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Character Battle VII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

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What absolute garbage numers. Since no one out of the Jinjo/Lucas/Kain/Layton group made the bracket in '07 I didn't have any comparisons to make, so bah. Regardless, you can see BB will go down as the strongest character based on results pretty much no matter how you adjust those numbers, and from there its a mish mash. Raiden at 27 looks so wrong, but how far below 30 would you really be willing to place MC, this format's former stud? But yeah, remove the Nintendo LFF that held Kirby back and it seems clear that Kirby/Naked Snake BB/de-boosted Halo should be right around even in strength, with Raiden not all that far behind.

Unfortunately for the MGS guys, these GameFAQs polls don't take place in a vacuum; the same LFF that has been killing Nintendo while making them look like superstars all year to this point is about to suddenly backfire on them, and its a backfire that will be chalking up two casualties tonight, in my opinion. Big Boss had two chances at advancement: One, get a full on Naked Snake picture. Mission Failed. Two, SFF Liquid into the ground so hard he pushes up dandelions in Australia. Well, this DID seem possible for about 5 minutes, and then Raiden went and put up 43% on MC directly. Uh oh! Mission Failed. Frankly I'm not sold on Raiden's picture either, but without the full on Snake effect I can't see BB topping him by more than 60/40 or so, which means that unless the MGS fanbase became half the site overnight (hello there Ocelot!), they're going to be coming in third and fourth.

That leaves us with MC vs Kirby, and this one could very well end up being quite the entertaining battle. It would be awesome to see Kirby power out to a big lead with his morning vote and hold off MC's ASV for the win, especially for how it would turn all this "lol Nintendo es ded" talk right on its head, but... I'm not quite feeling it. Yes, Kirby will be the one standing out against all these mature PS2/Xbox options, but on the other hand all of the Contest elites have been recovering from their bad R1 showings here in this round, and Cloud today is just one more example. Yes MC's performance was the most disappointing of all of them, but even so I'm imagining he'll be able to score just enough of a comeback to save his reputation and sneak this one out in the after school period.

But feel free to go ahead and prove me wrong, Kirby old pal. Okay, MC ~= Kirby with a decent gap before BB and Raiden, that ought to give us results somewhat along the lines off... *pots and stirs and delivers*

Master Chief - 30.18%
Kirby - 29.75%
Big Boss - 22.40%
Raiden - 17.67%

Hm... crazy as it sounds, I'm actually feeling pretty confident with those numbers! (Now watch them get blown to high heaven.)

Ngamer Says: MC > Kirby

Guest’s Analysis - KleenexTissue

So here we are again. Round 1's results have proven to be less than great indicators of what would happen in Round 2 and now we have this match where the same could prove to be true. Master Chief disappointed a bit last round, as did Kirby, while Big Boss looked like a Noble Nine breaker and Raiden seemed like he managed to make a decent jump from last year. Where does that leave us this round?

This match could go a ton of different ways, especially with Raiden and Big Boss potentially messing things up, and we'll get to see if Chief really has the game fuel reserves he needs to make it deep into the contest this year. The character who's probably doing to benefit the most today is Kirby because he stands out like a sore, pink thumb against the other three. Even with Nintendo's "de-boost" this year, I wouldn't be shocked to see Kirby take first here. It's certainly a possibility and shouldn't be overlooked. All logic points to Chief placing somewhere in this fourpack, and I think I'll still stick him in first here. He may not be the pinnacle of strength he was last year, but he should be able to hold up against the other three here. If this is the case, Kirby should take an easy second.

Still, what Big Boss did last round was no joke. While certainly the picture helped him out last round (a picture he doesn't quite have here), you've got to be scared of what he could do here. That is, unless you know the truth. The real truth.

Fact of the matter is, Big Boss is a chump. He's old and decrepit and eyepatches went out of style years ago. Yes, it's all too obvious what's going to happen here. Raiden will cartwheel his way to victory over the old man and never look back. Look at his steadfast determination.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-45.jpg

Why, had he been looking the other way, Kirby probably would have just given up right there. Can you blame him? I can't.

So, in conclusion - no I don't have the balls to take Raiden in second (I'll laugh it up if it happens), but he's beating Big Boss. Book it !!

Kleenex's Predictions
Big Boss - 22.10%
Kirby - 25.69%
Master Chief - 29.78%
Raiden - 22.43%

Crew Consensus: Chief > Kirby is the majority

DpObliVion | Posted 10/31/2008 9:07:17 PM | message detail | #303 | filter

DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis:

And this contest continues to amaze me....

The award for the result that most blind-sided be but should've been expected if I remembered last year was Big Boss absolutely dominating in the first round because of a pic that looks an awful lot like Solid Snake. Solid Snake expectedly beat Kirby by a lot, with Kirby suffering some Nintendo SFF. Of course, it's a different story this time, as Kirby is the lone Nintendo representative, Big Boss doesn't look ridiculously like Solid Snake in the pic (or at least I think not, having never played MGS), and Raiden is in the match for some rare MGS SFF.

So, first and second should go to Kirby and Master Chief, but in which order? Both disappointed in the first round. I wouldn't be surprised to be losing points here again, as I went with Master Chief, who dominated in this format last year. How much was Kirby hurt by Jinjo and Lucas, and crushed by the near Solid Snake pic? Should Kirby be expected to take first on the full support of the Nintendo vote?

Meh, probably. Why bother with bracket bias anymore....

Dp's bracket says: Master Chief > Kirby

Dp's prediction is: Kirby > Master Chief

Kirby - 33%
Master Chief - 31%
Big Boss - 22%
Raiden - 14%

Good to see the Crew sticking with MC though. My confidence is just shot by this point.

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008

LeonhartFour | Posted 10/31/2008 9:09:42 PM | message detail | #304 | filter

Raiden
Round 1 - 28.35% vs. Squall, CATS and Nathan

Uhh...What?
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)

-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/31/2008 9:25:26 PM | message detail | #305 | filter

Uhh...What?

I noticed that too. Moltar must have made some mistakes in his write-up.
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Participate in my Presidential Election Prediction Challenge:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=46163188

ZFS | Posted 10/31/2008 9:26:36 PM | message detail | #306 | filter

Too much Master Chief faith !

