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Best Game Ever 2 Contest Analysis Crew (Part Three)

Lopen | Posted 5/12/2009 9:15:38 PM | message detail | filter | #301
Wow the crew went really high with Zelda compared to me.

I guess I just respect Super Metroid/SMK more than that. -shrug-
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:16:07 PM | message detail | filter | #302
I thought my 53% was going to be the big number for LttP here, but shows what I know!
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No matter what, no matter how, I know I'll make it through somehow.
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:16:23 PM | message detail | filter | #303
And the fact that everyone's automatically discounting DKC makes me think it's got second place wrapped up!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:17:05 PM | message detail | filter | #304
Actually, I kinda like Lopen's percentages the best. I can see LTTP doing pretty low numbers here.

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a metal slime appears
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:17:54 PM | message detail | filter | #305
Maybe if you're a non-believer.
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I can feel it coming over me; I feel it all around me.
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:17:58 PM | message detail | filter | #306
LTTP failing to double Super Metroid after it tripled it last time would surprise me.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:19:14 PM | message detail | filter | #307
non-believer represent

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a metal slime appears
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:20:29 PM | message detail | filter | #308
I'm definitely not a LTTP believer (Got Mario 3 > LTTP later on, yo!). Like I said, this performance will tell us nothing about LTTP since it's an all-Nintendo pack. Actually, if LTTP performs around what Lopen predicts, I'd be really concerned about it if I had it going to the finals!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:21:15 PM | message detail | filter | #309
Mario hype kill it with fire imho

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a metal slime appears
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:21:42 PM | message detail | filter | #310
Good thing LttP is actually going to get 60% tomorrow.

That's right, LttP's not only going to beat FF7 in Round 4, it's going to win the whole damn contest.

...goddamnit why do all my favorite games go out in Round 1.
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No matter what, no matter how, I know I'll make it through somehow.
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:22:04 PM | message detail | filter | #311
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:22:24 PM | message detail | filter | #312
Sux that Secret of Mana didn't pull it off

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a metal slime appears
Ed Bellis | Posted 5/12/2009 9:22:58 PM | message detail | filter | #313
Match 37

I’m pretty tired and hungry tonight, so this’ll be (mercifully) brief – Link to the Past (obviously) has first wrapped up, but who takes second is anyone’s guess. DKC1 beat Doom and might have an outside shot, but I’ll be siding with one of tha “Supers”… namely, Mario Kart.

I don’t care that Super Metroid actually won last time, and I don’t care that it’s probably stronger than Metroid 1 and Prime put together. It’s still Metroid, and it’s still against Zelda. That’s enough of a reason for me! (Note that I had Doom getting second here – curse you KONKEY DONG)

So yeah, nothing would surprise me tonight. I kinda worry that DKC is gonna surprise – really, anything can happen.

Prediction: SAHASAHSAHRAHRASRHLA
Super Metroid with 19.94%
Super Mario Kart with 21.88%
Zelda: A Link to the Past with 45.45%
Donkey Kong Country with 12.73%

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This was KING BELLIS LOL
ed status: Maybe the chef was Darkseid. You don't mess with Darkseid. -MoogleKupo141
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:24:27 PM | message detail | filter | #314
Leonhart, Ed Bellis, and Kleenex, what a winning combination! Can't go wrong!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
transients | Posted 5/12/2009 9:24:48 PM | message detail | filter | #315
SM's the favourite?

crew is Metroid freakz confirmed
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xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:25:03 PM | message detail | filter | #316
Getting a bad feeling about this suddenly !!
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I can feel it coming over me; I feel it all around me.
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
Lopen | Posted 5/12/2009 9:25:48 PM | message detail | filter | #317
Super Metroid I think will be hard to get below a certain percentage. This is a game that many consider the greatest SNES game of all time. Not to say Zelda isn't in the same boat, but Super Metroid getting below 20% would surprise me.

Meanwhile Mario Kart is the most casual friendly game here and will resist for that reason.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:26:48 PM | message detail | filter | #318
Metroid wins confirmed !

