn't manage 56% on Lavos, got tripled by the weakest Sephiroth ever, was nearly doubled by Yuna, caved to Alucard by 6% once competition arrived, and beat out Big Daddy by a whopping 72 votes. Alright fine, so I'll admit he looked okay in 2008, but then again so did Altair- I assumed we could all agree that was because they both drew ideal matchups for a couple rounds, but apparently not.

I guess the case for Liquid is that he's got to be stronger than The Boss, and since she dispatched of fellow #2 seed Nathan Drake, L. Snake ought to be able to do the same with THIS ARM tied behind his back. I see a few problems with that line of thought:

* Nathan's a generically named, generic-looking action hero from a PS3 exclusive- not exactly a perfect threat to entrap an indifferent casual voter. "Altair" sounds sweet and he sports one of the coolest character designs around while facing off against arguably the least photogenic character in history. *remembers Kefka* okay, so second worst
* Europe is crazy about MSG; too bad this is a Day Match, making it a perfect opportunity for Altair to turn on those casual 360 ASV boosters almost right from the opening whistle
* as a Playstation-exclusive character, you probably don't want to be messing around with the Metal Gear Solid series. I think Altair's many millions in 360 sales provide a slight edge that Drake badly needed

Which is not to say that Altair has this one "locked up" or anything- on the contrary I'm expecting a very exciting match, maybe even something along the lines of Red/Ocelot. This talk of Liquid in an easy 55+ Ulti blowout though- you guys are nuts! (Did I happen to mention that this character failed at posting 56% on Lavos? Seriously now.) In a photo finish, give me...

Ngamer Says: Altair > Liquid Snake, 50.04%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Liquid Snake looked mighty impressive last year. Outright beating Luigi and getting fairly close to MMX/Mario. Which is weird because in every other contest showing he's had previously, he's never really been all that tough. On the other side, Altair rocked his first 4-pack last year, but really left us wondering where he lied because on paper, going even with Duke Nukem doesn't seem that impressive.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/23/2010 10:22:50 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #023
This match will probably confirm whatever Drake/The Boss showed us (writing this before that match) about how much casual influence is going to matter. I do think Altair is going to be stronger than his incarnation last year, and Liquid is, in all likelihood, going to be weaker. Whether it's enough to close the obvious gap in strengths remains to be seen, but I'd wager yes. I've got a fair bit (read: like 3 matches woohoo) riding on casual guys impressing this contest, and this is one of them. I'm not extremely confident in my pick here, but I doubt regret making it. Yet.


Bracket: Altair
Favorites: Liquid Snake
Prediction: Altair with 54.33%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Altair was the Guru nomination last year, and he performed pretty well, crushing Lucario and Isaac before losing narrowly to Duke Nukem. He also beat Marth in round 2, which establishes him as having some strength. Meanwhile, Liquid impressed greatly, breaking 45% on Luigi in round 1. That should make Liquid the clear favorite, but Assassin’s Creed 2 came out and made this match more difficult. It gave Altair and Ezio 2-seeds, and you can probably expect a decent sized boost for Altair.

Before the contest, I was greatly tempted to take Altair, but I stuck with Liquid, and after seeing the Boss, another MGS character, beat Drake, another 2-seed from a recent Western game, I am glad I kept Liquid. Ocelot did very nicely against Red too, so as of today I feel Liquid is a fairly heavy favorite in this match. This is a day match, which should help Altair, but probably not by enough to give him the win.

Prediction: Liquid Snake with 53%
Upset Potential: 10%
Upper Bound: Liquid with 57%
Lower Bound: Altair with 51%



Guest’s Analysis - Yesmar

This was probably the hardest match of the first round to call for me, since there a million different factors that could go into this match and could make it go in favor of both characters. Don't be fooled by the seedings, this could be anyone's game.

First of all, one should look at both of their performances from 2008. Sure Altair did pretty well, but at most he was a low end midcarder. He made the 3rd Round, but he only had to beat fodder line/SFFd characters to do it. Duke got 22% against Link in the 3rd Round which don't get me wrong is pretty good, but also confusing coming from someone who had been fodder/fodderline in every contest up to then. It's not like Duke Nukem Forever is getting funnier or anything. And despite his decent numbers, I can't put much faith in someone who barely lost to Nukem, even if it was after the release of some XBLA game for Duke. On the other hand, Liquid went out and gave Luigi a good fight, even before SFF came into play, and definetly appeared to be the more popular of the two in that particular year. However, since then things have changed. Liquid doesn't have the benefit of being in a recent game anymore, but Altair has the advantage of his design (a huge part of his popularity probably) staying forever, and the Assassin's Creed brand building up in popularity. While Liquid has reasons to drop, Altair will very likely remain in roughly the same position. However, despite all this, if the match was 24 hours I would probably still take Liquid. However, fortunately for Altair, it is not.
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/23/2010 10:23:26 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #024
This match happens to be held during the latter portion of the day when day vote characters like Altair tend to flourish. And if you don't believe me about Altair being a day vote beast, look at his second match from 2008. Adjusted for vote inflation/deflation it's one of the biggest comebacks of all time, and shows that despite the weakness of some other M-rated game characters, he owns the day. Now, I do think that people will eventually figure out the 2 matches a day thing and will vote in both and so far they appear to be doing so, but this match is within the first week of the contest, and people are still getting into the swing of things. Knuckles/Cecil had an ASV. Why can't this one?