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http://i34.tinypic.com/eff04y.gif

meh, i just forgot to change the names to MC, Kain and Layton
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Moltar Status: augh
Cloud/Midna/Mewtwo/Pac-Man - Bracket: Cloud > Mewtwo - Vote: Mewtwo (153/216)

LeonhartFour | Posted 10/31/2008 9:31:04 PM | message detail | #308 | filter

I'm actually feelin' kinda good about Kirby winning this one, for some reason. He stands out like crazy in that match pic.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)

ZFS | Posted 10/31/2008 9:33:16 PM | message detail | #309 | filter

Yeah. I think Kirby's got the best shot at first of the three.

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http://i34.tinypic.com/eff04y.gif

Ngamer64 | Posted 10/31/2008 9:47:44 PM | message detail | #310 | filter

Oh whoops, forgot to mention The Banner Factor. I doubt its as big a help as it was to less established characters like WCC and the Duke, but still, that's a double dose of Kirby on the front page and ought to help him keep it closer with the great high Chief.

...still liking MC to pull it out though.

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/31/2008 11:11:19 PM | message detail | #311 | filter

"whoops"
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CB7 Score: 156/216
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg

LeonhartFour | Posted 10/31/2008 11:12:21 PM | message detail | #312 | filter

Whoops more like LOL Raiden
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)

Lopen | Posted 10/31/2008 11:54:42 PM | message detail | #313 | filter

Augh dammit Raiden :(
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

gamer88coool | Posted 11/1/2008 5:21:33 AM | message detail | #314 | filter

lol Gamefuel more like GameFOOL
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Whoever posts below me is a fruitcake.
People who agree:93,348,874

satai_delenn | Posted 11/1/2008 2:46:26 PM | message detail | #315 | filter

Hey Moltar--guest analysis for tomorrow = sent.
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!

Cloud Strife.....53.49% 67497
Midna...............16.16% 20386
Mewtwo...........16.91% 21342
Pac-Man..........13.44% 16959
TOTAL VOTES............126184

What Happened - Cloud domination, and woah Mewtwo. Who would've thought he'd have so much trouble beating out Midna? Pac doesn't really do anything.

Why it Happened - With Cloud here to sap up all of Mewtwo's casual support, it could explain why he looks so weak here. The hardcore Zelda voters almost got Midna through because of it. After seeing what Mewtwo has done in his other two matches, I have a hard time buying that he's really this weak. Something's obviously fishy here. darn you cloud

What Will Happen - Squall/Sora/Cloud/Mewtwo...well this is interesting. Mewtwo looked really good here until Cloud wrecked him. Now anyone has a shot at second.

Crew Prediction Challenge - Yay everyone!

Yoblazer - 30
Ngamer - 28
HM - 27
Tran - 26
Moltar - 26
Guest - 25
Lopen - 23

Crew Accuracy Challenge - HM and Justin get points for Cloud, Ngamer gets the point for Mewtwo, HM gets the point for Midna, and Yo gets the point for Pac

Yoblazer - 35
Ngamer - 32
HM - 31
Tran - 30
Moltar - 30
Guest (War (2), KP (2), Dp, Justin (2), greatone, Ngirl (2), gamer, satai, Klennex, Luis (2), Scott, Soul (2), Leon (3), Ed, Luster (3)) - 25
Lopen - 17
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Moltar Status: augh
BB/Kirby/Chief/Raiden - Bracket: Chief > Kirby - Vote: Kirby (161/224)

Ngamer64 | Posted 11/1/2008 4:07:22 PM | message detail | #317 | filter

Ugh, would someone please slow yo down? I have to beat him at SOMETHING this season.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/1/2008 4:12:14 PM | message detail | #318 | filter

After seeing what Mewtwo has done in his other two matches, I have a hard time buying that he's really this weak. Something's obviously fishy here.

...Is it possible that the fishiness was in Mewtwo's other two matches? I mean, getting that close to Bowser doesn't look that impressive anymore (I've said it before, but Phoenix Wright got closer to LFF'd Bowser), and all last round proved was that he faced a horribly sucky fourpack.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)

Lopen | Posted 11/1/2008 9:52:07 PM | message detail | #319 | filter

Congrats to DP for being the only one to get yesterday right.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

Lopen | Posted 11/1/2008 9:52:22 PM | message detail | #320 | filter

Erm, today... whatever.

Dammit Chief.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

Division 7: Round 2 - Match 46 – Leon Kennedy vs. Riku vs. Dante vs. Hogger

Moltar’s Analysis

Leon
Round 1 - 42.36% vs. Riku, Siegfried and MacMillan

REFAQs watch out

Riku
Round 1 - 27.43% vs. Leon, Siegfried and MacMillan

Way to make everyone doubt you, Riku.

Dante
Round 1 - 50.08% vs. Hogger, Ramza and Laharl

50% for Dante, Noble Nine breaker here we go!

Hogger
Round 1 - 16.82% vs. Dante, Ramza and Laharl

Second to last time you’ll see him mentioned here.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2916

Originally, that was all this analysis was going to be, as it sums up perfectly how I felt Dante/Leon/Riku would go. I mean, if Pikachu can capitalize off a split that much, why couldn’t Riku?

Maybe it’s because Riku is too busy getting his ass handed to him by Leon and losing by 15%. Even Pikachu ended within 10% of Leon before doing lord knows what the round after. And just when things didn’t look worse for Riku, Dante goes and puts up 50% in a poll.

So now I’m in my “I want to believe” mode with Dante and Leon. Last year I had them advancing together, and got that wrong. This year, I learned from my mistake and had Riku advancing in second instead of Leon. Now though…I think Leon can do it.

Not only is this whole “REFAQs” thing going on (random Resident Evil boost which makes us all go “wat”, but Dante is even looking better on the heels of DMC4. Man...I’m going for it. Dante > Leon this time GameFAQs is gonna do this right!

screw you kingdom hearts character suck on your sea-salt ice cream

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Dante > Riku

Moltar’s Prediction is: Dante: 35% - Leon: 31% - Riku: 25% - Hogger: 9%

Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Have to be quick today - woo Mario Galaxy best ever - and get this in. Dante shouldn't have any problems taking first. Some people have entertained the possibility of Leon pulling off an upset thanks to how well RE has looked this year, but that's not going to happen. Any SFF between them is in Dante's favor decisively, and he looked even better than Leon did in round 1, putting up an easy 50%+ - the only non-Noble Nine character do that in this format. DMC4 is behind him, too, so he's got reason to stay fresh in people's minds.