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a metal slime appears
Lopen | Posted 5/12/2009 9:28:18 PM | message detail | filter | #319
And yes I realize I just said "casual friendly" + "holds up"

That's not a contradiction. The casual vote is mostly volatile and shouldn't be depended on for high percentage, but I do think it's hard to beat down the casual games too bad. Even GTA, when it loses, always does respectably.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:29:40 PM | message detail | filter | #320
I picked Mario Kart for that reason, actually! I think it's probably the most independent game here, and Mario Kart lovers are more loyal than you think!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:30:07 PM | message detail | filter | #321
Mario Kart lovers who are these freakz

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a metal slime appears
Lopen | Posted 5/12/2009 9:30:25 PM | message detail | filter | #322
So yeah basically what I'm saying is:

Casual = high floor + high ceiling, really volatile mid range.

Maybe I'm just tired or something.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:30:29 PM | message detail | filter | #323
Sounds like someone got owned by the Rainbow Road!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:31:08 PM | message detail | filter | #324
It's called a road it's called a Rainbow Road
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In-de-structable. Nothing's gonna stop me now.
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:31:13 PM | message detail | filter | #325
Hey, I like Mario Kart, but who calls themselves a Mario Kart fanboy !

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a metal slime appears
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:32:12 PM | message detail | filter | #326
*Mario Kart fanboy*

That series has sucked more hours out of my gaming life than any other.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
transients | Posted 5/12/2009 9:33:04 PM | message detail | filter | #327
that's your bad!
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:33:36 PM | message detail | filter | #328
transients | Posted 5/12/2009 9:35:42 PM | message detail | filter | #329
I'd understand it if you were talking SMK.. but this is MK64 you play. how can you get owned by Rainbow Road? it's like seven minutes of boring
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xyzzy
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:36:38 PM | message detail | filter | #330
Rainbow Road in SMK awesome stuff; Rainbow Road in MK64, not so much!

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a metal slime appears
Lopen | Posted 5/12/2009 9:37:37 PM | message detail | filter | #331
I often own myself trying to jump 1/3 across the race!

Only to have that lead promptly erased by rubber band AI that can defy the laws of max speed "aw yeah"
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:38:09 PM | message detail | filter | #332
We were talking about Super Mario Kart!

But you can be one of those losers who gets CHAIN CHOMP'D on MK64 Rainbow Road!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:43:03 PM | message detail | filter | #333
You know what the best Mario Kart game is?

Double Dash.

Oh yeah.
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In-de-structable. Nothing's gonna stop me now.
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:44:37 PM | message detail | filter | #334
Whoa there. Best more like worst -- okay, maybe it's not as bad as Super Circuit!

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a metal slime appears
MetricTrout | Posted 5/12/2009 9:49:53 PM | message detail | filter | #335
Super Circuit is so underrated. Best Mario Kart next to DS.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:50:31 PM | message detail | filter | #336
Trout'd
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I've been waiting for this moment all my life - it's my destiny.
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:51:38 PM | message detail | filter | #337
ZFS | Posted 5/12/2009 9:53:01 PM | message detail | filter | #338
SMK > MKDS > MKWii > MK64 > SC

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a metal slime appears
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/12/2009 9:53:51 PM | message detail | filter | #339
DD > DS > 64 > Wii > SMK > SC
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I can feel it coming over me; I feel it all around me.
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 9:54:13 PM | message detail | filter | #340
Ngamer64 | Posted 5/12/2009 10:16:21 PM | message detail | filter | #341
MK64 > DD > SMK > DS > Wii > SC

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The Guru ROCKS, son! http://thengamer.com/guru/
(thengamer.com/xstats & board8.wikia.com aren't awful either)
Lopen | Posted 5/12/2009 10:17:07 PM | message detail | filter | #342
Since everyone is doing it

MK64 > SMK > DD > who cares
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
MetricTrout | Posted 5/12/2009 10:21:27 PM | message detail | filter | #343
MK64 > DD > SMK > DS > Wii > SC

In terms of how badly the rubberband AI cheats, sure.

Well, after you put Wii on the top of the list.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147
Ngamer64 | Posted 5/12/2009 11:01:06 PM | message detail | filter | #344
Ngamer's Rebellious Writeup

Haha, this is just too funny. Two days ago we (by that I mean the Oracle average) had way too much faith in Zelda and underestimated Mario 1 by 7.33%. Then yesterday we didn't have quite enough respect for Sonic and SF, so we went OVER by 1.76% on Mario 3. Which got us all thinking that lowballing Mario was a good idea... but instead SMW's going to smoke us by about 14%! That's why I love these Contests: 7 years and 11 Contests and 62 matches later and we still have no idea how to even peg Mario, of all things! But, uh yeah, really shocked at FF4 and embarrassed at my lack of respect for Square fans- I was sure FF1 would pull all of the "important" and "original" votes and manage a win despite being the worse game, just like Mario 1 > Zelda 1. And boy is my face red for thinking a Mega Man game might be worth ANYTHING AT ALL!