But wait, there's more. Due to Bacon's inability to tell time, the contest started on Saturday the 16th instead of Friday the 15th, as originally intended. This means that Altair/Liquid will actually take place on a weekend, where the ASV is diluted throughout the day. This could be the break that Liquid needs, and it could give him the victory, although it should be of note that in Liquid's R1 match in 07, he wasn't too great with the latter half of a weekend match, and that casual characters like Ryu H. and Master Chief (more in tune with Altair's fans probably) have good latter halves on the weekends as well. This match really is a mystery, and I'll side with Altair on this one, although honestly, it could be anyone's game.

But wait, there's even MORE. I had written the whole previous write up before the contest had even started, and now that it has begun, we've been having upsets or near upsets left and right. If the contest voters have become more cynical and anti-establishment as these results imply than this throws the ball back into Liquid's court, and I have no choice to go against my bracket and choose Liquid for this one.

Yesmar's Prediction:
Liquid Snake with 51.06%



Crew Consensus: While we have some Altair supporters, Liquid is the majority pick.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 10:30:00 AM | message detail | filter | #025
The Crew's gotta get one right sometime, right?
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 10:31:26 AM | message detail | filter | #026
And why in the world is everyone expecting Liquid to drop less than 2 years after MGS4? Our most popular characters and games are 10+ years old, for cryin' out loud. Characters don't weaken THAT easily.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/23/2010 10:33:01 AM | message detail | filter | #027
Which I why I got Ryu > Dante ^_^
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/23/2010 10:33:25 AM | message detail | filter | #028

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #027
Which I why I got Ryu > Dante ^_^


I'm so sorry.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/23/2010 11:03:39 AM | message detail | filter | #029
Kleenex to win this in a landslide btw.
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~AK~ // Merc
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 1/23/2010 11:14:34 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #030
Vivi...................56.29% 30113
Donkey Kong..43.71% 23379
TOTAL VOTES.............53492

Crew Predictions - 12/15

What Happened: It's like we really sat through the 2004 rematch! Vivi ends up only a short distance away from his 2004 number on DK

Why it Happened: Looks like the relation between the two hasn't changed much over the years. Did they drop? Did they boost? Are they the same?

What will Happen: Vivi may be in trouble next round if both characters are weaker now.



Crew Prediction Challenge - Good job everyone

Moltar - 14
Lopen - 13
Kleenex - 12
Tran - 12
Ngamer - 12
Red Sox - 12
Guest - 10



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Good job Lopen (again)

Ngamer - 3
Lopen - 3
Red Sox - 2
Moltar - 2
Guest - 2 (Bio: 1, CM: 1)
Kleenex - 1
Tran - 1
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Liquid > Altair (14/15)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 11:24:28 AM | message detail | filter | #031
I blame the Crew yet again.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 11:24:39 AM | message detail | filter | #032
(Please pick Sub-Zero, by the way)
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 1/23/2010 11:26:31 AM | message detail | filter | #033
Crew curse more like red sox's upset potential curse
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"Eet's game time..."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/23/2010 12:25:55 PM | message detail | filter | #034
Oh man, I finally got one right!
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/23/2010 12:26:19 PM | message detail | filter | #035
Damnit Crew

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/23/2010 12:28:57 PM | message detail | filter | #036
Looking at these percentages now, I'm kinda regretting having Vivi > Altair next round.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/23/2010 12:29:52 PM | message detail | filter | #037
Vivi/Altair is a day match. That's all you need to know.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 12:30:09 PM | message detail | filter | #038
At least you'll have something to regret next round!

Argh, Liquid to round 3, wishin' I had realized I accidentally picked him instead of Vivi.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:53:01 PM | message detail | filter | #039
Very scared for Vivi next round.

Man, Altair > Sonic for the division would be the one of the most hilarious contest moments ever. And the casuals would really destroy us there- I bet Altair has the second most picks to win the division behind Sonic.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
transience | Posted 1/23/2010 1:55:48 PM | message detail | filter | #040
wow. yeah, Altair's got this in round 2.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 1/23/2010 1:56:51 PM | message detail | filter | #041
hmm.. not feeling so good about the MGS guys after this. none of them have wowed us so far.
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xyzzy
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/23/2010 4:47:07 PM | message detail | filter | #042
And why in the world is everyone expecting Liquid to drop less than 2 years after MGS4? Our most popular characters and games are 10+ years old, for cryin' out loud. Characters don't weaken THAT easily.

*ruptures spleen with laughter*

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/23/2010 4:49:46 PM | message detail | filter | #043
NGamer, you were off by about 8%. Don't gloat too much. >_>

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/23/2010 4:50:42 PM | message detail | filter | #044
Am I allowed to gloat?
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 4:51:29 PM | message detail | filter | #045
Am I allowed to gloat?

Yup!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
edwardsdv | Posted 1/23/2010 4:52:11 PM | message detail | filter | #046
I have Vivi>Liquid.


Damn... between this and my HK-47 nonsense Im screwed.
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Krahen Prophet really showed me what's what.
PSN Name: Wakkaball NP: Kingdom Hearts Marathon
Lopen | Posted 1/23/2010 5:15:57 PM | message detail | filter | #047
Damn. I had Altair > Liquid (and Vivi) until right before the brackets closed. "Oh well"
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 5:16:48 PM | message detail | filter | #048
*ruptures spleen with laughter*

There's more to this match than Liquid dropping after MGS4, and you know it!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/23/2010 5:18:20 PM | message detail | filter | #049
In Ngamer ruptured his spleen, we're probably gonna need a replacement on the Crew.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 5:19:04 PM | message detail | filter | #050
We're better off without him!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."