The big match is between Leon and Riku. When the bracket first came out, I argued hard that Dante and Leon would be able to slip by Riku. Last year, Riku looked terrible in round 1 getting rocked by Hayabusa (Riku and Roxas couldn't even combine votes to beat him), and he barely managed to get by him round 2. Sure enough, this year Riku came out looking pretty terrible again. There's a decent chance SFF will be severe enough for Riku to slip by again, but I'm not counting on it. Leon looked great last round, and RE characters in general have been outdoing expectations. I like Dante > Leon a lot here.

Prediction: Dante - 36% ; Leon - 28% ; Riku - 23% ; Hogger - 13%
Vote: Dante

Yoblazer’s Analysis

Very intriguing match. Two months ago, this one was pretty hotly debated for a number of fun reasons. Based on the first round, the debate has died down, and the two winners seem much predictable, but that won't stop me from delving into between three hot young boy band stars (Leon, Dante, Riku) and their soulless, sleazy record executive (Hogger)!

DpObliVion | Posted 11/1/2008 10:13:09 PM | message detail | #322 | filter

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Let's start by getting Hogger out of the way. Last round, the elite WoW enemy needed constant rallying to outlast two fodder-level RPG characters who seemed to be entwined in a battle of split fanbases. Even with the rallying, weak opponents, and possible split aiding him, Hogger couldn't reach 17%. Hogger has another favorable fanbase split this time around, but the competition is far stronger, so he won't get rallied as much due to his odds being futile. In terms of raw percentage, though, I don't think Hogger will falter too much. As weak as he is, his picture stands out to levels we may have never seen before. It's like supermodel, supermodel, supermodel, HOLY **** HOGGER. It may help him pick up joke votes or just "I'm sick of these damned pretty boys" votes. I see him ending in the mid teens.

And that brings us to the big boys. If I could think of a fly new boyband name, I'd be pimping it all over this analysis, but alas, I'm just a crew analyst. We'll start with the young, doe-eyed heartthrob, Riku! I have Riku in my bracket. Many others do as well. The argument behind this risk (as Riku is intrinsically weaker than both Leon and Dante) is that Leon and Dante will split their badass/action fanbases, thus allowing Riku to utilize his own Kingdom Hearts/RPG support and survive. It was a fine theory... in theory!! Unfortunately for our fey dude, the first round came along and Leon just mauled him. I mean... just killed him. Leon beat him way worse than he beat Vivi in Round 1 of 2007, and worse than he beat Pikachu in Round 2 of the same year. It was actually kind of embarrassing, and it really hurt Riku's chances here.

Of course, some of Riku's stauncher supporters may tell you that he still has hope, citing the fact that Pikachu went from 42% on Leon in Round 2 to an easy win in Round 3. Even with Riku in my bracket, I can't make the same claim in good conscience. In that infamous match, Pikachu not only stood out like an ugly yellow rat-faced sore thumb, but had an added bonus... ugly Dante and Leon pictures. These guys draw much of their power from their awesome looks and design, and with blah pictures, that advantage was diluted. So, rocking his own appealing and stupid picture, Pikachu won. Riku isn't so lucky. Sure, I guess he looks fine (Iike a chick... I'd like to bang), but so do Leon and Dante. In fact, all three of them kinda look the same, and Riku looks least badass of the three. Without a natural picture advantage, the KH rep is kinda boned. Now, keep in mind that if Hogger does end up in the mid teens and if the Leon/Dante split is a surprisingly close one (as I'm expecting), then Riku MUST score higher than his Round 1 percentage to move on. I know this format loves the bizarre, but that's just too improbable. I'd sooner expect Leon > Dante than I would Riku moving on.

...speaking of which! Yes, I feel it's possible, as do I feel that the same infamous Round 3 match from last year was ****ed up in more ways than one. In that match, Dante put up a healthy 56% on Leon. As such, no one really has any reason to believe that Leon can contend for first. Well I'm here to tell you that THAT'S PROBABLY RIGHT BUT I'LL DO IT ANYWAY. With exception to that one fluke of a match, Leon has looked absolutely monstrous in this format. He has crushed Square RPG reps and even rocked Pikachu when the playing field was more leveled. Here, just take a look at these two results I just happened to cherry-pick:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2905
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3270

Similar victory percentages for the two, but who's trio of opponents was stronger? I'm willing to say it was Leon's. Unlike the fluke match in which he drew his ugly RE2 picture (he looked less recognizable and worse than Dante, definitely), Leon is now fully rocking his RE4 makeover and should be able to hold his own against Dante in terms of appeal votes. Couple that with what looks to be a tiny Resident Evil series boost (Umbrella Chronicles + RE5 hype?), and I think that Leon has a realistic shot at shocking us all. I'd love to see it, that's for sure! I'd also love to load the end of this little write-up with RE4 quotes, but I've gotta be somewhere in like five seconds. See yaz.

Leon Kennedy - 31%
Riku - 25%
Dante - 30%
Hogger - 14%

Lopen’s Analysis

Okay, as something before my analysis... I present to you exhibit A:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2906
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2916

Now I'm not usually one for linking to old polls as some sort of crutch, but I'm only doing this because people seem to be underestimating just how brutal Dante was to Leon last year. Leon goes from beating Pika by 9%... to... losing to him by 10%? For those of you at home who haven't mastered the art of arithmetic yet, that's a swing of 19% of the vote.

Now... everyone is saying that Riku is doomed. And I mean, when a guy loses by 15%, that's usually a pretty safe assumption. And yet, look at today's match! Big Boss loses to Kirby after annihilating him last round. Yeah, Raiden/Big Boss is a more direct overlap than Dante/Leon... or is it? Dante/Leon QXGJBFF (recalling this one from memory, check my spelling satai) is really powerful... as I've already said: 19%. You might attribute that to other factors, somewhat... perhaps Pika's sprite helped him out. But still, there's only so much you can do here before you've got to start pinning it on Dante/Leon directly.