As for tonight, hmmm.... I see some extremely high Zelda picks, but I'm not realling feelin' it. Unlike Mario, Zelda hasn't displayed strong blowout potential so far this season, and I'm also thinking that its such an obvious first place against the all-Nintendo competition that people might be throwing their votes elsewhere. Especially if there's a tight battle for 2nd place going on, which I imagine there will be! All in all this looks much more like a Mario 3 situation than what SMW saw today, so if LttP can still manage 50% I'd be quite impressed.

Now originally I was thinking that Metroid's dedicated base would do the best job of avoiding the Zelda SFF to allow it a tight victory, but after the series has disappointed time and again in the last month my faith is shaken. And even going back to 2004- heck, DKC nearly held up better against LttP than SM managed! When you factor in how MK64 went to town on Star Fox, I'm forced to push this into "too close to call" territory. Which means its time to employ the tiebreaker, aka the match pic overanalysis!

Whoa, perfect look for LttP- everyone loves the master sword, that's a nice sprite pose for Link, and the title image is big and bold. DKC gets another solid pic pretty close to what worked for it last time, but I have to mark it down a notch for Diddy being almost fully covered up by DK. Super Met, eh... I love the very big title, but Samus seems to be extremely susceptible to underperformances when she doesn't look her best, and I think people expect the classic orange suit from her, not this purple super-suit. Lastly SMK- what a nostalgia overload! It's going to be very difficult for anyone who played countless hours of battle mode back in grade school to vote for any of the other three options with a great look like that. Okay, it's settled:

Zelda: A Link to the Past - 49.86%
Super Mario Kart - 19.84%
Super Metroid - 19.80%
Donkey Kong Country - 10.51%

Feeling pretty good about this!

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The Guru ROCKS, son! http://thengamer.com/guru/
(thengamer.com/xstats & board8.wikia.com aren't awful either)
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2009 11:27:12 PM | message detail | filter | #345
Master Moltar (tc) | Posted 5/13/2009 12:22:41 AM | message detail | delete | filter | #346
Super Mario World-------54.13% 59352
Final Fantasy--------------12.8% 14035
Final Fantasy II (IV)-----23.91% 26209
Mega Man 3---------------9.16% 10042
TOTAL VOTES---------------------109638

Matches Completely Correct - 21
Matches Partially Correct - 15
Matches Completely Wrong - 0


What Happened - Holy crap Mario World. It definitely took advantage of the FF split and just tore this poll up. FF4 also SFF's FF1 to take second


Why it Happened - FFIV SFFed FFI, and SMW SFFed MM3. Why Mario World looks so great is kind of weird. Did better than last round here even if you combine the FF games. I'll just blame MM3 sucking.


What Will Happen - SMB3/Sonic/SMW/FFIV, can Mario World hold up, or will FFIV take advantage of all that Nintendo.


Crew Prediction Challenge - 6 members get points

Tran - 22
Guest - 22
HM - 21
Moltar - 18
Ed - 17
Leon - 17
Lopen - 15


Crew Accuracy Challenge - Tran gets the point for Mario World and FFI, Ed gets the point for FFIV, and Luis gets the point for MM3

HM - 35
Moltar - 35
Tran - 25
Leon - 17
Guest (Luster, Zylo (3), HaRR, Kleenex (2), Soul, TRT, KP (3), Chaotic, Ngamer, GfK, Trout, BDawg (2), Luis) - 19
Lopen - 16
Ed - 16
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 37 - Bracket: LttP > Doom - Vote: SM (111/160)
transience | Posted 5/13/2009 12:24:16 AM | message detail | filter | #347
looks like I take over first place! screw you guest
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 8:31:45 AM | message detail | filter | #348
This ain't over yet Metroid freakz!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/13/2009 9:07:31 AM | message detail | filter | #349
SMK > MK64 > MKDS > MKWii > SC

Anyways, what's Master Moltar's e-mail address? It's mastermoltar@gmail.com, is it not?
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/13/2009 9:09:23 AM | message detail | filter | #350
God I forgot Double Dash; put it right above Mario Kart.