There's also the factor to consider of Riku's fanbase holding up better than Leon's. Leon might be like a more resiliant Ryu Hayabusa in that he's good at soaking up the vote when there aren't as many good options in the poll, but when the going gets tough his vote gets going.

Now, I'll admit, I picked Riku for second here thinking it'd be a good deal closer last round... but I still think he's got this one wrapped up. The only thing last round proves is he's not touching Dante. Oh, and the picture... so what, Riku looks like a chick... at least he looks like a hot chick.

Oh, and The Hogger. Yeah, don't expect something that struggled to beat Ramza (who in turn struggled to beat Laharl) to have any effect here. I'd be surprised if old Albion managed to rally it into any lead cuts, forget a win. As usual, any rallying will benefit THE DANTE SPARDA!? far more than Hogger. Expect a Dante to do quite well here...!

Lopen's prediction:
THE DANTE SPARDA!? - 37.55%
Riku - 25.20%
Leon Kennedy - 24.15%
Hogger - 13.10%

Ngamer’s Analysis

Haha, what a fun match that was! Sure, it lost some of its luster due Kirby never being in any real danger of losing to MC, and even when Boss had opened up that nice lead we were still very confident that Chief would be killing him in the Day to make up for it, but even so I maintain that this was a highly entertaining poll. I mean, just check out those vote trends!

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3288&type=2&seconds=900

Note to self: Europeans really loved MGS4, and really, really dislike Halo. I could see that little tidbit coming in handy for the upcoming Game Contest! (Actually I think it's more a case that Europe will go crazy for anything recent and Sony, like how FFX and now MGS always pounds people during those hours, while they refuse to support anything Xbox, which explains why guys like MC and Marcus last year are able to put on such amazing fireworks displays as soon as that continent falls asleep and it's back to 100% American voting.)

Okay, well this sets up a HECK of an interesting proposal for Round Three. MC's so weak that he's no longer assured third place in that pack, let alone first, while Kirby will once again be getting the full advantage of going cutesy against three mature action stars. Unless Leon hurts him with GameCube appeal he ought to be able to survive and advance out of that match... but wait, will Riku be the one there instead, evening the mature versus cutesy appeal at 2 to 2? Let's find out!

X-Stats from Round One:
Leon - 24.44% (based on MacMillan = Frank West)
Riku - 19.21% (based on MacMillan = Frank West)
Dante - 22.77% (based on '07 Laharl)
Hogger - 11.45% (based on '07 Laharl)

Yuck, what awful stats. There was nothing to base Siegfried or MacMillan on, so the only thing we can really get out of the first match is that Riku REALLY ought to have been able to hang closer with Leon and didn't have an excuse not to. The second result is a little more telling... yes Dante put up over 50%, but Hogger is pretty bad fodder and Laharl and Ramza were destroying each other all day in order to bring themselves down to his level. Surely Dante ought to be a LITTLE higher in the stats than is reflected above, but... probably not all that much higher. Leon had the more jaw-dropping performance of the two, which makes today's battle all the more intruiging.

Let's start with Hogger just to get him out of the way quickly. Positive: he stands way way out in this picture. Negatives: everything else. Yes WoW rallying can have an impact, but as we saw in the Arthas match and other things like Mario/Warcraft, people don't care enough to vote unless the match is close enough where their rally effort is going to have an impact. Hogger is miles below the rest of this pack in natural strength, will never be in contention to place ahead of anyone past the first 15 minutes, and is going to flop mightily vs his R1 showing as a result. Next!

Riku's just incredibly weird. Sora got an awful smoking pic yet still smoked Fox (which as Yoshi proved is no small feat!), then got a solid anime face shot and nearly bested Squall! Clearly KH is riding high in '08... except why then did Roxas and Riku fold like lawnchairs to Liquid and Leon? I have no idea, but despite how good New Square has performed in many spots to this point I just can't justify Dante allowing Riku to make up the 16% he'd need to catch Leon in this round. That being said, I'm going to have to be conservative and give him SOME credit- he's probably going to make up a good majority of that at least.

That leaves us with Leon vs Dante, and it ought to be a no-brainer. After all, we saw this matchup only last year, and Dante put up 30% of the vote to Leon's mere 24%. As to that, I'm going to repeat my initial reaction at the time: "oh jeez, Leon looks AWFUL in that pic!" And he sure did! This time around he's right on par with Dante in terms of "cool factor", and I expect that to be worth plenty between guys so closely related in terms of character design. Also, there's been a sudden unexplainable (Umbrella Chronicles?) new trend called REFAQs taking hold of the site recently. Sure DMC4 sold well, but did anyone really love it? If they did, they sure didn't do a good job of showing it in that Nero match! In summary I'm expecting Leon to have a much better show of it in this matchup, and could perhaps, PERHAPS, even contend for the outright win!

So if I'm keeping Leon pretty close to Dante, who in turn will be pretty close to Riku, who in term will decimate Hogger, we'd be looking at something along the lines of... *gets out his pot and does some stirring*

Dante - 32.25%
Leon Kennedy - 29.13%
Riku - 24.60%
Hogger - 14.02%

That feels... pretty good, actually!

Ngamer Says: Dante > Leon

Guest’s Analysis - satai_delenn

Woo, gettin' back to tradition, analyzing for Dante.

So first, let's check out round 1 of this contest. Dante pulled just over 50% on fodder, fodder, and rallied WoW fodder in a contest where >50% is hard to do, while Leon pulled just over 40% on fodder, fodder, and what seems to be a steadily weakening secondary Square character. Last year in round 3, Leon dropped almost 10% between rounds 2 and 3 with the introduction of Dante and Amaterasu (the latter probably not having that much of an effect—get this random generic "Capcom company SFF" stuff out of here), while Dante dropped 7% with Leon and the rat in there. It seems to me that most of Leon's drop came from Dante, while Dante's drop was probably a combination of things.

Pikachu went from losing to Leon by almost 10% to beating Dante by 3% and neither match had any other Nintendo interference. Did the Square fans flock to Pikachu? Maybe Vivi was taking away his "kiddie" appeal? Seems more likely that Leon sapped Dante more than he should have and Pikachu took full advantage, being the only Nintendo/ASV character there. I don't think there's any question anymore that Dante affects RE negatively; Leon affects Dante too, but not enough. RE has looked great this year (Wesker aside)…but so has DMC. Sure, Dante was against fodder, but he still only did 2% worse on that fodder than Samus did against similar fodder and Nightmare, who's also not that great. So I feel like that keeps Dante and Leon fairly even in increases, and I don't think Leon will fare much better against Dante this year than he did last year.

Riku, meanwhile, looked pretty terrible in round 1. I mean…I knew I was calling for an upset, but that performance was just kind of sad. I don't think it's quite as sad as people are making it out to be, though. Leon is stronger than Ryu H. and Riku's percentages vs. the two of them were nearly identical. Granted, Roxas was in there last year, but still. Everyone is always quick to say that not 100% of Roxas' votes would have gone to Riku (though I think it'd be close), and with this RE boost Leon could be quite a bit stronger than Ryu H. now. So it's possible Riku equaled his first round performance from last year, at least. Weakening, or just up against tougher opponents? Hmm.

Moving to round 2 last year, Riku's percentage took a spin dive into the sub-20s with Snake in the match—even so, he still managed to hold on and beat Ryu, who was clearly crippled by the presence of Snake (and to a lesser extent, Nightmare). Meh, not that impressive. But what I find really interesting about last year's Riku is that in round 3, confronted not with apathy-vote whores but with Snake, Kratos, and a swiftly climbing L-Block, he only dropped a percent. There's that hardcore Kingdom Hearts fanbase I've heard so much about. Tougher opponents make them cling harder. And whoa, check out Sora's round 2 performance this year! Riku's a lot weaker than Sora, but by how much? Did that mean anything for Riku? Or was that pure double-SFF at work? It's not like there was any new KH news announced or anything between rounds, and Squall's picture didn't do him any favors, so I'm guessing it doesn't mean much for this match…but I guess you never know. That hardcore fanbase might pull through.

Meanwhile, Hogger surprised a bunch of people (including me) with its rallying and such, and moved past some fodderific-type folks. But managing to beat Laharl by fractions of a percent doesn't really inspire confidence, and neither did Arthas' second round performance. I'd be surprised (again, yeah) if rallying managed to give it anything but a distant last place here, with real competition instead of old/niche RPG characters.

So that was a lot of messing around without really saying anything, I know. Is satai going to succumb to wishful thinking and call Riku wrong for the, what, third time? v_v Ehhhh…I looked for a good reason to give Riku his traditional second-round revenge here (yes one contest is totally a tradition), and if I fudged things I could probably create one—weirder things have happened!—but I think for the sake of my sanity I'll just…not.

Leon's not Ryu Hayabusa, he's not going to just utterly fold with a stronger guy around, even if it is Dante. And Dante's not Snake. Hardcore fanbase or not, there's only so much Riku can do; Dante and Hogger don't quite seem like strong enough competition to make those fans claw for percentage and make it look good. And have you seen Riku's picture? I guess I could hope for some TJF… >_> At least I managed to prove that Riku might not be as pathetic as he seemed…! Eat it, Leon.

(Fun fact: according to last year's hilarious x-stats, Riku ~= Pikachu. lol Riku > Dante let's do this)

Yeah, I know, guest writers should take upsets and be exciting, but I give up. I hate you, Leon Kennedy. Go die in a fire.

satai's vote: …augh. My two favorite VG characters facing each other, what is this. I don't even know.
satai's prediction: Dante > Leon "I ruin your fun for a living" Kennedy
Leon - 28.14%
Riku - 24.66%
Dante - 36.42%
Hogger – 10.78%

Crew Consensus: Dante > Leon is the majority, but we've also got Dante > Riku and Leon > Dante

LeonhartFour | Posted 11/1/2008 10:16:53 PM | message detail | #328 | filter

Whoa, yo with a gutsy pick there!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)

KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/1/2008 10:16:56 PM | message detail | #329 | filter

all hail the dante sparda
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CB7 Score: 164/224
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg

DpObliVion | Posted 11/1/2008 10:19:30 PM | message detail | #330 | filter

As I was saying....

Congrats to DP for being the only one to get yesterday right.

Whoo! But my bracket was wrong, so this is just a small consolation.

Now, onto another match where I get small consolation of realizing my mistake before the match actually happens!

DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis

Okay, so the upset pick doesn't look so good after Leon beat Riku by 15% in the first round. I certainly expected much closer, even took the upset in the first. Still, something must be said about Leon's performance last year when he faced Dante. Beating Pikachu 33%-24% (while Square combined for 42.5% in the poll), then losing 24-34% to Pikachu (an RPG character) with Dante in the match cannot be ignored. That's almost a 20% turnaround, and that's more than what Riku (a Square character) lost by last round.

Of course, in losing by 9% to Leon, Pikachu may have been held back by the two RPG characters, and he really stood out among Dante, Leon, and the niche Amaterasu, whereas Riku isn't going to be standing out from Dante and Leon here. Riku also shares a PS2 fanbase with Dante, and Leon was also on the PS2, though not exclusively.

That said, I don't think I like Riku making up a 15% difference. Pikachu pulled that kind of swing last year, but I think Riku is going to be at more of a disadvantage here. Too much of an uphill climb for Riku....

Dp's bracket says: Dante > Riku

Dp's prediction is: Dante > Leon

Dante - 35%
Leon - 26.50%
Riku - 24.50%
Hogger - 14%

Lopen | Posted 11/1/2008 10:54:01 PM | message detail | #331 | filter

Pfft, I thought maybe you'd come to your senses a little before the bell... your loss for stickin with that one, satai! (I knew none of the rest of the crew would have the guts to take it)

Riku's comin back, people! Arithmetic shall prevail!
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

Ngamer64 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:37:33 PM | message detail | #332 | filter

Dang it Leon I called for someone to STOP yo, not to give him a free point on all the rest of us!

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Check out the '08 Guru Site! http://thengamer.com/guru/
Other Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com

hmm, i don't think Yo is going to end up right

but I certainly won't complain if he is this time!

too close to call now. let's see what leon can do overnight (since he's likely to fall during the day)
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Moltar Status: augh
Leon/Riku/Dante/Hogger - Bracket: Dante > Riku - Vote: Leon (165/232)

RaeSaraneth | Posted 11/2/2008 1:18:50 AM | message detail | #334 | filter

Hm.. I think Dante is slowly pulling ahead. Happy daylight saving time being over! Don't forget to put back your clocks an hour ^_-
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^_^

Tatl | Posted 11/2/2008 1:11:34 AM | message detail | #335 | filter

As close as she stayed to Mewtwo all day, I'm confident that my bracket pick of Cloud > Midna > Mewtwo > Ness would have been successful had the Pac not screwed it up.

Blast you Pac-Man for being stronger with the casuals than Ness...

The Pac has now made it onto my hit list...
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Score as of 10/30: 160 T_T R.I.P. Midna
Bracket: Master Chief > Kirby - Vote: Kirby

Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 1:51:49 AM | message detail | #336 | filter

I still kinda doubt Ness does significantly more damage to Mewtwo than Midna. But when the victory margin was only 1000 votes, you've kinda just gotta wonder.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

Big Boss.............26.17% 35307
Kirby....................31.47% 42464
Master Chief......30.32% 40903
Raiden................12.04% 16245
TOTAL VOTES.............134919

What Happened - Kirby holds up really well from last round and takes first. Chief comes in a close second. The star here though is Big Boss, who probably would have won if Raiden wasn't here. He nearly won even though he was held back!

Why it Happened - Kirby was the only Nintendo/non-mature character here, so it isn't too surprising he held up well. Chief has those die-hard Xbox guys behind him. Big Boss looks to have SFFed Raiden a bit, but still, Raiden being here hurt him enough to keep him out of Round 3.

What Will Happen - Chief continues to not look dominant, and next round, Kirby will be the only Nintendo character again.

Crew Prediction Challenge - Yay no one!

Yoblazer - 30
Ngamer - 28
HM - 27
Tran - 26
Moltar - 26
Guest - 25
Lopen - 23

Crew Accuracy Challenge - Ngamer gets the point for MC and Kirby, Yo gets the point for Big Boss, and HM gets the point for Raiden

Yoblazer - 36
Ngamer - 34
HM - 32
Tran - 30
Moltar - 30
Guest (War (2), KP (2), Dp, Justin (2), greatone, Ngirl (2), gamer, satai, Klennex, Luis (2), Scott, Soul (2), Leon (3), Ed, Luster (3)) - 25
Lopen - 17
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Moltar Status: augh
Leon/Riku/Dante/Hogger - Bracket: Dante > Riku - Vote: Leon (165/232)

Tatl | Posted 11/2/2008 2:53:13 PM | message detail | #338 | filter

I still kinda doubt Ness does significantly more damage to Mewtwo than Midna. But when the victory margin was only 1000 votes, you've kinda just gotta wonder.

I would think that he'd lose that thousand votes to Ness because of the Melee SFF that he'd suffer.

Midna would take on a bit of SFF too, but not near as much as Mewtwo would have.

I would be willing to say that, in the end, Midna would be above Mewtwo by only a margin of .5%-1%...not much, but enough to pass.

Oh well, on to the next disaster match...*eyes Sandbag*
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Score as of 10/30: 164 T_T R.I.P. Midna
Bracket: Dante > Leon - Vote: Hogger

satai_delenn | Posted 11/2/2008 5:05:25 PM | message detail | #339 | filter

Augh, that's right, Sandbag is tomorrow.

I am looking forward to Dp's analysis.
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!

Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/2/2008 5:17:38 PM | message detail | #340 | filter

Zylo's fast analysis.

Oh yeah I can do this because I want to, but everyone will laugh at me because I have no idea what to predict here. Um.... Sub-Zero will obviously finish last, because the stupid bag gets a lot of stupid support. But both Sonic and Auron is way more than what it can handle so it will also lose.

So it then comes up between who takes first Sonic or Auron. Sonic did ok in round 1, not to bad but not to good either. He got 39% in round 1 last year and this year he had tougher opponents, plus the bag could've hurt him, but if it did then it will hurt him tomorrow as well. Auron on the other hand did about the same as Sonic did on similar opponents in round 1 last year. So I guess Auron is pretty even with prebrawl Sonic.

But the most important thing of all is that it's possible that Rydia LFF'D Auron last round, and since the Sandbag can steal Brawl support from Sonic, I have to say that Auron looks like the small favourite between the two. Tomorrow's match should be close, but maybe it's my fanboyism but I think Sonic will win. Both Vincent and Squall were close to beat Sonic but they didn't, and while Auron has always looked good he has never looked as good as Vincent and Squall.

Prediction: Sonic 34% > Auron 31% > Sandbag 20% Sub-Zero 15%.

But as long as Sonic advance I'm happy, since it's not like any of the other characters that can upset him have looked any good. Ah nice to see that SFF will once agian stop Auron :D
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me

Division 8: Round 2 - Match 47 – Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Sandbag vs. Auron vs. Sub-Zero

Moltar’s Analysis

Sonic
Round 1 - 36.83% vs. Sandbag, Magus and Shepard

He’s lucky the poll lasts 24 hours, because man did he look awful early.

Sandbag
Round 1 - 24.99% vs. Sonic, Magus and Shepard

Master Hand would be proud

Auron
Round 1 - 39.50% vs. Sub-Zero, Rydia and Fenix

Auron lookin’ fine in Round 1

Sub-Zero
Round 1 - 26.88% vs. Auron, Rydia and Fenix

Nothing bad, but nothing great from Subby.

Sonic and Subby together again, aww…darn you bracket.

Anyway, before the Contest, someone mentioned the possibility of Auron beating Sonic in Round 2. I liked the idea, but wanted to play around with it for a while more.

Fast forward to Bracket lockdown where my apathy for the contest and the bracket is at an all time high. I’m feeling pretty good about Auron beating Sonic, so I’m planning to make the change. Cue some distraction here. When I remember again, it’s already too late.

I mean my bracket sucks anyway, but I wanted to call some upset right! Anyway, Round 1 performances only amplify my feelings of Auron > Sonic. Auron looked good, Sonic didn’t. Auron has nothing to fight with, Sonic has a bag of sand from smash weighing him down.

The real battle, I believe, is between Sonic and Sandbag for second. Now that Sandbag is in Round 2, it can now benefit from JOKE MOMENTUM. Some of Sonic’s voters can hop on over to Sand, and other voters may now realize the joke.

Still…the gap was pretty wide between Sonic and Sand last round. I think I’ll stick with the hedgehog and then facepalm when jokeFAQs proves me wrong.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Sonic > Auron

Moltar’s Prediction is: Auron: 32% - Sonic: 28% - Sandbag: 24% - Sub-Zero: 16%

Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Another big match. Before the round 1 match this might have been a three-way fight for first place, but with Sandbag only barely slipping by Magus - and being a good distance from Sonic - I don't think too many people are expecting the 'Bag to advance today. This narrows it down to Sonic and Auron. I imagine Auron > Sonic will be the consensus choice, with Sonic Team not performing too well in this format and Sonic letting Magus stay as close as he did. I still like Sonic to pull one out here, though.

Sonic may be the bottom rung of the Noble Nine in this format, but he's not going to lose to just anybody. Granted, Auron isn't just 'anybody,' and may actually be NN-esque when it comes to four-ways. Looking at last round, they did about the same against some comparable competition. Auron did a bit better, but I'd give Sonic's pack the edge in terms of strength. There is the argument that Sandbag would hurt Sonic because of Brawl, but I'm skeptical of that. Sandbag is very much a 'joke' character, and Sonic doesn't even get a hint of his strength from Brawl. They share a game, but that's about it. Not expecting anything there.
But it wouldn't surprised me if we see something weird from Sandbag. You never know what you're going to get with these joke characters, though they have been surprisingly predictable this year. I think he'll end up doing a little worse than he did last round, which isn't bad considering the competition here is a lot better. Don't think he's gonna have it in him to advance out of this pack, unless he's up around 30% and Sonic really sucks it up.

As far as Auron goes, he's got a great opportunity to pull off the upset. He's got nothing to worry about as far as fanbase splits go - he's the lone Square, and RPG, character here. There's really on excuse for him not to win. He had a great round 1, he was beastly last year (nearly topping Ryu for second with Cloud in the poll), and he's up against the weakest of the Noble Nine. Still don't think he'll quite pull it off, though, but it'll be close.

Prediction: Sonic - 30% ; Auron - 28% ; Sandbag - 24% ; Sub-Zero - 18%
Vote: da bag

Yoblazer’s Analysis

Huh... I don't feel nearly as excited about this match now that I'm sure it will spell final doom for my bracket. Regardless, I've got a job to do, so let's take a look at this sucker. While this battle between Sonic, Sandbag, Auron, and Sub-Zero will almost certainly NOT see a joke character move on, the battle for first place could be a heated one, and it could result in the earliest ever defeat for a Noble 9er.

Before we delve into these four as individuals, let's analyze them as teams (Team Smash vs. Team Badass). In Round 1, Team Smash put up a combined 61.82% on Magus and Commander Shepard. Team Badass put up 66.38% on Marcus Fenix and Rydia. Which performance is more impressive? No one can say for sure, but I'd side with Team Badass. They put up an additional 4.5%, and while Magus is clearly the strongest of the four losers, Commander Shepard is likely the weakest. In this match, I expect the teams to split percentage relatively evenly. While I might be tempted to give Team Badass a smidgen more loving based on their first round performance, I think Sandbag's possible static base (as a joke character) coupled with Scorpion/Sub-Zero's propensity to do poorly against tough competition will make this one dead even. Thus, I've decided to give each team a combined 50% of the vote.

...and that's about enough to ensure Auron wins first place. Yes, I'm serious. Assuming the two teams do split the vote evenly, I simply can not envision Sonic winning. Consider that, in the first round, both Sonic and Auron beat their runner-ups with an identical 59.5%. Now, if Sandbag demonstrates the ability to stay somewhat static, and if Sub-Zero flubs like he and Scorpion have done over the past two contests, what does that mean? It means, unless you expect Sandbag to remain static at AURON'S expense, that Sonic's percentage will go down while Auron's will go up. Essentially, this is all just a fancy way of
saying that Auron will take advantage of Sandbag's possible static base, the Sonic/Sandbag fanbase split, and Sub-Zero's likelihood to botch, and he'll ride all this to a victory. In fact, I don't even expect it to be that close, especially when Auron is rocking such an insanely cool picture.

Now, as many of you know, I have Sandbag in my bracket, and I think it's fitting I give the little guy a proper burial by giving him the last paragraph. I knew Sandbag was a huge risk, but his opening performance simply fell short. To have any sort of realistic shot here, he needed to cruise past Magus easily. Instead, he needed (likely) rallying and an epic Magus collapse just to be here. He would need to maintain a 100% static base to have a shot, and that's assuming he and Sonic only grab 50% of the vote. After the other two big joke characters, L-Block and Weighted Companion Cube, both donated valuable percentage points between rounds, I see nothing but darkness for the little bag. Au revoir, silent soldier.

Sonic the Hedgehog - 28%
Sandbag - 22%
Auron - 32%
Sub-Zero - 18%

Lopen’s Analysis

Okay so... this match here... I think the competition is just too stiff for the Sandbag to work its way out. Now, Sub-Zero as we all know is a professional puncher, and should be able to Using the Bag For its Purpose Factor (UBFPF) the bag into negative percentages. Now, of course, Sub-Zero will be left with LUBFPF and that will unfortunately allow Auron and Sonic to advance.

... okay uh... seriously... I do think the bag is going to lose here. Yes, I know... my spiel is to preach the death of joke characters and it VERY RARELY HAPPENS but on this day I am confident. To me, last round, the bag showed trends that resemble a legitimate character. Also, its "static percentage" was very low, even assuming it is static. What was it, 23%? Very doable for Sonic and Auron. Sub-Zero isn't going to be slinging around enough percent to stop them.

So then the question remains who wins between Sonic and Auron? Well, the way I see it, the blasted bag is going to hurt Sonic more than Auron. Also... Auron probably looked better than Sonic last round. I mean come on Magus was all up in his grill for a while. You don't let Magus cut you and expect to beat Auron. Sub-Zero, if he damages anyone, probably damages Sonic more too, being old school and all that. Basically, this is Auron's match to win here, all factors seem in his favor going in, and he was a potential NN Breaker in the first place. Yeah, brief, I know.

Lopen's prediction:
Auron - 33.12%
Sonic - 32.45%
Sub-Zero - 20.86%
Sandbag - -2.03% (UBFPF suck it down punk. Seriously though last place believe.)

Ngamer’s Analysis

Well, that was another entertaining match. Really awesome for those first few hours, but I'm surprised Leon wasn't able to use his GameCube (and now Wii as well) fanbase to stick closer with the Day vote. But eh, that's alright, the important thing is how much he improved on last year's showing, which should be enough to prove that was mostly just him looking goofy in the match pic. He won't have that problem in R3 thanks to our B8 artists taking the reigns, and there seems to be some real kind of REFAQs thing going on as well, but... heck, even so I'm not seeing any way for him to catch up to Pika or the Chief. That's alright; I chalk this up as a strong season for him regardless.

And now for maybe the most-discussed matchup of the round! Let's throw a couple hundred more words at it, shall we?

X-Stats from Round One:
Sonic - 39.10% (based on Shepard = Marcus)
Sandbag - 31.61% (based on Shephard = Marcus)
Auron - 35.92% (based on '07 Marcus)
Sub-Zero - 29.09% (based on '07 Marcus)

What terrible numbers! I guess I didn't want to base anything off that horrible showing by Magus last year, but it's clear Sonic and the Sandman should be way lower. Likewise you can't make a very good case for '08 Marcus... he was just not nearly the same character who surprised us a year ago, for some reason. With a fixed set you would surely see Auron entering the fray as a distinct favorite, I would think.

Let's start with ol' Sandy eyes. He appeared to have confirmed himself as the one joke character who was going to perform like a joke about an hour into his match- the early joke push had been there to an extent, but Magus was soon killing him, and it got especially nasty once the NPH was over. But wow, what an ASV he came up with! Fortunately for our sanity, I can't see anything like that taking place again in this one... Sonic will be there to help limit his morning, and then both Auron and Sub-Zero are guys with respectable strength all through the day; a Magus-like collapse from either would be just unheard of. Since he'll be against three guys with pretty unique fanbases, all of whom look great in the pic (while he's got about the most bland image imaginable), I can't see the Bag maintaining his joke base as well as WCC did the other day- a slip from 25 to around 22 or 21 should be more likely.
The bad new for Subby: even a Bag weakened that far will probably be too much for him to deal with. Yeah, the blue ninja held up well directly on Auron in R1, but I figure much of that is his ability soak of casual votes like a sponge, much like his partner in ninjadom, Hayabusa. Now that Sega fans and Smash fans have somewhere else to go with their votes, he probably loses a bit of ground versus Auron's more steadfast base, and as a result I have trouble seeing him stay out of the basement here.

Which of course means that the real battle should be Auron versus Sonic- and I think it's going to be a true slugfest! On the one hand Sonic is pretty obviously the character with the greater natural strength. On the other, his whole Team has been just dreadful in this format two years running, New Square has been consistently solid and seems to have improved somewhat for '08, and worst of all, he's going to be splitting much of his newfound Smash support with that bag of sand over there. Perhaps I should be more cautious... after all, Squall looked all-world in R1 as well, and that didn't stop him from getting brought way back down in earth a few days ago. But come on, Smilin' Squall versus Winkin' Auron- there's just no comparison! Plus there no option remotely like Sora in this bunch for those on-the-fence Square supporters.

Auron - 29.39%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 29.21%
Sandbag - 22.03%
Sub-Zero - 19.38%

That looks... just fine!

Ngamer Says: Auron > Sonic

Crew Consensus: Zylo's Analysis above is the official Guest write-up. Therefore, Auron > Sonic is the favorite 4 to 2.

Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 10:14:22 PM | message detail | #345 | filter

You know what's sad: Tranny can take like a week off and I still won't catch up with him.

And yeah, Auron > Sonic being the favorite isn't too surprising to me here. I half expected a shut-out in Auron's favor haha.
---
Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

DpObliVion | Posted 11/2/2008 10:25:59 PM | message detail | #346 | filter

DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick ANGRY AND PARANOID Analysis:

SANDBAG WILL NOT ADVANCE

SANDBAG WILL NOT ADVANCE

I don't even care if Auron beats Sonic. Okay, so I do. But from the second I heard of the calls for Auron > Sandbag > Sonic after their first round matches, however dumb and unlikely it may be, I have been absolutely paranoid about this match. I just want this match to be over with, and see Sonic in the top two, and I can rest in peace. Anything else can happen in this contest and I won't care. Of course, Auron failing to advance here seems near impossible, so....

SANDBAG WILL NOT ADVANCE

GET THAT ****ING SANDBAG OUT OF THIS CONTEST

SCREW YOU TOO, AURON, SONIC IS TAKING FIRST, DAMN IT

SANDBAG WILL NOT ADVANCE

Dp's bracket says: Sonic > Auron

Dp's prediction is: Sonic > Auron

Confidence: Couldn't be lower.

Sonic - 32%
Auron - 31%
It Who Shall Not Be Named - 21%
Sub-Zero - 16%

---
NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008

Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 10:38:05 PM | message detail | #347 | filter

Hahaha, Dp does not disappoint.

Power to ya, bruva, sayin exactly what I'm thinkin.
---
Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe

satai_delenn | Posted 11/2/2008 11:21:57 PM | message detail | #348 | filter

I knew Dp would have the best analysis!
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!

th3l3fty | Posted 11/3/2008 1:46:11 AM | message detail | #349 | filter

some fun stuff coming soon
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris

th3l3fty | Posted 11/3/2008 1:46:24 AM | message detail | #350 | filter

to a topic near you!
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris

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